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<!doctype html><html lang="fa" class="no-js" dir="rtl"><head><title data-react-helmet="true">آمریکا و آسیای مرکزی: ترامپ با همسایه‌‌های ایران و افغانستان چه خواهد کرد؟ - BBC News فارسی</title><meta data-react-helmet="true" http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="IE=edge"/><meta data-react-helmet="true" charSet="utf-8"/><meta data-react-helmet="true" name="robots" content="noodp, noydir, max-image-preview:large"/><meta data-react-helmet="true" name="theme-color" content="#B80000"/><meta data-react-helmet="true" name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1, minimum-scale=1"/><meta data-react-helmet="true" name="apple-mobile-web-app-title" content="BBC News فارسی"/><meta data-react-helmet="true" name="application-name" content="BBC News فارسی"/><meta data-react-helmet="true" name="description" content="دونالد ترامپ، چهل و هفتمین رئیس جمهور آمریکا، ۲۰ ژانویه سال ۲۰۲۵ رسماً کار را آغاز خواهد کرد. بازگشت دوباره او به کاخ سفید بعد از پنج سال نه تنها آمریکا، بلکه جهان را آبستن 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aria-label="آگهی" aria-hidden="true" role="region" data-e2e="advertisement" class="bbc-13j0x7y"><div id="dotcom-leaderboard" class="dotcom-ad"></div></section><div class="bbc-bg8vrv"><div class="bbc-1cvxiy9"><main role="main" class="bbc-fa0wmp"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1pfktyq ebmt73l0"><h1 id="content" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-1w6gp7v e1p3vdyi0">آمریکا و آسیای مرکزی: ترامپ با همسایه‌‌های ایران و افغانستان چه خواهد کرد؟</h1></div><figure class="bbc-1qn0xuy"><div class="bbc-j1srjl" style="padding-bottom:56.19%"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/640/cpsprodpb/3495/live/91006540-a28f-11ef-bedc-adf2250df6ee.jpg.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/240/cpsprodpb/3495/live/91006540-a28f-11ef-bedc-adf2250df6ee.jpg.webp 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/320/cpsprodpb/3495/live/91006540-a28f-11ef-bedc-adf2250df6ee.jpg.webp 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/480/cpsprodpb/3495/live/91006540-a28f-11ef-bedc-adf2250df6ee.jpg.webp 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/624/cpsprodpb/3495/live/91006540-a28f-11ef-bedc-adf2250df6ee.jpg.webp 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/792/cpsprodpb/3495/live/91006540-a28f-11ef-bedc-adf2250df6ee.jpg.webp 792w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 760px, 100vw" alt="پرچم کشورهای آسیای مرکزی" width="792" height="445" style="aspect-ratio:792 / 445" class="bbc-139onq"/><p class="bbc-lafk41" role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">منبع تصویر، </span><span lang="en-GB">Getty Images</span></p></div></figure><section role="region" aria-labelledby="article-byline" class="bbc-1vjaf6b"><strong id="article-byline" aria-hidden="true" class="bbc-m04vo2">اطلاعات مقاله</strong><ul role="list" class="bbc-1rvtlej"><li><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">نویسنده, </span><span class="bbc-9scsxr">سهراب ضیاء</span></span></li><li><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">شغل,  </span><span class="bbc-1aw1vpy">بی‌بی‌سی</span></span></li><li><span role="text" class="bbc-xvbtix"><span class="bbc-akpv9f">در  </span><span class="bbc-1xq57ru">دوشنبه، تاجیکستان</span></span></li><li class="bbc-v8pmqw"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><time dateTime="2024-11-23" class="bbc-1eu2r82 e1mklfmt0">۳ آذر ۱۴۰۳ - ۲۳ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴</time></div></li></ul></section><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0"><b>دونالد ترامپ، چهل و هفتمین رئیس جمهور آمریکا، ۲۰ ژانویه سال ۲۰۲۵ به طور رسمی فعالیت خود را آغاز خواهد کرد. بازگشت دوباره او به کاخ سفید نه تنها آمریکا، بلکه جهان را آبستن تحولات و تغییراتی بزرگی خواهد کرد.