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class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2</span> <span>Contributions</span> </div> </a> <button aria-controls="toc-Contributions-sublist" class="cdx-button cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--icon-only vector-toc-toggle"> <span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-expand"></span> <span>Toggle Contributions subsection</span> </button> <ul id="toc-Contributions-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> <li id="toc-Mathematical_modeling_and_Cliodynamics" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-2"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Mathematical_modeling_and_Cliodynamics"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.1</span> <span>Mathematical modeling and Cliodynamics</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Mathematical_modeling_and_Cliodynamics-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> <li id="toc-Global_dynamics" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Global_dynamics"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.1.1</span> <span>Global dynamics</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Global_dynamics-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Social_and_biological_macroevolution" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Social_and_biological_macroevolution"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.1.2</span> <span>Social and biological macroevolution</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Social_and_biological_macroevolution-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Cliodynamics_and_the_study_of_the_Arab_Spring" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Cliodynamics_and_the_study_of_the_Arab_Spring"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.1.3</span> <span>Cliodynamics and the study of the Arab Spring</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Cliodynamics_and_the_study_of_the_Arab_Spring-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Russian_demographic_crisis" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Russian_demographic_crisis"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.1.4</span> <span>Russian demographic crisis</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Russian_demographic_crisis-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-"Literacy_and_the_Spirit_of_Capitalism"" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#"Literacy_and_the_Spirit_of_Capitalism""> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.1.5</span> <span>"Literacy and the Spirit of Capitalism"</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-"Literacy_and_the_Spirit_of_Capitalism"-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-World-system_analysis" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-2"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#World-system_analysis"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.2</span> <span>World-system analysis</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-World-system_analysis-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> <li id="toc-Great_Divergence_and_Great_Convergence" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Great_Divergence_and_Great_Convergence"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.2.1</span> <span>Great Divergence and Great Convergence</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Great_Divergence_and_Great_Convergence-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Kondratieff_waves" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Kondratieff_waves"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.2.2</span> <span>Kondratieff waves</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Kondratieff_waves-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-General_theory_of_social_macroevolution" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#General_theory_of_social_macroevolution"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.2.3</span> <span>General theory of social macroevolution</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-General_theory_of_social_macroevolution-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Cross-cultural_studies" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-2"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Cross-cultural_studies"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.3</span> <span>Cross-cultural studies</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Cross-cultural_studies-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> <li id="toc-Matrilocal_vs._patrilocal_residence" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Matrilocal_vs._patrilocal_residence"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.3.1</span> <span>Matrilocal vs. patrilocal residence</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Matrilocal_vs._patrilocal_residence-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Myths,_genes,_and_deep_history" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Myths,_genes,_and_deep_history"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.3.2</span> <span>Myths, genes, and deep history</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Myths,_genes,_and_deep_history-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Unilineal_descent_and_Christianization" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Unilineal_descent_and_Christianization"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.3.3</span> <span>Unilineal descent and Christianization</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Unilineal_descent_and_Christianization-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Sociopolitical_systems_in_the_Middle_East_and_Africa" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-2"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Sociopolitical_systems_in_the_Middle_East_and_Africa"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.4</span> <span>Sociopolitical systems in the Middle East and Africa</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Sociopolitical_systems_in_the_Middle_East_and_Africa-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> <li id="toc-Origins_of_parallel-cousin_marriage_and_the_Afrasian_Instability_Zone" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Origins_of_parallel-cousin_marriage_and_the_Afrasian_Instability_Zone"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.4.1</span> <span>Origins of parallel-cousin marriage and the Afrasian Instability Zone</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Origins_of_parallel-cousin_marriage_and_the_Afrasian_Instability_Zone-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Yemeni_Studies" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Yemeni_Studies"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.4.2</span> <span>Yemeni Studies</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Yemeni_Studies-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-African_Studies" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#African_Studies"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.4.3</span> <span>African Studies</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-African_Studies-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Origins_of_Islam" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-3"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Origins_of_Islam"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">2.4.4</span> <span>Origins of Islam</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Origins_of_Islam-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Select_publications" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Select_publications"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">3</span> <span>Select publications</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Select_publications-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Edited_volumes_by_Andrey_Korotayev" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Edited_volumes_by_Andrey_Korotayev"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">4</span> <span>Edited volumes by Andrey Korotayev</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Edited_volumes_by_Andrey_Korotayev-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-Notes" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#Notes"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">5</span> <span>Notes</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-Notes-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> <li id="toc-External_links" class="vector-toc-list-item vector-toc-level-1 vector-toc-list-item-expanded"> <a class="vector-toc-link" href="#External_links"> <div class="vector-toc-text"> <span class="vector-toc-numb">6</span> <span>External links</span> </div> </a> <ul id="toc-External_links-sublist" class="vector-toc-list"> </ul> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </nav> </div> </div> <div class="mw-content-container"> <main id="content" class="mw-body"> <header class="mw-body-header vector-page-titlebar"> <nav aria-label="Contents" class="vector-toc-landmark"> <div id="vector-page-titlebar-toc" class="vector-dropdown vector-page-titlebar-toc vector-button-flush-left" > <input type="checkbox" id="vector-page-titlebar-toc-checkbox" role="button" aria-haspopup="true" data-event-name="ui.dropdown-vector-page-titlebar-toc" class="vector-dropdown-checkbox " aria-label="Toggle the table of contents" > <label id="vector-page-titlebar-toc-label" for="vector-page-titlebar-toc-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--icon-only " aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-listBullet mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-listBullet"></span> <span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">Toggle the table of contents</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div id="vector-page-titlebar-toc-unpinned-container" class="vector-unpinned-container"> </div> </div> </div> </nav> <h1 id="firstHeading" class="firstHeading mw-first-heading"><span class="mw-page-title-main">Andrey Korotayev</span></h1> <div id="p-lang-btn" class="vector-dropdown mw-portlet mw-portlet-lang" > <input type="checkbox" id="p-lang-btn-checkbox" role="button" aria-haspopup="true" data-event-name="ui.dropdown-p-lang-btn" class="vector-dropdown-checkbox mw-interlanguage-selector" aria-label="Go to an article in another language. Available in 46 languages" > <label id="p-lang-btn-label" for="p-lang-btn-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--action-progressive mw-portlet-lang-heading-46" aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-language-progressive mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-language-progressive"></span> <span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">46 languages</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-af mw-list-item"><a href="https://af.