CINXE.COM

<!DOCTYPE html> <html> <head> <meta charset="utf-8"> <title>Subseasonal prediction of heat-related mortality in Switzerland - ESS Open Archive </title> <meta name="description" content="A document by Maria Pyrina. Click on the document to view its contents.">  <script src="https://cmp.osano.com/AzZdRbSORDOOzF9W/834aded8-af76-45a5-b64d-c79bebafd5fd/osano.js"></script> <link rel="canonical" href="https://www.authorea.com/users/861500/articles/1243984-subseasonal-prediction-of-heat-related-mortality-in-switzerland" />  <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/bootstrap.2.3.2.no-print-1814f3c3650062851579a65ade26e8a5632ef954534f7d6b5c753d7b59ceeffc.css" /> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="//netdna.bootstrapcdn.com/font-awesome/3.2.1/css/font-awesome.min.css"/> <meta id='fontawesomemin' class='icon-'> <script type="text/javascript"> var tag = document.querySelector('meta#fontawesomemin') var tagStyle = window.getComputedStyle(tag).getPropertyValue('font-family') if (!tagStyle || tagStyle == 'auto' ){ var message = "font-awesome.min.3.2.1.css failed to load, falling back to local copy" localLink = document.createElement('link'); localLink.rel = "stylesheet"; localLink.type = "text/css"; localLink.href = "/assets/font-awesome.min.3.2.1.css"; document.head.appendChild(localLink); delete localLink; } </script> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="https://use.fontawesome.com/releases/v5.7.2/css/all.css"/> <meta id='all' class='icon-'> <script type="text/javascript"> var tag = document.querySelector('meta#all') var tagStyle = window.getComputedStyle(tag).getPropertyValue('font-family') if (!tagStyle || tagStyle == 'auto' ){ var message = "all.5.7.2.css failed to load, falling back to local copy" localLink = document.createElement('link'); localLink.rel = "stylesheet"; localLink.type = "text/css"; localLink.href = "/assets/all.5.7.2.css"; document.head.appendChild(localLink); delete localLink; } </script>  <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/application-f72928dfd0277767fddac61c84536304fd5b8b1a9a4ffc80b0e7454c6cc3532a.css" /> <link rel="stylesheet" media="print" href="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/print-48f6b2a80288d92ba59c4fe33082a8b1d6f2e4269b1b3326557f444416db4343.css" />  <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://fonts.googleapis.com/css?family=Source+Sans+Pro:200,300,400,400i,500,600,700" /> <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://fonts.googleapis.com/css?family=Source+Serif+Pro:200,400,600" />  <link id="theme" media="screen" rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="//ajax.googleapis.com/ajax/libs/jqueryui/1.11.1/themes/smoothness/jquery-ui.css"/> <meta id='jqueryui' class='ui-state-error'> <script type="text/javascript"> var tag = document.querySelector('meta#jqueryui') var tagStyle = window.getComputedStyle(tag).getPropertyValue('background-color') if (!tagStyle || tagStyle == 'auto' ){ var message = "jquery-ui.css failed to load, falling back to local copy" localLink = document.createElement('link'); localLink.id = "theme"; localLink.media = "screen"; localLink.rel = "stylesheet"; localLink.type = "text/css"; localLink.href = "/assets/jquery-ui.css"; document.head.appendChild(localLink); delete localLink; } </script> <script type="text/javascript" src="//ajax.googleapis.com/ajax/libs/jquery/1.11.1/jquery.min.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> try{if (!(jQuery)){ throw new Error("") }} catch(e){ var message = 'jquery.min failed to load, falling back to local copy' console.log(message); document.write("<script src=\"/assets/jquery.min.1.11.1.js\"><\/script>"); } </script> <script type="text/javascript" src="//ajax.googleapis.com/ajax/libs/jqueryui/1.11.1/jquery-ui.min.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> try{if (!($.ui)){ throw new Error("") }} catch(e){ var message = 'jquery-ui.min failed to load, falling back to local copy' console.log(message); document.write("<script src=\"/assets/jquery-ui.min.1.11.1.js\"><\/script>"); } </script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/jquery.devbridge-autocomplete/1.4.1/jquery.autocomplete.min.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> try{if (!($('*').devbridgeAutocomplete)){ throw new Error("") }} catch(e){ var message = 'jquery.autocomplete.min failed to load, falling back to local copy' console.log(message); document.write("<script src=\"/assets/jquery.autocomplete.min.1.4.1.js\"><\/script>"); } </script>       <script type="text/javascript" src="//netdna.bootstrapcdn.com/twitter-bootstrap/2.3.2/js/bootstrap.min.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> try{if (!(typeof($.fn.modal) !== 'undefined')){ throw new Error("") }} catch(e){ var message = 'bootstrap.min failed to load, falling back to local copy' console.log(message); document.write("<script src=\"/assets/bootstrap.min.2.3.2.js\"><\/script>"); } </script>  <script src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/application-1f5b16cd6e0807b95ad6c981215ade8d0c6c94aa28ff4fd95f29f180d198aeb8.js"></script>  <meta name="csrf-param" content="authenticity_token" /> <meta name="csrf-token" content="BMbPjv-T-9xJhzLqSVNURPtCm_AY2N7htBk8NXvwGwvI5N1x9aWMiejMBByunoRr4UXRmKu6eWo-ggRZ9TSa_g" />  <link rel="shortcut icon" type="image/x-icon" href="https://www.dropbox.com/s/beerdz3a8j6b9ac/essfavicon.ico?dl=1" /> <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0">   <script async src="https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtag/js?id=G-W1GVDSYB94"></script> <script> window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; function gtag(){dataLayer.push(arguments);} gtag('js', new Date()); gtag('config', 'G-W1GVDSYB94'); </script>  <script type="text/javascript">window.