CINXE.COM

<!DOCTYPE html> <html class="client-nojs vector-feature-language-in-header-enabled vector-feature-language-in-main-page-header-disabled vector-feature-sticky-header-disabled vector-feature-page-tools-pinned-disabled vector-feature-toc-pinned-clientpref-1 vector-feature-main-menu-pinned-disabled vector-feature-limited-width-clientpref-1 vector-feature-limited-width-content-enabled vector-feature-custom-font-size-clientpref-1 vector-feature-appearance-pinned-clientpref-1 vector-feature-night-mode-disabled skin-theme-clientpref-day vector-toc-available" lang="af" dir="ltr"> <head> <meta charset="UTF-8"> <title>Herman Kahn - Wikipedia</title> <script>(function(){var className="client-js vector-feature-language-in-header-enabled vector-feature-language-in-main-page-header-disabled vector-feature-sticky-header-disabled vector-feature-page-tools-pinned-disabled vector-feature-toc-pinned-clientpref-1 vector-feature-main-menu-pinned-disabled vector-feature-limited-width-clientpref-1 vector-feature-limited-width-content-enabled vector-feature-custom-font-size-clientpref-1 vector-feature-appearance-pinned-clientpref-1 vector-feature-night-mode-disabled skin-theme-clientpref-day vector-toc-available";var cookie=document.cookie.match(/(?:^|; )afwikimwclientpreferences=([^;]+)/);if(cookie){cookie[1].split('%2C').forEach(function(pref){className=className.replace(new RegExp('(^| )'+pref.replace(/-clientpref-\w+$|[^\w-]+/g,'')+'-clientpref-\\w+( |$)'),'$1'+pref+'$2');});}document.documentElement.className=className;}());RLCONF={"wgBreakFrames":false,"wgSeparatorTransformTable":[",\t."," \t,"],"wgDigitTransformTable":["",""], "wgDefaultDateFormat":"dmy","wgMonthNames":["","Januarie","Februarie","Maart","April","Mei","Junie","Julie","Augustus","September","Oktober","November","Desember"],"wgRequestId":"ca9889a1-4ee9-417a-ab2c-ece9595df9ba","wgCanonicalNamespace":"","wgCanonicalSpecialPageName":false,"wgNamespaceNumber":0,"wgPageName":"Herman_Kahn","wgTitle":"Herman Kahn","wgCurRevisionId":2569897,"wgRevisionId":2569897,"wgArticleId":223499,"wgIsArticle":true,"wgIsRedirect":false,"wgAction":"view","wgUserName":null,"wgUserGroups":["*"],"wgCategories":["AS1-bronne in Engels (en)","AS1-foute: tydskrif ontbreek","AS1-onderhoud: ekstra leestekens","AS1-onderhoud: meer as een naam","AS1-bronne in Viëtnamees (vi)","Artikels met hCards","Artikels met BNE-identifiseerders","Artikels met BNF-identifiseerders","Artikels met CINII-identifiseerders","Artikels met GND-identifiseerders","Artikels met ISNI-identifiseerders","Artikels met LCCN-identifiseerders","Artikels met LNB-identifiseerders", "Artikels met NDL-identifiseerders","Artikels met NKC-identifiseerders","Artikels met NLI-identifiseerders","Artikels met NLK-identifiseerders","Artikels met foutiewelike NLP-identifiseerders","Artikels met NTA-identifiseerders","Artikels met SELIBR-identifiseerders","Artikels met SNAC-ID-identifiseerders","Artikels met SUDOC-identifiseerders","Artikels met VIAF-identifiseerders","Artikels met WorldCat-VIAF-identifiseerders","Normdata met 17 elemente","Pages using ISBN magic links","Amerikaanse Jode","Amerikaanse wetenskaplikes","Geboortes in 1922","Sterftes in 1983"],"wgPageViewLanguage":"af","wgPageContentLanguage":"af","wgPageContentModel":"wikitext","wgRelevantPageName":"Herman_Kahn","wgRelevantArticleId":223499,"wgIsProbablyEditable":true,"wgRelevantPageIsProbablyEditable":true,"wgRestrictionEdit":[],"wgRestrictionMove":[],"wgNoticeProject":"wikipedia","wgCiteReferencePreviewsActive":true,"wgMediaViewerOnClick":true,"wgMediaViewerEnabledByDefault":true,"wgPopupsFlags":0, "wgVisualEditor":{"pageLanguageCode":"af","pageLanguageDir":"ltr","pageVariantFallbacks":"af"},"wgMFDisplayWikibaseDescriptions":{"search":true,"watchlist":true,"tagline":true,"nearby":true},"wgWMESchemaEditAttemptStepOversample":false,"wgWMEPageLength":20000,"wgRelatedArticlesCompat":[],"wgCentralAuthMobileDomain":false,"wgEditSubmitButtonLabelPublish":true,"wgULSPosition":"interlanguage","wgULSisCompactLinksEnabled":false,"wgVector2022LanguageInHeader":true,"wgULSisLanguageSelectorEmpty":false,"wgWikibaseItemId":"Q267605","wgCheckUserClientHintsHeadersJsApi":["brands","architecture","bitness","fullVersionList","mobile","model","platform","platformVersion"],"GEHomepageSuggestedEditsEnableTopics":true,"wgGETopicsMatchModeEnabled":false,"wgGEStructuredTaskRejectionReasonTextInputEnabled":false,"wgGELevelingUpEnabledForUser":false};RLSTATE={"ext.globalCssJs.user.styles":"ready","site.styles":"ready","user.styles":"ready","ext.globalCssJs.user":"ready","user":"ready","user.options": "loading","ext.cite.styles":"ready","skins.vector.search.codex.styles":"ready","skins.vector.styles":"ready","skins.vector.icons":"ready","ext.wikimediamessages.styles":"ready","ext.visualEditor.desktopArticleTarget.noscript":"ready","ext.uls.interlanguage":"ready","wikibase.client.init":"ready","ext.wikimediaBadges":"ready"};RLPAGEMODULES=["ext.cite.ux-enhancements","site","mediawiki.page.ready","mediawiki.toc","skins.vector.js","ext.centralNotice.geoIP","ext.centralNotice.startUp","ext.gadget.charinsert","ext.gadget.switcher","ext.urlShortener.toolbar","ext.centralauth.centralautologin","mmv.bootstrap","ext.popups","ext.visualEditor.desktopArticleTarget.init","ext.visualEditor.targetLoader","ext.echo.centralauth","ext.eventLogging","ext.wikimediaEvents","ext.navigationTiming","ext.uls.interface","ext.cx.eventlogging.campaigns","ext.cx.uls.quick.actions","wikibase.client.vector-2022","ext.checkUser.clientHints","ext.growthExperiments.SuggestedEditSession","wikibase.sidebar.tracking"];</script> <script>(RLQ=window.RLQ||[]).push(function(){mw.loader.impl(function(){return["user.options@12s5i",function($,jQuery,require,module){mw.user.tokens.set({"patrolToken":"+\\","watchToken":"+\\","csrfToken":"+\\"}); }];});});</script> <link rel="stylesheet" href="/w/load.php?lang=af&modules=ext.cite.styles%7Cext.uls.interlanguage%7Cext.visualEditor.desktopArticleTarget.noscript%7Cext.wikimediaBadges%7Cext.wikimediamessages.styles%7Cskins.vector.icons%2Cstyles%7Cskins.vector.search.codex.styles%7Cwikibase.client.init&only=styles&skin=vector-2022"> <script async="" src="/w/load.php?lang=af&modules=startup&only=scripts&raw=1&skin=vector-2022"></script> <meta name="ResourceLoaderDynamicStyles" content=""> <link rel="stylesheet" href="/w/load.php?lang=af&modules=site.styles&only=styles&skin=vector-2022"> <meta name="generator" content="MediaWiki 1.44.0-wmf.4"> <meta name="referrer" content="origin"> <meta name="referrer" content="origin-when-cross-origin"> <meta name="robots" content="max-image-preview:standard"> <meta name="format-detection" content="telephone=no"> <meta property="og:image" content="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/5b/Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg/1200px-Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg"> <meta property="og:image:width" content="1200"> <meta property="og:image:height" content="1118"> <meta property="og:image" content="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/5b/Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg/800px-Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg"> <meta property="og:image:width" content="800"> <meta property="og:image:height" content="745"> <meta property="og:image" content="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/5b/Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg/640px-Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg"> <meta property="og:image:width" content="640"> <meta property="og:image:height" content="596"> <meta name="viewport" content="width=1120"> <meta property="og:title" content="Herman Kahn - Wikipedia"> <meta property="og:type" content="website"> <link rel="preconnect" href="//upload.wikimedia.org"> <link rel="alternate" media="only screen and (max-width: 640px)" href="//af.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn"> <link rel="alternate" type="application/x-wiki" title="Wysig" href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit"> <link rel="apple-touch-icon" href="/static/apple-touch/wikipedia.png"> <link rel="icon" href="/static/favicon/wikipedia.ico"> <link rel="search" type="application/opensearchdescription+xml" href="/w/rest.php/v1/search" title="Wikipedia (af)"> <link rel="EditURI" type="application/rsd+xml" href="//af.wikipedia.org/w/api.php?action=rsd"> <link rel="canonical" href="https://af.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn"> <link rel="license" href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.af"> <link rel="alternate" type="application/atom+xml" title="Wikipedia Atoomvoer" href="/w/index.php?title=Spesiaal:Onlangse_wysigings&feed=atom"> <link rel="dns-prefetch" href="//meta.wikimedia.org" /> <link rel="dns-prefetch" href="//login.wikimedia.org"> </head> <body class="skin--responsive skin-vector skin-vector-search-vue mediawiki ltr sitedir-ltr mw-hide-empty-elt ns-0 ns-subject mw-editable page-Herman_Kahn rootpage-Herman_Kahn skin-vector-2022 action-view"><a class="mw-jump-link" href="#bodyContent">Gaan na inhoud</a> <div class="vector-header-container"> <header class="vector-header mw-header"> <div class="vector-header-start"> <nav class="vector-main-menu-landmark" aria-label="Werf"> <div id="vector-main-menu-dropdown" class="vector-dropdown vector-main-menu-dropdown vector-button-flush-left vector-button-flush-right" > <input type="checkbox" id="vector-main-menu-dropdown-checkbox" role="button" aria-haspopup="true" data-event-name="ui.dropdown-vector-main-menu-dropdown" class="vector-dropdown-checkbox " aria-label="Hoofkieslys" > <label id="vector-main-menu-dropdown-label" for="vector-main-menu-dropdown-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--icon-only " aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-menu mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-menu"></span> <span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">Hoofkieslys</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div id="vector-main-menu-unpinned-container" class="vector-unpinned-container"> <div id="vector-main-menu" class="vector-main-menu vector-pinnable-element"> <div class="vector-pinnable-header vector-main-menu-pinnable-header vector-pinnable-header-unpinned" data-feature-name="main-menu-pinned" data-pinnable-element-id="vector-main-menu" data-pinned-container-id="vector-main-menu-pinned-container" data-unpinned-container-id="vector-main-menu-unpinned-container" > <div class="vector-pinnable-header-label">Hoofkieslys</div> <button class="vector-pinnable-header-toggle-button vector-pinnable-header-pin-button" data-event-name="pinnable-header.vector-main-menu.pin">skuif na kantbalk</button> <button class="vector-pinnable-header-toggle-button vector-pinnable-header-unpin-button" data-event-name="pinnable-header.vector-main-menu.unpin">versteek</button> </div> <div id="p-navigation" class="vector-menu mw-portlet mw-portlet-navigation" > <div class="vector-menu-heading"> Navigasie </div> <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li id="n-mainpage" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Tuisblad" title="Besoek die Tuisblad [z]" accesskey="z"><span>Tuisblad</span></a></li><li id="n-portal" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Gebruikersportaal" title="Meer oor die projek, wat jy kan doen, nuttige skakels"><span>Gebruikersportaal</span></a></li><li id="n-currentevents" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Geselshoekie" title="Agtergrondinligting oor aktuele sake"><span>Geselshoekie</span></a></li><li id="n-recentchanges" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Onlangse_wysigings" title="'n Lys van onlangse wysigings [r]" accesskey="r"><span>Onlangse wysigings</span></a></li><li id="n-randompage" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Lukraak" title="Laai 'n lukrake bladsye [x]" accesskey="x"><span>Lukrake bladsy</span></a></li><li id="n-help" class="mw-list-item"><a href="https://www.mediawiki.