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Will Trump's other Cabinet picks be confirmed?</a></div><div class="date"><div class="">Nov 21</div></div><div class="links tablet-mobile-hide">  </div><div class="credit">ABC News Photo Illustration</div></div></div></div><div class="block__single-column block"><div><iframe class="ElectionsEmbed" src="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/promos/biden-approval.html" height="480px" width="100%" scrolling="no"></iframe></div></div></div><div class="band__common band"></div><div class="band__common band"><div class="block__single-column block HeadlineStackBlock HeadlineStackBlock__headlines_triple"><div class="HeadlineStackBlock__Wrapper"><ul class="LatestHeadlines"><li class="LatestHeadlines__item"><a class="AnchorLink News News--lg" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/immigration-swung-voters-color-trump/story?id=116016407" id="116016407" credit="Caitlin O'hara/AFP via Getty Images" link="[object Object]" target="_top"><h4 class="News__title">How immigration swung voters of color to Trump</h4><div class="flex"><div class="flex-1"><p class="News__subtitle">Trump gained among nonwhite voters with conservative views on immigration.</p><div class="News__published"><div class="">November 20, 2024</div></div></div><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent News__image"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img alt="" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure></div></a></li><li class="LatestHeadlines__item"><a class="AnchorLink News News--lg" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/gender-gap-tells-us-trumps-win/story?id=115996226" id="115996226" credit="ABC News Photo Illustration, Adobe Stock, AP Photo/Evan Vucci" link="[object Object]" target="_top"><h4 class="News__title">What the gender gap tells us about Trump's win</h4><div class="flex"><div class="flex-1"><p class="News__subtitle">His appeals to young 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democracies.</p><div class="News__published"><div class="">November 18, 2024</div></div></div><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent News__image"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img alt="" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure></div></a></li></ul></div></div><div class="block__single-column block LatestHeadlinesBlock"><ul class="LatestHeadlines"><li class="LatestHeadlines__item"><a class="AnchorLink News News--xl" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/live-updates/election-2024-undecided-races/?id=115565805" id="115565805" credit="ABC News Photo Illustration, Adobe stock" target="_top"><div class="content"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent News__image"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img alt="" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure><div class="credit">ABC News Photo Illustration, Adobe stock</div></div><h4 class="News__title">Undecided races of the 2024 election: Live results and analysis</h4><div class="flex"><div class="flex-1"><p class="News__subtitle">We're tracking unresolved races in the Senate, House and more.</p><div class="News__published"><div class="">November 06, 2024</div></div></div></div></a></li></ul></div><div class="block__single-column block"><div><iframe class="ElectionsEmbed" src="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/promos/trump-favorability.html" height="480px" width="100%" scrolling="no"></iframe></div></div></div><div class="band__common band"><div class="block__triple-column block Block__Video"><div class="VideoCarousel__Container"><section class="Carousel relative VideoCarousel" aria-labelledby="index-video-carousel"><div class="Carousel__Header Carousel__Header--visible"><h3 id="index-video-carousel" class="Carousel__Heading">Latest 538 Video</h3></div><div class="Carousel__Wrapper relative"><div class="Carousel__Outer relative flex overflow-hidden" role="listbox"><ul class="Carousel__Inner flex items-center" style="transition:transform 350ms cubic-bezier(0.0, 0.0, 0.2, 1);margin-left:-18px;transform:translateX(0px)"><li class="CarouselSlide relative pointer CarouselSlide--active VideoCarousel__Item" style="margin:0 0 0 18px" role="option" tabindex="0" data-carousel-id="0" aria-selected="true"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><button class="Button--unstyled VideoTile" tabindex="0"><div class="MediaPlaceholder relative MediaPlaceholder--16x9 cursor-pointer MediaPlaceholder--button-hover VideoTile__Media" aria-hidden="false"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent MediaPlaceholder__Image"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img aria-hidden="false" alt="What effect does weighting have on polls' accuracy?" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Button flex flex-center-all"><svg focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div><div aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Duration: 3:49" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">3:49</div></div><div class="MediaPlaceholder__PlaybackWrapper absolute-fill"></div></div><h3 class="VideoTile__Title"><span>What effect does weighting have on polls' accuracy?</span></h3><div class="VideoTile__Date">Nov 21, 2024</div></button></div></div><div class="ResponsiveWrapper" data-wrapping="Lightbox"></div></li><li class="CarouselSlide relative pointer VideoCarousel__Item" style="margin:0 0 0 18px" role="option" tabindex="0" data-carousel-id="1" aria-selected="false"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><button class="Button--unstyled VideoTile" tabindex="0"><div class="MediaPlaceholder relative MediaPlaceholder--16x9 cursor-pointer MediaPlaceholder--button-hover VideoTile__Media" aria-hidden="false"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent MediaPlaceholder__Image"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img aria-hidden="false" alt="How pollsters' methodology may have changed" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Button flex flex-center-all"><svg focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use 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aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img aria-hidden="false" alt="What the 2024 election tells us about past elections" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Button flex flex-center-all"><svg focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div><div aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Duration: 3:01" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">3:01</div></div><div class="MediaPlaceholder__PlaybackWrapper absolute-fill"></div></div><h3 class="VideoTile__Title"><span>What the 2024 election tells us about past elections</span></h3><div class="VideoTile__Date">Nov 