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class="firstHeading mw-first-heading"><span class="mw-page-title-main">Moving-average model</span></h1> <div id="p-lang-btn" class="vector-dropdown mw-portlet mw-portlet-lang" > <input type="checkbox" id="p-lang-btn-checkbox" role="button" aria-haspopup="true" data-event-name="ui.dropdown-p-lang-btn" class="vector-dropdown-checkbox mw-interlanguage-selector" aria-label="Go to an article in another language. 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href="https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modelo_de_medias_m%C3%B3viles" title="Modelo de medias móviles – Spanish" lang="es" hreflang="es" data-title="Modelo de medias móviles" data-language-autonym="Español" data-language-local-name="Spanish" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Español</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-eu mw-list-item"><a href="https://eu.wikipedia.org/wiki/MA(q)_eredu" title="MA(q) eredu – Basque" lang="eu" hreflang="eu" data-title="MA(q) eredu" data-language-autonym="Euskara" data-language-local-name="Basque" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Euskara</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fa mw-list-item"><a href="https://fa.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D9%85%D8%AF%D9%84_%D9%85%DB%8C%D8%A7%D9%86%DA%AF%DB%8C%D9%86_%D9%85%D8%AA%D8%AD%D8%B1%DA%A9" title="مدل میانگین متحرک – Persian" lang="fa" hreflang="fa" data-title="مدل میانگین متحرک" data-language-autonym="فارسی" data-language-local-name="Persian" 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<div class="vector-body-before-content"> <div class="mw-indicators"> </div> <div id="siteSub" class="noprint">From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia</div> </div> <div id="contentSub"><div id="mw-content-subtitle"></div></div> <div id="mw-content-text" class="mw-body-content"><div class="mw-content-ltr mw-parser-output" lang="en" dir="ltr"><div class="shortdescription nomobile noexcerpt noprint searchaux" style="display:none">Time series model</div> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1236090951">.mw-parser-output .hatnote{font-style:italic}.mw-parser-output div.hatnote{padding-left:1.6em;margin-bottom:0.5em}.mw-parser-output .hatnote i{font-style:normal}.mw-parser-output .hatnote+link+.hatnote{margin-top:-0.5em}@media print{body.ns-0 .mw-parser-output .hatnote{display:none!important}}</style><div role="note" class="hatnote navigation-not-searchable">Not to be confused with <a href="/wiki/Moving_average" title="Moving average">Moving average</a>.</div> <p>In <a href="/wiki/Time_series_analysis" class="mw-redirect" title="Time series analysis">time series analysis</a>, the <b>moving-average model</b> (<b>MA model</b>), also known as <b>moving-average process</b>, is a common approach for modeling <a href="/wiki/Univariate" title="Univariate">univariate</a> time series.<sup id="cite_ref-:0_1-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:0-1"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> The moving-average model specifies that the output variable is <a href="/wiki/Cross-correlation" title="Cross-correlation">cross-correlated</a> with a non-identical to itself random-variable. </p><p>Together with the <a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_model" title="Autoregressive model">autoregressive (AR) model</a>, the moving-average model is a special case and key component of the more general <a href="/wiki/Autoregressive%E2%80%93moving-average_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Autoregressive–moving-average model">ARMA</a> and <a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_integrated_moving_average" title="Autoregressive integrated moving average">ARIMA</a> models of <a href="/wiki/Time_series" title="Time series">time series</a>,<sup id="cite_ref-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-3"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>3<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> which have a more complicated stochastic structure. Contrary to the AR model, the finite MA model is always <a href="/wiki/Stationary_process" title="Stationary process">stationary</a>. </p><p>The moving-average model should not be confused with the <a href="/wiki/Moving_average" title="Moving average">moving average</a>, a distinct concept despite some similarities.<sup id="cite_ref-:0_1-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:0-1"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <meta property="mw:PageProp/toc" /> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Definition">Definition</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Moving-average_model&action=edit&section=1" title="Edit section: Definition"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>The notation MA(<i>q</i>) refers to the moving average model of order <i>q</i>: </p> <dl><dd><span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t}=\mu +\varepsilon _{t}+\theta _{1}\varepsilon _{t-1}+\cdots +\theta _{q}\varepsilon _{t-q}=\mu +\sum _{i=1}^{q}\theta _{i}\varepsilon _{t-i}+\varepsilon _{t},}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mi>μ</mi> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>θ</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <mo>⋯</mo> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>θ</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>q</mi> </mrow> </msub> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mi>q</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mi>μ</mi> <mo>+</mo> <munderover> <mo>∑</mo> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>i</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>q</mi> </mrow> </munderover> <msub> <mi>θ</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mi>i</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>,</mo> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t}=\mu +\varepsilon _{t}+\theta _{1}\varepsilon _{t-1}+\cdots +\theta _{q}\varepsilon _{t-q}=\mu +\sum _{i=1}^{q}\theta _{i}\varepsilon _{t-i}+\varepsilon _{t},}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/e66f77db73db6073043236e139bd508b23a2b95f" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -3.005ex; width:57.547ex; height:7.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t}=\mu +\varepsilon _{t}+\theta _{1}\varepsilon _{t-1}+\cdots +\theta _{q}\varepsilon _{t-q}=\mu +\sum _{i=1}^{q}\theta _{i}\varepsilon _{t-i}+\varepsilon _{t},}"></span></dd></dl> <p>where <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \mu }"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>μ</mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \mu }</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/9fd47b2a39f7a7856952afec1f1db72c67af6161" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:1.402ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \mu }"></span> is the mean of the series, the <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \theta _{1},...,\theta _{q}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>θ</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <mo>.</mo> <mo>.</mo> <mo>.