"美관세율 20%로 올리면 韓, 대미 수출 14% 줄어"

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['BR']).setTargeting('ad_area_type', ['']).setTargeting('default_exposure', ['']).addService(googletag.pubads()); if(segment_3 == 'view'){ googletag.defineSlot(AdUnitPath, [[930, 180], [750, 300], [750, 200], [480, 320], [728, 90], [468, 60], 'fluid'], 'BC_leaderboard').setTargeting('div_id', ['BC_leaderboard']).setTargeting('position', ['BC']).setTargeting('ad_area_type', ['below_pc_byline']).setTargeting('default_exposure', ['']).addService(googletag.pubads()); } googletag.pubads().enableSingleRequest(); googletag.pubads().collapseEmptyDivs(); googletag.pubads().setCentering(true); googletag.pubads().setTargeting('section_home_nm', [segment_1]).setTargeting('section_list_nm', [segment_2]).setTargeting('page_type', [segment_3]).setTargeting('article_num', []).setTargeting('title', []).setTargeting('url', []).setTargeting('publish_date', []).setTargeting('journalist', []).setTargeting('keywords', []).setTargeting('ticker_name', []).setTargeting('has_video', []).setTargeting('is_app_viewer', []).setTargeting('login_type', []).setTargeting('login_status', []).setTargeting('mebership_type', []).setTargeting('domain', []).setTargeting('referer', []).setTargeting('is_paid_content', []); googletag.pubads().setPublisherProvidedId(''); googletag.enableServices(); }); </script> <title>"美관세율 20%로 올리면 韓, 대미 수출 14% 줄어"</title> <link rel="canonical" href="https://stock.mk.co.kr/news/view/596968"> <link rel="alternate" media="only screen and ( max-width: 640px)" href="https://stock.mk.co.kr" /> <meta name="description" property="description" content="산업硏, 내년 경제산업 전망미국의 도..."> <meta name="og:title" property="og:title" content=""美관세율 20%로 올리면 韓, 대미 수출 14% 줄어"" /> <meta name="og:url" property="og:url" content="https://stock.mk.co.kr/news/view/596968" /> <meta name="og:image" property="og:image" content="https://stock.mk.co.kr/images/default.jpg" /> <meta name="og:description" property="og:description" content="산업硏, 내년 경제산업 전망미국의 도..." /> <meta 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</div> </div> </div>  <div class="mk_body_news_group"> <div class="set_inner"> <section class="news_sec "> <div class="sec_body"> <div class="view_wrap mb-40 pb-40"> <div class="txt_area"> <h2 class="news_ttl"> "美관세율 20%로 올리면 韓, 대미 수출 14% 줄어" </h2> <div class="dec_area"> <span></span> </div> <div class="time_info mt-500"> <span>신유경 기자(softsun@mk.co.kr)</span> <br><br> <span>입력 : 2024.11.25 17:57:56</span> <span>I</span> <span>수정 : 2024.11.25 19:45:35</span> <div class="view_ic"> <button onclick="print();"><i class="ic sns ic_print"><span class="is_blind">프린트</span></i></button> <button onclick="mailSend();"><i class="ic sns ic_email"><span class="is_blind">이메일</span></i></button> <button onclick="kakaoShare();"><i class="ic sns ic_kakao"><span class="is_blind">카카오톡</span></i></button> <button onclick="facebookShare();"><i class="ic sns ic_facebook"><span class="is_blind">페이스북</span></i></button> <button onclick="twitterShare();"><i class="ic sns ic_twitter"><span class="is_blind">트위터</span></i></button>  </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section> <div class="grid grid_custom type_1"> <div class="col main_col"> <section id="news_body" class="sec_body"> <div class="news_detail_wrap"> <span style="border-left:4px solid #959595; padding-left: 20px; display: inline-block"><strong>산업硏, 내년 경제산업 전망</strong></span><br><br><br><br>미국의 도널드 트럼프 2기 행정부가 한국에 보편관세를 부과할 경우 한국의 대미수출이 10% 넘게 감소할 것이란 전망이 나왔다.<br><br>25일 산업연구원은 이 같은 내용을 담은 '2025년 경제산업 전망 보고서'를 발간했다. 산업연은 미국이 10%의 보편관세를 부과한다면 대미수출액이 2021~2023년 평균 수출액 대비 약 8.4%(55억달러) 줄어들 것이라고 추정했다. 보편관세율이 20%로 상승한다면 최대 14%까지 대미수출액이 감소할 수 있다고 전망했다.<br><br>시나리오별 수출 감소액을 부가가치로 환산한다면 경제성장률은 연간 약 0.1~0.2%포인트 낮아진다고 내다봤다. 자동차 산업에서 부가가치 감소 비중이 가장 컸다. 자동차 산업의 부가가치 감소분은 전 산업 감소분에서 16.2% 이상을 차지했다.<br><br>도널드 트럼프 전 미국 대통령이 재집권하면서 수출에 긍정적 영향을 받을 것으로 보이는 업종으로는 조선, 일반기계, 석유화학 등이 꼽혔다. 조선은 미국 함정 유지·보수·정비(MRO) 시장 확대로 인한 수혜가 전망된다. <br><br>[신유경 기자]<br><br> <script> //코스콤 공시 사용 $('#news_view').on('load', function() { 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class="stock_latest_list"> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">1</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7459100004"> <div class="name">위츠 </div> </a> <div class="price">13,410</div> <div class="fl down">-4.01%</div> </div> </li> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">2</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7475560009"> <div class="name">더본코리아 </div> </a> <div class="price">38,850</div> <div class="fl down">-0.26%</div> </div> </li> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">3</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7496080003"> <div class="name">TIGER 코리아밸류업 </div> </a> <div class="price">9,620</div> <div class="fl up">0.52%</div> </div> </li> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">4</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7475580007"> <div class="name">에이럭스 </div> </a> <div class="price">7,170</div> <div class="fl up">0.99%</div> </div> </li> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">5</div> <a 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href="/price/home/KR7280360009"> <div class="name">롯데웰푸드 </div> </a> <div class="price">111,000</div> <div class="fl down">-2.29%</div> </div> </li> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">4</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7004720009"> <div class="name">팜젠사이언스 </div> </a> <div class="price">4,730</div> <div class="fl up">0.75%</div> </div> </li> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">5</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7010140002"> <div class="name">삼성중공업 </div> </a> <div class="price">11,910</div> <div class="fl down">-1.00%</div> </div> </li> </ul> <div class="info_area"> <span class="inf_s">11.25 23:58</span> <a href="/domestic/popular?type=kospi" class="btn btn_txt_more side">더보기 ></a> </div> </div> </div> </div>  <div id="side_kosdaq_popular" class="active"> <div class="sec_body"> <div class="best_stock_wrap aside_hot"> <ul class="stock_latest_list"> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">1</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7083650002"> <div class="name">비에이치아이 </div> </a> <div class="price">18,490</div> <div class="fl down">-3.19%</div> </div> </li> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">2</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7083660001"> <div class="name">CSA 코스믹 </div> </a> <div class="price">969</div> <div class="fl up">3.09%</div> </div> </li> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">3</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7311320006"> <div class="name">지오엘리먼트 </div> </a> <div class="price">6,610</div> <div class="fl up">1.38%</div> </div> </li> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">4</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7418550000"> <div class="name">제이오 </div> </a> <div class="price">16,860</div> <div class="fl up">12.85%</div> </div> </li> <li class="stock_node"> <div class="stock_item"> <div class="no">5</div> <a href="/price/home/KR7122640006"> <div class="name">예스티 </div> </a> <div class="price">8,980</div> <div class="fl 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