21, 2024</div></button></div></div><div 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class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div><div aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Duration: 2:38" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">2:38</div></div><div class="MediaPlaceholder__PlaybackWrapper absolute-fill"></div></div><h3 class="VideoTile__Title"><span>How Trump won over voters</span></h3><div class="VideoTile__Date">Nov 06, 2024</div></button></div></div><div class="ResponsiveWrapper" data-wrapping="Lightbox"></div></li><li class="CarouselSlide relative pointer VideoCarousel__Item" style="margin:0 0 0 18px" role="option" tabindex="0" data-carousel-id="4" aria-selected="false"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><button class="Button--unstyled VideoTile" tabindex="0"><div class="MediaPlaceholder relative MediaPlaceholder--16x9 cursor-pointer MediaPlaceholder--button-hover VideoTile__Media" aria-hidden="false"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent MediaPlaceholder__Image"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img aria-hidden="false" alt="What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Button flex flex-center-all"><svg focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div><div aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Duration: 2:12" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">2:12</div></div><div class="MediaPlaceholder__PlaybackWrapper absolute-fill"></div></div><h3 class="VideoTile__Title"><span>What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election</span></h3><div class="VideoTile__Date">Nov 06, 2024</div></button></div></div><div class="ResponsiveWrapper" data-wrapping="Lightbox"></div></li><li class="CarouselSlide relative pointer VideoCarousel__Item" style="margin:0 0 0 18px" role="option" tabindex="0" data-carousel-id="5" aria-selected="false"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><button class="Button--unstyled VideoTile" tabindex="0"><div class="MediaPlaceholder relative MediaPlaceholder--16x9 cursor-pointer MediaPlaceholder--button-hover VideoTile__Media" aria-hidden="false"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent MediaPlaceholder__Image"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img aria-hidden="false" alt="Did voter turnout hurt Democrats in the 2024 election?" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Button flex flex-center-all"><svg focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div><div aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Duration: 1:29" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">1:29</div></div><div class="MediaPlaceholder__PlaybackWrapper absolute-fill"></div></div><h3 class="VideoTile__Title"><span>Did voter turnout hurt Democrats in the 2024 election?</span></h3><div class="VideoTile__Date">Nov 06, 2024</div></button></div></div><div class="ResponsiveWrapper" data-wrapping="Lightbox"></div></li><li class="CarouselSlide relative pointer VideoCarousel__Item" style="margin:0 0 0 18px" role="option" tabindex="0" data-carousel-id="6" aria-selected="false"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><button class="Button--unstyled VideoTile" tabindex="0"><div class="MediaPlaceholder relative MediaPlaceholder--16x9 cursor-pointer MediaPlaceholder--button-hover VideoTile__Media" aria-hidden="false"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent MediaPlaceholder__Image"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img aria-hidden="false" alt="The biggest takeaway from the latest Iowa poll | 538 Politics podcast" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Button flex flex-center-all"><svg focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div><div aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Duration: 2:36" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">2:36</div></div><div class="MediaPlaceholder__PlaybackWrapper absolute-fill"></div></div><h3 class="VideoTile__Title"><span>The biggest takeaway from the latest Iowa poll | 538 Politics podcast</span></h3><div class="VideoTile__Date">Nov 04, 2024</div></button></div></div><div class="ResponsiveWrapper" data-wrapping="Lightbox"></div></li><li class="CarouselSlide relative pointer VideoCarousel__Item" style="margin:0 0 0 18px" role="option" tabindex="0" data-carousel-id="7" aria-selected="false"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><button class="Button--unstyled VideoTile" tabindex="0"><div class="MediaPlaceholder relative MediaPlaceholder--16x9 cursor-pointer MediaPlaceholder--button-hover VideoTile__Media" aria-hidden="false"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent MediaPlaceholder__Image"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img aria-hidden="false" alt=" Are more women motivated to vote on abortion? | 538 Politics podcast" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Button flex flex-center-all"><svg focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div><div aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Duration: 2:22" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">2:22</div></div><div class="MediaPlaceholder__PlaybackWrapper absolute-fill"></div></div><h3 class="VideoTile__Title"><span> Are more women motivated to vote on abortion? | 538 Politics podcast</span></h3><div class="VideoTile__Date">Nov 04, 2024</div></button></div></div><div class="ResponsiveWrapper" data-wrapping="Lightbox"></div></li><li class="CarouselSlide relative pointer VideoCarousel__Item" style="margin:0 0 0 18px" role="option" tabindex="0" 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aria-hidden="false" alt="Does only 3% of America care about democracy?" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Button flex flex-center-all"><svg focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div><div aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Duration: 3:57" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">3:57</div></div><div class="MediaPlaceholder__PlaybackWrapper absolute-fill"></div></div><h3 class="VideoTile__Title"><span>Does only 3% of America care about democracy?