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Help:Contents" title="Vind meer uit oor iets"><span>Hulp</span></a></li><li id="n-Sandput" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Sandput"><span>Sandput</span></a></li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </nav> <a href="/wiki/Tuisblad" class="mw-logo"> <img class="mw-logo-icon" src="/static/images/icons/wikipedia.png" alt="" aria-hidden="true" height="50" width="50"> <span class="mw-logo-container skin-invert"> <img class="mw-logo-wordmark" alt="Wikipedia" src="/static/images/mobile/copyright/wikipedia-wordmark-en.svg" style="width: 7.5em; height: 1.125em;"> <img class="mw-logo-tagline" alt="" src="/static/images/mobile/copyright/wikipedia-tagline-af.svg" width="118" height="13" style="width: 7.375em; height: 0.8125em;"> </span> </a> </div> <div class="vector-header-end"> <div id="p-search" role="search" class="vector-search-box-vue vector-search-box-collapses vector-search-box-show-thumbnail vector-search-box-auto-expand-width vector-search-box"> <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Soek" class="cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--icon-only search-toggle" title="Deursoek Wikipedia [f]" accesskey="f"><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-search mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-search"></span> <span>Soek</span> </a> <div class="vector-typeahead-search-container"> <div class="cdx-typeahead-search cdx-typeahead-search--show-thumbnail cdx-typeahead-search--auto-expand-width"> <form action="/w/index.php" id="searchform" class="cdx-search-input cdx-search-input--has-end-button"> <div id="simpleSearch" class="cdx-search-input__input-wrapper" data-search-loc="header-moved"> <div class="cdx-text-input cdx-text-input--has-start-icon"> <input class="cdx-text-input__input" type="search" name="search" placeholder="Deursoek Wikipedia" aria-label="Deursoek Wikipedia" autocapitalize="sentences" title="Deursoek Wikipedia [f]" accesskey="f" id="searchInput" > <span class="cdx-text-input__icon cdx-text-input__start-icon"></span> </div> <input type="hidden" name="title" value="Spesiaal:Soek"> </div> <button class="cdx-button cdx-search-input__end-button">Soek</button> </form> </div> </div> </div> <nav class="vector-user-links vector-user-links-wide" aria-label="Persoonlike gereedskap"> <div class="vector-user-links-main"> <div id="p-vector-user-menu-preferences" class="vector-menu mw-portlet emptyPortlet" > <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> </ul> </div> </div> <div id="p-vector-user-menu-userpage" class="vector-menu mw-portlet emptyPortlet" > <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> </ul> </div> </div> <nav class="vector-appearance-landmark" aria-label="Voorkoms"> <div id="vector-appearance-dropdown" class="vector-dropdown " title="Change the appearance of the page's font size, width, and color" > <input type="checkbox" id="vector-appearance-dropdown-checkbox" role="button" aria-haspopup="true" data-event-name="ui.dropdown-vector-appearance-dropdown" class="vector-dropdown-checkbox " aria-label="Voorkoms" > <label id="vector-appearance-dropdown-label" for="vector-appearance-dropdown-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--icon-only " aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-appearance mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-appearance"></span> <span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">Voorkoms</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div id="vector-appearance-unpinned-container" class="vector-unpinned-container"> </div> </div> </div> </nav> <div id="p-vector-user-menu-notifications" class="vector-menu mw-portlet emptyPortlet" > <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> </ul> </div> </div> <div id="p-vector-user-menu-overflow" class="vector-menu mw-portlet" > <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li id="pt-sitesupport-2" class="user-links-collapsible-item mw-list-item user-links-collapsible-item"><a data-mw="interface" href="//donate.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:FundraiserRedirector?utm_source=donate&utm_medium=sidebar&utm_campaign=C13_af.wikipedia.org&uselang=af" class=""><span>Skenkings</span></a> </li> <li id="pt-createaccount-2" class="user-links-collapsible-item mw-list-item user-links-collapsible-item"><a data-mw="interface" href="/w/index.php?title=Spesiaal:SkepRekening&returnto=Herman+Kahn" title="U word aangemoedig om 'n gebruiker te skep en aan te meld, hoewel dit nie verpligtend is nie." class=""><span>Skep gebruiker</span></a> </li> <li id="pt-login-2" class="user-links-collapsible-item mw-list-item user-links-collapsible-item"><a data-mw="interface" href="/w/index.php?title=Spesiaal:Teken_in&returnto=Herman+Kahn" title="U word aangemoedig om aan te meld. Dit is egter nie verpligtend nie. [o]" accesskey="o" class=""><span>Meld aan</span></a> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> <div id="vector-user-links-dropdown" class="vector-dropdown vector-user-menu vector-button-flush-right vector-user-menu-logged-out" title="Meer opsies" > <input type="checkbox" id="vector-user-links-dropdown-checkbox" role="button" aria-haspopup="true" data-event-name="ui.dropdown-vector-user-links-dropdown" class="vector-dropdown-checkbox " aria-label="Persoonlike gereedskap" > <label id="vector-user-links-dropdown-label" for="vector-user-links-dropdown-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--icon-only " aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-ellipsis mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-ellipsis"></span> <span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">Persoonlike gereedskap</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div id="p-personal" class="vector-menu mw-portlet mw-portlet-personal user-links-collapsible-item" title="User menu" > <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li id="pt-sitesupport" class="user-links-collapsible-item mw-list-item"><a href="//donate.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:FundraiserRedirector?utm_source=donate&utm_medium=sidebar&utm_campaign=C13_af.wikipedia.org&uselang=af"><span>Skenkings</span></a></li><li id="pt-createaccount" class="user-links-collapsible-item mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Spesiaal:SkepRekening&returnto=Herman+Kahn" title="U word aangemoedig om 'n gebruiker te skep en aan te meld, hoewel dit nie verpligtend is nie."><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-userAdd mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-userAdd"></span> <span>Skep gebruiker</span></a></li><li id="pt-login" class="user-links-collapsible-item mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Spesiaal:Teken_in&returnto=Herman+Kahn" title="U word aangemoedig om aan te meld. Dit is egter nie verpligtend nie. [o]" accesskey="o"><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-logIn mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-logIn"></span> <span>Meld aan</span></a></li> </ul> </div> </div> <div id="p-user-menu-anon-editor" class="vector-menu mw-portlet mw-portlet-user-menu-anon-editor" > <div class="vector-menu-heading"> Bladsye vir uitgemelde redakteurs <a href="/wiki/Hulp:Inleiding" aria-label="Leer meer oor redigering"><span>leer meer</span></a> </div> <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li id="pt-anoncontribs" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Mybydrae" title="A list of edits made from this IP address [y]" accesskey="y"><span>Bydraes</span></a></li><li id="pt-anontalk" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Mybespreking" title="Bespreking oor bydraes van hierdie IP-adres [n]" accesskey="n"><span>Bespreking</span></a></li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> </nav> </div> </header> </div> <div class="mw-page-container"> <div class="mw-page-container-inner"> <div class="vector-sitenotice-container"> <div id="siteNotice"></div> </div> <div class="vector-column-start"> <div class="vector-main-menu-container"> <div id="mw-navigation"> <nav id="mw-panel" class="vector-main-menu-landmark" aria-label="Werf"> <div id="vector-main-menu-pinned-container" class="vector-pinned-container"> </div> </nav> </div> </div> <div class="vector-sticky-pinned-container"> <nav id="mw-panel-toc" aria-label="Inhoud" data-event-name="ui.sidebar-toc" class="mw-table-of-contents-container vector-toc-landmark"> <div id="vector-toc-pinned-container" class="vector-pinned-container"> <div id="vector-toc" class="vector-toc vector-pinnable-element"> <div class="vector-pinnable-header vector-toc-pinnable-header vector-pinnable-header-pinned" data-feature-name="toc-pinned" data-pinnable-element-id="vector-toc" > <h2 class="vector-pinnable-header-label">Inhoud</h2> <button class="vector-pinnable-header-toggle-button vector-pinnable-header-pin-button" data-event-name="pinnable-header.vector-toc.pin">skuif na kantbalk</button> <button class="vector-pinnable-header-toggle-button vector-pinnable-header-unpin-button" data-event-name="pinnable-header.vector-toc.unpin">versteek</button> </div> <ul class="vector-toc-contents" id="mw-panel-toc-list"> <li id="toc-mw-content-text" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1"> <a href="#" class="vector-toc-link"> <div class="vector-toc-text">Inleiding</div> </a> </li> <li id="toc-Agtergrond" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Agtergrond"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">1</span> <span>Agtergrond</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Agtergrond-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Koue_Oorlogteorieë" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Koue_Oorlogteorieë"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2</span> <span>Koue Oorlogteorieë</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Koue_Oorlogteorieë-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-"Die_ondenkbare"" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#"Die_ondenkbare""> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3</span> <span>"Die ondenkbare"</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-"Die_ondenkbare"-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Hudson_Instituut_en_Viëtnamoorlog" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Hudson_Instituut_en_Viëtnamoorlog"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">4</span> <span>Hudson Instituut en Viëtnamoorlog</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Hudson_Instituut_en_Viëtnamoorlog-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Die_Jaar_2000" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Die_Jaar_2000"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">5</span> <span>Die Jaar 2000</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Die_Jaar_2000-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Later_jare" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Later_jare"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">6</span> <span>Later jare</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Later_jare-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Kulturele_invloed" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Kulturele_invloed"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">7</span> <span>Kulturele invloed</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Kulturele_invloed-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Publikasies" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Publikasies"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">8</span> <span>Publikasies</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Publikasies-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Verdere_leeswerk" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Verdere_leeswerk"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">9</span> <span>Verdere leeswerk</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Verdere_leeswerk-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Verwysings" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Verwysings"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">10</span> <span>Verwysings</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Verwysings-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Nota" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Nota"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">11</span> <span>Nota</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Nota-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </nav> </div> </div> <div class="mw-content-container"> <main id="content" class="mw-body"> <header class="mw-body-header vector-page-titlebar"> <nav aria-label="Inhoud" class="vector-toc-landmark"> <div id="vector-page-titlebar-toc" class="vector-dropdown vector-page-titlebar-toc vector-button-flush-left" > <input type="checkbox" id="vector-page-titlebar-toc-checkbox" role="button" aria-haspopup="true" data-event-name="ui.dropdown-vector-page-titlebar-toc" class="vector-dropdown-checkbox " aria-label="Wissel die inhoudsopgawe" > <label id="vector-page-titlebar-toc-label" for="vector-page-titlebar-toc-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--icon-only " aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-listBullet mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-listBullet"></span> <span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">Wissel die inhoudsopgawe</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div id="vector-page-titlebar-toc-unpinned-container" class="vector-unpinned-container"> </div> </div> </div> </nav> <h1 id="firstHeading" class="firstHeading mw-first-heading"><span class="mw-page-title-main">Herman Kahn</span></h1> <div id="p-lang-btn" class="vector-dropdown mw-portlet mw-portlet-lang" > <input type="checkbox" id="p-lang-btn-checkbox" role="button" aria-haspopup="true" data-event-name="ui.dropdown-p-lang-btn" class="vector-dropdown-checkbox mw-interlanguage-selector" aria-label="Gaan na 'n artikel in 'n ander taal. Beskikbaar in 22 tale" > <label id="p-lang-btn-label" for="p-lang-btn-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--action-progressive mw-portlet-lang-heading-22" aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-language-progressive mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-language-progressive"></span> <span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">22 tale</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ar mw-list-item"><a href="https://ar.