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrei_Korotajef" title="Andrei Korotajef – Afrikaans" lang="af" hreflang="af" data-title="Andrei Korotajef" data-language-autonym="Afrikaans" data-language-local-name="Afrikaans" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Afrikaans</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ar mw-list-item"><a href="https://ar.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%A3%D9%86%D8%AF%D8%B1%D9%8A%D9%87_%D9%83%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B7%D8%A7%D8%A6%D9%81" title="أندريه كاراطائف – Arabic" lang="ar" hreflang="ar" data-title="أندريه كاراطائف" data-language-autonym="العربية" data-language-local-name="Arabic" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>العربية</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ast mw-list-item"><a href="https://ast.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andr%C3%A9i_Korot%C3%A1yev" title="Andréi Korotáyev – Asturian" lang="ast" hreflang="ast" data-title="Andréi Korotáyev" data-language-autonym="Asturianu" data-language-local-name="Asturian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Asturianu</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-az mw-list-item"><a href="https://az.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrey_Korotayev" title="Andrey Korotayev – Azerbaijani" lang="az" hreflang="az" data-title="Andrey Korotayev" data-language-autonym="Azərbaycanca" data-language-local-name="Azerbaijani" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Azərbaycanca</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-azb mw-list-item"><a href="https://azb.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%A2%D9%86%D8%AF%D8%B1%DB%8C_%DA%A9%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B7%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%81" title="آندری کاراطایف – South Azerbaijani" lang="azb" hreflang="azb" data-title="آندری کاراطایف" data-language-autonym="تۆرکجه" data-language-local-name="South Azerbaijani" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>تۆرکجه</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-be mw-list-item"><a href="https://be.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D1%8D%D0%B9_%D0%92%D1%96%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%96%D1%87_%D0%9A%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%B5%D1%9E" title="Андрэй Вітальевіч Каратаеў – Belarusian" lang="be" hreflang="be" data-title="Андрэй Вітальевіч Каратаеў" data-language-autonym="Беларуская" data-language-local-name="Belarusian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Беларуская</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-bg mw-list-item"><a href="https://bg.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9_%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%B5%D0%B2" title="Андрей Коротаев – Bulgarian" lang="bg" hreflang="bg" data-title="Андрей Коротаев" data-language-autonym="Български" data-language-local-name="Bulgarian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Български</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ca mw-list-item"><a href="https://ca.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrei_Korot%C3%A0iev" title="Andrei Korotàiev – Catalan" lang="ca" hreflang="ca" data-title="Andrei Korotàiev" data-language-autonym="Català" data-language-local-name="Catalan" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Català</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-cs mw-list-item"><a href="https://cs.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotajev" title="Andrej Korotajev – Czech" lang="cs" hreflang="cs" data-title="Andrej Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Čeština" data-language-local-name="Czech" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Čeština</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-cy mw-list-item"><a href="https://cy.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotayev" title="Andrej Korotayev – Welsh" lang="cy" hreflang="cy" data-title="Andrej Korotayev" data-language-autonym="Cymraeg" data-language-local-name="Welsh" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Cymraeg</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-da mw-list-item"><a href="https://da.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotajev" title="Andrej Korotajev – Danish" lang="da" hreflang="da" data-title="Andrej Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Dansk" data-language-local-name="Danish" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Dansk</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-de mw-list-item"><a href="https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrei_Witaljewitsch_Korotajew" title="Andrei Witaljewitsch Korotajew – German" lang="de" hreflang="de" data-title="Andrei Witaljewitsch Korotajew" data-language-autonym="Deutsch" data-language-local-name="German" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Deutsch</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-et mw-list-item"><a href="https://et.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrei_Korotajev" title="Andrei Korotajev – Estonian" lang="et" hreflang="et" data-title="Andrei Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Eesti" data-language-local-name="Estonian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Eesti</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-el mw-list-item"><a href="https://el.wikipedia.org/wiki/%CE%91%CE%BD%CF%84%CF%81%CE%AD%CE%B9_%CE%9A%CE%BF%CF%81%CE%BF%CF%84%CE%AC%CE%B3%CE%B5%CF%86" title="Αντρέι Κοροτάγεφ – Greek" lang="el" hreflang="el" data-title="Αντρέι Κοροτάγεφ" data-language-autonym="Ελληνικά" data-language-local-name="Greek" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Ελληνικά</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-es mw-list-item"><a href="https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andr%C3%A9i_Korot%C3%A1yev" title="Andréi Korotáyev – Spanish" lang="es" hreflang="es" data-title="Andréi Korotáyev" data-language-autonym="Español" data-language-local-name="Spanish" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Español</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-eo mw-list-item"><a href="https://eo.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotajev" title="Andrej Korotajev – Esperanto" lang="eo" hreflang="eo" data-title="Andrej Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Esperanto" data-language-local-name="Esperanto" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Esperanto</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fa mw-list-item"><a href="https://fa.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%A2%D9%86%D8%AF%D8%B1%DB%8C_%DA%A9%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B7%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%81" title="آندری کاراطایف – Persian" lang="fa" hreflang="fa" data-title="آندری کاراطایف" data-language-autonym="فارسی" data-language-local-name="Persian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>فارسی</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fr mw-list-item"><a href="https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andre%C3%AF_Korota%C3%AFev" title="Andreï Korotaïev – French" lang="fr" hreflang="fr" data-title="Andreï Korotaïev" data-language-autonym="Français" data-language-local-name="French" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Français</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-id mw-list-item"><a href="https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrey_Korotayev" title="Andrey Korotayev – Indonesian" lang="id" hreflang="id" data-title="Andrey Korotayev" data-language-autonym="Bahasa Indonesia" data-language-local-name="Indonesian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Bahasa Indonesia</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-it mw-list-item"><a href="https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotaev" title="Andrej Korotaev – Italian" lang="it" hreflang="it" data-title="Andrej Korotaev" data-language-autonym="Italiano" data-language-local-name="Italian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Italiano</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-he mw-list-item"><a href="https://he.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D7%90%D7%A0%D7%93%D7%A8%D7%99%D7%99_%D7%A7%D7%95%D7%A8%D7%95%D7%98%D7%90%D7%99%D7%99%D7%91" title="אנדריי קורוטאייב – Hebrew" lang="he" hreflang="he" data-title="אנדריי קורוטאייב" data-language-autonym="עברית" data-language-local-name="Hebrew" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>עברית</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sw mw-list-item"><a href="https://sw.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrey_Korotayev" title="Andrey Korotayev – Swahili" lang="sw" hreflang="sw" data-title="Andrey Korotayev" data-language-autonym="Kiswahili" data-language-local-name="Swahili" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Kiswahili</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-lt mw-list-item"><a href="https://lt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrejus_Korotajevas" title="Andrejus Korotajevas – Lithuanian" lang="lt" hreflang="lt" data-title="Andrejus Korotajevas" data-language-autonym="Lietuvių" data-language-local-name="Lithuanian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Lietuvių</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-mk mw-list-item"><a href="https://mk.