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Chan–Karolyi–Longstaff–Sanders process - Wikipedia

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process</a> with applications to <a href="/wiki/Finance" title="Finance">finance</a>. In particular it has been used to model the <a href="/wiki/Term_structure" class="mw-redirect" title="Term structure">term structure</a> of <a href="/wiki/Interest_rates" class="mw-redirect" title="Interest rates">interest rates</a>. The CKLS process can also be viewed as a generalization of the <a href="/wiki/Ornstein%E2%80%93Uhlenbeck_process" title="Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process">Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process</a>. It is named after K. C. Chan, G. Andrew Karolyi, Francis A. Longstaff, and Anthony B. Sanders, with their paper published in 1992.<sup id="cite_ref-:5_1-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:5-1"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-FOOTNOTEChanKarolyiLongstaffSanders1992_2-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-FOOTNOTEChanKarolyiLongstaffSanders1992-2"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <meta property="mw:PageProp/toc" /> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Definition">Definition</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Chan%E2%80%93Karolyi%E2%80%93Longstaff%E2%80%93Sanders_process&amp;action=edit&amp;section=1" title="Edit section: Definition"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>The CKLS process <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/82120d04dfb3cbadc4912951dd12b5568c9cd8f3" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:2.75ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t}}"></span> is defined by the following <a href="/wiki/Stochastic_differential_equation" title="Stochastic differential equation">stochastic differential equation</a>: </p> <blockquote><p><span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle dX_{t}=(\alpha +\beta X_{t})dt+\sigma X_{t}^{\gamma }dW_{t}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>d</mi> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mi>&#x03B1;<!-- α --></mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&#x03B2;<!-- β --></mi> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> <mi>d</mi> <mi>t</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&#x03C3;<!-- σ --></mi> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> </mrow> </msubsup> <mi>d</mi> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle dX_{t}=(\alpha +\beta X_{t})dt+\sigma X_{t}^{\gamma }dW_{t}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/9da1c357040e7b7bf3ec17c8d025551b7d552a6f" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -1.005ex; width:30.867ex; height:3.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle dX_{t}=(\alpha +\beta X_{t})dt+\sigma X_{t}^{\gamma }dW_{t}}"></span></p></blockquote> <p>where <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle W_{t}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle W_{t}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/50680c5535c83badfa630dba63b583d2eeaa2977" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:3.02ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle W_{t}}"></span> denotes the <a href="/wiki/Wiener_process" title="Wiener process">Wiener process</a>. The CKLS process has the following equivalent definition:<sup id="cite_ref-:0_3-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:0-3"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>3<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <blockquote><p><span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle dX_{t}=-k(X_{t}-a)dt+\sigma X_{t}^{\gamma }dW_{t}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>d</mi> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>=</mo> <mo>&#x2212;<!-- − --></mo> <mi>k</mi> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>&#x2212;<!-- − --></mo> <mi>a</mi> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> <mi>d</mi> <mi>t</mi> <mo>+</mo> <mi>&#x03C3;<!-- σ --></mi> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> </mrow> </msubsup> <mi>d</mi> <msub> <mi>W</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </msub> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle dX_{t}=-k(X_{t}-a)dt+\sigma X_{t}^{\gamma }dW_{t}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/2e1423cbfbbc5e71e22ee7d6850d309e40a68328" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -1.005ex; width:32.296ex; height:3.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle dX_{t}=-k(X_{t}-a)dt+\sigma X_{t}^{\gamma }dW_{t}}"></span></p></blockquote> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Properties">Properties</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Chan%E2%80%93Karolyi%E2%80%93Longstaff%E2%80%93Sanders_process&amp;action=edit&amp;section=2" title="Edit section: Properties"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li>CKLS is an example of a <a href="/wiki/Mean-reverting_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Mean-reverting process">mean-reverting process</a><sup id="cite_ref-:0_3-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:0-3"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>3<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></li> <li>The <a href="/wiki/Moment-generating_function" title="Moment-generating function">moment-generating function</a> (MGF) of <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle X_{t}^{2(1-\gamma )}}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <msubsup> <mi>X</mi> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mn>2</mn> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mo>&#x2212;<!-- − --></mo> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> </msubsup> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle X_{t}^{2(1-\gamma )}}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/9dbaeab4a20834c45726bab1bb488c5e43d40e29" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -1.005ex; width:7.324ex; height:3.676ex;" alt="{\displaystyle X_{t}^{2(1-\gamma )}}"></span> has a <a href="/wiki/Singularity_(mathematics)" title="Singularity (mathematics)">singularity</a> at a critical moment independent of <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \gamma }"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \gamma }</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/a223c880b0ce3da8f64ee33c4f0010beee400b1a" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:1.262ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \gamma }"></span>. Moreover, the MGF can be written as the MGF of the CIR model plus a term that is a solution to a <a href="/wiki/Nonlinear_partial_differential_equation" title="Nonlinear partial differential equation">Nonlinear partial differential equation</a>.