$crisp=[];window.CRISP_WEBSITE_ID="d38f777e-0276-4c52-8a15-b5855ac4903c";(function(){d=document;s=d.createElement("script");s.src="https://client.crisp.chat/l.js";s.async=1;d.getElementsByTagName("head")[0].appendChild(s);})(); </script>  <script> window.ga=window.ga||function(){(ga.q=ga.q||[]).push(arguments)};ga.l=+new Date; var host = window.location.host; var domain = 'auto'; switch(host) { case "www.authorea.com" : case "authorea.com": ga('create', 'UA-37313163-2', domain); break; case "prereview.org": ga('create', 'UA-107005711-1', domain); break; default: // unknown domain, assume it's the main one as a fallback ga('create', 'UA-37313163-2', domain); } ga('send', 'pageview'); </script> <script src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/google_analytics_events-1a24a491691431cf90985587f97249fda8f1dba81bb8732ff3733d9378482e71.js" async="async"></script> <script async src='//www.google-analytics.com/analytics.js'></script>  <script src="//assets.adobedtm.com/59640f9fa510/415b62dc7a85/launch-3f676abb764b.min.js" async="async"></script><script>window.addEventListener('load', function () { const title = document.title || '' window.digital_dataLayer = { Pageload: { country: '', hierarchy1: '', hierarchy2: '', hierarchy3: '', hierarchy4: '', loginStatus: "not loggedin", pageError: '', pageName: `authorea:${title}`, pageTitle: title, pageURL: window.location.href || '', searchResults: '', searchTerm: '', siteLanguage: "en", siteName: 'authorea', siteSection: '' } } if (window._satellite) { window._satellite.track('pageLoad') window._satellite.pageBottom() } })</script>  <script> !function(f,b,e,v,n,t,s){if(f.fbq)return;n=f.fbq=function(){n.callMethod? n.callMethod.apply(n,arguments):n.queue.push(arguments)};if(!f._fbq)f._fbq=n; n.push=n;n.loaded=!0;n.version='2.0';n.queue=[];t=b.createElement(e);t.async=!0; t.src=v;s=b.getElementsByTagName(e)[0];s.parentNode.insertBefore(t,s)}(window, document,'script','https://connect.facebook.net/en_US/fbevents.js'); fbq('init', "1067575940294079"); fbq('track', "PageView");</script> <noscript><img height="1" width="1" style="display:none" src="https://www.facebook.com/tr?id=1067575940294079&ev=PageView&noscript=1" /></noscript>   <script type='text/javascript'> (function(){var g=function(e,h,f,g){ this.get=function(a){for(var a=a+"=",c=document.cookie.split(";"),b=0,e=c.length;b<e;b++){for(var d=c[b];" "==d.charAt(0);)d=d.substring(1,d.length);if(0==d.indexOf(a))return d.substring(a.length,d.length)}return null}; this.set=function(a,c){var b="",b=new Date;b.setTime(b.getTime()+6048E5);b="; expires="+b.toGMTString();document.cookie=a+"="+c+b+"; path=/; "}; this.check=function(){var a=this.get(f);if(a)a=a.split(":");else if(100!=e)"v"==h&&(e=Math.random()>=e/100?0:100),a=[h,e,0],this.set(f,a.join(":"));else return!0;var c=a[1];if(100==c)return!0;switch(a[0]){case "v":return!1;case "r":return c=a[2]%Math.floor(100/c),a[2]++,this.set(f,a.join(":")),!c}return!0}; this.go=function(){if(this.check()){var a=document.createElement("script");a.type="text/javascript";a.src=g;document.body&&document.body.appendChild(a)}}; this.start=function(){var a=this;window.addEventListener?window.addEventListener("load",function(){a.go()},!1):window.attachEvent&&window.attachEvent("onload",function(){a.go()})}}; try{(new g(100,"r","QSI_S_ZN_1YW7OaSUiXq6RH7","https://zn1yw7oasuixq6rh7-wiley.siteintercept.qualtrics.com/WRSiteInterceptEngine/?Q_ZID=ZN_1YW7OaSUiXq6RH7")).start()}catch(i){}})(); </script><div id='ZN_1YW7OaSUiXq6RH7'></div>  <link rel="stylesheet" media="all" href="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/react_article-cfd760d4b8edefc6b84a5c911b7b71aea72c690414f847db0e9d738e3404449a.css" /> <style> </style>  <meta itemprop="name" content="Subseasonal prediction of heat-related mortality in Switzerland"> <meta itemprop="description" content="A document by Maria Pyrina. Click on the document to view its contents."> <meta itemprop="image" content="https://authorea.com//d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/blog/default_image-be9182bca7b6523bb6c72e32e5c12398f36b92d81f6ee7882327b6145744bf1f.jpg"> <script> window.iframelyKey = '2e4f7b1eda34892de7870e1d00e11857' </script>  <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary_large_image"> <meta name="twitter:site" content="@authorea"> <meta name="twitter:title" content="Subseasonal prediction of heat-related mortality in Switzerland"> <meta name="twitter:description" content="A document by Maria Pyrina. Click on the document to view its contents."