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style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fmarket%2Fdesktop%2Fherobanner1600x530_potashpage.jpg%3Fh%3D530%26iar%3D0%26w%3D1600%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DAAE06E9C65386D31236E67423B365D70&w=1920&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fmarket%2Fdesktop%2Fherobanner1600x530_potashpage.jpg%3Fh%3D530%26iar%3D0%26w%3D1600%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DAAE06E9C65386D31236E67423B365D70&w=3840&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fmarket%2Fdesktop%2Fherobanner1600x530_potashpage.jpg%3Fh%3D530%26iar%3D0%26w%3D1600%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3DAAE06E9C65386D31236E67423B365D70&w=3840&q=75"/><img alt="Potash pile in warehouse" loading="lazy" width="390" height="623" decoding="async" data-nimg="1" class="HeroBanner_image__dejfl d-lg-none qa-banner-image" style="color:transparent" srcSet="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fmarket%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_potashpage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D94CBA71707391F9E8BD19B5A223F1A46&w=640&q=75 1x, /_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fmarket%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_potashpage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D94CBA71707391F9E8BD19B5A223F1A46&w=828&q=75 2x" src="/_next/image?url=%2F-%2Fmedia%2Fproject%2Fargusmedia%2Fmainsite%2Fimages%2F08-fertilizers%2Fmarket%2Fmobile%2Fherobanner390x620_potashpage.jpg%3Fh%3D620%26iar%3D0%26w%3D390%26rev%3D-1%26hash%3D94CBA71707391F9E8BD19B5A223F1A46&w=828&q=75"/><div class="HeroBanner_container___RcE5 container"><div class="row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-6 offset-lg-1"><div class="HeroBanner_titleAndDescription__0Cj9_"><h1 class="qa-banner-title">Potash</h1><div class="h4 qa-banner-description">Market moving insight on the potash market – delivering robust price assessments, actionable commentary, powerful data, vital analysis and outlooks</div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component small grey "><div class="component-content"><div class="PageSubnavigation_container__yH3q7 qa-subnavigation-bar container"><div class="PageSubnavigation_outer__ocRn_"><div class="PageSubnavigation_bar__Cf50a"><a href="#overview" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Overview</a><a href="#news" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Latest news</a><a href="#spotlight" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Spotlight content</a><a href="#products" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Explore our potash products</a><a href="#prices" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Key price assessments</a><a 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href="#events" class="qa-subnavigation-anchor PageSubnavigation_item__mBuP2 cta bar " title="">Related events</a></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component component-padding PageIntroduction_pageIntroduction__BoFDD white" id="overview"><div class="component-content"><div class="container"><div class="PageIntroduction_row__DH0rm row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-8"><div class="qa-pageintroduction-section"><h2 class="qa-pageintroduction-title">Overview</h2><div class="PageIntroduction_description__hOYK7"><div class="qa-pageintroduction-textfield"><p>The potash market has been disrupted from its traditional trade flows and typically slow-moving price cycles, affected by new entrants, new mines, military conflicts and political tensions in countries that either produce or consume some of the largest quantities of potash in the world. The need for accurate insight and data is more acute than ever.