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href="https://www.hulu.com/network/abc-news-2662d112-7114-4c6b-96fd-cb9e68a27eee?cmp=18043&utm_campaign=OO_ABCNews_NavButton_OnChannel_Hulu&utm_medium=Display&utm_source=OO_ABCNews"><h2 class="navigation__hulu__text">Stream on</h2><img class="navigation__hulu__logo" src="https://s.abcnews.com/assets/dtci/images/hulu.svg" alt="hulu"/></a></div></div></div></div></nav><div class="ScrollSpy_container"><span></span><div id="themeProvider" class="theme-light "><div class="FITT_Article_outer-container iJVrZ lqtkC glxIO HfYhe vUYNV dHdHP jLREf zXXje aGO " id="FITTArticle" style="--spacing-top:initial;--spacing-bottom:80px;--spacing-compact-top:initial;--spacing-compact-bottom:48px"><div class="pNwJE xZCNW WDwAI rbeIr tPakT HymbH JHrzh YppdR " data-testid="prism-sticky-ad"><div data-testid="prism-ad-wrapper" style="min-height:90px;transition:min-height 0.3s linear 0s" data-ad-placeholder="true"><div data-box-type="fitt-adbox-fitt-article-top-banner" data-testid="prism-ad"><div class="Ad 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style="--spacing-top:40px;--spacing-bottom:32px;--spacing-child-top:initial;--spacing-child-bottom:24px;--spacing-firstChild-top:initial;--spacing-firstChild-bottom:initial;--spacing-lastChild-top:initial;--spacing-lastChild-bottom:initial;--spacing-compact-top:24px;--spacing-compact-bottom:32px;--spacing-firstChild-compact-top:initial;--spacing-firstChild-compact-bottom:initial;--spacing-child-compact-top:initial;--spacing-child-compact-bottom:24px;--spacing-lastChild-compact-top:initial;--spacing-lastChild-compact-bottom:initial" class="dHdHP jLREf zXXje aGO eCClZ nTLv jLsYA gmuro TOSFd VmeZt sCkVm hkQai wGrlE MUuGM fciaN qQjt DhNVo Tgcqk IGLAf tWjkv "><div class="kCTVx qtHut lqtkC HkWF HfYhe kGyAC " data-testid="prism-headline"><h1 class="vMjAx gjbzK tntuS xZEw mTgUP "><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ ">Why voters chose Trump</span></h1><p class="jxTEW Poyse uieav lqtkC HkWF HfYhe kGyAC "><span class="gtOSm FbbUW tUtYa vOCwz EQwFq yCufu eEak Qmvg nyTIa SRXVc vzLa jgBfc WXDas CiUCW kqbG zrdEG txGfn ygKVe BbezD UOtxr CVfpq xijV soGRS XgdC sEIlf daWqJ ">Despite his unpopularity, he won on immigration, the economy and leadership.</span></p></div><div class="QHblV nkdHX kvZxL hTosT whbOj " data-testid="prism-byline"><div class="VZTD mLASH OcxMG oJce "><div class="kKfXc ubAkB VZTD rEPuv "><div class="TQPvQ fVlAg HUcap kxY REjk UamUc WxHIR HhZOB yaUf VOJBn KMpjV XSbaH Umfib ukdDD "><span class="tChGB zbFav ">By</span><span><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" target="_blank" href="https://abcnews.go.com/author/monica_potts">Monica Potts</a></span><span><span class="EpNlu "> </span><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" target="_blank" href="https://abcnews.com/538"><span class="YKjhS "><img alt="via five thirty eight logo" 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0-1.543.171-2.343l-5.6 5.6c-1.371 1.6-2 3.543-1.943 5.543a7.944 7.944 0 002.343 5.371c.8.8 1.657 1.371 2.629 1.771s2 .571 3.029.571c.914 0 1.886-.171 2.743-.514a8.11 8.11 0 002.514-1.486l7.314-7.314a7.936 7.936 0 002.286-4.629 8.21 8.21 0 00-.971-4.857z"/></svg></span></button><div class="xdNAs rMQsN cELo NoeP BtinW YHmbu hWtE "></div></div></li></ul></div></div></div><div class=""><div><div class="FeaturedMedia"><div class="ResponsiveWrapper"><aside class="InlineElement InlineElement--content-width InlineElement--desktop InlineVideo FeaturedVideo" aria-label="Video"><div class="SingleVideo"><div class="MediaPlaceholder relative MediaPlaceholder--16x9 cursor-pointer" aria-hidden="false"><figure class="Image aspect-ratio--parent MediaPlaceholder__Image"><div class="RatioFrame aspect-ratio--16x9"></div><div class="Image__Wrapper aspect-ratio--child"><img aria-hidden="false" alt="" class="" data-mptype="image" src="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/a1b380d8-e17b-4024-9841-1dd17c7a70a5/PollaPalooza_16x9_v01_DG_1731516166285_hpMain_16x9.jpg?w=992"/></div></figure><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Overlay absolute-fill flex flex-center-all"><div class="MediaPlaceholder__Button flex flex-center-all"><svg focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="MediaPlaceholder__Icon MediaPlaceholder__Icon--video icon__svg" viewBox="0 0 24 24"><use xlink:href="#icon__controls__play"></use></svg></div><div aria-hidden="true" aria-label="Duration: 2:38" class="MediaPlaceholder__Pill items-center absolute flex">2:38</div></div><div class="MediaPlaceholder__PlaybackWrapper absolute-fill"></div></div><div class="Caption__Wrapper"><div class="Caption"><div class="Caption__TextWrapper"><div class="Caption__Text" aria-live="polite"><span class="Truncate Truncate--collapsed"><span><span class="RichText">As Donald Trump prepares for a second term as president, 538 dug into the polls to see what Americans think about his policy opinions and rhetoric</span></span></span></div></div><span aria-label="ABC News Photo Illustration, AP Photo/Alex Brandon" class="RichText Caption__Credit">ABC News Photo Illustration, AP Photo/Alex Brandon</span></div></div></div></aside></div></div></div></div><div class="ScrollSpy_container"><span></span></div><div class="XQpSH " data-testid="prism-divider"></div><div class="xvlfx ZRifP TKoO eaKKC EcdEg bOdfO " data-testid="prism-article-body"><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC">President-elect Donald Trump has been a divisive, <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/" target="_blank">unpopular</a> political figure for years, and he remains so. Even as he improved on his previous two runs for office by winning the popular vote, it seems Americans by and large didn't change their minds about Trump personally — many still have misgivings about his character and bombastic, sometimes anti-democratic campaign rhetoric. So what drove so many to vote for him?</p><div class="oLzSq QrHMO fnRUo pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW RMeqy daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc MENS nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY rPLsU iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM IEgzD OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD VWDdR ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV GPGwb oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX "><div class=" " data-testid="prism-static-embed" role="region"><div class="kUPWF evNvN "></div></div></div><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">An analysis of 2024 exit polls show a clear divide based on what issues voters say most impacted who they voted for. Around a third of voters ranked each of "the state of democracy" and "the economy" as their most important issue. Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump, respectively, each had sizable advantages among voters who prioritized these issues. After those, though, Trump had an edge: Harris won around three in four voters who prioritized abortion, but Trump's advantage was even greater among those who prioritized immigration, and he won a solid majority of the smaller share who prioritized foreign policy.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">These numbers suggest that Trump won on immigration and the economy, while losing on abortion and democracy. We took a deep dive into polling to see what Americans think about Trump's policies and rhetoric, and how these opinions helped Trump win. Ultimately, many Americans agreed with his hardline stances on immigration and bought into his message on the economy, while they didn't necessarily think he would act on his more extreme anti-democratic statements or enact unpopular abortion restrictions.</p><h2 class="RxNCg ykkUm PvZ nIjPJ PMXYp LmsHF SfAHY mNgye lNbol LBPRq">Immigration</h2><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">Since the start of his <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-mexico-vice-versa/story?id=41767704" target="_blank">2016 presidential run</a>, Trump has made curbing immigration into the United States a signature piece of his campaigns — including through often-inflammatory anti-immigrant rhetoric suggesting that dangerous criminals <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.themarshallproject.org/2024/10/21/fact-check-12000-trump-statements-immigrants" target="_blank">are </a><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.themarshallproject.org/2024/10/21/fact-check-12000-trump-statements-immigrants" target="_blank">"flooding"</a><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.themarshallproject.org/2024/10/21/fact-check-12000-trump-statements-immigrants" target="_blank"> the country</a> through the southern border with Mexico. Many of Trump's oft-repeated claims about immigration <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/18/us/politics/trump-immigration-fact-check.html" target="_blank">have been proven false</a>, such as <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/18/politics/fact-check-trump-october-immigration/index.html" target="_blank">his claims this year that immigrants coming into the country</a> were released from "insane asylums" — possibly a mixup with the term '<a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://time.com/7006684/trump-asylum-mariel-history/" target="_blank">political asylum</a>,' which many are seeking when they arrive at the border — and the online conspiracy theory that gangs from Venezuela <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.npr.org/2024/09/06/nx-s1-5100765/aurora-police-chief-says-theres-no-evidence-that-venezuelan-gang-took-over-apartment" target="_blank">had taken over apartment buildings in Aurora, Colorado</a>.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">During the presidential debate in September, Trump also repeated a false claim <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/15/politics/vance-immigrants-pets-springfield-ohio-cnntv/index.html" target="_blank">amplified by Vice President-elect JD Vance</a> that illegal Haitian immigrants in Springfield, Ohio, were <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c77l28myezko" target="_blank">eating local dogs, cats and other pets</a>. (A post-debate <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Reactions_to_Harris_Trump_Debate_poll_results.pdf#page=6" target="_blank">YouGov poll</a> found that 54 percent of Americans thought that claim was probably or definitely false, but 52 percent of those who planned to vote for Trump said it was probably or definitely true.)</p><div class="oLzSq QrHMO GbsKS pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW AMhAA daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc ebfE nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY VvTxJ iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM hbvnu OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD iShaE ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV kRoBe oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX "><div data-testid="prism-ad-wrapper" style="transition:min-height 0.3s linear 1s" data-ad-placeholder="true"><div data-box-type="fitt-adbox-fitt-article-inline-outstream" data-testid="prism-ad"><div class="Ad fitt-article-inline-outstream ad-slot " data-slot-type="fitt-article-inline-outstream" data-slot-kvps="pos=fitt-article-inline-outstream-1"></div></div></div></div><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">But these sometimes outlandish statements were part of a broader strategy by Trump and Republicans to underscore what they see as the negative impacts of immigration, and that <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/immigration-driving-support-gop-primary/story?id=106777173" target="_blank">strategy seems to have been effective</a> this year. Republicans have blamed the Biden administration for what they say is lax border security, although — under pressure from Trump — they <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/senate-republicans-block-border-security-bill-campaign-border-chaos-rcna153607" target="_blank">scuttled a bipartisan border security and immigration reform bill</a> supported by President Joe Biden that would have enhanced border security while also tackling other areas of immigration reform. The move may have <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-pushing-hard-border-bill/story?id=106908843" target="_blank">helped Trump maintain his advantage on immigration</a>, as he continued to lambast the Biden-Harris administration's handling of the issue on the campaign trail and promised "mass deportations" of illegal immigrants.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">While Trump's proposals for an extreme crackdown on immigration are a vague promise that many <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/trumps-victory-wont-halt-migration-experts-say" target="_blank">experts say wouldn't work</a> and <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://cmsny.org/publications/mass-deportations-impoverish-us-families-create-immense-costs/" target="_blank">would likely be difficult and expensive to carry out</a>, they may have resonated, as voters <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/how-impactful-will-immigration-be-election" target="_blank">continued to worry about immigration</a> and said they <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/50846-donald-trump-leads-on-immigration-and-inflation-kamala-harris-on-abortion-and-health-care" target="_blank">trusted Trump more than Biden or Harris to deal with the issue</a>. An <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-10/ABC%20News%20Ipsos%20Topline%2010.13.2024.pdf" target="_blank">ABC News/Ipsos poll</a> also from early October found that 56 percent of adults supported deporting <em>all</em> undocumented immigrants in the U.S., up from just 36 percent who said they generally thought undocumented immigrants should be deported in March 2016, during Trump's first campaign. Back then, half of voters said those immigrants should be allowed to stay.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">In a <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/MLSPSC22ToplinesLV_NationalIssues.html#K1A:_Deportation,_v1" target="_blank">Marquette University Law School</a> poll from early October, 58 percent of likely voters similarly said they somewhat or strongly favored "deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally." Notably, though, that number dropped to 37 percent if the question specified undocumented immigrants who had been in the country for a number of years, are employed and have no criminal record, suggesting that Republican messaging about the dangers posed by illegal immigrants has been effective — but could also be countered with different messaging.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">A poll from the <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://publicconsultation.org/ss-immigration/ss-im-im/" target="_blank">University of Maryland Program for Public Consultation</a> similarly showed that question wording and additional information made a difference in how people felt about mass deportations. When presented with arguments for and against mass deportations, they found both sides' arguments convincing, and support for the policy was ultimately lower than in other surveys that did not present these arguments.