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D9%87%D9%8A%D8%B1%D9%85%D8%A7%D9%86_%D9%83%D8%A7%D9%86" title="هيرمان كان – Arabies" lang="ar" hreflang="ar" data-title="هيرمان كان" data-language-autonym="العربية" data-language-local-name="Arabies" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>العربية</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-bg mw-list-item"><a href="https://bg.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A5%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%BD_%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BD" title="Херман Кан – Bulgaars" lang="bg" hreflang="bg" data-title="Херман Кан" data-language-autonym="Български" data-language-local-name="Bulgaars" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Български</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-cs mw-list-item"><a href="https://cs.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Tsjeggies" lang="cs" hreflang="cs" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Čeština" data-language-local-name="Tsjeggies" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Čeština</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-da mw-list-item"><a href="https://da.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Deens" lang="da" hreflang="da" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Dansk" data-language-local-name="Deens" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Dansk</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-de mw-list-item"><a href="https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Duits" lang="de" hreflang="de" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Deutsch" data-language-local-name="Duits" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Deutsch</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-en mw-list-item"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Engels" lang="en" hreflang="en" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="English" data-language-local-name="Engels" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>English</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-es mw-list-item"><a href="https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Spaans" lang="es" hreflang="es" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Español" data-language-local-name="Spaans" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Español</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fa mw-list-item"><a href="https://fa.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D9%87%D8%B1%D9%85%D9%86_%DA%A9%D8%A7%D9%86" title="هرمن کان – Persies" lang="fa" hreflang="fa" data-title="هرمن کان" data-language-autonym="فارسی" data-language-local-name="Persies" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>فارسی</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fi mw-list-item"><a href="https://fi.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Fins" lang="fi" hreflang="fi" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Suomi" data-language-local-name="Fins" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Suomi</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fr mw-list-item"><a href="https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Frans" lang="fr" hreflang="fr" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Français" data-language-local-name="Frans" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Français</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-id mw-list-item"><a href="https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Indonesies" lang="id" hreflang="id" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Bahasa Indonesia" data-language-local-name="Indonesies" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Bahasa Indonesia</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-it mw-list-item"><a href="https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Italiaans" lang="it" hreflang="it" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Italiano" data-language-local-name="Italiaans" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Italiano</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ja mw-list-item"><a href="https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%83%8F%E3%83%BC%E3%83%9E%E3%83%B3%E3%83%BB%E3%82%AB%E3%83%BC%E3%83%B3" title="ハーマン・カーン – Japannees" lang="ja" hreflang="ja" data-title="ハーマン・カーン" data-language-autonym="日本語" data-language-local-name="Japannees" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>日本語</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-my mw-list-item"><a href="https://my.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E1%80%9F%E1%80%AC%E1%80%99%E1%80%84%E1%80%BA%E1%80%B8_%E1%80%81%E1%80%94%E1%80%BA%E1%80%B8" title="ဟာမင်း ခန်း – Birmaans" lang="my" hreflang="my" data-title="ဟာမင်း ခန်း" data-language-autonym="မြန်မာဘာသာ" data-language-local-name="Birmaans" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>မြန်မာဘာသာ</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-nl mw-list-item"><a href="https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Nederlands" lang="nl" hreflang="nl" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Nederlands" data-language-local-name="Nederlands" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Nederlands</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-pl mw-list-item"><a href="https://pl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Pools" lang="pl" hreflang="pl" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Polski" data-language-local-name="Pools" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Polski</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-pt mw-list-item"><a href="https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Portugees" lang="pt" hreflang="pt" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Português" data-language-local-name="Portugees" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Português</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ru mw-list-item"><a href="https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%9A%D0%B0%D0%BD,_%D0%93%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%BC%D0%B0%D0%BD" title="Кан, Герман – Russies" lang="ru" hreflang="ru" data-title="Кан, Герман" data-language-autonym="Русский" data-language-local-name="Russies" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Русский</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-scn mw-list-item"><a href="https://scn.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Sisiliaans" lang="scn" hreflang="scn" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Sicilianu" data-language-local-name="Sisiliaans" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Sicilianu</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-simple mw-list-item"><a href="https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Simple English" lang="en-simple" hreflang="en-simple" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Simple English" data-language-local-name="Simple English" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Simple English</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sk mw-list-item"><a href="https://sk.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Slowaaks" lang="sk" hreflang="sk" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Slovenčina" data-language-local-name="Slowaaks" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Slovenčina</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sv mw-list-item"><a href="https://sv.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Herman Kahn – Sweeds" lang="sv" hreflang="sv" data-title="Herman Kahn" data-language-autonym="Svenska" data-language-local-name="Sweeds" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Svenska</span></a></li> </ul> <div class="after-portlet after-portlet-lang"><span class="wb-langlinks-edit wb-langlinks-link"><a href="https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Special:EntityPage/Q267605#sitelinks-wikipedia" title="Wysig skakels tussen tale" class="wbc-editpage">Wysig skakels</a></span></div> </div> </div> </div> </header> <div class="vector-page-toolbar"> <div class="vector-page-toolbar-container"> <div id="left-navigation"> <nav aria-label="Naamruimtes"> <div id="p-associated-pages" class="vector-menu vector-menu-tabs mw-portlet mw-portlet-associated-pages" > <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li id="ca-nstab-main" class="selected vector-tab-noicon mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Herman_Kahn" title="Bekyk die inhoudbladsy [c]" accesskey="c"><span>Bladsy</span></a></li><li id="ca-talk" class="vector-tab-noicon mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Bespreking:Herman_Kahn" rel="discussion" title="Bespreking oor die inhoudbladsy [t]" accesskey="t"><span>Bespreking</span></a></li> </ul> </div> </div> <div id="vector-variants-dropdown" class="vector-dropdown emptyPortlet" > <input type="checkbox" id="vector-variants-dropdown-checkbox" role="button" aria-haspopup="true" data-event-name="ui.dropdown-vector-variants-dropdown" class="vector-dropdown-checkbox " aria-label="Verander taalvariant" > <label id="vector-variants-dropdown-label" for="vector-variants-dropdown-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet" aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">Afrikaans</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div id="p-variants" class="vector-menu mw-portlet mw-portlet-variants emptyPortlet" > <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> </nav> </div> <div id="right-navigation" class="vector-collapsible"> <nav aria-label="Weergawes"> <div id="p-views" class="vector-menu vector-menu-tabs mw-portlet mw-portlet-views" > <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li id="ca-view" class="selected vector-tab-noicon mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Herman_Kahn"><span>Lees</span></a></li><li id="ca-ve-edit" class="vector-tab-noicon mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit" title="Redigeer hierdie bladsy [v]" accesskey="v"><span>Wysig</span></a></li><li id="ca-edit" class="collapsible vector-tab-noicon mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit" title="Wysig die bladsy se bonkode [e]" accesskey="e"><span>Wysig bron</span></a></li><li id="ca-history" class="vector-tab-noicon mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=history" title="Ouer weergawes van hierdie bladsy [h]" accesskey="h"><span>Wys geskiedenis</span></a></li> </ul> </div> </div> </nav> <nav class="vector-page-tools-landmark" aria-label="Page tools"> <div id="vector-page-tools-dropdown" class="vector-dropdown vector-page-tools-dropdown" > <input type="checkbox" id="vector-page-tools-dropdown-checkbox" role="button" aria-haspopup="true" data-event-name="ui.dropdown-vector-page-tools-dropdown" class="vector-dropdown-checkbox " aria-label="Gereedskap" > <label id="vector-page-tools-dropdown-label" for="vector-page-tools-dropdown-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet" aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">Gereedskap</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div id="vector-page-tools-unpinned-container" class="vector-unpinned-container"> <div id="vector-page-tools" class="vector-page-tools vector-pinnable-element"> <div class="vector-pinnable-header vector-page-tools-pinnable-header vector-pinnable-header-unpinned" data-feature-name="page-tools-pinned" data-pinnable-element-id="vector-page-tools" data-pinned-container-id="vector-page-tools-pinned-container" data-unpinned-container-id="vector-page-tools-unpinned-container" > <div class="vector-pinnable-header-label">Gereedskap</div> <button class="vector-pinnable-header-toggle-button vector-pinnable-header-pin-button" data-event-name="pinnable-header.vector-page-tools.pin">skuif na kantbalk</button> <button class="vector-pinnable-header-toggle-button vector-pinnable-header-unpin-button" data-event-name="pinnable-header.vector-page-tools.unpin">versteek</button> </div> <div id="p-cactions" class="vector-menu mw-portlet mw-portlet-cactions emptyPortlet vector-has-collapsible-items" title="More options" > <div class="vector-menu-heading"> Actions </div> <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li id="ca-more-view" class="selected vector-more-collapsible-item mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Herman_Kahn"><span>Lees</span></a></li><li id="ca-more-ve-edit" class="vector-more-collapsible-item mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit" title="Redigeer hierdie bladsy [v]" accesskey="v"><span>Wysig</span></a></li><li id="ca-more-edit" class="collapsible vector-more-collapsible-item mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit" title="Wysig die bladsy se bonkode [e]" accesskey="e"><span>Wysig bron</span></a></li><li id="ca-more-history" class="vector-more-collapsible-item mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=history"><span>Wys geskiedenis</span></a></li> </ul> </div> </div> <div id="p-tb" class="vector-menu mw-portlet mw-portlet-tb" > <div class="vector-menu-heading"> Algemeen </div> <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li id="t-whatlinkshere" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Skakels_hierheen/Herman_Kahn" title="'n Lys bladsye wat hierheen skakel [j]" accesskey="j"><span>Skakels hierheen</span></a></li><li id="t-recentchangeslinked" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:OnlangseVeranderingsMetSkakels/Herman_Kahn" rel="nofollow" title="Onlangse wysigings aan bladsye wat vanaf hierdie bladsy geskakel is [k]" accesskey="k"><span>Verwante veranderings</span></a></li><li id="t-specialpages" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Spesiale_bladsye" title="'n Lys van al die spesiale bladsye [q]" accesskey="q"><span>Spesiale bladsye</span></a></li><li id="t-permalink" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&oldid=2569897" title="'n Permanente skakel na hierdie weergawe van die bladsy"><span>Permanente skakel</span></a></li><li id="t-info" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=info" title="More information about this page"><span>Bladinligting</span></a></li><li id="t-cite" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Spesiaal:CiteThisPage&page=Herman_Kahn&id=2569897&wpFormIdentifier=titleform" title="Inligting oor hoe u hierdie bladsy kan verwys"><span>Haal dié blad aan</span></a></li><li id="t-urlshortener" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Spesiaal:UrlShortener&url=https%3A%2F%2Faf.