[白炭黑周评]：基本面波动有限白炭黑产品维持稳价（20240308-0314）-我的钢铁网

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16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black"></span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black"></span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black"></span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">1</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">）需求：</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">本周期</span><span style="font-variant-ligatures: normal;font-variant-caps: normal;orphans: 2;text-align:start;widows: 2;-webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px;word-spacing: 0px">中国半钢胎样本企业产能利用率为</span><span style="color:black">80.53%</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">，环比</span><span style="color:black">+0.19</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">个百分点，同比</span><span style="color:black">+1.30</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">个百分点。本周中国全钢胎样本企业产能利用率为</span><span style="color:black">72.34%</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">，环比</span><span style="color:black">+0.87</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">个百分点，同比</span><span style="color:black">-1.51</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">个百分点。</span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">2</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">）库存：下游开工基本恢复正常，由于基本面波动有限，下游维持刚需采购，行业存一定的库存压力。</span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;"><span style="font-size: 16px;"></span></span><strong>2. </strong><strong>沉淀法白炭黑本周行情分析</strong><br/></p><p style="margin-top:15px;text-align:center;text-indent:32px"><img src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/05/23/2014451.jpg" title="1710405793331.jpg" alt="1710405793331.jpg"/></p><p style="margin-left:32px;text-align:center;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:#333333">国内沉淀白炭黑市场价格周度涨跌表</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left:32px;text-align:right;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:#333333">单位：元</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">/</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:#333333">吨</span></p><table width="100%" width="100"><tbody><tr style=";height:20px" class="firstRow"><td width="18" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">市场</span></strong></p></td><td width="21" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">本周</span></strong></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">上周</span></strong></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">涨跌</span></strong></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">涨跌幅</span></strong></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:20px"><td width="18" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">山东</span></p></td><td width="21" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">5400</span></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">5400</span></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">0</span></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">0.00%</span></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:20px"><td width="18" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">福建</span></p></td><td width="21" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">5300</span></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">5300</span></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">0</span></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">0.00%</span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="text-align:right;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">来源：隆众资讯</span><br/></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:28px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black"></span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:28px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">本周期沉淀白炭黑市场维持稳价。原料端轻质纯碱波动有限，硫酸延续小涨，成本端整体波动不大。而下游轮胎现阶段整体开工高位，鞋材开工一般，较上周波动不大，刚需采购为主，本周沉淀白炭黑市场延续稳价。</span></p><p style="text-align:left"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">3.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">沉淀法白炭黑原料市场行情分析</span></strong></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">3.1</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">纯碱市场</span></strong></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black"></span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">本周，国内纯碱市场走势以稳为主，企业价格涨跌互现，窄幅波动为主。隆众资讯数据监测，周内纯碱产量73.31万吨，跌幅1.87%，开工率89.30%，环比下跌1.71%，个别企业装置问题，产量及开工呈现下降；周内纯碱企业库存79.27万吨，环比周一下降0.40万吨，降幅0.50%，近期整体出货尚可，有些企业库存下降较大；周内纯碱企业待发订单14+天，增加4+天；据了解，社会库存窄幅增加；周内下游玻璃企业35%的样本场内15.43天，涨幅1.07天，场内+待发20.47天，增加3.10天；45%的样本场内14.82天，涨幅1.23天，场内+待发19.05天，涨幅2.85天；50%的样本场内14.48天，涨幅1.06天，待发+场内18.61天，涨幅2.79天。供应端，近期装置开工相对稳定，个别企业调整，测算下周整体开工及产量稳中有涨，预计开工90+%，产量74+万吨。企业订单目前尚可，基本延续到月底，有企业不接单，现货价格调整不大。企业库存分化明显，个别高，大部分企业库存低，局部货源紧张，提货慢。需求端，纯碱需求一般，前期补库，新订单相对谨慎，观望情绪增加。