</mo> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>θ</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>q</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \theta _{1},...,\theta _{q}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/856294dd0558ce87f4f515a175f7b1e6e45af43a" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -1.005ex; width:9.393ex; height:2.843ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \theta _{1},...,\theta _{q}}"></span> are the coefficients of the model<sup class="noprint Inline-Template" style="white-space:nowrap;">[<i><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:AUDIENCE" class="mw-redirect" title="Wikipedia:AUDIENCE"><span title="An editor has requested that an example be provided. (December 2018)">example needed</span></a></i>]</sup> and <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t},\varepsilon _{t-1},...,\varepsilon _{t-q}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mo>,</mo> <mo>.</mo> <mo>.</mo> <mo>.</mo> <mo>,</mo> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mi>q</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t},\varepsilon _{t-1},...,\varepsilon _{t-q}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/ecbc87cb7e98a08c57565bfcc99fe55cfc390018" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -1.005ex; width:16.067ex; height:2.343ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t},\varepsilon _{t-1},...,\varepsilon _{t-q}}"></span> are the error terms. The value of <i>q</i> is called the order of the MA model. This can be equivalently written in terms of the <a href="/wiki/Backshift_operator" class="mw-redirect" title="Backshift operator">backshift operator</a> <i>B</i> as<sup id="cite_ref-4" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-4"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <dl><dd><span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t}=\mu +(1+\theta _{1}B+\cdots +\theta _{q}B^{q})\varepsilon _{t}.}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mi>μ</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>θ</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> <mi>B</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mo>⋯</mo> <mo>+</mo> <msub> <mi>θ</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>q</mi> </mrow> </msub> <msup> <mi>B</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>q</mi> </mrow> </msup> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>.</mo> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t}=\mu +(1+\theta _{1}B+\cdots +\theta _{q}B^{q})\varepsilon _{t}.}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/4bec125ea1d3c6b97ddedbdb122ba2dd2322692d" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -1.005ex; width:35.603ex; height:3.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t}=\mu +(1+\theta _{1}B+\cdots +\theta _{q}B^{q})\varepsilon _{t}.}"></span></dd></dl> <p>Thus, a moving-average model is conceptually a <a href="/wiki/Linear_regression" title="Linear regression">linear regression</a> of the current value of the series against current and previous (observed) white noise error terms or random shocks. The random shocks at each point are assumed to be mutually independent and to come from the same distribution, typically a <a href="/wiki/Normal_distribution" title="Normal distribution">normal distribution</a>, with location at zero and constant scale. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Interpretation">Interpretation</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Moving-average_model&action=edit&section=2" title="Edit section: Interpretation"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>The moving-average model is essentially a <a href="/wiki/Finite_impulse_response" title="Finite impulse response">finite impulse response</a> filter applied to white noise, with some additional interpretation placed on it.<sup class="noprint Inline-Template" style="margin-left:0.1em; white-space:nowrap;">[<i><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Please_clarify" title="Wikipedia:Please clarify"><span title="What is the additional interpretation? (February 2023)">clarification needed</span></a></i>]</sup> The role of the random shocks in the MA model differs from their role in the <a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_model" title="Autoregressive model">autoregressive (AR) model</a> in two ways. First, they are propagated to future values of the time series directly: for example, <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t-1}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t-1}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/3a37a7842d23884524f98639ae682f2d1003b062" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:4.01ex; height:2.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t-1}}"></span> appears directly on the right side of the equation for <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/82120d04dfb3cbadc4912951dd12b5568c9cd8f3" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:2.75ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"></span>. In contrast, in an AR model <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t-1}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t-1}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/3a37a7842d23884524f98639ae682f2d1003b062" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:4.01ex; height:2.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t-1}}"></span> does not appear on the right side of the <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/82120d04dfb3cbadc4912951dd12b5568c9cd8f3" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:2.75ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"></span> equation, but it does appear on the right side of the <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t-1}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t-1}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/7cdeab0b9b98bc0b52250537bc0234d7d3de6b60" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:4.851ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t-1}}"></span> equation, and <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t-1}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t-1}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/7cdeab0b9b98bc0b52250537bc0234d7d3de6b60" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:4.851ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t-1}}"></span> appears on the right side of the <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/82120d04dfb3cbadc4912951dd12b5568c9cd8f3" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:2.75ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"></span> equation, giving only an indirect effect of <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t-1}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>−</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t-1}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/3a37a7842d23884524f98639ae682f2d1003b062" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:4.01ex; height:2.