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Beyond the ballot: The case for rigorous statistics on political participation | United Nations Development Programme
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</li> <li> <a href="/blog" aria-label="Blog">Blog</a> </li> <li aria-current="Beyond The Ballot: The Case For Rigorous Statistics On Political Participation"> Beyond The Ballot: The Case For Rigorous Statistics On Political Participation </li> </ul> </nav> </div> </div> </div> </section> <section class="coh-container ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-7bfde110-355c-4dca-a596-6513df124553 coh-component-instance-7bfde110-355c-4dca-a596-6513df124553 article-headings scroll-track" data-viewport="true" > <div class="coh-container grid-x overflow-hidden" > <div class="coh-container cell small-12 large-9 large-offset-1" > <h2 class="coh-heading article-title" > Beyond the ballot: The case for rigorous statistics on political participation </h2> <h6 class="posted-date"> October 23, 2024</h6> </div> </div> </section> <div> <figure class="coh-inline-element ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-d1de26fd-5f70-49eb-945c-9a4f45c63e36 coh-component-instance-d1de26fd-5f70-49eb-945c-9a4f45c63e36 wide"> <img src="/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/migration/lr/UNDP_lr_-woman-votes-in-elections.JPG" width="4496" height="3000" loading="lazy" /> <figcaption class="coh-inline-element"> <p class="coh-paragraph" >Reliable data is crucial for designing policies that encourage broader participation in elections and other democratic processes.</p> <div class="coh-inline-element credits">Photo: UNDP Liberia</div> </figcaption> </figure> <div class="coh-container ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-a5d47412-0334-47c9-9fe1-7212cafe092f coh-component-instance-a5d47412-0334-47c9-9fe1-7212cafe092f article-authors yellow coh-style-author-card-section" > <div class="coh-row coh-row-xl coh-row-visible-xl" data-coh-row-match-heights="{"xl":{"target":"none"}}"> <div class="coh-row-inner coh-style-margin-x-0"> <div class="coh-column author-section coh-visible-xs coh-col-xs-12 coh-col-xs-offset-0 coh-visible-sm coh-col-sm-10 coh-col-sm-offset-2 coh-visible-lg coh-col-lg-7 coh-col-lg-offset-2 coh-visible-xl coh-col-xl-7 coh-col-xl-offset-2" > <div class="coh-row coh-row-xl coh-row-visible-xl" data-coh-row-match-heights="{"xl":{"target":"none"}}"> <div class="coh-row-inner"> <div class="coh-col-xs-12 coh-col-sm-12 coh-col-lg-12 coh-col-xl-12"> <h5>Authors</h5> </div> <div class="coh-col-xs-12 coh-col-sm-12 coh-col-lg-6 coh-col-xl-6 author-box"> <a href="/authors/geir-axelsen"> <div class="author__img"> <img src="https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/styles/author_desktop/public/2024-10/geir_axelsen_norway_.jpg?itok=qBFi6g8O" alt="" title=""> </div> <div class="author-label"> <h6> Geir Axelsen </h6> <p> <p><span style="font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;font-size:12.0pt;" lang="EN-GB">Director General, Statistics Norway </span></p> </p> </div> </a> </div> <div class="coh-col-xs-12 coh-col-sm-12 coh-col-lg-6 coh-col-xl-6 author-box"> <a href="/authors/arvinn-gadgil-0"> <div class="author__img"> <img src="https://www.undp.org/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/styles/author_desktop/public/authors/ArvinnGadgil.jpg?itok=h1j_UZyJ" alt="" title=""> </div> <div class="author-label"> <h6> Arvinn Gadgil </h6> <p> <p>Director, UNDP Global Policy Centre for Governance </p> </p> </div> </a> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="coh-container ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-c9dc4cb4-df65-49d4-9d8d-0a605981f74d coh-component-instance-c9dc4cb4-df65-49d4-9d8d-0a605981f74d coh-style-padding-top-bottom-large ssa-instance-e31d7f0e7428a7fca3c926212f9f2218 coh-ce-cpt_row_for_columns-5f467588" > <div class="coh-container " > <div class="coh-row coh-row-xl coh-row-visible-xl" data-coh-row-match-heights="{"xl":{"target":"none"}}"> <div class="coh-row-inner yellow ssa-instance-e31d7f0e7428a7fca3c926212f9f2218 coh-ce-cpt_row_for_columns-544cba20"> <div class="coh-column ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-0bbedcad-aa1b-4bdd-9697-4a8b136de8d4 coh-component-instance-0bbedcad-aa1b-4bdd-9697-4a8b136de8d4 coh-ce-cpt_column-9431213c coh-visible-xs coh-col-xs-12 coh-col-xs-push-0 coh-col-xs-pull-0 coh-col-xs-offset-0 coh-visible-sm coh-col-sm-7 coh-visible-xl coh-col-xl-7" > <div class="coh-wysiwyg ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-ddfd5805-ff7a-493a-87b9-04952e7890c2 coh-component-instance-ddfd5805-ff7a-493a-87b9-04952e7890c2" > <p>2024 is a historic year for democracy: there was never a time in human history with more voters called to the polls. However, <a href="https://www.idea.int/gsod/2024/">declining trends in voter turnout globally</a> over the past decade do not bode well: with elections being regularly disputed, people also look for other ways to engage with the political system beyond the ballot box. The <a href="https://carnegieendowment.org/features/global-protest-tracker?lang=en">incidence of protests</a> globally has increased in 2024. People want to have a say in what the government does. Yet globally, 7 in 10 people perceive that they <a href="https://hdr.undp.org/system/files/documents/global-report-document/hdr2023-24reporten.pdf">have little influence over the decisions</a> of their government.