</b></p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">در دوره اول ریاست جمهوری دونالد ترامپ (۲۰۱۷-۲۰۲۱) آمریکا در قبال کشورهای آسیای مرکزی هیچ اقدام جدید سیاسی نکرد. تنها یک سال مانده به پایان ریاست جمهوری دونالد ترامپ، در فوریه سال ۲۰۲۰، راهبرد خود را برای کشورهای آسیای مرکزی اعلام کرد که اساس آن را «تقویت یکپارچگی منطقه‌ای، ارتقای حقوق بشر و اصلاحات، سرمایه‌گذاری» تشکیل می‌داد. اما ناکامی دونالد ترامپ در انتخابات نوامبر سال ۲۰۲۰ اجرای این برنامه را با مانع مواجه ساخت.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">پلتفورم «C۵+۱» که میدانی برای مذاکرات مقامات پنج کشورآسیای مرکزی بعلاوه آمریکا بود و به ابتکار مأموریت کاخ سفید در دوره ریاست جمهوری باراک اوباما راه‌اندازی شده بود، توسط ترامپ در ریاست جمهوری پیشین او به تعلیق درآمد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">به باور برخی کارشناسان، آسیای مرکزی تنها منطقه‌ای در جهان است که آمریکا کمترین نفوذ را در آن را دارد و دولت‌های قبلی آمریکا به این موضوع توجه کافی نکرده‌اند. </p></div><section aria-label="2 آگهی" aria-hidden="true" role="region" data-e2e="advertisement" class="bbc-geybui"><div id="dotcom-mpu" class="dotcom-ad"></div></section><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">تنها این نکته که هیچ کدام از رؤسای جمهور آمریکا تا حالا به آسیای مرکزی سفر نکرده‌اند، آشکارا نشاندهنده میزان علاقه آمریکا به این منطقه است.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1xx10yg ebmt73l0"><section data-e2e="recommendations-heading" role="region" aria-labelledby="recommendations-heading" class="bbc-1saxq9t etbfg571"><div class="bbc-bjn8wh eveec6k2"><a href="#end-of-recommendations" class="bbc-1vq693g eveec6k1">Skip مطالب پیشنهادی and continue reading</a><div class="etbfg570 bbc-1nwk127 e1m6nvxw1"><strong class="bbc-a5e1ct e1m6nvxw0"><span class="bbc-1fttcpj e1fapd9x4"><span class="bbc-127x8fy e1fapd9x2"><span dir="rtl" id="recommendations-heading" class="bbc-13nmxlq e1fapd9x1">مطالب پیشنهادی</span></span></span></strong></div><ul dir="rtl" class="ebmt73l0 bbc-1ulo99h e13i2e3d0" role="list"><li dir="rtl" class="ebmt73l0 bbc-14u3acj e13i2e3d2" role="listitem"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1p4354k ebmt73l0"><div data-e2e="story-promo-wrapper" class="bbc-pusxqu eyj10mi4"><div class="bbc-18x5xq4 eyj10mi3"><div style="padding-bottom:99.85507246376811%" data-e2e="image-placeholder" class="bbc-997y1y eihqrxw0"><div class="lazyload-wrapper "><div class="lazyload-placeholder"></div></div></div></div><div class="bbc-14nqykl eyj10mi2"><div class="bbc-74135d eyj10mi0"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cwy1v4zvxexo" class="bbc-1qrye4j eyj10mi1">دونالد ترامپ از نگاه تصویر</a></div></div></div></div></li><li dir="rtl" class="ebmt73l0 bbc-14u3acj e13i2e3d2" role="listitem"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1p4354k ebmt73l0"><div data-e2e="story-promo-wrapper" class="bbc-pusxqu eyj10mi4"><div class="bbc-18x5xq4 eyj10mi3"><div style="padding-bottom:56.17529880478087%" data-e2e="image-placeholder" class="bbc-997y1y eihqrxw0"><div class="lazyload-wrapper "><div class="lazyload-placeholder"></div></div></div></div><div class="bbc-14nqykl eyj10mi2"><div class="bbc-74135d eyj10mi0"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/c89vk7wzvdpo" class="bbc-1qrye4j eyj10mi1">رابرت اف کندی جونیور ممکن است چه تغییراتی در زمینه واکسن‌ها و داروها در آمریکا ایجاد کند؟</a></div></div></div></div></li><li dir="rtl" class="ebmt73l0 bbc-14u3acj e13i2e3d2" role="listitem"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1p4354k ebmt73l0"><div data-e2e="story-promo-wrapper" class="bbc-pusxqu eyj10mi4"><div class="bbc-18x5xq4 eyj10mi3"><div style="padding-bottom:56.25%" data-e2e="image-placeholder" class="bbc-997y1y eihqrxw0"><div class="lazyload-wrapper "><div class="lazyload-placeholder"></div></div></div></div><div class="bbc-14nqykl eyj10mi2"><div class="bbc-74135d eyj10mi0"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/c0m0pzxx18wo" class="bbc-1qrye4j eyj10mi1">کشورهای آسیای مرکزی بر سر سه‌راهی: ایران، اسرائیل یا بی‌طرفی؟