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">This polling suggests that directly calling out potential negative effects of deportations might have helped Harris erode support for Trump's plan. Her campaign instead tended to focus on Trump's (and <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://democrats.org/news/jd-vance-sided-with-donald-trump-over-the-border-patrol-when-he-followed-trumps-orders-to-kill-bipartisan-border-deal/" target="_blank">Vance's</a>) influence on Congress to <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/watch-harris-blames-trump-for-killing-bipartisan-border-bill" target="_blank">tank the bipartisan border law</a> earlier this year. While <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/americans-climate-change-love/story?id=107027932" target="_blank">that bill's immigration provisions were widely popular</a> among Americans at the time, Trump seemed to confuse the matter — first preempting the attacks by <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4433785-trump-says-blame-it-on-me-border-bill-fails/" target="_blank">inviting blame</a>, then changing tune and <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://x.com/Acyn/status/1840129073831653564" target="_blank">attacking the bill head-on</a> while misrepresenting its policies.</p><div class="oLzSq QrHMO GbsKS pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW AMhAA daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc ebfE nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY VvTxJ iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM hbvnu OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD iShaE ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV kRoBe oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX "><div data-testid="prism-ad-wrapper" style="min-height:250px;transition:min-height 0.3s linear 0s" data-ad-placeholder="true"><div data-box-type="fitt-adbox-fitt-article-inline-box" data-testid="prism-ad"><div class="Ad fitt-article-inline-box ad-slot " data-slot-type="fitt-article-inline-box" data-slot-kvps="pos=fitt-article-inline-box"></div></div></div></div><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">Rhetoric aside, Americans want Trump to make immigration a priority. In an <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/americans-accept-election-results-even-if-some-are-unhappy-outcome" target="_blank">Ipsos/Reuters poll</a> after the election, a quarter said immigration is the top domestic issue they wanted to see Trump tackle in his first 100 days in office, making it the top issue overall. And whether or not they support his immigration policies, Americans expect him to follow through: 82 percent in that survey thought he would institute mass deportations. Trump seems inclined to capitalize on this, and the reality of what mass deportations might entail may soon become clear. The president-elect has already named immigration hardliner Stephen Miller as <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/11/stephen-miller-trump-white-house-deputy-chief-staff/76195963007/" target="_blank">his incoming deputy chief of staff</a>, and has named <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.npr.org/2024/11/11/nx-s1-5186522/tom-homan-border-czar-trump" target="_blank">Tom Homan</a>, a former Immigrations and Customs Enforcement official and an architect of the family separation policy in Trump's first term, as his "border czar," an advisory role that doesn't require Senate confirmation.</p><h2 class="RxNCg ykkUm PvZ nIjPJ PMXYp LmsHF SfAHY mNgye lNbol LBPRq">Abortion</h2><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">While immigration seemed to drive voters toward Trump and Republicans, abortion has been <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dobbs-abortion-opinion-liability-republicans/" target="_blank">a weak spot for Republicans</a> since the overturning of Roe v. Wade two years ago. Most Americans <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/05/13/broad-public-support-for-legal-abortion-persists-2-years-after-dobbs/" target="_blank">prefer abortion to be legal in all or most circumstances</a>, and the various bans or restrictions <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/abortion-laws-roe-v-wade.html" target="_blank">that went into effect in </a><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/abortion-laws-roe-v-wade.html" target="_blank">21</a><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/abortion-laws-roe-v-wade.html" target="_blank"> states after Roe fell</a> are extremely unpopular. Indeed, <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/state-state-breakdown-abortion-stands-after-ballot-initiatives/story?id=115730446" target="_blank">seven of the 10</a><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/state-state-breakdown-abortion-stands-after-ballot-initiatives/story?id=115730446" target="_blank"> states</a> that had abortion-rights initiatives on the ballot last week passed those protections, making abortion a constitutional right in those states.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">But polling shows that, unlike immigration, abortion wasn't a top issue for most voters who planned to vote for Trump. AP VoteCast, a large survey conducted after the election, found that <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://kffhealthnews.org/news/article/ap-votecast-poll-abortion-economy-trump/" target="_blank">about </a><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://kffhealthnews.org/news/article/ap-votecast-poll-abortion-economy-trump/" target="_blank">three in ten voters</a> who supported abortion-rights initiatives in Arizona, Missouri and Nevada also voted for Trump. That echoed the results of an analysis by PerryUndem <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://tfn.org/cms/assets/uploads/2024/06/PerryUndem-Tracking-Abortion-Opinion-2024-compressed.pdf" target="_blank">of their April survey data</a>, which found that 35 percent of 2020 Trump voters (especially those who were women, younger, or voters of color) would at least lean toward voting for a constitutional amendment that protected the right to abortion in their state.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">It may be that voters who supported abortion rights simply placed a higher priority on issues like the economy in deciding to support Trump. But another important stat could also explain their votes: Unlike with immigration, most voters <em>don't</em> believe Trump will restrict abortion nationwide, despite long-standing pressure within the Republican Party to pass a national ban. Forty-nine percent of all likely voters and just 27 percent of Republicans in a September <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/08/us/politics/times-siena-poll-likely-electorate-crosstabs.html" target="_blank">New York Times/Siena College poll</a> thought he would support a national ban. In the <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-11/Reuters%20Ipsos%20Post%20Election%20Survey%20Topline%2011%208%202024%20PDF.pdf" target="_blank">Ipsos/Reuters post-election poll</a>, 60 percent of registered voters and only around a third of Republicans thought he would more broadly sign a federal law "imposing new restrictions on abortions." The fact that many voters thought they could reelect Trump without compromising abortion rights likely helped neutralize Democrats' advantage on this hot-button issue.</p><h2 class="RxNCg ykkUm PvZ nIjPJ PMXYp LmsHF SfAHY mNgye lNbol LBPRq">Economy</h2><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">Dissatisfaction with the economy was a top concern for voters throughout Biden's presidency, and a <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://apnews.com/article/ap-votecast-trump-harris-election-president-voters-86225516e8424431ab1d19e57a74f198" target="_blank">big reason voters gave for supporting Trump over Harris</a>. Despite the fact that the <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/10/31/economy-election-inflation-voters/" target="_blank">economy is performing extremely well on many measures</a>, Harris's campaign faced an uphill battle in distancing itself from voter's perceptions that the economy was worse off under Biden, as consumer prices remain elevated and <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/vibes-americans-perception-economy-completely-changed/story?id=111211869" target="_blank">the ways Americans perceive the economy have shifted in the wake of COVID-19</a>. Indeed, how voters felt about their personal financial situation and the national economy were strong indicators of whether they supported Harris or Trump, <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/exit-polls-2024-us-presidential-election-results-analysis" target="_blank">per this year's exit polls</a>: For example, around 90 percent who said the economy was "excellent" or "good" supported Harris, while strong majorities of the larger share who said the economy was "not so good" or "poor" supported Trump.</p><div class="oLzSq QrHMO GbsKS pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW AMhAA daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc ebfE nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY VvTxJ iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM hbvnu OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD iShaE ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV kRoBe oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX "><div data-testid="prism-ad-wrapper" style="transition:min-height 0.3s linear 1s" data-ad-placeholder="true"><div data-box-type="fitt-adbox-fitt-article-inline-outstream" data-testid="prism-ad"><div class="Ad fitt-article-inline-outstream ad-slot " data-slot-type="fitt-article-inline-outstream" data-slot-kvps="pos=fitt-article-inline-outstream-2"></div></div></div></div><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">Most of Trump's economic promises centered on <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidblackmon/2024/11/11/drill-baby-drill-is-a-political-slogan-not-a-business-plan/" target="_blank">boosting domestic oil drilling</a> and <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/11/trump-tax-cut-promises-gop-deficit-hawks-congress-debt.html" target="_blank">reducing both corporate and individual taxes</a>, especially on tips and overtime, echoing conservative economic principles that Republicans have long favored. But another of his most high-profile campaign promises has been to raise <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/11/trump-tariff-threat-looms-large-on-many-asian-countries-not-just-china.html" target="_blank">tariffs on goods imported from foreign countries</a>, a proposal that's put him <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.semafor.com/article/09/12/2024/trumps-tariff-plans-worry-hill-republicans-but-they-may-not-stop-him" target="_blank">at odds with many in his own party</a> but picked up public support. In an <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-10/Politico%20Canada%20Ipsos%20poll%2010.21.2024.pdf" target="_blank">Ipsos poll for Politico Canada</a>, 52 percent of Americans supported across-the-board tariffs of 10 to 20 percent on all imported goods, and 53 percent supported a <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-11-11/us-china-trade-war-what-will-beijing-do-if-trump-deals-tariff-blow" target="_blank">60 percent tariff on goods imported from China</a> — both policies Trump has floated this year.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">But tariffs are admittedly a complicated policy issue, and ultimately it's not clear that many voters understand that American companies pay the tariffs on goods they import, and <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.nbcchicago.com/illinois-election-2024/what-are-tariffs-and-what-could-they-mean-for-you-what-to-know-after-trump-wins/3596207/" target="_blank">often pass those costs onto consumers</a> in the form of higher prices. Fewer than half of registered voters surveyed in <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Mainstreet_US_Sept_Debate_2024_Public.pdf" target="_blank">a </a><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Mainstreet_US_Sept_Debate_2024_Public.pdf" target="_blank">mid-September poll</a> from Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research thought that tariffs would increase costs for American consumers. Twenty percent thought that the foreign countries would absorb the costs of the tariffs, 22 percent didn't know and 9 percent thought there would be no effect. (Trump has claimed on the campaign trail that <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://x.com/acyn/status/1832508262316699871?s=46" target="_blank">foreign countries will pay these tariffs</a>, reminiscent of his 2016 promise that <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/30/politics/fact-check-trump-mexico-piece-border-wall/index.html" target="_blank">Mexico would pay for a border wall.</a>)</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">A <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.scribd.com/document/787484182/full-yahoo-20241101" target="_blank">YouGov/Yahoo News survey from late October</a> presented arguments for and against both tariff policies: 44 percent of Americans found the pro-tariff argument that "hundreds of billions of dollars will come in through tariffs to benefit Americans" more convincing, while 34 percent were more convinced that the tariffs would be "effectively a big new sales tax" and increase inflation as companies pass the costs onto consumers (22 percent were unsure). When a similar question was framed in relation to existing trade policy and principles, though, results were more mixed: In a September <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://publicconsultation.org/swing-six-it/it/" target="_blank">University of Maryland poll</a>, only 31 percent of Americans (and 39 percent of Republicans) said the U.S. should impose 10- to 20-percent across-the-board tariffs as opposed to continuing to have low tariffs on a mutual basis with other countries.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">Meanwhile, a <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.cato.org/blog/poll-63-americans-want-increase-trade-other-nations-75-worry-tariffs-are-raising-consumer" target="_blank">February poll by YouGov for the Cato Institute</a> (a libertarian think tank that supports free trade) suggested that support for tariffs dropped steeply if they would increase consumer prices or prompt retaliatory tariffs from other countries — both <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/would-trumps-tariffs-trigger-global-trade-war-experts/story?id=114887448" target="_blank">outcomes that economists have suggested are likely</a> in response to Trump's proposals.