</p><p>As governments worldwide confront these challenges, we encourage them to critically assess the quality of the evidence they rely on to address these issues. The reality is that in most countries, official statistics do not measure citizen participation in public life with the same rigor and consistency as they do with GDP or inflation rates. When independent institutions or private firms conduct surveys to gauge voting intentions, they rarely ask about political participation beyond elections. When national electoral bodies publish data on voter turnout, this data seldom reveals whether certain segments of the population vote less than others. And when social media analytics is used to provide insights into political engagement, we overlook the fact that younger people are overrepresented in such data, while older adults, low-income individuals and certain ethnic groups may be underrepresented.</p><p>We strongly believe that reliable data is crucial for designing effective policies that encourage broader participation, in elections and beyond. In March 2023, the UN Statistical Commission thought the same when endorsing Governance as a new domain in the international statistical nomenclature. This means that governance statistics are now regarded as equally essential for policymaking as unemployment or trade statistics. Countries now need readily available methodologies, and <a href="https://www.undp.org/policy-centre/governance">UNDP’s Global Policy Centre for Governance</a> is working closely with statistics offices to fill this gap in the area of political participation. For more than a decade, the Centre has been leading UN efforts to advance standards for the production of governance statistics including the governance statistics needed for reporting on <a href="https://www.un.org/sustainabledevelopment/peace-justice/">Sustainable Development Goal 16</a>.</p> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="coh-container ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-ed176757-2a5f-4238-a0bf-256c62d20bb4 coh-component-instance-ed176757-2a5f-4238-a0bf-256c62d20bb4 ssa-instance-2b41de58c525eae010f79b1c822f85b9 coh-ce-cpt_row_for_columns-5f467588" > <div class="coh-container " > <div class="coh-row coh-row-xl coh-row-visible-xl" data-coh-row-match-heights="{"xl":{"target":"none"}}"> <div class="coh-row-inner yellow ssa-instance-2b41de58c525eae010f79b1c822f85b9 coh-ce-cpt_row_for_columns-544cba20"> <div class="coh-column ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-1cb91222-daa7-4327-849f-e8e40c9e6682 coh-component-instance-1cb91222-daa7-4327-849f-e8e40c9e6682 coh-ce-cpt_column-9431213c coh-visible-xs coh-col-xs-12 coh-col-xs-push-0 coh-col-xs-pull-0 coh-col-xs-offset-0 coh-visible-sm coh-col-sm-9 coh-visible-xl coh-col-xl-9" > <section class="coh-container ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-4a9fc576-3ee6-4933-b483-59cd6e68b303 coh-component-instance-4a9fc576-3ee6-4933-b483-59cd6e68b303" > <div class="coh-container blockquote yellow blockq" > <blockquote class="coh-blockquote" > "Governance statistics are now regarded as equally essential for policymaking as unemployment or trade statistics." </blockquote> <cite class="coh-inline-element"></cite> </div> </section> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="coh-container ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-c92b6dd3-fd1c-4a12-baed-8ee105435bc0 coh-component-instance-c92b6dd3-fd1c-4a12-baed-8ee105435bc0 coh-style-padding-top-bottom-large ssa-instance-db4fb870286beec4a2dae6eb40d83571 coh-ce-cpt_row_for_columns-5f467588" > <div class="coh-container " > <div class="coh-row coh-row-xl coh-row-visible-xl" data-coh-row-match-heights="{"xl":{"target":"none"}}"> <div class="coh-row-inner yellow ssa-instance-db4fb870286beec4a2dae6eb40d83571 coh-ce-cpt_row_for_columns-544cba20"> <div class="coh-column ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-818a433a-d05e-44c9-b35f-ea3f9697c306 coh-component-instance-818a433a-d05e-44c9-b35f-ea3f9697c306 coh-ce-cpt_column-9431213c coh-visible-xs coh-col-xs-12 coh-col-xs-push-0 coh-col-xs-pull-0 coh-col-xs-offset-0 coh-visible-sm coh-col-sm-7 coh-visible-xl coh-col-xl-7" > <div class="coh-wysiwyg ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-9c8cb75a-f7b9-496a-9f28-3eb8b070079f coh-component-instance-9c8cb75a-f7b9-496a-9f28-3eb8b070079f" > <p>Statistics Norway, with support from UNDP and UN Women, leads a Task Team of national statisticians and data experts established by the <a href="https://unstats.un.org/unsd/methodology/citygroups/praia.cshtml">Praia City Group on Governance Statistics</a> to develop internationally relevant and robust methodologies to measure political participation. Since 2022, sixteen statistical offices from countries as diverse as the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Slovak Republic, Mexico and Tunisia have been working together to design and test an international survey module that aims to provide a precise picture of how people are – or not – engaging with their political system. We are not starting from scratch. Statistics Norway, for instance, has more than fifty years of experience carrying out biannual election surveys covering both national and local elections.