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</div>  <div class="posts-wrapper"><article id="post-2703" class="post-2703 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-federal-elections tag-australia tag-elections tag-federal tag-first-preferences tag-two-party-preferred layout-default col-12 nv-non-grid-article "> <div class="article-content-col"> <div class="content"> <div class="non-grid-content default-layout-content"><h2 class="blog-entry-title entry-title"><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/exposing-a-rubbish-statistic-there-were-more-labor-than-liberal-voters-in-2019/" rel="bookmark">Exposing a Rubbish Statistic – there were more Labor than Liberal voters at the 2019 Federal election</a></h2><ul class="nv-meta-list"><li class="meta author vcard"><span class="author-name fn">by <a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/author/antony-green/" title="Posts by Antony Green" rel="author">Antony Green</a></span></li><li class="meta date posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2020-04-28T15:03:28+10:00" content="2020-04-28">April 28, 2020</time><time class="updated" datetime="2022-01-17T09:13:15+11:00">January 17, 2022</time></li></ul><div class="excerpt-wrap entry-summary"><p>The Morrison government was re-elected in 2019 with a three seat majority. The government won 77 seats in the 151 seat House of Representatives against 68 Labor and six crossbench members. The Coalition recorded 51.53% of the national two-party preferred vote and gained a 1.17% swing in its favour. The Coalition also improved its position in the Senate, gaining several seats that had been won by small right-of-centre parties at the 2016 double dissolution election.</p> <p>Labor recorded its lowest first preference vote in more than 80 years, a lower vote than on the defeat of the Rudd government in 2013. The Labor Party accepted that it lost the election, the party’s postmortem largely blaming its own policy and campaign failures for the defeat. One external factor it did highlight was how much Clive Palmer was allowed to spend on advertising.</p> <p>Yet some in the twittersphere have not accepted the legitimacy of the Morrison government’s victory. They put forward various arguments about why the government didn’t or shouldn’t have won.</p> <p><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/exposing-a-rubbish-statistic-there-were-more-labor-than-liberal-voters-in-2019/" class="" rel="bookmark">Read More »<span class="screen-reader-text">Exposing a Rubbish Statistic – there were more Labor than Liberal voters at the 2019 Federal election</span></a></p> </div></div> </div> </div> </article> <article id="post-2442" class="post-2442 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-a-c-t category-federal-elections category-preferential-voting-multi-member category-senate category-uncategorized tag-37 tag-act tag-election tag-senate layout-default col-12 nv-non-grid-article "> <div class="article-content-col"> <div class="content"> <div class="non-grid-content default-layout-content"><h2 class="blog-entry-title entry-title"><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/2019-act-senate-election-distribution-of-preferences/" rel="bookmark">2019 ACT Senate Election – Analysis of Preferences</a></h2><ul class="nv-meta-list"><li class="meta author vcard"><span class="author-name fn">by <a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/author/antony-green/" title="Posts by Antony Green" rel="author">Antony Green</a></span></li><li class="meta date posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2020-04-20T20:39:51+10:00" content="2020-04-20">April 20, 2020</time><time class="updated" datetime="2020-04-20T21:18:19+10:00">April 20, 2020</time></li></ul><div class="excerpt-wrap entry-summary"><p>This is the second in my series looking at how the Senate’s new electoral system worked. This post is on the ACT, which like the Northern Territory, has only two Senators. Both Senators face the electorate every three years in terms tied to the term of the House of Representatives. (<a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/2019-northern-territory-senate-election-results-and-preference-flows/">See my previous post on the Northern Territory for an explanation of territory Senators</a>.)</p> <p>(My earlier overall analysis of Senate voting can be found <a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/how-the-new-senate-electoral-system-at-its-first-half-senate-election-test/">in this post</a>.)</p> <p>Like the Northern Territory, the ACT has returned the same party representation at every election since 1975. Every ACT Senate election has elected one Labor and one Liberal Senator. With the quota for election set at 33.3% quota, support for a major party would have to be well short of this vote to miss out on a seat.</p> <p>(<strong>Hint</strong> – if you are viewing this post on a mobile phone, the tables look much better if you turn your phone sideways.)