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font-book text-white transition-colors hover:text-gray-300" href="/products"><span class="flex items-center">Products</span></a><div class="absolute -bottom-1 left-0 right-0 h-px origin-left bg-white" style="transform:scaleX(0) translateZ(0)"></div></div><div class="group relative" style="opacity:1;transform:none"><a class="text-[14px] font-book text-white transition-colors hover:text-gray-300" href="/about"><span class="flex items-center">About</span></a><div class="absolute -bottom-1 left-0 right-0 h-px origin-left bg-white" style="transform:scaleX(0) translateZ(0)"></div></div><div class="group relative" style="opacity:1;transform:none"><a href="/contact"><button class="flex items-center rounded-full border border-white bg-white px-2 py-0.5 text-xs text-black transition-all hover:bg-transparent hover:text-white" tabindex="0">CONTACT<svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="ml-2 h-3 w-3" fill="none" viewBox="0 0 24 24" stroke="currentColor"><path stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" stroke-width="2" d="M3 8l7.89 5.26a2 2 0 002.22 0L21 8M5 19h14a2 2 0 002-2V7a2 2 0 00-2-2H5a2 2 0 00-2 2v10a2 2 0 002 2z"></path></svg></button></a><div class="absolute -bottom-1 left-0 right-0 h-px origin-left bg-white" style="transform:scaleX(0) translateZ(0)"></div></div></div><button class="flex items-center sm:hidden" aria-label="Toggle mobile menu" style="opacity:1;transform:none"><svg width="38" height="12" viewBox="0 0 38 12" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="text-white"><path d="M0.5 1H38" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2"></path><path d="M0.5 11H38" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2"></path></svg></button></nav><div class="relative pt-[20vh] opacity-100"><div class="absolute inset-0 z-50 mx-auto mt-[20vh] flex max-w-7xl items-start justify-center px-4 py-24 text-white"><div class="rounded-lg bg-gray-700/80 p-4 lg:w-1/2"><p>Our election model was last updated at 2AM ET on November 6, 2024 to include states that had been called. The model is no longer being updated, but you can look through the history to see how our forecasts changed over time.</p><button class="mt-4 flex items-center rounded-full border border-white bg-white px-2 py-0.5 text-xs text-black transition-all hover:bg-transparent hover:text-white">See the archive</button></div></div><div class="opacity-50 blur transition-all duration-300"><main class="mx-auto max-w-7xl px-4 py-24 text-white" style="opacity:0"><div id="hero-section"><div class="mb-4 flex items-center" style="opacity:0;transform:translateY(20px) translateZ(0)"><button><svg width="16" height="16" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M16.2426 6.34317L14.8284 4.92896L7.75739 12L14.8285 19.0711L16.2427 17.6569L10.5858 12L16.2426 6.34317Z" class="h-4 w-4 fill-white"></path></svg></button><div>#EEWQEQDVG at 7:04 AM on 11.6.2024</div><button disabled=""><svg width="16" height="16" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><path d="M10.5858 6.34317L12 4.92896L19.0711 12L12 19.0711L10.5858 17.6569L16.2427 12L10.5858 6.34317Z" class="h-4 w-4 fill-gray-400"></path></svg></button></div><p class="mb-4 text-sm text-gray-400" style="opacity:0;transform:translateY(20px) translateZ(0)">2024 U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION</p><h1 class="mb-8 font-serif text-3xl leading-[1.2] md:max-w-[50%]" style="opacity:0;transform:translateY(20px) translateZ(0)">Across 1,000 models of the 2024 presidential election, <span class="underline decoration-party-red">Donald Trump</span> wins 92.6% of the time, while <span class="underline decoration-party-blue">Kamala Harris</span> wins 7.4% of the time.</h1><p class="mt-2 text-gray-400" style="opacity:0;transform:translateY(20px) translateZ(0)">As the results come in, we've updated the model to reflect the latest projections. All displayed probabilities factor in initial voting.</p><p class="mt-2 font-medium" style="opacity:0;transform:translateY(20px) translateZ(0)">This is our final projection as of 2AM ET 11/6/24. The model will stay up for reference but will not be updated.