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">Most economists — and <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/business/energy-environment/trump-oil-gas.html" target="_blank">some businesses</a> — <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://qz.com/donald-trump-economy-tariffs-trade-taxes-inflation-fed-1851692901" target="_blank">remain skeptical of Trump's economic plans</a>, but often for complicated, wonky reasons voters may not pay much heed to. Instead, Trump's economic policy proposals seemed to dovetail with and amplify his "America First" rhetoric and appeal to voters' dissatisfaction and desire for change on the economy. For example, Trump claimed his proposed tariffs would inspire domestic manufacturing by discouraging reliance on imported goods — though the jury is out on <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.wsj.com/business/trump-tariffs-domestic-investors-9bc50df3" target="_blank">whether tariffs would have this effect</a>, bolstering American manufacturing is a priority <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-10/Politico%20Canada%20Ipsos%20poll%2010.21.2024.pdf" target="_blank">widely popular among voters</a> across the aisle and one that <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/26/economy/us-manufacturing-trump-harris-plans/index.html" target="_blank">both parties have argued</a> they would make progress on. But Trump's message seems to have resonated most in an environment where voters persistently <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/voters-bidens-economy/story?id=109749510" target="_blank">remained unhappy with Biden's economy</a> and were voting against it.</p><div class="oLzSq QrHMO GbsKS pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW AMhAA daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc ebfE nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY VvTxJ iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM hbvnu OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD iShaE ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV kRoBe oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX "><div data-testid="prism-ad-wrapper" style="transition:min-height 0.3s linear 1s" data-ad-placeholder="true"><div data-box-type="fitt-adbox-fitt-article-inline-outstream" data-testid="prism-ad"><div class="Ad fitt-article-inline-outstream ad-slot " data-slot-type="fitt-article-inline-outstream" data-slot-kvps="pos=fitt-article-inline-outstream-3"></div></div></div></div><h2 class="RxNCg ykkUm PvZ nIjPJ PMXYp LmsHF SfAHY mNgye lNbol LBPRq">Democracy</h2><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">A common refrain from Democrats during this campaign season was that Trump posed a threat to American democracy, and the issue of "democracy" regularly ranked as a top concern for voters in addition to major policy issues like the economy, immigration and abortion. <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/democracy-top-concern-voters-asked/story?id=110341629" target="_blank">In focus groups we conducted with PerryUndem earlier this year</a>, we found that Trump's threats to democracy were a common concern — but while that drove some voters away from Trump, it was also something others were inclined to overlook because they preferred his economic or other policies.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">Ultimately, Trump's anti-democratic tendencies deeply concerned many Americans — like the half who <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-fascist-concerns-poll/story?id=115083795" target="_blank">labeled him a </a><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-fascist-concerns-poll/story?id=115083795" target="_blank">"fascist"</a> in an October ABC News/Ipsos poll — but some voted for him anyway. That's despite the fact that many also think he will make good on some of his more extreme campaign talking points. Sixty-three percent of respondents in the <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/americans-accept-election-results-even-if-some-are-unhappy-outcome" target="_blank">Ipsos/Reuters post-election poll</a> said they think Trump will use the Department of Justice to go after people he views as his enemies and 57 percent said they think U.S. institutions will not be able to check his use of power. While those numbers were boosted by almost all Democrats agreeing, both opinions were shared by over half of independents and at least a quarter of Republicans. Fifty-three percent of all respondents also thought Trump would act as a dictator, though only 13 percent of Republicans shared that concern. (Notably, this survey includes the views of people who said they did not vote.)</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">Potentially balancing that, though, many Americans <em>do</em> seem to think checks are in place that could prevent Trump from enacting more extreme policies. More than half of Americans and more than six in 10 Republicans in the same Ipsos poll thought that Congress would try to block his agenda, and similar numbers thought unelected civil servants would. Plus, other surveys suggest that Trump supporters are more likely to share Trump's anti-democratic views or believe anti-democratic actions are justified. In a <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.prri.org/research/one-leader-under-god-the-connection-between-authoritarianism-and-christian-nationalism-in-america/?preview=true" target="_blank">June PRRI survey</a>, nearly one-third of pro-Trump Republicans agreed that "patriots may need to resort to violence in order to save our country."</p><h2 class="RxNCg ykkUm PvZ nIjPJ PMXYp LmsHF SfAHY mNgye lNbol LBPRq">Voters don't like Trump, but don't care</h2><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">Strikingly, voters still had and have a fairly low view of Trump. In <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/" target="_blank">538's favorability tracker</a>, 52 percent of Americans view him unfavorably, giving him around a -8 net favorability rating. (Though it's an improvement from his ratings right after leaving office, when he was around 18 points underwater.) In a <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.scribd.com/document/787484182/full-yahoo-20241101" target="_blank">YouGov/Yahoo News poll</a> from right before the election, 42 percent of Americans said Trump was "dangerous," and 41 percent said he was "extreme on the issues." (Fewer — 29 percent and 27 percent, respectively — said the same of Harris.)</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">In contrast, <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/" target="_blank">Harris's net favorability rating</a> had briefly broken into positive territory in the run-up to Election Day — though it dipped back to around -2 in early November. In a <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/09/09/harris-and-trumps-personal-traits-and-the-tone-of-their-campaigns/" target="_blank">Pew Research Center survey</a> from early September, Harris beat Trump on eight of nine positive personal qualities, with Americans saying she was more even-tempered, a good role model, down-to-earth, mentally sharp, honest, cared about the needs of ordinary people, had a good sense of humor and was well-informed, in relation to Trump. Trump beat Harris on one metric, with more respondents saying he "stands up for what [he believes] in." In a <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/651692/voters-choice-character-leadership-skill.aspx" target="_blank">Gallup survey of </a><a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/651692/voters-choice-character-leadership-skill.aspx" target="_blank">registered voters from September</a>, Harris similarly had a large advantage (ranging from 22 to 8 percentage points) over Trump on likability, moral character and honesty.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">But other intangibles seemed to matter more to voters, driving them to Trump: Voters tended to think of Trump as a stronger leader and as a candidate who represented "change." In the Gallup survey, he had more than a 10-point advantage over Harris when it came to who voters thought "can get things done" and "is a strong and decisive leader." That was carried through in <a class="zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/exit-polls-2024-us-presidential-election-results-analysis" target="_blank">exit polls</a>: Voters who said a candidate's good judgment or "car[ing] about people like me" mattered most to their vote broke decisively for Harris, but more (58 percent) said either leadership ability or ability to bring change mattered most, and those voters broke decisively for Trump.</p><div class="oLzSq QrHMO fnRUo pvsTF EhJPu vPlOC zNYgW OsTsW RMeqy daRVX ISNQ sKyCY eRftA acPPc MENS nFwaT MCnQE mEeeY SmBjI xegrY rPLsU iulOd NIuqO zzscu lzDCc aHUBM IEgzD OjMNy eQqcx SVqKB GQmdz jaoD VWDdR ONJdw vrZxD OnRTz gbbfF roDbV GPGwb oMlSS gfNzt oJhud eXZcf zhVlX "><div class=" " data-testid="prism-static-embed" role="region"><div class="kUPWF evNvN "></div></div></div><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy">In all, whether voters liked or even trusted Trump didn't matter as much as the policies and change he represented and the fact that they thought he was ready and able to do the job, regardless of what he said on the campaign trail.</p><p class="EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC eTIW sUzSN"><em>Mary Radcliffe and Cooper Burton contributed research.</em></p></div><div><div data-testid="prism-tags"><h2 class="QOIir HJolv pZjYK JKlkC RZhHM ">Related Topics</h2><ul class="VZTD UeCOM dAmzA ltDkr qBPOY uoPjL "><li class=" "><a class="theme-iPcRv theme-HReFq mLASH egFzk qXWHA ScoIf zYXIH jIRH wNxoc OJpwZ eqFg wSPfd ofvJb bMrzT LaUnX EgONj ibBnq kyjTO lvyBv aANqO aNnIu GDslh LjPJo RpDvg YYtC rTpcz EDgo SIwmX oIWqB mzm MbcTC sXtkB yayQB vXSTR ENhiS dQa-Du SVBll bpBbX GpQCA tuAKv xTell wdAqb ZqGqs LVAIE TnrRA uECag DcwSV XnBOJ cELRj SUAFz XzYk zkmjG aSyef pFen hoNVj TQOOL Haltu NafGB KpEhF jyjDy kZHqU FZKIw QddLR SKDYB UmcQM giepU cTjQC aRMla MMxXy fFMcX PbMFf hJRbU MRTyf iFJTR koyYF TkdYt DZNRX MALjb VUFMN " 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style="--grid-column-span-lg:9;--grid-column-span-xl:8;--grid-column-span-xxl:8;--grid-column-start-xxs:auto;--grid-column-start-xs:auto;--grid-column-start-sm:auto;--grid-column-start-md:auto;--grid-column-start-lg:16;--grid-column-start-xl:17;--grid-column-start-xxl:17"><div style="--spacing-top:48px;--spacing-bottom:initial;--spacing-child-top:initial;--spacing-child-bottom:40px;--spacing-firstChild-top:initial;--spacing-firstChild-bottom:initial;--spacing-lastChild-top:initial;--spacing-lastChild-bottom:initial;--spacing-compact-top:24px;--spacing-compact-bottom:initial;--spacing-firstChild-compact-top:initial;--spacing-firstChild-compact-bottom:initial;--spacing-child-compact-top:initial;--spacing-child-compact-bottom:40px;--spacing-lastChild-compact-top:initial;--spacing-lastChild-compact-bottom:initial" class="dHdHP jLREf zXXje aGO eCClZ nTLv jLsYA gmuro TOSFd VmeZt sCkVm hkQai wGrlE MUuGM fciaN qQjt DhNVo Tgcqk IGLAf tWjkv "><div><section class="CHWlW ZgZTu FlDNH hQfuy feniZ wBpop uAyYK yJYJo OGgqj tQHio PCVZs Kiog iKqXF eeiyR " data-testid="prism-collection"><header class="mLASH VZTD bhaVx "><div><h2 class="KuBvM RTkZF lFzlq GbVC HkWF exKgG kGyAC SwCrv ">Popular Reads</h2></div></header><div class="rRTs EwJTR UpiKB sKbok RsAxh msYPt zKjNI SXHxp OaElp halTF KzevM LFuuA xTOeQ jLoop liAe uMOq zYIfP pYgZk Mxrkk VZTD lZur TPpRg NoUSU igcMP DtJWr QgBvn DFdlJ QGHKv VuOFc " data-testid="prism-card"><a class="iVcn UbGlr ibBnq qdXbA avodi DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE QGHKv HNQqj ICwhc Bkgbl ZLXw kSqqG rEBmF " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trumps-cabinet-picks-boast-thin-rsums-point-analysis/story?id=116106308" aria-label="Trump picks' thin resumes are the point: ANALYSIS 2024-11-22T13:21:00Z"><div class="hsDdd GpQCA lZur BOsoU YMZw dihEb srtah LmIPo JzlZQ qrShQ iRFVw ZZxEf zHngH jCA-DP TucPs XifJd MWLZF PEVz VbrfA zZsl kjmkg OwbFk QuuaM cBQOR "><div class="GpQCA lZur oVsVV nFtJ GHKp awJgN EuJtJ " data-testid="prism-ratio-frame"><div class="FvQLF iLTd NqeUA UzzHi iWsMV "><img alt="" class="hsDdd " data-testid="prism-image" draggable="false" src="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/31554753-3887-4cb3-8f4b-43b38bb2e3b4/pete-hegseth-11-rt-gmh-241121_1732215380670_hpMain_1x1.jpg?w=208"/></div></div></div><div class="QGHKv iVcn avodi rEPuv ICwhc ibBnq Bkgbl ZLXw kSqqG rEBmF "><div class="VZTD rEPuv QXDKT pJYTK " data-testid="prism-meta"><div class="CJAFL gDeX "><h2 class="PFoxV eBpQD rcQBv bQtjQ lQUdN GpQCA mAkiF FvMyr WvoqU nPLLM tuAKv " id="Trumppicksthinresumeheadline">Trump picks' thin resumes are the point: ANALYSIS</h2></div></div><div class="RVPG cTzRP UzlIl VXIwh hCp lZur YOODG pJYTK "><div class="VZTD rEPuv ltDkr QXDKT "><ul class="tfFRZ zOGtW VZTD UeCOM RzKoN JEct YaqUo BedyR UoVV WtEci dSKvB seFhp "><li class="tuAKv fzeHv eSWW VUFMN SdBAb AQSxL xBxr " id="TrumppicksthinresumepubDate"><div class="theme-JfHmw theme-aMvDO mLASH egFzk qXWHA ScoIf zRKnP jIRH wNxoc OJpwZ BOFPn wSPfd ofvJb bMrzT RGoaN cvDzE ARCOA kyjTO lvyBv aANqO aNnIu GDslh LjPJo RpDvg YYtC rTpcz EDgo SIwmX sWWJW mzm MbcTC bVept SEPRz LRqoM kzZQf xGdAb hBvCD fQMZM tVKun zUtsb yHyni pzxXD AbcH " data-testid="prism-Badge"><span class="QXDKT rGjeC tuAKv iMbiE "><span class="awXxV jTKbV zIIsP xpuOU pCRh ">Nov 22, 8:21 AM</span></span></div></li></ul></div></div></div></a></div><div class="rRTs EwJTR UpiKB sKbok RsAxh msYPt zKjNI SXHxp OaElp halTF KzevM LFuuA xTOeQ jLoop liAe uMOq zYIfP pYgZk Mxrkk VZTD lZur TPpRg NoUSU igcMP DtJWr QgBvn DFdlJ QGHKv VuOFc " data-testid="prism-card"><a class="iVcn UbGlr ibBnq qdXbA avodi DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE QGHKv HNQqj ICwhc Bkgbl ZLXw kSqqG rEBmF " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/Culture/dwayne-johnson-dances-mom-ata-moana-2-world-premiere/story?id=116131486" aria-label="Dwayne Johnson, mom dance at 'Moana 2' premiere 2024-11-22T15:30:00Z"><div class="hsDdd GpQCA lZur BOsoU YMZw dihEb srtah LmIPo JzlZQ qrShQ iRFVw ZZxEf zHngH jCA-DP TucPs XifJd MWLZF PEVz VbrfA zZsl kjmkg OwbFk QuuaM cBQOR "><div class="GpQCA lZur oVsVV nFtJ GHKp awJgN EuJtJ " data-testid="prism-ratio-frame"><div class="FvQLF iLTd NqeUA UzzHi iWsMV "><img alt="" class="hsDdd " data-testid="prism-image" draggable="false" src="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/1e319fe5-7076-4c57-9d2d-4a6a36300d99/Dwayne-Johnson-Moana2-1-gty-jm-241122_1732287566608_hpMain_1x1.jpg?w=208"/></div></div></div><div class="QGHKv iVcn avodi rEPuv ICwhc ibBnq Bkgbl ZLXw kSqqG rEBmF "><div class="VZTD rEPuv QXDKT pJYTK " data-testid="prism-meta"><div class="CJAFL gDeX "><h2 class="PFoxV eBpQD rcQBv bQtjQ lQUdN GpQCA mAkiF FvMyr WvoqU nPLLM tuAKv " id="DwayneJohnsonmomdancheadline">Dwayne Johnson, mom dance at 'Moana 2' premiere</h2></div></div><div class="RVPG cTzRP UzlIl VXIwh hCp lZur YOODG pJYTK "><div class="VZTD rEPuv ltDkr QXDKT "><ul class="tfFRZ zOGtW VZTD UeCOM RzKoN JEct YaqUo BedyR UoVV WtEci dSKvB seFhp "><li class="tuAKv fzeHv eSWW VUFMN SdBAb AQSxL xBxr " id="DwayneJohnsonmomdancpubDate"><div class="theme-JfHmw theme-aMvDO mLASH egFzk qXWHA ScoIf zRKnP jIRH wNxoc OJpwZ BOFPn wSPfd ofvJb bMrzT RGoaN cvDzE ARCOA kyjTO lvyBv aANqO aNnIu GDslh LjPJo