> <meta name="twitter:image:src" content="https://authorea.com//d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/blog/default_image-be9182bca7b6523bb6c72e32e5c12398f36b92d81f6ee7882327b6145744bf1f.jpg">  <meta property="og:title" content="Subseasonal prediction of heat-related mortality in Switzerland" /> <meta property="og:type" content="article" /> <meta property="og:url" content="https://www.authorea.com/doi/full/10.22541/essoar.173272462.21906776/v1?commit=1afd36cbc9612476ac6b5647c4514daa2a883919" /> <meta property="og:image" content="https://authorea.com//d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/blog/default_image-be9182bca7b6523bb6c72e32e5c12398f36b92d81f6ee7882327b6145744bf1f.jpg" /> <meta property="og:description" content="A document by Maria Pyrina. Click on the document to view its contents." /> <meta property="og:site_name" content="Authorea" /> <meta property="article:modified_time" content="2024-11-28 02:52:27 UTC" /> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/mathquill/0.10.1/mathquill.min.css"/> <meta id='mathquillmin' class='mq-editable-field'> <script type="text/javascript"> var tag = document.querySelector('meta#mathquillmin') var tagStyle = window.getComputedStyle(tag).getPropertyValue('display') if (!tagStyle || tagStyle == 'auto' ){ var message = "mathquill.min.0.10.1.css failed to load, falling back to local copy" localLink = document.createElement('link'); localLink.rel = "stylesheet"; localLink.type = "text/css"; localLink.href = "/assets/mathquill.min.0.10.1.css"; document.head.appendChild(localLink); delete localLink; } </script> <meta property="article:publisher" content="https://www.authorea.com" /> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="//cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/highlight.js/9.18.1/styles/default.min.css"/> <meta id='defaultmin' class='hljs-strong'> <script type="text/javascript"> var tag = document.querySelector('meta#defaultmin') var tagStyle = window.getComputedStyle(tag).getPropertyValue('font-weight') if (!tagStyle || tagStyle == 'auto' ){ var message = "default.min.css failed to load, falling back to local copy" localLink = document.createElement('link'); localLink.rel = "stylesheet"; localLink.type = "text/css"; localLink.href = "/assets/default.min.css"; document.head.appendChild(localLink); delete localLink; } </script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/mathquill/0.10.1/mathquill.min.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> try{if (!(MathQuill)){ throw new Error("") }} catch(e){ var message = 'mathquill.min failed to load, falling back to local copy' console.log(message); document.write("<script src=\"/assets/mathquill.min.0.10.1.js\"><\/script>"); } </script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/xlsx/0.10.8/xlsx.full.min.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> try{if (!(XLSX)){ throw new Error("") }} catch(e){ var message = 'xlsx.full.min failed to load, falling back to local copy' console.log(message); document.write("<script src=\"/assets/xlsx.full.min.0.10.8.js\"><\/script>"); } </script> <script type="text/javascript" src="//cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/highlight.js/9.18.1/highlight.min.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> try{if (!(hljs)){ throw new Error("") }} catch(e){ var message = 'highlight.min failed to load, falling back to local copy' console.log(message); document.write("<script src=\"/assets/highlight.min.9.18.1.js\"><\/script>"); } </script> </head> <body> <div id="navbar" class="navbar__white"> <div class="navbar__left-side" > <a href="/" class="navbar__logo_anchor"> <img class="navbar__logo_secondary" src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/images/institution/20904/whitelabel_logo_image/c7cb3398baf9966b5dd1934d992c30f2.png" /> </a> </div> <div class="navbar__article-links"> <div class="comments-button"></div> </div> <div class="navbar__right-side-content--collapse"> <a href="#" class="navbar__collapse-toggle"> <img src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/icons/hamburger-ea91f5c35622f90ca466db90b6b2cbc676402c3cce254852350b610ad80aac76.svg" /> </a> <div class="navbar-collapse__dropdown hide"> <div class="navbar-collapse__title">AUTHOREA</div> <a class="navbar-collapse__link" href="/signin">Log in</a> <a class="navbar-collapse__link" href="/signup">Sign Up</a> <a class="navbar-collapse__link" href="/preprints">Browse Preprints</a> </div> </div> <div class="navbar__right-side-content">  <a class="navbar__dropdown-toggle signin-link" href="/signin">LOG IN</a> <a class="navbar__dropdown-toggle signup-link" href="/signup">SIGN UP</a>  </div> </div> <script> jQuery(document).ready(function() { $('#help-button').click( function(e){ $.get('/help-modal-content', function(data) { $('#help-modal-content').html(data); }); }); }); </script> <div class='article-react-body'> <div class='article-react-content'> <div style="height: 60px"></div> <div class="container-fluid"> <div class="row-fluid"> <div class="span12 centered-article-container">  <meta name="csrf-param" content="authenticity_token" /> <meta name="csrf-token" content="U4QrMyE4bzKH4j6DjqAyGXBmiQE-6BNYW2z4ZfWGx6mfpjnMKw4YZyapCHVpbeI2amHDaY2KtNPR98AJe0JGXA" /> <div class="article-unit span11 article-padded-container"> <div class="loading-icon-container"> <div class="au-loading-icon"> <svg class="au-loading-icon__svg" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="80px" height="60px" viewBox="5 0 80 60"> <path class="wave" fill="none" stroke="#30a970" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round"> </path> </svg> <p id='au-loading-message'>loading page</p> </div> <script type="text/javascript"> const path = document.querySelector('.wave'); const m = 0.512286623256592433; function buildWave(w, h) { const a = h / 4; const y = h / 2; const pathData = [ 'M', w * 0, y + a / 2, 'c', a * m, 0, -(1 - a) * m, -a, a, -a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, a, a, a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, -a, a, -a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, a, a, a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, -a, a, -a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, a, a, a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, -a, a, -a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, a, a, a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, -a, a, -a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, a, a, a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, -a, a, -a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, a, a, a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, -a, a, -a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, a, a, a, 's', -(1 - a) * m, -a, a, -a ].join(' '); path.setAttribute('d', pathData); } buildWave(90, 60); window.setTimeout(function (){ if(!window._store){ $('.au-loading-icon').fadeOut() $('.au-loading-icon').after('<div class="alert" id="load-fail-message">Article failed to load. Refresh and try again. Also make sure you are using Chrome or Firefox, as other browsers are not yet fully supported.