</p></div><div class="mt-[20vh] flex w-full flex-col space-y-[100px]" style="opacity:0;transform:translateY(20px) translateZ(0)"><section id="electoral" class="!mt-4"><div class="relative h-[700px] w-full"><div class="absolute top-0 w-full"><div class="flex w-full items-center justify-center gap-2"><div class="h-[1px] w-full bg-party-blue"></div><div class="select-none whitespace-nowrap text-sm text-white">NO WINNER</div><div class="h-[1px] w-full bg-party-red"></div></div><div class="mt-4 flex select-none items-center justify-center"><div class="mr-6 text-sm text-white">HARRIS WINS</div><div class="mx-2 h-4 w-[0px] bg-gray-400"></div><div class="text-sm text-white">TRUMP WINS</div></div></div><div class="relative flex h-[calc(100%-100px)] items-end justify-between pt-[80px]"><div class="absolute left-1/2 ml-[1px] h-[565px] w-[2px] -translate-x-1/2 bg-gray-800"></div><div class="absolute w-[2px] bg-party-blue" 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style="left:99.25650557620817%;height:0px"></div></div><div class="relative mt-4 flex w-full select-none justify-between border-t border-gray-700 pt-4 text-xs text-gray-400"><div class="absolute text-center md:block" style="left:0%">D+538</div><div class="absolute -translate-x-1/2 text-center md:block" style="left:31.412639405204462%">D+200</div><div class="absolute -translate-x-1/2 text-center hidden md:block" style="left:40.70631970260223%">D+100</div><div class="absolute -translate-x-1/2 text-center hidden md:block" style="left:45.353159851301115%">D+50</div><div class="absolute -translate-x-1/2 text-center md:block" style="left:50%">0</div><div class="absolute -translate-x-1/2 text-center hidden md:block" style="left:54.646840148698885%">R+50</div><div class="absolute -translate-x-1/2 text-center hidden md:block" style="left:59.29368029739776%">R+100</div><div class="absolute -translate-x-1/2 text-center md:block" style="left:68.58736059479554%">R+200</div><div class="absolute -translate-x-full text-center md:block" style="left:100%">R+538</div></div><div class="mt-8 w-full select-none text-center text-sm text-gray-400">ELECTORAL VOTE MARGIN</div></div></section><section id="states"><div style="position:relative;width:inherit;height:inherit"><div class="relative z-0 flex items-center justify-center overflow-hidden"><svg class="w-[400px] md:w-[850px] xl:w-[1000px]" viewBox="0 0 836 493" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g class="visx-group" transform="translate(0, 0)"><path d="M765.21 134.841L764.967 134.678V134.922L765.21 134.841ZM762.776 132.647L763.344 132.403V132.078L762.776 132.647ZM772.838 126.31L772.757 125.173L772.594 124.523L772.838 126.31ZM737.378 117.942L736.81 118.186L732.184 119.567L730.561 120.136L728.695 120.704L728.046 120.948V121.192L728.289 125.416L728.533 129.316L728.776 132.891L729.182 133.134L730.643 132.728L737.215 130.778L737.378 131.185L749.062 126.716L749.144 126.879L750.198 126.473L753.931 125.01L757.501 129.316L757.988 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class="transition-all duration-300"></path></g></svg></div></div></section><section id="important-states"><div class="grid gap-5 lg:grid-cols-3"><div class="bg-[#303036] p-5"><div class="mb-8 flex h-[72px] items-center justify-between"><div><h3 class="font-serif text-3xl">Pennsylvania</h3></div><svg viewBox="0 0 45 26" width="45" height="26"><path d="M44.4999 9.42249L43.9073 9.75046L43.6432 9.98244L43.4269 10.3105L42.8905 11.4464L41.9937 12.4704L41.305 12.9984V13.2704L41.6654 14.1344L41.6573 14.4144L41.3851 14.9504L40.9127 15.2144L40.8326 15.5264L40.7846 16.0624L40.8086 16.9903L40.9448 17.1823L41.4972 17.5103L41.9696 18.7263L42.41 18.8703L44.2277 21.3422L42.9145 22.0703L42.0497 22.6862L41.6734 23.0142L40.9287 23.8862L39.8157 24.1742L39.2072 24.5022L39.055 24.6542L38.3825 24.3822L37.4456 24.4222L37.1253 24.5422L36.8851 24.7822L36.3166 25.5662H34.5791H32.8335H31.096H29.3584H27.6209H25.8753H24.1378H22.4002H20.6627H18.9172H17.1796H15.442H13.6965H11.959L10.2214 25.5582H8.48385L7.49899 25.5662H6.51413H5.53723H4.55237H3.57548H2.59062H1.60576H0.628865V24.4382V23.3022L0.62085 