RpDvg YYtC rTpcz EDgo SIwmX sWWJW mzm MbcTC bVept SEPRz LRqoM kzZQf xGdAb hBvCD fQMZM tVKun zUtsb yHyni pzxXD AbcH " data-testid="prism-Badge"><span class="QXDKT rGjeC tuAKv iMbiE "><span class="awXxV jTKbV zIIsP xpuOU pCRh ">Nov 22, 10:30 AM</span></span></div></li></ul></div></div></div></a></div><div class="rRTs EwJTR UpiKB sKbok RsAxh msYPt zKjNI SXHxp OaElp halTF KzevM LFuuA xTOeQ jLoop liAe uMOq zYIfP pYgZk Mxrkk VZTD lZur TPpRg NoUSU igcMP DtJWr QgBvn DFdlJ QGHKv VuOFc " data-testid="prism-card"><a class="iVcn UbGlr ibBnq qdXbA avodi DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE QGHKv HNQqj ICwhc Bkgbl ZLXw kSqqG rEBmF " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/matt-gaetz-ag-nomination-timeline/story?id=116102495" aria-label="Matt Gaetz AG nomination: Timeline 2024-11-22T17:48:00Z"><div class="hsDdd GpQCA lZur BOsoU YMZw dihEb srtah LmIPo JzlZQ qrShQ iRFVw ZZxEf zHngH jCA-DP TucPs XifJd MWLZF PEVz VbrfA zZsl kjmkg OwbFk QuuaM cBQOR "><div class="GpQCA lZur oVsVV nFtJ GHKp awJgN EuJtJ " data-testid="prism-ratio-frame"><div class="FvQLF iLTd NqeUA UzzHi iWsMV "><img alt="" class="hsDdd " data-testid="prism-image" draggable="false" src="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/1b01390d-15fc-479b-8f91-df6350633c2f/matt-gaetz-2-gty-gmh-241121_1732211690638_hpMain_1x1.jpg?w=208"/></div></div></div><div class="QGHKv iVcn avodi rEPuv ICwhc ibBnq Bkgbl ZLXw kSqqG rEBmF "><div class="VZTD rEPuv QXDKT pJYTK " data-testid="prism-meta"><div class="CJAFL gDeX "><h2 class="PFoxV eBpQD rcQBv bQtjQ lQUdN GpQCA mAkiF FvMyr WvoqU nPLLM tuAKv " id="MattGaetzAGnominatioheadline">Matt Gaetz AG nomination: Timeline</h2></div></div><div class="RVPG cTzRP UzlIl VXIwh hCp lZur YOODG pJYTK "><div class="VZTD rEPuv ltDkr QXDKT "><ul class="tfFRZ zOGtW VZTD UeCOM RzKoN JEct YaqUo BedyR UoVV WtEci dSKvB seFhp "><li class="tuAKv fzeHv eSWW VUFMN SdBAb AQSxL xBxr " id="MattGaetzAGnominatiopubDate"><div class="theme-JfHmw theme-aMvDO mLASH egFzk qXWHA ScoIf zRKnP jIRH wNxoc OJpwZ BOFPn wSPfd ofvJb bMrzT RGoaN cvDzE ARCOA kyjTO lvyBv aANqO aNnIu GDslh LjPJo RpDvg YYtC rTpcz EDgo SIwmX sWWJW mzm MbcTC bVept SEPRz LRqoM kzZQf xGdAb hBvCD fQMZM tVKun zUtsb yHyni pzxXD AbcH " data-testid="prism-Badge"><span class="QXDKT rGjeC tuAKv iMbiE "><span class="awXxV jTKbV zIIsP xpuOU pCRh ">Nov 22, 12:48 PM</span></span></div></li></ul></div></div></div></a></div><div class="rRTs EwJTR UpiKB sKbok RsAxh msYPt zKjNI SXHxp OaElp halTF KzevM LFuuA xTOeQ jLoop liAe uMOq zYIfP pYgZk Mxrkk VZTD lZur TPpRg NoUSU igcMP DtJWr QgBvn DFdlJ QGHKv VuOFc " data-testid="prism-card"><a class="iVcn UbGlr ibBnq qdXbA avodi DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE QGHKv HNQqj ICwhc Bkgbl ZLXw kSqqG rEBmF " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/Wellness/grandma-12-sets-new-world-record-1575-pushups/story?id=116088335" aria-label="Grandma of 12 sets new pushup world record 2024-11-22T20:34:00Z"><div class="hsDdd GpQCA lZur BOsoU YMZw dihEb srtah LmIPo JzlZQ qrShQ iRFVw ZZxEf zHngH jCA-DP TucPs XifJd MWLZF PEVz VbrfA zZsl kjmkg OwbFk QuuaM cBQOR "><div class="GpQCA lZur oVsVV nFtJ GHKp awJgN EuJtJ " data-testid="prism-ratio-frame"><div class="FvQLF iLTd NqeUA UzzHi iWsMV "><img alt="" class="hsDdd " data-testid="prism-image" draggable="false" src="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/c3d0a31b-dc67-405e-a75b-bdc9f52fff78/pushup-contest-1-ht-bb-241122_1732310886025_hpMain_1x1.jpg?w=208"/></div></div></div><div class="QGHKv iVcn avodi rEPuv ICwhc ibBnq Bkgbl ZLXw kSqqG rEBmF "><div class="VZTD rEPuv QXDKT pJYTK " data-testid="prism-meta"><div class="CJAFL gDeX "><h2 class="PFoxV eBpQD rcQBv bQtjQ lQUdN GpQCA mAkiF FvMyr WvoqU nPLLM tuAKv " id="Grandmaof12setsnewpuheadline">Grandma of 12 sets new pushup world record</h2></div></div><div class="RVPG cTzRP UzlIl VXIwh hCp lZur YOODG pJYTK "><div class="VZTD rEPuv ltDkr QXDKT "><ul class="tfFRZ zOGtW VZTD UeCOM RzKoN JEct YaqUo BedyR UoVV WtEci dSKvB seFhp "><li class="tuAKv fzeHv eSWW VUFMN SdBAb AQSxL xBxr " id="Grandmaof12setsnewpupubDate"><div class="theme-JfHmw theme-aMvDO mLASH egFzk qXWHA ScoIf zRKnP jIRH wNxoc OJpwZ BOFPn wSPfd ofvJb bMrzT RGoaN cvDzE ARCOA kyjTO lvyBv aANqO aNnIu GDslh LjPJo RpDvg YYtC rTpcz EDgo SIwmX sWWJW mzm MbcTC bVept SEPRz LRqoM kzZQf xGdAb hBvCD fQMZM tVKun zUtsb yHyni pzxXD AbcH " data-testid="prism-Badge"><span class="QXDKT rGjeC tuAKv iMbiE "><span class="awXxV jTKbV zIIsP xpuOU pCRh ">Nov 22, 3:34 PM</span></span></div></li></ul></div></div></div></a></div><div class="EwJTR UpiKB sKbok RsAxh msYPt zKjNI SXHxp OaElp halTF KzevM LFuuA xTOeQ jLoop liAe uMOq zYIfP pYgZk Mxrkk VZTD lZur TPpRg NoUSU igcMP DtJWr QgBvn DFdlJ QGHKv VuOFc " data-testid="prism-card"><a class="iVcn UbGlr ibBnq qdXbA avodi DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE QGHKv HNQqj ICwhc Bkgbl ZLXw kSqqG rEBmF " data-testid="prism-linkbase" href="https://abcnews.go.com/538/republicans-won-house-now-hard-part/story?id=115777126" aria-label="Republicans won the House. Now comes the hard part 2024-11-13T21:23:00Z"><div class="hsDdd GpQCA lZur BOsoU YMZw dihEb srtah LmIPo JzlZQ qrShQ iRFVw ZZxEf zHngH jCA-DP TucPs XifJd MWLZF PEVz VbrfA zZsl kjmkg OwbFk QuuaM cBQOR "><div class="GpQCA lZur oVsVV nFtJ GHKp awJgN EuJtJ " data-testid="prism-ratio-frame"><div class="FvQLF iLTd NqeUA UzzHi iWsMV "><img alt="" class="hsDdd " data-testid="prism-image" draggable="false" src="https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/e5680d54-a72e-4e7f-900a-67185831a540/538_HouseElectionResults_v01_DP_1731520997359_hpMain_1x1.jpg?w=208"/></div></div></div><div class="QGHKv iVcn avodi rEPuv ICwhc ibBnq Bkgbl ZLXw kSqqG rEBmF "><div class="VZTD rEPuv QXDKT pJYTK " data-testid="prism-meta"><div class="CJAFL gDeX "><h2 class="PFoxV eBpQD rcQBv bQtjQ lQUdN GpQCA mAkiF FvMyr WvoqU nPLLM tuAKv " id="RepublicanswontheHouheadline">Republicans won the House. Now comes the hard part</h2></div></div><div class="RVPG cTzRP UzlIl VXIwh hCp lZur YOODG pJYTK "><div class="VZTD rEPuv ltDkr QXDKT "><ul class="tfFRZ zOGtW VZTD UeCOM RzKoN JEct YaqUo BedyR UoVV WtEci dSKvB seFhp "><li class="tuAKv fzeHv eSWW VUFMN SdBAb AQSxL xBxr " id="RepublicanswontheHoupubDate"><div class="theme-JfHmw theme-aMvDO mLASH egFzk qXWHA ScoIf zRKnP jIRH wNxoc OJpwZ BOFPn wSPfd ofvJb bMrzT RGoaN cvDzE ARCOA kyjTO lvyBv aANqO aNnIu GDslh LjPJo RpDvg YYtC rTpcz EDgo SIwmX sWWJW mzm MbcTC bVept SEPRz LRqoM kzZQf xGdAb hBvCD fQMZM tVKun zUtsb yHyni pzxXD AbcH " data-testid="prism-Badge"><span class="QXDKT rGjeC tuAKv iMbiE "><span class="awXxV jTKbV zIIsP xpuOU pCRh ">Nov 13, 4:23 PM</span></span></div></li></ul></div></div></div></a></div></section></div><div class="LivePromotion LivePromotion--centered"><div class="LivePromotion--title--container"><span class="circle"></span><h3 class="LivePromotion--title">ABC News Live</h3></div><figure class="Image 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Even as he improved on his previous two runs for office by winning the popular vote, it seems Americans by and large didn't change their minds about Trump personally — many still have misgivings about his character and bombastic, sometimes anti-democratic campaign rhetoric. So what drove so many to vote for him?"]},{"type":"inline","content":{"name":"MarkupEmbed","props":{"markup":"%3Ciframe%20title%3D%22Trump%20won%20voters%20who%20prioritized%20economy%20and%20immigration%22%20aria-label%3D%22Table%22%20id%3D%22datawrapper-chart-L8hIj%22%20src%3D%22https%3A//datawrapper.dwcdn.net/L8hIj/4/%22%20scrolling%3D%22no%22%20frameborder%3D%220%22%20style%3D%22width%3A%200%3B%20min-width%3A%20100%25%20%21important%3B%20border%3A%20none%3B%22%20height%3D%22378%22%20data-external%3D%221%22%3E%3C/iframe%3E%3Cscript%20type%3D%22text/javascript%22%3E%21function%28%29%7B%22use%20strict%22%3Bwindow.addEventListener%28%22message%22%2C%28function%28a%29%7Bif%28void%200%21%3D%3Da.data%5B%22datawrapper-height%22%5D%29%7Bvar%20e%3Ddocument.querySelectorAll%28%22iframe%22%29%3Bfor%28var%20t%20in%20a.data%5B%22datawrapper-height%22%5D%29for%28var%20r%3D0%3Br%3Ce.length%3Br++%29if%28e%5Br%5D.contentWindow%3D%3D%3Da.source%29%7Bvar%20i%3Da.data%5B%22datawrapper-height%22%5D%5Bt%5D+%22px%22%3Be%5Br%5D.style.height%3Di%7D%7D%7D%29%29%7D%28%29%3B%3C/script%3E","caption":{"title":"","source":""},"encMethod":"esc","useSafeFrame":false,"requestProps":{"stateKey":"markup"}},"context":{},"config":{"align":"full"}}},{"type":"p","content":["An analysis of 2024 exit polls show a clear divide based on what issues voters say most impacted who they voted for. Around a third of voters ranked each of \"the state of democracy\" and \"the economy\" as their most important issue. Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump, respectively, each had sizable advantages among voters who prioritized these issues. After those, though, Trump had an edge: Harris won around three in four voters who prioritized abortion, but Trump's advantage was even greater among those who prioritized immigration, and he won a solid majority of the smaller share who prioritized foreign policy."]},{"type":"p","content":["These numbers suggest that Trump won on immigration and the economy, while losing on abortion and democracy. We took a deep dive into polling to see what Americans think about Trump's policies and rhetoric, and how these opinions helped Trump win. Ultimately, many Americans agreed with his hardline stances on immigration and bought into his message on the economy, while they didn't necessarily think he would act on his more extreme anti-democratic statements or enact unpopular abortion restrictions."]},{"type":"h2","content":["Immigration"]},{"type":"p","content":["Since the start of his ",{"type":"a","content":["2016 presidential run"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-mexico-vice-versa/story?id=41767704","target":"_blank"}},", Trump has made curbing immigration into the United States a signature piece of his campaigns — including through often-inflammatory anti-immigrant rhetoric suggesting that dangerous criminals ",{"type":"a","content":["are "],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.themarshallproject.org/2024/10/21/fact-check-12000-trump-statements-immigrants","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"a","content":["\"flooding\""],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.themarshallproject.org/2024/10/21/fact-check-12000-trump-statements-immigrants","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"a","content":[" the country"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.themarshallproject.org/2024/10/21/fact-check-12000-trump-statements-immigrants","target":"_blank"}}," through the southern border with Mexico. Many of Trump's oft-repeated claims about immigration ",{"type":"a","content":["have been proven false"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/18/us/politics/trump-immigration-fact-check.html","target":"_blank"}},", such as ",{"type":"a","content":["his claims this year that immigrants coming into the country"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/18/politics/fact-check-trump-october-immigration/index.html","target":"_blank"}}," were released from \"insane asylums\" — possibly a mixup with the term '",{"type":"a","content":["political asylum"],"attrs":{"href":"https://time.com/7006684/trump-asylum-mariel-history/","target":"_blank"}},",' which many are seeking when they arrive at the border — and the online conspiracy theory that gangs from Venezuela ",{"type":"a","content":["had taken over apartment buildings in Aurora, Colorado"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.npr.org/2024/09/06/nx-s1-5100765/aurora-police-chief-says-theres-no-evidence-that-venezuelan-gang-took-over-apartment","target":"_blank"}},"."]},{"type":"p","content":["During the presidential debate in September, Trump also repeated a false claim ",{"type":"a","content":["amplified by Vice President-elect JD Vance"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/15/politics/vance-immigrants-pets-springfield-ohio-cnntv/index.html","target":"_blank"}}," that illegal Haitian immigrants in Springfield, Ohio, were ",{"type":"a","content":["eating local dogs, cats and other pets"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c77l28myezko","target":"_blank"}},". (A post-debate ",{"type":"a","content":["YouGov poll"],"attrs":{"href":"https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Reactions_to_Harris_Trump_Debate_poll_results.pdf#page=6","target":"_blank"}}," found that 54 percent of Americans thought that claim was probably or definitely false, but 52 percent of those who planned to vote for Trump said it was probably or definitely true.)"]},{"type":"inline","content":{"name":"Ad","props":{"ad":{"kvps":{"pos":"fitt-article-inline-outstream-1"},"type":"fitt-article-inline-outstream","className":"fitt-article-inline-outstream"},"placeholders":{"compact":{"ratio":0.5625,"delay":1},"regular":{"ratio":0.5625,"delay":1}}},"context":{},"config":{}}},{"type":"p","content":["But these sometimes outlandish statements were part of a broader strategy by Trump and Republicans to underscore what they see as the negative impacts of immigration, and that ",{"type":"a","content":["strategy seems to have been effective"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/538/immigration-driving-support-gop-primary/story?id=106777173","target":"_blank"}}," this year. Republicans have blamed the Biden administration for what they say is lax border security, although — under pressure from Trump — they ",{"type":"a","content":["scuttled a bipartisan border security and immigration reform bill"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/senate-republicans-block-border-security-bill-campaign-border-chaos-rcna153607","target":"_blank"}}," supported by President Joe Biden that would have enhanced border security while also tackling other areas of immigration reform. The move may have ",{"type":"a","content":["helped Trump maintain his advantage on immigration"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-pushing-hard-border-bill/story?id=106908843","target":"_blank"}},", as he continued to lambast the Biden-Harris administration's handling of the issue on the campaign trail and promised \"mass deportations\" of illegal immigrants."]},{"type":"p","content":["While Trump's proposals for an extreme crackdown on immigration are a vague promise that many ",{"type":"a","content":["experts say wouldn't work"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/trumps-victory-wont-halt-migration-experts-say","target":"_blank"}}," and ",{"type":"a","content":["would likely be difficult and expensive to carry out"],"attrs":{"href":"https://cmsny.org/publications/mass-deportations-impoverish-us-families-create-immense-costs/","target":"_blank"}},", they may have resonated, as voters ",{"type":"a","content":["continued to worry about immigration"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/how-impactful-will-immigration-be-election","target":"_blank"}}," and said they ",{"type":"a","content":["trusted Trump more than Biden or Harris to deal with the issue"],"attrs":{"href":"https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/50846-donald-trump-leads-on-immigration-and-inflation-kamala-harris-on-abortion-and-health-care","target":"_blank"}},". An ",{"type":"a","content":["ABC News/Ipsos poll"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-10/ABC%20News%20Ipsos%20Topline%2010.13.2024.pdf","target":"_blank"}}," also from early October found that 56 percent of adults supported deporting ",{"type":"em","content":["all"]}," undocumented immigrants in the U.S., up from just 36 percent who said they generally thought undocumented immigrants should be deported in March 2016, during Trump's first campaign. Back then, half of voters said those immigrants should be allowed to stay."]