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t-1}}"></span> on <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/82120d04dfb3cbadc4912951dd12b5568c9cd8f3" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:2.75ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"></span>. Second, in the MA model a shock affects <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>X</mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/68baa052181f707c662844a465bfeeb135e82bab" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.98ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X}"></span> values only for the current period and <i>q</i> periods into the future; in contrast, in the AR model a shock affects <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>X</mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/68baa052181f707c662844a465bfeeb135e82bab" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.98ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X}"></span> values infinitely far into the future, because <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>ε</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/7c1ff8b8945e6a4fccf6071f806b9ef232492b9a" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:1.909ex; height:2.009ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \varepsilon _{t}}"></span> affects <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/82120d04dfb3cbadc4912951dd12b5568c9cd8f3" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:2.75ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"></span>, which affects <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t+1}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t+1}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/63ecf3ab47ed3df32aa436f3eab93d8236716553" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:4.851ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t+1}}"></span>, which affects <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t+2}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mn>2</mn> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t+2}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/ee01bd72a6b752f6c599e68cc39cce052934b511" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:4.851ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t+2}}"></span>, and so on forever (see <a href="/wiki/Vector_autoregression#Impulse_response" title="Vector autoregression">Impulse response</a>). </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Fitting_the_model">Fitting the model</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Moving-average_model&action=edit&section=3" title="Edit section: Fitting the model"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Fitting a moving-average model is generally more complicated than fitting an <a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_model" title="Autoregressive model">autoregressive model</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-:1_5-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:1-5"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> This is because the lagged error terms are not observable. This means that iterative <a href="/wiki/Curve_fitting" title="Curve fitting">non-linear fitting</a> procedures need to be used in place of linear least squares. Moving average models are linear combinations of past white noise terms, while autoregressive models are linear combinations of past time series values.<sup id="cite_ref-6" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-6"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> ARMA models are more complicated than pure AR and MA models, as they combine both autoregressive and moving average components.<sup id="cite_ref-:1_5-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:1-5"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>The <a href="/wiki/Autocorrelation_function" class="mw-redirect" title="Autocorrelation function">autocorrelation function</a> (ACF) of an MA(<i>q</i>) process is zero at lag <i>q</i> + 1 and greater. Therefore, we determine the appropriate maximum lag for the estimation by examining the sample autocorrelation function to see where it becomes insignificantly different from zero for all lags beyond a certain lag, which is designated as the maximum lag <i>q</i>. </p><p>Sometimes the ACF and <a href="/wiki/Partial_autocorrelation_function" title="Partial autocorrelation function">partial autocorrelation function</a> (PACF) will suggest that an MA model would be a better model choice and sometimes both AR and MA terms should be used in the same model (see <a href="/wiki/Box%E2%80%93Jenkins_method#Identify_p_and_q" title="Box–Jenkins method">Box–Jenkins method</a>). </p><p>Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models are an alternative to segmented regression that can also be used for fitting a moving-average model.<sup id="cite_ref-7" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-7"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>7<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="See_also">See also</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Moving-average_model&action=edit&section=4" title="Edit section: See also"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive%E2%80%93moving-average_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Autoregressive–moving-average model">Autoregressive–moving-average model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_integrated_moving_average" title="Autoregressive integrated moving average">Autoregressive integrated moving average</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_model" title="Autoregressive model">Autoregressive model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Finite_impulse_response" title="Finite impulse response">Finite impulse response</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Infinite_impulse_response" title="Infinite impulse response">Infinite impulse response</a></li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="References">References</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Moving-average_model&action=edit&section=5" title="Edit section: References"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <div class="mw-references-wrap"><ol class="references"> <li id="cite_note-:0-1"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-:0_1-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-:0_1-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1238218222">.mw-parser-output cite.citation{font-style:inherit;word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation q{quotes:"\"""\"""'""'"}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-free.id-lock-free a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/65/Lock-green.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited.id-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration.id-lock-registration a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription.id-lock-subscription a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg")right 0.1em center/12px no-repeat}body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-free a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background-size:contain;padding:0 1em 0 0}.mw-parser-output .cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:none;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{display:none;color:#085;margin-left:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right{padding-right:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .citation .mw-selflink{font-weight:inherit}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}</style><cite id="CITEREFShumway,_Robert_H.Stoffer2017" class="citation book cs1">Shumway, Robert H.; <a href="/wiki/David_S._Stoffer" title="David S. Stoffer">Stoffer, David S.