</a></div></div></div></div></li><li dir="rtl" class="ebmt73l0 bbc-14u3acj e13i2e3d2" role="listitem"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1p4354k ebmt73l0"><div data-e2e="story-promo-wrapper" class="bbc-pusxqu eyj10mi4"><div class="bbc-18x5xq4 eyj10mi3"><div style="padding-bottom:56.28997867803838%" data-e2e="image-placeholder" class="bbc-997y1y eihqrxw0"><div class="lazyload-wrapper "><div class="lazyload-placeholder"></div></div></div></div><div class="bbc-14nqykl eyj10mi2"><div class="bbc-74135d eyj10mi0"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/c1lg7prv16ro" class="bbc-1qrye4j eyj10mi1">پنج نکته مهم از نخستین هفته دونالد ترامپ در مقام رئیس‌جمهور منتخب ایالات متحده آمریکا</a></div></div></div></div></li></ul><p tabindex="-1" id="end-of-recommendations" class="bbc-10a2avq eveec6k0">End of مطالب پیشنهادی</p></div></section></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">اکنون با انتخاب مجدد دونالد ترامپ به ریاست جمهوری آمریکا، کشورهای آسیای مرکزی چه انتظاراتی باید داشته باشند؟</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">سهراب ضیا، در تاجیکستان نظر برخی از کارشناسان کشورهای منطقه را در باره چشم‌انداز روابط کشورهای آسیای مرکزی و ایالات متحده در چهار سال آینده جویا شده است.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><h2 id="الدانیز-حسینف،-کارشناس-مسائل-سیاسی-از-قزاقستان" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-hl5nhs eglt09e0">الدانیز حسینف، کارشناس مسائل سیاسی از قزاقستان</h2></div><figure class="bbc-1qn0xuy"><div class="bbc-j1srjl" style="padding-bottom:56.15%"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/640/cpsprodpb/05ec/live/711a6e90-a291-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/240/cpsprodpb/05ec/live/711a6e90-a291-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/320/cpsprodpb/05ec/live/711a6e90-a291-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/480/cpsprodpb/05ec/live/711a6e90-a291-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/624/cpsprodpb/05ec/live/711a6e90-a291-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/800/cpsprodpb/05ec/live/711a6e90-a291-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp 800w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 760px, 100vw" alt="الدانیز حسینف" loading="lazy" width="976" height="548" style="aspect-ratio:976 / 548" class="bbc-139onq"/><p class="bbc-lafk41" role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">منبع تصویر، </span><span lang="en-GB">Eldaniz Guseinov</span></p></div><figcaption class="bbc-11gwi9x" dir="rtl"><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">توضیح تصویر، </span><span data-testid="caption-paragraph">الدانیز حسینف</span></span></figcaption></figure><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-32l10g e1rfboeq7"><section role="region" aria-labelledby="podcast-promo" class="e1rfboeq6 bbc-12e4ke4 e1s8ztj50"><div class="bbc-bjn8wh eveec6k2"><a href="#end-of-podcasts" class="bbc-1vq693g eveec6k1">از پادکست رد شوید و به خواندن ادامه دهید</a><div class="bbc-fmy3ga etl18e90"><div class="bbc-ef85uv e1rfboeq5"><div style="padding-bottom:100%" data-e2e="image-placeholder" class="bbc-997y1y eihqrxw0"><div class="lazyload-wrapper "><div class="lazyload-placeholder"></div></div><noscript><img sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 228px, 30vw" src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/images/ic/512x512/p0jkc7rj.jpg.webp" alt="اسطوره تختی" width="100" height="100" class="e3vrtyk0 bbc-rb7xa0 e1mo64ex0"/></noscript></div></div><div class="podcastIconWrapper bbc-sasnzl e1rfboeq0"><svg viewBox="0 0 32 32" width="32" height="32" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="bbc-1yr7azq e1s2dgdk1"><path d="M18.7,31h-5.3l-2.3-10.4C12.3,19.5,14,19,16,19s3.7,0.5,4.9,1.7L18.7,31z M22,8.2c-1.7-1.7-3.9-2.5-6.1-2.5s-4.4,0.9-6,2.5 l1.7,1.7c1.2-1.2,2.7-1.8,4.3-1.8s3.1,0.6,4.3,1.8L22,8.2z M25.5,4.9c-2.6-2.7-6.1-4-9.5-4S9.1,2.3,6.5,4.9l1.7,1.7 c2.1-2.1,4.9-3.2,7.7-3.2c2.8,0,5.6,1.1,7.8,3.2L25.5,4.9z M12.4,14c0,2,1.5,3.6,3.6,3.6c2,0,3.6-1.5,3.6-3.6 c0-2.1-1.5-3.6-3.6-3.6C13.9,10.4,12.4,11.9,12.4,14z"></path></svg></div><div class="bbc-15oiryy e1rfboeq4"><strong><a href="/persian/podcasts/p0703hz7" class="bbc-1lhbalq e1rfboeq1"><span id="podcast-promo" class="podcast-promo--hover podcast-promo--focus podcast-promo--visited">اسطوره تختی</span></a></strong><p class="e1rfboeq3 bbc-14n060w e4mef340">در مجموعه چهار قسمتی «اسطوره تختی» از زندگی شخصی، ورزشی و اجتماعی غلامرضا تختی می‌شنویم.