<sup class="noprint Inline-Template Template-Fact" style="white-space:nowrap;">&#91;<i><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Citation_needed" title="Wikipedia:Citation needed"><span title="This claim needs references to reliable sources. (June 2022)">citation needed</span></a></i>&#93;</sup></li> <li>The CKLS equation has a unique pathwise solution.<sup id="cite_ref-:1_4-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:1-4"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></li> <li>Cai and Wang (2015) have derived a <a href="/wiki/Central_limit_theorem" title="Central limit theorem">central limit theorem</a> and deviation principle for the CKLS model while studying its asymptotic behavior.<sup id="cite_ref-:1_4-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:1-4"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></li> <li>CKLS has been referred to as a time-homogeneous model as usually the parameters <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \alpha ,\beta ,\sigma ,\gamma }"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B1;<!-- α --></mi> <mo>,</mo> <mi>&#x03B2;<!-- β --></mi> <mo>,</mo> <mi>&#x03C3;<!-- σ --></mi> <mo>,</mo> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \alpha ,\beta ,\sigma ,\gamma }</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/68a99120edd742b13ff6bbddf070c5ac03693250" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:8.513ex; height:2.676ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \alpha ,\beta ,\sigma ,\gamma }"></span> are taken to be time-independent.<sup id="cite_ref-:2_5-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:2-5"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></li> <li>The CKLS has also been referred to as a <a href="/wiki/Multiple_factor_models" title="Multiple factor models">one-factor model</a> (also see <a href="/wiki/Factor_analysis" title="Factor analysis">Factor analysis</a>).<sup id="cite_ref-:3_6-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:3-6"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:4_7-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:4-7"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>7<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup></li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Special_cases">Special cases</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Chan%E2%80%93Karolyi%E2%80%93Longstaff%E2%80%93Sanders_process&amp;action=edit&amp;section=3" title="Edit section: Special cases"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Many <a href="/wiki/Interest_rate" title="Interest rate">interest rate</a> models and <a href="/wiki/Short-rate_model" title="Short-rate model">short-rate models</a> are special cases of the CKLS process which can be obtained by setting the CKLS model parameters to specific values.<sup id="cite_ref-:5_1-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:5-1"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:4_7-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:4-7"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>7<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> In all cases, <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \sigma }"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03C3;<!-- σ --></mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \sigma }</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/59f59b7c3e6fdb1d0365a494b81fb9a696138c36" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.33ex; height:1.676ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \sigma }"></span> is assumed to be positive. </p> <table class="wikitable"> <caption>Family of CKLS process under different parametric specifications. </caption> <tbody><tr> <th>Model/Process</th> <th><span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \alpha }"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B1;<!-- α --></mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \alpha }</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/b79333175c8b3f0840bfb4ec41b8072c83ea88d3" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.338ex; width:1.488ex; height:1.676ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \alpha }"></span></th> <th><span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \beta }"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B2;<!-- β --></mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \beta }</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/7ed48a5e36207156fb792fa79d29925d2f7901e8" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.671ex; width:1.332ex; height:2.509ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \beta }"></span></th> <th><span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \gamma }"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \gamma }</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/a223c880b0ce3da8f64ee33c4f0010beee400b1a" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:1.262ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \gamma }"></span> </th></tr> <tr> <td><a href="/wiki/Merton_model" title="Merton model">Merton</a></td> <td>Any</td> <td>0</td> <td>0 </td></tr> <tr> <td><a href="/wiki/Vasicek_model" title="Vasicek model">Vasicek</a></td> <td>Any</td> <td>Any</td> <td>0 </td></tr> <tr> <td><a href="/wiki/Cox%E2%80%93Ingersoll%E2%80%93Ross_model" title="Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model">CIR or square root process</a></td> <td>Any</td> <td>Any</td> <td>1/2 </td></tr> <tr> <td>Dothan</td> <td>0</td> <td>0</td> <td>1 </td></tr> <tr> <td><a href="/wiki/Geometric_Brownian_motion" title="Geometric Brownian motion">Geometric Brownian motion</a> or <a href="/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Scholes_model" title="Black–Scholes model">Black–Scholes–Merton model</a></td> <td>0</td> <td>Any</td> <td>1 </td></tr> <tr> <td>Brennan and Schwartz</td> <td>Any</td> <td>Any</td> <td>1 </td></tr> <tr> <td>CIR VR</td> <td>0</td> <td>0</td> <td>3/2 </td></tr> <tr> <td><a href="/wiki/Constant_elasticity_of_variance_model" title="Constant elasticity of variance model">CEV</a></td> <td>0</td> <td>Any</td> <td>Any </td></tr></tbody></table> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Financial_applications">Financial applications</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Chan%E2%80%93Karolyi%E2%80%93Longstaff%E2%80%93Sanders_process&amp;action=edit&amp;section=4" title="Edit