22.1743V21.0382V19.9023V18.7583V17.6223L0.628865 16.4863L0.62085 15.4383V14.4064V13.3584V12.3184V11.2785V10.2304V9.18245V8.13447V7.07854V6.03051V4.97457V3.91858V3.07861L2.0221 2.5586L2.64667 2.2066L3.2712 1.87062L3.59952 1.67063L3.96787 1.4946L6.32993 0.182617V0.238622V1.59861V2.95859H7.3709L8.4038 2.9666H9.44471H10.4856H11.5266H12.5675H13.6004H14.6413H15.6822H16.7232H17.7641L18.797 2.97461H19.8379H20.8789H21.9198H22.9527H23.9936H25.0346H26.0755H27.1084H28.1493L29.1903 2.98257H30.2312H31.2721H32.305H33.346H34.3869H35.4278H36.4607H37.5017H38.5426L39.5835 2.99057L40.168 3.51058L40.4323 4.05457L41.313 4.44655L41.5132 4.67057V4.99054L41.8255 5.33453L41.7294 5.86254V6.32655L41.8415 6.91052L42.0577 7.47052L42.37 7.91851L42.7143 8.25449L44.0675 8.75849L44.3398 9.05448L44.4999 9.42249Z" fill="#181818"></path></svg></div><p class="border-t border-white/20 pb-4 pt-1 text-xs font-bold uppercase tracking-tight">PROJECTED PROBABILITY</p><div class="space y-1"><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#EC1115">R</div><p class="mr-3">Donald Trump</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>77.1%</span></div></div></div><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#2653FA">D</div><p class="mr-3">Kamala Harris</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>22.9%</span></div></div></div></div></div><div class="bg-[#303036] p-5"><div class="mb-8 flex h-[72px] items-center justify-between"><div><h3 class="font-serif text-3xl">Georgia</h3><p class="mt-2 text-sm text-gray-400">Called for Donald Trump</p></div><svg viewBox="0 0 37 42" width="37" height="42"><path d="M36.4999 26.8861L36.1156 27.6301L35.1948 28.0941L34.9145 28.0781L34.6823 28.2141L34.8184 28.5501L35.0506 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38.4059L6.25706 38.0699L5.65652 36.646L5.34423 35.9579L4.88782 34.942L4.69566 33.382L4.9839 30.9501L4.89584 30.3981L4.46347 29.1501L4.47144 28.2381L4.91983 26.7341L5.14405 25.8781L5.45634 25.3982L5.93675 24.9982L6.00082 24.6462L5.64851 24.3422L5.5124 23.9742L5.60047 23.5422L5.28818 22.5022L4.22322 20.0303L4.07108 19.1903L3.88693 18.6703L3.68675 17.5263L3.48657 16.3823L3.2864 15.2383L3.08622 14.0944L2.88604 12.9424L2.68586 11.7904L2.48568 10.6384L2.28551 9.48645L2.08533 8.32646L1.88515 7.16647L1.68497 6.00649L1.48479 4.84655L1.28462 3.68656L1.08444 2.51856L0.88426 1.35061L0.684082 0.182617L3.13426 0.214599L5.58444 0.24663L8.03461 0.278612L10.4848 0.310593L12.7669 0.278612L15.0489 0.24663L17.3309 0.214599L19.6129 0.182617L19.5649 0.190625L19.1965 0.80658L18.0916 1.96657L17.7953 2.85454L19.2206 3.84656L19.2286 3.85452L20.0774 4.65451L20.6619 4.96651L21.2544 5.06251L21.6227 5.32652L21.8389 5.9665L23.5685 9.12645L25.362 10.7504L26.0827 11.5504L26.443 12.3184L27.9724 13.5824L28.4928 14.2623L28.5168 14.7743L28.701 15.1424L29.0373 15.3583L29.3576 15.8223L29.6699 16.5263L30.2784 17.1423L31.1912 17.6623L31.8558 18.8542L32.2802 20.7023L32.7126 21.7742L33.3692 22.2222L34.266 23.7982L34.5542 24.7342L34.5382 25.5581L34.9946 26.1982L36.4999 26.8861ZM32.3763 36.182L32.04 38.3099L31.8958 37.5579L31.8798 36.8299L32.1361 36.398L32.3763 36.182Z" fill="#181818"></path></svg></div><p class="border-t border-white/20 pb-4 pt-1 text-xs font-bold uppercase tracking-tight">PROJECTED PROBABILITY</p><div class="space y-1"><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#EC1115">R</div><p class="mr-3">Donald Trump</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>61.8%</span></div></div></div><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#2653FA">D</div><p class="mr-3">Kamala Harris</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>38.2%</span></div></div></div></div></div><div class="bg-[#303036] p-5"><div class="mb-8 flex h-[72px] items-center justify-between"><div><h3 class="font-serif text-3xl">North Carolina</h3><p class="mt-2 text-sm text-gray-400">Called for Donald Trump</p></div><svg viewBox="0 0 68 26" width="68" height="26"><path d="M63.6486 0.814588L63.4484 1.54255L63.5525 1.95856L63.9528 2.39054L64.3933 3.46254L64.7456 4.9025L64.2731 4.31853L63.7687 4.00652L62.984 3.76654L62.2794 