</span></h3><div class="VideoTile__Date">Oct 29, 2024</div></button></div></div><div class="ResponsiveWrapper" data-wrapping="Lightbox"></div></li><li class="CarouselSlide relative pointer 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aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img aria-hidden="false" alt="How MAGA politics split the Michigan GOP" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Button flex flex-center-all"><svg focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div><div aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Duration: 7:28" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">7:28</div></div><div class="MediaPlaceholder__PlaybackWrapper absolute-fill"></div></div><h3 class="VideoTile__Title"><span>How MAGA politics split the Michigan GOP</span></h3><div class="VideoTile__Date">Nov 05, 2023</div></button></div></div><div class="ResponsiveWrapper" data-wrapping="Lightbox"></div></li></ul></div></div></section></div></div></div><div class="band__common band"><div class="banner-wrapper"><div data-box-type="fitt-adbox-banner1"><div class="Ad banner1 ad-slot" data-slot-type="banner1" data-collapse-before-load="true" data-slot-kvps="pos=banner1"></div></div></div></div><div class="band__articleroll band"><div class="block__double-column block"><div><div class="Header flex justify-between Header"><div class="flex flex-col justify-end "><h2 class="Header__headerText">Latest 538 Headlines</h2></div><div></div></div></div><section class="ContentRoll"><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 21</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/effect-weighting-polls-accuracy-116113736">What effect does weighting have on polls' accuracy?</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc"> The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 21</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/effect-weighting-polls-accuracy-116113736"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt=" The 538 team discusses how differences in accuracy in polling may be linked to methodology." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 21</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/pollsters-methodology-changed-116113598">How pollsters' methodology may have changed</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 21</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/pollsters-methodology-changed-116113598"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 21</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/2024-election-tells-us-past-elections-116113189">What the 2024 election tells us about past elections</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 21</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/2024-election-tells-us-past-elections-116113189"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 21</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/gaetz-trumps-cabinet-picks-confirmed/story?id=116095491">Gaetz is out. Will Trump's other Cabinet picks be confirmed?</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">Nomination fights are already causing headaches for the new GOP majority.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 21</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/gaetz-trumps-cabinet-picks-confirmed/story?id=116095491"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Welcome to 538's latest politics chat." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 20</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/immigration-swung-voters-color-trump/story?id=116016407">How immigration swung voters of color to Trump</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">Trump gained among nonwhite voters with conservative views on immigration.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 20</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/immigration-swung-voters-color-trump/story?id=116016407"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks alongside National Border Patrol Union members after they endorsed Trump, during a campaign rally at Findlay Toyota Arena, Oct. 13, 2024, in Prescott Valley, Ariz." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 19</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/gender-gap-tells-us-trumps-win/story?id=115996226">What the gender gap tells us about Trump's win</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">His appeals to young men and men of color may have paid off.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 19</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/gender-gap-tells-us-trumps-win/story?id=115996226"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Donald Trump once again saw notably higher support among men than women in 2024." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 18</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-incumbent-parties-lost-elections-world/story?id=115972068">Democrats aren't alone — incumbent parties have lost elections all around the world</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">But their losses were smaller than those in many other democracies.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 18</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-incumbent-parties-lost-elections-world/story?id=115972068"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Democrats were just one of the many incumbent parties around the globe that lost ground in 2024." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 15</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/texas-finally-pass-school-choice-2025/story?id=115865456">Texas may finally pass school choice in 2025</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">The 2024 election created a pro-school choice majority in the state House.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 15</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/texas-finally-pass-school-choice-2025/story?id=115865456"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Texas Gov. Greg Abbott had a great 2024 election — and he wasn't even on the ballot." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 14</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/voters-chose-trump/story?id=115827243">Why voters chose Trump</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">Despite his unpopularity, he won on immigration, the economy and leadership.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 14</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/voters-chose-trump/story?id=115827243"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="As Donald Trump prepares for a second term as president, 538 dug into the polls to see what Americans think about his policy opinions and rhetoric" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 14</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/2024-election-polls-showed-latino-electorate-115865711">What 2024 election polls showed about the Latino electorate</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 14</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/2024-election-polls-showed-latino-electorate-115865711"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Polls of Latino voters during the 2024 election were a mixed bag of accuracy. Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 14</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/issue-immigration-evolve-trump-term-115865458">How the issue of immigration may evolve in a second Trump term</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538's Galen Druke and Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discuss how much is known about the mass deportation and immigration policy of president-elect Donald Trump.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 14</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/issue-immigration-evolve-trump-term-115865458"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538's Galen Druke and Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discuss how much is known about the mass deportation and immigration policy of president-elect Donald Trump." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 14</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/latino-voters-shifting-realignment-115865062">Are Latino voters shifting or in a realignment?</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke take a deep dive into whether the 2024 voting trends of Latino voters are a shift or a full-blown realignment.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 14</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/latino-voters-shifting-realignment-115865062"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke take a deep dive into whether the 2024 voting trends of Latino voters are a shift or a full-blown realignment." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 13</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/republicans-won-house-now-hard-part/story?id=115777126">Republicans won the House. Now comes the hard part.</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">The small GOP margin will make it hard to govern and keep the House in 2026.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 13</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/republicans-won-house-now-hard-part/story?id=115777126"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Republicans are set to control a very narrow majority in the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2024 election." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 11</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-won-senate-seats-states-trump-carried/story?id=115733824">How Democrats won Senate seats in states that Trump carried</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">Don't be fooled, though — split-ticket voting is still rare.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 11</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-won-senate-seats-states-trump-carried/story?id=115733824"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="At least three Democratic Senate candidates are poised to win their contests in states that Donald Trump carried in the 2024 presidential race." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 08</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/2024-polls-accurate-underestimated-trump/story?id=115652118">2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">A modest error in his favor was enough to sweep the swing states.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 08</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/2024-polls-accurate-underestimated-trump/story?id=115652118"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump and former first lady Melania Trump at an election night watch party at the Palm Beach Convention Center, Nov. 6, 2024, in West Palm Beach, Fla." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 06</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/trump-won-voters-115567593">How Trump won over voters</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">The 538 team discusses how Donald Trump won the election despite being disliked by a majority of Americans. </div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 06</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/trump-won-voters-115567593"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="How Trump won over voters" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 06</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/early-exit-polls-us-years-election-115567489">What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s G. Elliot Morris shares data on voter priorities in the exit polls.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 06</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/early-exit-polls-us-years-election-115567489"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="What early exit polls tell us about this year’s election" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 06</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/voter-turnout-hurt-democrats-2024-election-115567266">Did voter turnout hurt Democrats in the 2024 election?</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s Galen Druke and G. Elliot Morris discuss how voter turnout was less than 2020 and how that impacted this year’s election.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 06</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/voter-turnout-hurt-democrats-2024-election-115567266"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Did voter turnout hurt Democrats in the 2024 election?" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 06</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/republicans-won-senate/story?id=115556734">Republicans won the Senate</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">How big will their majority be?</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 06</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/republicans-won-senate/story?id=115556734"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Ohio Republican Senate candidate Bernie Moreno speaks during a watch party on election night, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024, in Westlake, Ohio. " class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 06</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/donald-trump-won-presidency/story?id=115556511">How Donald Trump won the presidency</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">We'll have to wait for fuller data, but here are 3 possible reasons.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 06</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/donald-trump-won-presidency/story?id=115556511"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Former President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during an election night event in West Palm Beach, Florida, Nov. 6, 2024." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 05</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/happen-harris-trump-tie-electoral-college/story?id=114980672">What would happen if Harris and Trump tie in the Electoral College?