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D1%98_%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%B5%D0%B2" title="Андреј Коротаев – Macedonian" lang="mk" hreflang="mk" data-title="Андреј Коротаев" data-language-autonym="Македонски" data-language-local-name="Macedonian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Македонски</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-mt mw-list-item"><a href="https://mt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrey_Korotayev" title="Andrey Korotayev – Maltese" lang="mt" hreflang="mt" data-title="Andrey Korotayev" data-language-autonym="Malti" data-language-local-name="Maltese" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Malti</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-arz mw-list-item"><a href="https://arz.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%A7%D9%86%D8%AF%D8%B1%D9%8A%D9%87_%D9%83%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B7%D8%A7%D8%A6%D9%81" title="اندريه كاراطائف – Egyptian Arabic" lang="arz" hreflang="arz" data-title="اندريه كاراطائف" data-language-autonym="مصرى" data-language-local-name="Egyptian Arabic" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>مصرى</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ms mw-list-item"><a href="https://ms.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrey_Korotayev" title="Andrey Korotayev – Malay" lang="ms" hreflang="ms" data-title="Andrey Korotayev" data-language-autonym="Bahasa Melayu" data-language-local-name="Malay" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Bahasa Melayu</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-nl mw-list-item"><a href="https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotajev" title="Andrej Korotajev – Dutch" lang="nl" hreflang="nl" data-title="Andrej Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Nederlands" data-language-local-name="Dutch" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Nederlands</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ja mw-list-item"><a href="https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%82%A2%E3%83%B3%E3%83%89%E3%83%AC%E3%82%A4%E3%83%BB%E3%82%B3%E3%83%AD%E3%82%BF%E3%83%BC%E3%82%A8%E3%83%95" title="アンドレイ・コロターエフ – Japanese" lang="ja" hreflang="ja" data-title="アンドレイ・コロターエフ" data-language-autonym="日本語" data-language-local-name="Japanese" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>日本語</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-no mw-list-item"><a href="https://no.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotajev" title="Andrej Korotajev – Norwegian Bokmål" lang="nb" hreflang="nb" data-title="Andrej Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Norsk bokmål" data-language-local-name="Norwegian Bokmål" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Norsk bokmål</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-oc mw-list-item"><a href="https://oc.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrei_Korotaiev" title="Andrei Korotaiev – Occitan" lang="oc" hreflang="oc" data-title="Andrei Korotaiev" data-language-autonym="Occitan" data-language-local-name="Occitan" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Occitan</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ps mw-list-item"><a href="https://ps.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%A2%D9%86%D8%AF%D8%B1%DB%8C_%DA%A9%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B7%D8%A7%D9%8A%D9%81" title="آندری کاراطايف – Pashto" lang="ps" hreflang="ps" data-title="آندری کاراطايف" data-language-autonym="پښتو" data-language-local-name="Pashto" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>پښتو</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-pl mw-list-item"><a href="https://pl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andriej_Korotajew" title="Andriej Korotajew – Polish" lang="pl" hreflang="pl" data-title="Andriej Korotajew" data-language-autonym="Polski" data-language-local-name="Polish" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Polski</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-pt mw-list-item"><a href="https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrey_Korotayev" title="Andrey Korotayev – Portuguese" lang="pt" hreflang="pt" data-title="Andrey Korotayev" data-language-autonym="Português" data-language-local-name="Portuguese" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Português</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ro mw-list-item"><a href="https://ro.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrei_Korotaev" title="Andrei Korotaev – Romanian" lang="ro" hreflang="ro" data-title="Andrei Korotaev" data-language-autonym="Română" data-language-local-name="Romanian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Română</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ru mw-list-item"><a href="https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%B5%D0%B2,_%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9_%D0%92%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%87" title="Коротаев, Андрей Витальевич – Russian" lang="ru" hreflang="ru" data-title="Коротаев, Андрей Витальевич" data-language-autonym="Русский" data-language-local-name="Russian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Русский</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sq mw-list-item"><a href="https://sq.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotajev" title="Andrej Korotajev – Albanian" lang="sq" hreflang="sq" data-title="Andrej Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Shqip" data-language-local-name="Albanian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Shqip</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sl mw-list-item"><a href="https://sl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotajev" title="Andrej Korotajev – Slovenian" lang="sl" hreflang="sl" data-title="Andrej Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Slovenščina" data-language-local-name="Slovenian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Slovenščina</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sh mw-list-item"><a href="https://sh.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotajev" title="Andrej Korotajev – Serbo-Croatian" lang="sh" hreflang="sh" data-title="Andrej Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Srpskohrvatski / српскохрватски" data-language-local-name="Serbo-Croatian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Srpskohrvatski / српскохрватски</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fi mw-list-item"><a href="https://fi.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrei_Korotajev" title="Andrei Korotajev – Finnish" lang="fi" hreflang="fi" data-title="Andrei Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Suomi" data-language-local-name="Finnish" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Suomi</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sv mw-list-item"><a href="https://sv.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrej_Korotajev" title="Andrej Korotajev – Swedish" lang="sv" hreflang="sv" data-title="Andrej Korotajev" data-language-autonym="Svenska" data-language-local-name="Swedish" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Svenska</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-tr mw-list-item"><a href="https://tr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrey_Korotayev" title="Andrey Korotayev – Turkish" lang="tr" hreflang="tr" data-title="Andrey Korotayev" data-language-autonym="Türkçe" data-language-local-name="Turkish" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Türkçe</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-uk mw-list-item"><a href="https://uk.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%82%D0%B0%D1%94%D0%B2_%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D1%96%D0%B9_%D0%92%D1%96%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%96%D0%B9%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%87" title="Коротаєв Андрій Віталійович – Ukrainian" lang="uk" hreflang="uk" data-title="Коротаєв Андрій Віталійович" data-language-autonym="Українська" data-language-local-name="Ukrainian" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Українська</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ur mw-list-item"><a href="https://ur.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%A2%D9%86%D8%AF%D8%B1%DB%92_%DA%A9%D8%A7%D8%B1%D8%A7%D8%B7%D8%A7%DB%8C%D9%81" title="آندرے کاراطایف – Urdu" lang="ur" hreflang="ur" data-title="آندرے کاراطایف" data-language-autonym="اردو" data-language-local-name="Urdu" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>اردو</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-vi mw-list-item"><a href="https://vi.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrey_Vitalyevich_Korotaev" title="Andrey Vitalyevich Korotaev – Vietnamese" lang="vi" hreflang="vi" data-title="Andrey Vitalyevich Korotaev" data-language-autonym="Tiếng Việt" data-language-local-name="Vietnamese" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Tiếng Việt</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-zh mw-list-item"><a href="https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E5%AE%89%E5%BE%B7%E7%83%88%C2%B7%E7%A7%91%E7%BD%97%E5%A1%94%E8%80%B6%E5%A4%AB" title="安德烈·科罗塔耶夫 – Chinese" lang="zh" hreflang="zh" data-title="安德烈·科罗塔耶夫" data-language-autonym="中文" data-language-local-name="Chinese" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>中文</span></a></li> </ul> <div class="after-portlet after-portlet-lang"><span class="wb-langlinks-edit wb-langlinks-link"><a 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dir="ltr"><div class="shortdescription nomobile noexcerpt noprint searchaux" style="display:none">Russian anthropologist, economic historian, comparative political scientist, and sociologist</div> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1251242444">.mw-parser-output .ambox{border:1px solid #a2a9b1;border-left:10px solid #36c;background-color:#fbfbfb;box-sizing:border-box}.mw-parser-output .ambox+link+.ambox,.mw-parser-output .ambox+link+style+.ambox,.mw-parser-output .ambox+link+link+.ambox,.mw-parser-output .ambox+.mw-empty-elt+link+.ambox,.mw-parser-output .ambox+.mw-empty-elt+link+style+.ambox,.mw-parser-output .ambox+.mw-empty-elt+link+link+.ambox{margin-top:-1px}html body.mediawiki .mw-parser-output .ambox.mbox-small-left{margin:4px 1em 4px 0;overflow:hidden;width:238px;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:88%;line-height:1.25em}.mw-parser-output .ambox-speedy{border-left:10px solid #b32424;background-color:#fee7e6}.mw-parser-output .ambox-delete{border-left:10px solid #b32424}.mw-parser-output .ambox-content{border-left:10px solid #f28500}.mw-parser-output .ambox-style{border-left:10px solid #fc3}.mw-parser-output .ambox-move{border-left:10px solid #9932cc}.mw-parser-output .ambox-protection{border-left:10px solid #a2a9b1}.mw-parser-output .ambox .mbox-text{border:none;padding:0.25em 0.5em;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .ambox .mbox-image{border:none;padding:2px 0 2px 0.5em;text-align:center}.mw-parser-output .ambox .mbox-imageright{border:none;padding:2px 0.5em 2px 0;text-align:center}.mw-parser-output .ambox .mbox-empty-cell{border:none;padding:0;width:1px}.mw-parser-output .ambox .mbox-image-div{width:52px}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .ambox{margin:0 10%}}@media print{body.ns-0 .mw-parser-output .ambox{display:none!important}}</style><table class="box-COI plainlinks metadata ambox ambox-content ambox-COI" role="presentation"><tbody><tr><td class="mbox-image"><div class="mbox-image-div"><span class="skin-invert" 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Please discuss further on the <a href="/wiki/Talk:Andrey_Korotayev" title="Talk:Andrey Korotayev">talk page</a>.