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每小時空氣品質和污染預報: 預測 PM2.5 和臭氧 AQI
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M82.685,394.192C124.898,202.331,292.242,63.014,493.501,59.63v32.614 c-84.062,1.542-163.729,29.007-230.839,79.675c-33.24,25.096-62.21,55.108-86.104,89.201 c-23.322,33.276-41.249,69.689-53.362,108.287C106.859,372.564,92.6,381.587,82.685,394.192z M197.599,320.005 c-7.194,2.97-13.979,6.94-20.096,11.85c-12.291,9.865-21.541,23.136-26.566,37.938c-3.812-0.853-7.691-1.361-11.606-1.545 c50.364-151.874,193.863-257.788,354.17-261v34.122C370.235,144.021,257.606,211.886,197.599,320.005z" /> <path d="M274.419,377.211v-0.849c0-4.142-3.357-7.5-7.5-7.5s-7.5,3.358-7.5,7.5v0.849c0,4.142,3.357,7.5,7.5,7.5 S274.419,381.353,274.419,377.211z" /> <path d="M238.442,355.574c-4.142,0-7.5,3.358-7.5,7.5v0.849c0,4.142,3.358,7.5,7.5,7.5s7.5-3.358,7.5-7.5v-0.849 C245.942,358.932,242.584,355.574,238.442,355.574z" /> </svg> <p class='bigletter'>空氣品質預測 - 也稱為「大氣擴散模式」(<a href='https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atmospheric_dispersion_modeling'>維基百科</a>)是模擬空氣污染物(例如 PM <sub>2.5</sub>或臭氧)如何在周圍大氣中擴散的技術。</p> <p>模擬結果給出了每種空氣污染物的環境濃度,從中可以計算出空氣品質指數。</p> <p>有數十種分散模型,世界各地的許多大學和機構正在針對不同地區(例如歐洲、美國大陸、亞洲...)運行其中一種或多種模型。以下是一些用於為「世界空氣品質指數」項目提供空氣品質預測的模型的非詳盡且精選的清單。</p> <style type='text/css'>section {margin-top:20px;margin-bottom: 80px;}@media only screen and (max-width: 800px) { border-top: 1px solid #ccc;}@media only screen and (min-width: 800px) { section {padding-left: 20px;border-left: 3px solid #f8f8f8;}}</style><h2><p>大氣模型</p></h2><section><p>您可以點擊任意預測圖來查看即時預測動畫,以及模型效率分析。</p> </section><style> p.bigletter:first-letter { float: left; font-size: 3em; margin-right: .06em; line-height: 90%; } .boundary { fill: none; stroke: #444; } .map { border: 1px solid #a5967e; display: inline-block; width: 500px; max-width: 100%; overflow: hidden; margin: 5px; cursor: pointer; } .map small { color: black; } .map .border { padding: 5px; border: 3px solid white; } .map:hover .border { border: 3px solid black; } </style> <script src='/jscripts/d3/d3.min.js?_=20190418.093123&type=script'></script><script 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xy1[0]) .attr("height", xy1[1] - xy2[1]); } worldtopo.then(function(world) { svg.append("g") .attr("class", "boundary") .selectAll("boundary") .data([topojson.feature(world, world.objects.countries)]) .enter().append("path") .attr("d", path); }); fetchJSON(jsconfurl).then(function(conf) { var basetime = new Date(conf.basetime); utimediv.html(basetime); var days = Math.floor((Date.now() - basetime.getTime()) / (1000 * 24 * 3600)); if (days > 7) { utimediv.html("outdated by " + days + " days; last received on " + conf.basetime); } }).catch(function(e) {}); } </script> <a href='/forecast/model/sprintars-asia/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-sprintars-asia'>SPRINTARS Asia<br><small>Spectral Radiation-Transport Model for Aerosol Species</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[60,60],[0,180]];var id = '#container-sprintars-asia';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/sprintars/asia/best/pm25/8.png/000.8.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/sprintars/asia/best/pm25/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/sprintars-east-asia/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-sprintars-east-asia'>SPRINTARS East Asia<br><small>Spectral Radiation-Transport Model for Aerosol Species</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[45,100],[20,150]];var id = '#container-sprintars-east-asia';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/sprintars/east-asia/best/pm25/8.png/000.8.