</p> <p>Our extensive potash coverage includes MOP, SOP and NOP. Argus has many decades of experience covering the potash market and we incorporate our multi-commodity market expertise to provide potash price assessments, analysis and data that provides the full narrative. <br /> <br /> <strong>Argus support market participants with:</strong></p> <ul> <li>Weekly potash price assessments, proprietary data and market commentary</li> <li>Short and medium to long-term forecasting, modelling and analysis of potash prices, supply, demand, trade and projects</li> <li>Bespoke consulting project support</li> </ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><div class="component component-padding grey " id="news"><div class="component-content"><div class="container"><div class="row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-7"><h2 class="qa-combinedfeed-title section-heading">Latest potash news</h2><p class="qa-combinedfeed-description">Browse the latest market moving news on the global potash industry.</p></div></div><div aria-live="polite" class="Tabs_tabs__tVXxO secondary"><div class="qa-tabspanel-list Tabs_panel__uEe2n current" role="tabpanel"><div class="row"><div class="col-12 col-lg-6"><a class="qa-combinedfeed-primary-item News_link__TcfaC News_primary__Fop2j white" href="/pt/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2587123-brasil-e-bolivia-assinam-acordo-para-fertilizantes"><div class="News_primaryInner__9SOga"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ News_category__qm0Jk h5">Latest potash news</div><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">12/07/24</div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr h2 d-none d-lg-block">Brasil e Bolívia assinam acordo para fertilizantes</h3><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr d-lg-none">Brasil e Bolívia assinam acordo para fertilizantes</h3><p class="qa-combinedfeed-item-summary News_summary__eRMnt">Sao Paulo, 12 July (Argus) — Brasil e Bolívia assinaram em 9 de julho um acordo de cooperação para comercialização de fertilizantes e cloreto de sódio (NaCl). O acordo foi firmado após a visita do presidente brasileiro Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva à Bolívia no início desta semana. O acordo foi realizado entre o Ministério da Agricultura e Pecuária (Mapa) do Brasil e o Ministério de Energia e Hidrocarbonetos (MHE, na sigla boliviana) da Bolívia. O acordo não estabelece apenas regras para comercialização de fertilizantes e NaCl entre os dois países, mas também pretende promover a integração energética entre os vizinhos. Segundo o acordo, empresas e entidades de cada país se comprometem a comunicar suas disponibilidades de ureia, NPK, potássio e ureia de liberação lenta, a serem determinadas de acordo com as necessidades; avaliar como executar contratos de compra e venda; identificar potenciais clientes e possíveis destinações para fertilizantes e NaCl; e a estabelecer mecanismos de cooperação em estratégias de mercado. O acordo terá duração de cinco anos e poderá ser estendido pelo mesmo período. Por João Petrini Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.</p></div><span class="qa-combinedfeed-item-cta cta d-none d-lg-inline-flex"></span></a></div><div class="col-12 col-lg-6"><div class="News_secondaryGroup__CVF5i"><a class="qa-combinedfeed-secondary-item News_link__TcfaC News_secondary__4Pe3A white" href="/pt/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2567117-inundacoes-podem-prejudicar-logistica-no-sul-do-brasil"><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-none d-lg-flex"><div class="News_secondaryInner__T663Z"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ h5">Latest potash news</div><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">Inundações podem prejudicar logística no Sul do Brasil</h3></div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">10/05/24</div></div><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-flex d-lg-none"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ News_category__qm0Jk h5">Latest potash news</div><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">10/05/24</div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">Inundações podem prejudicar logística no Sul do Brasil</h3><p class="qa-combinedfeed-item-summary News_summary__eRMnt">Sao Paulo, 10 May (Argus) — Enchentes sem precedentes no estado do Rio Grande do Sul devem criar uma situação logística ainda mais caótica no país e podem reduzir o uso de fertilizantes na safra de soja 2024-25 do estado. Chuvas intensas atingem o estado desde 29 de abril, culminando nas piores enchentes já registradas no Rio Grande do Sul. As enchentes alcançaram a área central do estado, fechando os portos de Pelotas e Porto Alegre, que movimentam commodities agrícolas, incluindo grãos, oleaginosas e fertilizantes. Os níveis elevados de água devem chegar até o Sul do estado, alcançando o porto de Rio Grande. Os três portos do Rio Grande do Sul movimentaram cerca de 44,8 milhões de toneladas (t) em 2023, sendo o porto de Rio Grande o maior deles, respondendo por pelo menos 42,6 milhões de t, de acordo com dados portuários. O perfil geográfico do estado e um canal particularmente estreito para o escoamento das águas até o mar sugerem que o pior ainda está por vir na parte Sul do estado. Os níveis de água devem aumentar na Lagoa dos Patos, um lago que recebe águas de diversos rios e desemboca no Oceano Atlântico. Porém, as operações estão acontecendo normalmente no porto de Rio Grande até 9 de maio. A Associação Nacional dos Exportadores de Cereais (Anec) projeta que 343.250t de soja e 131.778t de farelo de soja sejam embarcados na semana encerrada em 11 de maio, de acordo com o cronograma de embarques do porto. Os embarques entre 28 de abril e 4 de maio — que representam os dias em que as chuvas atingiram seu pico e o estado começou a inundar — totalizaram 183.559t e 133.424t de soja e farelo de soja, respectivamente. Dados de lineup da agência marítima Williams mostram que as exportações de soja devem totalizar 838.600t, quase o dobro do volume projetado na semana anterior. O tempo médio estimado de espera para embarque aumentou para 3 dias, em comparação com 2 dias estimados em 29 de abril. O porto de Rio Grande foi o 5º maior exportador de soja em 2023, com 3,8 milhões de t embarcadas no ano passado, de acordo com a Agência Nacional de Transportes Aquaviários (Antaq). O tempo de espera para descarga de fertilizantes está em torno de 1 dia, estável em comparação com a semana anterior. O porto de Rio Grande foi o 3º maior em termos de volumes de importação de fertilizantes no 1º trimestre de 2024, de acordo com dados da agência marítima Unimar. O porto de Paranaguá, no Paraná, recebeu 2 milhões de t de fertilizantes, seguido de Santos e Rio Grande, com 1,9 milhão de t e 990.640t, respectivamente. Dados de lineup para maio e junho apontam que Rio Grande deve receber 540.900t e 66.375t de fertilizantes, respectivamente. Os navios com destino a Rio Grande podem ser direcionados para outros portos, especialmente para São Franciso do Sul, em Santa Catarina, e Paranaguá, de acordo com participantes de mercado. Mesmo que os volumes de fertilizantes sejam descarregados conforme planejado inicialmente, o escoamento para as áreas agrícolas pode ficar comprometido. O principal acesso ao porto, a rodovia BR-116, já está parcialmente bloqueada, dificultando o fluxo de caminhões no estado. Os motoristas já buscam trechos curtos para transportar mercadorias, uma vez que os trechos longos os obrigam a procurar alternativas que elevam ainda mais o percurso, considerando que há cerca de 88 bloqueios parciais ou totais em rodovias no estado até 9 de maio. A empresa de logística Rumo também interrompeu parcialmente as operações no Rio Grande do Sul em 6 de maio. A empresa possui um terminal de grãos no porto de Rio Grande e uma malha ferroviária de cerca de 7.220km na região Sul do Brasil, que inclui os estados do Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina e Paraná. Empresas de fertilizantes que atuam no Rio Grande do Sul relataram que estão tentando mover seus produtos para armazéns longes dos rios. Considerando a produção agrícola, os volumes que já foram colhidos e estavam armazenados em silos, estão encharcados agora. Com a previsão de mais danos, agricultores do Rio Grande do Sul podem se sentir desencorajados a investir em tecnologias e fertilizantes para a próxima safra de soja 2024-25. Mais chuvas para o fim de semana O Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) espera que as chuvas se intensifiquem novamente no Rio Grande do Sul, começando nesta sexta-feira, entre as regiões Centro-Norte e Oeste do estado. Os níveis de chuva devem diminuir até 12 de maio, mas podem ultrapassar 100mm antes disso. As áreas litorâneas das regiões Norte e Sul de Santa Catarina também devem ser afetadas, de acordo com o Inmet. Por Renata Cardarelli e Nathalia Giannetti Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.