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Monthly Budget Review: July 2021 | Congressional Budget Office
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relative;"> <h1 class="title" id="page-title"> <span>Monthly Budget Review: July 2021</span> </h1> <div class="meta"> <div class="field field--name-field-display-date field--type-datetime field--label-hidden field__item"><time datetime="2021-08-09T12:00:00Z">August 9, 2021</time> </div> <div class="content-type">Report</div> </div> <div class="field field--name-field-homepage-graphic field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden field__item"><div> <div class="field field--name-field-media-image field--type-image field--label-hidden field__item"> <picture> <source srcset="/sites/default/files/styles/918/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=Lf1AFISF 918w, /sites/default/files/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg 1650w" media="@media screen and (min-width: 61.25em) and (-webkit-min-device-pixel-ratio: 1.25), (min-width: 61.25em) and (min-resolution: 120dpi)" type="image/jpeg" sizes="918px" width="1650" height="1100"/> <source srcset="/sites/default/files/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg 1x" media="@media screen and (min-width: 48em) and (min-width: 61.25em)" type="image/jpeg" width="1650" height="1100"/> <source srcset="/sites/default/files/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg 1x" media="@media screen and (min-width: 61.25em)" type="image/jpeg" width="1650" height="1100"/> <source srcset="/sites/default/files/styles/240/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=ZFfN2QI- 240w, /sites/default/files/styles/480/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=iiGqSqV1 480w, /sites/default/files/styles/624/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=C4YAjEDx 624w, /sites/default/files/styles/800/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=o5sJ2EL7 800w, /sites/default/files/styles/1078/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=-c5B3iHs 1078w, /sites/default/files/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg 1650w" media="@media screen and (min-width: 28em)" type="image/jpeg" sizes="49vw" width="1650" height="1100"/> <source srcset="/sites/default/files/styles/240/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=ZFfN2QI- 240w, /sites/default/files/styles/480/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=iiGqSqV1 480w, /sites/default/files/styles/624/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=C4YAjEDx 624w, /sites/default/files/styles/800/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=o5sJ2EL7 800w, /sites/default/files/styles/1500/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=h3jsrWLU 1500w, /sites/default/files/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg 1650w" type="image/jpeg" sizes="95vw" width="1650" height="1100"/> <img loading="eager" src="/sites/default/files/styles/480/public/2019-04/Treasury-1650x1100-001.jpg?itok=iiGqSqV1" width="480" height="320" alt="United States Department of the Treasury Building, Washington DC" /> </picture> </div> </div> </div> <div class="summary"><div class="view view-summary view-id-summary view-display-id-meta_summary js-view-dom-id-8eaa36cb4038f1d97523e093f4e9ac14fe7f145c386d3432655fd45848d23ba7"> <div class="view-content"> <div class="views-row"><p>The federal budget deficit was $2.5 trillion in the first 10 months of fiscal year 2021, CBO estimates—$269 billion less than the deficit during the same period last year.</p></div> </div> </div> </div> <section class="meta--data"> <div class="left"> <div id="toc"></div> </div> <div class="right" style=""> <div class="documents" style=""> <div class="view-html-report-link view view-digital-publications view-id-digital_publications view-display-id-link js-view-dom-id-b11ad863d41e6ca55b633bc41613a1de199c6990d56141bf2444bd4474253469"> <div class="view-content"> <div class="views-row"><div class="views-field views-field-view-digital-publications"><div class="field-content views-field-title-1"><a href="/publication/57349/html" hreflang="und">View Document</a></div></div></div> </div> </div> <div class="view view-view-document view-id-view_document view-display-id-block_1 js-view-dom-id-8b8a5ec03293a91493b128da4ed775f6e4e9451880b470d6cfa8ddf1e804f86d"> <div class="view-content"> <div class="views-row"> <a href="/system/files/2021-08/57349-MBR.pdf">View Document</a><div class="document-size">566.53 KB</div></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="subsequent_report"><div class="view view-subsequent-report view-id-subsequent_report view-display-id-block_1 js-view-dom-id-bc5ff7c2c5d082b182358ab900da7ed415752dc76c2b19baf7fe912f8d52bcd7"> <div class="view-content"> <div class="views-row"><div class="views-field views-field-field-subsequent-report"><div class="field-content">See more editions of CBO’s <a href="/about/products/major-recurring-reports#9"><i>Monthly Budget Review</i></a>.</div></div></div> </div> </div> </div> </section> </div><!-- /.top-section --> <div class="main-section"> <section class="summary"> <header role="button" class="head-section" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="content-panel"><h2>Summary</h2></header> <div class="content" id="content-panel" aria-hidden="true"> <article> <div class="clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item"><p>The federal budget deficit was $2.5 trillion in the first 10 months of fiscal year 2021, the Congressional Budget Office estimates—$269 billion less than the deficit recorded during the same period last year. Although outlays rose by an estimated $225 billion (or 4 percent), revenues rose more—by an estimated $494 billion (or 17 percent).</p> <p>Programs and policies implemented in response to the coronavirus pandemic—notably, refundable tax credits (particularly the recovery rebates), expanded unemployment compensation, and the Small Business Administration’s Paycheck Protection Program—substantially boosted spending, both this year and last year. Outlays in the first 10 months of fiscal year 2021 were over $2 trillion more than spending during the same period two years earlier, in 2019. Outlays in 2020 rose almost as much. As a result, the deficits recorded during the first 10 months of 2020 and 2021 were significantly larger than the $867 billion shortfall recorded during the same period in fiscal year 2019.</p> <p>By the end of this fiscal year (in September), if current laws governing taxes and spending remain unchanged, the budget deficit will reach $3.0 trillion, CBO estimates, the second largest shortfall since 1945. That amount is nearly $130 billion less than the deficit recorded in 2020 but triple the shortfall recorded in 2019. Relative to the size of the economy, CBO projects, this year’s deficit will total 13.4 percent of gross domestic product, a share exceeded only by the 14.9 percent recorded last year.</p> </div> </article> </div> </section> </div><!-- /.main-section --> </div> </article> </section> </section> </main> <footer id="site-footer" role="contentinfo"> <div class="footer-top-wrapper"> <section class="footer-top"> <section id="block-cbo-stayconnected" class="block block-block-content block-block-content121d8e86-2c04-4907-8bda-853870ff58b5"> <h2 >Stay Connected</h2> <div class="clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item"><form action="https://www.feedblitz.com/f/f.fbz?AddNewUserDirect" id="email-updates-signup" method="POST" name="FeedBlitz_06f6221b03f911e29f67003005ce8903"><fieldset><legend>Get CBO’s Email Updates</legend></fieldset><ol><li><label class="structural" for="email-updates-signup-input">Email Address</label> <input 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