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FHerman_Kahn"><span>Kry verkorte URL</span></a></li><li id="t-urlshortener-qrcode" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Spesiaal:QrCode&url=https%3A%2F%2Faf.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FHerman_Kahn"><span>Laai QR-kode af</span></a></li> </ul> </div> </div> <div id="p-coll-print_export" class="vector-menu mw-portlet mw-portlet-coll-print_export" > <div class="vector-menu-heading"> Druk/uitvoer </div> <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li id="coll-create_a_book" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Spesiaal:Boek&bookcmd=book_creator&referer=Herman+Kahn"><span>Skep boek</span></a></li><li id="coll-download-as-rl" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Spesiaal:DownloadAsPdf&page=Herman_Kahn&action=show-download-screen"><span>Laai af as PDF</span></a></li><li id="t-print" class="mw-list-item"><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&printable=yes" title="Drukbare weergawe van hierdie bladsy [p]" accesskey="p"><span>Drukbare weergawe</span></a></li> </ul> </div> </div> <div id="p-wikibase-otherprojects" class="vector-menu mw-portlet mw-portlet-wikibase-otherprojects" > <div class="vector-menu-heading"> Ander projekte </div> <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li class="wb-otherproject-link wb-otherproject-commons mw-list-item"><a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Category:Herman_Kahn" hreflang="en"><span>Wikimedia Commons</span></a></li><li id="t-wikibase" class="wb-otherproject-link wb-otherproject-wikibase-dataitem mw-list-item"><a href="https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Special:EntityPage/Q267605" title="Skakel na gekonnekteerde databank item [g]" accesskey="g"><span>Wikidata-item</span></a></li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </nav> </div> </div> </div> <div class="vector-column-end"> <div class="vector-sticky-pinned-container"> <nav class="vector-page-tools-landmark" aria-label="Page tools"> <div id="vector-page-tools-pinned-container" class="vector-pinned-container"> </div> </nav> <nav class="vector-appearance-landmark" aria-label="Voorkoms"> <div id="vector-appearance-pinned-container" class="vector-pinned-container"> <div id="vector-appearance" class="vector-appearance vector-pinnable-element"> <div class="vector-pinnable-header vector-appearance-pinnable-header vector-pinnable-header-pinned" data-feature-name="appearance-pinned" data-pinnable-element-id="vector-appearance" data-pinned-container-id="vector-appearance-pinned-container" data-unpinned-container-id="vector-appearance-unpinned-container" > <div class="vector-pinnable-header-label">Voorkoms</div> <button class="vector-pinnable-header-toggle-button vector-pinnable-header-pin-button" data-event-name="pinnable-header.vector-appearance.pin">skuif na kantbalk</button> <button class="vector-pinnable-header-toggle-button vector-pinnable-header-unpin-button" data-event-name="pinnable-header.vector-appearance.unpin">versteek</button> </div> </div> </div> </nav> </div> </div> <div id="bodyContent" class="vector-body" aria-labelledby="firstHeading" data-mw-ve-target-container> <div class="vector-body-before-content"> <div class="mw-indicators"> </div> <div id="siteSub" class="noprint">in Wikipedia, die vrye ensiklopedie</div> </div> <div id="contentSub"><div id="mw-content-subtitle"></div></div> <div id="mw-content-text" class="mw-body-content"><div class="mw-content-ltr mw-parser-output" lang="af" dir="ltr"><table class="infobox biography vcard" style="width:22em"><tbody><tr><th colspan="2" style="text-align:center;font-size:125%;font-weight:bold"><div class="fn" style="display:inline">Herman Kahn</div></th></tr><tr><td colspan="2" style="text-align:center"><span class="mw-default-size" typeof="mw:File/Frameless"><a href="/wiki/L%C3%AAer:Interview_with_Herman_Kahn,_author_of_On_Escalation,_May_11,_1965.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/5b/Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg/220px-Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg" decoding="async" width="220" height="205" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/5b/Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg/330px-Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/5/5b/Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg/440px-Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg 2x" data-file-width="2544" data-file-height="2370" /></a></span><div>Herman Kahn in 1965</div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row">Gebore</th><td><span style="display:none">(<span class="bday">1922-02-15</span>)</span>15 Februarie 1922<br /><div style="display:inline" class="birthplace">Bayonne, <a href="/wiki/New_Jersey" title="New Jersey">New Jersey</a></div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row">Sterf</th><td>7 Julie 1983 (op 61)<br /><div style="display:inline" class="deathplace">Chappaqua, <a href="/wiki/New_York_(deelstaat)" title="New York (deelstaat)">New York</a></div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row">Nasionaliteit</th><td class="category"><span class="mw-image-border" typeof="mw:File"><a href="/wiki/L%C3%AAer:Flag_of_the_United_States.svg" class="mw-file-description" title="Vlag van Verenigde State van Amerika"><img alt="Vlag van Verenigde State van Amerika" src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a4/Flag_of_the_United_States.svg/22px-Flag_of_the_United_States.svg.png" decoding="async" width="22" height="12" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a4/Flag_of_the_United_States.svg/33px-Flag_of_the_United_States.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a4/Flag_of_the_United_States.svg/44px-Flag_of_the_United_States.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="1235" data-file-height="650" /></a></span> <a href="/wiki/Verenigde_State_van_Amerika" title="Verenigde State van Amerika">Verenigde State</a></td></tr><tr><th scope="row">Beroep</th><td class="role">Futuris, militêre strateeg, stelselteoretikus</td></tr><tr><th scope="row">Bekend vir</th><td><i>On Thermonuclear War</i></td></tr><tr><th scope="row">Ouer(s)</th><td>Yetta (née Koslowsky) en Abraham Kahn</td></tr></tbody></table> <p><b>Herman Kahn</b> (<a href="/wiki/15_Februarie" title="15 Februarie">15 Februarie</a> <a href="/wiki/1922" title="1922">1922</a> – <a href="/wiki/7_Julie" title="7 Julie">7 Julie</a> <a href="/wiki/1983" title="1983">1983</a>) was 'n stigter van die Hudson Instituut en een van die voorste <a href="/wiki/Futuris" title="Futuris">futuriste</a> van die laaste deel van die <a href="/wiki/Twintigste_eeu" class="mw-redirect" title="Twintigste eeu">twintigste eeu</a>. Hy het oorspronklik bekend geword as 'n <a href="/wiki/Milit%C3%AAre_strategie" title="Militêre strategie">militêre strateeg</a> en stelselsteoretikus terwyl hy by die <a href="/wiki/RAND_Korporasie" title="RAND Korporasie">RAND Korporasie</a> betrokke was. Hy was ook bekend weens sy analise van die moontlike gevolge van <a href="/wiki/Kernoorlog" title="Kernoorlog">kernoorlog</a> en die maniere wat hy aanbeveel het om oorleefbaarheid daarvan te verbeter. Dit maak hom een van drie historiese inspirasies vir die titelkarakter van <a href="/wiki/Stanley_Kubrick" title="Stanley Kubrick">Stanley Kubrick</a> se klassieke swart komediefilm-satire <i>Dr Strangelove</i>.<sup id="cite_ref-Boyer1996_1-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Boyer1996-1"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>Sy teorieë het besonders bygedra tot die ontwikkeling van die kernstrategie van die <a href="/wiki/Verenigde_State" class="mw-redirect" title="Verenigde State">Verenigde State</a>. </p> <meta property="mw:PageProp/toc" /> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Agtergrond">Agtergrond</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=1" title="Wysig afdeling: Agtergrond" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=1" title="Edit section's source code: Agtergrond"><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Kahn is gebore in Bayonne, <a href="/wiki/New_Jersey" title="New Jersey">New Jersey</a>, die seun van Yetta (nee Koslowsky) en Abraham Kahn, 'n kleremaker.<sup id="cite_ref-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Sy ouers was <a href="/wiki/Jood" class="mw-redirect" title="Jood">Joodse</a> immigrante uit <a href="/wiki/Oos-Europa" title="Oos-Europa">Oos-Europa</a>. Hy is opgevoed in die <a href="/wiki/Bronx" class="mw-redirect" title="Bronx">Bronx</a>, toe in <a href="/wiki/Los_Angeles" title="Los Angeles">Los Angeles</a> na sy ouers se egskeiding.<sup id="cite_ref-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-3"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>3<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Grootgemaak as Jood, het hy later 'n <a href="/wiki/Ate%C3%AFsme" title="Ateïsme">ateïs</a> geword.<sup id="cite_ref-4" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-4"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Hy het die Universiteit van Kalifornië, Los Angeles (UCLA) bygewoon, met die hoofvak as <a href="/wiki/Fisika" title="Fisika">fisika</a>. Gedurende die <a href="/wiki/Tweede_W%C3%AAreldoorlog" title="Tweede Wêreldoorlog">Tweede Wêreldoorlog</a> is hy deur die weermag gestasioneer as 'n telefoonlynman in <a href="/wiki/Birma" class="mw-redirect" title="Birma">Birma</a>. Na die oorlog het hy sy BS-graad by UCLA voltooi en 'n doktorsgraad by Caltech begin. Hy het om finansiële redes opgehou, maar het 'n MSc behaal. Na 'n kort tydjie as <a href="/wiki/Eiendomsagent" title="Eiendomsagent">eiendomsagent</a>, het hy by die RAND Korporasie aangesluit via sy vriend Samuel Cohen, die uitvinder van die neutronbom. Hy het betrokke geraak by die ontwikkeling van die waterstofbom, in die Lawrence Livermore-laboratorium in Noord-Kalifornië, om nou saam met <a href="/wiki/Edward_Teller" title="Edward Teller">Edward Teller</a>, John von Neumann, <a href="/wiki/Hans_Bethe" title="Hans Bethe">Hans Bethe</a> en Albert Wohlstetter te werk. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Koue_Oorlogteorieë"><span id="Koue_Oorlogteorie.C3.AB"></span>Koue Oorlogteorieë</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=2" title="Wysig afdeling: Koue Oorlogteorieë" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=2" title="Edit section's source code: Koue Oorlogteorieë"><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Kahn se belangrikste bydraes was die verskillende <a href="/wiki/Strategie" title="Strategie">strategie</a>ë wat hy tydens die <a href="/wiki/Koue_Oorlog" title="Koue Oorlog">Koue Oorlog</a> ontwikkel het om die "ondenkbare" – naamlik kernoorlogvoering – te oorweeg deur toepassings van spelteorie te gebruik. Kahn word dikwels genoem (met <a href="/wiki/Pierre_Wack" title="Pierre Wack">Pierre Wack</a>) as 'n vader van scenario-beplanning.<sup id="cite_ref-5" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-5"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Gedurende die middel van die 1950's was die <a href="/wiki/Dwight_D._Eisenhower" title="Dwight D. Eisenhower">Eisenhower-administrasie</a> se heersende kernstrategie een van "massiewe vergelding", afgekondig deur die staatssekretaris <a href="/wiki/John_Foster_Dulles" title="John Foster Dulles">John Foster Dulles</a>. Volgens hierdie teorie, wat die <i>New Look</i> genoem word, was die Sowjet-weermag aansienlik groter as dié van die Verenigde State en het dit dus 'n potensiële veiligheidsbedreiging op te veel gebiede voorgestel sodat die Amerikaners nie dadelik doeltreffend kon optree nie. Gevolglik het die Verenigde State geen ander keuse as om te verklaar dat sy reaksie op enige Sowjet-aggressie enige plek 'n kernaanval sou wees. </p><p>Kahn beskou hierdie teorie onhoudbaar omdat dit onderontwikkeld en moontlik destabiliserend was. Hy het aangevoer dat die <i>New-Look</i>-teorie 'n kernaanval uitgenooi het deur die <a href="/wiki/Sowjetunie" title="Sowjetunie">Sowjetunie</a> 'n aansporing te gee om enige konvensionele gelokaliseerde militêre optrede êrens ter wêreld vooraf te gaan met 'n kernaanval op die Amerikaanse bomwerperbasis, waardeur die Amerikaners se kernbedreiging dadelik vernietig word en die Verenigde State in 'n landoorlog te dwing wat dit probeer vermy het. </p><p>In 1960, soos die Koue Oorlogspannings ná die <a href="/wiki/Spoetnik_1" title="Spoetnik 1">Spoetnik 1</a>-krisis naby hul spits was en te midde van 'n toenemende "missielgaping" tussen die Verenigde State en die Sowjetunie, het Kahn <i>On Thermonuclear War</i> gepubliseer, waarvan die titel duidelik verwys na oorlog, soortgelyk soos die klassieke 19de-eeuse verhandeling deur die Duitse militêre strateeg <a href="/wiki/Carl_von_Clausewitz" title="Carl von Clausewitz">Carl von Clausewitz</a>. </p><p>Kahn het sy teorie berus op twee premise, een voor die hand liggend, een hoogs omstrede. Eerstens was die kernoorlog natuurlik haalbaar, aangesien die Verenigde State en die Sowjetunie het massiewe kernarsenale op mekaar gerig gehad het. Tweedens, soos enige ander oorlog, was dit wenbaar. </p><p>Kahn het geargumenteer vir afskrikking en het geglo dat indien die Sowjetunie geglo het dat die Verenigde State 'n tweede aanvalsvermoeë gehad het, sou dit groter afskrikkings waarde bied, wat hy in sy referaat "<i>The Nature and Feasibility of War and Deterrence</i>" geskryf het.