3.35053L62.3274 3.95052L62.2633 4.5985L61.7269 4.39851L61.3585 4.18254L61.6869 4.87052L60.9822 4.66252L60.5098 4.70251L60.2055 5.3105L59.7971 5.67851L59.1886 5.79848L58.2838 5.23848L57.9955 4.56652L57.8755 3.81453L57.8274 4.70251L57.9876 5.63052L57.9315 6.33451L58.7962 6.46248L59.605 6.35047L60.7019 6.3825L61.4146 6.24647L61.847 6.0225L62.8799 6.21449L62.9519 7.06247L62.8319 7.90245L62.7758 8.79843L63.0641 8.79042L63.4003 8.50244L63.5685 6.89446L64.5133 6.30248L64.8256 6.34247L65.1299 6.86248L65.234 7.39045L65.3381 8.11045L65.1139 9.20643L63.6646 10.4864L62.6317 11.6624L62.1032 11.9024L61.3426 11.7664L60.4778 11.4704L60.0534 11.4144L59.7331 11.5104L59.5329 11.1504L59.4048 10.4864L59.0685 10.2624L58.8123 10.2864L58.6361 10.9904L57.8274 11.1904L56.7304 10.9024L55.5774 10.3104L56.0739 10.9424L58.9324 12.1264L59.2527 12.3504L59.5569 12.6704L59.1566 13.1744L58.8443 13.7423L58.7962 14.1903L58.6842 14.4703L57.5471 15.2303L56.9306 15.0943L55.3532 13.7264L56.0739 14.9103L56.6503 15.4143L57.8114 15.6783L59.9813 15.2383L60.694 15.7183L60.1094 16.5743L59.5249 17.1743L58.7642 17.2383L58.0917 17.3983L57.8915 17.8063L57.411 17.8303L56.6664 17.8543L55.5053 17.8943L54.8728 17.7983L53.984 18.6382L53.6477 18.7502L53.1833 18.5902L52.9831 17.9183L52.7749 17.5823L52.7669 18.8462L52.847 19.1823L53.0151 19.4382L51.9742 20.1262L50.9813 20.9822L50.621 21.2142L50.2126 21.6382L49.3799 22.8702L49.1717 23.7662L48.8755 24.7662L48.8354 24.3182L48.8835 23.5582L48.6753 22.6942L48.5471 24.2862L48.2269 25.0222L45.2642 24.9742L44.0712 25.3421L42.9822 24.2461L41.9653 23.2142L40.9484 22.1822L39.9315 21.1502L38.9146 20.1102L37.8977 19.0703L36.8808 18.0303L35.8639 16.9903L34.7989 16.9503L33.734 16.9183L32.669 16.8783L31.6041 16.8463L30.5391 16.8063L29.4742 16.7743L28.4093 16.7343L27.3443 16.7023L27.3043 15.9823L27.2722 15.4703L26.6077 14.5983L26.2153 14.0864L25.3745 14.5264L25.3265 14.3103L25.3585 13.9264L25.2865 13.7903L25.0543 13.6943L23.8612 13.6383L22.6681 13.5824L21.4751 13.5264L20.282 13.4704L19.0889 13.4144L17.8959 13.3584L16.7028 13.3024L15.5097 13.2463L15.2375 13.1584L14.7011 13.4624L13.2838 13.9184L12.5872 14.3183L12.3309 14.2943L11.1299 14.6864L9.9288 15.0783H9.79269L7.51063 15.1103L5.22862 15.1423L2.94656 15.1743L0.664551 15.2063L0.944781 13.2544L1.13699 12.8064L1.35315 12.7024L2.13788 12.6944L2.63432 12.4704L3.0747 11.2944L4.07559 10.3664L4.52399 10.1344L5.19661 9.95041L6.79002 9.72644L8.50351 8.82245L9.73664 7.96646L10.7135 7.72647L11.0178 7.41447L11.242 7.00647L11.3781 6.44647L11.4822 6.3265L12.0507 6.36649L12.4831 5.87851L12.8995 5.59849L13.3158 5.43848L13.572 5.43052L13.6681 5.57451L13.7402 5.99047L13.8283 6.1265L14.0044 6.13451L14.2446 6.03847L14.5649 5.77451L15.3977 4.94249L15.9502 4.62253L16.7989 4.4385L17.4154 4.87853L17.7838 4.72653L18.8647 3.02256L19.2971 2.71055L19.6174 2.59053L20.1779 2.56656L20.1859 2.09455L20.3781 1.3826L20.4021 0.894567L20.7464 0.182617L20.8745 0.326609L23.605 0.350583L26.3354 0.374606L29.0658 0.39858L31.7963 0.422603L34.5267 0.446577L37.2571 0.4706L39.9875 0.494574L42.718 0.518597L45.4484 0.542572L48.1788 0.566595L50.9093 0.590569L53.6397 0.614592L56.3701 0.638566L59.1005 0.662589L61.831 0.686612L63.6486 0.814588ZM64.2331 0.830603H64.4733L65.226 3.82254L66.7313 7.07048L66.9155 7.63048L66.5632 7.14245L65.4502 4.9985L64.8256 3.43056L64.2331 0.830603ZM66.1388 7.27848L66.0267 7.47047L65.5222 6.44647L66.0347 6.77449L66.1228 7.04646L66.1388 7.27848ZM66.8274 12.9584L65.8185 13.2064L65.7304 13.1264L66.8915 12.6064L67.2598 10.7584L67.3078 9.90241L67.1317 8.39843L67.1397 8.08648L67.3319 8.57446L67.5 9.98244L67.436 11.0464L67.0997 12.5904L66.8274 12.9584ZM65.0338 13.4144L63.6646 14.0704L63.5125 14.0304L64.4092 13.5583L65.0338 13.4144ZM59.597 18.4143L59.4128 18.5183L60.1014 17.3823L61.4626 15.9343L61.831 15.7103L60.694 16.9423L59.597 18.4143ZM59.2767 18.3103L59.1085 18.3343L58.8123 18.2303L58.4039 18.0382L58.3158 17.8943L58.7082 17.9423L59.2767 18.3103" fill="#181818"></path></svg></div><p class="border-t border-white/20 pb-4 pt-1 text-xs font-bold uppercase tracking-tight">PROJECTED PROBABILITY</p><div class="space y-1"><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#EC1115">R</div><p