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Texas voter turnout is huge this year. But here's who doesn't vote. | The Texas Tribune

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var showSearch = tribune_bundle.show_search; var showMobileDropdown = tribune_bundle.toggle_mobile_dropdown; </script> </header> </div> <div class="container_outer tablet_hide"> <span class="greeting_placeholder"></span> <div class="site_ad--header"> <div class="adunit tablet mobile standard" id="ad_roofline"></div> </div> </div> <script> // Call self api to see if someone is logged in for top site greeting var greeting_self_api_call = function() { // Display the welcome, account register, and logout options if api call succeeds // Display register, login if not a user or not logged in $.get('/api/self/').done(function(data) { if (data) { $('.greeting_placeholder').replaceWith('<div class="menu_account"><a href="/accounts/edit/">My Account</a> | <a href="/accounts/logout/" title="">Logout</a></div>'); } }).always(function() { // fallback to register/login links if ($('.greeting_placeholder').is(':empty')) { $('.greeting_placeholder').replaceWith('<div class="menu_account"><a href="/accounts/register/" title="Register for your free Texas Tribune account">Register</a> | <a href="/accounts/login/?next=/2016/11/03/texas-voter-turnout-huge-year-heres-who-doesnt-vot/">Login</a></div>'); } }); }; greeting_self_api_call(); </script> <article class="container_outer story"> <header> <div class="columns_7 columns_shift--1 wrapper_padding spacing_bottom--m"> <h1 itemprop="headline" class="headline spacing_bottom--s">Texas voter turnout is huge this year. But here&#39;s who doesn&#39;t vote.</h1> <div class="hr mobile_show"></div> <p class="story_summary spacing_bottom--m">With everyone crowing about the rush of early voters in Texas this election, it's worth noting that we're still a state with low overall voter turnout. We run the numbers. <button class="button_social--icon facebook mobile_hide" type="button" ga-on="click" ga-event-category="Share" ga-event-action="facebook-intent" ga-event-label="Hum - ShortDesc"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.texastribune.org/2016/11/03/texas-voter-turnout-huge-year-heres-who-doesnt-vot/%3Futm_campaign%3Dtrib-social-buttons%26utm_source%3Dfacebook%26utm_medium%3Dsocial&amp;text=With everyone crowing about the rush of early voters in Texas this election, it's worth noting that we're still a state with low overall voter turnout. We run the numbers." target="_blank" aria-label="Share on Facebook"><i class="fa fa-facebook" aria-hidden="true" title="Share on Facebook"></i></a></button> <button class="button_social--icon twitter mobile_hide" type="button" aria-label="Share on Twitter" ga-on="click" ga-event-category="Share" ga-event-action="twitter-intent" ga-event-label="Hum - ShortDesc"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.texastribune.org/2016/11/03/texas-voter-turnout-huge-year-heres-who-doesnt-vot/%3Futm_campaign%3Dtrib-social-buttons%26utm_source%3Dtwitter%26utm_medium%3Dsocial&amp;text=Texas voter turnout is huge this year. But here's who doesn't vote." target="_blank"><i class="fa fa-twitter" aria-hidden="true" title="Share on Twitter"></i></a></button> </p> <p class="story_byline smallhead--light"><span class="story_byline--wrapper">by <a href="/web/20161104162447/https://www.texastribune.org/about/staff/jolie-mccullough/">Jolie McCullough</a> and <a href="/web/20161104162447/https://www.texastribune.org/about/staff/alexa-ura/">Alexa Ura</a></span><span class="time--wrapper"> <time datetime="Thu, 3 Nov 2016 00:01:00 -0500" title="2016-11-03 00:01"> Nov. 3, 2016 </time> <time>12:01 AM</time> </span> </p> </div> <div class="row spacing_bottom--m"> <figure class="story_leadart columns_7 columns_shift--1"> <img src="//web.archive.org/web/20161104162447im_/https://static.texastribune.org/media/images/2016/10/27/KarnesCity_BDC8837_jpg_474x1000_q100.jpg" alt="The popular &quot;I Voted&quot; stickers at a south Texas early voting location on October 26, 2016." class="mobile_show"> <img src="//web.archive.org/web/20161104162447im_/https://static.texastribune.org/media/images/2016/10/27/KarnesCity_BDC8837_jpg_800x1000_q100.jpg" alt="The popular &quot;I Voted&quot; stickers at a south Texas early voting location on October 26, 2016." class="mobile_hide"> <figcaption class="story_leadart--caption"> <p> The popular &quot;I Voted&quot; stickers at a south Texas early voting location on October 26, 2016. <i class="fa fa-camera"></i> <cite> Bob Daemmrich </cite> </p> </figcaption> </figure> <div class="align_left tablet_hide columns_3"> <div class="site_ad--wrapper"> <div class="adunit" id="default_300x250_1"></div> </div> </div> </div> </header> <div class="row"> <main class="columns_7 columns_shift--1 story_body wrapper_padding spacing_bottom--m" role="main"> <p dir="ltr"><span>With two days of early voting left before Election Day, 2016 is shaping up as a record-breaking year for Texas&rsquo; electoral participation.</span></p> <p dir="ltr"><span>In some areas of the state, the number of votes cast early has outpaced&nbsp;</span><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://apps.texastribune.org/texas-early-voting-tracker/"><span>in-person early voting during previous presidential elections</span></a><span>. Exciting? Sure. But this year&rsquo;s high voting tallies do little to change Texas&rsquo; history as a state with some of the lowest voter turnout rates in the country.</span></p> <p dir="ltr"><span>For every 10 adults, more than four &mdash; but fewer than five &mdash; have voted in each of the past 10 presidential elections. Election watchers cite all sorts of reasons: voter suppression, voter apathy, voter ID requirements.