<sup id="cite_ref-6" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-6"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>Of honderde miljoene mense gesterf het of 'n paar groot stede vernietig is, het Kahn aangevoer, die lewe sal aangaan – soos byvoorbeeld na die <a href="/wiki/Swart_Dood" title="Swart Dood">Swart Dood</a> in <a href="/wiki/Europa" title="Europa">Europa</a> gedurende die <a href="/wiki/14de_eeu" title="14de eeu">14de eeu</a>, of in <a href="/wiki/Japan" title="Japan">Japan</a> na die beperkte kernaanval in 1945 – in teenstelling met die konvensionele, heersende oordeelsdag scenarios. Verskeie uitkomste kan veel verskrikliker wees as wat tot dusver getuig of voorgestel is, maar sommige van hulle kan egter veel erger wees as ander. Maak nie saak hoe versriklik die verwoesting was nie, Kahn het geargumenteer dat die oorlewendes uiteindelik nie die dooies sal "beny nie" en om anders te glo sal beteken dat afskrikking in die eerste plek onnodig was. As Amerikaners onwillig was om die gevolge van 'n kernuitruil te aanvaar, maak nie saak hoe verskriklik nie, dan het hulle beslis geen besigheid gehad om hul gewilligheid verklaar om aan te val nie. Sonder 'n onbeperkte, onambivalente bereidwilligheid "om die knoppie te druk", was die hele reeks voorbereidings en militêre ontplooiings bloot 'n uitgebreide bluff. </p><p>Die basis van sy werk was <a href="/wiki/Stelselteorie" title="Stelselteorie">stelselteorie</a> en spelteorie soos toegepas op ekonomiese en militêre strategie. Kahn het geargumenteer dat die Sowjetunie vir die afskrikking oortuig moes wees dat die Verenigde State 'n tweede aanvalvermoeë gehad het om die Politburo in geen onduidelikheid te laat dat daar selfs 'n volkome gekoördineerde massale aanval 'n mate van vergelding sou wees wat hulle ook verwoes sou laat: </p><p>Op die minimum moet 'n voldoende afskrikmiddel vir die Verenigde State 'n objektiewe grondslag vir 'n Sowjet-berekening gee wat hulle sal oortuig dat, ongeag hoe vaardig of vernuftig hulle is, 'n aanval op die Verenigde State sou lei tot 'n baie hoë risiko indien nie sekerheid van grootskaalse vernietiging aan die Sowjet-burgerlike samelewing en militêre magte nie. </p><p>Oppervlakkig lyk hierdie redenasie soos die ouer leerstelling van wedersydse versekerde vernietiging (WVV) (<a href="/wiki/Engels" title="Engels">Engels</a>: <i>Mutual Assured Destruction</i> – MAD) as gevolg van John von Neumann, hoewel Kahn een van sy vokale kritici was. Sterk konvensionele magte was ook 'n belangrike element in Kahn se strategiese denke, want hy het aangevoer dat die spanning gegenereer deur relatief klein flitspunte wêreldwyd opgelos kan word sonder om die kernopsie te gebruik. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id=""Die_ondenkbare""><span id=".22Die_ondenkbare.22"></span>"Die ondenkbare"</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=3" title="Wysig afdeling: "Die ondenkbare"" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=3" title="Edit section's source code: "Die ondenkbare""><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Vanweë sy bereidwilligheid om die mees brutale moontlikhede te verwoord, het sommige individue Kahn verwerp, hoewel hy bekend was as 'n liefdevolle mens in die privaat. In teenstelling met die meeste strateë was hy heeltemal bereid om oor die aard van wat in 'n na-kernoorlog-wêreld sou voorkom te spekuleer. Radioaktiewe afval, byvoorbeeld, sou eenvoudig nog 'n onaangenaamhede en ongerief in die lewe wees, terwyl die "groot ophef" oor die styging in geboorte afwykings nie tot die uitwissing van die mens sal lei nie omdat 'n meerderheid van die oorlewendes nie daardeur beïnvloed sou word nie. Besmette voedsel kan aangewys word vir verbruik deur bejaardes, wat vermoedelik sal sterf voor die vertraagde aanvang van <a href="/wiki/Kanker" title="Kanker">kankers</a> wat deur <a href="/wiki/Radioaktiwiteit" title="Radioaktiwiteit">radioaktiwiteit</a> veroorsaak word. 'n Graad van selfs beskeie voorbereiding – naamlik die bou van uitval skuilings, ontruiming scenarios en burgerlike verdediging oefeninge word gesien as eie aan die "Koue Oorlog" – sou die bevolking die aansporing en die aanmoediging gee om te herbou. Hy het selfs aanbeveel dat die regering huiseienaarsversekering teen kernbombeskadiging bied. Kahn het gevoel dat 'n sterk burgerlikebeskermingprogram in plek sal dien as 'n addisionele afskrikmiddel omdat dit die ander kant se potensiaal om vernietiging te bewerkstellig sou verhoed en sodoende die aantrekkingskrag van die kernwapenopsie verminder. 'n Gewilligheid om sulke moontlikhede te verdra, het Kahn aangevoer, is die moeite werd om Europa van 'n massiewe kernoorlog te beskerm, wat waarskynlik onder die voor-WVV-leerstelling sou kon plaasvind. </p><p>'n Aantal pasifiste, insluitende A.J. Muste en <a href="/wiki/Bertrand_Russell" title="Bertrand Russell">Bertrand Russell</a>, het Kahn se werk bewonder en geprys omdat hulle van mening was dat dit 'n sterk saak vir volledige ontwapening aangebied het deur te suggereer dat die kernoorlog alles behalwe onvermydelik was. Ander kritiseer Kahn heftig en beweer dat sy voorspelling van 'n "wenbare" kernoorlog so 'n <a href="/wiki/Oorlog" title="Oorlog">oorlog</a> – of dit later as "gewen", "verlore" of nie een nie – meer waarskynlik maak. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Hudson_Instituut_en_Viëtnamoorlog"><span id="Hudson_Instituut_en_Vi.C3.ABtnamoorlog"></span>Hudson Instituut en Viëtnamoorlog</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=4" title="Wysig afdeling: Hudson Instituut en Viëtnamoorlog" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=4" title="Edit section's source code: Hudson Instituut en Viëtnamoorlog"><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>In 1961 het Kahn, Max Singer en Oscar Ruebhausen die Hudson-instituut gestig,<sup id="cite_ref-7" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-7"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>7<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> 'n beleidnavorsingsorganisasie wat oorspronklik in Croton-on-Hudson, New York, geleë is, waar Kahn destyds gewoon het. Bekendes soos sosioloog <a href="/wiki/Daniel_Bell" title="Daniel Bell">Daniel Bell</a>, politieke filosoof Raymond Aron en romanskrywer Ralph Ellison (skrywer van die 1952 klassieke <i>Invisible Man</i>) is gewerf. </p><p>Kahn het sy standpunte ietwat versag in reaksie op sy kritici, en het gereageer op hul punte in <i>Thinking About the Unthinkable</i> (1962) en <i>On Escalation</i> (1965). Tussen 1966 en 1968, tydens die hoogtepunt van die <a href="/wiki/Vi%C3%ABtnamoorlog" title="Viëtnamoorlog">Viëtnamoorlog</a>, het Kahn as konsultant van die Departement van Verdediging gedien en die toenemende druk om direk met Noord-Vietnam te onderhandel teengestaan, deur te argumenteer dat die enigste militêre oplossing skerp eskalasie was. As dit misluk, het hy gesê, het die VSA-regering 'n uittreestrategie nodig gehad. Hy het krediet geëis vir die bekendstelling van die term "Viëtnamisasie" (<i>Vietnamization</i>). </p><p>Kahn en die Hudson-instituut het afgeraai dat 'n teeninsurgensieoorlog in <a href="/wiki/Vi%C3%ABtnam" title="Viëtnam">Viëtnam</a> begin moes word, maar nadat dit begin het, het hulle raad gegee oor hoe om dit te voer. In 'n onderhoud het hy en die Instituut verkies om nie aan die Sekretaris van Verdediging raad te gee nie, aangesien meningsverskil op so 'n hoë vlak as verraad beskou kan word, terwyl die meningsverskil met die Adjunk-Sekretarisbloot beskou word as tegnies van aard. Wat 'n plan betref, is Britse adviseurs, met ondervinding van die <a href="/wiki/Statebond" class="mw-redirect" title="Statebond">Statebond</a> se suksesvolle teeninsurgensieoorlog in <a href="/wiki/Maleisi%C3%AB" title="Maleisië">Maleisië</a>, geraadpleeg. Kahn en die Instituut het egter geoordeel dat 'n belangrike verskil tussen die Viëtnamese en Maleisiese situasies die Britse landelike polisie in Maleisië was. 'n Instituutstudie van die belangrikste teeninsurgensieoorloë in die onlangse geskiedenis het 'n 100% korrelasie tussen suksesvolle oorloë en effektiewe polisiemagte gevind. Kahn het gesê: "Die doel van 'n weermag is om jou polisiemag te beskerm. Ons het 'n weermag in Viëtnam sonder 'n doel gehad." </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Die_Jaar_2000">Die Jaar 2000</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=5" title="Wysig afdeling: Die Jaar 2000" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=5" title="Edit section's source code: Die Jaar 2000"><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>In 1967 het Herman Kahn en Anthony J. Wiener <i>The Year 2000: A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty-Three Years</i>, wat bydraes ingesluit het van personeel van die Hudson-instituut en 'n inleiding deur Daniel Bell. Tabel XVIII in die dokument<sup id="cite_ref-8" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-8"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>8<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> bevat 'n lys oor die honderd tegniese innovasies wat baie waarskynlik in die laaste derde van die twintigste eeu sal voorkom. Die eerste tien voorspellings was: </p> <ol><li>Veelvuldige toepassings van <a href="/wiki/Laser" title="Laser">lasers</a>.</li> <li>Uiterste hoë sterkte struktuurmateriale.</li> <li>Nuwe of verbeterde superpresterende materiale.</li> <li>Nuwe of verbeterde materiaal vir toerusting en toestelle.</li> <li>Nuwe voertuie in die lug (grond-effekvoertuie, reus- of supersoniese spuitvliegtuie, VTOL, STOL).</li> <li>Uitgebreide kommersiële toepassings van vormladingsplofstof.</li> <li>Meer betroubare en langtermyn <a href="/wiki/Weervoorspelling" title="Weervoorspelling">weervoorspelling</a>.</li> <li>Uitgebreide en / of intensiewe uitbreiding van tropiese <a href="/wiki/Landbou" title="Landbou">landbou</a> en bosbou.</li> <li>Nuwe kragbronne vir vaste installasies.</li> <li>Nuwe kragbronne vir grondvervoer.</li></ol> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Later_jare">Later jare</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=6" title="Wysig afdeling: Later jare" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=6" title="Edit section's source code: Later jare"><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Met die verslapping van die kernspanning tussen die Verenigde State en die Sowjetunie gedurende die <i>détente</i> jare van die 1970's, het Kahn sy toekomsnavorsing werk voortgesit en spekulasies oor die potensiaal vir 'n Armagéddon. Hy en die Hudson instituut wou populêre essays soos Paul Ehrlich se <i>The Population Bomb</i> (1968), Garrett Hardin se soortgelyke redenasie <i>The Tragedy of Commons</i> (ook 1968) en die Club of Rome se <i>Limits to Growth</i> (1972) weerspreek. In Kahn se siening het <a href="/wiki/Kapitalisme" title="Kapitalisme">kapitalisme</a> en <a href="/wiki/Tegnologie" title="Tegnologie">tegnologie</a> bykans grenslose potensiaal vir vooruitgang gehad, terwyl die <a href="/wiki/Kolonisasie_van_die_ruimte" class="mw-redirect" title="Kolonisasie van die ruimte">kolonisasie van die ruimte</a> in die nabye en nie die verre toekoms lê nie.<sup id="cite_ref-9" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-9"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>9<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Kahn se 1976 boek <i>The Next 200 Years</i>, geskryf met William Brown en Leon Martel, het in die jaar 2176 'n optimistiese scenario van ekonomiese toestande aangebied. Hy het ook 'n aantal boeke geskryf wat die toekoms van die Amerikaanse, Japannese en Australiese ekonomieë ekstrapolleer en verskeie werke oor stelselteorie, insluitende die well-ontvangde 1956 monografie <i>Techniques of System Analysis</i>.<sup id="cite_ref-10" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-10"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>10<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>Gedurende die middel van die 1970's, toe <a href="/wiki/Suid-Korea" title="Suid-Korea">Suid-Korea</a> se BBP per capita een van die laagste ter wêreld was, het Kahn voorspel dat die land teen 2000 een van die top tien magtigste lande in die wêreld sal word.