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</div> </div>  <div class="posts-wrapper"><article id="post-4257" class="post-4257 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-electoral-law category-graph-of-the-day category-new-south-wales tag-christian-democrats tag-elections tag-fred-nile tag-legislative-council tag-new-south-wales tag-nsw layout-default col-12 nv-non-grid-article "> <div class="article-content-col"> <div class="content"> <div class="non-grid-content default-layout-content"><h2 class="blog-entry-title entry-title"><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/the-secular-decline-in-support-for-the-nsw-christian-democrats/" rel="bookmark">The Secular Decline in Support for the NSW Christian Democrats</a></h2><ul class="nv-meta-list"><li class="meta author vcard"><span class="author-name fn">by <a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/author/antony-greenfroggy-com-au/" title="Posts by Antony Green" rel="author">Antony Green</a></span></li><li class="meta date posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2022-10-19T15:09:23+11:00" content="2022-10-19">October 19, 2022</time><time class="updated" datetime="2022-10-19T21:31:36+11:00">October 19, 2022</time></li></ul><div class="excerpt-wrap entry-summary"><p>While the term is normally limited to use in finance and economics, ‘secular decline’ is an apt description for the downward trend in support for the NSW Christian Democrats over four decades, as well as being an irresistible play on words.</p> <p>The Call to Australia was formed from groups that were active in the late 1970s campaigning against pornography, abortion, homosexuality and various issues that were often lumped together as “victimless crimes”. The Call to Australia campaigned to enter parliament.</p> <p>Which it did at the 1981 NSW election when Call to Australia Leader, the Reverend Fred Nile, was elected to the NSW Legislative Council. The party polled 9.1% of the vote, 1.46 quotas, and might have elected a second member were it not for leakage of preferences.</p> <p>After several previous announcements over many years that he would leave the Legislative Council, Rev. Nile is finally calling time on his parliamentary career after nearly 42 years. Nile will not contest the 2023 election. Instead he will put forward his second wife, Silvana Nile, to fill his spiritual void on the ballot paper.</p> <p>Mrs Nile faces a difficult task. Support for the Christian Democratic Party has declined since its glory days in the 1980s. Even worse, the party has been de-registered at both state and federal level, so the Nile ticket will have no party label at next year’s state election.</p> <p>Since party names were first printed on NSW Legislative Council ballot papers in 1991, no unlabelled group has ever elected an MLC. Pauline Hanson running as an Independent coming closest from 2.4% in 2011.</p> <p>There is also another oddity. Often retiring members will vacate their seat in favour of their replacement, the NSW Constitution requiring that the replacement be from the same party.</p> <p>But the Christian Democratic Party has not only been de-registered. It was actually wound up by the courts, so does not even exist as an unregistered party. The NSW Parliament has not previously filled a vacancy for a party that has ceased to exist, and appears to have no intention of doing so before next March.</p> <p>The graph below shows the party’s decline in support since its first election in 1981. The party elected a member at every election until missing out in 2019.</p> <p><iframe title="Call to Australia/Christian Democrat % Vote" aria-label="Column Chart" id="datawrapper-chart-9H1NV" src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/9H1NV/3/" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;" height="394"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">!function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r<t.length;r++){if(t[r].contentWindow===e.source)t[r].style.height=e.data["datawrapper-height"][a]+"px"}}}))}(); </script><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/the-secular-decline-in-support-for-the-nsw-christian-democrats/" class="" rel="bookmark">Read More »<span class="screen-reader-text">The Secular Decline in Support for the NSW Christian Democrats</span></a></p> </div></div> </div> </div> </article> <article id="post-6157" class="post-6157 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-electoral-law category-new-south-wales tag-casual-vacancies tag-legislative-council tag-mark-latham tag-new-south-wales tag-nsw layout-default col-12 nv-non-grid-article "> <div class="article-content-col"> <div class="content"> <div class="non-grid-content default-layout-content"><h2 class="blog-entry-title entry-title"><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/mark-latham-and-filling-nsw-legislative-council-vacancies/" rel="bookmark">Mark Latham and Filling NSW Legislative Council Vacancies</a></h2><ul class="nv-meta-list"><li class="meta author vcard"><span class="author-name fn">by <a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/author/antony-greenfroggy-com-au/" title="Posts by Antony Green" rel="author">Antony Green</a></span></li><li class="meta date posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2022-10-12T16:54:53+11:00" content="2022-10-12">October 12, 2022</time><time class="updated" datetime="2022-10-19T21:30:10+11:00">October 19, 2022</time></li></ul><div class="excerpt-wrap entry-summary"><p>In today’s Sydney Morning Herald, <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/latham-plans-to-quit-parliament-and-run-again-atop-one-nation-ticket-20221011-p5bou5.html">Alexandra Smith reports on a plan </a>by One Nation’s NSW Leader Mark Latham to resign from the Legislative Council half way through his current term and contest fresh election to the NSW Legislative Council next March.</p> <p>This would give Latham a new eight-year term and allow One Nation to nominate a replacement for the four-year balance of Latham’s current term.</p> <p>Let me quote Smith’s article to explain the plan –</p> <blockquote class="AGQuote"> <p>One Nation MP Mark Latham is planning to quit the upper house to run again at the top of the ticket in the March election, in a bid to boost the number of MPs the party has in the Legislative Council.