class="mr-3">Donald Trump</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>62.1%</span></div></div></div><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#2653FA">D</div><p class="mr-3">Kamala Harris</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>37.9%</span></div></div></div></div></div><div class="bg-[#303036] p-5"><div class="mb-8 flex h-[72px] items-center justify-between"><div><h3 class="font-serif text-3xl">Michigan</h3></div><svg viewBox="0 0 61 69" width="61" height="69"><path d="M11.1761 2.99055L11.1361 3.17456L11.4083 3.23056L11.3603 3.32655L11.064 3.49454L10.2233 3.83853L9.65476 3.95054L9.36652 3.83055L9.33451 3.59855L9.5667 3.26254V3.09455H9.33451L9.39056 2.95857L9.73486 2.69456L12.6815 0.998594L13.9386 0.382614L14.6112 0.182617L14.7233 0.278612L13.9947 0.91859L13.8745 1.1826L13.9065 1.3586L13.6663 1.69458L11.5124 2.87856L11.1761 2.99055ZM16.701 10.9504L16.5649 11.3104L16.589 11.5264L15.6761 12.4704L15.3398 13.0704L15.0596 13.1664L14.8354 12.7584V12.4304L15.0596 12.1824L15.2838 11.8304L15.3158 11.3424L15.2277 11.1664L14.9475 11.6064L15.0996 11.7024L15.1476 11.7744L15.0916 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26.1181ZM42.7802 26.4221L43.3167 26.6221L44.2856 27.2861L45.1984 27.6701L46.0632 27.7821L46.6957 28.0141L47.0961 28.3741L47.3843 28.7741L47.5605 29.2141L47.9768 29.4621L48.6255 29.5181L49.1379 29.7021L49.5142 30.0221L51.5881 30.8461L52.4528 31.278L52.9332 31.702L53.0694 31.974L53.0294 32.246L53.0774 32.534L53.4297 33.094L53.5658 33.142L53.6459 33.414L53.678 33.902L53.782 34.23L53.9582 34.398L53.8541 34.462L53.2135 34.182L52.8532 34.27L52.685 34.638L52.661 34.982L52.7811 35.31L53.5979 36.2859L53.8141 37.1739L53.8541 38.2459L53.75 38.6619L53.6619 39.5819L53.5979 41.0059L53.5818 41.4939L53.3096 41.9658L52.5809 42.6458L52.573 42.5178L52.3968 42.4858L52.2046 42.5898L51.9404 43.1738L51.7162 44.2378L51.4439 44.8138L51.1237 44.9018L50.9315 45.0538L50.8674 45.2698L50.5231 45.4138L49.8905 45.4858L49.4582 45.8058L49.1379 46.7098L49.1539 47.1418L49.0018 47.6777L49.0098 48.1418L49.1779 48.5257L49.6904 48.9097L50.5391 49.2937L51.0436 49.3497L51.3959 49.1897L51.7642 48.5577L52.1166 48.3097L52.5489 48.2057L52.7091 47.9177L53.4217 46.6618V46.3818L53.1655 46.2778L53.2055 46.1977L53.5418 46.1497L53.8301 45.9818L54.0783 45.6938L54.5107 45.4778L55.5676 45.1498L56.1361 44.7738L56.4964 44.7098L57.0169 44.9098L57.6975 45.3738L58.234 46.0458L58.6344 46.9258L59.1388 49.2057L59.7473 52.8696L60.1637 54.9096L60.3879 55.3416L60.5 55.5576L59.9635 58.4055L59.5312 59.5735L58.7785 60.2535L58.0338 60.9095L57.105 62.0135L56.0801 62.5575L55.5596 62.8775L55.4475 63.0855L55.3194 63.0215L55.0391 63.6215L54.7909 64.4455L54.6948 65.0774L54.7829 65.4294L54.5667 65.6534L54.1824 66.0694L54.1103 66.2214L54.1343 66.4694L54.0543 66.5894L53.8701 66.5814L53.726 66.7014L53.3816 67.1414L52.7811 68.2854L52.685 68.4934L52.613 68.5574L50.1068 68.6533L47.6005 68.7493L45.0943 68.8454L42.5881 68.9414V68.3574H40.306H38.024H35.742H33.46H31.1779H28.8959H27.0302L27.5187 68.0774L28.3194 67.4214L28.7678 66.8374L29.2002 66.0694L29.6165 65.1174L30.4653 63.6855L30.8817 62.8215L31.282 61.7175L31.5863 60.5655L31.7865 59.3575L31.8825 58.1015L31.8745 56.7976L31.6743 55.4856L31.282 54.1576L31.0658 53.4776L30.9857 53.2937L30.2731 51.5897L29.4644 49.2057L29.4724 49.0057L30.2251 47.5818L30.2411 47.3898L30.161 46.2298L30.0009 45.6458L29.6165 44.8618L29.6325 44.6618L30.4172 43.6618L30.8897 42.9018L31.314 41.9739L31.5943 40.8939L31.7224 39.6539V38.8299L31.5863 38.4139L31.6023 38.0939L31.7704 37.8699L32.6112 37.5819L32.8914 37.0939L32.9555 36.23L33.1236 35.798L33.4039 35.806L33.6681 35.63L33.9084 35.27L34.2286 35.166L34.629 35.326L35.1815 34.79L35.8941 33.558L36.4386 32.87L36.8229 32.726L36.895 32.838L36.6548 33.206L36.5827 33.614L36.6788 34.054L36.5987 34.478L36.4226 35.062L36.5347 35.246L36.2304 36.182L36.2144 36.6459L36.3986 36.9979L36.6227 36.8779L36.879 36.278L36.9591 35.958L36.855 35.918L36.895 35.662L37.0711 35.19L37.2313 34.966L37.3674 34.99L37.4075 35.246L37.3434 35.734L36.935 36.8939L36.855 37.2459L36.943 37.3419L37.4315 36.6219L37.8398 