<sup id="cite_ref-11" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-11"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>11<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>In sy laaste jaar, 1983, skryf Kahn goedkeurend van <a href="/wiki/Ronald_Reagan" title="Ronald Reagan">Ronald Reagan</a> se politieke agenda in T<i>he Coming Boom: Economic, Political, and Social</i> en het Jonathan Schell se beweringe oor die langtermyn gevolge van die <a href="/wiki/Kernoorlog" title="Kernoorlog">kernoorlog</a> skerp verwerp. Op 7 Julie daardie jaar het hy gesterf aan 'n <a href="/wiki/Beroerte" title="Beroerte">beroerte</a>, 61 jaar oud.<sup id="cite_ref-12" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-12"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>12<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Kulturele_invloed">Kulturele invloed</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=7" title="Wysig afdeling: Kulturele invloed" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=7" title="Edit section's source code: Kulturele invloed"><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Saam met John von Neumann, Edward Teller en <a href="/wiki/Wernher_von_Braun" title="Wernher von Braun">Wernher von Braun</a>, was Kahn na bewering 'n inspirasie vir die karakter "Dr. Strangelove" in die gelyknamige rolprent van Stanley Kubrick wat in 1964 vrygestel is.<sup id="cite_ref-Boyer1996_1-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Boyer1996-1"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Daar is ook gesê dat Kubrick Kahn se boek <i>On Thermonuclear War</i> bestudeer het.<sup id="cite_ref-13" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-13"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>13<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> In die film verwys dr. Strangelove na 'n verslag oor die "Doomsday Machine" deur die "BLAND Corporation". Kahn het Kubrick ontmoet en het hom die idee gegee vir die "Doomsday Machine", 'n toestel wat onmiddellik die vernietiging van die hele planeet sal veroorsaak in die geval van 'n kernaanval. Beide die naam en die konsep van die wapen word bekom uit die teks van <i>On Thermonuclear War</i>.<sup id="cite_ref-newyorker.com_14-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-newyorker.com-14"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>14<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Louis Menand merk op: "In Kahn se boek is die <i>Doomsday Machine</i> 'n voorbeeld van die soort afskrikmiddel wat die militêre denke aanspreek, maar dit is gevaarlik destabiliserend. Aangesien nasies nie selfmoord geneig is nie, kan dit net gebruik word om te dreig." </p><p><a href="/wiki/Walter_Matthau" title="Walter Matthau">Walter Matthau</a> se "maverick"-karakter "Professor Groeteschele" in die film <i>Fail-Safe</i>, wat ook in 1964 vrygestel is, is ook gebaseer op Kahn. In hierdie film probeer die Amerikaanse president om 'n kernholocaust te voorkom wanneer 'n meganiese wanfunksie kernwapens stuur na Moskou. </p><p>In <i>The Politics of Ecstasy</i>,<sup id="cite_ref-15" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-15"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>15<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> het Timothy Leary voorgestel dat Kahn <a href="/wiki/LSD" title="LSD">LSD</a> geneem het. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Publikasies">Publikasies</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=8" title="Wysig afdeling: Publikasies" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=8" title="Edit section's source code: Publikasies"><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Buiten vir fisika en statistieke, sluit die werke geskryf deur Kahn in: </p> <ul><li>1960. <i>On Thermonuclear War.</i> Princeton University Press. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0313200602" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-313-20060-2</a></li> <li>1962. <i>Thinking about the unthinkable.</i> Horizon Press.</li> <li>1965 <i>On escalation: metaphors and scenarios.</i> Praeger.</li> <li>1967. <i>The Year 2000: a framework for speculation on the next thirty-three years.</i> MacMillan. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0025604406" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-02-560440-6</a>. With Anthony Wiener.</li> <li>1968 <i>Can we win in Viet Nam?</i>. Praeger. Kahn with four other authors: Gastil, Raymond D.; Pfaff, William; Stillman, Edmund; Armbruster,</li></ul> <p>Frank E. </p> <ul><li>1970. <i>The Emerging Japanese Superstate: challenge and response.</i> Prentice Hall. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0132746700" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-13-274670-0</a></li> <li>1971. <i>The Japanese challenge: The success and failure of economic success.</i> Morrow; Andre Deutsch. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0688087108" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-688-08710-8</a></li> <li>1972. <i>Things to come: thinking about the seventies and eighties</i>. MacMillan. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0025604708" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-02-560470-8</a>. With B. Bruce-Briggs.</li> <li>1973. <i>Herman Kahnsciousness: the megaton ideas of the one-man think tank</i>. New American Library. Selected and edited by Jerome Agel.</li> <li>1974. <i>The future of the corporation.</i> Mason & Lipscomb. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0884050092" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-88405-009-2</a></li> <li>1976. <i>The next 200 Years: a scenario for America and the world.</i> Morrow. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0688080294" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-688-08029-4</a></li> <li>1979. <i>World economic development: 1979 and beyond.</i> William Morrow; Croom Helm. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0688034799" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-688-03479-9</a>. With Hollender, Jeffrey, and Hollender, John A.</li> <li>1981. <i>Will she be right? The future of Australia.</i> University of Queensland Press. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0702215694" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-7022-1569-4</a>. With Thomas Pepper.</li> <li>1983. <i>The Coming Boom: economic, political, and social.</i> Simon & Schuster; Hutchinson. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0671492659" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-671-49265-9</a></li> <li>1984 <i>Thinking about the unthinkable in the 1980s.</i> New York: Simon and Schuster. <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0671475444" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-671-47544-4</a></li> <li><i>The nature and feasibility of war, deterrence, and arms control</i> (Central nuclear war monograph series), (Hudson Institute)</li> <li><i>A slightly optimistic world context for 1975–2000</i> (Hudson Institute. HI)</li> <li><i>Social limits to growth: "creeping stagnation" vs. "natural and inevitable"</i> (HPS paper)</li> <li><i>A new kind of class struggle in the United States?</i> (Corporate Environment Program. Research memorandum)</li></ul> <p>Werke gepubliseer deur die RAND Korporasie waaraan Kahn meegewerk het: </p> <ul><li><i>The nature and feasibility of war and deterrence</i>, RAND Corporation paper P-1888-RC, 1960</li> <li><i>Some specific suggestions for achieving early non-military defense capabilities and initiating long-range programs,</i> RAND Corporation research memorandum RM-2206-RC, 1958</li> <li>(team led by Herman Kahn) Report on a study of Non-Military Defense, RAND Corporation report R-322-RC, 1958</li> <li>Herman Kahn and Irwin Mann, <i>War Gaming,</i> RAND Corporation paper P-1167, 1957</li> <li>Herman Kahn and Irwin Mann, <i>Ten common pitfalls,</i> RAND research memorandum RM-1937-PR, 1957</li> <li>Herman Kahn, <i>Stochastic (Monte Carlo) attenuation analysis,</i> Santa, Monica, Calif., Rand Corp., 1949</li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Verdere_leeswerk">Verdere leeswerk</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=9" title="Wysig afdeling: Verdere leeswerk" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=9" title="Edit section's source code: Verdere leeswerk"><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li>Barry Bruce-Briggs, <i>Supergenius: The mega-worlds of Herman Kahn</i>, North American Policy Press</li> <li>Sharon Ghamari-Tabrizi, <i>The Worlds of Herman Kahn: The Intuitive Science of Thermonuclear War,</i> Harvard University Press, <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0674017145" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-674-01714-5</a> [reviewed by Christopher Coker in the Times Literary Supplement], nº 5332, 10 June 2005, p. 19.</li> <li>Fred Kaplan, <i>The Wizards of Armageddon,</i> Stanford Nuclear Age Series, <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0804718849" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-8047-1884-9</a></li> <li>Kate Lenkowsky, <i>The Herman Kahn Center of the Hudson Institute,</i> Hudson Institute</li> <li>Susan Lindee, "Science as Comic Metaphysics", Science 309: 383–4, 2005.</li> <li>Herbert I. London, forward by Herman Kahn, <i>Why Are They Lying to Our Children</i> (Against the doomsayer futurists), <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0967351421" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 0-9673514-2-1</a></li> <li>Louis Menand, <i>Fat Man: Herman Kahn and the Nuclear Age</i>, The New Yorker, June 27, 2005.</li> <li>Claus Pias, <i>Hermann Kahn – Szenarien für den Kalten Krieg</i>, Zurich: Diaphanes 2009, <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/9783935300902" class="internal mw-magiclink-isbn">ISBN 978-3-935300-90-2</a></li> <li>Daniel Ellsberg, <i>The Doomsday Machine, Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner</i>, Bloomsbury Press, 2017</li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Verwysings">Verwysings</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=10" title="Wysig afdeling: Verwysings" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=10" title="Edit section's source code: Verwysings"><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <div class="reflist columns references-column-count references-column-count-2" style="-moz-column-count: 2; -webkit-column-count: 2; column-count: 2; list-style-type: decimal;"> <ol class="references"> <li id="cite_note-Boyer1996-1"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">↑ <sup><a href="#cite_ref-Boyer1996_1-0">1,0</a></sup> <sup><a href="#cite_ref-Boyer1996_1-1">1,1</a></sup></span> <span class="reference-text">Paul Boyer, 'Dr. Strangelove' in Mark C. Carnes (ed.), <i>Past Imperfect: History According to the Movies</i>, New York, 1996.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-2"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-2">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://books.google.com/books?id=62G1H3LhBZsC&pg=PA61">Google Books</a></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-3"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-3">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r2205490">.mw-parser-output cite.citation{font-style:inherit}.mw-parser-output .citation q{quotes:"\"""\"""'""'"}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-free a,.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-free a{background-image:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/65/Lock-green.svg/9px-Lock-green.svg.png");background-image:linear-gradient(transparent,transparent),url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/65/Lock-green.svg");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:9px;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration a,.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-registration a{background-image:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-gray-alt-2.svg.png");background-image:linear-gradient(transparent,transparent),url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:9px;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription a,.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-subscription a{background-image:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-red-alt-2.svg.png");background-image:linear-gradient(transparent,transparent),url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:9px;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration{color:#555}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription span,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration span{border-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help}.mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background-image:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg/12px-Wikisource-logo.svg.png");background-image:linear-gradient(transparent,transparent),url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:12px;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output code.cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:inherit;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{display:none;color:#33aa33;margin-left:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration,.