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/sprintars/east-asia/best/pm25/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/mpim-china/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-mpim-china'>MPIM China<br><small>Max Planck Institut fur Meteorologie</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[17.851486206054688,94.82161712646484],[44.89060974121094,125.14904022216797]];var id = '#container-mpim-china';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/mpim/china/best/pm25/8.png/000.8.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/mpim/china/best/pm25/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/silam-asia/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-silam-asia'>SILAM Asia<br><small>System for Integrated modeLling of Atmospheric coMposition</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[-89.5,-179.75],[89.5,179.75]];var id = '#container-silam-asia';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/silam/china/best/pm25/8.png/preview.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/silam/china/best/pm25/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/cams-europe/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-cams-europe'>CAMS Europe<br><small>Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service NRT</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[69.94999694824219,335.04998779296875],[30.04999542236328,44.949981689453125]];var id = '#container-cams-europe';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/cams/ensemble/best/pm25/8.png/000.8.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/cams/ensemble/best/pm25/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/emep-europe/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-emep-europe'>EMEP Europe<br><small>European Monitoring and Evaluation Program</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[69.94999694824219,335.04998779296875],[30.04999542236328,44.949981689453125]];var id = '#container-emep-europe';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/cams/emep/best/pm25/8.png/000.8.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/cams/emep/best/pm25/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/cams-world/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-cams-world'>CAMS World<br><small>Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service NRT</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[90,0],[-90,359.6000061035156]];var id = '#container-cams-world';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/cams-nrt/best/pm25/8.png/preview.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/cams-nrt/best/pm25/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/silam-world/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-silam-world'>SILAM World<br><small>System for Integrated modeLling of Atmospheric coMposition</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[-89.5,-179.75],[89.5,179.75]];var id = '#container-silam-world';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/silam/glob/best/pm25/8.png/preview.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/silam/glob/best/pm25/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/silam-europe/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-silam-europe'>SILAM Europe<br><small>System for Integrated modeLling of Atmospheric coMposition</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[69.94999694824219,335.04998779296875],[30.04999542236328,44.949981689453125]];var id = '#container-silam-europe';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/silam/europe/best/pm25/8.png/preview.