</span> <span class="date-container"><i>(<span class="date">March 2020</span>)</i></span><span class="hide-when-compact"><i> (<small><a href="/wiki/Help:Maintenance_template_removal" title="Help:Maintenance template removal">Learn how and when to remove this message</a></small>)</i></span></div></td></tr></tbody></table> <p class="mw-empty-elt"> </p> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1257001546">.mw-parser-output .infobox-subbox{padding:0;border:none;margin:-3px;width:auto;min-width:100%;font-size:100%;clear:none;float:none;background-color:transparent}.mw-parser-output .infobox-3cols-child{margin:auto}.mw-parser-output .infobox .navbar{font-size:100%}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .infobox-full-data:not(.notheme)>div:not(.notheme)[style]{background:#1f1f23!important;color:#f8f9fa}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .infobox-full-data:not(.notheme) div:not(.notheme){background:#1f1f23!important;color:#f8f9fa}}@media(min-width:640px){body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table{display:table!important}body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table>caption{display:table-caption!important}body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table>tbody{display:table-row-group}body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table tr{display:table-row!important}body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table th,body.skin--responsive .mw-parser-output .infobox-table td{padding-left:inherit;padding-right:inherit}}</style><table class="infobox biography vcard"><tbody><tr><th colspan="2" class="infobox-above" style="font-size:125%;"><div class="fn">Andrey Korotayev</div></th></tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="infobox-image"><span class="mw-default-size" typeof="mw:File/Frameless"><a href="/wiki/File:Rift_Valley4.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a5/Rift_Valley4.jpg/220px-Rift_Valley4.jpg" decoding="async" width="220" height="173" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a5/Rift_Valley4.jpg/330px-Rift_Valley4.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a5/Rift_Valley4.jpg/440px-Rift_Valley4.jpg 2x" data-file-width="2257" data-file-height="1774" /></a></span><div class="infobox-caption">Korotayev over the Rift Valley, North Tanzania, November 2008</div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Born</th><td class="infobox-data"><span style="display:none"> (<span class="bday">1961-02-17</span>) </span>17 February 1961<span class="noprint ForceAgeToShow"> (age 63)</span><br /><div style="display:inline" class="birthplace">Moscow, Soviet Union</div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Nationality</th><td class="infobox-data category">Russian</td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Alma mater</th><td class="infobox-data"><a href="/wiki/Moscow_State_University" title="Moscow State University">Moscow State University</a></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Known for</th><td class="infobox-data">contributions to mathematical modelling of the <a href="/wiki/World-system_theory" class="mw-redirect" title="World-system theory">World System</a> development and <a href="/wiki/Cross-cultural_studies" title="Cross-cultural studies">cross-cultural studies</a></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Awards</th><td class="infobox-data">Russian Science Support Foundation Award in "The Best Economists of the <a href="/wiki/Russian_Academy_of_Sciences" title="Russian Academy of Sciences">Russian Academy of Sciences</a>" nomination (2006)<sup id="cite_ref-sbras.nsc.ru_1-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-sbras.nsc.ru-1"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><br />In 2012 he was awarded with the Gold Kondratieff Medal<sup id="cite_ref-ikf2010.ru_2-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-ikf2010.ru-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> by <a href="/wiki/International_N._D._Kondratiev_Foundation" title="International N. D. Kondratiev Foundation">the International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation</a>.</td></tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="infobox-full-data"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1257001546"><b>Scientific career</b></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Fields</th><td class="infobox-data category"><a href="/wiki/Cross-cultural_studies" title="Cross-cultural studies">cross-cultural studies</a>, mathematical modelling of social, economic, and historical dynamics; <a href="/wiki/Islam" title="Islam">Islamic</a> and pre-Islamic history</td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="infobox-label">Institutions</th><td class="infobox-data"><a href="/wiki/National_Research_University_Higher_School_of_Economics" class="mw-redirect" title="National Research University Higher School of Economics">HSE University</a> (Moscow)<br /> <a href="/wiki/Russian_Academy_of_Sciences" title="Russian Academy of Sciences">Russian Academy of Sciences</a> (Moscow) <br /><a href="/wiki/Institute_for_Advanced_Study" title="Institute for Advanced Study">Institute for Advanced Study</a>(<a href="/wiki/Princeton_University" title="Princeton University">Princeton</a>)<br /><a href="/wiki/Russian_State_University_for_the_Humanities" title="Russian State University for the Humanities">Russian State University for the Humanities</a> (Moscow)</td></tr><tr style="display:none"><td colspan="2"> </td></tr></tbody></table> <p><b>Andrey Vitalievich Korotayev</b> (<a href="/wiki/Russian_language" title="Russian language">Russian</a>: <span lang="ru">Андре́й Вита́льевич Корота́ев</span>; born 17 February 1961) is a Russian <a href="/wiki/Anthropology" title="Anthropology">anthropologist</a>, <a href="/wiki/Economic_history" title="Economic history">economic historian</a>, <a href="/wiki/Comparative_politics" title="Comparative politics">comparative political scientist</a>, <a href="/wiki/Demography" title="Demography">demographer</a> and <a href="/wiki/Sociology" title="Sociology">sociologist</a>, with major contributions to <a href="/wiki/World-systems_theory" title="World-systems theory">world-systems theory</a>, <a href="/wiki/Cross-cultural_studies" title="Cross-cultural studies">cross-cultural studies</a>, <a href="/wiki/Near_East" title="Near East">Near Eastern</a> history, <a href="/wiki/Big_History" title="Big History">Big History</a>, and <a href="/wiki/Mathematical_modelling" class="mw-redirect" title="Mathematical modelling">mathematical modelling</a> of social and <a href="/wiki/Macroeconomics" title="Macroeconomics">economic macrodynamics</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-3" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-3"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>3<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>He is currently the Director of the Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis at the <a href="/wiki/Higher_School_of_Economics" title="Higher School of Economics">HSE University</a> in Moscow,<sup id="cite_ref-HSE_University_-_Moscow_staff_4-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-HSE_University_-_Moscow_staff-4"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> and a Senior Research Professor at the Center for Big History and System Forecasting of the <a href="/wiki/Institute_of_Oriental_Studies_of_the_Russian_Academy_of_Sciences" title="Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences">Institute of Oriental Studies</a><sup id="cite_ref-5" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-5"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>5<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-6" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-6"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>6<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> as well as in the Institute for African Studies of the <a href="/wiki/Russian_Academy_of_Sciences" title="Russian Academy of Sciences">Russian Academy of Sciences</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-7" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-7"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>7<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>In addition, he is a senior research professor of the International Laboratory on Political Demography and Social Macrodynamics (PDSM) of the <a href="/wiki/Russian_Presidential_Academy_of_National_Economy_and_Public_Administration" title="Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration">Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration</a>,<sup id="cite_ref-8" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-8"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>8<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> as well as a full professor of the Faculty of Global Studies of the <a href="/wiki/Moscow_State_University" title="Moscow State University">Moscow State University</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-9" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-9"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>9<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>He is co-editor of the journals <i><a href="/wiki/Social_Evolution_%26_History" title="Social Evolution & History">Social Evolution & History</a></i> and <i>Journal of Globalization Studies</i>,<sup id="cite_ref-10" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-10"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>10<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> as well as <i>History & Mathematics</i><sup id="cite_ref-11" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-11"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>11<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> <a href="/wiki/Yearbook" title="Yearbook">yearbook</a><sup id="cite_ref-12" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-12"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>12<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>Together with <a href="/wiki/Askar_Akayev" title="Askar Akayev">Askar Akayev</a> and George Malinetsky he was in 2008-2018 a coordinator of the Russian Academy of Sciences Program "System Analysis and Mathematical Modeling of World Dynamics".