</p><p>We believe this is important work for several reasons. First, engaging national statistical offices in this area will help ensure that data on political participation is accurate and trustworthy. Official statistics are gathered using standardized and rigorous methodologies, which is not always the case with other types of unofficial sources of data. In an era where disinformation is turbo-charging political polarization, official statistics are needed more than ever before to help provide verifiable, authoritative data. Moreover, in contexts where doubts about electoral integrity may arise, trusted official statistics can serve as a key countermeasure to maintain the credibility of the electoral process. This was a key topic for discussion at <a href="https://www.undp.org/policy-centre/governance/events/15th-iaeg-sdgs-meeting-special-side-event-open-dialogue-building-trust-statistics-counter-disinformation-information">a special side event</a> of the <a href="https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/iaeg-sdgs/">Inter-Agency and Expert Group on Sustainable Development Goals Indicators</a>, which convened in Oslo from 21-23 October, co-hosted by the UNDP Global Policy Centre for Governance and Statistics Norway.</p> </div> <figure class="coh-inline-element ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-d6aa42bb-eaf0-4b61-b282-d2b98194cf9c coh-component-instance-d6aa42bb-eaf0-4b61-b282-d2b98194cf9c wide"> <img src="/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/migration/sgtechcentre/bigdata.jpg" width="1286" height="855" loading="lazy" /> <figcaption class="coh-inline-element"> <p class="coh-paragraph" >In an era of disinformation and political polarization, verifiable, authoritative data can help to strengthen public trust.</p> </figcaption> </figure> <div class="coh-wysiwyg ssa-component coh-component ssa-component-instance-28f731fa-d522-4a0d-988f-5df6c8c708a5 coh-component-instance-28f731fa-d522-4a0d-988f-5df6c8c708a5" > <p>Second, official statistics are inclusive of all segments of society. They can tell us with a high level of precision how participation varies across age, gender, socioeconomic status, ethnicity, and geography. For example, if official statistics show that young people or certain minority groups faced certain problems on voting day, this can lead to targeted measures to address these disparities. This is a particularly powerful feature of official statistics, which AI models feeding on biased or incomplete datasets fail to live up to. </p><p>Thirdly, official statistics offer the only sustainable option<strong> </strong>to support evidence-based policymaking in this area over the longer term. Since official statistics are collected regularly, they can enable the tracking of political participation trends over time, and across regions, cities or countries. This longitudinal data is essential for countries to have the means to promptly identify and respond to shifts in political engagement, especially when it comes to capturing new forms of civic engagement beyond voting that citizens find effective, and that governments may wish to further invest in.</p><p>Even if we live in an age where numbers rain down on us on a daily basis – from Big Data to AI-generated statistics – we believe that <em>more</em> official statistics are needed – not less. Especially on a topic like citizen participation which is so central to a country’s social and political development. Because official statistics are based on the lived experiences of ‘real people’ and this helps to enhance the quality of this data, and its trustworthiness. 