35.47L38.1521 34.582L38.2082 34.102L38.1121 32.854L38.1281 32.342L38.2482 31.99L38.6726 31.59L39.4012 31.142L40.1219 30.9021L40.8345 30.87L41.3309 30.7501L41.6112 30.5341L41.5151 30.3661L41.0347 30.2381L40.6743 29.9581L40.4261 29.5261L40.3461 29.0301L40.4261 28.4701L40.7304 27.9181L41.2589 27.3821L41.427 26.9821L41.2349 26.7261L41.4591 26.6381L42.1077 26.7101L42.556 26.6381L42.8123 26.4221H42.7802ZM36.8309 28.4621L36.5747 28.5181L36.3745 28.3901L36.4066 27.8861L36.6708 27.0061L36.927 26.6061L37.2713 26.7661L37.1993 26.8701L37.2713 27.8061L37.1432 28.2221L36.8309 28.4621ZM33.6281 33.806L33.54 33.958L33.3318 33.942L33.1637 33.798L33.0036 33.334L33.0596 33.23L33.4679 33.294L33.6121 33.494L33.6281 33.806Z" fill="#181818"></path></svg></div><p class="border-t border-white/20 pb-4 pt-1 text-xs font-bold uppercase tracking-tight">PROJECTED PROBABILITY</p><div class="space y-1"><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#EC1115">R</div><p class="mr-3">Donald Trump</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>72.4%</span></div></div></div><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#2653FA">D</div><p class="mr-3">Kamala Harris</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>27.6%</span></div></div></div></div></div><div class="bg-[#303036] p-5"><div class="mb-8 flex h-[72px] items-center justify-between"><div><h3 class="font-serif text-3xl">Arizona</h3></div><svg viewBox="0 0 45 52" width="45" height="52"><path d="M44.4999 0.206591V3.53456L44.4919 6.83845V10.1264V13.3983V16.6623V19.9102V23.1422V26.3581V29.5661V32.758V35.934V39.1019V42.2538V45.3978V48.5257V51.6456H42.7783L40.112 51.6537L37.4456 51.6617L34.7873 51.6697H32.1209L29.4545 51.6777L25.8833 50.3817L22.3041 49.0777L18.733 47.7737L15.1618 46.4698L11.5826 45.1578L8.01144 43.8458L4.43228 42.5339L0.861084 41.2219L1.22141 40.7179L1.69381 39.3819L1.72587 39.3019L2.7748 39.2059L3.27124 38.8699L3.55948 38.2539L3.62355 37.6219L3.4634 36.9899L3.00699 36.5099L2.27836 36.1979L1.85396 35.326L1.74185 33.878L1.86999 33.094L2.25432 32.982L2.62266 32.63L2.96696 32.038L3.23121 31.39L3.39933 30.6861L3.43139 29.798L3.32729 28.7181L4.00788 27.3901L4.6805 26.5661L5.92961 25.5581L6.21785 25.2541V25.0061V24.9822L5.96162 24.6302L4.8406 23.9262L4.36019 23.4222L4.32017 22.9582L4.30414 22.9502L4.16001 22.5022L2.95895 20.6302L2.55859 19.6062V18.8382V18.7743L2.70271 15.5183L2.27035 14.3903L2.16625 13.7503L2.29434 12.9664L2.26233 12.4704L2.05414 12.0464L2.0061 11.2704L1.9821 10.3104L1.63775 9.69441L1.57373 9.42244L1.76589 8.75844L2.11821 8.41445L2.6947 8.17446L3.35129 8.09444L4.09594 8.16646L4.66447 8.47046L5.04078 8.99042L5.40912 9.25443L5.77747 9.26243L6.25788 8.83842L6.69024 7.91846L6.83441 7.86246L6.8504 3.84652L6.85841 0.182617H9.21251H11.5586H13.9127L16.2668 0.190576H18.6209H20.975H23.3211L25.6751 0.198584H28.0292H30.3833H32.7374H35.0835L37.4376 0.206591H39.7917H42.1458H44.4999Z" fill="#181818"></path></svg></div><p class="border-t border-white/20 pb-4 pt-1 text-xs font-bold uppercase tracking-tight">PROJECTED PROBABILITY</p><div class="space y-1"><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#EC1115">R</div><p class="mr-3">Donald Trump</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>74.5%</span></div></div></div><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#2653FA">D</div><p class="mr-3">Kamala Harris</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>25.5%</span></div></div></div></div></div><div class="bg-[#303036] p-5"><div class="mb-8 flex h-[72px] items-center justify-between"><div><h3 class="font-serif text-3xl">Wisconsin</h3></div><svg viewBox="0 0 47 49" width="47" height="49"><path d="M19.5961 0.678604L19.3479 0.854602L19.2518 0.774599L19.3078 0.438618L19.436 0.238622L19.6282 0.182617L19.7242 0.262621V0.478608L19.5961 0.678604ZM17.4742 1.7666L17.3621 1.8466L17.0739 1.6626L17.0339 1.5106L17.1139 1.3586L17.25 1.3906L17.4422 1.6146L17.4742 1.7666ZM19.7323 5.43052L19.6922 5.51853L19.8443 5.91852L20.2287 5.81452L20.3968 6.05451L20.629 6.15851L21.0614 6.3505L21.2696 6.8065L21.4778 7.26249L21.686 7.71849L21.8942 8.17446L22.839 8.43847L23.7839 8.70246L24.7287 8.96647L25.6735 