</a> (19 April 2017). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://worldcat.org/oclc/966563984"><i>Time series analysis and its applications : with R examples</i></a>. Springer. <a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/978-3-319-52451-1" title="Special:BookSources/978-3-319-52451-1"><bdi>978-3-319-52451-1</bdi></a>. <a href="/wiki/OCLC_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="OCLC (identifier)">OCLC</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://search.worldcat.org/oclc/966563984">966563984</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Time+series+analysis+and+its+applications+%3A+with+R+examples&rft.pub=Springer&rft.date=2017-04-19&rft_id=info%3Aoclcnum%2F966563984&rft.isbn=978-3-319-52451-1&rft.au=Shumway%2C+Robert+H.&rft.au=Stoffer%2C+David+S.&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fworldcat.org%2Foclc%2F966563984&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AMoving-average+model" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-2"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-2">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://online.stat.psu.edu/stat510/lesson/2/2.1">"2.1 Moving Average Models (MA models) | STAT 510"</a>. <i>PennState: Statistics Online Courses</i><span class="reference-accessdate">. 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Stoffer">Stoffer, David S.</a> (2019-05-17), <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.1201/9780429273285-5">"ARIMA Models"</a>, <i>Time Series: A Data Analysis Approach Using R</i>, Boca Raton : CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group, 2019.: Chapman and Hall/CRC, pp. 99–128, <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1201%2F9780429273285-5">10.1201/9780429273285-5</a>, <a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/978-0-429-27328-5" title="Special:BookSources/978-0-429-27328-5"><bdi>978-0-429-27328-5</bdi></a><span class="reference-accessdate">, retrieved <span class="nowrap">2023-02-27</span></span></cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Time+Series%3A+A+Data+Analysis+Approach+Using+R&rft.atitle=ARIMA+Models&rft.pages=99-128&rft.date=2019-05-17&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1201%2F9780429273285-5&rft.isbn=978-0-429-27328-5&rft.aulast=Shumway&rft.aufirst=Robert+H.&rft.au=Stoffer%2C+David+S.&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fdx.doi.org%2F10.1201%2F9780429273285-5&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AMoving-average+model" class="Z3988"></span><span class="cs1-maint citation-comment"><code class="cs1-code">{{<a href="/wiki/Template:Citation" title="Template:Citation">citation</a>}}</code>: CS1 maint: location (<a href="/wiki/Category:CS1_maint:_location" title="Category:CS1 maint: location">link</a>)</span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-4"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-4">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFBoxJenkinsReinselLjung2016" class="citation book cs1">Box, George E. 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Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons, Incorporated. p. 53. <a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/978-1-118-67492-5" title="Special:BookSources/978-1-118-67492-5"><bdi>978-1-118-67492-5</bdi></a>. <a href="/wiki/OCLC_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="OCLC (identifier)">OCLC</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://search.worldcat.org/oclc/908107438">908107438</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Time+series+analysis+%3A+forecasting+and+control&rft.place=Hoboken%2C+New+Jersey&rft.pages=53&rft.edition=5th&rft.pub=John+Wiley+%26+Sons%2C+Incorporated&rft.date=2016&rft_id=info%3Aoclcnum%2F908107438&rft.isbn=978-1-118-67492-5&rft.aulast=Box&rft.aufirst=George+E.+P.&rft.au=Jenkins%2C+Gwilym+M.&rft.au=Reinsel%2C+Gregory+C.&rft.au=Ljung%2C+Greta+M.&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.worldcat.org%2Foclc%2F908107438&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AMoving-average+model" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-:1-5"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-:1_5-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-:1_5-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.quantstart.com/articles/Autoregressive-Moving-Average-ARMA-p-q-Models-for-Time-Series-Analysis-Part-1/">"Autoregressive Moving Average ARMA(p, q) Models for Time Series Analysis - Part 1 | QuantStart"</a>. <i>www.quantstart.com</i><span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">2023-02-27</span></span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=unknown&rft.jtitle=www.quantstart.com&rft.atitle=Autoregressive+Moving+Average+ARMA%28p%2C+q%29+Models+for+Time+Series+Analysis+-+Part+1+%7C+QuantStart&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.quantstart.com%2Farticles%2FAutoregressive-Moving-Average-ARMA-p-q-Models-for-Time-Series-Analysis-Part-1%2F&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AMoving-average+model" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-6"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-6">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.quantstart.com/articles/Autoregressive-Moving-Average-ARMA-p-q-Models-for-Time-Series-Analysis-Part-2/">"Autoregressive Moving Average ARMA(p, q) Models for Time Series Analysis - Part 2 | QuantStart"</a>. <i>www.quantstart.com</i><span class="reference-accessdate">. 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"Stationary Time-Series Models". <i>Applied Econometric Time Series</i> (Second ed.). New York: Wiley. pp. 48–107. <a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/0-471-45173-8" title="Special:BookSources/0-471-45173-8"><bdi>0-471-45173-8</bdi></a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=bookitem&rft.atitle=Stationary+Time-Series+Models&rft.btitle=Applied+Econometric+Time+Series&rft.place=New+York&rft.pages=48-107&rft.edition=Second&rft.pub=Wiley&rft.date=2004&rft.isbn=0-471-45173-8&rft.aulast=Enders&rft.aufirst=Walter&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AMoving-average+model" class="Z3988"></span></li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="External_links">External links</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Moving-average_model&action=edit&section=7" title="Edit section: External links"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/pmc/section4/pmc444.htm">Common approaches to univariate time series</a></li></ul> <div class="navbox-styles"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1129693374">.mw-parser-output .hlist dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul{margin:0;padding:0}.mw-parser-output .hlist dd,.mw-parser-output .hlist dt,.mw-parser-output .hlist li{margin:0;display:inline}.