</p></div></a><a class="qa-combinedfeed-secondary-item News_link__TcfaC News_secondary__4Pe3A white" href="/pt/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2464721-baixa-liquidez-de-adubos-pode-causar-gargalo-logistico"><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-none d-lg-flex"><div class="News_secondaryInner__T663Z"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ h5">Latest potash news</div><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">Baixa liquidez de adubos pode causar gargalo logístico</h3></div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">30/06/23</div></div><div class="News_secondaryOuter__68Cw0 d-flex d-lg-none"><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-eyebrow News_meta__Gc4kJ News_category__qm0Jk h5">Latest potash news</div><div class="qa-combinedfeed-item-date News_meta__Gc4kJ News_date___zoLz h5">30/06/23</div><hr class="News_hr__BZset"/><h3 class="qa-combinedfeed-item-title News_headline__JsnZr">Baixa liquidez de adubos pode causar gargalo logístico</h3><p class="qa-combinedfeed-item-summary News_summary__eRMnt">Sao Paulo, 30 June (Argus) — A baixa liquidez no mercado brasileiro de fertilizantes tem deixado vários setores preocupados com a possibilidade de gargalos logísticos quando os produtos armazenados nos portos forem transportados. A comercialização de soja e milho estão abaixo dos níveis do ano anterior devido aos preços mais baixos. Isso contribui para a compra mais lenta de insumos para a safra de soja de 2023-24, mesmo com as taxas de relação de troca em níveis mais favoráveis para os agricultores. As entregas de fertilizantes ao mercado têm sido mais lentas desde o início do ano. De acordo com dados da Associação Nacional para Difusão de Fertilizantes (Anda), 12 milhões de t foram entregues entre janeiro e março, queda de 3,7pc em comparação com o mesmo período de 2022. A situação também é afetada pelo cancelamento de contratos de compra de fertilizantes. Alguns agricultores estão se recusando a receber adubos cujos contratos foram assinados em períodos anteriores e a preços mais altos. Nesse caso, a queda no frete rodoviário de fertilizantes é ainda mais acentuada neste ano, devido à menor demanda pelo serviço de transporte até o momento. Em junho de 2022, o frete na rota Paranaguá-Rondonópolis atingiu um preço médio de R$ 243/t, queda de 21pc em relação a janeiro de 2022, quando o frete atingiu um dos níveis mais altos do ano. Em junho de 2023, o frete na mesma rota foi de R$ 201/t, queda de 35pc em relação a janeiro. Na rota Santos/Cubatão-Rondonópolis, a taxa média de frete em junho de 2022 atingiu R$ 253/t, queda de 16,2pc em relação a janeiro. Em junho de 2023, o frete médio foi de R$ 243/t, queda de 22pc em relação a janeiro. Portanto, existe a preocupação de que as entregas restantes de fertilizantes armazenados também sejam mais lentas, especialmente de algumas origens, pois há o risco de enfrentar longas filas nos portos brasileiros, mesmo com a expectativa de menores importações de fertilizantes em 2023. As importações de fertilizantes do Brasil neste ano estão atrasadas em relação ao ano passado. De acordo com os dados do Global Trade Tracker (GTT), considerando os principais tipos de fertilizantes e matérias-primas, 15,6 milhões de t foram importadas entre janeiro e maio de 2023, queda de 8pc em comparação com o mesmo período do ano passado. Um grande volume foi importado em 2022 nesse período, devido às preocupações sobre o conflito