<sup id="cite_ref-13" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-13"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>13<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <meta property="mw:PageProp/toc" /> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Education_and_career">Education and career</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=1" title="Edit section: Education and career"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Born in Moscow, Andrey Korotayev attended <a href="/wiki/Moscow_State_University" title="Moscow State University">Moscow State University</a>, where he received an <a href="/wiki/Master%27s_degree" title="Master's degree">MA</a> in 1984. He earned a PhD in 1993 from <a href="/wiki/Manchester_University" class="mw-redirect" title="Manchester University">Manchester University</a>, and in 1998 a <a href="/wiki/Doctor_of_Sciences" title="Doctor of Sciences">Doctor of Sciences</a> degree from the <a href="/wiki/Russian_Academy_of_Sciences" title="Russian Academy of Sciences">Russian Academy of Sciences</a>. </p> <figure class="mw-halign-left" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Fuld_Hall,_Institute_for_Advanced_Study,_Princeton,_NJ.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/28/Fuld_Hall%2C_Institute_for_Advanced_Study%2C_Princeton%2C_NJ.jpg/240px-Fuld_Hall%2C_Institute_for_Advanced_Study%2C_Princeton%2C_NJ.jpg" decoding="async" width="240" height="160" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/28/Fuld_Hall%2C_Institute_for_Advanced_Study%2C_Princeton%2C_NJ.jpg/360px-Fuld_Hall%2C_Institute_for_Advanced_Study%2C_Princeton%2C_NJ.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/28/Fuld_Hall%2C_Institute_for_Advanced_Study%2C_Princeton%2C_NJ.jpg/480px-Fuld_Hall%2C_Institute_for_Advanced_Study%2C_Princeton%2C_NJ.jpg 2x" data-file-width="2469" data-file-height="1646" /></a><figcaption><a href="/wiki/Institute_for_Advanced_Study" title="Institute for Advanced Study">Institute for Advanced Study</a> in <a href="/wiki/Princeton,_New_Jersey" title="Princeton, New Jersey">Princeton, New Jersey</a></figcaption></figure><p> Since 2000, he has been Professor and Director of the Anthropology of the East Center at the <a href="/wiki/Russian_State_University_for_the_Humanities" title="Russian State University for the Humanities">Russian State University for the Humanities</a>, Moscow, and Senior Research Professor in the <a href="/wiki/Institute_of_Oriental_Studies_of_the_Russian_Academy_of_Sciences" title="Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences">Oriental Institute</a> and Institute for African Studies at the <a href="/wiki/Russian_Academy_of_Sciences" title="Russian Academy of Sciences">Russian Academy of Sciences</a>. In 2001–2003, he also directed the "Anthropology of the East" Program at the <a href="/wiki/National_Research_University_Higher_School_of_Economics" class="mw-redirect" title="National Research University Higher School of Economics">National Research University Higher School of Economics</a> in Moscow and is now the Director of the Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis at this university.<sup id="cite_ref-HSE_University_-_Moscow_staff_4-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-HSE_University_-_Moscow_staff-4"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>4<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> In 2003–2004, he was a visiting member at the <a href="/wiki/Institute_for_Advanced_Study" title="Institute for Advanced Study">Institute for Advanced Study</a> in <a href="/wiki/Princeton,_NJ" class="mw-redirect" title="Princeton, NJ">Princeton, NJ</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-14" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-14"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>14<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>Korotayev is a laureate of the Russian Science Support Foundation in "The Best Economists of the <a href="/wiki/Russian_Academy_of_Sciences" title="Russian Academy of Sciences">Russian Academy of Sciences</a>" nomination (2006).<sup id="cite_ref-sbras.nsc.ru_1-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-sbras.nsc.ru-1"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> In 2012 he was awarded with the Gold Kondratieff Medal<sup id="cite_ref-ikf2010.ru_2-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-ikf2010.ru-2"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>2<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> by <a href="/wiki/International_N._D._Kondratiev_Foundation" title="International N. D. Kondratiev Foundation">the International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation</a>. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Contributions">Contributions</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=2" title="Edit section: Contributions"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Andrey Korotayev has made important contributions to the following fields. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Mathematical_modeling_and_Cliodynamics">Mathematical modeling and Cliodynamics</h3><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=3" title="Edit section: Mathematical modeling and Cliodynamics"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-default-size mw-halign-right" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Clio.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/01/Clio.jpg" decoding="async" width="178" height="247" class="mw-file-element" data-file-width="178" data-file-height="247" /></a><figcaption>Clio—detail from <i><a href="/wiki/The_Art_of_Painting" title="The Art of Painting">The Allegory of Painting</a></i> by <a href="/wiki/Johannes_Vermeer" title="Johannes Vermeer">Johannes Vermeer</a></figcaption></figure> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Global_dynamics">Global dynamics</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=4" title="Edit section: Global dynamics"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>In this field he has proposed one of the most convincing mathematical explanations for <a href="/wiki/Heinz_von_Foerster" title="Heinz von Foerster">von Foerster's</a> <a href="/wiki/Doomsday_Equation" class="mw-redirect" title="Doomsday Equation">Doomsday Equation</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-cliodynamics_15-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-cliodynamics-15"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>15<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> In collaboration with his colleagues, Artemy Malkov and <a href="/wiki/Daria_Khaltourina" title="Daria Khaltourina">Daria Khaltourina</a>, he has shown that till the 1970s the <a href="/wiki/Hyperbolic_growth" title="Hyperbolic growth">hyperbolic growth</a> of the <a href="/wiki/World_population" title="World population">world population</a> was accompanied by <a href="/wiki/Quadratic_function" title="Quadratic function">quadratic</a>-<a href="/wiki/Hyperbolic_growth" title="Hyperbolic growth">hyperbolic growth</a> of the world GDP, and developed a number of <a href="/wiki/Mathematical_model" title="Mathematical model">mathematical models</a> describing both of these phenomena simultaneously; he has also described mathematically the <a href="/wiki/World-system_theory" class="mw-redirect" title="World-system theory">World System</a> withdrawal from the <a href="/wiki/Hyperbolic_growth" title="Hyperbolic growth">blow-up regime</a> observed in the recent decades.<sup id="cite_ref-cliodynamics.ru_16-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-cliodynamics.ru-16"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>16<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>The hyperbolic growth of the <a href="/wiki/World_population" title="World population">world population</a> and quadratic-hyperbolic growth of the world GDP observed till the 1970s have been correlated by him and his colleagues to a non-linear second order <a href="/wiki/Positive_feedback" title="Positive feedback">positive feedback</a> between the <a href="/wiki/Demographic" class="mw-redirect" title="Demographic">demographic</a> growth and technological development that can be spelled out as follows: technological growth – increase in the <a href="/wiki/Carrying_capacity" title="Carrying capacity">carrying capacity</a> of land for people – demographic growth – more people – more potential inventors – acceleration of technological growth – accelerating growth of the <a href="/wiki/Carrying_capacity" title="Carrying capacity">carrying capacity</a> – the faster <a href="/wiki/Population_growth" title="Population growth">population growth</a> – accelerating growth of the number of potential inventors – faster technological growth – hence, the faster growth of the Earth's carrying capacity for people, and so on.<sup id="cite_ref-17" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-17"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>17<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>He has also shown that the world urban population growth curve has also up till recently followed a quadratic-hyperbolic pattern.<sup id="cite_ref-18" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-18"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>18<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> In addition, Korotayev and his colleagues have proposed a number of forecasts of the World System development up to 2100.