</div>') window.Raven && window.Raven.captureMessage('Article load failure prior to fetching store.', {level: 'info'}) } }, 60000) </script> </div> <div id="richeditor_modal" class="modal fade hide"></div> <div id="jsfigure_modal" class="modal fade hide"></div> <div id="article-data" class="" style="display:none" data-article-permission="{"id":null,"can_view":true,"can_edit":false,"can_suggest_edits":false,"can_comment":true,"can_see_private_comments":false,"article_viewer_id":null,"article_viewer_type":null,"article_id":null,"created_at":null,"updated_at":null,"pinned":false}" data-article-id="1243984" data-institution-id="20904" data-institution-keyword="["Agricultural","Atmospheric Sciences","Biological Sciences","Climatology (Global Change)","Ecology","Education","Environmental Sciences","Geochemistry","Geodesy","Geography","Geology","Geophysics","Health Sciences","Human Society","Hydrology","Indigenous Studies","Informatics","Meteorology","Microbiology","Oceanography","Paleontology","Planetology","Radioastronomy","Soil Sciences","Solar System Physics"]" data-institution-custom-question="{"prompt":"","description":"","question_prompt":""}" data-institution-settings="{"share_with_community":true,"submit_to_journal":true,"submit_for_community_review":true}" data-article-preview-path="/users/861500/articles/1243984-subseasonal-prediction-of-heat-related-mortality-in-switzerland" data-article-edit-mode-path="/users/861500/articles/1243984-subseasonal-prediction-of-heat-related-mortality-in-switzerland?mode=edit" data-authenticity-token="RFgOdzteRmV4WX0CaN1rQYi2KLokT5fPNYmlZn0A6qeIehyIMWgxMNkSS_SPELtukrFi0pctMES_Ep0K88RrUg" data-blank-paragraph-id="__blank__" data-default-format="html" data-dictionary="en_US" data-dont-auto-load-faye="true" data-edit-new-editor-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984-subseasonal-prediction-of-heat-related-mortality-in-switzerland" data-faye-article-private-channel-name="/production-user861500-article1243984/private" data-faye-channel-name="/production-user861500-article1243984" data-faye-server="https://www.authorea.com/faye" data-faye-signature="06009a7c9ec7f64e37b2519c4907b993a79e74a5" data-folder-tab-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/master/folder" data-get-block-diff-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/get_block_diff" data-get-article-collabs-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/article_collabs.json" data-get-commit-history-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/commit_history" data-get-store-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/get_store" data-history-tab-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/_show_article_feed" data-is-admin="false" data-is-collaborator="false" data-is-author="false" data-is-private="false" data-numbered-headings="false" data-figures-label="true" data-show-all-references="false" data-sentry-dsn="https://e17eab83945c4de5b3089931f6ca264d@sentry.authorea.com/3" data-sentry-release="a608a20e875215ecfa518f9f30086af4d511f36b" data-sync-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/sync" data-transer-comments-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/transfer_comments" data-macros-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/master/file/header.tex/_edit" data-reference-sort-key-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/update_reference_sort_key_beta" data-default-citation-style="curriculum-journal" data-collab-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/article_collabs" data-article-affiliations-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984/article_affiliations" data-add-article-keyword-address="/tags/add_article_keyword" data-delete-article-keyword-address="/tags/delete_article_keyword" data-get-article-keywords-address="/tags/get_article_keywords" data-autocomplete-keywords-address="/tags/autocomplete_keywords" data-update-author-affiliation="/users/861500/articles/1243984/author_affiliations" data-add-author-affiliation="/users/861500/articles/1243984/article_collabs/add_author_affiliation" data-viewable-article-institutions="[{"id":20904,"name":"ESS Open Archive "}]" data-view-count="15" data-download-count="1" data-reviews-count="0" data-update-article-address="/users/861500/articles/1243984" data-delete-citation-url="/citations" data-publications="{"partner_collection_name":"ESS Open Archive ","authorea_peer_reviewed":false,"funding_groups":[],"current_doi_publication_status":{"amended_doi_string":"10.22541/essoar.173272462.21906776/v1","approved":true,"authors":["Maria Pyrina","Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera","Dominik B眉eler","Sidharth Sivaraj","Christoph Spirig","Daniela I V