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline ul,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl ul,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol ul,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul ul{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .hlist 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id="Stochastic_processes" style="font-size:114%;margin:0 4em"><a href="/wiki/Stochastic_process" title="Stochastic process">Stochastic processes</a></div></th></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Discrete-time_stochastic_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Discrete-time stochastic process">Discrete time</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Bernoulli_process" title="Bernoulli process">Bernoulli process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Branching_process" title="Branching process">Branching process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Chinese_restaurant_process" title="Chinese restaurant process">Chinese restaurant process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Galton%E2%80%93Watson_process" title="Galton–Watson process">Galton–Watson process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Independent_and_identically_distributed_random_variables" title="Independent and identically distributed random variables">Independent and identically distributed random variables</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markov_chain" title="Markov chain">Markov chain</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Moran_process" title="Moran process">Moran process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Random_walk" title="Random walk">Random walk</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Loop-erased_random_walk" title="Loop-erased random walk">Loop-erased</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Self-avoiding_walk" title="Self-avoiding walk">Self-avoiding</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Biased_random_walk_on_a_graph" title="Biased random walk on a graph"> Biased</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Maximal_entropy_random_walk" title="Maximal entropy random walk">Maximal entropy</a></li></ul></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Continuous-time_stochastic_process" title="Continuous-time stochastic process">Continuous time</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Additive_process" title="Additive process">Additive process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Bessel_process" title="Bessel process">Bessel process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Birth%E2%80%93death_process" title="Birth–death process">Birth–death process</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Birth_process" title="Birth process">pure birth</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wiener_process" title="Wiener process">Brownian motion</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Brownian_bridge" title="Brownian bridge">Bridge</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Brownian_excursion" title="Brownian excursion">Excursion</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fractional_Brownian_motion" title="Fractional Brownian motion">Fractional</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Geometric_Brownian_motion" title="Geometric Brownian motion">Geometric</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Brownian_meander" title="Brownian meander">Meander</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cauchy_process" title="Cauchy process">Cauchy process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Contact_process_(mathematics)" title="Contact process (mathematics)">Contact process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Continuous-time_random_walk" title="Continuous-time random walk">Continuous-time random walk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cox_process" title="Cox process">Cox process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Diffusion_process" title="Diffusion process">Diffusion process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Dyson_Brownian_motion" title="Dyson Brownian motion">Dyson Brownian motion</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Empirical_process" title="Empirical process">Empirical process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Feller_process" title="Feller process">Feller process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fleming%E2%80%93Viot_process" title="Fleming–Viot process">Fleming–Viot process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gamma_process" title="Gamma process">Gamma process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Geometric_process" title="Geometric process">Geometric process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hawkes_process" title="Hawkes process">Hawkes process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hunt_process" title="Hunt process">Hunt process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Interacting_particle_system" title="Interacting particle system">Interacting particle systems</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/It%C3%B4_diffusion" title="Itô diffusion">Itô diffusion</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/It%C3%B4_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Itô process">Itô process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Jump_diffusion" title="Jump diffusion">Jump diffusion</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Jump_process" title="Jump process">Jump process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/L%C3%A9vy_process" title="Lévy process">Lévy process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Local_time_(mathematics)" title="Local time (mathematics)">Local time</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markov_additive_process" title="Markov additive process">Markov additive process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/McKean%E2%80%93Vlasov_process" title="McKean–Vlasov process">McKean–Vlasov process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ornstein%E2%80%93Uhlenbeck_process" title="Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process">Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Poisson_point_process" title="Poisson point process">Poisson process</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Compound_Poisson_process" title="Compound Poisson process">Compound</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Non-homogeneous_Poisson_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Non-homogeneous Poisson process">Non-homogeneous</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Schramm%E2%80%93Loewner_evolution" title="Schramm–Loewner evolution">Schramm–Loewner evolution</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Semimartingale" title="Semimartingale">Semimartingale</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sigma-martingale" title="Sigma-martingale">Sigma-martingale</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stable_process" title="Stable process">Stable process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Superprocess" title="Superprocess">Superprocess</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Telegraph_process" title="Telegraph