entre Rússia e Ucrânia. No entanto, os estoques de fertilizantes são altos, o que contribui para uma maior oferta no mercado doméstico. De acordo com dados da Anda, no fim de 2022 os estoques estavam em 9,2 milhões de t, aumento de 19,1pc em relação aos 7,7 milhões de t mantidos no fim de 2021. Portanto, há um volume significativo a ser entregue aos agricultores. Isso também pode aumentar os custos logísticos, já que, com a maior demanda por transporte, os fretes de fertilizantes com origem nos principais portos do país devem aumentar em meio à concorrência por veículos disponíveis. Nessa equação logística para o transporte rodoviário de fertilizantes, a colheita da segunda safra de milho de 2022-23 pode ajudar a baratear o frete de fertilizantes devido às condições de frete-retorno. Quando os volumes de fertilizantes chegam ao seu destino, se houver cargas de grãos disponíveis para transporte, motoristas podem aceitar um frete melhor. Porém, com a queda nas cotações e nos prêmios de exportação, que caíram mais intensamente desde março, a tendência é que agricultores optem por manter grãos e oleaginosas armazenados, aguardando preços mais altos para o segundo semestre. Há também um volume significativo de soja aguardando negociação, o que impacta as condições de frete-retorno de fertilizantes. Nesse caso, o frete de fertilizantes acaba sendo mais caro, já que a pior situação para os caminhoneiros é rodar sem carga na estrada, uma vez que isso deprecia os veículos e os motoristas não recebem nada. Novas possibilidades no Arco Norte O crescimento da importância dos portos do Arco Norte na exportação de grãos já é uma realidade, pois se trata de uma via relevante para as exportações brasileiras. Essa região vem ganhando mais atenção de agricultores, especialmente do estado de Mato Grosso, o maior produtor de soja do país. Também está se tornando um ponto logístico para a movimentação de combustíveis da região Centro-Norte. Essas novas condições contribuem para aliviar a fila de navios e o fluxo de caminhões que normalmente se concentram principalmente nos portos de Santos e Paranaguá. O porto brasileiro de Vila do Conde, no Pará, foi recentemente liberado para exportar milho para o mercado chinês. Com o aumento da relevância dos grãos, o segmento de fertilizantes não fica para trás, não apenas como origem diferente, mas também como alternativa modal ao transporte rodoviário. A empresa de logística VLI iniciou a operação da ferrovia que liga o porto do Itaqui, no Maranhão, ao estado do Tocantins. O corredor tem capacidade para transportar 1,5 milhão de t/ano de fertilizantes e deve atender à demanda de agricultores de Mato Grosso do Sul, Mato Grosso, Bahia, Piauí e Tocantins, além do Distrito Federal. Por João Petrini Frete de fertilizante x Frete de grãos (Paranaguá) R$/t Frete de fertilizante x Frete de grãos (Santos) R$/t Variação do frete de fertilizante (caminhão) Santos-Rondonópolis R$/t Variação do frete de fertilizante (caminhão) Paranaguá-Rondonópolis 36-40t R$/t Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2023. Argus Media group . 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2024","Description":null,"Category":"Podcast","CreatedDate":"2024-03-28T00:00:00Z","ImageUrl":"/-/media/project/argusmedia/mainsite/english/images/news-and-insights/market-insight-papers/generic-gradient-hero-banner_1600x530px.jpg?rev=-1\u0026la=pt\u0026hash=9BC0FDAAA5BB341941ED0A47736515B1","ExternalLink":null,"ItemUrl":"/pt/news-and-insights/energy-and-commodity-podcasts/fertilizer-matters-potash-in-laos-march-2024"}]},"b8c35964-4f91-4a70-9c65-b0cee88b3c9a":{"data":[{"totalHitCount":3,"hitCount":3,"items":[{"type":"News","datePublished":"2024-07-12T14:10:09Z","headline":"Brasil e Bolívia assinam acordo para fertilizantes","summary":"Sao Paulo, 12 July (Argus) — Brasil e Bolívia assinaram em 9 de julho um acordo de cooperação para comercialização de fertilizantes e cloreto de sódio (NaCl). O acordo foi firmado após a visita do presidente brasileiro Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva à Bolívia no