<sup id="cite_ref-cliodynamics.ru_16-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-cliodynamics.ru-16"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>16<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-19" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-19"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>19<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-Zinkina_J._2014_20-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Zinkina_J._2014-20"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>20<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Social_and_biological_macroevolution">Social and biological macroevolution</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=5" title="Edit section: Social and biological macroevolution"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-halign-left" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Phanerozoic_Biodiversity.svg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4d/Phanerozoic_Biodiversity.svg/300px-Phanerozoic_Biodiversity.svg.png" decoding="async" width="300" height="178" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4d/Phanerozoic_Biodiversity.svg/450px-Phanerozoic_Biodiversity.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4d/Phanerozoic_Biodiversity.svg/600px-Phanerozoic_Biodiversity.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="784" data-file-height="464" /></a><figcaption>During the Phanerozoic the <a href="/wiki/Biodiversity" title="Biodiversity">biodiversity</a> shows a steady but not monotonic increase from near zero to several thousands of genera.</figcaption></figure> <p>In collaboration with <a href="/wiki/Alexander_V._Markov" title="Alexander V. Markov">Alexander V. Markov</a> he has demonstrated that a similar mathematical model can be developed to describe the <a href="/wiki/Largest-scale_trends_in_evolution" title="Largest-scale trends in evolution">macrotrends</a> of biological <a href="/wiki/Evolution" title="Evolution">evolution</a>. They have shown that changes in <a href="/wiki/Biodiversity" title="Biodiversity">biodiversity</a> through the <a href="/wiki/Phanerozoic" title="Phanerozoic">Phanerozoic</a> correlate much better with hyperbolic model (widely used in <a href="/wiki/Demography" title="Demography">demography</a> and <a href="/wiki/Macrosociology" title="Macrosociology">macrosociology</a>) than with <a href="/wiki/Exponential_growth" title="Exponential growth">exponential</a> and <a href="/wiki/Logistic_function" title="Logistic function">logistic</a> models (traditionally used in <a href="/wiki/Population_biology" title="Population biology">population biology</a> and extensively applied to <a href="/wiki/Fossil" title="Fossil">fossil</a> <a href="/wiki/Biodiversity" title="Biodiversity">biodiversity</a> as well). The latter models imply that changes in diversity are guided by a first-order <a href="/wiki/Positive_feedback" title="Positive feedback">positive feedback</a> (more ancestors, more descendants) and/or a <a href="/wiki/Negative_feedback" title="Negative feedback">negative feedback</a> arising from resource limitation. Hyperbolic model implies a second-order <a href="/wiki/Positive_feedback" title="Positive feedback">positive feedback</a>. The hyperbolic pattern of the world <a href="/wiki/Population_growth" title="Population growth">population growth</a> has been demonstrated by Korotayev to arise from a second-order positive feedback between the population size and the rate of <a href="/wiki/Technological_growth" class="mw-redirect" title="Technological growth">technological growth</a>. According to Korotayev and Markov, the hyperbolic character of biodiversity growth can be similarly accounted for by a feedback between the diversity and community structure <a href="/wiki/Complexity" title="Complexity">complexity</a>. They suggest that the similarity between the curves of <a href="/wiki/Biodiversity" title="Biodiversity">biodiversity</a> and human population probably comes from the fact that both are derived from the interference of the hyperbolic trend with cyclical and <a href="/wiki/Stochastic" title="Stochastic">stochastic</a> dynamics.<sup id="cite_ref-21" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-21"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>21<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-22" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-22"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>22<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Finally, Korotayev has demonstrated that the <a href="/wiki/Hyperbolic_growth" title="Hyperbolic growth">hyperbolic models</a> of this type may be used to describe in a rather accurate way the overall growth of the planetary complexity of the Earth since 4 billion BC up to the present.<sup id="cite_ref-23" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-23"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>23<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-24" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-24"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>24<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Cliodynamics_and_the_study_of_the_Arab_Spring">Cliodynamics and the study of the Arab Spring</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=6" title="Edit section: Cliodynamics and the study of the Arab Spring"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-default-size mw-halign-left" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Cairo_mosques.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/21/Cairo_mosques.jpg/220px-Cairo_mosques.jpg" decoding="async" width="220" height="151" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/21/Cairo_mosques.jpg/330px-Cairo_mosques.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/21/Cairo_mosques.jpg/440px-Cairo_mosques.jpg 2x" data-file-width="637" data-file-height="436" /></a><figcaption><a href="/wiki/Cairo" title="Cairo">Cairo</a></figcaption></figure> <p>In the field of <a href="/wiki/Cliodynamics" title="Cliodynamics">cliodynamics</a>, Korotayev has developed a number of mathematical models of interaction between the very long-term, "millennial" hyperbolic trend dynamics of social <a href="/wiki/System" title="System">systems</a> and the shorter-term, "secular" (that is, observed at the scale of centuries), cyclical dynamics.<sup id="cite_ref-25" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-25"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>25<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <figure class="mw-default-size mw-halign-right" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Day_of_Anger_marchers_in_street.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c5/Day_of_Anger_marchers_in_street.jpg/220px-Day_of_Anger_marchers_in_street.jpg" decoding="async" width="220" height="165" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c5/Day_of_Anger_marchers_in_street.jpg/330px-Day_of_Anger_marchers_in_street.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c5/Day_of_Anger_marchers_in_street.jpg/440px-Day_of_Anger_marchers_in_street.jpg 2x" data-file-width="1072" data-file-height="804" /></a><figcaption>The "Day of Revolt" on 25 January 2011 in Cairo</figcaption></figure> <p>He has also produced a number of mathematical models describing specifically long-term political-demographic dynamics of <a href="/wiki/Egypt" title="Egypt">Egypt</a><sup id="cite_ref-urss.ru_26-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-urss.ru-26"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>26<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> and used them for a demographic structural analysis of the <a href="/wiki/2011_Egyptian_Revolution" class="mw-redirect" title="2011 Egyptian Revolution">2011 Egyptian Revolution</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-27" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-27"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>27<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Korotayev was one of the first to predict and assess the June 2013 Egyptian protests.<sup id="cite_ref-28" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-28"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>28<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Note also his study of 2013-2014 revolutionary wave <sup id="cite_ref-29" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-29"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>29<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> and his interpretation of the Arab Spring events as a trigger of a global "<a href="/wiki/Phase_transition" title="Phase transition">phase transition</a>".<sup id="cite_ref-30" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-30"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>30<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-31" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-31"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>31<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>Of special importance is his study of the <a href="/wiki/Hypothesis" title="Hypothesis">hypothesis</a> that population pressure causes increased <a href="/wiki/Warfare" class="mw-redirect" title="Warfare">warfare</a>. This hypothesis has been recently criticised on the empirical grounds. Both studies focusing on specific historical societies and analyses of cross-cultural data have failed to find positive correlation between population density and incidence of warfare. Korotayev, in collaboration with <a href="/wiki/Peter_Turchin" title="Peter Turchin">Peter Turchin</a>, has shown that such negative results do not falsify the population-warfare hypothesis.