</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">The race would go to Congress, where Republicans would likely have an advantage.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 05</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/happen-harris-trump-tie-electoral-college/story?id=114980672"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="An Electoral College tie in the 2024 presidential election is unlikely but plausible." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 05</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/538s-final-forecasts-2024-election/story?id=115511051">538's final forecasts for the 2024 election</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">The presidency and House are toss-ups, and the GOP is likely to win the Senate.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 05</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/538s-final-forecasts-2024-election/story?id=115511051"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Introducing 538's new 2024 presidential election forecast between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 04</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/biggest-takeaway-latest-iowa-poll-538-politics-podcast-115489032">The biggest takeaway from the latest Iowa poll | 538 Politics podcast</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538's Galen Druke discusses the latest Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Iowa on the eve of Election Day.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 04</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/biggest-takeaway-latest-iowa-poll-538-politics-podcast-115489032"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538's Galen Druke discusses the latest Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Iowa on the eve of Election Day." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 04</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/women-motivated-vote-abortion-538-politics-podcast-115488558"> Are more women motivated to vote on abortion? | 538 Politics podcast</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538's Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik discuss how the issue of abortion could be driving more women to vote, according to the latest polling data.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 04</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/women-motivated-vote-abortion-538-politics-podcast-115488558"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538's Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik discuss how the issue of abortion could be driving more women to vote, according to the latest polling data." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 04</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/49-ballot-measures-watch-2024-election/story?id=115453352">49 ballot measures to watch in the 2024 election</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">Across 41 states, voters will decide on abortion, drug legalization and more.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 04</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/49-ballot-measures-watch-2024-election/story?id=115453352"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="There are dozens of interesting ballot measures on the ballot on Nov. 5." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 04</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/track-win-election-night/story?id=115458990">How to tell who's on track to win on election night</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538's benchmarks estimate how well candidates need to do in each county.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 04</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/track-win-election-night/story?id=115458990"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538's county-level benchmarks tool estimates what percentage of the vote Democrats or Republicans would need in each county for a statewide contest to be roughly tied" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure></a></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 01</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/election-isnt-popularity-contest-115397542">The election isn’t a popularity contest</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">The 538 team discusses why the candidate with the higher favorability rating isn’t running away with the election.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 01</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/election-isnt-popularity-contest-115397542"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="The 538 team discusses why the candidate with the higher favorability rating isn’t running away with the election." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 01</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/women-color-energized-vote-115397332">Are women of color energized to vote?</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich debate the meaning of the spike in voter registrations after Kamala Harris announced her presidential campaign.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 01</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/women-color-energized-vote-115397332"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich debate the meaning of the spike in voter registrations after Kamala Harris announced her presidential campaign." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">November 01</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/washington-primary-predict-general-election-115396919">Can the Washington primary predict the general election?</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss what Washington state's primary can tell us about who will win in November.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">November 01</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/washington-primary-predict-general-election-115396919"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss what Washington state's primary can tell us about who will win in November." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">October 29</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/young-men-vote-2024-election-115281830">How will young men vote in the 2024 election?</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s G. Elliott Morris shares the latest polling data on how young men are voting.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">October 29</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/young-men-vote-2024-election-115281830"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="How will young men vote in the 2024 election?" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">October 29</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/3-america-care-democracy-115281720">Does only 3% of America care about democracy?</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">The 538 team weighs in on a study about whether voters would flip parties if their candidate did something anti-democratic.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">October 29</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/3-america-care-democracy-115281720"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="Does only 3% of America care about democracy?" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">October 29</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/early-voting-data-responsibly-115281293">How to look at early voting data responsibly</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">With the 2024 presidential election a week away, 538’s Galen Druke and G. Elliott Morris discuss the relevancy of early voting data.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">October 29</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/early-voting-data-responsibly-115281293"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="How to look at early voting data responsibly" class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">October 24</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/backlash-liberalism-college-campuses-538-politics-podcast-115118721">The backlash against liberalism on college campuses | 538 Politics podcast</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s Galen Druke and professors Matt Grossman and David Hopkins talk about why some liberal academic ideas have been rejected by those with college degrees.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">October 24</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/backlash-liberalism-college-campuses-538-politics-podcast-115118721"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538’s Galen Druke and professors Matt Grossman and David Hopkins talk about why some liberal academic ideas have been rejected by those with college degrees." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">October 24</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/education-main-dividing-line-us-politics-538-politics-115118103">Is education the main dividing line in U.S. politics? | 538 Politics podcast</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s Galen Druke and professors Matt Grossman and David Hopkins discuss the Diploma Divide and whether college degrees have become a deciding factor in political affiliation.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">October 24</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/education-main-dividing-line-us-politics-538-politics-115118103"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538’s Galen Druke and professors Matt Grossman and David Hopkins discuss the Diploma Divide and whether college degrees have become a deciding factor in political affiliation." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">October 24</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/academia-liberalism-problem-538-politics-podcast-115117995">Does academia have a liberalism problem? | 538 Politics podcast</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s Galen Druke and professors Matt Grossman and David Hopkins discuss the influence of liberalism on college campuses.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">October 24</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/academia-liberalism-problem-538-politics-podcast-115117995"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538’s Galen Druke and professors Matt Grossman and David Hopkins discuss the influence of liberalism on college campuses." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">October 22</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/nebraskas-senate-election-surprisingly-close-115029115">Nebraska's Senate election is surprisingly close</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich look at recent polling in the close race for Nebraska’s Senate seat and why an independent candidate is doing so well.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">October 22</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/nebraskas-senate-election-surprisingly-close-115029115"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich look at recent polling in the close race for Nebraska’s Senate seat and why an independent candidate is doing so well." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">October 22</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/difference-undecided-voters-swing-voters-115028983">The difference between undecided voters and swing voters</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">The 538 team considers whether voters who are undecided or voters who go back and forth between parties are the same thing.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">October 22</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/difference-undecided-voters-swing-voters-115028983"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="The 538 team considers whether voters who are undecided or voters who go back and forth between parties are the same thing." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div></div></a></div></div></div></section><section class="ContentRoll__Item"><div class="ContentRoll__TimeStamp"><div class="TimeStamp__Date">October 22</div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Headline"><h2><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/percent-voters-undecided-115028865">What percent of voters are truly undecided?</a></h2><div><div class="ContentRoll__Desc">538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss how many voters are genuinely up for grabs in the 2024 presidential election.</div><div class="ContentRoll__Date ContentRoll__Date--tabletPlus">October 22</div></div></div><div class="ContentRoll__Image"><div><div class="VideoLightbox__clickTargetRef"><a class="AnchorLink" tabindex="0" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/percent-voters-undecided-115028865"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><picture><source srcSet="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/><img alt="538’s Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich discuss how many voters are genuinely up for grabs in the 2024 presidential election." class="" data-mptype="image" src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7"/></picture></div></figure><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Overlay absolute-fill"><div class="ContentRoll__Image__Icon absolute"><svg aria-hidden="true" class="icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use 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