</p><p dir="rtl" class="e1rfboeq2 bbc-5am0vw eh4j0a10"><svg viewBox="0 0 32 32" width="32" height="32" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" class="bbc-1sfse8y e1s2dgdk0"><polygon points="4 6 11.1 6 26 6 26 28 28 28 28 4 4 4 4 6"></polygon><polygon points="8 0 8 2 30 2 30 24 32 24 32 0 8 0"></polygon><path d="M0,32H24V8H0ZM4,12H20V28H4Z"></path></svg>پادکست</p></div></div><p tabindex="-1" id="end-of-podcasts" class="bbc-10a2avq eveec6k0">پایان پادکست</p></div></section></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">باید درک کرد که سیاست خارجی ایالات متحده در آسیای مرکزی ماهیت بسیار ثانویه دارد. علاقه به منطقه تنها زمانی افزایش می‌یابد که برخی از عوامل خارجی مانند جنگ در اوکراین، عملیات داخلی در ایالات متحده، یا اتکای بیش از حد به منابع حیاتی چین وجود داشته باشد. در این راستا انتظار دارم تغییراتی در سه جهت ایجاد شود که برای کشورهای آسیای مرکزی تاثیرگذار باشد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0"><b>روسیه</b></p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">به نظر برخی، ترامپ ممکن است به دلیل نگرانی از نفوذ فزاینده چین، تمایل بیشتری برای گفتگو با روسیه نشان دهد. شماری از کارشناسان آمریکایی بر این باورند که اتحاد روسیه و چین نفوذ ایالات متحده در جهان را تهدید می‌کند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">ممکن است در آینده بستری برای مذاکره با روسیه پیدا شود، اما به شکلی محدود و در این صورت، لغو تدریجی تحریم‌ها علیه روسیه می‌تواند تأثیر مفیدی بر کشورهای آسیای مرکزی داشته باشد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">با این حال، تحریم‌های وضع شده ارتباط اقتصادی روسیه و این کشورها را تقویت کرد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0"><b>چین</b></p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">در این زمینه، آسیای مرکزی به دلیل نزدیکی جغرافیایی با چین، برای ایالات متحده اهمیت راهبردی پیدا می‌کند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">هر چه وضعیت در اطراف تایوان حادتر شود، چین فعال‌تر به توسعه کریدورهای حمل و نقل جایگزین از طریق کشورهای آسیای مرکزی خواهد بود. برای چین مهم است آسیای مرکزی را به عنوان منبع جایگزین مواد خام حیاتی و به عنوان دروازه‌ای برای ورود به بازارهای جدید حفظ کند. </p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0"><b> اتحادیه اروپا</b></p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">جنگ تجاری احتمالی بین ایالات متحده و اتحادیه اروپا می‌تواند تمرکز اتحادیه اروپا را از سیاست خارجی فعال در آسیای مرکزی به رسیدگی به مسائل داخلی و یافتن بازارهای بزرگتر برای تجارت با آمریکا، مانند مکزیک، تغییر دهد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0"><b>اقدامات آمریکا</b></p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">ایالات متحده در دو جهت تلاش خواهد کرد: نخست، تقویت یکپارچگی در آسیای مرکزی و دوم، تقویت نفوذ اطلاعاتی.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><h2 id="فریدون-هادی‌زاده،-کارشناس-مسائل-سیاسی-از-تاجیکستان" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-hl5nhs eglt09e0">فریدون هادی‌زاده، کارشناس مسائل سیاسی از تاجیکستان</h2></div><figure class="bbc-1qn0xuy"><div class="bbc-j1srjl" style="padding-bottom:56.25%"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/640/cpsprodpb/3283/live/8911fcb0-a29c-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.jpg.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/240/cpsprodpb/3283/live/8911fcb0-a29c-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.jpg.webp 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/320/cpsprodpb/3283/live/8911fcb0-a29c-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.jpg.webp 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/480/cpsprodpb/3283/live/8911fcb0-a29c-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.jpg.webp 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/624/cpsprodpb/3283/live/8911fcb0-a29c-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.jpg.webp 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/800/cpsprodpb/3283/live/8911fcb0-a29c-11ef-8ab9-9192db313061.jpg.webp 800w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 760px, 100vw" alt="فریدون