Domeisen"],"doi_string":"10.22541/essoar.173272462.21906776/v1","id":234049,"license":"non_exclusive_no_reuse","license_link":null,"license_name":"Non-exclusive, no reuse license","preprint_disclaimer":"This is a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary.","preprint_pdf_url":"https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/documents/publicationstatus/234049/preprint_pdf/d2693ac91247da48dfb4d2e179e1827c.pdf","registered":false,"submission_date":"November 27, 2024","tag_sha":"1afd36cbc9612476ac6b5647c4514daa2a883919","title":"Subseasonal prediction of heat-related mortality in Switzerland","version":1,"time_review":true,"references":[]},"doi_publication_statuses":[{"amended_doi_string":"10.22541/essoar.173272462.21906776/v1","approved":true,"doi_string":"10.22541/essoar.173272462.21906776/v1","id":234049,"registered":false,"submission_date":"November 27, 2024","tag_sha":"1afd36cbc9612476ac6b5647c4514daa2a883919","version":1}],"version_of_record":null}">this is for holding javascript data</div> <div class="span11 article-preview-content-container"><div class="article-preview-content"><div class="social-box-editor-tools-container"><div class="social-box--react"><div class="social-box__download"><div class="dropdown"><a class="social-box__download-preprint-button" tab_index="-1" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" href="https://essopenarchive.org/doi/pdf/10.22541/essoar.173272462.21906776/v1">Download PDF</a><a class="dropdown-toggle" data-toggle="dropdown" href="#"><button class="social-box__download-button"><span class="social-box__download-button-text">DOWNLOAD</span><i class="fas fa-chevron-down"></i></button></a><ul class="dropdown-menu social-box__download-menu"><li><a class="social-box__download-link" rel="nofollow" tab_index="-1" href="/users/861500/articles/1243984/download_zip">Download ZIP</a></li><li><a class="social-box__download-link" rel="nofollow" tab_index="-1" href="/users/861500/articles/1243984/download_latex">Download LaTeX</a></li><li><a class="social-box__download-link" tab_index="-1" href="https://essopenarchive.org/doi/xml/10.22541/essoar.173272462.21906776/v1">Download JATS XML</a></li><li><a class="social-box__download-link" href="https://essopenarchive.org/users/861500/articles/1243984/add_cite">Track citations</a></li><li><a class="social-box__download-link" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" tab_index="-1" target="_blank" href="/signup">Fork (make a copy)</a></li></ul></div></div><div class="view-count" data-placement="bottom" data-toggle="view-tooltip" title="15 Views"><i class="fas fa-eye"></i><span class="view-count__number">15</span></div><div class="download-count" data-placement="bottom" data-toggle="download-tooltip" title="1 Downloads"><i class="fas fa-download"></i><span class="download-count__number">1</span></div></div><div><div><div class="scite-badge" data-doi="10.22541/essoar.173272462.21906776/v1" data-layout="horizontal"></div><script async="" src="https://cdn.scite.ai/badge/scite-badge-latest.min.js" type="application/javascript"></script></div></div></div><div class="au-article-title">Subseasonal prediction of heat-related mortality in Switzerland</div><div class="preview-tags"></div><div class="preview-authors-row"><ul class="preview-avatar-list"><li class="preview-avatar"><img src="data:image/jpg;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAACAAAAAgCAMAAABEpIrGAAAABGdBTUEAALGP C/xhBQAAACBjSFJNAAB6JgAAgIQAAPoAAACA6AAAdTAAAOpgAAA6mAAAF3Cc ulE8AAABUFBMVEX+2hD+2g/+2Q/+2hH+2hX+2hT+2hP+2hL92Qr91gD91QD9 1wD92Qv92AX+2xj+5Vr92Qn91wL+4UH+5mL+4Dj+2xb+4UP+4Dn91AD92Q/+ 4Dr////+63792Af92Qz+87L90QD+4UD+7Y3+3zT++uD+2hb+52j+8ab+4Db+ 8q/+2xf+3zX+4Df++Nb+52f+983+3zP++dr+/ff+8q3+4DX+8J390wD++NP+ 3zL+6XX+8ar+3CP+6nz+/v3+87T+8J/90gD92AP++d7+3zD+6nr+75n+7pP+ 8qz+3i/+3B/+64T+7Yz+3Sb+5FX+9cL+8aj+9L3+8KL90AD+9Lv+2xz+4T7+ 8af+9sb+5FT+6XH+3ir+8qr9zgD+75r+9b/+3iv+75f9zwD+8aT++Nj+87D9 2Aj+2xv+7Ib+4kj92AT91wH+7IX+40r+3B392AkAAABNoLXmAAAAAWJLR0Rv VQhhgQAAAAd0SU1FB+gLFRAXG7UUS/kAAAGaSURBVDgR3cFpWxJRGAbg533P nIE5R5AKYoYn6SQtImYLZHtZpFlZtthie1RmWP7/jwFylfkTvG8cJCIYERFA hvAfHRAAuhf+URNFRgGojWI1diinijFRk09c3ijUeOdzE8lQIYJil5p8cXIy Khk1hw4fKfvK0Wq1XC6mGRRDotbXyGNpxUzVyePhBEemnYFiQNT6BnkyyU65 0+SZMMPmbGvuLOddlAkAUetbPMfzyWx64SLbocNLobRQ5GUXQwGIWn+FV3kt LVznjZu3Qoe3F+vuDu+6HBSAqPVd3ltiYWGZls0ww/v5lQdNPkyjTACIWt/l o1U+DnwywbVQ48hTXzeKAVHru3z2nC/W+dLyVZjj6zcb829dyahgQNT6Lt+9 /8CPdJ+4Fjr8/CVxPjaKEVHrV9hbXCWXQou90GDPrUcxFLtErW+xnSZf2UjL /BZqbKdRpioYU/N988fWz351oz+1uf0r+b291c+p4C9RU0q9yfVdZnZSH++k 3qhgLzWVWDWOoKYSq6nEin10DDqG/UQAEQAigAgOmj+O7i+YkIMqMgAAACV0 RVh0ZGF0ZTpjcmVhdGUAMjAyNC0xMS0yMVQxNjoyMzoyNyswMDowMJHfSiAA AAAldEVYdGRhdGU6bW9kaWZ5ADIwMjQtMTEtMjFUMTY6MjM6MjcrMDA6MDDg gvKcAAAAIHRFWHRzb2Z0d2FyZQBodHRwczovL2ltYWdlbWFnaWNrLm9yZ7zP HZ0AAAAYdEVYdFRodW1iOjpEb2N1bWVudDo6UGFnZXMAMaf/uy8AAAAYdEVY dFRodW1iOjpJbWFnZTo6SGVpZ2h0ADYwMHrevbUAAAAXdEVYdFRodW1iOjpJ bWFnZTo6V2lkdGgANjAw6S/t6AAAABl0RVh0VGh1bWI6Ok1pbWV0eXBlAGlt YWdlL3BuZz+yVk4AAAAXdEVYdFRodW1iOjpNVGltZQAxNzMyMjA2MjA3+SfC 8AAAABN0RVh0VGh1bWI6OlNpemUAMTYxNzBCQmP3lv8AAAA8dEVYdFRodW1i OjpVUkkAZmlsZTovL3RtcC9sZXR0ZXJfYXZhdGFycy8yL01QLzI1NF8yMThf MTYvNjAwLnBuZ4BAzWcAAAAASUVORK5CYII= " /></li><li class="preview-avatar"><img src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/fallbackProfileImageThumb-984ccfbaa458aab0a490041cac4b127671a4eb58e1791de8cd3b68f517f20e84.png" /></li><li class="preview-avatar"><img src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/fallbackProfileImageThumb-984ccfbaa458aab0a490041cac4b127671a4eb58e1791de8cd3b68f517f20e84.png" /></li><li