下游装置开工表现稳定，纯碱消费正常，原材料库存有补充。市场情绪放缓，且贸易环节库存量不高。周内，浮法日熔量17.54万吨，增加0.98%，光伏9.96万吨，增加1000吨。下周，光伏计划两条点火，产能2600吨。综上，短期纯碱市场震荡运行，价格波动预期不会太大。</span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">后期来看，供应方面，近期装置开工相对稳定，个别企业调整，测算下周整体开工及产量稳中有涨，预计开工</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun">90+%</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">，产量</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun">74+</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">万吨。企业订单目前尚可，基本延续到月底，有企业不接单，现货价格调整不大。企业库存分化明显，个别高，大部分企业库存低，局部货源紧张，提货慢。需求方面，纯碱需求一般，前期补库，新订单相对谨慎，观望情绪增加。下游装置开工表现稳定，纯碱消费正常，原材料库存有补充。市场情绪放缓，且贸易环节库存量不高。周内，浮法日熔量</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun">17.54</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">万吨，增加</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun">0.98%</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">，光伏</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun">9.96</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">万吨，增加</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun">1000</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">吨。下周，光伏计划两条点火，产能</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun">2600</span><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">吨。综合来看：短期纯碱市场震荡运行，价格波动预期不会太大。</span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">3.2 </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">硫酸市场</span></strong></p><p>本周国内硫酸市场涨势延续，偏强运行。冶炼酸原料<a href='https://m.mymetal.net/market/p-968-----020104-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜精矿</a>等金属矿源紧张情况并未缓解，冶炼行业加工费创新低，冶炼厂普遍亏损情况下，开工情况有所下滑。冶炼酸工厂硫酸库存普遍偏低，加上二季度酸厂检修装置较多，市场供应情况维持较为紧张局面。本周华中、华东、西南、华南地区下游磷肥、钛白粉等产品刚需支撑，需求维持高位，区域内及周边酸价出现补涨，上涨幅度多在30-50元/吨。东北、内蒙地区上月底月度价格有所下滑，本周随着下游化肥市场恢复，走货好转，酸价上涨50元/吨。华北、西北地区本周虽未有普遍上涨，但酸厂走货也维持顺畅状态，陕西、山西部分酸厂出现零星上调。本周硫磺酸原料硫磺上涨情况仍不明显，硫磺酸成本支撑有限，后续开工仍有上涨计划。价格截至目前，云南地区98%冶炼酸出到厂价格550-650元/吨，环比10.00%/8.33%，河南地区98%冶炼酸出厂价在80-180元/吨，环比-33.33%/-20%。</p><p>从供需情况来看：下周硫酸整体供应情况波动有限，广东有个别装置检修恢复，但湖北硫磺酸开工有上涨计划。二季度大型酸厂检修计划较多，部分酸厂备库需求下，供应量相对有限。下游磷肥及钛白粉等产品三月份需求稳中向好趋势，供需情况维持供不应求局面。从市场情况来看：本周硫酸市场区域补涨，价格坚挺。因当前酸厂库存低位，资源紧张下，预计国内硫酸市场继续上探补涨。但因硫磺价格近期上涨幅度有限，部分有下游自有硫磺酸调剂的区域市场信心稍有不足。</p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">4.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">下游轮胎开工动态</span></strong></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black"></span>本周期中国半钢胎样本企业产能利用率为80.53%，环比+0.19个百分点，同比+1.30个百分点。周内多数半钢胎样本企业装置运行延续高位，目前企业订单充足，且常规规格缺货尚存，短期开工积极性不减，因模具调换或存小幅波动。周内内销出货逐步趋向常规走货状态，整体集中性较前期放缓，外贸出货仍较为火爆，企业成品库存延续去库状态；本周期本周中国全钢胎样本企业产能利用率为72.34%，环比+0.87个百分点，同比-1.51个百分点。周内检修样本企业产能利用率恢复性提升，叠加个别企业产量继续恢复，带动整体样本企业产能利用率微幅提升。周内内销出货缓慢，企业去库速度不及预期，整体库存止跌回弹。</p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">5.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">沉淀法白炭黑下周预测</span></strong></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">后市来看，原料端纯碱、浓硫酸涨价动力有限，而终端轮胎开工整体较好，但现阶段市场后市涨价动力有限，下游整体刚需采购，短期内沉淀白炭黑市场预计稳价。</span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">二、气相法白炭黑</span></strong></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">1. </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">本周市场关注点</span></strong></p><p style="margin-top:15px;text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">1</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">）需求：终端硅酮胶市场好转有限，而硅胶制品订单尚可，下游整体刚需采购，需求一般。</span></p><p style="margin-top:15px;text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">2</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">）库存：现阶段市场价格持续维持高位，下游维持刚需采购，但前期出货较好，行业库存压力不大。</span></p><p style="margin-top:15px;text-align:left"><strong style="text-indent: 32px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">2.</span></strong><strong style="text-indent: 32px;">气相法白炭黑市场综述</strong></p><p style="margin-top:15px;text-align:left;text-indent:28px"><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;"></span></p><p style="text-indent: 32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun"> </span></p><p style="text-align:center;text-indent:32px"><img src="//img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/05/23/2014452.jpg" title="1710406120376.jpg" alt="1710406120376.jpg"/></p><p style="margin-left:32px;text-align:right;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:#333333"></span></p><p style="text-align:center;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:#333333"></span></strong></p><p style="text-align:center;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:#333333"></span></strong></p><p style="text-align:center;text-indent:32px"><span style="text-indent: 28px;"></span></p><p style="text-align:center;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:#333333">国内气相白炭黑市场价格周度涨跌表</span></strong></p><p style="margin-left:32px;text-align:right;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:#333333">单位：元</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">/</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:#333333">吨</span></p><table