</p> <p>Latham, who is half-way through his eight-year term, wants to recontest a new position in the upper house in order to “renew his mandate”.</p> <p>A replacement One Nation candidate would be found to fill his casual vacancy.</p> <p>One Nation secured two upper house spots at the last election – Latham and retired detective Rod Roberts. However, Latham is eager to increase the party’s representation to at least four MPs.</p> <p>Latham believes that the party could repeat its 2019 performance in March, particularly if he heads the ticket.</p> </p> </blockquote> <p>Is this allowed?</p> <p>The answer is almost certainly yes. Legislative Council members have resigned to contest lower house seats and federal elections in the past, and sometimes been re-appointed if they miss out on election. There seems to be nothing in the Constitution or standing orders that suggest the same rule wouldn’t apply to resigning for a Legislative Council election.</p> <p>It seems that an MLC elected to an eight-year term can resign after four years to contest election for the alternate Legislative Council term. The member would effectively be elected to two over-lapping positions in the Council created by their two elections, though it would be impossible for one person to hold both positions.</p> <p>Mr Latham would have to resign before the close of nominations. If elected in March, he could be sworn into a new seat in the Legislative Council and be free to nominate his own replacement at the joint sitting that would follow.</p> <p>If he were unsuccessful, Mr Latham could be re-appointed to his vacancy after the election. So successful or not, Mr Latham could remain in the Council.</p> <p>There is probably nothing the NSW Parliament can do to stop the plan. After the election, there would have to be a Joint Sitting of the two houses to elect a replacement, and One Nation is responsible for nominating a replacement without a vote</p> <p>Yet if a party tried the same tactic for a Senate casual vacancy, a vote would be required to accept the replacement. The Commonwealth Constitution and the standing orders require a vote of approval on the candidate to fill the vacancy. And as the Tasmanian Parliament showed in 1987, a state Parliament can refuse to appoint a replacement.</p> <p>That’s not an option for Legislative Council vacancies.<a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/mark-latham-and-filling-nsw-legislative-council-vacancies/" class="" rel="bookmark">Read More »<span class="screen-reader-text">Mark Latham and Filling NSW Legislative Council Vacancies</span></a></p> </div></div> </div> </div> </article> <article id="post-6133" class="post-6133 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-preferential-voting-multi-member category-victoria tag-group-voting-tickets tag-gvts tag-legislative-council tag-preference-harvesting tag-senate-reform tag-upper-house tag-victoria layout-default col-12 nv-non-grid-article "> <div class="article-content-col"> <div class="content"> <div class="non-grid-content default-layout-content"><h2 class="blog-entry-title entry-title"><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/voter-preferences-set-be-ignored-at-the-2022-victorian-legislative-council-election/" rel="bookmark">Voter Preferences set be Ignored at the 2022 Victorian Legislative Council Election</a></h2><ul class="nv-meta-list"><li class="meta author vcard"><span class="author-name fn">by <a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/author/antony-greenfroggy-com-au/" title="Posts by Antony Green" rel="author">Antony Green</a></span></li><li class="meta date posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2022-10-02T12:05:04+11:00" content="2022-10-02">October 2, 2022</time><time class="updated" datetime="2022-10-02T19:50:29+11:00">October 2, 2022</time></li></ul><div class="excerpt-wrap entry-summary"><p>After three successful Senate elections where results were determined by voters controlling their own preferences, November’s Victorian Legislative Council election will return to the dark ages with upper house results determined by ‘preferences whisperers’ and backroom show-and-tell preference deals.</p> <p>Even worse, hundreds of thousands of Victorian voters, maybe even millions, will have their Legislative Council preferences ignored and replaced by party tickets.</p> <p>This is because Victoria is the only Australian jurisdiction that still uses Group Voting Tickets (GVTs), a form of party determined preferences.</p> <p>The problem for November’s state election is that Victorian voters have used the reformed Senate electoral system at the last three Federal elections.</p> <p>The reformed Senate system allows voters to determine their own between-party preferences above the line on the ballot paper.</p> <p>In Victoria voters can’t.</p> <p>Why this matters is clear when you look at how Victorians completed their ballot papers at May’s Senate election.</p> <p>Overall 92.7% of Victorian voters completed their ballot papers by numbering preferences for parties ‘above the line’. That’s more than 3.5 million voters marking how they wanted their ballot paper preferences distributed.</p> <p>If that figure were repeated at the Victorian election, that would be 92.7% of votes going by the party ticket with all other voter preferences ignored.<a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/voter-preferences-set-be-ignored-at-the-2022-victorian-legislative-council-election/" class="" rel="bookmark">Read More »<span class="screen-reader-text">Voter Preferences set be Ignored at the 2022 Victorian Legislative Council Election</span></a></p> </div></div> </div> </div> </article> </div> <div class="w-100"></div> </div> <div class="nv-sidebar-wrap col-sm-12 nv-right blog-sidebar " > <aside id="secondary" role="complementary"> <div id="email-subscribers-form-1" class="widget widget_email-subscribers-form"><div class="emaillist" id="es_form_f1-n1"><form action="/2022/10/#es_form_f1-n1" method="post" class="es_subscription_form es_shortcode_form es_ajax_subscription_form" 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