section: Financial applications"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>The CKLS process is often used to model interest rate dynamics and pricing of <a href="/wiki/Bond_(finance)" title="Bond (finance)">bonds</a>, <a href="/wiki/Bond_option" title="Bond option">bond options</a>,<sup id="cite_ref-8" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-8"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>8<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <a href="/wiki/Currency_exchange_rate" class="mw-redirect" title="Currency exchange rate">currency exchange rates</a>,<sup id="cite_ref-9" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-9"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>9<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <a href="/wiki/Security_(finance)" title="Security (finance)">securities</a>,<sup id="cite_ref-10" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-10"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>10<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> and other <a href="/wiki/Option_(finance)" title="Option (finance)">options</a>, <a href="/wiki/Derivative_(finance)" title="Derivative (finance)">derivatives</a>, and <a href="/wiki/Contingent_claim" title="Contingent claim">contingent claims</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-11" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-11"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>11<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:2_5-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:2-5"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> It has also been used in the pricing of <a href="/wiki/Fixed_income" title="Fixed income">fixed income</a> and <a href="/wiki/Credit_risk" title="Credit risk">credit risk</a> and has been combined with other <a href="/wiki/Time_series" title="Time series">time series</a> methods such as <a href="/wiki/GARCH" class="mw-redirect" title="GARCH">GARCH</a>-class models.<sup id="cite_ref-12" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-12"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>12<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>One question studied in the literature is how to set the model parameters, in particular the elasticity parameter <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \gamma }"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \gamma }</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/a223c880b0ce3da8f64ee33c4f0010beee400b1a" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:1.262ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \gamma }"></span>.<sup id="cite_ref-13" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-13"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>13<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-14" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-14"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>14<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> <a href="/wiki/Robust_statistics" title="Robust statistics">Robust statistics</a> and <a href="/wiki/Nonparametric_statistics" title="Nonparametric statistics">nonparametric estimation techniques</a> have been used to measure CKLS model parameters.<sup id="cite_ref-:3_6-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:3-6"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-:2_5-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:2-5"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>In their original paper, CKLS argued that the elasticity of interest rate volatility is 1.5 based on historical data, a result that has been widely cited. Also, they showed that models with <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \gamma \geq 1}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> <mo>&#x2265;<!-- ≥ --></mo> <mn>1</mn> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \gamma \geq 1}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/47586b1f6f96143cb9bb8e7ffe3cebea1f229a00" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:5.523ex; height:2.676ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \gamma \geq 1}"></span> can model <a href="/wiki/Short-term_interest_rates_(disambiguation)" class="mw-redirect mw-disambig" title="Short-term interest rates (disambiguation)">short-term interest rates</a> more accurately than models with <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \gamma &lt;1}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> <mo>&lt;</mo> <mn>1</mn> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \gamma &lt;1}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/0d2fc7ea47b14b4cbe727be1a6d404b92d1f0900" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:5.523ex; height:2.676ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \gamma &lt;1}"></span>.<sup id="cite_ref-:5_1-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:5-1"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>Later empirical studies by Bliss and Smith have shown the reverse: sometimes lower <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \gamma }"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \gamma }</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/a223c880b0ce3da8f64ee33c4f0010beee400b1a" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:1.262ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \gamma }"></span> values (like 0.5) in the CKLS model can capture volatility dependence more accurately compared to higher <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \gamma }"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \gamma }</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/a223c880b0ce3da8f64ee33c4f0010beee400b1a" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:1.262ex; height:2.176ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \gamma }"></span> values. Moreover, by redefining the regime period, Bliss and Smith have shown that there is evidence for regime shift in the <a href="/wiki/Federal_Reserve" title="Federal Reserve">Federal Reserve</a> between 1979 and 1982. They have found evidence supporting the square root Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model (CIR SR), a special case of the CKLS model with <span class="mwe-math-element"><span class="mwe-math-mathml-inline mwe-math-mathml-a11y" style="display: none;"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" alttext="{\displaystyle \gamma =1/2}"> <semantics> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mstyle displaystyle="true" scriptlevel="0"> <mi>&#x03B3;<!