</span></p> <p dir="ltr"><span>To break down that low voter turnout, here&rsquo;s a look at the Texans who don&rsquo;t vote based on previous presidential elections:</span></p> <div class="site_ad--wrapper instory"> <p class="site_ad--label">The Texas Tribune thanks its sponsors. <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://mediakit.texastribune.org/" ga-on="click" ga-event-category="Sponsorship" ga-event-action="sponsorship-intent" ga-event-label="Hum">Become one</a>.</p> <div class="site_ad--instory"> <div class="adunit tablet mobile standard" id="premium_468x60_1"></div> </div> </div> <div id="pym-race"></div> <p dir="ltr"><span>Low turnout is not necessarily a minority thing.</span></p> <p dir="ltr"><span>A larger share of adult black Texans voted in the 2012 presidential election than any other racial or ethnic group. Hispanics and Asians have far lower turnout rates even when their participation rates &mdash; like most of the state &mdash; are higher during presidential elections than midterm elections when Texans select their governor.</span></p> <p dir="ltr"><span>Despite the high turnout rate among black Texans, whites and Hispanics cast more ballots because their population numbers are much bigger. Still, millions of white and Hispanic adults did not vote.</span></p> <div id="pym-age"></div> <p dir="ltr"><span>Age is not just a number.</span></p> <p dir="ltr"><span>Broken down by age group, a smaller share of younger Texans cast ballots in the 2012 presidential election, while the 65 and up crowd had the highest turnout rate. Broken down by counties <span>with 10,000 or more adults</span>, those where the median age was higher saw a higher percentage of adults vote in 2012.</span></p> <p dir="ltr"><span>Note: Older Texans, particularly those older than 65, are predominantly white. Meanwhile, </span><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://www.texastribune.org/2016/06/23/texas-children-make-most-diverse-generation/"><span>young Texans are much more diverse</span></a><span>.</span></p> <div class="site_ad--wrapper instory"> <p class="site_ad--label">The Texas Tribune thanks its sponsors. <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://mediakit.texastribune.org/" ga-on="click" ga-event-category="Sponsorship" ga-event-action="sponsorship-intent" ga-event-label="Hum">Become one</a>.</p> <div class="site_ad--instory"> <div class="adunit tablet mobile standard" id="premium_468x60_2"></div> </div> </div> <div id="pym-graphic"></div> <p dir="ltr"><span>Voting patterns are less clear when it comes to socioeconomic characteristics.</span></p> <p dir="ltr"><span>Despite having the highest share of residents older than 25 with college degrees, Collin County&rsquo;s turnout rate wasn't anywhere near the highest turnout rates among counties with an adult population of 10,000 or more. And counties with the smallest shares of college-educated adults did not have the lowest turnout rates.</span></p> <p dir="ltr"><span>Turnout rates in counties with 10,000 or more adults did slightly increase in counties where the median household income was higher.</span></p> <div id="pym-income"></div> <p dir="ltr"><span>Lastly, registered voters don&rsquo;t equal actual voters.</span></p> <p dir="ltr"><span>Texas announced in October that a </span><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://www.texastribune.org/2016/10/19/over-151-million-texans-registered-vote-november-e/">record 15.1 million adults had registered</a><span> to vote in the Nov. 8 election, but it&rsquo;s unlikely that all of of them will cast a ballot. More than 5 million registered voters did not participate in the 2012 and 2008 elections.</span></p> <p dir="ltr">At the close of early voting on Tuesday, more than 3 million voters had cast ballots in Texas&rsquo; 15 counties with the most registered voters.</p> <div id="pym-registered"></div> <style>#pym-graphic,#pym-income,#pym-race,#pym-age,#pym-registered{margin-bottom:1em;}</style> <script src="//web.archive.org/web/20161104162447js_/https://s3.amazonaws.com/graphics.texastribune.org/graphics/turnout-demos-2016/scripts/pym/pym.min.js"></script> <script> var url = '//web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://s3.amazonaws.com/graphics.texastribune.org/graphics/turnout-demos-2016/index.html'; var pymParent = new pym.Parent('pym-graphic', url, {}); var url2 = '//web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://s3.amazonaws.com/graphics.texastribune.org/graphics/turnout-income-16/index.html'; var pymParent2 = new pym.Parent('pym-income', url2, {}); var url3 = '//web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://s3.amazonaws.com/graphics.texastribune.org/graphics/turnout-demo-bars-16/index.html'; var pymParent3 = new pym.Parent('pym-race', url3, {}); var url4 = '//web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://s3.amazonaws.com/graphics.texastribune.org/graphics/turnout-demo-bars-16/age.html'; var pymParent3 = new pym.Parent('pym-age', url4, {}); var url5 = '//web.archive.org/web/20161104162447/https://s3.amazonaws.com/graphics.texastribune.org/graphics/turnout-demo-bars-16/registered.html'; var pymParent3 = new pym.Parent('pym-registered', url5, {}); </script> </main> <aside class="columns_4 story_extra tablet_hide" role="complementary"> <div id="sticky_siderail"> <div class="sticky_section"> <div id="right_share" class="social_share--container mobile_hide"> <div class="social_share--wrapper"> <button class="button facebook" aria-label="Share on Facebook" ga-on="click" ga-event-category="Share" ga-event-action="facebook-intent" ga-event-label="Hum - 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