width="100%" width="100"><tbody><tr style=";height:20px" class="firstRow"><td width="18" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">市场</span></strong></p></td><td width="21" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">本周</span></strong></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">上周</span></strong></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">涨跌</span></strong></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">涨跌幅</span></strong></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:20px"><td width="18" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">华东</span></p></td><td width="21" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">23000</span></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">23000</span></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">0</span></p></td><td width="19" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">0.00%</span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p style="text-align:right;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">来源：隆众资讯</span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">本周期气相白炭市场延续稳价，华东地区国产200比表气相白炭黑低端对外报价在23000-26000元/吨，高端在26000-33000元/吨。原料端一甲基三氯硅烷周内小幅走高，四氯化硅延续高位，成本依旧较高，本周下游采购积极性不高，整体刚需补货，市场延续稳价。</span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">3.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">气相法白炭黑原料市场分析-DMC</span></strong></p><p style="margin-top:5px;margin-right:0;margin-bottom:5px;margin-left:0;text-align:left;text-indent:28px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="margin: 5px 0"><span style="font-size: 16px">本周</span>国内有机硅DMC价格走跌，周内各地区主流成交报价下跌200-700元/吨。在上周国内有机硅DMC止涨守稳后市场归于理性，下游退市观望，因下游客户原料订单充足，终端市场复工滞后、传统消耗领域开工低迷、生胶及硅油产品涨至高位后接单欠佳，提振不足等利空牵制，导致业者对有机硅DMC行情存悲观等跌心态，实体客户按订单生产，暂无补库计划。经销商、贸易商低价抛售降低库存。单体厂家在本周前期因有预接订单支撑且库存低位支撑下挺价撑市。上周五山东某厂下午开启自由申报，成交价格由16100元/吨跌至15800元/吨，并在周末期间也由此报价成交，下游少部分客户择低补入。但在其他单体厂家暗跌竞价后下游买涨不买跌心态下备货愈发谨慎。尽管单体厂家释放“封盘”、“停车”的消息，下游反应欠佳，入市积极性并未提高。</p><p style="margin: 5px 0"><strong style="text-indent: 28px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">4.</span></strong><strong style="text-indent: 28px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">市场影响因素分析</span></strong></p><p style="margin-top:5px;margin-right:0;margin-bottom:5px;margin-left:0;text-align:left"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black"></span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">1</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">）一甲基三氯硅烷：其中鲁西化工2800元/吨，价格涨200元/吨，合盛3800元/吨，价格稳定。</span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">2</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">）下游及相关产品：</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">本周期</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">107</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">胶涨</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">400</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">元</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">/</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">吨，生胶涨</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">1000</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">元</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">/</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">吨，混炼胶涨</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">1300</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">元</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">/</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">吨</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun">，行业订单充足，市场价格普遍走高</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">。</span></p><p style="text-align:left;text-indent:32px"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'simsun','serif';color:black">5.</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">后市预测</span></strong></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">后市来看，虽下游需求好转有限，但原料一甲基三氯硅烷价格上涨，四氯化硅预计维持高位，在成本的支撑下，气相白炭黑市场预计稳价。</span></p><p style="margin-top:5px;margin-right:0;margin-bottom:5px;margin-left:0;text-align:left"><span style="text-indent: 28px;"></span><br/></p><p style="margin-top:15px;margin-right:0;margin-bottom:5px;margin-left: 0;text-indent:28px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black"></span></p><p style="margin-top:15px;margin-right:0;margin-bottom:5px;margin-left: 0;text-indent:28px"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black"></span></p><p style="margin-top: 15px; text-align: left; text-indent: 28px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black"></span></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：赵天天 0533-7026232 </br> 资讯监督：丛琳 0533-7026058 </br> 资讯投诉：李倩 0533-7026993 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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[白炭黑周评]：基本面波动有限 白炭黑产品维持稳价（20240308-0314）-我的钢铁网

[白炭黑周评]：基本面波动有限白炭黑产品维持稳价（20240308-0314）-我的钢铁网