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(PDF) Passenger Ship Safety - Science Paving the Way | Luis Guarin and Dracos Vassalos - Academia.edu

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[{"id":48599741,"identifier":"Attachment_48599741","shouldShowBulkDownload":false}]; window.loswp.shouldDetectTimezone = true; window.loswp.shouldShowBulkDownload = true; window.loswp.showSignupCaptcha = false window.loswp.willEdgeCache = false; window.loswp.work = {"work":{"id":7100711,"created_at":"2014-05-20T00:53:01.053-07:00","from_world_paper_id":124598880,"updated_at":"2024-11-11T21:19:12.456-08:00","_data":{"grobid_abstract":"The prevailing regulatory framework addressing ship safety originates in some distant past and carries a heavy \"baggage\" of experiential determinism and rules of thumb; all throwing a smoke screen onto science and quenching most attempts to dealing with safety in a scientific, all embracing and systematic approach. Goal-Based Standards are meant to provide anew impetus to achieve this but experience so far suggests if anything even more determinism and even less science in the strife to face uncertainty and complexity with only \"crumbs\" of understanding of the real issues at hand. There is only one real exception, giving science the opportunity and all of us hope that scientific approaches to addressing safety will at long last be called upon to pave and lead the way: [Large] Passenger Ship Safety. Nothing is meant to be preconceived here; safety can have a field day before it is cut down to face reality and cost. Goal-Based Approaches, Casualty Threshold, Safe Haven, Safe Area, \"Zero\" Tolerance in human life loss, De-risked Ships; all goes and is being seriously discussed at IMO. This paper presents a critique of recent developments at IMO, in particular the new probabilistic rules of damage stability calculations, in an attempt to demonstrate the need to use knowledge in all its forms to make a difference in safety improvement before proceeding to suggesting a workable approach to address one exciting development in the regulatory front: Casualty Threshold. Emphasis is placed on explaining the framework that could embrace and support such development and on the pre-requisite scientific knowledge to realise it.","grobid_abstract_attachment_id":"48599741"},"document_type":"paper","pre_hit_view_count_baseline":null,"quality":"high","language":"en","title":"Passenger Ship Safety - Science Paving the Way","broadcastable":true,"draft":null,"has_indexable_attachment":true,"indexable":true}}["work"]; window.loswp.workCoauthors = [12203907,34245936]; window.loswp.locale = "en"; window.loswp.countryCode = "SG"; window.loswp.cwvAbTestBucket = ""; window.loswp.designVariant = "ds_vanilla"; window.loswp.fullPageMobileSutdModalVariant = "full_page_mobile_sutd_modal"; window.loswp.useOptimizedScribd4genScript = false; window.loswp.appleClientId = 'edu.academia.applesignon';</script><script defer="" src="https://accounts.google.com/gsi/client"></script><div class="ds-loswp-container"><div class="ds-work-card--grid-container"><div 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class="ds-work-cover--ribbon-container">Download Free PDF</div><div class="ds-work-cover--ribbon-triangle"></div></button></div></div></div><div class="ds-work-card--work-information"><h1 class="ds-work-card--work-title">Passenger Ship Safety - Science Paving the Way</h1><div class="ds-work-card--work-authors ds-work-card--detail"><a class="ds-work-card--author js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="12203907" href="https://independent.academia.edu/LuisGuarin"><img alt="Profile image of Luis Guarin" class="ds-work-card--author-avatar" src="//a.academia-assets.com/images/s65_no_pic.png" />Luis Guarin</a><a class="ds-work-card--author js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="34245936" href="https://independent.academia.edu/DracosVassalos"><img alt="Profile image of Dracos Vassalos" class="ds-work-card--author-avatar" src="//a.academia-assets.com/images/s65_no_pic.png" />Dracos Vassalos</a></div><div 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data-landing_url="https://www.academia.edu/7100711/Passenger_Ship_Safety_Science_Paving_the_Way" data-login_uri="https://www.academia.edu/registrations/google_one_tap" data-moment_callback="onGoogleOneTapEvent" id="g_id_onload"></div><div class="ds-top-related-works--grid-container"><div class="ds-related-content--container ds-top-related-works--container"><h2 class="ds-related-content--heading">Related papers</h2><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="0" data-entity-id="11208731" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/11208731/GOALDS_Goal_Based_Damage_Ship_Stability_and_safety_standards">GOALDS—Goal Based Damage Ship Stability and safety standards</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="38600549" href="https://independent.academia.edu/ByungLee2">Byung 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ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/113436861/Regulatory_design_operational_and_emergency_response_measures_for_improving_the_damage_survivability_of_existing_passenger_ships">Regulatory, design, operational and emergency response measures for improving the damage survivability of existing passenger ships</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="34245936" href="https://independent.academia.edu/DracosVassalos">Dracos Vassalos</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">2014</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{&quot;location&quot;:&quot;wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal&quot;,&quot;work_title&quot;:&quot;Regulatory, design, operational and emergency response measures for improving the damage survivability of existing passenger 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data-entity-id="18166919" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/18166919/GOALDS_Goal_Based_Damage_Stability_for_Passenger_Ships">GOALDS - Goal Based Damage Stability for Passenger Ships</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="27233116" href="https://ntua.academia.edu/ApostolosPapanikolaou">Apostolos Papanikolaou</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--abstract ds2-5-body-sm">The new probabilistic damaged stability regulations for dry cargo and passenger ships (SOLAS 2009), which entered into force on January 1, 2009, represent a major step forward in achieving an improved safety standard through the rationalization and harmonization of damaged stability requirements. There are, however, serious concerns regarding the adopted formulation for the calculation of the survival probability of passenger ships and the associated required subdivision indices, particularly for RoPax and large cruise ships. The present paper outlines the objectives, the methodology of work and main results of the EU-funded FP7 project GOALDS (Goal Based Damage Stability, 2009-2012), which aims to address the above shortcomings by formulating a new rational, goal-based regulatory framework, properly accounting for the damage stability properties of passenger ships and the risk to people onboard.</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{&quot;location&quot;:&quot;wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal&quot;,&quot;work_title&quot;:&quot;GOALDS - Goal Based Damage Stability for Passenger Ships&quot;,&quot;attachmentId&quot;:39911522,&quot;attachmentType&quot;:&quot;pdf&quot;,&quot;work_url&quot;:&quot;https://www.academia.edu/18166919/GOALDS_Goal_Based_Damage_Stability_for_Passenger_Ships&quot;,&quot;alternativeTracking&quot;:true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/18166919/GOALDS_Goal_Based_Damage_Stability_for_Passenger_Ships"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="4" data-entity-id="64755621" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/64755621/Damage_stability_requirements_for_passenger_ships_collision_risk_based_cost_benefit_assessment">Damage stability requirements for passenger ships : collision risk based cost benefit assessment</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="34245936" href="https://independent.academia.edu/DracosVassalos">Dracos Vassalos</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">2015</p><p class="ds-related-work--abstract ds2-5-body-sm">Currently built passenger ships have to comply with SOLAS 2009 probabilistic damage stability requirements. There are, however, serious concerns regarding the sufficiency of these requirements with respect to the Required Subdivision Index R, which should properly account for the risk of People On Board (POB) and ship’s inherent survivability in case of loss of her watertight integrity. In recent years extensive research on determining the appropriate level of R using risk-based methods has been carried out. The urgency of the matter was reinforced by the quite recent Costa Concordia (2012) accident, even though this accident was not related to a collision event. This paper outlines the objectives, the methodology of work and first results of the ongoing studies funded by EMSA (EMSA III project) focusing on risk-based damage stability requirements for passenger ships. In compliance with IMO Formal Safety Assessment process a collision risk model is further developed based on the res...</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{&quot;location&quot;:&quot;wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal&quot;,&quot;work_title&quot;:&quot;Damage stability requirements for passenger ships : collision risk based cost benefit assessment&quot;,&quot;attachmentId&quot;:76643664,&quot;attachmentType&quot;:&quot;pdf&quot;,&quot;work_url&quot;:&quot;https://www.academia.edu/64755621/Damage_stability_requirements_for_passenger_ships_collision_risk_based_cost_benefit_assessment&quot;,&quot;alternativeTracking&quot;:true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/64755621/Damage_stability_requirements_for_passenger_ships_collision_risk_based_cost_benefit_assessment"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="5" data-entity-id="11280293" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/11280293/GOALDS_Goal_Based_Ship_Stability_and_Safety_Standards">GOALDS–Goal Based Ship Stability &amp; Safety Standards</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="27083545" href="https://ntua.academia.edu/GeorgeZaraphonitis">George Zaraphonitis</a><span>, </span><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="27233116" 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href="https://www.academia.edu/11280293/GOALDS_Goal_Based_Ship_Stability_and_Safety_Standards"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="6" data-entity-id="64754935" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/64754935/Damage_survivability_of_cruise_ships_Evidence_and_conjecture">Damage survivability of cruise ships – Evidence and conjecture</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="34245936" href="https://independent.academia.edu/DracosVassalos">Dracos Vassalos</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">Ocean Engineering, 2016</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button 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This paper presents key findings from the EU Horizons 2020 project FLARE (FLooding Accident REsponse) that introduces a novel risk-based methodology beyond the state-of-the-art for “live” flooding risk assessment and control, with potential application to new and existing ships. The project develops a flooding accident model – based on statistics and first-principles tools – that aims to assess the frequencies of flooding events whilst accounting for pertinent environmental conditions and design parameters including ship crashworthiness. 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