início desta semana. O acordo foi realizado entre o Ministério da Agricultura e Pecuária (Mapa) do Brasil e o Ministério de Energia e Hidrocarbonetos (MHE, na sigla boliviana) da Bolívia. O acordo não estabelece apenas regras para comercialização de fertilizantes e NaCl entre os dois países, mas também pretende promover a integração energética entre os vizinhos. Segundo o acordo, empresas e entidades de cada país se comprometem a comunicar suas disponibilidades de ureia, NPK, potássio e ureia de liberação lenta, a serem determinadas de acordo com as necessidades; avaliar como executar contratos de compra e venda; identificar potenciais clientes e possíveis destinações para fertilizantes e NaCl; e a estabelecer mecanismos de cooperação em estratégias de mercado. O acordo terá duração de cinco anos e poderá ser estendido pelo mesmo período. Por João Petrini Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.","links":[{"rel":"article","href":"https://api.argusmedia.com/articles/2587123"}],"tags":null,"taxonomy":null,"id":2587123,"language":"PT-BR","body":null},{"type":"News","datePublished":"2024-05-10T13:14:44Z","headline":"Inundações podem prejudicar logística no Sul do Brasil","summary":"Sao Paulo, 10 May (Argus) — Enchentes sem precedentes no estado do Rio Grande do Sul devem criar uma situação logística ainda mais caótica no país e podem reduzir o uso de fertilizantes na safra de soja 2024-25 do estado. Chuvas intensas atingem o estado desde 29 de abril, culminando nas piores enchentes já registradas no Rio Grande do Sul. As enchentes alcançaram a área central do estado, fechando os portos de Pelotas e Porto Alegre, que movimentam commodities agrícolas, incluindo grãos, oleaginosas e fertilizantes. Os níveis elevados de água devem chegar até o Sul do estado, alcançando o porto de Rio Grande. Os três portos do Rio Grande do Sul movimentaram cerca de 44,8 milhões de toneladas (t) em 2023, sendo o porto de Rio Grande o maior deles, respondendo por pelo menos 42,6 milhões de t, de acordo com dados portuários. O perfil geográfico do estado e um canal particularmente estreito para o escoamento das águas até o mar sugerem que o pior ainda está por vir na parte Sul do estado. Os níveis de água devem aumentar na Lagoa dos Patos, um lago que recebe águas de diversos rios e desemboca no Oceano Atlântico. Porém, as operações estão acontecendo normalmente no porto de Rio Grande até 9 de maio. A Associação Nacional dos Exportadores de Cereais (Anec) projeta que 343.250t de soja e 131.778t de farelo de soja sejam embarcados na semana encerrada em 11 de maio, de acordo com o cronograma de embarques do porto. Os embarques entre 28 de abril e 4 de maio — que representam os dias em que as chuvas atingiram seu pico e o estado começou a inundar — totalizaram 183.559t e 133.424t de soja e farelo de soja, respectivamente. Dados de lineup da agência marítima Williams mostram que as exportações de soja devem totalizar 838.600t, quase o dobro do volume projetado na semana anterior. O tempo médio estimado de espera para embarque aumentou para 3 dias, em comparação com 2 dias estimados em 29 de abril. O porto de Rio Grande foi o 5º maior exportador de soja em 2023, com 3,8 milhões de t embarcadas no ano passado, de acordo com a Agência Nacional de Transportes Aquaviários (Antaq). O tempo de espera para descarga de fertilizantes está em torno de 1 dia, estável em comparação com a semana anterior. O porto de Rio Grande foi o 3º maior em termos de volumes de importação de fertilizantes no 1º trimestre de 2024, de acordo com dados da agência marítima Unimar. O porto de Paranaguá, no Paraná, recebeu 2 milhões de t de fertilizantes, seguido de Santos e Rio Grande, com 1,9 milhão de t e 990.640t, respectivamente. Dados de lineup para maio e junho apontam que Rio Grande deve receber 540.900t e 66.375t de fertilizantes, respectivamente. Os navios com destino a Rio Grande podem ser direcionados para outros portos, especialmente para São Franciso do Sul, em Santa Catarina, e Paranaguá, de acordo com participantes de mercado. Mesmo que os volumes