The US-China Trade War and Global Reallocations

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node--publication node--full color-scheme-egc-black node--no-banner-image node--has-page-image" data-js="node-publication"> <header class="node__header" data-js="node-header"> <div class="node__header-content-wrapper"> <div class="node__header-content"> <div class="node__heading-prefix"> Journal Publication </div> <h1 class="node__heading"> The US-China Trade War and Global Reallocations </h1> <div class="node__citation"> <p> <p>Fajgelbaum, Pablo, Pinelopi Goldberg, Patrick Kennedy, Amit Khandelwal, and Daria Taglioni. 2024. "The US-China Trade War and Global Reallocations." American Economic Review: Insights, 6 (2): 295-312.</p> </p> </div> <div class="node__page-image"> <figure role="group" class="media media--image media--page-image"> <picture> <source media="all and (min-width: 1024px)" type="image/webp" data-srcset="/sites/default/files/styles/landscape_medium/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.webp?h=700d9b1a&itok=KsBP2IPJ 1x, /sites/default/files/styles/landscape_large/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.webp?h=700d9b1a&itok=kp1unZsx 2x"/> <source media="all and (min-width: 768px)" type="image/webp" data-srcset="/sites/default/files/styles/landscape_small/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.webp?h=700d9b1a&itok=TbFM45sd 1x, /sites/default/files/styles/landscape_medium/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.webp?h=700d9b1a&itok=KsBP2IPJ 2x"/> <source type="image/webp" data-srcset="/sites/default/files/styles/landscape_small/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.webp?h=700d9b1a&itok=TbFM45sd 1x"/> <source media="all and (min-width: 1024px)" type="image/png" data-srcset="/sites/default/files/styles/landscape_medium/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.png?h=700d9b1a&itok=KsBP2IPJ 1x, /sites/default/files/styles/landscape_large/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.png?h=700d9b1a&itok=kp1unZsx 2x"/> <source media="all and (min-width: 768px)" type="image/png" data-srcset="/sites/default/files/styles/landscape_small/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.png?h=700d9b1a&itok=TbFM45sd 1x, /sites/default/files/styles/landscape_medium/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.png?h=700d9b1a&itok=KsBP2IPJ 2x"/> <source type="image/png" data-srcset="/sites/default/files/styles/landscape_small/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.png?h=700d9b1a&itok=TbFM45sd 1x"/> <img class="page_image lazyload" width="720" height="500" alt="Insights" loading="lazy" data-src="/sites/default/files/styles/landscape_medium/public/2024-06/AER%20Insights.png?h=700d9b1a&itok=KsBP2IPJ" typeof="foaf:Image" /> </picture> </figure> </div> </div> </div> </header> <div class="node__content"> <div class="node__publication-metadata"> <div class="node__publication-metadata-label">Abstract</div> <div class="node__publication-metadata-value"> <p>The US-China trade war created net export opportunities rather than simply shifting trade across destinations. Many "bystander" countries grew their exports of taxed products into the rest of the world (excluding the United States and China). Country-specific components of tariff elasticities, rather than specialization patterns, drove large cross-country variation in export growth of tariff-exposed products. The elasticities of exports to US-Chinese tariffs identify whether a country's exports complement or substitute the United States or China and its supply curve's slope. Countries that operate along downward-sloping supplies whose exports substitute (complement) the United States and China are among the larger (smaller) beneficiaries of the trade war.</p></div> <div class="node__publication-metadata-label">Author(s)</div> <div class="node__publication-metadata-value"> <a href="/publications/author/Pablo%20Fajgelbaum"><span>Pablo Fajgelbaum</span></a>, <a href="/people/pinelopi-goldberg" hreflang="en"><span>Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg</span></a>, <a href="/publications/author/Patrick%20Kennedy"><span>Patrick Kennedy</span></a>, <a href="/people/amit-khandelwal" hreflang="en"><span>Amit Khandelwal</span></a> & <a href="/publications/author/Daria%20Taglioni"><span>Daria Taglioni</span></a></div> <div class="node__publication-metadata-label">Publication Link</div> <div class="node__publication-metadata-value node__publication-metadata-value--publication-link"> <a href="https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aeri.20230094">https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aeri.20230094</a></div> <div class="node__publication-metadata-label">Publication Date</div> <div class="node__publication-metadata-value"> June 2024</div> </div> </div> <aside class="node__aside"> </aside> </article> </div> </div> </main> <footer class="site-footer"> <div class="site-footer__newsletter"> <div class="newsletter newsletter--egc"> <h2 class="newsletter__title">Stay informed and sign up for the EGC Quarterly Newsletter.</h2> <p class="newsletter__text">Interested in more? 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