process">Telegraph process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Variance_gamma_process" title="Variance gamma process">Variance gamma process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wiener_process" title="Wiener process">Wiener process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wiener_sausage" title="Wiener sausage">Wiener sausage</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Both</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Branching_process" title="Branching process">Branching process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gaussian_process" title="Gaussian process">Gaussian process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hidden_Markov_model" title="Hidden Markov model">Hidden Markov model (HMM)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markov_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Markov process">Markov process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Martingale_(probability_theory)" title="Martingale (probability theory)">Martingale</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Martingale_difference_sequence" title="Martingale difference sequence">Differences</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Local_martingale" title="Local martingale">Local</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Submartingale" class="mw-redirect" title="Submartingale">Sub-</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Supermartingale" class="mw-redirect" title="Supermartingale">Super-</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Random_dynamical_system" title="Random dynamical system">Random dynamical system</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Regenerative_process" title="Regenerative process">Regenerative process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Renewal_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Renewal process">Renewal process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stochastic_chains_with_memory_of_variable_length" title="Stochastic chains with memory of variable length">Stochastic chains with memory of variable length</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/White_noise" title="White noise">White noise</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Fields and other</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Dirichlet_process" title="Dirichlet process">Dirichlet process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gaussian_random_field" title="Gaussian random field">Gaussian random field</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gibbs_measure" title="Gibbs measure">Gibbs measure</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hopfield_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Hopfield model">Hopfield model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ising_model" title="Ising model">Ising model</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Potts_model" title="Potts model">Potts model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Boolean_network" title="Boolean network">Boolean network</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markov_random_field" title="Markov random field">Markov random field</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Percolation_theory" title="Percolation theory">Percolation</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Pitman%E2%80%93Yor_process" title="Pitman–Yor process">Pitman–Yor process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Point_process" title="Point process">Point process</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Point_process#Cox_point_process" title="Point process">Cox</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Poisson_point_process" title="Poisson point process">Poisson</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Random_field" title="Random field">Random field</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Random_graph" title="Random graph">Random graph</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Time_series" title="Time series">Time series models</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_conditional_heteroskedasticity" title="Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity">Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_integrated_moving_average" title="Autoregressive integrated moving average">Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_model" title="Autoregressive model">Autoregressive (AR) model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive%E2%80%93moving-average_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Autoregressive–moving-average model">Autoregressive–moving-average (ARMA) model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_conditional_heteroskedasticity" title="Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity">Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model</a></li> <li><a class="mw-selflink selflink">Moving-average (MA) model</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Asset_pricing_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Asset pricing model">Financial models</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Binomial_options_pricing_model" title="Binomial options pricing model">Binomial options pricing model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Derman%E2%80%93Toy_model" title="Black–Derman–Toy model">Black–Derman–Toy</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Karasinski_model" title="Black–Karasinski model">Black–Karasinski</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Scholes_model" title="Black–Scholes model">Black–Scholes</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Chan%E2%80%93Karolyi%E2%80%93Longstaff%E2%80%93Sanders_process" title="Chan–Karolyi–Longstaff–Sanders process">Chan–Karolyi–Longstaff–Sanders (CKLS)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Chen_model" title="Chen model">Chen</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Constant_elasticity_of_variance_model" title="Constant elasticity of variance model">Constant elasticity of variance (CEV)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cox%E2%80%93Ingersoll%E2%80%93Ross_model" title="Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model">Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Garman%E2%80%93Kohlhagen_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Garman–Kohlhagen model">Garman–Kohlhagen</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Heath%E2%80%93Jarrow%E2%80%93Morton_framework" title="Heath–Jarrow–Morton framework">Heath–Jarrow–Morton (HJM)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Heston_model" title="Heston model">Heston</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ho%E2%80%93Lee_model" title="Ho–Lee model">Ho–Lee</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hull%E2%80%93White_model" title="Hull–White model">Hull–White</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Korn%E2%80%93Kreer%E2%80%93Lenssen_model" title="Korn–Kreer–Lenssen model">Korn-Kreer-Lenssen</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/LIBOR_market_model" title="LIBOR