9.23045L26.6184 9.49446L27.5632 9.75844L28.508 10.0225L29.4529 10.2864L29.9814 10.5904L30.5098 10.8944L31.0383 11.1984L31.5668 11.5024L32.3995 11.5584L33.1362 11.7424L34.1691 11.7504L35.21 11.9824L36.7394 12.4864L37.0997 12.9184L37.1637 13.2064L37.0116 13.8784L38.4689 14.4784L39.0935 14.9263L39.3257 15.2704L39.2856 15.5823L39.4298 16.2383L39.2776 16.5903V17.2063L38.9493 17.8543L38.8372 18.2063L38.8292 18.5023L38.9013 18.6943L39.0774 18.7663L39.6299 18.7263L40.1744 18.5263L40.4146 18.6463L40.4627 18.7503L40.4226 18.9263L39.9822 20.0223L39.9983 20.4623L40.1824 20.8943L40.4867 21.3102L40.847 21.4542L40.831 21.7262L40.6869 22.2622L40.2625 22.6862L39.1575 23.2222L38.9814 23.5822L38.9574 23.8782L38.2447 25.1102L37.8924 25.8622L37.6602 26.6462L37.7322 27.1421L38.1086 27.3421L38.4128 27.2621L38.6451 26.9021L38.9974 26.5821L39.4778 26.2942L39.8301 25.8702L40.3185 24.8302L40.863 24.2302L41.1513 24.1982L41.2314 24.2142L41.7999 23.9422L42.2563 24.0302L42.5285 24.4382L42.8088 24.7182L42.8728 24.9822L42.7287 25.5662L42.4724 26.1821L42.0961 26.8301L41.7518 27.7981L41.4476 29.0941L41.3835 30.0701L41.5597 30.7261L41.3915 31.3101L40.879 31.8221L40.4627 32.51L40.1504 33.374L39.9742 34.094L39.9342 34.678L39.9822 35.118L40.1744 35.71L40.1584 36.006L39.5979 37.3019L39.3977 37.934L39.3657 38.4299L39.2296 38.9179L38.8052 39.9099L38.6691 40.4619L38.6451 40.9659L38.7411 41.7898L38.6851 42.0699L38.7091 42.2779L38.8132 42.4219V42.6779L38.7011 43.0538L38.7411 43.3498L38.9333 43.5578L39.0614 43.9578L39.1175 44.5498L39.2616 45.0378L39.5018 45.4298L39.5419 45.9978L39.3897 46.7418L39.3097 48.1417V48.6057L38.3488 48.5977L34.9538 48.5738L31.5587 48.5497L28.1637 48.5258L24.7687 48.5017L21.3737 48.4778L17.9066 48.4537L17.8586 48.3738L17.6264 47.4618L16.8657 46.7818L15.5766 46.3418L14.7518 45.6458L14.3915 44.6938L14.1593 43.6218L14.0632 42.4299L14.1673 41.4299L14.4716 40.6219L14.3915 40.0779L13.9271 39.7899L13.6228 39.4139L13.4787 38.9499L13.4226 38.3099L13.1744 35.254L12.8621 33.806L12.3897 33.238L11.3968 32.574L9.87548 31.8221L8.93862 31.1181L8.40215 30.1261L7.32923 28.9581L6.62459 28.4781L5.93594 28.3021L5.39147 27.9261L4.98309 27.3501L4.42264 26.9901L3.70198 26.8381L2.90126 26.3661L1.94841 25.5182L1.92442 25.4542L1.72424 24.8382L1.8363 24.4942L1.99645 23.3102L1.98042 22.9342L1.77228 21.8542L2.02846 21.4382L1.97246 20.1023L2.06052 19.6623L2.57299 18.5663L2.59699 18.0063L2.41284 17.3583L2.03648 16.8303L1.01961 16.2783L0.987549 15.5903L1.15572 15.0783L1.82032 14.1184L2.18862 13.2624L2.52495 12.8944L4.55874 11.6144L4.99111 11.5264L5.3034 11.1584L5.55162 10.9984V9.43845V7.87049V6.3025V4.72653L6.06409 4.61454L6.28826 4.22256L6.80874 3.60655L6.94485 3.61456V3.62257L7.20108 3.90254L7.84164 4.31054L8.3461 4.35854L8.98666 4.27056L11.5249 3.56656L12.5979 3.07856L13.6468 2.25458L13.7509 2.23058L14.1913 2.38258L14.3274 2.45457L15.6966 1.5106L16.145 1.3906L16.4973 1.4146L16.9378 1.78259L17.0418 2.00658L16.8977 2.43858L16.5054 3.07856L16.3132 3.61456L16.3212 4.05454L16.153 4.52653L15.7207 5.16654L15.8728 5.34253L17.0258 4.87853L17.194 4.70253L17.21 4.59853L17.1379 4.47055L17.2741 4.41455L18.1789 5.04654L18.7874 5.39851L19.2919 5.56653L19.7323 5.43052ZM18.6913 1.85458L18.4431 1.9186L17.8986 1.8226L17.9066 1.6626L18.4671 1.4386L18.7153 1.37459L18.7714 1.47061L18.6913 1.85458ZM17.4502 3.34257L17.0178 3.49457L16.8416 3.46256L16.9137 3.25456L17.1379 3.00656L18.1388 2.39058L18.315 2.39857L18.371 2.54258L17.8826 2.84658L17.6984 3.00656L17.6744 3.17456L17.4502 3.34257ZM46.46 18.8303L46.2358 18.9343L45.8194 18.8943L45.6673 18.6543L45.8835 18.0383L45.9716 18.1503L46.3319 18.1583L46.46 18.2223L46.5001 18.3743L46.46 18.8303ZM45.4831 20.0143L45.347 20.1502L45.1148 20.0623L45.0267 20.2623L45.0748 20.7502L44.9947 20.9742L44.7865 20.9342L44.7785 21.0223L44.9627 21.2382L44.9787 21.4782L44.8346 21.7342L44.6985 21.8542L44.5623 21.8382L44.3541 22.1342L44.0739 22.7422L43.9778 23.0942L44.0659 23.1902L44.0018 23.3902L43.3052 24.3102L43.041 24.3982L42.7447 24.2702L42.5365 23.9982L42.4164 23.5902L42.3844 23.2702L42.4324 23.0462L43.041 22.2302L43.3132 21.6942L43.4653 21.0942L43.7456 20.7102L44.162 20.5423L44.4983 20.1663L44.7545 