-- γ --></mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1</mn> <mrow class="MJX-TeXAtom-ORD"> <mo>/</mo> </mrow> <mn>2</mn> </mstyle> </mrow> <annotation encoding="application/x-tex">{\displaystyle \gamma =1/2}</annotation> </semantics> </math></span><img src="https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/media/math/render/svg/bd9b55bc843569ad5b00d7bb7d3010394dd58b6b" class="mwe-math-fallback-image-inline mw-invert skin-invert" aria-hidden="true" style="vertical-align: -0.838ex; width:7.848ex; height:2.843ex;" alt="{\displaystyle \gamma =1/2}"></span>.<sup id="cite_ref-15" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-15"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>15<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p><p>The period of 1979-1982 marked a change in <a href="/wiki/Monetary_policy" title="Monetary policy">monetary policy</a> of the <a href="/wiki/Federal_Reserve" title="Federal Reserve">Federal Reserve</a>, and this regime change has often been studied in the context of CKLS models.<sup id="cite_ref-:3_6-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-:3-6"><span class="cite-bracket">&#91;</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">&#93;</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="References">References</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Chan%E2%80%93Karolyi%E2%80%93Longstaff%E2%80%93Sanders_process&amp;action=edit&amp;section=5" title="Edit section: References"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1239543626">.mw-parser-output .reflist{margin-bottom:0.5em;list-style-type:decimal}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .reflist{font-size:90%}}.mw-parser-output .reflist .references{font-size:100%;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:inherit}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-2{column-width:30em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-3{column-width:25em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns{margin-top:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns ol{margin-top:0}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns li{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-alpha{list-style-type:upper-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-roman{list-style-type:upper-roman}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-alpha{list-style-type:lower-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-greek{list-style-type:lower-greek}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-roman{list-style-type:lower-roman}</style><div class="reflist"> <div class="mw-references-wrap mw-references-columns"><ol 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a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg")right 0.1em center/12px no-repeat}body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-free a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background-size:contain;padding:0 1em 0 0}.mw-parser-output .cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:none;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{display:none;color:#085;margin-left:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right{padding-right:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .citation .mw-selflink{font-weight:inherit}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}</style><cite id="CITEREFChanKarolyiLongstaffSanders1992" class="citation journal cs1">Chan, K. 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abbr{color:var(--color-base)!important}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .navbar li a abbr{color:var(--color-base)!important}}@media print{.mw-parser-output .navbar{display:none!important}}</style><div class="navbar plainlinks hlist navbar-mini"><ul><li class="nv-view"><a href="/wiki/Template:Stochastic_processes" title="Template:Stochastic processes"><abbr title="View this template">v</abbr></a></li><li class="nv-talk"><a href="/wiki/Template_talk:Stochastic_processes" title="Template talk:Stochastic processes"><abbr title="Discuss this template">t</abbr></a></li><li class="nv-edit"><a href="/wiki/Special:EditPage/Template:Stochastic_processes" title="Special:EditPage/Template:Stochastic processes"><abbr title="Edit this template">e</abbr></a></li></ul></div><div id="Stochastic_processes" style="font-size:114%;margin:0 4em"><a href="/wiki/Stochastic_process" title="Stochastic process">Stochastic processes</a></div></th></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Discrete-time_stochastic_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Discrete-time stochastic process">Discrete time</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Bernoulli_process" title="Bernoulli process">Bernoulli process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Branching_process" title="Branching process">Branching process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Chinese_restaurant_process" title="Chinese restaurant process">Chinese restaurant process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Galton%E2%80%93Watson_process" title="Galton–Watson process">Galton–Watson process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Independent_and_identically_distributed_random_variables" title="Independent and identically distributed random variables">Independent and identically distributed random variables</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markov_chain" title="Markov chain">Markov chain</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Moran_process" title="Moran process">Moran process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Random_walk" title="Random walk">Random walk</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Loop-erased_random_walk" title="Loop-erased random walk">Loop-erased</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Self-avoiding_walk" title="Self-avoiding walk">Self-avoiding</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Biased_random_walk_on_a_graph" title="Biased random walk on a graph"> Biased</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Maximal_entropy_random_walk" title="Maximal entropy random walk">Maximal entropy</a></li></ul></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Continuous-time_stochastic_process" title="Continuous-time stochastic process">Continuous time</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Additive_process" title="Additive process">Additive process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Bessel_process" title="Bessel process">Bessel process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Birth%E2%80%93death_process" title="Birth–death