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러시아 경제, 전쟁에도 오히려 호황이라고?

<!doctype html> <html lang="ko" data-useragent="Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 7.0; Windows NT 6.0; SLCC1; .NET CLR 2.0.50727; .NET CLR 3.0.04506; .NET CLR 3.5.21022; .NET CLR 1.0.3705; .NET CLR 1.1.4322)"> <head> <meta charset="utf-8"> <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0, maximum-scale=1.0, minimum-scale=1.0, user-scalable=no" /> <meta name="format-detection" content="telephone=no"> <meta name="description" content="(썸네일 출처: 연합뉴스) 러시아가 우크라이나를 침공한 지도 벌써 3년이 다 돼갑니다. 그동안 미국을 비롯한 여러 서방 국가들은 우크라이나를 지원하고, 러시아에는 강력한 경제 제재를 부과해왔는데요. 하지만 이런 제재에도 불구하고 최근 러시아 경제는 호황을 거듭하고 있습"> <meta property="og:title" content="러시아 경제, 전쟁에도 오히려 호황이라고?"> <meta property="og:image" content="https://scs-phinf.pstatic.net/MjAyNDExMThfMjgx/MDAxNzMxODYyOTExMTU5.Y2SAqACfeDuwLr_Khi7TmrArM9RNHy3rNyreAsVcx-Ag.tlTIE8FPWFloPgEQqZhz-Fkh3g87YvBb4rzEvK_kE_0g.JPEG/PTA20241108032001009_(1).jpg?type&#x3D;w800"> <meta property="og:description" content="(썸네일 출처: 연합뉴스) 러시아가 우크라이나를 침공한 지도 벌써 3년이 다 돼갑니다. 그동안 미국을 비롯한 여러 서방 국가들은 우크라이나를 지원하고, 러시아에는 강력한 경제 제재를 부과해왔는데요. 하지만 이런 제재에도 불구하고 최근 러시아 경제는 호황을 거듭하고 있습"> <meta property="og:url" content="https://contents.premium.naver.com/byteplus/byte/contents/241118021242746vb"> <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary"> <meta name="twitter:title" content="러시아 경제, 전쟁에도 오히려 호황이라고?"> <meta name="twitter:site" content="프리미엄콘텐츠"> <meta name="twitter:image" content="https://scs-phinf.pstatic.net/MjAyNDExMThfMjgx/MDAxNzMxODYyOTExMTU5.Y2SAqACfeDuwLr_Khi7TmrArM9RNHy3rNyreAsVcx-Ag.tlTIE8FPWFloPgEQqZhz-Fkh3g87YvBb4rzEvK_kE_0g.JPEG/PTA20241108032001009_(1).jpg?type&#x3D;w800"> <meta name="twitter:description" content="(썸네일 출처: 연합뉴스) 러시아가 우크라이나를 침공한 지도 벌써 3년이 다 돼갑니다. 그동안 미국을 비롯한 여러 서방 국가들은 우크라이나를 지원하고, 러시아에는 강력한 경제 제재를 부과해왔는데요. 하지만 이런 제재에도 불구하고 최근 러시아 경제는 호황을 거듭하고 있습"> <meta name="publish-datetime" content="2024-11-18T06:00:00.000"> <meta name="is-deleted" content="false"> <meta name="is-blocked" content="false"> <meta name="product-option-for-sale" 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href="/byteplus/byte/contents?categoryId&#x3D;185cab0dc96000m0t" class="viewer_category_link" data-clk="chlh_cont.ctgrall">경제 한입</a> </div> <div class="se-module se-module-text se-title-text"> <p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " style="" id="SE-942a3c03-6071-4166-98aa-2bbec2545a8c"><span style="" class="se-fs- se-ff- " id="SE-9d6063b9-4671-473e-ac0a-3cc2d109d126">러시아 경제, 전쟁에도 오히려 호황이라고?</span></p> </div> <div class="viewer_title_content"> <div class="viewer_date">2024.11.18. 오전 6:00</div> <div class="viewer_author_wrap"> <div class="viewer_author_inside"> <div class="viewer_author_thumb_box"> <a href="/byteplus/byte/authors/188ab0afe3fuml" class="viewer_author_thumb_link" data-clk="chlh_cont.writer"> <div class="viewer_author_thumb"> <img 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<span class="character_icon">가</span> <button class="font_bigger_button _CONTENT_FONT_SIZE" data-clk="chlh_cont.textplus" data-font-size="1"><span class="blind">더 크게</span></button> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <!--@CONTENTS_HEADER--> <!-- SE_DOC_HEADER_END --> <div class="se-main-container"> <div class="se-component se-text se-l-default" id="SE-99adaa1f-5826-4247-9795-3a1f44ad748c"> <div class="se-component-content"> <div class="se-section se-section-text se-l-default"> <div class="se-module se-module-text"> <!-- SE-TEXT { --><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align-right " style="" id="SE-75764dfe-efb3-41d7-a73e-2353ab753968"><span style="" class="se-fs-fs13 se-ff-system " id="SE-fd1fd82a-2656-409b-8c23-5fdc7da62c5d">(썸네일 출처: 연합뉴스)</span></p><!-- } SE-TEXT --><!-- SE-TEXT { --><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align-justify " style="" id="SE-6481aad8-92cf-4a94-9106-44767abfaec7"><span style="" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system " id="SE-796c9441-46e2-4cdd-8f4b-88d4f19e478e">​</span></p><!-- } SE-TEXT --><!-- SE-TEXT { --><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align-justify " style="" id="SE-2b5da123-396e-48e6-b50d-5eda62a6e329"><span style="" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system " id="SE-7da22f6c-ebc9-47e9-ae95-b9811e52f29a">러시아가 우크라이나를 침공한 지도 벌써 3년이 다 돼갑니다. 그동안 미국을 비롯한 여러 서방 국가들은 우크라이나를 지원하고, 러시아에는 강력한 경제 제재를 부과해왔는데요. 하지만 이런 제재에도 불구하고 최근 러시아 경제는 호황을 거듭하고 있습니다. 앞으로 수년은 전쟁을 더 지속할 수 있다는 전망까지 나오죠.</span></p><!-- } SE-TEXT --><!-- SE-TEXT { --><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align-justify " style="" id="SE-d146b8d3-7a72-4dc3-a68d-4d3117448317"><span style="" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system " id="SE-33e7383b-a621-473f-af20-e5f2a2597106">​</span></p><!-- } SE-TEXT --><!-- SE-TEXT { --><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align-justify " style="" id="SE-b0a9e6e2-f38c-41b0-867d-607df4a84e05"><span style="" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system " id="SE-bf258a09-df19-4d2e-8999-04270d2a9d4f">게다가 우크라이나 지원에 회의적인 도널드 트럼프 전 대통령이 대선에서 승리하면서, 국면은 러시아에 유리하게 흘러가는데요. 오늘 &lt;경제 한입&gt;에선 러시아 경제의 현 상황과 앞으로 러-우 전쟁의 전망에 대해 살펴봅니다.</span></p><!-- } SE-TEXT --> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="se-component se-quotation se-l-quotation_line" id="SE-a002e458-67cc-43fb-9912-d3bdba3c1c02"> <div class="se-component-content"> <div class="se-section se-section-quotation se-l-quotation_line"> <blockquote class="se-quotation-container"> <div class="se-module se-module-text se-quote"><!-- SE-TEXT { --><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align- " style="" id="SE-0d5329b1-19fa-42d1-b8c3-18393948da33"><span style="color:#000000;" class="se-fs-fs24 se-ff- " id="SE-4e5a723b-9998-4d95-baa8-1f8161f94468"><b>러시아 경제, 지금 어떤 상황일까</b></span></p><!-- } SE-TEXT --></div> </blockquote> </div> </div> </div> <div class="se-component se-text se-l-default" id="SE-51f2818e-2fa3-4099-8a62-72b60841b50e"> <div class="se-component-content"> <div class="se-section se-section-text se-l-default"> <div class="se-module se-module-text"> <!