market model">LIBOR market</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Rendleman%E2%80%93Bartter_model" title="Rendleman–Bartter model">Rendleman–Bartter</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/SABR_volatility_model" title="SABR volatility model">SABR volatility</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Vasicek_model" title="Vasicek model">Vašíček</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wilkie_investment_model" title="Wilkie investment model">Wilkie</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Actuarial_mathematics" class="mw-redirect" title="Actuarial mathematics">Actuarial models</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/B%C3%BChlmann_model" title="Bühlmann model">Bühlmann</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cram%C3%A9r%E2%80%93Lundberg_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Cramér–Lundberg model">Cramér–Lundberg</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Risk_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Risk process">Risk process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sparre%E2%80%93Anderson_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Sparre–Anderson model">Sparre–Anderson</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Queueing_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Queueing model">Queueing models</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Bulk_queue" title="Bulk queue">Bulk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fluid_queue" title="Fluid queue">Fluid</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/G-network" title="G-network">Generalized queueing network</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/M/G/1_queue" title="M/G/1 queue">M/G/1</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/M/M/1_queue" title="M/M/1 queue">M/M/1</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/M/M/c_queue" title="M/M/c queue">M/M/c</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Properties</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/C%C3%A0dl%C3%A0g" title="Càdlàg">Càdlàg paths</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Continuous_stochastic_process" title="Continuous stochastic process">Continuous</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sample-continuous_process" title="Sample-continuous process">Continuous paths</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ergodicity" title="Ergodicity">Ergodic</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Exchangeable_random_variables" title="Exchangeable random variables">Exchangeable</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Feller-continuous_process" title="Feller-continuous process">Feller-continuous</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gauss%E2%80%93Markov_process" title="Gauss–Markov process">Gauss–Markov</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markov_property" title="Markov property">Markov</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mixing_(mathematics)" title="Mixing (mathematics)">Mixing</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Piecewise-deterministic_Markov_process" title="Piecewise-deterministic Markov process">Piecewise-deterministic</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Predictable_process" title="Predictable process">Predictable</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Progressively_measurable_process" title="Progressively measurable process">Progressively measurable</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Self-similar_process" title="Self-similar process">Self-similar</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stationary_process" title="Stationary process">Stationary</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Time_reversibility" title="Time reversibility">Time-reversible</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Limit theorems</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Central_limit_theorem" title="Central limit theorem">Central limit theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Donsker%27s_theorem" title="Donsker's theorem">Donsker's theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob%27s_martingale_convergence_theorems" title="Doob's martingale convergence theorems">Doob's martingale convergence theorems</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ergodic_theorem" class="mw-redirect" title="Ergodic theorem">Ergodic theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fisher%E2%80%93Tippett%E2%80%93Gnedenko_theorem" title="Fisher–Tippett–Gnedenko theorem">Fisher–Tippett–Gnedenko theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Large_deviation_principle" class="mw-redirect" title="Large deviation principle">Large deviation principle</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Law_of_large_numbers" title="Law of large numbers">Law of large numbers (weak/strong)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Law_of_the_iterated_logarithm" title="Law of the iterated logarithm">Law of the iterated logarithm</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Maximal_ergodic_theorem" title="Maximal ergodic theorem">Maximal ergodic theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sanov%27s_theorem" title="Sanov's theorem">Sanov's theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Zero%E2%80%93one_law" title="Zero–one law">Zero–one laws</a> (<a href="/wiki/Blumenthal%27s_zero%E2%80%93one_law" title="Blumenthal's zero–one law">Blumenthal</a>, <a href="/wiki/Borel%E2%80%93Cantelli_lemma" title="Borel–Cantelli lemma">Borel–Cantelli</a>, <a href="/wiki/Engelbert%E2%80%93Schmidt_zero%E2%80%93one_law" title="Engelbert–Schmidt zero–one law">Engelbert–Schmidt</a>, <a href="/wiki/Hewitt%E2%80%93Savage_zero%E2%80%93one_law" title="Hewitt–Savage zero–one law">Hewitt–Savage</a>, <a href="/wiki/Kolmogorov%27s_zero%E2%80%93one_law" title="Kolmogorov's zero–one law"> Kolmogorov</a>, <a href="/wiki/L%C3%A9vy%27s_zero%E2%80%93one_law" class="mw-redirect" title="Lévy's zero–one law">Lévy</a>)</li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/List_of_inequalities#Probability_theory_and_statistics" title="List of inequalities">Inequalities</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Burkholder%E2%80%93Davis%E2%80%93Gundy_inequalities" class="mw-redirect" title="Burkholder–Davis–Gundy inequalities">Burkholder–Davis–Gundy</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob%27s_martingale_inequality" title="Doob's martingale inequality">Doob's martingale</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob%27s_upcrossing_inequality" class="mw-redirect" title="Doob's upcrossing inequality">Doob's upcrossing</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kunita%E2%80%93Watanabe_inequality" title="Kunita–Watanabe inequality">Kunita–Watanabe</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Marcinkiewicz%E2%80%93Zygmund_inequality" title="Marcinkiewicz–Zygmund inequality">Marcinkiewicz–Zygmund</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Tools</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Cameron%E2%80%93Martin_formula" class="mw-redirect" title="Cameron–Martin formula">Cameron–Martin