process">Birth–death process</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Birth_process" title="Birth process">pure birth</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wiener_process" title="Wiener process">Brownian motion</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Brownian_bridge" title="Brownian bridge">Bridge</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Brownian_excursion" title="Brownian excursion">Excursion</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fractional_Brownian_motion" title="Fractional Brownian motion">Fractional</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Geometric_Brownian_motion" title="Geometric Brownian motion">Geometric</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Brownian_meander" title="Brownian meander">Meander</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cauchy_process" title="Cauchy process">Cauchy process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Contact_process_(mathematics)" title="Contact process (mathematics)">Contact process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Continuous-time_random_walk" title="Continuous-time random walk">Continuous-time random walk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cox_process" title="Cox process">Cox process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Diffusion_process" title="Diffusion process">Diffusion process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Dyson_Brownian_motion" title="Dyson Brownian motion">Dyson Brownian motion</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Empirical_process" title="Empirical process">Empirical process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Feller_process" title="Feller process">Feller process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fleming%E2%80%93Viot_process" title="Fleming–Viot process">Fleming–Viot process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gamma_process" title="Gamma process">Gamma process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Geometric_process" title="Geometric process">Geometric process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hawkes_process" title="Hawkes process">Hawkes process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hunt_process" title="Hunt process">Hunt process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Interacting_particle_system" title="Interacting particle system">Interacting particle systems</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/It%C3%B4_diffusion" title="Itô diffusion">Itô diffusion</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/It%C3%B4_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Itô process">Itô process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Jump_diffusion" title="Jump diffusion">Jump diffusion</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Jump_process" title="Jump process">Jump process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/L%C3%A9vy_process" title="Lévy process">Lévy process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Local_time_(mathematics)" title="Local time (mathematics)">Local time</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markov_additive_process" title="Markov additive process">Markov additive process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/McKean%E2%80%93Vlasov_process" title="McKean–Vlasov process">McKean–Vlasov process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ornstein%E2%80%93Uhlenbeck_process" title="Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process">Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Poisson_point_process" title="Poisson point process">Poisson process</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Compound_Poisson_process" title="Compound Poisson process">Compound</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Non-homogeneous_Poisson_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Non-homogeneous Poisson process">Non-homogeneous</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Schramm%E2%80%93Loewner_evolution" title="Schramm–Loewner evolution">Schramm–Loewner evolution</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Semimartingale" title="Semimartingale">Semimartingale</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sigma-martingale" title="Sigma-martingale">Sigma-martingale</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stable_process" title="Stable process">Stable process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Superprocess" title="Superprocess">Superprocess</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Telegraph_process" title="Telegraph process">Telegraph process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Variance_gamma_process" title="Variance gamma process">Variance gamma process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wiener_process" title="Wiener process">Wiener process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wiener_sausage" title="Wiener sausage">Wiener sausage</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Both</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Branching_process" title="Branching process">Branching process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gaussian_process" title="Gaussian process">Gaussian process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hidden_Markov_model" title="Hidden Markov model">Hidden Markov model (HMM)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markov_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Markov process">Markov process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Martingale_(probability_theory)" title="Martingale (probability theory)">Martingale</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Martingale_difference_sequence" title="Martingale difference sequence">Differences</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Local_martingale" title="Local martingale">Local</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Submartingale" class="mw-redirect" title="Submartingale">Sub-</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Supermartingale" class="mw-redirect" title="Supermartingale">Super-</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Random_dynamical_system" title="Random dynamical system">Random dynamical system</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Regenerative_process" title="Regenerative process">Regenerative process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Renewal_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Renewal process">Renewal