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/silam/europe/best/pm25/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/ngac-world/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-ngac-world'>NGAC<br><small>NOAA NEMS GFS Aerosol Component</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[90,0],[-90,359]];var id = '#container-ngac-world';maplet(id,'','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/ngac/world-hourly/best/pm10/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/gfs/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-gfs'>GFS<br><small>Global Forecast System</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[90,0],[-90,359]];var id = '#container-gfs';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/gfs/world2/best/total-ozone/8.png/preview.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/gfs/world2/best/total-ozone/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/ncep-aqm/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-ncep-aqm'>NCEP EMP AQM<br><small>Air Quality Model (AQM) Product</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[59.00677518585798,-148.459],[12.19,-49.62791768215686]];var id = '#container-ncep-aqm';maplet(id,'https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/ncep-aqm/best/pm25/8.png/preview.png','https://forecast.waqi.info/forecast/aqi/ncep-aqm/best/pm25/conf.json',bounds);</script><a href='/forecast/model/bsc-dream8b/hk/'><div class='map' ><div class='border' id='container-bsc-dream8b'>BSC DREAM8b<br><small>Barcelona Supercomputing Center DREAM8b</small><br></div></div></a><script>var bounds = [[-11,-63],[71.99996185302734,103.33344268798828]];var id = 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src='https://aqicn.org/air-cache/forecast/scripts/dist/forecast-analysis.js?_=20250104.034605' type='text/javascript'></script> <link rel='stylesheet' href='https://aqicn.org/images-static//isprites/map-flags/2015-10-05/ispritflags.css' /> <p>提供 600 多個城市的詳細空氣品質預報:</p> <div id='city-forecast-search'></div> <script> forecastAnalyser.renderSearch("#city-forecast-search", function(city) { var url = "/forecast/" + city.id.toLowerCase() + "/"; document.location.href = url; }); </script> <p>或只選擇其中任何一個城市:</p> <a href='/forecast/beijing/hk/'>北京</a>, <a href='/forecast/shanghai/hk/'>上海</a>, <a href='/forecast/chengdu/hk/'>成都</a>, <a href='/forecast/shenyang/hk/'>沉陽</a>, <a href='/forecast/shenzhen/hk/'>深圳</a>, <a href='/forecast/guangzhou/hk/'>廣州</a>, <a href='/forecast/qingdao/hk/'>青島</a>, <a href='/forecast/xian/hk/'>西安</a>, <a href='/forecast/tianjin/hk/'>天津</a>, <a href='/forecast/saitama/hk/'>埼玉</a>, <a href='/forecast/kyoto/hk/'>京都</a>, <a href='/forecast/osaka/hk/'>大阪市</a>, <a href='/forecast/seoul/hk/'>首爾特別市</a>, <a href='/forecast/busan/hk/'>釜山廣域市</a>, <a href='/forecast/bogota/hk/'>Bogota</a>, <a href='/forecast/delhi/hk/'>Delhi</a>, <a href='/forecast/jakarta/hk/'>Jakarta</a>, <a href='/forecast/ulaanbaatar/hk/'>Ulaanbaatar</a>, <a href='/forecast/hanoi/hk/'>Hanoi</a>, <a href='/forecast/chennai/hk/'>Chennai</a>, <a href='/forecast/kolkata/hk/'>Kolkata</a>, <a href='/forecast/mumbai/hk/'>Mumbai</a>, <a href='/forecast/hyderabad/hk/'>Hyderabad</a>, <a href='/forecast/santiago/hk/'>Santiago</a>, <a href='/forecast/lima/hk/'>Lima</a>, <a href='/forecast/saopaulo/hk/'>Saopaulo</a>, <a href='/forecast/quito/hk/'>Quito</a>, <a href='/forecast/singapore/hk/'>Singapore</a>, <a href='/forecast/kuala-lumpur/hk/'>Kuala-lumpur</a>, <a href='/forecast/ipoh/hk/'>怡保</a>, <a href='/forecast/perai/hk/'>Perai</a>, <a href='/forecast/miri/hk/'>美裡</a>, <a href='/forecast/newyork/hk/'>紐約</a>, <a href='/forecast/seattle/hk/'>Seattle</a>, <a href='/forecast/chicago/hk/'>Chicago</a>, <a href='/forecast/boston/hk/'>波士頓</a>, <a href='/forecast/atlanta/hk/'>Atlanta</a>. <br> <br> </div></div></div> <div class='h1section h1section-divider'><div class='h1section-rainbow'><div></div><div></div><div></div><div></div><div></div></div><h1><div id='h1header4' style='padding:2px;padding:5px 0;font-family:"Noto Serif",Cambria,"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua","URW Palladio L",serif;;;'>免責聲明</div></h1></div><script type='text/javascript'> ; if (!isMobileUA) { fitLine('#h1header4',.88,{maxfs:45}); }; </script><div class='whitebody' style='font-family:"Noto Serif",Cambria,"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua","URW Palladio L",serif;'><div class='section-outer'><div class='section-content' > <p>此預測模型及其所基於的所有 AQFS 都是旨在提供與空氣品質預測相關資訊的研究產品。