هادی‌زاده" loading="lazy" width="976" height="549" style="aspect-ratio:976 / 549" class="bbc-139onq"/><p class="bbc-lafk41" role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">منبع تصویر، </span><span lang="en-GB">Faridun Hadizadeh</span></p></div><figcaption class="bbc-11gwi9x" dir="rtl"><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">توضیح تصویر، </span><span data-testid="caption-paragraph">فریدون هادی‌زاده</span></span></figcaption></figure><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">ابتدا باید به پیام‌های شادباش روسای جمهور قزاقستان، قرقیزستان، تاجیکستان و ازبکستان به دونالد ترامپ به مناسبت انتخاب مجددش به ریاست جمهوری آمریکا توجه کرد. از این پیام‌ها به خوبی می‌شود فهمید که چگونه این چهار کشور روابط خود با ایالات متحده را در اولویت قرار می‌دهند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">در این پیام‌ها از ارزش‌هایی مانند حقوق بشر یا دموکراسی خبری نیست. به نظر من، دونالد ترامپ، رئیس جمهور منتخب، این ارزش‌ها را هم اولویت نمی‌داند و روسای جمهورکشورهای آسیای مرکزی هم به آنها توجه ندارند. با این حال، مفاهیمی مانند امنیت، ثبات و شکوفایی در سرلوحه پیام‌های شادباش همه روسای جمهورکشورهای آسیای مرکزی به آقای ترامپ قرار گرفته است.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">چهار سال قبل شوکت میرضیایف، رئیس جمهور ازبکستان به یک تبریک بسیار کوتاه به جو بایدن اکتفا کرد، اما به آقای ترامپ یک تبریک نسبتا طولانی فرستاد. این مشاهدات حاکی از آن است که حد اقل، ازبکستان برای همکاری نزدیک با آمریکا آماده است.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">به نظر می‌رسد آقای ترامپ در سیاست‌های بایدن تجدید نظر کند و رویکرد عمل گرایانه‌تری در پیش بگیرد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><h2 id="شیرعلی-رضایان،-تحلیلگر-مسائل-سیاسی-از-تاجیکستان" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-hl5nhs eglt09e0">شیرعلی رضایان، تحلیلگر مسائل سیاسی از تاجیکستان</h2></div><figure class="bbc-1qn0xuy"><div class="bbc-j1srjl" style="padding-bottom:56.25%"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/640/cpsprodpb/920b/live/3d71fb60-a29d-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.jpg.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/240/cpsprodpb/920b/live/3d71fb60-a29d-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.jpg.webp 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/320/cpsprodpb/920b/live/3d71fb60-a29d-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.jpg.webp 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/480/cpsprodpb/920b/live/3d71fb60-a29d-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.jpg.webp 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/624/cpsprodpb/920b/live/3d71fb60-a29d-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.jpg.webp 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/800/cpsprodpb/920b/live/3d71fb60-a29d-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.jpg.webp 800w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 760px, 100vw" alt="شیرعلی رضاییان" loading="lazy" width="976" height="549" style="aspect-ratio:976 / 549" class="bbc-139onq"/><p class="bbc-lafk41" role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">منبع تصویر، </span><span lang="en-GB">Sherali Rizayan</span></p></div><figcaption class="bbc-11gwi9x" dir="rtl"><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">توضیح تصویر، </span><span data-testid="caption-paragraph">شیرعلی رضاییان</span></span></figcaption></figure><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">پیامدهای اصلی بازگشت دونالد ترامپ برای کشورهای آسیای مرکزی هنوز روشن نیست. در این رابطه به دو نکته باید توجه کرد: اول، آمریکا در رابطه با آسیای مرکزی سیاست اصولی و راهکار مشخص دارد که سال‌های متمادی در حال اجرای آن هست؛ دوم، منطقه در اولویت روزنامه سیاست خارجه امریکا قرار ندارد و تنها با نظرداشت رقابت با قدرت‌های دیگر جهان در این منطقه ممکن است اهمیت کسب کند.