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-right{padding-right:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .citation .mw-selflink{font-weight:inherit}</style><cite id="CITEREFFrankelHoops,_Townsend1992" class="citation book cs1">Frankel, Benjamin; Hoops, Townsend (1992). <i>The Cold War, 1945–1991: Leaders and Other Important Figures in the United States and Western Europe</i>. Gale Research. p. 248. <a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0-8103-8927-4" title="Spesiaal:Boekbronne/0-8103-8927-4"><bdi>0-8103-8927-4</bdi></a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=The+Cold+War%2C+1945%E2%80%931991%3A+Leaders+and+Other+Important+Figures+in+the+United+States+and+Western+Europe&rft.pages=248&rft.pub=Gale+Research&rft.date=1992&rft.isbn=0-8103-8927-4&rft.aulast=Frankel&rft.aufirst=Benjamin&rft.au=Hoops%2C+Townsend&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Faf.wikipedia.org%3AHerman+Kahn" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-4"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-4">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r2205490"><cite class="citation journal cs1">"LIFE – 6 Dec 1968". <i>Life</i>: 121–123. 1968. <q>Herman Kahn is 'n ateïs wat steeds van rabbis hou, en 'n liberaal wat van die polisie hou.</q></cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Life&rft.atitle=LIFE+%E2%80%93+6+Dec+1968&rft.pages=121-123&rft.date=1968&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Faf.wikipedia.org%3AHerman+Kahn" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-5"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-5">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text">Schwartz, Peter, <i>The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World,</i> New York: Currency Doubleday, 1991, bl. 7</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-6"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-6">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r2205490"><cite id="CITEREFKahn1960" class="citation web cs1 cs1-prop-foreign-lang-source">Kahn, Herman (1960). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P1888.html">"The Nature and Feasibility of War and Deterrence"</a> (in Engels). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20200115053017/https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P1888.html">Geargiveer</a> vanaf die oorspronklike op 15 Januarie 2020.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=The+Nature+and+Feasibility+of+War+and+Deterrence&rft.date=1960&rft.aulast=Kahn&rft.aufirst=Herman&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.rand.org%2Fpubs%2Fpapers%2FP1888.html&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Faf.wikipedia.org%3AHerman+Kahn" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-7"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-7">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r2205490"><cite class="citation web cs1 cs1-prop-foreign-lang-source"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20140223223904/http://www.hudson.org/learn/index.cfm?fuseaction=history">"Hudson Institute > About Hudson > History"</a> (in Engels). Hudson.org. 1 Junie 2004. Geargiveer vanaf <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.hudson.org/learn/index.cfm?fuseaction=history">die oorspronklike</a> op 23 Februarie 2014<span class="reference-accessdate">. Besoek op <span class="nowrap">21 Februarie</span> 2012</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=Hudson+Institute+%3E+About+Hudson+%3E+History&rft.pub=Hudson.org&rft.date=2004-06-01&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.hudson.org%2Flearn%2Findex.cfm%3Ffuseaction%3Dhistory&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Faf.wikipedia.org%3AHerman+Kahn" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-8"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-8">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text">"The Year 2000", Herman Kahn, Anthony J. Wiener, Macmillan, 1961, bl. 51–55.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-9"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-9">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text">"The Next 200 Years", Herman Kahn, Morrow, 1976.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-10"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-10">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r2205490"><cite id="CITEREFHermanIrwin1956" class="citation journal cs1">Herman, Kahn,; Irwin, Mann, (1 Januarie 1956). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_memoranda/RM1829-1.html">"Techniques of Systems Analysis"</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Techniques+of+Systems+Analysis&rft.date=1956-01-01&rft.aulast=Herman&rft.aufirst=Kahn%2C&rft.au=Irwin%2C+Mann%2C&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.rand.org%2Fpubs%2Fresearch_memoranda%2FRM1829-1.html&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Faf.wikipedia.org%3AHerman+Kahn" class="Z3988"></span> <span class="cs1-hidden-error citation-comment"><code class="cs1-code">{{<a href="/wiki/Sjabloon:Cite_journal" title="Sjabloon:Cite journal">cite journal</a>}}</code>: </span><span class="cs1-hidden-error citation-comment">Cite journal requires <code class="cs1-code">|journal=</code> (<a href="/wiki/Hulp:AS1-foute#missing_periodical" title="Hulp:AS1-foute">hulp</a>)</span><span class="cs1-maint citation-comment">AS1-onderhoud: ekstra leestekens (<a href="/wiki/Kategorie:AS1-onderhoud:_ekstra_leestekens" title="Kategorie:AS1-onderhoud: ekstra leestekens">link</a>) AS1-onderhoud: meer as een naam (<a href="/wiki/Kategorie:AS1-onderhoud:_meer_as_een_naam" title="Kategorie:AS1-onderhoud: meer as een naam">link</a>)</span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-11"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-11">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r2205490"><cite class="citation web cs1 cs1-prop-foreign-lang-source"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://news.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2014/03/22/2014032200657.html?news_Head1">"[월간조선] 朴正熙와 46년 전에 만나 "한국 10大 강대국 된다"고 했던 美미래학자, 그는..."</a> (in Viëtnamees). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20181105224851/http://news.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2014/03/22/2014032200657.html?news_Head1">Geargiveer</a> vanaf die oorspronklike op 5 November 2018<span class="reference-accessdate">. Besoek op <span class="nowrap">4 Oktober</span> 2016</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=%5B%EC%9B%94%EA%B0%84%EC%A1%B0%EC%84%A0%5D+%E6%9C%B4%E6%AD%A3%E7%86%99%EC%99%80+46%EB%85%84+%EC%A0%84%EC%97%90+%EB%A7%8C%EB%82%98+%22%ED%95%9C%EA%B5%AD+10%E5%A4%A7+%EA%B0%95%EB%8C%80%EA%B5%AD+%EB%90%9C%EB%8B%A4%22%EA%B3%A0+%ED%96%88%EB%8D%98+%E7%BE%8E%EB%AF%B8%EB%9E%98%ED%95%99%EC%9E%90%2C+%EA%B7%B8%EB%8A%94...&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fnews.chosun.com%2Fsite%2Fdata%2Fhtml_dir%2F2014%2F03%2F22%2F2014032200657.html%3Fnews_Head1&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Faf.wikipedia.org%3AHerman+Kahn" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-12"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-12">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r2205490"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.atomicarchive.com/Bios/Kahn.shtml">"Herman Kahn | Biography | atomicarchive.com"</a>. <i>www.atomicarchive.com</i><span class="reference-accessdate">. Besoek op <span class="nowrap">27 April</span> 2017</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=unknown&rft.jtitle=www.atomicarchive.com&rft.atitle=Herman+Kahn+%7C+Biography+%7C+atomicarchive.com&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.atomicarchive.com%2FBios%2FKahn.shtml&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Faf.wikipedia.org%3AHerman+Kahn" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-13"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-13">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r2205490"><cite class="citation news cs1 cs1-prop-foreign-lang-source"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://content.time.com/time/subscriber/article/0,33009,839639,00.html">"Nation: NEW MAN FOR THE SITUATION ROOM"</a>. <i>Time</i> (in Engels). 13 Desember 1968. <a href="/wiki/ISSN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISSN (identifier)">ISSN</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.worldcat.org/issn/0040-781X">0040-781X</a>. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20160304080627/http://content.time.com/time/subscriber/article/0,33009,839639,00.html">Geargiveer</a> vanaf die oorspronklike op 4 Maart 2016<span class="reference-accessdate">. Besoek op <span class="nowrap">4 Oktober</span> 2016</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Time&rft.atitle=Nation%3A+NEW+MAN+FOR+THE+SITUATION+ROOM&rft.date=1968-12-13&rft.issn=0040-781X&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fcontent.time.com%2Ftime%2Fsubscriber%2Farticle%2F0%2C33009%2C839639%2C00.html&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Faf.wikipedia.org%3AHerman+Kahn" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-newyorker.com-14"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-newyorker.com_14-0">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2005/06/27/fat-man">"Fat Man – Herman Kahn and the Nuclear Age"</a>, Louis Menand, <i>The New Yorker</i>, June 27, 2005</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-15"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-15">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text">Leary, Timothy (1980). <i>The Politics of Ecstasy.</i> Ronin Publishing; 4th edition. Berkley, California. <span class="ISBN" style="font-size:85%;"><a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Boekbronne/1-57951-031-0" title="Spesiaal:Boekbronne/1-57951-031-0">ISBN 1-57951-031-0</a></span></span> </li> </ol></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Nota">Nota</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&veaction=edit&section=11" title="Wysig afdeling: Nota" class="mw-editsection-visualeditor"><span>wysig</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-divider"> | </span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&action=edit&section=11" title="Edit section's source code: Nota"><span>wysig bron</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li>Hierdie artikel is vertaal vanuit die Engelse Wikipedia</li></ul> <div role="navigation" class="navbox authority-control" aria-labelledby="Normdata_frameless_&#124;text-top_&#124;10px_&#124;alt=Edit_this_at_Wikidata_&#124;link=https&#58;//www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q267605&#124;Edit_this_at_Wikidata" style="padding:3px"><table class="nowraplinks hlist navbox-inner" style="border-spacing:0;background:transparent;color:inherit"><tbody><tr><th id="Normdata_frameless_&#124;text-top_&#124;10px_&#124;alt=Edit_this_at_Wikidata_&#124;link=https&#58;//www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q267605&#124;Edit_this_at_Wikidata" scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Hulp:Normdata" title="Hulp:Normdata">Normdata</a> <span class="mw-valign-text-top" typeof="mw:File/Frameless"><a href="https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q267605" title="Edit this at Wikidata"><img alt="Edit this at Wikidata" src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/73/Blue_pencil.svg/10px-Blue_pencil.svg.png" decoding="async" width="10" height="10" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/73/Blue_pencil.svg/15px-Blue_pencil.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/73/Blue_pencil.svg/20px-Blue_pencil.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="600" data-file-height="600" /></a></span></th><td class="navbox-list navbox-odd" style="text-align:left;border-left-width:2px;border-left-style:solid;width:100%;padding:0px"><div style="padding:0em 0.25em"> <ul><li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/Biblioteca_Nacional_de_Espa%C3%B1a" class="mw-redirect" title="Biblioteca Nacional de España">BNE</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://catalogo.bne.es/uhtbin/authoritybrowse.cgi?action=display&authority_id=XX984922">XX984922</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/Biblioth%C3%A8que_nationale_de_France" title="Bibliothèque nationale de France">BNF</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://catalogue.