process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stochastic_chains_with_memory_of_variable_length" title="Stochastic chains with memory of variable length">Stochastic chains with memory of variable length</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/White_noise" title="White noise">White noise</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Fields and other</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Dirichlet_process" title="Dirichlet process">Dirichlet process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gaussian_random_field" title="Gaussian random field">Gaussian random field</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gibbs_measure" title="Gibbs measure">Gibbs measure</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hopfield_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Hopfield model">Hopfield model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ising_model" title="Ising model">Ising model</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Potts_model" title="Potts model">Potts model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Boolean_network" title="Boolean network">Boolean network</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markov_random_field" title="Markov random field">Markov random field</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Percolation_theory" title="Percolation theory">Percolation</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Pitman%E2%80%93Yor_process" title="Pitman–Yor process">Pitman–Yor process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Point_process" title="Point process">Point process</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Point_process#Cox_point_process" title="Point process">Cox</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Poisson_point_process" title="Poisson point process">Poisson</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Random_field" title="Random field">Random field</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Random_graph" title="Random graph">Random graph</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Time_series" title="Time series">Time series models</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_conditional_heteroskedasticity" title="Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity">Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_integrated_moving_average" title="Autoregressive integrated moving average">Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_model" title="Autoregressive model">Autoregressive (AR) model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive%E2%80%93moving-average_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Autoregressive–moving-average model">Autoregressive–moving-average (ARMA) model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Autoregressive_conditional_heteroskedasticity" title="Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity">Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Moving-average_model" title="Moving-average model">Moving-average (MA) model</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Asset_pricing_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Asset pricing model">Financial models</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Binomial_options_pricing_model" title="Binomial options pricing model">Binomial options pricing model</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Derman%E2%80%93Toy_model" title="Black–Derman–Toy model">Black–Derman–Toy</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Karasinski_model" title="Black–Karasinski model">Black–Karasinski</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Black%E2%80%93Scholes_model" title="Black–Scholes model">Black–Scholes</a></li> <li><a class="mw-selflink selflink">Chan–Karolyi–Longstaff–Sanders (CKLS)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Chen_model" title="Chen model">Chen</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Constant_elasticity_of_variance_model" title="Constant elasticity of variance model">Constant elasticity of variance (CEV)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cox%E2%80%93Ingersoll%E2%80%93Ross_model" title="Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model">Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Garman%E2%80%93Kohlhagen_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Garman–Kohlhagen model">Garman–Kohlhagen</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Heath%E2%80%93Jarrow%E2%80%93Morton_framework" title="Heath–Jarrow–Morton framework">Heath–Jarrow–Morton (HJM)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Heston_model" title="Heston model">Heston</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ho%E2%80%93Lee_model" title="Ho–Lee model">Ho–Lee</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Hull%E2%80%93White_model" title="Hull–White model">Hull–White</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Korn%E2%80%93Kreer%E2%80%93Lenssen_model" title="Korn–Kreer–Lenssen model">Korn-Kreer-Lenssen</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/LIBOR_market_model" title="LIBOR market model">LIBOR market</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Rendleman%E2%80%93Bartter_model" title="Rendleman–Bartter model">Rendleman–Bartter</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/SABR_volatility_model" title="SABR volatility model">SABR volatility</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Vasicek_model" title="Vasicek model">Vašíček</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wilkie_investment_model" title="Wilkie investment model">Wilkie</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Actuarial_mathematics" class="mw-redirect" title="Actuarial mathematics">Actuarial models</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/B%C3%BChlmann_model" title="Bühlmann model">Bühlmann</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Cram%C3%A9r%E2%80%93Lundberg_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Cramér–Lundberg model">Cramér–Lundberg</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Risk_process" class="mw-redirect" title="Risk process">Risk process</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sparre%E2%80%93Anderson_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Sparre–Anderson model">Sparre–Anderson</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Queueing_model" class="mw-redirect" title="Queueing model">Queueing models</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Bulk_queue" title="Bulk queue">Bulk</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fluid_queue" title="Fluid