已採取一切合理措施確保其品質和準確性。然而:</p> <ul style='color:#888'> <li>我們對資訊的準確性、正確性、完整性不作任何明示或暗示的保證,也不承擔任何法律責任或責任。</li> <li>對於因本網站所包含的任何資訊或因本網站內容而採取的任何行動可能直接或間接造成的任何損害或損失,我們不承擔任何法律責任或責任;</li> <li>我們可能會更改、刪除、新增或以其他方式修改本網站所包含的信息,恕不另行通知</li> </ul> <p>有關空氣品質預測(或大氣擴散模型)基本概念的更多信息,請查看有關<a href='/faq/2015-11-05/a-visual-study-of-wind-impact-on-pm25-concentration/hk/'>風對 PM <sub>2.5</sub>濃度影響的可視化研究的</a>文章。</p> </div></div></div><div class='h1section h1section-divider'><div class='h1section-rainbow'><div></div><div></div><div></div><div></div><div></div></div><h1><div id='h1header5' style='padding:2px;padding:5px 0;font-family:"Noto Serif",Cambria,"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua","URW Palladio L",serif;;;'>空氣品質預報模型來源</div></h1></div><script type='text/javascript'> ; if (!isMobileUA) { fitLine('#h1header5',.88,{maxfs:45}); }; </script><div class='whitebody' style='font-family:"Noto Serif",Cambria,"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua","URW Palladio L",serif;'><div class='section-outer'><div class='section-content' ><p>上述預測基於複合元模型,使用多個空氣品質預報系統 (AQFS) 進行計算:</p> <ul> <li> The <a href='http://sprintars.riam.kyushu-u.ac.jp/indexe.html'> <i>Spectral Radiation-Transport Model for Aerosol Species</i></a> (Sprintars) model from Kyushu University. <li> The <a href='http://m.zq12369.com/forecast.php'><i>China National Air Quality forecast</i></a> by Zhejiang Experts in Experimental Sciences (PM2.5科学实验专家小组). <li> The <a href='http://www.airkorea.or.kr/dustForecast'><i>Air Korea Air Quality forecast</i></a>, by the Korean Integrated Air Quality forecast center(대기질 통합예보센터)</a>. <li> The <a href='http://copernicus-atmosphere.eu'>Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service</a> (CAMS) near-realtime surface ensemble forecast , by the ECMWF. <li> The <a href='http://silam.fmi.fi/'> System for Integrated modeLling of Atmospheric coMposition</a> (SILAM) by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). <li> The <a href='http://www.mpimet.mpg.de/en/mpimet-homepage/'>Max Planck Institut fur Meteorologie</a> (MPIM) model. <li> The <a href='http://airquality.weather.gov/'> Ozone Air Quality Model</a> (AQM) by the NOAA/NCEP. <li> The <a href='https://weather.gc.ca/aqfm/index_e.html'> <i>Regional Air Quality Deterministic Prediction System </i></a> (RAQDPS) model from the Government of Canada. <li> The <a href='http://www.irceline.be/en/air-quality/forecasts'>irCELine</a> (<i>Belgian Interregional Environment Agency</i>) for the Belgian Regions. <li> The <a href='http://www.lcsqa.org/surveillance/indices/cartographie'>LCSQA</a> <i> (Laboratoire Central de Surveillance de la Qualité de l’Air)</i> for France. <Li> The <a href='http://www.lml.rivm.nl/verwachting/animatie.html'>RIVM</a> <i> (Rijksinstituut voor Volksgezondheid en Milieu)</i> for the Netherlands. <li> The <a href='http://silam.fmi.fi/aqforecast.html?parameter=PM25®ion=Northern%20Europe&height=0'>SILAM</a> <i> (System for Integrated modeLling of Atmospheric coMposition)</i> for Northen Europe. <li> The <a href='http://db.eurad.uni-koeln.de/index_e.html?/prognose/cger_e.html'>EURAD</a> <i> (EURopean Air Pollution Dispersion)</i> for Central Europe. </ul> <p>上圖基於 PM <sub>2.5</sub>地表水平建模,顏色遵循<a href='/faq/2013-09-09/revised-pm25-aqi-breakpoints/hk/'>US EPA AQI 標準</a>。