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/cb123800865">cb123800865</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://data.bnf.fr/ark:/12148/cb123800865">(data)</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/CiNii" title="CiNii">CiNii</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://ci.nii.ac.jp/author/DA0029725X?l=en">DA0029725X</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/Gemeinsame_Normdatei" title="Gemeinsame Normdatei">GND</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://d-nb.info/gnd/124411347">124411347</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/International_Standard_Name_Identifier" class="mw-redirect" title="International Standard Name Identifier">ISNI</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://isni.org/isni/0000000109235402">0000 0001 0923 5402</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/Library_of_Congress_Control_Number" title="Library of Congress Control Number">LCCN</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n79022104">n79022104</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/National_Library_of_Latvia" class="mw-redirect" title="National Library of Latvia">LNB</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://kopkatalogs.lv/F?func=direct&local_base=lnc10&doc_number=000065946&P_CON_LNG=ENG">000065946</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/National_Diet_Library" class="mw-redirect" title="National Diet Library">NDL</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://id.ndl.go.jp/auth/ndlna/00445045">00445045</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/National_Library_of_the_Czech_Republic" class="mw-redirect" title="National Library of the Czech Republic">NKC</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://aleph.nkp.cz/F/?func=find-c&local_base=aut&ccl_term=ica=skuk0003320&CON_LNG=ENG">skuk0003320</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/National_Library_of_Israel" class="mw-redirect" title="National Library of Israel">NLI</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://uli.nli.org.il/F/?func=direct&doc_number=000073098&local_base=nlx10">000073098</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/National_Library_of_Korea" class="mw-redirect" title="National Library of Korea">NLK</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://nl.go.kr/authorities/resource/KAC199614319">KAC199614319</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="error">The NLP id a0000002445394 is not valid.</span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/Royal_Library_of_the_Netherlands" class="mw-redirect" title="Royal Library of the Netherlands">NTA</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://data.bibliotheken.nl/id/thes/p068404433">068404433</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/LIBRIS" title="LIBRIS">SELIBR</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://libris.kb.se/auth/326558">326558</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/SNAC" title="SNAC">SNAC</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://snaccooperative.org/ark:/99166/w6mc9jww">w6mc9jww</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/Syst%C3%A8me_universitaire_de_documentation" title="Système universitaire de documentation">SUDOC</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.idref.fr/032851308">032851308</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"><a href="/wiki/Virtual_International_Authority_File" title="Virtual International Authority File">VIAF</a>: <span class="uid"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://viaf.org/viaf/90043033">90043033</a></span></span></li> <li><span class="nowrap"> <a href="/wiki/WorldCat" title="WorldCat">WorldCat Identities</a> (via VIAF): <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.worldcat.org/identities/containsVIAFID/90043033">90043033</a></span></li></ul> </div></td></tr></tbody></table></div>    </div><noscript><img src="https://login.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:CentralAutoLogin/start?type=1x1" alt="" width="1" height="1" style="border: none; position: absolute;"></noscript> <div class="printfooter" data-nosnippet="">Ontsluit van "<a dir="ltr" href="https://af.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&oldid=2569897">https://af.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&oldid=2569897</a>"</div></div> <div id="catlinks" class="catlinks" data-mw="interface"><div id="mw-normal-catlinks" class="mw-normal-catlinks"><a href="/wiki/Spesiaal:Kategorie%C3%AB" title="Spesiaal:Kategorieë">Kategorieë</a>: <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Amerikaanse_Jode" title="Kategorie:Amerikaanse Jode">Amerikaanse Jode</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Amerikaanse_wetenskaplikes" title="Kategorie:Amerikaanse wetenskaplikes">Amerikaanse wetenskaplikes</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Geboortes_in_1922" title="Kategorie:Geboortes in 1922">Geboortes in 1922</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Sterftes_in_1983" title="Kategorie:Sterftes in 1983">Sterftes in 1983</a></li></ul></div><div id="mw-hidden-catlinks" class="mw-hidden-catlinks mw-hidden-cats-hidden">Versteekte kategorieë: <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:AS1-bronne_in_Engels_(en)" title="Kategorie:AS1-bronne in Engels (en)">AS1-bronne in Engels (en)</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:AS1-foute:_tydskrif_ontbreek" title="Kategorie:AS1-foute: tydskrif ontbreek">AS1-foute: tydskrif ontbreek</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:AS1-onderhoud:_ekstra_leestekens" title="Kategorie:AS1-onderhoud: ekstra leestekens">AS1-onderhoud: ekstra leestekens</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:AS1-onderhoud:_meer_as_een_naam" title="Kategorie:AS1-onderhoud: meer as een naam">AS1-onderhoud: meer as een naam</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:AS1-bronne_in_Vi%C3%ABtnamees_(vi)" title="Kategorie:AS1-bronne in Viëtnamees (vi)">AS1-bronne in Viëtnamees (vi)</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_hCards" title="Kategorie:Artikels met hCards">Artikels met hCards</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_BNE-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met BNE-identifiseerders">Artikels met BNE-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_BNF-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met BNF-identifiseerders">Artikels met BNF-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_CINII-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met CINII-identifiseerders">Artikels met CINII-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_GND-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met GND-identifiseerders">Artikels met GND-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_ISNI-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met ISNI-identifiseerders">Artikels met ISNI-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_LCCN-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met LCCN-identifiseerders">Artikels met LCCN-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_LNB-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met LNB-identifiseerders">Artikels met LNB-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_NDL-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met NDL-identifiseerders">Artikels met NDL-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_NKC-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met NKC-identifiseerders">Artikels met NKC-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_NLI-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met NLI-identifiseerders">Artikels met NLI-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_NLK-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met NLK-identifiseerders">Artikels met NLK-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_foutiewelike_NLP-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met foutiewelike NLP-identifiseerders">Artikels met foutiewelike NLP-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_NTA-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met NTA-identifiseerders">Artikels met NTA-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_SELIBR-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met SELIBR-identifiseerders">Artikels met SELIBR-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_SNAC-ID-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met SNAC-ID-identifiseerders">Artikels met SNAC-ID-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_SUDOC-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met SUDOC-identifiseerders">Artikels met SUDOC-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_VIAF-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met VIAF-identifiseerders">Artikels met VIAF-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Artikels_met_WorldCat-VIAF-identifiseerders" title="Kategorie:Artikels met WorldCat-VIAF-identifiseerders">Artikels met WorldCat-VIAF-identifiseerders</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Normdata_met_17_elemente" title="Kategorie:Normdata met 17 elemente">Normdata met 17 elemente</a></li><li><a href="/wiki/Kategorie:Pages_using_ISBN_magic_links" title="Kategorie:Pages using ISBN magic links">Pages using ISBN magic links</a></li></ul></div></div> </div> </main> </div> <div class="mw-footer-container"> <footer id="footer" class="mw-footer" > <ul id="footer-info"> <li id="footer-info-lastmod"> Die bladsy is laas op 12 April 2023 om 05:46 bygewerk.</li> <li id="footer-info-copyright">Die teks is beskikbaar onder die lisensie <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/">Creative Commons Erkenning-Insgelyks Deel</a>. Aanvullende voorwaardes kan moontlik ook van toepassing wees. Sien die <a class="external text" href="https://foundation.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Terms_of_Use">Algemene Voorwaardes</a> vir meer inligting.</li> </ul> <ul id="footer-places"> <li id="footer-places-privacy"><a href="https://foundation.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Privacy_policy">Privaatheidsbeleid</a></li> <li id="footer-places-about"><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Oor">Inligting oor Wikipedia</a></li> <li id="footer-places-disclaimers"><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Voorwaardes">Vrywaring</a></li> <li id="footer-places-wm-codeofconduct"><a href="https://foundation.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Universal_Code_of_Conduct">Gedragskode</a></li> <li id="footer-places-developers"><a href="https://developer.wikimedia.org">Ontwikkelaars</a></li> <li id="footer-places-statslink"><a href="https://stats.wikimedia.org/#/af.wikipedia.org">Statistieke</a></li> <li id="footer-places-cookiestatement"><a href="https://foundation.wikimedia.org/wiki/Special:MyLanguage/Policy:Cookie_statement">Koekieverklaring</a></li> <li id="footer-places-mobileview"><a href="//af.m.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Herman_Kahn&mobileaction=toggle_view_mobile" class="noprint stopMobileRedirectToggle">Selfoonweergawe</a></li> </ul> <ul id="footer-icons" class="noprint"> <li id="footer-copyrightico"><a href="https://wikimediafoundation.org/" class="cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--size-large cdx-button--fake-button--enabled"><img src="/static/images/footer/wikimedia-button.svg" width="84" height="29" alt="Wikimedia Foundation" loading="lazy"></a></li> <li id="footer-poweredbyico"><a href="https://www.mediawiki.org/" class="cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--size-large cdx-button--fake-button--enabled"><img src="/w/resources/assets/poweredby_mediawiki.svg" alt="Powered by MediaWiki" width="88" height="31" loading="lazy"></a></li> </ul> </footer> </div> </div> </div> <div class="vector-settings" id="p-dock-bottom"> <ul></ul> </div><script>(RLQ=window.RLQ||[]).push(function(){mw.config.set({"wgHostname":"mw-web.codfw.canary-5f545c6575-wcq92","wgBackendResponseTime":154,"wgPageParseReport":{"limitreport":{"cputime":"0.312","walltime":"0.663","ppvisitednodes":{"value":1909,"limit":1000000},"postexpandincludesize":{"value":30632,"limit":2097152},"templateargumentsize":{"value":1327,"limit":2097152},"expansiondepth":{"value":18,"limit":100},"expensivefunctioncount":{"value":18,"limit":500},"unstrip-depth":{"value":1,"limit":20},"unstrip-size":{"value":35555,"limit":5000000},"entityaccesscount":{"value":1,"limit":400},"timingprofile":["100.00% 344.708 1 -total"," 43.58% 150.239 1 Sjabloon:Verwysings"," 36.90% 127.189 1 Sjabloon:Inligtingskas_Persoon"," 24.75% 85.328 1 Sjabloon:Inligtingskas4"," 24.12% 83.129 1 Sjabloon:Cite_book"," 16.93% 58.367 1 Sjabloon:Normdata"," 9.77% 33.674 5 Sjabloon:Br_separated_entries"," 7.58% 26.131 1 Sjabloon:Wikidata_image"," 6.52% 22.483 4 Sjabloon:Cite_web"," 4.15% 14.298 2 Sjabloon:Cite_journal"]},"scribunto":{"limitreport-timeusage":{"value":"0.153","limit":"10.000"},"limitreport-memusage":{"value":4359903,"limit":52428800}},"cachereport":{"origin":"mw-web.eqiad.main-7649cfcddd-5srbd","timestamp":"20241127120615","ttl":2592000,"transientcontent":false}}});});</script> <script type="application/ld+json">{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"Article","name":"Herman Kahn","url":"https:\/\/af.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Herman_Kahn","sameAs":"http:\/\/www.wikidata.org\/entity\/Q267605","mainEntity":"http:\/\/www.wikidata.org\/entity\/Q267605","author":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Contributors to Wikimedia projects"},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Wikimedia Foundation, Inc.","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https:\/\/www.wikimedia.org\/static\/images\/wmf-hor-googpub.png"}},"datePublished":"2018-11-20T18:04:03Z","dateModified":"2023-04-12T05:46:40Z","image":"https:\/\/upload.wikimedia.org\/wikipedia\/commons\/5\/5b\/Interview_with_Herman_Kahn%2C_author_of_On_Escalation%2C_May_11%2C_1965.jpg"}</script> </body> </html>