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">تاجیکستان، ازبکستان و ترکمنستان با افغانستان مرز مشترَک دارند. </p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">همسایه‌‌های افغانستان در آسیای مرکزی با آمریکا همکاری‎‌های تنگاتنگ سیاسی و امنیتی دارند و این همکاری‌ها طی سه سال اخیر بیشتر گسترش یافته است. </p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">در دوره ریاست جمهوری ترامپ رقابت آمریکا با چین و روسیه و ایران در آسیای مرکزی به احتمال زیاد کمی «سخت» می‌شود. این احتمال وجود دارد که رقابت آمریکا با چین در منطقه بیشتر شود. رقابت با روسیه و ایران برای آمریکا در جایگاه دوم قرار خواهد گرفت، چون این دو کشور با چین همکاری‌های نزدیک دارند و «محدود» کردن جایگاه پکن در منطقه به کاهش نفوذ و تأثیر مسکو و تهران منجر خواهد شد. چنین سناریو برای کشورهای آسیای مرکزی فرصتها و چالشهای جدیدی را می‌تواند به وجود آورد و تنها سیاست متوازن و بی‌طرف آنها گزینه بهترین خواهد بود.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><h2 id="قاسم-بیک‌محمد،-کارشناس-مسائل-منطقه" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-hl5nhs eglt09e0">قاسم بیک‌محمد، کارشناس مسائل منطقه</h2></div><figure class="bbc-1qn0xuy"><div class="bbc-j1srjl" style="padding-bottom:56.25%"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/640/cpsprodpb/bead/live/b53a0b60-a29d-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/240/cpsprodpb/bead/live/b53a0b60-a29d-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/320/cpsprodpb/bead/live/b53a0b60-a29d-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/480/cpsprodpb/bead/live/b53a0b60-a29d-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp 480w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/624/cpsprodpb/bead/live/b53a0b60-a29d-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp 624w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/800/cpsprodpb/bead/live/b53a0b60-a29d-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.jpg.webp 800w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 760px, 100vw" alt="قاسم بیک‌محمد" loading="lazy" width="976" height="549" style="aspect-ratio:976 / 549" class="bbc-139onq"/><p class="bbc-lafk41" role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">منبع تصویر، </span><span lang="en-GB">Qasim Bekmohammad</span></p></div><figcaption class="bbc-11gwi9x" dir="rtl"><span role="text"><span class="bbc-m04vo2">توضیح تصویر، </span><span data-testid="caption-paragraph">قاسم بیک‌محمد</span></span></figcaption></figure><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">آسیای مرکزی با وجود منابع غنی انرژی و ذخایر معدنی حیاتی هیچ گاهی به صورت مستقیم در اولویت سیاست خارجی آمریکا قرار نداشته و نگاه واشنگتن به آن به عنوان منطقه‌ای است که تسلط اقتصادی روسیه و چین بر آن را قبول ندارد، اما همزمان حاضر به انجام اقدامات بنیادینی نیست که بتواند منجر به تغییر وضعیت شود. </p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">چکونگی رویکرد رئیس جمهور جدید آمریکا نسبت به افغانستان برای همسایه‌های این کشور، از جمله تاجیکستان، ازبکستان و ترکمنستان مهم است چون تا حدود زیادی ثبات و امنیت افغانستان و تاثیر آن روی کشورهای همسایه به آن بستگی دارد که دونالد ترامپ در مورد آینده طالبان و گروه‌های سیاسی رقیب کابل کنونی چه تصمیمی بگیرد.</p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">ممکن است آمریکا هم از بقای طالبان و هم از شدت گرفتن اختلافات درون‌طالبانی یا بین طالبان و رقبای سیاسی آن به عنوان ابزار فشار علیه روسیه، چین و ایران استفاده شود. </p></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-4wucq3 ebmt73l0"><p dir="rtl" class="bbc-1gjryo4 e17g058b0">بعید به نظر می‌رسد که آسیای مرکزی به کانون رقابت آمریکا با روسیه، چین و ایران تبدیل شود. </p></div></main><aside data-testid="related-topics" aria-labelledby="related-topics" role="complementary" class="bbc-1l5nxv5 e5jcirq1"><div class="e5jcirq0 bbc-1f2ds04 e1m6nvxw1"><h2 id="section-label-heading-related-topics" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-a5e1ct e1m6nvxw0"><span class="bbc-1fttcpj e1fapd9x4"><span class="bbc-127x8fy e1fapd9x2"><span dir="rtl" id="related-topics" class="bbc-13nmxlq e1fapd9x1">موضوعات مرتبط</span></span></span></h2></div><ul role="list" 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https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/144/cpsprodpb/7d64/live/a584ac10-f58e-11ed-92cc-b3a9bf1f67e9.jpg.webp 144w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/183/cpsprodpb/7d64/live/a584ac10-f58e-11ed-92cc-b3a9bf1f67e9.jpg.webp 