formula</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Convergence_of_random_variables" title="Convergence of random variables">Convergence of random variables</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Dol%C3%A9ans-Dade_exponential" title="Doléans-Dade exponential">Doléans-Dade exponential</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob_decomposition_theorem" title="Doob decomposition theorem">Doob decomposition theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob%E2%80%93Meyer_decomposition_theorem" title="Doob–Meyer decomposition theorem">Doob–Meyer decomposition theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob%27s_optional_stopping_theorem" class="mw-redirect" title="Doob's optional stopping theorem">Doob's optional stopping theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Dynkin%27s_formula" title="Dynkin's formula">Dynkin's formula</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Feynman%E2%80%93Kac_formula" title="Feynman–Kac formula">Feynman–Kac formula</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Filtration_(probability_theory)" title="Filtration (probability theory)">Filtration</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Girsanov_theorem" title="Girsanov theorem">Girsanov theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Infinitesimal_generator_(stochastic_processes)" title="Infinitesimal generator (stochastic processes)">Infinitesimal generator</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/It%C3%B4_integral" class="mw-redirect" title="Itô integral">Itô integral</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/It%C3%B4%27s_lemma" title="Itô's lemma">Itô's lemma</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Karhunen%E2%80%93Lo%C3%A8ve_theorem" class="mw-redirect" title="Karhunen–Loève theorem">Karhunen–Loève theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kolmogorov_continuity_theorem" title="Kolmogorov continuity theorem">Kolmogorov continuity theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kolmogorov_extension_theorem" title="Kolmogorov extension theorem">Kolmogorov extension theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/L%C3%A9vy%E2%80%93Prokhorov_metric" title="Lévy–Prokhorov metric">Lévy–Prokhorov metric</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Malliavin_calculus" title="Malliavin calculus">Malliavin calculus</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Martingale_representation_theorem" title="Martingale representation theorem">Martingale representation theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Optional_stopping_theorem" title="Optional stopping theorem">Optional stopping theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Prokhorov%27s_theorem" title="Prokhorov's theorem">Prokhorov's theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Quadratic_variation" title="Quadratic variation">Quadratic variation</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Reflection_principle_(Wiener_process)" title="Reflection principle (Wiener process)">Reflection principle</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Skorokhod_integral" title="Skorokhod integral">Skorokhod integral</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Skorokhod%27s_representation_theorem" title="Skorokhod's representation theorem">Skorokhod's representation theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Skorokhod_space" class="mw-redirect" title="Skorokhod space">Skorokhod space</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Snell_envelope" title="Snell envelope">Snell envelope</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stochastic_differential_equation" title="Stochastic differential equation">Stochastic differential equation</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Tanaka_equation" title="Tanaka equation">Tanaka</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stopping_time" title="Stopping time">Stopping time</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stratonovich_integral" title="Stratonovich integral">Stratonovich integral</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Uniform_integrability" title="Uniform integrability">Uniform integrability</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Usual_hypotheses" class="mw-redirect" title="Usual hypotheses">Usual hypotheses</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wiener_space" class="mw-redirect" title="Wiener space">Wiener space</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Classical_Wiener_space" title="Classical Wiener space">Classical</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Abstract_Wiener_space" title="Abstract Wiener space">Abstract</a></li></ul></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Disciplines</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Actuarial_mathematics" class="mw-redirect" title="Actuarial mathematics">Actuarial mathematics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stochastic_control" title="Stochastic control">Control theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Econometrics" title="Econometrics">Econometrics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ergodic_theory" title="Ergodic theory">Ergodic theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Extreme_value_theory" title="Extreme value theory">Extreme value theory (EVT)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Large_deviations_theory" title="Large deviations theory">Large deviations theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mathematical_finance" title="Mathematical finance">Mathematical finance</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mathematical_statistics" title="Mathematical statistics">Mathematical statistics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Probability_theory" title="Probability theory">Probability theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Queueing_theory" title="Queueing theory">Queueing theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Renewal_theory" title="Renewal theory">Renewal theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ruin_theory" title="Ruin theory">Ruin theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Signal_processing" title="Signal processing">Signal processing</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Statistics" title="Statistics">Statistics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stochastic_analysis" class="mw-redirect" title="Stochastic analysis">Stochastic analysis</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Time_series_analysis" class="mw-redirect" title="Time series analysis">Time series analysis</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Machine_learning" title="Machine learning">Machine learning</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><td class="navbox-abovebelow hlist" colspan="2"><div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/List_of_stochastic_processes_topics" title="List of stochastic processes topics">List of topics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Category:Stochastic_processes" title="Category:Stochastic processes">Category</a></li></ul> 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