de fertilizantes sejam descarregados conforme planejado inicialmente, o escoamento para as áreas agrícolas pode ficar comprometido. O principal acesso ao porto, a rodovia BR-116, já está parcialmente bloqueada, dificultando o fluxo de caminhões no estado. Os motoristas já buscam trechos curtos para transportar mercadorias, uma vez que os trechos longos os obrigam a procurar alternativas que elevam ainda mais o percurso, considerando que há cerca de 88 bloqueios parciais ou totais em rodovias no estado até 9 de maio. A empresa de logística Rumo também interrompeu parcialmente as operações no Rio Grande do Sul em 6 de maio. A empresa possui um terminal de grãos no porto de Rio Grande e uma malha ferroviária de cerca de 7.220km na região Sul do Brasil, que inclui os estados do Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina e Paraná. Empresas de fertilizantes que atuam no Rio Grande do Sul relataram que estão tentando mover seus produtos para armazéns longes dos rios. Considerando a produção agrícola, os volumes que já foram colhidos e estavam armazenados em silos, estão encharcados agora. Com a previsão de mais danos, agricultores do Rio Grande do Sul podem se sentir desencorajados a investir em tecnologias e fertilizantes para a próxima safra de soja 2024-25. Mais chuvas para o fim de semana O Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) espera que as chuvas se intensifiquem novamente no Rio Grande do Sul, começando nesta sexta-feira, entre as regiões Centro-Norte e Oeste do estado. Os níveis de chuva devem diminuir até 12 de maio, mas podem ultrapassar 100mm antes disso. As áreas litorâneas das regiões Norte e Sul de Santa Catarina também devem ser afetadas, de acordo com o Inmet. Por Renata Cardarelli e Nathalia Giannetti Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.","links":[{"rel":"article","href":"https://api.argusmedia.com/articles/2567117"}],"tags":null,"taxonomy":null,"id":2567117,"language":"PT-BR","body":null},{"type":"Analysis","datePublished":"2023-06-30T14:23:52Z","headline":"Baixa liquidez de adubos pode causar gargalo logístico","summary":"Sao Paulo, 30 June (Argus) — A baixa liquidez no mercado brasileiro de fertilizantes tem deixado vários setores preocupados com a possibilidade de gargalos logísticos quando os produtos armazenados nos portos forem transportados. A comercialização de soja e milho estão abaixo dos níveis do ano anterior devido aos preços mais baixos. Isso contribui para a compra mais lenta de insumos para a safra de soja de 2023-24, mesmo com as taxas de relação de troca em níveis mais favoráveis para os agricultores. As entregas de fertilizantes ao mercado têm sido mais lentas desde o início do ano. De acordo com dados da Associação Nacional para Difusão de Fertilizantes (Anda), 12 milhões de t foram entregues entre janeiro e março, queda de 3,7pc em comparação com o mesmo período de 2022. A situação também é afetada pelo cancelamento de contratos de compra de fertilizantes. Alguns agricultores estão se recusando a receber adubos cujos contratos foram assinados em períodos anteriores e a preços mais altos. Nesse caso, a queda no frete rodoviário de fertilizantes é ainda mais acentuada neste ano, devido à menor demanda pelo serviço de transporte até o momento. Em junho de 2022, o frete na rota Paranaguá-Rondonópolis atingiu um preço médio de R$ 243/t, queda de 21pc em relação a janeiro de 2022, quando o frete atingiu um dos níveis mais altos do ano. Em junho de 2023, o frete na mesma rota foi de R$ 201/t, queda de 35pc em relação a janeiro. Na rota Santos/Cubatão-Rondonópolis, a taxa média de frete em junho de 2022 atingiu R$ 253/t, queda de 16,2pc em relação a janeiro. Em junho de 2023, o frete médio foi de R$ 243/t, queda de 22pc em relação a janeiro. Portanto, existe a preocupação de que as entregas restantes de fertilizantes armazenados também sejam mais lentas, especialmente de algumas origens, pois há o risco de enfrentar longas filas nos portos brasileiros, mesmo com a expectativa de menores importações de fertilizantes em 2023. As importações de