-- SE-TEXT { --><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align-justify " style="" id="SE-d346c31e-ce8c-4592-b300-22a74d424796"><span style="" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system " id="SE-9731684e-e534-461e-a075-883e945f84e9"><b>📈 러시아 경제, 생각보다 좋다</b></span></p><!-- } SE-TEXT --><!-- SE-TEXT { --><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align-justify " style="" id="SE-953b89fc-337d-4842-bc95-e8e39e3f66f7"><span style="" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system se-weight-unset " id="SE-f1e3e486-aab3-4a57-9b54-5ac95c75c07b">현재 러시아 경제는 우크라이나 전쟁과 서방의 강력한 경제 제재에도 불구하고 </span><span style="background-color:#fff8b2;" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system se-weight-unset " id="SE-626ea7a3-07a6-4886-89b1-cf1d3f69623f">예상보다 견조한 성장세</span><span style="" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system se-weight-unset " id="SE-de18bc34-bf15-454e-b8b1-ea190cb77bc2">를 보이고 있습니다. 작년 4.0%의 경제(GDP)성장률을 기록한 데 이어, 올해에도 3% 중후반의 성장률을 기록할 전망인데요. 국제통화기금(IMF)은 10월, 러시아 경제의 올해 성장률 전망치를 3.2%에서 3.6%로 상향했고, 러시아경제개발부 역시 올해 전망치를 2.8%에서 3.9%까지 높여 잡았습니다. </span></p><!-- } SE-TEXT --><!-- SE-TEXT { --><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align-justify " style="" id="SE-44b2c797-669a-4564-a861-f43cf7895140"><span style="" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system se-weight-unset " id="SE-87a19627-7258-4627-8936-642e5da8553b">​</span></p><!-- } SE-TEXT --><!-- SE-TEXT { --><p class="se-text-paragraph se-text-paragraph-align-justify " style="" id="SE-4fb7e508-5908-4aed-8196-333a0b4c9181"><span style="background-color:#fff8b2;" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system se-weight-unset " id="SE-599e33fa-f6f6-4710-85e3-7b25ffd95092">러시아 경제는 현재 과열 상태</span><span style="" class="se-fs-fs16 se-ff-system se-weight-unset " id="SE-f5c54467-086e-4655-af0b-66ba156235c0">라고 해도 과언이 아닙니다. 높은 성장률과 함께 심각한 인플레이션에 시달리고 있는데요. 러시아의 물가상승률은 7~8월 9.1%를 기록한 이후 꾸준히 8% 후반대를 기록하고 있습니다. 반면 실업률은 2%대 초반을 기록하며 사실상 완전 고용 상태를 유지 중입니다. 전쟁으로 물자에 대한 수요는 커졌지만, 노동력이 부족해지면서 임금과 물가가 오르는 인플레이션이 발생하는 것이죠. </span></p><!-- } SE-TEXT --> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="viewer_bottom_section"> <div class="viewer_paywall"> <div class="viewer_paywall_text"> <strong class="viewer_paywall_title">프리미엄 구독자 전용 콘텐츠입니다.</strong> <p class="viewer_paywall_desc">BYTE+ 구독으로 더 많은 콘텐츠를 만나보세요!</p> </div> <div class="viewer_paywall_subscribe _PAYWALL_BUTTON" data-is-ticket="true" data-is-product="" data-price="9,900" data-url="/byteplus/byte/subscriptions?rContentId&#x3D;241118021242746vb" data-cp-name="byteplus" data-sub-id="byte" data-content-id="241118021242746vb" data-ba-scene-id="content" data-ba-classifier="paywall" data-ba-params='{"cp_id":"byteplus","channel_id":"byte","contents_id":"241118021242746vb","purchase_type":"ticket"}'> <a href="/byteplus/byte/subscriptions?rContentId&#x3D;241118021242746vb" class="viewer_paywall_subscribe_inner" data-clk="chlh_cont.subspay" data-cp-name="byteplus" data-sub-id="byte"> <span class="viewer_paywall_subscribe_title">프리미엄 구독</span> <div