183w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/240/cpsprodpb/7d64/live/a584ac10-f58e-11ed-92cc-b3a9bf1f67e9.jpg.webp 240w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/320/cpsprodpb/7d64/live/a584ac10-f58e-11ed-92cc-b3a9bf1f67e9.jpg.webp 320w, https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/660/cpsprodpb/7d64/live/a584ac10-f58e-11ed-92cc-b3a9bf1f67e9.jpg.webp 660w" alt="دیدار امامعلی رحمان، رئیس جمهور تاجیکستان با شی جی‌پینگ، رئیس جمهور چین در حاشیه اجلاس چین-آسیای مرکزی" loading="lazy" width="1000" height="563" style="aspect-ratio:16 / 9" class="bbc-139onq"/></div><div class="bbc-2xm90o epcp8l41"><h3 class="bbc-mh7qh4 e1j5zm900"><a data-testid="promo-link" class=" focusIndicatorDisplayInlineBlock bbc-154s5g9 e1ifqd8t0" href="/persian/articles/cx9n1xd59pqo" 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src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/400/cpsprodpb/fa20/live/726c07a0-a8ee-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.png.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/400/cpsprodpb/fa20/live/726c07a0-a8ee-11ef-a4fe-a3e9a6c5d640.png.webp 400w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 400px" alt="نفتکش" loading="lazy" width="1109" height="623" style="aspect-ratio:1109 / 623" class="bbc-139onq"/></div><div class="lazyload-wrapper bbc-10klw3m"><div data-testid="frosted-glass-lazyload-placeholder" class="bbc-7gzyga"><h3 class="bbc-1uk1gs8"><a href="/persian/articles/cx24xx4evy7o" class="bbc-nrcg1m">روسیه در مقابل نیرو و سلاح یک میلیون بشکه نفت خام به کره شمالی تحویل داده است</a></h3><time dateTime="2024-11-22" class="bbc-lzs1ev e1mklfmt0">۲ آذر ۱۴۰۳ - ۲۲ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴</time></div></div></div></li><li class="bbc-1q5cdze eowmifl0"><div data-testid="frosted-promo-0" class="bbc-oz5u0n"><a href="/persian/articles/c0lpx2x75z5o" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-18rv2kn"></a><div class="bbc-1bepigl" style="padding-bottom:56.21%;overflow:hidden"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/400/cpsprodpb/773a/live/22c2fa10-a100-11ef-8f5b-3de8566d4c06.jpg.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/400/cpsprodpb/773a/live/22c2fa10-a100-11ef-8f5b-3de8566d4c06.jpg.webp 400w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 400px" alt="در دسامبر ۲۰۲۱، معترضان مخالف و موافق سقط جنین در مقابل ساختمان دیوان عالی ایالات متحده در واشنگتن تجمع کردند" loading="lazy" width="1023" height="575" style="aspect-ratio:1023 / 575" class="bbc-139onq"/></div><div class="lazyload-wrapper bbc-10klw3m"><div data-testid="frosted-glass-lazyload-placeholder" class="bbc-7gzyga"><h3 class="bbc-1uk1gs8"><a href="/persian/articles/c0lpx2x75z5o" class="bbc-nrcg1m">تأثیر دوره دوم ریاست‌جمهوری ترامپ بر حقوق سقط جنین در آمریکا</a></h3><time dateTime="2024-11-22" class="bbc-lzs1ev e1mklfmt0">۲ آذر ۱۴۰۳ - ۲۲ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴</time></div></div></div></li><li class="bbc-1q5cdze eowmifl0"><div data-testid="frosted-promo-0" class="bbc-oz5u0n"><a href="/persian/articles/cz7w5ve0xpxo" aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-18rv2kn"></a><div class="bbc-1bepigl" style="padding-bottom:56.25%;overflow:hidden"><img src="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/400/cpsprodpb/b286/live/0da98f30-a854-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.jpg.webp" srcSet="https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/ace/ws/400/cpsprodpb/b286/live/0da98f30-a854-11ef-bdf5-b7cb2fa86e10.jpg.webp 400w" sizes="(min-width: 1008px) 400px" alt="trump" loading="lazy" width="1600" height="900" style="aspect-ratio:1600 / 900" class="bbc-139onq"/></div><div class="lazyload-wrapper bbc-10klw3m"><div data-testid="frosted-glass-lazyload-placeholder" class="bbc-7gzyga"><h3 class="bbc-1uk1gs8"><a href="/persian/articles/cz7w5ve0xpxo" class="bbc-nrcg1m">ایران و معمای مذاکره؛ ترامپ «قمارباز» یا ترامپ «معامله‌گر»؟