fertilizantes do Brasil neste ano estão atrasadas em relação ao ano passado. De acordo com os dados do Global Trade Tracker (GTT), considerando os principais tipos de fertilizantes e matérias-primas, 15,6 milhões de t foram importadas entre janeiro e maio de 2023, queda de 8pc em comparação com o mesmo período do ano passado. Um grande volume foi importado em 2022 nesse período, devido às preocupações sobre o conflito entre Rússia e Ucrânia. No entanto, os estoques de fertilizantes são altos, o que contribui para uma maior oferta no mercado doméstico. De acordo com dados da Anda, no fim de 2022 os estoques estavam em 9,2 milhões de t, aumento de 19,1pc em relação aos 7,7 milhões de t mantidos no fim de 2021. Portanto, há um volume significativo a ser entregue aos agricultores. Isso também pode aumentar os custos logísticos, já que, com a maior demanda por transporte, os fretes de fertilizantes com origem nos principais portos do país devem aumentar em meio à concorrência por veículos disponíveis. Nessa equação logística para o transporte rodoviário de fertilizantes, a colheita da segunda safra de milho de 2022-23 pode ajudar a baratear o frete de fertilizantes devido às condições de frete-retorno. Quando os volumes de fertilizantes chegam ao seu destino, se houver cargas de grãos disponíveis para transporte, motoristas podem aceitar um frete melhor. Porém, com a queda nas cotações e nos prêmios de exportação, que caíram mais intensamente desde março, a tendência é que agricultores optem por manter grãos e oleaginosas armazenados, aguardando preços mais altos para o segundo semestre. Há também um volume significativo de soja aguardando negociação, o que impacta as condições de frete-retorno de fertilizantes. Nesse caso, o frete de fertilizantes acaba sendo mais caro, já que a pior situação para os caminhoneiros é rodar sem carga na estrada, uma vez que isso deprecia os veículos e os motoristas não recebem nada. Novas possibilidades no Arco Norte O crescimento da importância dos portos do Arco Norte na exportação de grãos já é uma realidade, pois se trata de uma via relevante para as exportações brasileiras. Essa região vem ganhando mais atenção de agricultores, especialmente do estado de Mato Grosso, o maior produtor de soja do país. Também está se tornando um ponto logístico para a movimentação de combustíveis da região Centro-Norte. Essas novas condições contribuem para aliviar a fila de navios e o fluxo de caminhões que normalmente se concentram principalmente nos portos de Santos e Paranaguá. O porto brasileiro de Vila do Conde, no Pará, foi recentemente liberado para exportar milho para o mercado chinês. Com o aumento da relevância dos grãos, o segmento de fertilizantes não fica para trás, não apenas como origem diferente, mas também como alternativa modal ao transporte rodoviário. A empresa de logística VLI iniciou a operação da ferrovia que liga o porto do Itaqui, no Maranhão, ao estado do Tocantins. O corredor tem capacidade para transportar 1,5 milhão de t/ano de fertilizantes e deve atender à demanda de agricultores de Mato Grosso do Sul, Mato Grosso, Bahia, Piauí e Tocantins, além do Distrito Federal. Por João Petrini Frete de fertilizante x Frete de grãos (Paranaguá) R$/t Frete de fertilizante x Frete de grãos (Santos) R$/t Variação do frete de fertilizante (caminhão) Santos-Rondonópolis R$/t Variação do frete de fertilizante (caminhão) Paranaguá-Rondonópolis 36-40t R$/t Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2023. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.","links":[{"rel":"article","href":"https://api.argusmedia.com/articles/2464721"}],"tags":null,"taxonomy":null,"id":2464721,"language":"PT-BR","body":null}],"itemsCursor":null}]}}},"__N_SSG":true},"page":"/[[...path]]","query":{"path":["commodities","potash"]},"buildId":"61995","assetPrefix":"https://www.argusmedia.com","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"gsp":true,"locale":"pt","locales":["default","en","es","zh","ru","pt","ja","fr","de"],"defaultLocale":"default","scriptLoader":[]}</script></body></html>