queue">Fluid</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/G-network" title="G-network">Generalized queueing network</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/M/G/1_queue" title="M/G/1 queue">M/G/1</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/M/M/1_queue" title="M/M/1 queue">M/M/1</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/M/M/c_queue" title="M/M/c queue">M/M/c</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Properties</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/C%C3%A0dl%C3%A0g" title="Càdlàg">Càdlàg paths</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Continuous_stochastic_process" title="Continuous stochastic process">Continuous</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sample-continuous_process" title="Sample-continuous process">Continuous paths</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ergodicity" title="Ergodicity">Ergodic</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Exchangeable_random_variables" title="Exchangeable random variables">Exchangeable</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Feller-continuous_process" title="Feller-continuous process">Feller-continuous</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Gauss%E2%80%93Markov_process" title="Gauss–Markov process">Gauss–Markov</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Markov_property" title="Markov property">Markov</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mixing_(mathematics)" title="Mixing (mathematics)">Mixing</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Piecewise-deterministic_Markov_process" title="Piecewise-deterministic Markov process">Piecewise-deterministic</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Predictable_process" title="Predictable process">Predictable</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Progressively_measurable_process" title="Progressively measurable process">Progressively measurable</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Self-similar_process" title="Self-similar process">Self-similar</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stationary_process" title="Stationary process">Stationary</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Time_reversibility" title="Time reversibility">Time-reversible</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Limit theorems</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Central_limit_theorem" title="Central limit theorem">Central limit theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Donsker%27s_theorem" title="Donsker&#39;s theorem">Donsker's theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob%27s_martingale_convergence_theorems" title="Doob&#39;s martingale convergence theorems">Doob's martingale convergence theorems</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ergodic_theorem" class="mw-redirect" title="Ergodic theorem">Ergodic theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Fisher%E2%80%93Tippett%E2%80%93Gnedenko_theorem" title="Fisher–Tippett–Gnedenko theorem">Fisher–Tippett–Gnedenko theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Large_deviation_principle" class="mw-redirect" title="Large deviation principle">Large deviation principle</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Law_of_large_numbers" title="Law of large numbers">Law of large numbers (weak/strong)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Law_of_the_iterated_logarithm" title="Law of the iterated logarithm">Law of the iterated logarithm</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Maximal_ergodic_theorem" title="Maximal ergodic theorem">Maximal ergodic theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Sanov%27s_theorem" title="Sanov&#39;s theorem">Sanov's theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Zero%E2%80%93one_law" title="Zero–one law">Zero–one laws</a> (<a href="/wiki/Blumenthal%27s_zero%E2%80%93one_law" title="Blumenthal&#39;s zero–one law">Blumenthal</a>, <a href="/wiki/Borel%E2%80%93Cantelli_lemma" title="Borel–Cantelli lemma">Borel–Cantelli</a>, <a href="/wiki/Engelbert%E2%80%93Schmidt_zero%E2%80%93one_law" title="Engelbert–Schmidt zero–one law">Engelbert–Schmidt</a>, <a href="/wiki/Hewitt%E2%80%93Savage_zero%E2%80%93one_law" title="Hewitt–Savage zero–one law">Hewitt–Savage</a>, <a href="/wiki/Kolmogorov%27s_zero%E2%80%93one_law" title="Kolmogorov&#39;s zero–one law"> Kolmogorov</a>, <a href="/wiki/L%C3%A9vy%27s_zero%E2%80%93one_law" class="mw-redirect" title="Lévy&#39;s zero–one law">Lévy</a>)</li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/List_of_inequalities#Probability_theory_and_statistics" title="List of inequalities">Inequalities</a></th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Burkholder%E2%80%93Davis%E2%80%93Gundy_inequalities" class="mw-redirect" title="Burkholder–Davis–Gundy inequalities">Burkholder–Davis–Gundy</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob%27s_martingale_inequality" title="Doob&#39;s martingale inequality">Doob's martingale</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob%27s_upcrossing_inequality" class="mw-redirect" title="Doob&#39;s upcrossing inequality">Doob's upcrossing</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kunita%E2%80%93Watanabe_inequality" title="Kunita–Watanabe inequality">Kunita–Watanabe</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Marcinkiewicz%E2%80%93Zygmund_inequality" title="Marcinkiewicz–Zygmund inequality">Marcinkiewicz–Zygmund</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Tools</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-even hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Cameron%E2%80%93Martin_formula" class="mw-redirect" title="Cameron–Martin formula">Cameron–Martin formula</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Convergence_of_random_variables" title="Convergence of random variables">Convergence of random variables</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Dol%C3%A9ans-Dade_exponential" title="Doléans-Dade exponential">Doléans-Dade exponential</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob_decomposition_theorem" title="Doob decomposition theorem">Doob decomposition theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob%E2%80%93Meyer_decomposition_theorem" title="Doob–Meyer decomposition theorem">Doob–Meyer decomposition theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Doob%27s_optional_stopping_theorem" class="mw-redirect" title="Doob&#39;s optional stopping theorem">Doob's optional stopping theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Dynkin%27s_formula" title="Dynkin&#39;s