</p></div></div></div><a name="infoaqi"></a><div class='h1section h1section-divider'><div class='h1section-rainbow'><div></div><div></div><div></div><div></div><div></div></div><h1><div id='h1header6' style='padding:2px;font-family:"Noto Serif",Cambria,"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua","URW Palladio L",serif;;'>關於空氣質量與空氣污染指數</div></h1></div><script type='text/javascript'> ; if (!isMobileUA) { fitLine('#h1header6',.88,{maxfs:45}); }; </script><div class='whitebody' style='font-family:"Noto Serif",Cambria,"Palatino Linotype","Book Antiqua","URW Palladio L",serif;'><div class='section-outer'><div class='section-content' > <center>本網站採用的污染指數和顏色與EPA是完全相同的。 EPA的指數可以從<a href='http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E7%A9%BA%E6%B0%94%E8%B4%A8%E9%87%8F%E6%8C %87%E6%95%B0>維基百科</a>和<a href='http://www.airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=aqibasics.aqi'> AirNow</a>上查到<br> <br> <style type="text/css"> #legend-full table.infoaqitable { line-height: 1.5; background-color: white; max-width: 1000px; width: 95%; margin: 0px; border: 1px solid black; cursor: pointer; } #legend-full table.infoaqitable td { padding: 5px; font-size: 15px; text-shadow: none; } #legend-full .aqiwtxt { color: #ffffff; } #legend-full .aqibtxt { color: #000000; } @media only screen and (max-width: 800px) { #legend-full table.infoaqitable { width: 98%; } } @media only screen and (max-width: 800px) { #legend-full table.infoaqitable td { display: block; } #legend-full table.infoaqitable td:nth-child(1) { display: inline-block; font-size: 1.2em; } #legend-full table.infoaqitable td:nth-child(2) { display: inline-block; font-weight: 800; font-size: 1.2em; } } </style> <div id='legend-full' onclick='window.location="/scale/"'> <table class="infoaqitable"> <tbody><tr> <td style="text-align:center;">空气质量指数</td> <td style="text-align:center;">空气质量指数级别(状况)及表示颜色</td> <td>对健康影响情况</td> <td>建议采取的措施</td> </tr> <tr style="background-color:#009966;color:white"><td nowrap="true">0 - 50</td> <td style="text-align:center;">一级(优)</td> <td>空气质量令人满意,基本无空气污染</td> <td>各类人群可正常活动</td> </tr> <tr style="background-color:#ffde33"><td nowrap="true">51 -100</td> <td style="text-align:center;">二级(良)</td> <td>空气质量可接受,但某些污染物可能对极少数异常敏感人群健康有较弱影响</td> <td>极少数异常敏感人群应减少户外活动</td> </tr> <tr style="background-color:#ff9933;color:white"><td nowrap="true">101-150</td> <td style="text-align:center;">三级(轻度污染)</td> <td>易感人群症状有轻度加剧,健康人群出现刺激症状</td> <td>儿童、老年人及心脏病、呼吸系统疾病患者应减少长时间、高强度的户外锻炼</td> </tr> <tr style="background-color:#cc0033;color:white"><td nowrap="true">151-200</td> <td style="text-align:center;color:white">四级(中度污染)</td> <td>进一步加剧易感人群症状,可能对健康人群心脏、呼吸系统有影响</td> <td>儿童、老年人及心脏病、呼吸系统疾病患者避免长时间、高强度的户外锻炼,一般人群适量减少户外运动</td> </tr> <tr style="background-color:#660099;color:white"><td nowrap="true">201-300</td> <td style="text-align:center;color:white">五级(重度污染)</td> <td>心脏病和肺病患者症状显著加剧,运动耐受力降低,健康人群普遍出现症状</td> <td>儿童、老年人及心脏病、肺病患者应停留在室内,停止户外运动,一般人群减少户外运动</td> </tr> <tr style="background-color:#7e0023;color:white"><td nowrap="true">300+</td> <td style="text-align:center;color:white">六级(严重污染)</td> <td>健康人群运动耐受力降低,有明显强烈症状,提前出现某些疾病</td> <td>儿童、老年人和病人应停留在室内,避免体力消耗,一般人群避免户外活动</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> (参考详见<a href='http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E7%A9%BA%E6%B0%94%E8%B4%A8%E9%87%8F%E6%8C%87%E6%95%B0'> http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/空气质量指数</a>) <br> </div><br>如果你想了解更多有關空氣質量與污染,詳見<a href='http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_quality'>維基百科</a>或者<a href='http://www.airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=aqibasics.aqi' > AirNow</a><br><br>有關健康建議詳見北京的Richard Saint Cyr MD醫生的博客:<a href='http://www.myhealthbeijing.com/'>www.myhealthbeijing.com</a><br><br></center></div></div></div> <center> <br> <!-- responsive ad --> <ins class="adsbygoogle" style="display:block" data-ad-client="ca-pub-0281575029452656" data-ad-slot="2455076269" data-ad-format="auto"></ins> <script>(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || 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