</p> <p><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/2019-act-senate-election-distribution-of-preferences/" class="" rel="bookmark">Read More »<span class="screen-reader-text">2019 ACT Senate Election – Analysis of Preferences</span></a></p> </div></div> </div> </div> </article> <article id="post-2635" class="post-2635 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-queensland tag-brisbane-city-council tag-local-government tag-queensland layout-default col-12 nv-non-grid-article "> <div class="article-content-col"> <div class="content"> <div class="non-grid-content default-layout-content"><h2 class="blog-entry-title entry-title"><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/summary-of-2020-brisbane-city-council-election/" rel="bookmark">Final Analysis of the 2020 Brisbane City Council Elections</a></h2><ul class="nv-meta-list"><li class="meta author vcard"><span class="author-name fn">by <a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/author/antony-green/" title="Posts by Antony Green" rel="author">Antony Green</a></span></li><li class="meta date posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2020-04-19T16:31:28+10:00" content="2020-04-19">April 19, 2020</time><time class="updated" datetime="2020-04-28T11:47:17+10:00">April 28, 2020</time></li></ul><div class="excerpt-wrap entry-summary"><p>Counting for the Brisbane City Council’s election is now complete (barring some minor tidy ups), so it’s time for a statistical analysis of the results.</p> <p>In brief the election produced little change. All 26 wards and the Lord Mayoral contest were won by the same party as in 2016. After replacing Graham Quirk as Lord Mayor last year, Adrian Schrinner was easily re-elected with 56.3% after preferences, a 3.2% swing against him.</p> <p>The new council has only two changes of membership with the LNP’s Sarah Hutton succeeding Matthew Bourke in Jamboree, and the LNP’s Greg Adermann defeating LNP turned Independent councillor Kate Richards in Pullenvale.</p> <p>You can find results for all contests at the <a href="https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/bcc/2020/results">ABC election website</a>. In this post I will concentrate on the overall picture.</p> <p>(<strong>UPDATE</strong> – slight adjustments to include final figures in Calamvale, Hamilton and in the Lord Mayoral race)</p> <p>(<strong>HINT</strong>: If you are reading this on a mobile phone, the tables and graphs are infinitely better if you turn your phone sideways.)<br /> <a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/summary-of-2020-brisbane-city-council-election/" class="" rel="bookmark">Read More »<span class="screen-reader-text">Final Analysis of the 2020 Brisbane City Council Elections</span></a></p> </div></div> </div> </div> </article> <article id="post-2016" class="post-2016 post type-post status-publish format-standard hentry category-convenience-voting category-electoral-law category-federal-elections tag-australia tag-election-night-counting tag-pre-poll-voting layout-default col-12 nv-non-grid-article "> <div class="article-content-col"> <div class="content"> <div class="non-grid-content default-layout-content"><h2 class="blog-entry-title entry-title"><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/should-we-count-pre-poll-votes-before-6pm-on-election-day/" rel="bookmark">Should we Count Pre-poll votes before 6pm on Election Day?</a></h2><ul class="nv-meta-list"><li class="meta author vcard"><span class="author-name fn">by <a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/author/antony-green/" title="Posts by Antony Green" rel="author">Antony Green</a></span></li><li class="meta date posted-on"><time class="entry-date published" datetime="2020-04-16T09:10:19+10:00" content="2020-04-16">April 16, 2020</time><time class="updated" datetime="2020-11-07T12:27:23+11:00">November 7, 2020</time></li></ul><div class="excerpt-wrap entry-summary"><p>The last decade has seen a dramatic surge in pre-poll voting at both state and federal elections. At the 2007 Federal election, just 8.3% of votes were cast as pre-polls. Twelve years later that figure had quadrupled to 32.3%.</p> <p>In 2007 80.0% of votes were ordinary polling day votes, in 2019 just 54.5%. Without the efforts of a horde of additional staff brought in to count pre-polls late into the evening, few recent elections would have produced a clear winner on election night.</p> <p>The growth of pre-poll voting has altered the flow of results on election night. By 9pm most polling places have reported their results, but count completion for some of the country’s largest pre-poll centres can take several hours longer. It was pre-poll votes as much as the closeness of result that pushed coverage of the last two Federal elections into the early hours of Sunday morning.</p> <p>This has led to calls for pre-poll counting to commence before 6pm on election day, something that is currently illegal. The call has come from several electoral authorities, including the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC). It has also been suggested by some state political parties.</p> <p>Is this a good idea? In my view the answer is unambiguously yes, as long as the results of pre-poll vote counts remain secret until after the close of polling at 6pm.</p> <h3><a href="https://antonygreen.com.au/should-we-count-pre-poll-votes-before-6pm-on-election-day/" class="" rel="bookmark">Read More »<span class="screen-reader-text">Should we Count Pre-poll votes before 6pm on Election Day?</span></a></h3> </div></div> </div> </div> </article> </div> <div class="w-100"></div> </div> <div class="nv-sidebar-wrap col-sm-12 nv-right blog-sidebar " > <aside id="secondary" role="complementary"> <div id="email-subscribers-form-1" class="widget widget_email-subscribers-form"><div class="emaillist" id="es_form_f1-n1"><form action="/2020/04/#es_form_f1-n1" method="post" class="es_subscription_form es_shortcode_form es_ajax_subscription_form" id="es_subscription_form_67f7e6b421362" data-source="ig-es" data-form-id="1"><div class="es-field-wrap"><label>Name*<br /><input type="text" name="esfpx_name" 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