formula">Dynkin's formula</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Feynman%E2%80%93Kac_formula" title="Feynman–Kac formula">Feynman–Kac formula</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Filtration_(probability_theory)" title="Filtration (probability theory)">Filtration</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Girsanov_theorem" title="Girsanov theorem">Girsanov theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Infinitesimal_generator_(stochastic_processes)" title="Infinitesimal generator (stochastic processes)">Infinitesimal generator</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/It%C3%B4_integral" class="mw-redirect" title="Itô integral">Itô integral</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/It%C3%B4%27s_lemma" title="Itô&#39;s lemma">Itô's lemma</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Karhunen%E2%80%93Lo%C3%A8ve_theorem" class="mw-redirect" title="Karhunen–Loève theorem">Karhunen–Loève theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kolmogorov_continuity_theorem" title="Kolmogorov continuity theorem">Kolmogorov continuity theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Kolmogorov_extension_theorem" title="Kolmogorov extension theorem">Kolmogorov extension theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/L%C3%A9vy%E2%80%93Prokhorov_metric" title="Lévy–Prokhorov metric">Lévy–Prokhorov metric</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Malliavin_calculus" title="Malliavin calculus">Malliavin calculus</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Martingale_representation_theorem" title="Martingale representation theorem">Martingale representation theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Optional_stopping_theorem" title="Optional stopping theorem">Optional stopping theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Prokhorov%27s_theorem" title="Prokhorov&#39;s theorem">Prokhorov's theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Quadratic_variation" title="Quadratic variation">Quadratic variation</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Reflection_principle_(Wiener_process)" title="Reflection principle (Wiener process)">Reflection principle</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Skorokhod_integral" title="Skorokhod integral">Skorokhod integral</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Skorokhod%27s_representation_theorem" title="Skorokhod&#39;s representation theorem">Skorokhod's representation theorem</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Skorokhod_space" class="mw-redirect" title="Skorokhod space">Skorokhod space</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Snell_envelope" title="Snell envelope">Snell envelope</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stochastic_differential_equation" title="Stochastic differential equation">Stochastic differential equation</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Tanaka_equation" title="Tanaka equation">Tanaka</a></li></ul></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stopping_time" title="Stopping time">Stopping time</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stratonovich_integral" title="Stratonovich integral">Stratonovich integral</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Uniform_integrability" title="Uniform integrability">Uniform integrability</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Usual_hypotheses" class="mw-redirect" title="Usual hypotheses">Usual hypotheses</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Wiener_space" class="mw-redirect" title="Wiener space">Wiener space</a> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Classical_Wiener_space" title="Classical Wiener space">Classical</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Abstract_Wiener_space" title="Abstract Wiener space">Abstract</a></li></ul></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Disciplines</th><td class="navbox-list-with-group navbox-list navbox-odd hlist" style="width:100%;padding:0"><div style="padding:0 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Actuarial_mathematics" class="mw-redirect" title="Actuarial mathematics">Actuarial mathematics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stochastic_control" title="Stochastic control">Control theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Econometrics" title="Econometrics">Econometrics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ergodic_theory" title="Ergodic theory">Ergodic theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Extreme_value_theory" title="Extreme value theory">Extreme value theory (EVT)</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Large_deviations_theory" title="Large deviations theory">Large deviations theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mathematical_finance" title="Mathematical finance">Mathematical finance</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Mathematical_statistics" title="Mathematical statistics">Mathematical statistics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Probability_theory" title="Probability theory">Probability theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Queueing_theory" title="Queueing theory">Queueing theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Renewal_theory" title="Renewal theory">Renewal theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Ruin_theory" title="Ruin theory">Ruin theory</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Signal_processing" title="Signal processing">Signal processing</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Statistics" title="Statistics">Statistics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Stochastic_analysis" class="mw-redirect" title="Stochastic analysis">Stochastic analysis</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Time_series_analysis" class="mw-redirect" title="Time series analysis">Time series analysis</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Machine_learning" title="Machine learning">Machine learning</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr><tr><td class="navbox-abovebelow hlist" colspan="2"><div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/List_of_stochastic_processes_topics" title="List of stochastic processes topics">List of topics</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Category:Stochastic_processes" title="Category:Stochastic processes">Category</a></li></ul> </div></td></tr></tbody></table></div> <!-- NewPP limit report Parsed by 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