class="preview-avatar"><div class="preview-avatar-extra">+3</div></li></ul><ul class="preview-author-list"><li class="preview-author"><span class="preview-author-name" data-collab-id="1831418">Maria Pyrina<i class="fas fa-envelope preview-author-icon"></i></span><a class="preview-author-orcid" href="https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4890-0732" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><img src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/icons/omniauth/orcid-ca37582cd91a671ed5cec57770e0e96c01b4b79b8b5b75d8598fc1ddac18c974.svg" /></a>, </li><li class="preview-author"><span class="preview-author-name" data-collab-id="1831419">Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera</span>, </li><li class="preview-author"><span class="preview-author-name" data-collab-id="1831420">Dominik B眉eler</span>, </li><li class="preview-author"><span class="preview-author-name" data-collab-id="1831421">Sidharth Sivaraj</span>, </li><li class="preview-author"><span class="preview-author-name" data-collab-id="1831422">Christoph Spirig</span>, </li><li class="preview-author"><span class="preview-author-name" data-collab-id="1831423">Daniela I V Domeisen</span></li></ul></div><div class="author-popover" data-collab-id="1831418"><div class="author-popover-info"><div class="author-popover-name">Maria Pyrina</div><a class="author-popover-orcid" href="https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4890-0732" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank"><img src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/icons/omniauth/orcid-ca37582cd91a671ed5cec57770e0e96c01b4b79b8b5b75d8598fc1ddac18c974.svg" /></a><div class="author-popover-affiliations">Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Center for Climate Systems Modeling (C2SM), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)</div><p>Corresponding Author:<a href="/cdn-cgi/l/email-protection" class="__cf_email__" data-cfemail="0e636f7c676f236b687e4e7967606a61797d6267786b206d6163">[email protected]</a></p><a class="author-popover-profile" href="/users/861500">Author Profile</a></div><div class="author-popover-avatar"><img src="data:image/jpg;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAJYAAACWCAMAAAAL34HQAAAABGdBTUEAALGP C/xhBQAAACBjSFJNAAB6JgAAgIQAAPoAAACA6AAAdTAAAOpgAAA6mAAAF3Cc ulE8AAAChVBMVEX+2hD+2Q/+2g/92Q/92Q3+2hH92Q7+2hL+2hP+2hT+2hb9 2Qz92AP91wD91wH92Aj91wL92Qv91QD91gD92AX+2hX92Qr+++f+/vj+/O3+ /O/+/Ov////+6XL+3SX+/O7+/PH+/vv+3CL92AT+8af+/fL++dv++t/+9sT+ 75r+52b+4T/+2xf92Af//v7++uD91AD+7In+3CH+9sn++uH+52X+/fj+/v3+ /vz+3SP+3B/+9b/+/vr+7pL+8KT+4Dz+/v7+3CD+9cH+4kf+/fT+9Lj+7If9 0wD+4kb///7+7pf+9sj+5l7+6G/+3zH+3zb+3zX+4UL+6XP+87f+6Xb+5FX+ +NP+2Q7++dz+3zP+3ST+/fP+9Lz+8aX+4Dv+/ff+/fX++dn++dj+++b+87X+ +NL+5Vj92Ab+8aj+6Gz+5FL+/Oz+5V3+9sX+4D3+9Lv+/PD90gD+3i3+8KD+ 4Dj+6nj+3CP+7pX90QD+3iv+8KL+7Ib+4Df+7Y/+3B7+7Yv++Nb+5mD+9cL+ 3ir+3Sb+/fb+87b+2xr+///92Qn+3iz+5Vf+4kn+87H+99D+9sr+5Vz+5Vn+ 4UH+2xj+8q3++uT+2xv+5FT+2xn+3zL+6nr+64H+5l3+5mL+52j+40/+7IT+ 3Sj+6nf+6XT+3i/+9sf+4Dr+4kj+87P+75v+98z+87T+4T7+52f+8an+40v+ 8J/+8rH+5Vv+3B3+9Ln++t7++dr+8KH+8KP+8ab+753+3zD+6nv+52r+++X+ +uL+64P92An+98v+5mH+/vn+9Lr+52n+8q7+3zT+9sv+8q/+++n+98/+5FP+ 3i7+6G3+9cP+9cD+4T3+6Gv+9cT+9sYAAAAwO1LIAAAAAWJLR0TW57VqqQAA AAd0SU1FB+gLFRAXIAQfot0AAAtwSURBVHgB7cH5nyVXXcfh7+dUn6663bnp qlO3rgHfAidDiOjc4iYET6GF1L0g4yCCCqIEguCSieCGK4gKRBDjFhEVFQVx AUXc993R0Druiv4/9jo9kMnL1x36x3oeG41Go9FoNBqNRqPRaDQajUaj0Wg0 Go1Gx3Qje2K6kZ1wujnn7NPj7EayJyK7keyY7KaUSXLObpkzbZ3xJnsCsu2t 62TOjsj84+XFZGeSmyRnt0am3dum192eSXYzku1NrysrmcyctD0NN1fPrMkl 2S2Rr+afcceTnnzkM/msMJGzx3Mqpk/hycee+rR454VcZrK8fvpdz7j7Uz3j s5/5OZ97sQ6zSS5nt0J+vmi57lnBm+zxpGZ5Dy2n7i1zOZPl4dk8kfue45eL RrJbIF/NPo+YuiPw3GkhZ48jX12IxNQdgc8vczmTFeELuKN7nBj7xIHnXQgT k21Ovpr1JI5FvnDZSPapnCb180kcG2BV5nImK8KayM20QxeBFyy9l21Mvpr1 JI4lXljvmuxTyYrwRUSODbAqczmTFWFN5Eh7A46lCC+65E22Kflq1pM41rZ8 cT2Rs0/mlM88DBwbYFXmciYrwpoIXKZNN4h9x5HU8eJLhck2JF/NehInIl+y LCT7ZC5rwkuInBhgVeZyJivCmsjNpI5DQ8eXLhvJNiNfzXoSJxLMF17OPonM 6vvoODHAqszlTFaENRFI9C996cu+7MSXf8XL74KOQwnunBZythH5ataTOBV5 RWjk7EZOxfS5MHBigFWZy5msCGsikIihntanwjJ8ZUviMhB55TI32Ubkq1lP gsu0LdBxd/Amu5HULF9ED7QDl2GAVZnLmawIayKQSNVXNZNTTbMdpl9N4kAL r6oLOduEfDXrSRwaaBng/mkhZzeQr26LJC7TcmiAVZnLmawIayKQSIu51xm7 OK1fTeJAz2uWE8k2IV/NehK0pJYDPQ8sG8nOOE3q15JaDnwNLQywKnM5kxVh TQQSaTH3cqek7GJ4GW0LJF5X7nrZJuSrWU+CxOu/lgSJ19W7XnZGrggvJ8LA 1309HQywKnM5kxVhTQQSaTH3sjMyH+6jAwa49/ZCzjYgX816EnR8w4N00La8 oJ7I2Smn/IqHASIPPESEAVZlLmeyIqyJQCIt5l52xmVN+EZ64HLHG+qJnG1A vpr1JEi8cQ4DRJ69LCQ75bImfBMRWrj3m+lggFWZy5msCGsikEiLuZedcZrU 30LXApF7QpM524B8NetJkGD5rURIUF3xcnZCZvWz6KDj2950Nx0MsCpzOZMV YU0EEmkx97IzTsX022lboOc7ljuZsw3IV7OeBAnCd5KAyHeFRs6OORXT74YB It/z5ifRwQCrMpczWRHWRCCRFnMvO+NUTN8CLdDzvcudzNkG5KtZT4IE23VL go5nBTPZMalZvpUeBmjC0+hggFWZy5msCGsikEiLuZedcZrU30dqgcj3L5vM 2Qbkq1lPggF+4NLbiDDAU6aFnB2Rr27rSRB5+/LCC0kwwKrM5UxWhDURSKTF 3MvOuKwJDxI50PGOeiJnG5CvZj0JBnhueAq00PP0ZSPZIadJ/VpSCx3vCFVP ggFWZS5nsiKsiUAiLeZedsapCA8TgRZ+cFrI2Qbkq1lPggHeeXv9DDpIvGu6 62WH5IrwQ0RIdOWFChIMsCpzOZMVYU0EEmkx93InJGU703fDACR+eP6Il21C vpr1JGhbfuRC/aNEaBM/Vk/kzMwpv+JhgMiPh91tSDDAqszlTFaENRFIpMXc Z6dk/uKF5SvpOBD5iVCYbBPy1awnQZt41bTahgSRR0MhmZnLmvCTRGjhLdNH GkgwwKrM5UxWhDURSKQtu9ic2Jn4vVC/hsShxHvCRM42IV/NehK0iZ+q3xt+ mggJqiu5nJnM6rvpoONnQn7hZ2GAAVZlLmeyIqyJQKJfLsMN5u/pSBzqeGq9 bbKNyFezngR0vK/+ufrnaVuI/EJoMmdOxfROGCDy/vDe2++EAQZYlbmcyYqw JgKJ7hdf8kunPvC81wMdh9rEB+uJnG1Evpr1JKDjOaHZmr6aBB33BTOZ1Cx/ mR4S7F5pph+CAQZYlbmcyYqwJnIzXeJIz0OXCjlnG5GvZj0JiPxKaJrwq0QY 4J3TQk6+uq0nQeTRZVFMf42hhQFWZS5nsiKsiUBLG8/0fZc4kiK/vtw22Ybk q1lPAiL3hCYv3w0D9Dy0bCRN6g+TWtqWj9STon4ZqYUBVmUuZ7IirIk8kRTh