</a></h3><time dateTime="2024-11-21" class="bbc-lzs1ev e1mklfmt0">۱ آذر ۱۴۰۳ - ۲۱ نوامبر ۲۰۲۴</time></div></div></div></li></ul></section></div></div></div><section role="region" aria-labelledby="Most-Read" data-e2e="most-read" data-testid="most-read" class="bbc-1pg0aej"><div class="bbc-1rpw6bb e1m6nvxw1"><h2 id="section-label-heading-Most-Read" tabindex="-1" class="bbc-a5e1ct e1m6nvxw0"><span class="bbc-1fttcpj e1fapd9x4"><span class="bbc-127x8fy e1fapd9x2"><span dir="rtl" id="Most-Read" class="bbc-13nmxlq e1fapd9x1">پربیننده‌ترین‌ها</span></span></span></h2></div><ol role="list" class="bbc-stivil ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1yj6spp"><span class="bbc-109858a">۱</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/c0enj3pg354o" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">نتانیاهو: از هیچ کاری برای یافتن قاتلان خاخام کوگان فروگذار نمی‌کنیم</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-bmg00o"><span class="bbc-109858a">۲</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/c629vvz09e4o" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">ایران می‌گوید جمعه با سه کشور اروپایی مذاکره می‌کند</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1yj6spp"><span class="bbc-109858a">۳</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cn8lpl5y29lo" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">جنگ اوکراین و شمار بی‌سابقه سربازان فراری روسیه </a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-bmg00o"><span class="bbc-109858a">۴</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/c78d7j5rkyeo" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">تیم برتون: اینترنت من را بسیار افسرده می‌کند</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-txw7fg"><span class="bbc-109858a">۵</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cwy103p1g9vo" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">اطلس جدید سلول‌ها درک از بدن انسان را متحول می‌کند</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1cq4npg"><span class="bbc-109858a">۶</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cy87mpejzgxo" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">پای یک کایاک‌ران برای نجات او وسط رود خروشان قطع شد</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-sgu2a"><span class="bbc-109858a">۷</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cd9nwl2d25wo" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">فرماندار انزلی پس از توهین به خبرنگاران برکنار شد</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-1cq4npg"><span class="bbc-109858a">۸</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cz9x7jp19vdo" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">توافق ۳۰۰ میلیارد دلاری برای کشورهای فقیرتر مانع فروپاشی مذاکرات کاپ ۲۹ شد</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-sgu2a"><span class="bbc-109858a">۹</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cd7nleqr3z8o" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">موشک جدید «اورِشنیک» که روسیه برای نخستین‌بار به سمت اوکراین شلیک کرد چیست؟</a></div></div></li><li role="listitem" class="bbc-jsrhcr ebmt73l0" dir="rtl"><div class="bbc-1is9yal"><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-666nu5"><span class="bbc-109858a">۱۰</span></div><div dir="rtl" class="bbc-edu86c"><a href="https://www.bbc.com/persian/articles/cdd0jz20p26o" class="focusIndicatorDisplayTableCell bbc-btleo5">زنان افغانستان در نامه‌ به دونالد ترامپ: توافقنامه دوحه لغو شود و رهبران طالبان به دادگاه کشانده شوند</a></div></div></li></ol></section></div></div><footer role="contentinfo" class="bbc-1lvqtkx e1njnjcp0"><div class="ep1mqcj0 bbc-5g7yny e10yv9r12"><div class="bbc-1dg7u9h e10yv9r13"><a href="/persian" id="footer" class="focusIndicatorRemove bbc-1re47cx e10yv9r11" aria-labelledby="BrandLink-footer"><svg id="brandSvgFooter" viewBox="140 140 1333 145" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" focusable="false" aria-hidden="true" height="32" class="bbc-1jefi8v e10yv9r10"><g fill-rule="evenodd" stroke="#000" stroke-width=".335" style="stroke:#fff"><path d="M759.927 268.693a4646.67 4646.67 0 00-23.49-37.242 2633.129 2633.129 0 00-23.49-36.2v73.442h-22.003V162.395h23.193a2668.556 2668.556 0 0123.713 36.052 2774.159 2774.159 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