},{"type":"p","content":["In a ",{"type":"a","content":["Marquette University Law School"],"attrs":{"href":"https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/MLSPSC22ToplinesLV_NationalIssues.html#K1A:_Deportation,_v1","target":"_blank"}}," poll from early October, 58 percent of likely voters similarly said they somewhat or strongly favored \"deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally.\" Notably, though, that number dropped to 37 percent if the question specified undocumented immigrants who had been in the country for a number of years, are employed and have no criminal record, suggesting that Republican messaging about the dangers posed by illegal immigrants has been effective — but could also be countered with different messaging."]},{"type":"p","content":["A poll from the ",{"type":"a","content":["University of Maryland Program for Public Consultation"],"attrs":{"href":"https://publicconsultation.org/ss-immigration/ss-im-im/","target":"_blank"}}," similarly showed that question wording and additional information made a difference in how people felt about mass deportations. When presented with arguments for and against mass deportations, they found both sides' arguments convincing, and support for the policy was ultimately lower than in other surveys that did not present these arguments."]},{"type":"p","content":["This polling suggests that directly calling out potential negative effects of deportations might have helped Harris erode support for Trump's plan. Her campaign instead tended to focus on Trump's (and ",{"type":"a","content":["Vance's"],"attrs":{"href":"https://democrats.org/news/jd-vance-sided-with-donald-trump-over-the-border-patrol-when-he-followed-trumps-orders-to-kill-bipartisan-border-deal/","target":"_blank"}},") influence on Congress to ",{"type":"a","content":["tank the bipartisan border law"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/watch-harris-blames-trump-for-killing-bipartisan-border-bill","target":"_blank"}}," earlier this year. While ",{"type":"a","content":["that bill's immigration provisions were widely popular"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/538/americans-climate-change-love/story?id=107027932","target":"_blank"}}," among Americans at the time, Trump seemed to confuse the matter — first preempting the attacks by ",{"type":"a","content":["inviting blame"],"attrs":{"href":"https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4433785-trump-says-blame-it-on-me-border-bill-fails/","target":"_blank"}},", then changing tune and ",{"type":"a","content":["attacking the bill head-on"],"attrs":{"href":"https://x.com/Acyn/status/1840129073831653564","target":"_blank"}}," while misrepresenting its policies."]},{"type":"inline","content":{"name":"Ad","props":{"ad":{"type":"fitt-article-inline-box","className":"fitt-article-inline-box"},"placeholders":{"compact":{"size":[0,250]},"regular":{"size":[0,250]}}},"context":{},"config":{}}},{"type":"p","content":["Rhetoric aside, Americans want Trump to make immigration a priority. In an ",{"type":"a","content":["Ipsos/Reuters poll"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/americans-accept-election-results-even-if-some-are-unhappy-outcome","target":"_blank"}}," after the election, a quarter said immigration is the top domestic issue they wanted to see Trump tackle in his first 100 days in office, making it the top issue overall. And whether or not they support his immigration policies, Americans expect him to follow through: 82 percent in that survey thought he would institute mass deportations. Trump seems inclined to capitalize on this, and the reality of what mass deportations might entail may soon become clear. The president-elect has already named immigration hardliner Stephen Miller as ",{"type":"a","content":["his incoming deputy chief of staff"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/11/stephen-miller-trump-white-house-deputy-chief-staff/76195963007/","target":"_blank"}},", and has named ",{"type":"a","content":["Tom Homan"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.npr.org/2024/11/11/nx-s1-5186522/tom-homan-border-czar-trump","target":"_blank"}},", a former Immigrations and Customs Enforcement official and an architect of the family separation policy in Trump's first term, as his \"border czar,\" an advisory role that doesn't require Senate confirmation."]},{"type":"h2","content":["Abortion"]},{"type":"p","content":["While immigration seemed to drive voters toward Trump and Republicans, abortion has been ",{"type":"a","content":["a weak spot for Republicans"],"attrs":{"href":"https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dobbs-abortion-opinion-liability-republicans/","target":"_blank"}}," since the overturning of Roe v. Wade two years ago. Most Americans ",{"type":"a","content":["prefer abortion to be legal in all or most circumstances"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/05/13/broad-public-support-for-legal-abortion-persists-2-years-after-dobbs/","target":"_blank"}},", and the various bans or restrictions ",{"type":"a","content":["that went into effect in "],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/abortion-laws-roe-v-wade.html","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"a","content":["21"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/abortion-laws-roe-v-wade.html","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"a","content":[" states after Roe fell"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/abortion-laws-roe-v-wade.html","target":"_blank"}}," are extremely unpopular. Indeed, ",{"type":"a","content":["seven of the 10"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/state-state-breakdown-abortion-stands-after-ballot-initiatives/story?id=115730446","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"a","content":[" states"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/state-state-breakdown-abortion-stands-after-ballot-initiatives/story?id=115730446","target":"_blank"}}," that had abortion-rights initiatives on the ballot last week passed those protections, making abortion a constitutional right in those states."]},{"type":"p","content":["But polling shows that, unlike immigration, abortion wasn't a top issue for most voters who planned to vote for Trump. AP VoteCast, a large survey conducted after the election, found that ",{"type":"a","content":["about "],"attrs":{"href":"https://kffhealthnews.org/news/article/ap-votecast-poll-abortion-economy-trump/","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"a","content":["three in ten voters"],"attrs":{"href":"https://kffhealthnews.org/news/article/ap-votecast-poll-abortion-economy-trump/","target":"_blank"}}," who supported abortion-rights initiatives in Arizona, Missouri and Nevada also voted for Trump. That echoed the results of an analysis by PerryUndem ",{"type":"a","content":["of their April survey data"],"attrs":{"href":"https://tfn.org/cms/assets/uploads/2024/06/PerryUndem-Tracking-Abortion-Opinion-2024-compressed.pdf","target":"_blank"}},", which found that 35 percent of 2020 Trump voters (especially those who were women, younger, or voters of color) would at least lean toward voting for a constitutional amendment that protected the right to abortion in their state."]},{"type":"p","content":["It may be that voters who supported abortion rights simply placed a higher priority on issues like the economy in deciding to support Trump. But another important stat could also explain their votes: Unlike with immigration, most voters ",{"type":"em","content":["don't"]}," believe Trump will restrict abortion nationwide, despite long-standing pressure within the Republican Party to pass a national ban. Forty-nine percent of all likely voters and just 27 percent of Republicans in a September ",{"type":"a","content":["New York Times/Siena College poll"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/08/us/politics/times-siena-poll-likely-electorate-crosstabs.html","target":"_blank"}}," thought he would support a national ban. In the ",{"type":"a","content":["Ipsos/Reuters post-election poll"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-11/Reuters%20Ipsos%20Post%20Election%20Survey%20Topline%2011%208%202024%20PDF.pdf","target":"_blank"}},", 60 percent of registered voters and only around a third of Republicans thought he would more broadly sign a federal law \"imposing new restrictions on abortions.\" The fact that many voters thought they could reelect Trump without compromising abortion rights likely helped neutralize Democrats' advantage on this hot-button issue."]},{"type":"h2","content":["Economy"]},{"type":"p","content":["Dissatisfaction with the economy was a top concern for voters throughout Biden's presidency, and a ",{"type":"a","content":["big reason voters gave for supporting Trump over Harris"],"attrs":{"href":"https://apnews.com/article/ap-votecast-trump-harris-election-president-voters-86225516e8424431ab1d19e57a74f198","target":"_blank"}},". Despite the fact that the ",{"type":"a","content":["economy is performing extremely well on many measures"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/10/31/economy-election-inflation-voters/","target":"_blank"}},", Harris's campaign faced an uphill battle in distancing itself from voter's perceptions that the economy was worse off under Biden, as consumer prices remain elevated and ",{"type":"a","content":["the ways Americans perceive the economy have shifted in the wake of COVID-19"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/538/vibes-americans-perception-economy-completely-changed/story?id=111211869","target":"_blank"}},". Indeed, how voters felt about their personal financial situation and the national economy were strong indicators of whether they supported Harris or Trump, ",{"type":"a","content":["per this year's exit polls"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/exit-polls-2024-us-presidential-election-results-analysis","target":"_blank"}},": For example, around 90 percent who said the economy was \"excellent\" or \"good\" supported Harris, while strong majorities of the larger share who said the economy was \"not so good\" or \"poor\" supported Trump."]},{"type":"inline","content":{"name":"Ad","props":{"ad":{"kvps":{"pos":"fitt-article-inline-outstream-2"},"type":"fitt-article-inline-outstream","className":"fitt-article-inline-outstream"},"placeholders":{"compact":{"ratio":0.5625,"delay":1},"regular":{"ratio":0.5625,"delay":1}}},"context":{},"config":{}}},{"type":"p","content":["Most of Trump's economic promises centered on ",{"type":"a","content":["boosting domestic oil drilling"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidblackmon/2024/11/11/drill-baby-drill-is-a-political-slogan-not-a-business-plan/","target":"_blank"}}," and ",{"type":"a","content":["reducing both corporate and individual taxes"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/11/trump-tax-cut-promises-gop-deficit-hawks-congress-debt.html","target":"_blank"}},", especially on tips and overtime, echoing conservative economic principles that Republicans have long favored. But another of his most high-profile campaign promises has been to raise ",{"type":"a","content":["tariffs on goods imported from foreign countries"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/11/trump-tariff-threat-looms-large-on-many-asian-countries-not-just-china.html","target":"_blank"}},", a proposal that's put him ",{"type":"a","content":["at odds with many in his own party"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.semafor.com/article/09/12/2024/trumps-tariff-plans-worry-hill-republicans-but-they-may-not-stop-him","target":"_blank"}}," but picked up public support. In an ",{"type":"a","content":["Ipsos poll for Politico Canada"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-10/Politico%20Canada%20Ipsos%20poll%2010.21.2024.pdf","target":"_blank"}},", 52 percent of Americans supported across-the-board tariffs of 10 to 20 percent on all imported goods, and 53 percent supported a ",{"type":"a","content":["60 percent tariff on goods imported from China"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-11-11/us-china-trade-war-what-will-beijing-do-if-trump-deals-tariff-blow","target":"_blank"}}," — both policies Trump has floated this year."]},{"type":"p","content":["But tariffs are admittedly a complicated policy issue, and ultimately it's not clear that many voters understand that American companies pay the tariffs on goods they import, and ",{"type":"a","content":["often pass those costs onto consumers"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.nbcchicago.com/illinois-election-2024/what-are-tariffs-and-what-could-they-mean-for-you-what-to-know-after-trump-wins/3596207/","target":"_blank"}}," in the form of higher prices. Fewer than half of registered voters surveyed in ",{"type":"a","content":["a "],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Mainstreet_US_Sept_Debate_2024_Public.pdf","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"a","content":["mid-September poll"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Mainstreet_US_Sept_Debate_2024_Public.pdf","target":"_blank"}}," from Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research thought that tariffs would increase costs for American consumers. Twenty percent thought that the foreign countries would absorb the costs of the tariffs, 22 percent didn't know and 9 percent thought there would be no effect. (Trump has claimed on the campaign trail that ",{"type":"a","content":["foreign countries will pay these tariffs"],"attrs":{"href":"https://x.com/acyn/status/1832508262316699871?s=46","target":"_blank"}},", reminiscent of his 2016 promise that ",{"type":"a","content":["Mexico would pay for a border wall."],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/30/politics/fact-check-trump-mexico-piece-border-wall/index.html","target":"_blank"}},")"]},{"type":"p","content":["A ",{"type":"a","content":["YouGov/Yahoo News survey from late October"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.scribd.com/document/787484182/full-yahoo-20241101","target":"_blank"}}," presented arguments for and against both tariff policies: 44 percent of Americans found the pro-tariff argument that \"hundreds of billions of dollars will come in through tariffs to benefit Americans\" more convincing, while 34 percent were more convinced that the tariffs would be \"effectively a big new sales tax\" and increase inflation as companies pass the costs onto consumers (22 percent were unsure). When a similar question was framed in relation to existing trade policy and principles, though, results were more mixed: In a September ",{"type":"a","content":["University of Maryland poll"],"attrs":{"href":"https://publicconsultation.org/swing-six-it/it/","target":"_blank"}},", only 31 percent of Americans (and 39 percent of Republicans) said the U.S. should impose 10- to 20-percent across-the-board tariffs as opposed to continuing to have low tariffs on a mutual basis with other countries."]