N5aVl21Kvpr1JKDnN5c7WR4+SoTEu6a7XirCbxEh8cJ61yb1x0gtDLAqczmT FWFN5CbaoesT8NuXtnPZxuSrWU8Cen5nuZM14SN00CZ+t55k+RWDASK/t2yy Sf0COmCAVZnLmawIayLQ0vY3iN3AoWeWofCyzclXs54E9Pz+ssn8I3uQIPJo KLIm/AERBvjD24usqT9IBwywKnM5kxVhTeSmnvzwG6bLvSaT3QL5ataTgMgf LSfSJLyYCAl2r+RW/zEdRP4keMua8CARGGBV5nImK8KaCAzwp3/25yce+Iu3 vuQvd6bLumq8nN0K+WrWk4DIw8uJVEw/BC1E/iq8d3onDNDx16FR1oR3EIEB VmUuZ7IirIlA4o5Ll5bXhXo6255MvCS7JfLVrCcBkUdDIZnqv6GDjr8NTfg7 ekhw4apXthM+QA8MsCpzOZMVYU0EEmnLLu6caiZFbjrg7NbIV7OeBET+PhRS 1oR/IMIAH6qvPEaCyMeXEynbCfv0wACrMpczWRHWRCCRFnOfXadDzm6ZfDXr SUDk0VBIymcFDNDzj2/+GKmlhX+qC7lsJ+zTAwOsylzOZEVYE4FEWsy93Bn7 tMhXs54ERK6FQpIrwseJkOjf9M9E6PiXWiaX7YR9emCAVZnLmawIayKQSIu5 l50X+WrWk4DItVBITpP6w6SWFt53Fwkib1s2mXPZTtinBwZYlbmcyYqwJgKJ tJh72XmRr2Y9CYhcC4Vk8rtlT4KWlgMD+Au5nMt2wj49MMCqzOVMVoQ1EUik xdzLzot8NetJQORaKCSTmvB+IgdauEzkX0NhMpfthH16YIBVmcuZrAhrIpBI i7mXnRf5ataTgMi1UEjmVExXMHCZtoU28W/1RM5cthP26YEBVmUuZ7IirIlA Ii3mXnZe5KtZTwIi10Ihmcl8/XY6jiXumFZeZi7bCfv0wACrMpczWRHWRCCR FnMvOy/y1awnAZFroZDMXNaEN9BxLPLQspHMXLYT9umBAVZlLmeyIqyJQCIt 5l52XuSrWU8CItdCIZk5+b1dSBwa4P5pIWfmsp2wTw8MsCpzOZMVYU0EEmkx 97LzIl/NehIQuRYKycykSXiAyKGOu4M3mZnLdsI+PTDAqszlTFaENRFIpMXc y86LfDXrSUDkWigkM3Oa1P9O23Ig8orQZM7MXLYT9umBAVZlLmeyIqyJQCIt 5l52XuSrWU8CItdCIdkB2fb0qSQgwd7Cy5mZy3bCPj0wwKrM5UxWhDURSKTF 3MvOi3w1e4yY0tDz7FBIdsBlTfgPHkspPcZ/LieSHXDZTtjnsTalDlZlLmey IvwX/ZBSR1zMvey8yFdXOg4lPhoKyQ445bdd5Nh/1xM5O+CynfAJOo7cW+Zy JivC/5A4sjf3svMiX817jl0LhckOyfLwvxx6Y71lskMua8InGDhy/225zGR5 /TDHUjX3svMiU5XtVoe2tndNzg45WXVhu6qqrfnc5OyIbGtruzqi3cxk5mS7 21vVod2sksnOjUyP7F09tDc3OTsh29q7evXqXmWyU7KtvauH9q5mJjvgZNXe 1UN7j8hk58iZPyU7I/NHZGdk/oTJjsmfMtm50nXOzjidsDNO19kJp+tsNBqN RqPRaDQajUaj0Wg0Go1Go9FoNBr9P/4POydGYZfGYfAAAAAldEVYdGRhdGU6 Y3JlYXRlADIwMjQtMTEtMjFUMTY6MjM6MjcrMDA6MDCR30ogAAAAJXRFWHRk YXRlOm1vZGlmeQAyMDI0LTExLTIxVDE2OjIzOjI3KzAwOjAw4ILynAAAACB0 RVh0c29mdHdhcmUAaHR0cHM6Ly9pbWFnZW1hZ2ljay5vcme8zx2dAAAAGHRF WHRUaHVtYjo6RG9jdW1lbnQ6OlBhZ2VzADGn/7svAAAAGHRFWHRUaHVtYjo6 SW1hZ2U6OkhlaWdodAA2MDB63r21AAAAF3RFWHRUaHVtYjo6SW1hZ2U6Oldp ZHRoADYwMOkv7egAAAAZdEVYdFRodW1iOjpNaW1ldHlwZQBpbWFnZS9wbmc/ slZOAAAAF3RFWHRUaHVtYjo6TVRpbWUAMTczMjIwNjIwN/knwvAAAAATdEVY dFRodW1iOjpTaXplADE2MTcwQkJj95b/AAAAPHRFWHRUaHVtYjo6VVJJAGZp bGU6Ly90bXAvbGV0dGVyX2F2YXRhcnMvMi9NUC8yNTRfMjE4XzE2LzYwMC5w bmeAQM1nAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC " /></div><div class="author-popover-arrow" data-popper-arrow=""></div></div><div class="author-popover" data-collab-id="1831419"><div class="author-popover-info"><div class="author-popover-name">Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera</div><div class="author-popover-affiliations">Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern</div></div><div class="author-popover-arrow" data-popper-arrow=""></div></div><div class="author-popover" data-collab-id="1831420"><div class="author-popover-info"><div class="author-popover-name">Dominik B眉eler</div><div class="author-popover-affiliations">Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Center for Climate Systems Modeling (C2SM)</div></div><div class="author-popover-arrow" data-popper-arrow=""></div></div><div class="author-popover" data-collab-id="1831421"><div class="author-popover-info"><div class="author-popover-name">Sidharth Sivaraj</div><div class="author-popover-affiliations">Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern</div></div><div class="author-popover-arrow" data-popper-arrow=""></div></div><div class="author-popover" data-collab-id="1831422"><div class="author-popover-info"><div class="author-popover-name">Christoph Spirig</div><div class="author-popover-affiliations">Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss</div></div><div class="author-popover-arrow" data-popper-arrow=""></div></div><div class="author-popover" data-collab-id="1831423"><div class="author-popover-info"><div class="author-popover-name">Daniela I V Domeisen</div><div class="author-popover-affiliations">Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Institute of Earth Surface Dynamics, University of Lausanne</div></div><div class="author-popover-arrow" data-popper-arrow=""></div></div><script data-cfasync="false" src="/cdn-cgi/scripts/5c5dd728/cloudflare-static/email-decode.min.js"></script><script>document.addEventListener('DOMContentLoaded', function () { let popperInstance = null; const authors = document.querySelectorAll('.preview-author-name') const popperOptions = { placement: 'bottom', modifiers: [{ name: 'flip', enabled: false, }, { name: 'offset', options: { offset: [0, 12] } }] } function showPopover (author, popover) { popover.setAttribute('data-show', '') popperInstance = Popper.createPopper(author, popover, popperOptions) } function hidePopover () { if (!popperInstance) return const el = document.querySelector('.author-popover[data-show]') if (!el) return el.removeAttribute('data-show') popperInstance.destroy() popperInstance = null } authors.forEach(author => { const id = author.getAttribute('data-collab-id') const popover = document.querySelector(`.author-popover[data-collab-id="${id}"]`) author.addEventListener('click', () => { if (popperInstance) { hidePopover() } showPopover(author, popover) }) }) document.addEventListener('click', (e) => { if (!popperInstance) return const container = document.querySelector('.preview-author-list') if (container.contains(e.target)) return hidePopover() }) })</script><div class="review-timeline"><div class="dashboard-container"><div class="publication-status-footer"><h4 class="header">Preprint timeline</h4></div><div