class="viewer_paywall_subscribe_price_wrap"> <span class="viewer_paywall_subscribe_price"> <em>9,900</em> <span class="viewer_paywall_subscribe_price_text">원/월</span> </span> </div> </a> </div> <div class="viewer_paywall_subscribe _PAYWALL_BUTTON as_single" data-is-ticket="" data-is-product="true" data-price="1,000" data-url="/byteplus/byte/products/241118021242746vb" data-cp-name="byteplus" data-sub-id="byte" data-content-id="241118021242746vb" data-ba-scene-id="content" data-ba-classifier="paywall" data-ba-params='{"cp_id":"byteplus","channel_id":"byte","contents_id":"241118021242746vb","purchase_type":"single_product"}'> <a href="/byteplus/byte/products/241118021242746vb" class="viewer_paywall_subscribe_inner" data-clk="chlh_cont.singlepay" data-cp-name="byteplus" data-sub-id="byte"> <span class="viewer_paywall_subscribe_title">콘텐츠만 결제하기</span> <div class="viewer_paywall_subscribe_price_wrap"> <span class="viewer_paywall_subscribe_price"> <em>1,000</em> <span class="viewer_paywall_subscribe_price_text">원/7일</span> </span> </div> </a> </div> </div> <div class="viewer_bottom_author"> <ul class="viewer_bottom_author_list"> <li class="viewer_bottom_author_item"> <div class="viewer_bottom_author_inside"> <a href="/byteplus/byte/authors/188ab0afe3fuml" class="viewer_bottom_author_link" data-clk="chlh_cont.writer"> <div class="viewer_bottom_author_thumb"> <img data-src="https://scs-phinf.pstatic.net/MjAyNDA0MDhfMjU2/MDAxNzEyNTY0MDQ3ODk0.Rrch6zhe6lVc-yV9KGsCKJgLF-_WDu4tkZRfsKJ5iAUg.99IDrSYz0s-rdvzD2MNwh5TOE2lSf-Qe5HRqtrDfoYUg.PNG/image%7Cpremium%7Cauthor%7Cbyteplus_byte%7C2024%7C04%7C08%7C1712564047871.png?type&#x3D;nfs200_200" class="_LAZY_LOADING" alt="" width="32" height="32" onerror="this.outerHTML='<span class=&quot;no_image&quot;></span>'"> </div> <strong class="viewer_bottom_author_name"> <span class="viewer_bottom_author_name_text">🐶 JAY</span> </strong> <p class="viewer_bottom_author_desc"> Byte 콘텐츠 총괄입니다. </p> </a> </div> </li> </ul> </div> <div class="viewer_bottom_info"> <div class="viewer_tag"> <ul class="viewer_tag_list"> <li class="viewer_tag_item"> <a href="/byteplus/byte/contents?tag&#x3D;%EB%9F%AC%EC%8B%9C%EC%95%84" class="viewer_tag_link" data-clk="chlh_cont.tag">#러시아</a> </li> <li class="viewer_tag_item"> <a href="/byteplus/byte/contents?tag&#x3D;%EC%9A%B0%ED%81%AC%EB%9D%BC%EC%9D%B4%EB%82%98" class="viewer_tag_link" data-clk="chlh_cont.tag">#우크라이나</a> </li> <li class="viewer_tag_item"> <a href="/byteplus/byte/contents?tag&#x3D;%EC%A0%84%EC%9F%81" class="viewer_tag_link" data-clk="chlh_cont.tag">#전쟁</a> </li> <li class="viewer_tag_item"> <a href="/byteplus/byte/contents?tag&#x3D;%ED%91%B8%ED%8B%B4" class="viewer_tag_link" data-clk="chlh_cont.tag">#푸틴</a> </li> <li class="viewer_tag_item"> <a href="/byteplus/byte/contents?tag&#x3D;%ED%8A%B8%EB%9F%BC%ED%94%84" class="viewer_tag_link" data-clk="chlh_cont.tag">#트럼프</a> </li> <li class="viewer_tag_item"> <a href="/byteplus/byte/contents?tag&#x3D;%EB%82%98%ED%86%A0" class="viewer_tag_link" data-clk="chlh_cont.tag">#나토</a> </li> 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