},{"type":"p","content":["Meanwhile, a ",{"type":"a","content":["February poll by YouGov for the Cato Institute"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.cato.org/blog/poll-63-americans-want-increase-trade-other-nations-75-worry-tariffs-are-raising-consumer","target":"_blank"}}," (a libertarian think tank that supports free trade) suggested that support for tariffs dropped steeply if they would increase consumer prices or prompt retaliatory tariffs from other countries — both ",{"type":"a","content":["outcomes that economists have suggested are likely"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/Business/would-trumps-tariffs-trigger-global-trade-war-experts/story?id=114887448","target":"_blank"}}," in response to Trump's proposals."]},{"type":"p","content":["Most economists — and ",{"type":"a","content":["some businesses"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/business/energy-environment/trump-oil-gas.html","target":"_blank"}}," — ",{"type":"a","content":["remain skeptical of Trump's economic plans"],"attrs":{"href":"https://qz.com/donald-trump-economy-tariffs-trade-taxes-inflation-fed-1851692901","target":"_blank"}},", but often for complicated, wonky reasons voters may not pay much heed to. Instead, Trump's economic policy proposals seemed to dovetail with and amplify his \"America First\" rhetoric and appeal to voters' dissatisfaction and desire for change on the economy. For example, Trump claimed his proposed tariffs would inspire domestic manufacturing by discouraging reliance on imported goods — though the jury is out on ",{"type":"a","content":["whether tariffs would have this effect"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.wsj.com/business/trump-tariffs-domestic-investors-9bc50df3","target":"_blank"}},", bolstering American manufacturing is a priority ",{"type":"a","content":["widely popular among voters"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-10/Politico%20Canada%20Ipsos%20poll%2010.21.2024.pdf","target":"_blank"}}," across the aisle and one that ",{"type":"a","content":["both parties have argued"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/26/economy/us-manufacturing-trump-harris-plans/index.html","target":"_blank"}}," they would make progress on. But Trump's message seems to have resonated most in an environment where voters persistently ",{"type":"a","content":["remained unhappy with Biden's economy"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/538/voters-bidens-economy/story?id=109749510","target":"_blank"}}," and were voting against it."]},{"type":"inline","content":{"name":"Ad","props":{"ad":{"kvps":{"pos":"fitt-article-inline-outstream-3"},"type":"fitt-article-inline-outstream","className":"fitt-article-inline-outstream"},"placeholders":{"compact":{"ratio":0.5625,"delay":1},"regular":{"ratio":0.5625,"delay":1}}},"context":{},"config":{}}},{"type":"h2","content":["Democracy"]},{"type":"p","content":["A common refrain from Democrats during this campaign season was that Trump posed a threat to American democracy, and the issue of \"democracy\" regularly ranked as a top concern for voters in addition to major policy issues like the economy, immigration and abortion. ",{"type":"a","content":["In focus groups we conducted with PerryUndem earlier this year"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/538/democracy-top-concern-voters-asked/story?id=110341629","target":"_blank"}},", we found that Trump's threats to democracy were a common concern — but while that drove some voters away from Trump, it was also something others were inclined to overlook because they preferred his economic or other policies."]},{"type":"p","content":["Ultimately, Trump's anti-democratic tendencies deeply concerned many Americans — like the half who ",{"type":"a","content":["labeled him a "],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-fascist-concerns-poll/story?id=115083795","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"a","content":["\"fascist\""],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-fascist-concerns-poll/story?id=115083795","target":"_blank"}}," in an October ABC News/Ipsos poll — but some voted for him anyway. That's despite the fact that many also think he will make good on some of his more extreme campaign talking points. Sixty-three percent of respondents in the ",{"type":"a","content":["Ipsos/Reuters post-election poll"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/americans-accept-election-results-even-if-some-are-unhappy-outcome","target":"_blank"}}," said they think Trump will use the Department of Justice to go after people he views as his enemies and 57 percent said they think U.S. institutions will not be able to check his use of power. While those numbers were boosted by almost all Democrats agreeing, both opinions were shared by over half of independents and at least a quarter of Republicans. Fifty-three percent of all respondents also thought Trump would act as a dictator, though only 13 percent of Republicans shared that concern. (Notably, this survey includes the views of people who said they did not vote.)"]},{"type":"p","content":["Potentially balancing that, though, many Americans ",{"type":"em","content":["do"]}," seem to think checks are in place that could prevent Trump from enacting more extreme policies. More than half of Americans and more than six in 10 Republicans in the same Ipsos poll thought that Congress would try to block his agenda, and similar numbers thought unelected civil servants would. Plus, other surveys suggest that Trump supporters are more likely to share Trump's anti-democratic views or believe anti-democratic actions are justified. In a ",{"type":"a","content":["June PRRI survey"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.prri.org/research/one-leader-under-god-the-connection-between-authoritarianism-and-christian-nationalism-in-america/?preview=true","target":"_blank"}},", nearly one-third of pro-Trump Republicans agreed that \"patriots may need to resort to violence in order to save our country.\""]},{"type":"h2","content":["Voters don't like Trump, but don't care"]},{"type":"p","content":["Strikingly, voters still had and have a fairly low view of Trump. In ",{"type":"a","content":["538's favorability tracker"],"attrs":{"href":"https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/","target":"_blank"}},", 52 percent of Americans view him unfavorably, giving him around a -8 net favorability rating. (Though it's an improvement from his ratings right after leaving office, when he was around 18 points underwater.) In a ",{"type":"a","content":["YouGov/Yahoo News poll"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.scribd.com/document/787484182/full-yahoo-20241101","target":"_blank"}}," from right before the election, 42 percent of Americans said Trump was \"dangerous,\" and 41 percent said he was \"extreme on the issues.\" (Fewer — 29 percent and 27 percent, respectively — said the same of Harris.)"]},{"type":"p","content":["In contrast, ",{"type":"a","content":["Harris's net favorability rating"],"attrs":{"href":"https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/","target":"_blank"}}," had briefly broken into positive territory in the run-up to Election Day — though it dipped back to around -2 in early November. In a ",{"type":"a","content":["Pew Research Center survey"],"attrs":{"href":"https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/09/09/harris-and-trumps-personal-traits-and-the-tone-of-their-campaigns/","target":"_blank"}}," from early September, Harris beat Trump on eight of nine positive personal qualities, with Americans saying she was more even-tempered, a good role model, down-to-earth, mentally sharp, honest, cared about the needs of ordinary people, had a good sense of humor and was well-informed, in relation to Trump. Trump beat Harris on one metric, with more respondents saying he \"stands up for what [he believes] in.\" In a ",{"type":"a","content":["Gallup survey of "],"attrs":{"href":"https://news.gallup.com/poll/651692/voters-choice-character-leadership-skill.aspx","target":"_blank"}},{"type":"a","content":["registered voters from September"],"attrs":{"href":"https://news.gallup.com/poll/651692/voters-choice-character-leadership-skill.aspx","target":"_blank"}},", Harris similarly had a large advantage (ranging from 22 to 8 percentage points) over Trump on likability, moral character and honesty."]},{"type":"p","content":["But other intangibles seemed to matter more to voters, driving them to Trump: Voters tended to think of Trump as a stronger leader and as a candidate who represented \"change.\" In the Gallup survey, he had more than a 10-point advantage over Harris when it came to who voters thought \"can get things done\" and \"is a strong and decisive leader.\" That was carried through in ",{"type":"a","content":["exit polls"],"attrs":{"href":"https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/exit-polls-2024-us-presidential-election-results-analysis","target":"_blank"}},": Voters who said a candidate's good judgment or \"car[ing] about people like me\" mattered most to their vote broke decisively for Harris, but more (58 percent) said either leadership ability or ability to bring change mattered most, and those voters broke decisively for Trump."]},{"type":"inline","content":{"name":"MarkupEmbed","props":{"markup":"%3Ciframe%20title%3D%22Trump%20won%20on%20ability%20to%20lead%20and%20bringing%20change%22%20aria-label%3D%22Table%22%20id%3D%22datawrapper-chart-880aB%22%20src%3D%22https%3A//datawrapper.dwcdn.net/880aB/5/%22%20scrolling%3D%22no%22%20frameborder%3D%220%22%20style%3D%22width%3A%200%3B%20min-width%3A%20100%25%20%21important%3B%20border%3A%20none%3B%22%20height%3D%22391%22%20data-external%3D%221%22%3E%3C/iframe%3E%3Cscript%20type%3D%22text/javascript%22%3E%21function%28%29%7B%22use%20strict%22%3Bwindow.addEventListener%28%22message%22%2C%28function%28a%29%7Bif%28void%200%21%3D%3Da.data%5B%22datawrapper-height%22%5D%29%7Bvar%20e%3Ddocument.querySelectorAll%28%22iframe%22%29%3Bfor%28var%20t%20in%20a.data%5B%22datawrapper-height%22%5D%29for%28var%20r%3D0%3Br%3Ce.length%3Br++%29if%28e%5Br%5D.contentWindow%3D%3D%3Da.source%29%7Bvar%20i%3Da.data%5B%22datawrapper-height%22%5D%5Bt%5D+%22px%22%3Be%5Br%5D.style.height%3Di%7D%7D%7D%29%29%7D%28%29%3B%3C/script%3E","caption":{"title":"","source":""},"encMethod":"esc","useSafeFrame":false,"requestProps":{"stateKey":"markup"}},"context":{},"config":{"align":"full"}}},{"type":"p","content":["In all, whether voters liked or even trusted Trump didn't matter as much as the policies and change he represented and the fact that they thought he was ready and able to do the job, regardless of what he said on the campaign trail."]},{"type":"p","content":[{"type":"em","content":["Mary Radcliffe and Cooper Burton contributed research."]}]}]],"blockquote":{"simple":true,"disableQuotationMark":true},"dateline":"","wordCount":2821},"config":{"gridDisplayMode":"none"},"usesArticleObject":true},{"name":"RelatedTags","props":{"heading":"Related Topics","tags":[{"label":"538","href":"/alerts/538"}]},"config":{},"usesArticleObject":true},{"name":"ArticleFooter","props":{"key":"footer-undefined","shareURLs":{},"title":"","dividerData":{"logoAlt":"ABC News","logoSrc":"https://s.abcnews.com/assets/dtci/icomoon/svg/logo.svg","logoSize":"xxxl","logoDefaultImg":"https://s.abcnews.com/assets/dtci/icomoon/svg/logo.svg","logoHeight":56,"logoWidth":112,"className":"StoryDivider--logo"},"socialShareSize":16,"showComments":true},"config":{}},{"name":"Taboola","props":{"data":{"network":"abcnews-abcnews","mode":"thumbnails-a","container":"taboola-below-article-thumbnails","type":"article","targetType":"mix","placement":"Below Article Thumbnails"},"src":"https://abcnews.go.com/538/voters-chose-trump/story?id=115827243","position":"bottom","pageType":"article"},"config":{},"usesArticleObject":true}],"topComponents":[],"endComponents":[{"name":"NewsletterForm","props":{"articleConfig":{"align":"full"},"placement":"sidebar","isCloseable":false,"heading":"Want the latest politics news? 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Trump won over voters","imgSrc":"https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/a1b380d8-e17b-4024-9841-1dd17c7a70a5/PollaPalooza_16x9_v01_DG_1731516166285_hpMain_16x9.jpg?w=992","ratio":"16x9","featuredMedia":false,"sources":{"large":"https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/a1b380d8-e17b-4024-9841-1dd17c7a70a5/PollaPalooza_16x9_v01_DG_1731516166285_hpMain_16x9.jpg?w=992","medium":"https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/a1b380d8-e17b-4024-9841-1dd17c7a70a5/PollaPalooza_16x9_v01_DG_1731516166285_hpMain_16x9.jpg?w=608","small":"https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/a1b380d8-e17b-4024-9841-1dd17c7a70a5/PollaPalooza_16x9_v01_DG_1731516166285_hpMain_16x9.jpg?w=384"}},"showAds":true,"aspectRatio":"16x9","hasSplitLead":false,"playlist":[{"pid":"115567593","aspectRatio":"16x9","description":"","title":""},{"pid":"71045364","aspectRatio":"16x9","description":"","title":""},{"pid":"41463246","aspectRatio":"16x9","description":"","title":""}],"isLeadVideo":true,"isLiveBlog":false,"ambient":false,"title":"How Trump won over voters","description":"As Donald Trump prepares for a second term as president, 538 dug into the polls to see what Americans think about his policy opinions and rhetoric","credit":"ABC News Photo Illustration, AP Photo/Alex Brandon","streams":{"m3u8":{"16x9":"https://service-pkgabcnews.akamaized.net/opp/hls/abcnews/2024/11/241106_538_politicspod_clip3_,500,800,1200,1800,2500,3200,4500,.mp4.csmil/playlist.m3u8"}},"autoplay":true,"muted":true,"shouldDockPlayer":true,"section":"538","appProps":{"apiEnv":"prod"}},"section":"538","appProps":{"apiEnv":"prod"}}},"imageProps":{"caption":{"credit":"ABC News Photo Illustration, AP Photo/Alex Brandon","text":"As Donald Trump prepares for a second term as president, 538 dug into the polls to see what Americans think about his policy opinions and rhetoric","lines":4,"showMoreAriaLabel":"Show More about Image Caption"},"image":{"alt":"As Donald Trump prepares for a second term as president, 538 dug into the polls to see what Americans think about his policy opinions and rhetoric","src":"https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/a1b380d8-e17b-4024-9841-1dd17c7a70a5/PollaPalooza_16x9_v01_DG_1731516166285_hpMain_16x9.jpg?w=1600","sources":[{"min":0,"max":374,"src":{"x1":"https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/a1b380d8-e17b-4024-9841-1dd17c7a70a5/PollaPalooza_16x9_v01_DG_1731516166285_hpMain_16x9.jpg?w=384"}},{"min":375,"max":693,"src":{"x1":"https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/a1b380d8-e17b-4024-9841-1dd17c7a70a5/PollaPalooza_16x9_v01_DG_1731516166285_hpMain_16x9.jpg?w=608"}},{"min":694,"src":{"x1":"https://i.abcnewsfe.com/a/a1b380d8-e17b-4024-9841-1dd17c7a70a5/PollaPalooza_16x9_v01_DG_1731516166285_hpMain_16x9.jpg?w=1600"}}]}},"body":"<p>President-elect Donald Trump has been a divisive, <a href=\"https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/\" target=\"_blank\">unpopular</a> political figure for years, and he remains so. Even as he improved on his previous two runs for office by winning the popular vote, it seems Americans by and large didn't change their minds about Trump personally — many still have misgivings about his character and bombastic, sometimes anti-democratic campaign rhetoric. So what drove so many to vote for him?