class="events-container"><div class="version-container"><div class="entry"><span class="bar"></span><span class="indicator"></span><span class="time-box"><span>23 Nov 2024</span></span><span class="message">Submitted to <b><i>ESS Open Archive </i></b> <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" href="/inst/20904"><i class="fas fa-external-link-alt"></i></a></span></div><div class="entry"><span class="bar"></span><span class="indicator"></span><span class="time-box"><span>27 Nov 2024</span></span><span class="message">Published in <b><i>ESS Open Archive </i></b></span></div></div></div></div></div><div class="preview-publication-status"></div></div></div> <div id="article-content"> </div> </div>  <div style="clear: both"></div>  <div id='article-sidebar-portal'></div> <script> initialServerStore = {"article":{"titleBlock":{"block_content":null,"type":"htmlBlock","html":"Subseasonal prediction of heat-related mortality in Switzerland","render_report":null,"raw":"Subseasonal prediction of heat-related mortality in Switzerland","name":"title","format":"html","url":"/users/861500/articles/1243984/master/file/title.html","folder_url":"/users/861500/articles/1243984/master/folder/.","path":"title.html","old_path":null,"collapsed":false,"sha":"2a0e93e44c8dc25fd0ed862bd6e595da3315a582","captionBlock":null,"has_data":false,"has_ipython_notebook":false,"config":null},"id":1243984,"sha":"1afd36cbc9612476ac6b5647c4514daa2a883919","blocks":[],"oldBlocks":[],"oldLayout":null,"online":true,"layout":"data/CROSS_health_AGUTeX_November_subm/CROSS_health_AGUTeX_November_subm.pdf\n","references":[],"referenceSorting":{"key":"default","ascending":true},"citationHash":{},"commits":null,"version":0},"commitToView":"1afd36cbc9612476ac6b5647c4514daa2a883919","commentToView":null,"onboarding":false} initialFlashMessagesForReact = [] </script> <script src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/assets/editable_article_manifest_react-ddeeb8194703aca81267c69ccb1330a3afea795f89456883e9fb9d4f9047c520.js" defer="defer"></script> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="//cdnjs.cloudflare.com/ajax/libs/KaTeX/0.11.1/katex.min.css"/> <meta id='katexmin' class='katex'> <script type="text/javascript"> var tag = document.querySelector('meta#katexmin') var tagStyle = window.getComputedStyle(tag).getPropertyValue('font-family') if (!tagStyle || tagStyle == 'auto' ){ var message = "katex.min.0.11.1.css failed to load, falling back to local copy" localLink = document.createElement('link'); localLink.rel = "stylesheet"; localLink.type = "text/css"; localLink.href = "/assets/katex.min.0.11.1.css"; document.head.appendChild(localLink); delete localLink; } </script>  <div id="squire-cleaner" style="width: 0px; height: 0px; display: none;"></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <footer class="marketing-footer"> <div class="container"> <div class="row"> <div class="span12"> <div class="footer-logo"> <div class="paid-institution-footer"> <strong>ESS Open Archive </strong> <p>| Powered by <strong><a href="https://www.authorea.com/"> Authorea.com </a></strong></p> </div> <div class= "inst-footer"> <a target="blank" href="https://www.agu.org/"><img alt="instution-link" class="footer-image" src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/images/footerimage/17/image/1444bc1906abd91c131276b1777bc07e.png" /></a> <a target="blank" href="https://www.agronomy.org/"><img alt="instution-link" class="footer-image" src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/images/footerimage/18/image/cb7906734564497de0a3f31437041a3a.png" /></a> <a target="blank" href="https://www.aslo.org/"><img alt="instution-link" class="footer-image" src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/images/footerimage/19/image/2ba7b49d4e9ebfb8d6a63594e4a197bc.png" /></a> <a target="blank" href="https://www.crops.org/"><img alt="instution-link" class="footer-image" src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/images/footerimage/20/image/5f09f3ba01ee824640618b4fab647408.png" /></a> <a target="blank" href="https://www.esa.org/"><img alt="instution-link" class="footer-image" src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/images/footerimage/21/image/0a84fb71c769d225d2f482e5694749f9.png" /></a> <a target="blank" href="https://www.soils.org/"><img alt="instution-link" class="footer-image" src="https://d197for5662m48.cloudfront.net/images/footerimage/24/image/07d8633dd99ed1c0623537c2f2bd3c3f.png" /></a> </div> </div> <ul class="links"> <li><a href="/"><strong>Home</strong></a></li> <li><a href="/about">About Us</a></li> <li><a href="/advisory-board">Advisory Board</a></li> <li><a href="/editorial-board">Editorial Board</a></li> <li><a href="/submission-guide">Submission Guide</a></li> <li><a href="/faqs">FAQs</a></li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </footer> </div> <div class="modal fade" id="shareFlashModal" tabindex="-1" role="dialog" aria-labelledby="shareFlashModalLabel" aria-hidden="true"> <div class="modal-dialog" role="document"> <div class="modal-content"> <div class="modal-header"> <button type="button" class="close" data-dismiss="modal" aria-label="Close"> <span aria-hidden="true">×</span> </button> <h4 class="modal-title" id="myModalLabel"></h4> </div> <div class="modal-body"> <div id="flash_messages"> </div> <div class="shareFlash__options-wrapper"> <button type="button" class="shareFlash__cancel" data-dismiss="modal" onClick="window.location.reload();">OK</button> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </body> </html>