<sup id="cite_ref-32" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-32"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>32<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Population and warfare are dynamical variables, and if their interaction causes sustained oscillations, then we do not in general expect to find strong correlation between the two variables measured at the same time (that is, unlagged). Korotayev and Turchin have explored mathematically what the dynamical patterns of interaction between population and warfare (focusing on internal warfare) might be in both stateless and state societies. Next, they have tested the model predictions in several empirical case studies: early modern England, Han and <a href="/wiki/Tang_dynasty" title="Tang dynasty">Tang</a> China, and the <a href="/wiki/Roman_Empire" title="Roman Empire">Roman Empire</a>. Their empirical results have supported the population-warfare theory: Korotayev and Turchin have found that there is a tendency for population numbers and internal warfare intensity to oscillate with the same period but shifted in <a href="/wiki/Phase_(waves)" title="Phase (waves)">phase</a> (with warfare peaks following population peaks). Furthermore, they have demonstrated that in the agrarian societies the rates of change of the two variables behave precisely as predicted by the theory: population rate of change is negatively affected by warfare intensity, while warfare rate of change is positively affected by population density.<sup id="cite_ref-33" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-33"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>33<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> As Kohler and Reed put it, Korotayev and Turchin have demonstrated that "human population movements and sociopolitical strife play the roles of sometimes endogenous, sometimes exogenous, factors that on small spatial scales may seem inexplicable but which on longer temporal and wider spatial scales may have understandable rhythms".<sup id="cite_ref-34" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-34"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>34<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>Thus, Korotayev has demonstrated that the <a href="/wiki/Malthusian_trap" class="mw-redirect" title="Malthusian trap">Malthusian trap</a> tends to generate sociopolitical upheavals.<sup id="cite_ref-urss.ru_26-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-urss.ru-26"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>26<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> On the other hand, he has shown that the escape from the <a href="/wiki/Malthusian_trap" class="mw-redirect" title="Malthusian trap">Malthusian trap</a> is accompanied by another "trap" generating new sociopolitical upheavals (what he calls "a trap at the escape from the trap").<sup id="cite_ref-35" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-35"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>35<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-36" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-36"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>36<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Russian_demographic_crisis">Russian demographic crisis</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=7" title="Edit section: Russian demographic crisis"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-halign-left" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:BirthDeath_1950_RU.svg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b2/BirthDeath_1950_RU.svg/240px-BirthDeath_1950_RU.svg.png" decoding="async" width="240" height="140" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b2/BirthDeath_1950_RU.svg/360px-BirthDeath_1950_RU.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b2/BirthDeath_1950_RU.svg/480px-BirthDeath_1950_RU.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="480" data-file-height="280" /></a><figcaption>"<i><a href="/wiki/Russian_Cross" title="Russian Cross">Russian Cross</a></i>"; the black curve reflects the death rate dynamics, the <span style="color:#FF3300;">red one</span> corresponds to the birth rate (per thousand).</figcaption></figure> <figure class="mw-halign-right" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Russian_Cross_ENG.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/04/Russian_Cross_ENG.jpg/240px-Russian_Cross_ENG.jpg" decoding="async" width="240" height="204" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/04/Russian_Cross_ENG.jpg/360px-Russian_Cross_ENG.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/04/Russian_Cross_ENG.jpg 2x" data-file-width="425" data-file-height="361" /></a><figcaption>"<i><a href="/wiki/Russian_Cross" title="Russian Cross">Russian Cross</a></i>"; the black curve reflects the death rate dynamics, the <span style="color:#FF3300;">red one</span> corresponds to the birth rate (per thousand).</figcaption></figure> <p>In collaboration with <a href="/wiki/Daria_Khaltourina" title="Daria Khaltourina">Daria Khaltourina</a> he has made a significant contribution to the study of the factors of the <a href="/wiki/Russian_Cross" title="Russian Cross">current Russian demographic crisis</a>. They have demonstrated that post-Soviet Russia experiences one of the world's highest prevalence of alcohol-related problems, which contributes to high mortality rates in this region. Reduction in alcohol-related problems in Russia can have strong effects on mortality decline. They have analysed the plausibility of application of general principles of alcohol policy translated in the <a href="/wiki/Russian_Federation" class="mw-redirect" title="Russian Federation">Russian Federation</a>. Korotayev and Khaltourina have shown that alcohol policy approaches could be implemented in the same ways as they have been in other countries, and contributed to the development of alcohol control measures in this country. In addition, according to Korotayev, there should be special attention to decreasing distilled spirits consumption, illegal alcohol production, nonbeverage alcohol consumption, and enforcement of current governmental regulations.<sup id="cite_ref-37" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-37"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>37<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> In late 2014 they correctly predicted the forthcoming return of Russia to negative natural population growth.<sup id="cite_ref-38" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-38"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>38<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id=""Literacy_and_the_Spirit_of_Capitalism""><span id=".22Literacy_and_the_Spirit_of_Capitalism.22"></span>"Literacy and the Spirit of Capitalism"</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=8" title="Edit section: "Literacy and the Spirit of Capitalism""><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Korotayev and his colleagues have demonstrated that <a href="/wiki/Protestantism" title="Protestantism">Protestantism</a> has indeed influenced positively the capitalist development of respective social systems not so much through the "Protestant ethics" (as was suggested by <a href="/wiki/Max_Weber" title="Max Weber">Max Weber</a>) but rather through the promotion of literacy.<sup id="cite_ref-39" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-39"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>39<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <figure class="mw-halign-right" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Die_protestantische_Ethik_und_der_%27Geist%27_des_Kapitalismus_original_cover.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/80/Die_protestantische_Ethik_und_der_%27Geist%27_des_Kapitalismus_original_cover.jpg/150px-Die_protestantische_Ethik_und_der_%27Geist%27_des_Kapitalismus_original_cover.jpg" decoding="async" width="150" height="224" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/80/Die_protestantische_Ethik_und_der_%27Geist%27_des_Kapitalismus_original_cover.jpg/225px-Die_protestantische_Ethik_und_der_%27Geist%27_des_Kapitalismus_original_cover.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/8/80/Die_protestantische_Ethik_und_der_%27Geist%27_des_Kapitalismus_original_cover.jpg/300px-Die_protestantische_Ethik_und_der_%27Geist%27_des_Kapitalismus_original_cover.jpg 2x" data-file-width="753" data-file-height="1124" /></a><figcaption></figcaption></figure><p> They draw attention to the fact that the ability to read was essential for <a href="/wiki/Protestants" class="mw-redirect" title="Protestants">Protestants</a> (unlike <a href="/wiki/Catholics" class="mw-redirect" title="Catholics">Catholics</a>) to perform their religious duty − to read the Bible. The reading of Holy Scripture was not necessary for Catholic laymen. The edict of the <a href="/wiki/Council_of_Toulouse" title="Council of Toulouse">Council of Toulouse</a> (1229) prohibited Catholic laity from possessing copies of the Bible. Soon after that, a decision by the <a href="/wiki/Council_of_Tarragona" title="Council of Tarragona">Council of Tarragona</a> spread this prohibition to ecclesiastic people as well.<sup class="noprint Inline-Template Template-Fact" style="white-space:nowrap;">[<i><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Citation_needed" title="Wikipedia:Citation needed"><span title="I'm having trouble finding a cite on that last bit (July 2019)">citation needed</span></a></i>]</sup> In 1408, the Oxford Synod absolutely prohibited translations of the Holy Scripture. From the very beginning, Protestant groups did not accept this prohibition. Thus, <a href="/wiki/Martin_Luther" title="Martin Luther">Luther</a> translated in 1522–1534 first the <a href="/wiki/New_Testament" title="New Testament">New Testament</a>, and then the <a href="/wiki/Old_Testament" title="Old Testament">Old Testament</a>, into German, so that any German-speaking person could read the Holy Scripture in his or her native language. Moreover, the Protestants viewed reading the Holy Scripture as a religious duty of any Christian. As a result, the level of literacy and education was, in general, higher for Protestants than it was for Catholics and for followers of other confessions that did not provide religious stimuli for learning literacy. Literate populations have many more opportunities to obtain and use the achievements of modernisation than illiterate ones and display greater innovative-activity levels, which correspond with opportunities for modernisation, development, and economic growth.<sup id="cite_ref-40" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-40"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>40<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Empirical tests performed by Korotayev and his colleagues have confirmed the presence of a rather strong and highly significant <a href="/wiki/Correlation" title="Correlation">correlation</a> between the early introduction of mass literacy and subsequent high rates of capitalist economic development.