19.5823L45.0508 19.3263L45.3871 19.3983L45.5312 19.6223L45.4831 20.0143Z" fill="#181818"></path></svg></div><p class="border-t border-white/20 pb-4 pt-1 text-xs font-bold uppercase tracking-tight">PROJECTED PROBABILITY</p><div class="space y-1"><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#2653FA">D</div><p class="mr-3">Kamala Harris</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>79.7%</span></div></div></div><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#EC1115">R</div><p class="mr-3">Donald Trump</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>20.3%</span></div></div></div></div></div><div class="bg-[#303036] p-5"><div class="mb-8 flex h-[72px] items-center justify-between"><div><h3 class="font-serif text-3xl">Nevada</h3></div><svg viewBox="0 0 46 68" width="46" height="68"><path d="M45.5 48.7977L45.492 52.4616L45.476 56.4776L45.3318 56.5336L44.8994 57.4535L44.419 57.8776L44.0507 57.8696L43.6823 57.6055L43.306 57.0856L42.7375 56.7816L41.9929 56.7096L41.3363 56.7896L40.7598 57.0296L40.4075 57.3736L40.2153 58.0376L40.2793 58.3095L40.6237 58.9255L40.6477 59.8855L40.6957 60.6615L40.9039 61.0855L40.9359 61.5815L40.8078 62.3655L40.9119 63.0054L41.3443 64.1335L41.2002 67.3894V67.4534L39.1503 65.5094L37.2366 63.6935L35.3229 61.8695L33.4092 60.0375L31.4955 58.2055L29.5818 56.3656L27.6681 54.5176L25.7544 52.6696L24.3772 51.3817L22.992 50.0937L21.6067 48.8057L20.2295 47.5097L18.8443 46.2138L17.467 44.9098L16.0818 43.6058L14.6966 42.3019L12.935 40.7499L11.1654 39.1979L9.40385 37.6379L7.64232 36.078L5.87273 34.51L4.11116 32.942L2.34156 31.374L0.580036 29.7981V27.9821L0.572021 26.1661V24.3422V22.5182V20.6862V18.8463V17.0063V15.1583V13.3024V11.4464V9.58245V7.71847V5.84653V3.96653V2.07858V0.190625H3.38253H6.19304H9.0035H11.814H14.6325H17.443H20.2535H23.064H25.8665H28.669L31.4715 0.182617H34.274H37.0765H39.879H42.6814H45.4839V1.75856V3.32655V4.89454V6.45448V8.01446V9.57444V11.1264V12.6704V14.2143V15.7583V17.2943V18.8303L45.492 20.3582V21.8862V23.4142V24.9262V26.4462V27.9581V29.4701V30.974V32.478V33.974V35.47V36.9659V38.4539V39.9419L45.5 41.4219V42.9019V44.3818V45.8538V47.3258V48.7977Z" fill="#181818"></path></svg></div><p class="border-t border-white/20 pb-4 pt-1 text-xs font-bold uppercase tracking-tight">PROJECTED PROBABILITY</p><div class="space y-1"><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#EC1115">R</div><p class="mr-3">Donald Trump</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>80.5%</span></div></div></div><div><div class="flex items-center justify-center"><div class="flex h-4 w-4 items-center justify-center text-xs font-medium mr-2 text-white" style="background-color:#2653FA">D</div><p class="mr-3">Kamala Harris</p><div class="ml-auto"><span>19.5%</span></div></div></div></div></div></div></section></div></main></div></div><footer class="w-full bg-[#000000] px-4 py-6 font-book text-white sm:px-8 sm:py-8" style="opacity:1"><div class="max-w-9xl mx-auto"><div class="mb-6 flex flex-col sm:mb-8 lg:grid lg:grid-cols-[3fr_2fr] lg:items-start"><div class="mb-6 mt-2 text-left lg:mb-0 lg:w-1/3" style="opacity:1"><svg width="62" height="17.454545454545453" viewBox="0 0 341 96" fill="none" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" class="sm:size-62 mb-4 text-white lg:mx-0"><path fill-rule="evenodd" clip-rule="evenodd" d="M190.524 93.0033V3.07334H210.934V21.5533C216.754 5.54334 227.304 -0.446659 242.974 0.433341V20.4933C236.634 19.9633 231.364 20.3133 226.964 21.9033C216.054 25.7733 211.474 36.3333 211.474 52.3433V92.9933H190.534L190.524 93.0033ZM174.944 71.3533V28.7733C174.944 10.6433 163.334 0.433341 138.514 0.433341C113.694 0.433341 100.854 11.8733 97.8642 26.3033H120.564C122.144 20.3233 128.134 15.7433 138.164 15.7433C148.194 15.7433 154.354 20.3233 154.354 27.8833C154.354 36.5033 148.544 38.4433 136.224 40.0233L129.534 40.9033C115.104 42.6633 93.9842 46.3633 93.9842 68.1833C93.9842 86.6633 108.944 95.4633 125.834 95.4633C140.794 95.4633 150.644 88.2433 155.224 81.2133C155.564 85.4333 156.384 89.8133 156.914 92.6433L156.984 93.0033H177.754C176.174 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