</p><p><inline1></p><p>An analysis of 2024 exit polls show a clear divide based on what issues voters say most impacted who they voted for. Around a third of voters ranked each of \"the state of democracy\" and \"the economy\" as their most important issue. Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump, respectively, each had sizable advantages among voters who prioritized these issues. After those, though, Trump had an edge: Harris won around three in four voters who prioritized abortion, but Trump's advantage was even greater among those who prioritized immigration, and he won a solid majority of the smaller share who prioritized foreign policy.</p><p>These numbers suggest that Trump won on immigration and the economy, while losing on abortion and democracy. We took a deep dive into polling to see what Americans think about Trump's policies and rhetoric, and how these opinions helped Trump win. Ultimately, many Americans agreed with his hardline stances on immigration and bought into his message on the economy, while they didn't necessarily think he would act on his more extreme anti-democratic statements or enact unpopular abortion restrictions.</p><h2>Immigration</h2><p>Since the start of his <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-mexico-vice-versa/story?id=41767704\" target=\"_blank\">2016 presidential run</a>, Trump has made curbing immigration into the United States a signature piece of his campaigns — including through often-inflammatory anti-immigrant rhetoric suggesting that dangerous criminals <a href=\"https://www.themarshallproject.org/2024/10/21/fact-check-12000-trump-statements-immigrants\" target=\"_blank\">are </a><a href=\"https://www.themarshallproject.org/2024/10/21/fact-check-12000-trump-statements-immigrants\" target=\"_blank\">\"flooding\"</a><a href=\"https://www.themarshallproject.org/2024/10/21/fact-check-12000-trump-statements-immigrants\" target=\"_blank\"> the country</a> through the southern border with Mexico. Many of Trump's oft-repeated claims about immigration <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/18/us/politics/trump-immigration-fact-check.html\" target=\"_blank\">have been proven false</a>, such as <a href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/18/politics/fact-check-trump-october-immigration/index.html\" target=\"_blank\">his claims this year that immigrants coming into the country</a> were released from \"insane asylums\" — possibly a mixup with the term '<a href=\"https://time.com/7006684/trump-asylum-mariel-history/\" target=\"_blank\">political asylum</a>,' which many are seeking when they arrive at the border — and the online conspiracy theory that gangs from Venezuela <a href=\"https://www.npr.org/2024/09/06/nx-s1-5100765/aurora-police-chief-says-theres-no-evidence-that-venezuelan-gang-took-over-apartment\" target=\"_blank\">had taken over apartment buildings in Aurora, Colorado</a>.</p><p>During the presidential debate in September, Trump also repeated a false claim <a href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/15/politics/vance-immigrants-pets-springfield-ohio-cnntv/index.html\" target=\"_blank\">amplified by Vice President-elect JD Vance</a> that illegal Haitian immigrants in Springfield, Ohio, were <a href=\"https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c77l28myezko\" target=\"_blank\">eating local dogs, cats and other pets</a>. (A post-debate <a href=\"https://ygo-assets-websites-editorial-emea.yougov.net/documents/Reactions_to_Harris_Trump_Debate_poll_results.pdf#page=6\" target=\"_blank\">YouGov poll</a> found that 54 percent of Americans thought that claim was probably or definitely false, but 52 percent of those who planned to vote for Trump said it was probably or definitely true.)</p><p>But these sometimes outlandish statements were part of a broader strategy by Trump and Republicans to underscore what they see as the negative impacts of immigration, and that <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/538/immigration-driving-support-gop-primary/story?id=106777173\" target=\"_blank\">strategy seems to have been effective</a> this year. Republicans have blamed the Biden administration for what they say is lax border security, although — under pressure from Trump — they <a href=\"https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/senate-republicans-block-border-security-bill-campaign-border-chaos-rcna153607\" target=\"_blank\">scuttled a bipartisan border security and immigration reform bill</a> supported by President Joe Biden that would have enhanced border security while also tackling other areas of immigration reform. The move may have <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/538/democrats-pushing-hard-border-bill/story?id=106908843\" target=\"_blank\">helped Trump maintain his advantage on immigration</a>, as he continued to lambast the Biden-Harris administration's handling of the issue on the campaign trail and promised \"mass deportations\" of illegal immigrants.</p><p>While Trump's proposals for an extreme crackdown on immigration are a vague promise that many <a href=\"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/trumps-victory-wont-halt-migration-experts-say\" target=\"_blank\">experts say wouldn't work</a> and <a href=\"https://cmsny.org/publications/mass-deportations-impoverish-us-families-create-immense-costs/\" target=\"_blank\">would likely be difficult and expensive to carry out</a>, they may have resonated, as voters <a href=\"https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/how-impactful-will-immigration-be-election\" target=\"_blank\">continued to worry about immigration</a> and said they <a href=\"https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/50846-donald-trump-leads-on-immigration-and-inflation-kamala-harris-on-abortion-and-health-care\" target=\"_blank\">trusted Trump more than Biden or Harris to deal with the issue</a>. An <a href=\"https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-10/ABC%20News%20Ipsos%20Topline%2010.13.2024.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">ABC News/Ipsos poll</a> also from early October found that 56 percent of adults supported deporting <em>all</em> undocumented immigrants in the U.S., up from just 36 percent who said they generally thought undocumented immigrants should be deported in March 2016, during Trump's first campaign. Back then, half of voters said those immigrants should be allowed to stay.</p><p>In a <a href=\"https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/MLSPSC22ToplinesLV_NationalIssues.html#K1A:_Deportation,_v1\" target=\"_blank\">Marquette University Law School</a> poll from early October, 58 percent of likely voters similarly said they somewhat or strongly favored \"deporting immigrants who are living in the United States illegally.\" Notably, though, that number dropped to 37 percent if the question specified undocumented immigrants who had been in the country for a number of years, are employed and have no criminal record, suggesting that Republican messaging about the dangers posed by illegal immigrants has been effective — but could also be countered with different messaging.</p><p>A poll from the <a href=\"https://publicconsultation.org/ss-immigration/ss-im-im/\" target=\"_blank\">University of Maryland Program for Public Consultation</a> similarly showed that question wording and additional information made a difference in how people felt about mass deportations. When presented with arguments for and against mass deportations, they found both sides' arguments convincing, and support for the policy was ultimately lower than in other surveys that did not present these arguments.</p><p>This polling suggests that directly calling out potential negative effects of deportations might have helped Harris erode support for Trump's plan. Her campaign instead tended to focus on Trump's (and <a href=\"https://democrats.org/news/jd-vance-sided-with-donald-trump-over-the-border-patrol-when-he-followed-trumps-orders-to-kill-bipartisan-border-deal/\" target=\"_blank\">Vance's</a>) influence on Congress to <a href=\"https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/watch-harris-blames-trump-for-killing-bipartisan-border-bill\" target=\"_blank\">tank the bipartisan border law</a> earlier this year. While <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/538/americans-climate-change-love/story?id=107027932\" target=\"_blank\">that bill's immigration provisions were widely popular</a> among Americans at the time, Trump seemed to confuse the matter — first preempting the attacks by <a href=\"https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4433785-trump-says-blame-it-on-me-border-bill-fails/\" target=\"_blank\">inviting blame</a>, then changing tune and <a href=\"https://x.com/Acyn/status/1840129073831653564\" target=\"_blank\">attacking the bill head-on</a> while misrepresenting its policies.</p><p>Rhetoric aside, Americans want Trump to make immigration a priority. In an <a href=\"https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/americans-accept-election-results-even-if-some-are-unhappy-outcome\" target=\"_blank\">Ipsos/Reuters poll</a> after the election, a quarter said immigration is the top domestic issue they wanted to see Trump tackle in his first 100 days in office, making it the top issue overall. And whether or not they support his immigration policies, Americans expect him to follow through: 82 percent in that survey thought he would institute mass deportations. Trump seems inclined to capitalize on this, and the reality of what mass deportations might entail may soon become clear. The president-elect has already named immigration hardliner Stephen Miller as <a href=\"https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/11/11/stephen-miller-trump-white-house-deputy-chief-staff/76195963007/\" target=\"_blank\">his incoming deputy chief of staff</a>, and has named <a href=\"https://www.npr.org/2024/11/11/nx-s1-5186522/tom-homan-border-czar-trump\" target=\"_blank\">Tom Homan</a>, a former Immigrations and Customs Enforcement official and an architect of the family separation policy in Trump's first term, as his \"border czar,\" an advisory role that doesn't require Senate confirmation.</p><h2>Abortion</h2><p>While immigration seemed to drive voters toward Trump and Republicans, abortion has been <a href=\"https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dobbs-abortion-opinion-liability-republicans/\" target=\"_blank\">a weak spot for Republicans</a> since the overturning of Roe v. Wade two years ago. Most Americans <a href=\"https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/05/13/broad-public-support-for-legal-abortion-persists-2-years-after-dobbs/\" target=\"_blank\">prefer abortion to be legal in all or most circumstances</a>, and the various bans or restrictions <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/abortion-laws-roe-v-wade.html\" target=\"_blank\">that went into effect in </a><a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/abortion-laws-roe-v-wade.html\" target=\"_blank\">21</a><a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/abortion-laws-roe-v-wade.html\" target=\"_blank\"> states after Roe fell</a> are extremely unpopular. Indeed, <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/state-state-breakdown-abortion-stands-after-ballot-initiatives/story?id=115730446\" target=\"_blank\">seven of the 10</a><a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/GMA/state-state-breakdown-abortion-stands-after-ballot-initiatives/story?id=115730446\" target=\"_blank\"> states</a> that had abortion-rights initiatives on the ballot last week passed those protections, making abortion a constitutional right in those states.</p><p>But polling shows that, unlike immigration, abortion wasn't a top issue for most voters who planned to vote for Trump. AP VoteCast, a large survey conducted after the election, found that <a href=\"https://kffhealthnews.org/news/article/ap-votecast-poll-abortion-economy-trump/\" target=\"_blank\">about </a><a href=\"https://kffhealthnews.org/news/article/ap-votecast-poll-abortion-economy-trump/\" target=\"_blank\">three in ten voters</a> who supported abortion-rights initiatives in Arizona, Missouri and Nevada also voted for Trump. That echoed the results of an analysis by PerryUndem <a href=\"https://tfn.org/cms/assets/uploads/2024/06/PerryUndem-Tracking-Abortion-Opinion-2024-compressed.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">of their April survey data</a>, which found that 35 percent of 2020 Trump voters (especially those who were women, younger, or voters of color) would at least lean toward voting for a constitutional amendment that protected the right to abortion in their state.</p><p>It may be that voters who supported abortion rights simply placed a higher priority on issues like the economy in deciding to support Trump. But another important stat could also explain their votes: Unlike with immigration, most voters <em>don't</em> believe Trump will restrict abortion nationwide, despite long-standing pressure within the Republican Party to pass a national ban. Forty-nine percent of all likely voters and just 27 percent of Republicans in a September <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/08/us/politics/times-siena-poll-likely-electorate-crosstabs.html\" target=\"_blank\">New York Times/Siena College poll</a> thought he would support a national ban. In the <a href=\"https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-11/Reuters%20Ipsos%20Post%20Election%20Survey%20Topline%2011%208%202024%20PDF.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Ipsos/Reuters post-election poll</a>, 60 percent of registered voters and only around a third of Republicans thought he would more broadly sign a federal law \"imposing new restrictions on abortions.\" The fact that many voters thought they could reelect Trump without compromising abortion rights likely helped neutralize Democrats' advantage on this hot-button issue.