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srcset="/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/styles/featured_content_card_mobile_343_x_150_/public/2022-06/cq5dam.web_.1280.1280%20%2823%29.jpeg?h=1c9b88c9&itok=BtRsMa4g 1x" media="all and (max-width: 640px)" type="image/jpeg" width="608" height="266"/> <img loading="lazy" src="/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/styles/featured_content_card_mobile_343_x_150_/public/2022-06/cq5dam.web_.1280.1280%20%2823%29.jpeg?h=1c9b88c9&itok=BtRsMa4g" width="608" height="266" alt="Malawi’s foundational legal identity system sets the stage for a more efficient and responsible digital future" title="Malawi’s foundational legal identity system sets the stage for a more efficient and responsible digital future" /> </picture> </div> </div> <article class="feature__card-content"> <h6>Blog</h6> <div class="feature__card-description"> <h5>A journey of innovation and inclusivity: Building the next phase of Malawi's digital future</h5> <p>Malawi’s digital transformation journey exemplifies how a small nation can effectively implement digital public infrastructure (DPI) through commitment and…</p> </div> <span class="cta__link cta--arrow">Read more <i></i></span> </article> </a> </div> <div class="coh-column coh-col-xs-12 coh-col-xl-4 coh-col-lg-4 coh-col-md-4 coh-col-sm-12 regular feature__card image undefined yellow"> <a href="/stories/would-i-lie-you"> <div class="feature__card-slide"> <div class="feature__card-image"> <picture> <source srcset="/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/styles/featured_content_card_699_x_306_/public/2024-09/disinformation-meta.jpg?h=af5b4b4f&itok=Wed3fSe8 1x" media="all and (min-width: 1441px)" type="image/jpeg" width="931" height="439"/> <source srcset="/sites/g/files/zskgke326/files/styles/featured_content_card_699_x_306_/public/2024-09/disinformation-meta.jpg?h=af5b4b4f&itok=Wed3fSe8 1x" media="all and (max-width: 1440px)" type="image/jpeg" width="931" height="439"/> <source 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</picture> </div> </div> <article class="feature__card-content"> <h6>Stories</h6> <div class="feature__card-description"> <h5>Would I lie to you?</h5> <p>Deep fakes, conspiracy theories, clickbait and phishing. We can no longer believe our own eyes, and AI is not only generating false content, it's supercharging…</p> </div> <span class="cta__link cta--arrow">Read more <i></i></span> </article> </a> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section> </div> </main> </div> </article> </div> <div id="block-undpsolrsearch" data-block-plugin-id="undp_solr_search_block"> <section id="modal-cse-search" class="menu-modal modal-popular-search hide"> <div class="modal-content" data-modal-search=""> <div class="modal-body grid-container"> <div class="search-results"> <div class="grid-x grid-margin-x"> <div class="cell"> <form class="ajax-undp-custom-search" data-drupal-selector="ajax-undp-custom-search" action="/blog/beyond-ballot-case-rigorous-statistics-political-participation" method="post" id="ajax_undp_custom_search" accept-charset="UTF-8"> <div class="search-input big-search"> <div class="icon"> <span class="search-icon"></span> </div> <div class="js-form-item form-item js-form-type-textfield form-type-textfield js-form-item-search form-item-search form-no-label"> <label for="edit-search" class="visually-hidden">Search</label> <input data-drupal-selector="edit-search" type="text" id="edit-search" name="search" value="" size="60" maxlength="128" class="form-text" /> </div> </div> <input class="hide button js-form-submit form-submit" data-drupal-selector="edit-submit" type="submit" id="edit-submit" name="op" value="Submit" /> <input id="search-results-start" data-drupal-selector="edit-start" type="hidden" name="start" value="1" /> <input id="search-results-sort" data-drupal-selector="edit-sort" type="hidden" name="sort" value="" /> <input id="search-results-filter" data-drupal-selector="edit-filter" type="hidden" name="filter" value="1" /> <input id="search-results-lang" data-drupal-selector="edit-lang" type="hidden" name="lang" value="en" /> <input data-drupal-selector="edit-ajax-undp-custom-search" type="hidden" name="form_id" value="ajax_undp_custom_search" /> <input data-drupal-selector="form-vky0jwncjsbndji4wukkopdsruewxzqkzmkb07xg-j8" type="hidden" name="form_build_id" value="form-vKy0jwNcjSBNdJI4wUKKOpdsRUEWxZqkzMKb07xG_J8" /> <div id="search-results"> <div class=" search-results-stats"> <div class="grid-x grid-padding-x"> <div class="auto cell"> <div> Found <span class="total-results">0</span> results. <div class="did-you-mean">Did you mean <a href="" data-new-search=""></a> ?</div> </div> </div> <div class="shrink cell"> <div class="select-box" data-select=""> <button type="button" aria-haspopup="listbox" aria-label="Select" data-select-open=""> Sort by </button> <ul role="listbox" data-select-options=""> <li role="option" tabindex="0" data-value=""> <span>Relevancy</span> </li> <li role="option" tabindex="0" data-value="date"> <span>Date</span> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="search-results-filter tabs"> <ul role="tablist"> <li class="tabs-title is-active"> <a href="#" aria-selected="true" role="tab" data-value="1">This site</a> </li> <li class="tabs-title"> <a href="#" aria-selected="false" role="tab" data-value="">All UNDP</a> </li> </ul> </div> <div class="search-results-ai-summary"> <div class="content"></div> <div class="footnote"> <div class="ai-icon"> </div> <div>This summary is generated by Google AI, and its accuracy and relevance may vary. 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