</p><h2>Economy</h2><p>Dissatisfaction with the economy was a top concern for voters throughout Biden's presidency, and a <a href=\"https://apnews.com/article/ap-votecast-trump-harris-election-president-voters-86225516e8424431ab1d19e57a74f198\" target=\"_blank\">big reason voters gave for supporting Trump over Harris</a>. Despite the fact that the <a href=\"https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/10/31/economy-election-inflation-voters/\" target=\"_blank\">economy is performing extremely well on many measures</a>, Harris's campaign faced an uphill battle in distancing itself from voter's perceptions that the economy was worse off under Biden, as consumer prices remain elevated and <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/538/vibes-americans-perception-economy-completely-changed/story?id=111211869\" target=\"_blank\">the ways Americans perceive the economy have shifted in the wake of COVID-19</a>. Indeed, how voters felt about their personal financial situation and the national economy were strong indicators of whether they supported Harris or Trump, <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/exit-polls-2024-us-presidential-election-results-analysis\" target=\"_blank\">per this year's exit polls</a>: For example, around 90 percent who said the economy was \"excellent\" or \"good\" supported Harris, while strong majorities of the larger share who said the economy was \"not so good\" or \"poor\" supported Trump.</p><p>Most of Trump's economic promises centered on <a href=\"https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidblackmon/2024/11/11/drill-baby-drill-is-a-political-slogan-not-a-business-plan/\" target=\"_blank\">boosting domestic oil drilling</a> and <a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/11/trump-tax-cut-promises-gop-deficit-hawks-congress-debt.html\" target=\"_blank\">reducing both corporate and individual taxes</a>, especially on tips and overtime, echoing conservative economic principles that Republicans have long favored. But another of his most high-profile campaign promises has been to raise <a href=\"https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/11/trump-tariff-threat-looms-large-on-many-asian-countries-not-just-china.html\" target=\"_blank\">tariffs on goods imported from foreign countries</a>, a proposal that's put him <a href=\"https://www.semafor.com/article/09/12/2024/trumps-tariff-plans-worry-hill-republicans-but-they-may-not-stop-him\" target=\"_blank\">at odds with many in his own party</a> but picked up public support. In an <a href=\"https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-10/Politico%20Canada%20Ipsos%20poll%2010.21.2024.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Ipsos poll for Politico Canada</a>, 52 percent of Americans supported across-the-board tariffs of 10 to 20 percent on all imported goods, and 53 percent supported a <a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2024-11-11/us-china-trade-war-what-will-beijing-do-if-trump-deals-tariff-blow\" target=\"_blank\">60 percent tariff on goods imported from China</a> — both policies Trump has floated this year.</p><p>But tariffs are admittedly a complicated policy issue, and ultimately it's not clear that many voters understand that American companies pay the tariffs on goods they import, and <a href=\"https://www.nbcchicago.com/illinois-election-2024/what-are-tariffs-and-what-could-they-mean-for-you-what-to-know-after-trump-wins/3596207/\" target=\"_blank\">often pass those costs onto consumers</a> in the form of higher prices. Fewer than half of registered voters surveyed in <a href=\"https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Mainstreet_US_Sept_Debate_2024_Public.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">a </a><a href=\"https://www.faupolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/Mainstreet_US_Sept_Debate_2024_Public.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">mid-September poll</a> from Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research thought that tariffs would increase costs for American consumers. Twenty percent thought that the foreign countries would absorb the costs of the tariffs, 22 percent didn't know and 9 percent thought there would be no effect. (Trump has claimed on the campaign trail that <a href=\"https://x.com/acyn/status/1832508262316699871?s=46\" target=\"_blank\">foreign countries will pay these tariffs</a>, reminiscent of his 2016 promise that <a href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/30/politics/fact-check-trump-mexico-piece-border-wall/index.html\" target=\"_blank\">Mexico would pay for a border wall.</a>)</p><p>A <a href=\"https://www.scribd.com/document/787484182/full-yahoo-20241101\" target=\"_blank\">YouGov/Yahoo News survey from late October</a> presented arguments for and against both tariff policies: 44 percent of Americans found the pro-tariff argument that \"hundreds of billions of dollars will come in through tariffs to benefit Americans\" more convincing, while 34 percent were more convinced that the tariffs would be \"effectively a big new sales tax\" and increase inflation as companies pass the costs onto consumers (22 percent were unsure). When a similar question was framed in relation to existing trade policy and principles, though, results were more mixed: In a September <a href=\"https://publicconsultation.org/swing-six-it/it/\" target=\"_blank\">University of Maryland poll</a>, only 31 percent of Americans (and 39 percent of Republicans) said the U.S. should impose 10- to 20-percent across-the-board tariffs as opposed to continuing to have low tariffs on a mutual basis with other countries.</p><p>Meanwhile, a <a href=\"https://www.cato.org/blog/poll-63-americans-want-increase-trade-other-nations-75-worry-tariffs-are-raising-consumer\" target=\"_blank\">February poll by YouGov for the Cato Institute</a> (a libertarian think tank that supports free trade) suggested that support for tariffs dropped steeply if they would increase consumer prices or prompt retaliatory tariffs from other countries — both <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/Business/would-trumps-tariffs-trigger-global-trade-war-experts/story?id=114887448\" target=\"_blank\">outcomes that economists have suggested are likely</a> in response to Trump's proposals.</p><p>Most economists — and <a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/07/business/energy-environment/trump-oil-gas.html\" target=\"_blank\">some businesses</a> — <a href=\"https://qz.com/donald-trump-economy-tariffs-trade-taxes-inflation-fed-1851692901\" target=\"_blank\">remain skeptical of Trump's economic plans</a>, but often for complicated, wonky reasons voters may not pay much heed to. Instead, Trump's economic policy proposals seemed to dovetail with and amplify his \"America First\" rhetoric and appeal to voters' dissatisfaction and desire for change on the economy. For example, Trump claimed his proposed tariffs would inspire domestic manufacturing by discouraging reliance on imported goods — though the jury is out on <a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/business/trump-tariffs-domestic-investors-9bc50df3\" target=\"_blank\">whether tariffs would have this effect</a>, bolstering American manufacturing is a priority <a href=\"https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2024-10/Politico%20Canada%20Ipsos%20poll%2010.21.2024.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">widely popular among voters</a> across the aisle and one that <a href=\"https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/26/economy/us-manufacturing-trump-harris-plans/index.html\" target=\"_blank\">both parties have argued</a> they would make progress on. But Trump's message seems to have resonated most in an environment where voters persistently <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/538/voters-bidens-economy/story?id=109749510\" target=\"_blank\">remained unhappy with Biden's economy</a> and were voting against it.</p><h2>Democracy</h2><p>A common refrain from Democrats during this campaign season was that Trump posed a threat to American democracy, and the issue of \"democracy\" regularly ranked as a top concern for voters in addition to major policy issues like the economy, immigration and abortion. <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/538/democracy-top-concern-voters-asked/story?id=110341629\" target=\"_blank\">In focus groups we conducted with PerryUndem earlier this year</a>, we found that Trump's threats to democracy were a common concern — but while that drove some voters away from Trump, it was also something others were inclined to overlook because they preferred his economic or other policies.</p><p>Ultimately, Trump's anti-democratic tendencies deeply concerned many Americans — like the half who <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-fascist-concerns-poll/story?id=115083795\" target=\"_blank\">labeled him a </a><a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/donald-trump-fascist-concerns-poll/story?id=115083795\" target=\"_blank\">\"fascist\"</a> in an October ABC News/Ipsos poll — but some voted for him anyway. That's despite the fact that many also think he will make good on some of his more extreme campaign talking points. Sixty-three percent of respondents in the <a href=\"https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/americans-accept-election-results-even-if-some-are-unhappy-outcome\" target=\"_blank\">Ipsos/Reuters post-election poll</a> said they think Trump will use the Department of Justice to go after people he views as his enemies and 57 percent said they think U.S. institutions will not be able to check his use of power. While those numbers were boosted by almost all Democrats agreeing, both opinions were shared by over half of independents and at least a quarter of Republicans. Fifty-three percent of all respondents also thought Trump would act as a dictator, though only 13 percent of Republicans shared that concern. (Notably, this survey includes the views of people who said they did not vote.)</p><p>Potentially balancing that, though, many Americans <em>do</em> seem to think checks are in place that could prevent Trump from enacting more extreme policies. More than half of Americans and more than six in 10 Republicans in the same Ipsos poll thought that Congress would try to block his agenda, and similar numbers thought unelected civil servants would. Plus, other surveys suggest that Trump supporters are more likely to share Trump's anti-democratic views or believe anti-democratic actions are justified. In a <a href=\"https://www.prri.org/research/one-leader-under-god-the-connection-between-authoritarianism-and-christian-nationalism-in-america/?preview=true\" target=\"_blank\">June PRRI survey</a>, nearly one-third of pro-Trump Republicans agreed that \"patriots may need to resort to violence in order to save our country.\"</p><h2>Voters don't like Trump, but don't care</h2><p>Strikingly, voters still had and have a fairly low view of Trump. In <a href=\"https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/\" target=\"_blank\">538's favorability tracker</a>, 52 percent of Americans view him unfavorably, giving him around a -8 net favorability rating. (Though it's an improvement from his ratings right after leaving office, when he was around 18 points underwater.) In a <a href=\"https://www.scribd.com/document/787484182/full-yahoo-20241101\" target=\"_blank\">YouGov/Yahoo News poll</a> from right before the election, 42 percent of Americans said Trump was \"dangerous,\" and 41 percent said he was \"extreme on the issues.\" (Fewer — 29 percent and 27 percent, respectively — said the same of Harris.)</p><p>In contrast, <a href=\"https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/\" target=\"_blank\">Harris's net favorability rating</a> had briefly broken into positive territory in the run-up to Election Day — though it dipped back to around -2 in early November. In a <a href=\"https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/09/09/harris-and-trumps-personal-traits-and-the-tone-of-their-campaigns/\" target=\"_blank\">Pew Research Center survey</a> from early September, Harris beat Trump on eight of nine positive personal qualities, with Americans saying she was more even-tempered, a good role model, down-to-earth, mentally sharp, honest, cared about the needs of ordinary people, had a good sense of humor and was well-informed, in relation to Trump. Trump beat Harris on one metric, with more respondents saying he \"stands up for what [he believes] in.\" In a <a href=\"https://news.gallup.com/poll/651692/voters-choice-character-leadership-skill.aspx\" target=\"_blank\">Gallup survey of </a><a href=\"https://news.gallup.com/poll/651692/voters-choice-character-leadership-skill.aspx\" target=\"_blank\">registered voters from September</a>, Harris similarly had a large advantage (ranging from 22 to 8 percentage points) over Trump on likability, moral character and honesty.</p><p>But other intangibles seemed to matter more to voters, driving them to Trump: Voters tended to think of Trump as a stronger leader and as a candidate who represented \"change.\" In the Gallup survey, he had more than a 10-point advantage over Harris when it came to who voters thought \"can get things done\" and \"is a strong and decisive leader.\" That was carried through in <a href=\"https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/exit-polls-2024-us-presidential-election-results-analysis\" target=\"_blank\">exit polls</a>: Voters who said a candidate's good judgment or \"car[ing] about people like me\" mattered most to their vote broke decisively for Harris, but more (58 percent) said either leadership ability or ability to bring change mattered most, and those voters broke decisively for Trump.</p><p><inline2></p><p>In all, whether voters liked or even trusted Trump didn't matter as much as the policies and change he represented and the fact that they thought he was ready and able to do the job, regardless of what he said on the campaign trail.</p><p><em>Mary Radcliffe and Cooper Burton contributed research.</em></p>","publishedDate":"2024-11-14T21:07:42Z","contributors":[{"name":"Monica Potts","url":"https://abcnews.go.com/author/monica_potts","role":"","logo":"","logoAlt":"","units":[{}],"bureaus":[{}],"affiliateLogo":"https://s.abcnews.com/assets/dtci/random/svg/fivethirtyeight_logo.svg","affiliateUrl":"https://abcnews.com/538","affiliate":"via five thirty eight"}],"authorsStr":"Monica Potts","modifiedDate":"2024-11-14T21:09:53Z","section":"538","wordCount":2914,"relatedTags":{"heading":"Related Topics","tags":[{"label":"538","href":"/alerts/538"}]},"lead":{"ratio":"16x9","disableForMobile":false,"type":"xl","mediaType":"video","alignCaptionToBody":true},"ads":{"Sticky":{"kvps":{"test":true}},"RightRail":{"kvps":{"test":true}},"InlineBox":{},"InlineOutstream":{"disabled":false},"Taboola":{"position":"bottom","pageType":"article","config":{"network":"abcnews-abcnews","mode":"thumbnails-a","container":"taboola-below-article-thumbnails","type":"article","targetType":"mix","placement":"Below Article Thumbnails"}}},"featuredVideo":{"id":"115567593","type":"video","locator":"https://abcnews.go.com/538/video/trump-won-voters-115567593","issued":"2024-11-06T16:43:38Z","created":"2024-11-06T16:43:38Z","modified":"2024-11-06T22:38:21Z","date":"2024-11-06T16:43:38Z","keywords":["2024 elections","trump popularity","donald trump","kamala harris","Video","115567593"],"section":"538","genre":"Politics","title":"How Trump won over voters","headline":"How Trump won over voters","shortHeadline":"How Trump won over voters","linkHeadline":"How Trump won over voters","description":"The 538 team discusses how Donald Trump won the election despite being disliked by a majority of Americans. 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