<sup id="cite_ref-41" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-41"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>41<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="World-system_analysis">World-system analysis</h3><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=9" title="Edit section: World-system analysis"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-default-size mw-halign-left" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Silk_route.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/74/Silk_route.jpg/220px-Silk_route.jpg" decoding="async" width="220" height="143" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/74/Silk_route.jpg/330px-Silk_route.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/7/74/Silk_route.jpg/440px-Silk_route.jpg 2x" data-file-width="2868" data-file-height="1866" /></a><figcaption>The 11th century World System</figcaption></figure> <p>Andrey Korotayev claims that the present-day <a href="/wiki/World-system" title="World-system">world-system</a> ("the World System"), which in the 2nd millennium CE encompassed the whole globe, originated in the 9th millennium BCE in direct connection with the <a href="/wiki/Neolithic_Revolution" title="Neolithic Revolution">Neolithic Revolution</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-komkniga_42-0" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-komkniga-42"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>42<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> According to Korotayev, the centre of this system was originally in West Asia.<sup id="cite_ref-43" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-43"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>43<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>In general, Korotayev and his colleagues have suggested a rather novel approach to the <a href="/wiki/World-system" title="World-system">world-system</a> analysis. Within this approach the main emphasis is moved to the generation and <a href="/wiki/Diffusion" title="Diffusion">diffusion</a> of <a href="/wiki/Innovation" title="Innovation">innovations</a>. If a society borrows systematically important technological innovations, its <a href="/wiki/Evolution" title="Evolution">evolution</a> already cannot be considered as really independent, but should rather be considered as a part of a larger evolving entity, within which such innovations are systematically produced and diffused. The main idea of the world-system approach was to find the evolving unit. The basic idea was that it is impossible to account for the evolution of a single society without taking into consideration that it was a part of a larger whole. However, traditional world-system analysis concentrated on bulk-good movements, and core – periphery exploitation, somehow neglecting the above-mentioned dimension. However, according to Korotayev, the information <a href="https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/network" class="extiw" title="wikt:network">network</a> turns out to be the oldest mechanism of the World System integration, and remained extremely important throughout its whole history, remaining important up to the present. It seems to be even more important than the core – periphery <a href="/wiki/Exploitation_of_labour" title="Exploitation of labour">exploitation</a> (for example, without taking this mechanism into consideration it appears impossible to account for such things as the demographic explosion in the 20th century, whose proximate cause was the dramatic decline of <a href="https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/mortality" class="extiw" title="wikt:mortality">mortality</a>, but whose main ultimate cause was the diffusion of innovations produced almost exclusively within the World System core). This also suggests a redefinition of the World System core. Within the approach in question the core is not the World System zone, which exploits other zones, but rather the World System core is the zone with the highest innovation donor/recipient ratio, the principal innovation donor.<sup id="cite_ref-komkniga_42-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-komkniga-42"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>42<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <figure class="mw-halign-right" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Population_curve.svg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b7/Population_curve.svg/360px-Population_curve.svg.png" decoding="async" width="360" height="219" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b7/Population_curve.svg/540px-Population_curve.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b7/Population_curve.svg/720px-Population_curve.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="547" data-file-height="332" /></a><figcaption>Hyperbolic trend of the world population growth</figcaption></figure> <p>Korotayev suggests that the hyperbolic trend observed for the world population growth after 10000 BCE does appear to be primarily a product of the growth of the World System.<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.sociostudies.org/journal/articles/143130/">Articles from journals</a> The presence of the <a href="/wiki/Hyperbolic_growth" title="Hyperbolic growth">hyperbolic</a> trend itself indicates that the major part of the entity in question had some systemic unity, and Korotayev insists that the evidence for this unity is readily available. Indeed, he shows that we have evidence for the systematic spread of major innovations (domesticated cereals, cattle, sheep, goats, horses, plow, wheel, copper, bronze, and later iron technology, and so on) throughout the whole North African – Eurasian <a href="/wiki/Oikumene" class="mw-redirect" title="Oikumene">Oikumene</a> for a few millennia BCE. As a result, the evolution of societies of this part of the world already at this time cannot be regarded as truly independent. By the end of the 1st millennium BCE we observe a belt of cultures, stretching from the Atlantic to the Pacific, with an astonishingly similar level of cultural complexity characterised by agricultural production of wheat and other specific cereals, the breeding of cattle, sheep, and goats; use of the plow, iron metallurgy, and wheeled transport; development of professional armies and cavalries deploying rather similar weapons; elaborate bureaucracies, and <a href="/wiki/Axial_Age" title="Axial Age">Axial Age</a> ideologies, and so on – this list could be extended for pages. A few millennia before, we would find another belt of societies strikingly similar in level and character of cultural complexity, stretching from the <a href="/wiki/Balkans" title="Balkans">Balkans</a> up to the <a href="/wiki/Indus" class="mw-redirect" title="Indus">Indus</a> Valley outskirts. Korotayev interprets this as a tangible result of the World System's functioning.<sup id="cite_ref-44" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-44"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>44<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Great_Divergence_and_Great_Convergence">Great Divergence and Great Convergence</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=10" title="Edit section: Great Divergence and Great Convergence"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Together with <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a> he has also made a significant contribution to the current <a href="/wiki/Great_Divergence" title="Great Divergence">Great Divergence</a> debate.<sup id="cite_ref-45" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-45"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>45<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> As is noted by <a href="/wiki/Jack_Goldstone" title="Jack Goldstone">Jack Goldstone</a>, the "new view, carefully presented and rigorously modeled by Grinin and Korotayev, provides a richer and more nuanced version of the "Great Divergence," bridging many of the differences between the traditional and California viewpoints. Yet they go further. Amazingly, by building a model using human capital (education), global population growth, and regional productivity, they show how both the Great Divergence and the recent "Great Convergence" (the economic catching up of developing countries) are phases of the same process of global modernisation."<sup id="cite_ref-46" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-46"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>46<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> In addition, Korotayev's research has revealed a close coupling between phases of global <a href="/wiki/Demographic_transition" title="Demographic transition">demographic transition</a> and phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence.<sup id="cite_ref-47" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-47"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>47<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Kondratieff_waves">Kondratieff waves</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=11" title="Edit section: Kondratieff waves"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-halign-right" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Kondratieff_Wave.svg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c4/Kondratieff_Wave.svg/400px-Kondratieff_Wave.svg.png" decoding="async" width="400" height="184" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c4/Kondratieff_Wave.svg/600px-Kondratieff_Wave.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c4/Kondratieff_Wave.svg/800px-Kondratieff_Wave.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="520" data-file-height="239" /></a><figcaption>A rough schematic drawing showing the "World Economy" over time according to the Kondratiev theory</figcaption></figure> <p>Note also his research on <a href="/wiki/Kondratiev_wave" title="Kondratiev wave">Kondratiev waves</a> in the world GDP dynamics that, employing <a href="/wiki/Frequency_domain" title="Frequency domain">spectral analysis</a>, has confirmed their presence at an acceptable level of statistical significance.<sup id="cite_ref-48" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-48"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>48<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>He has also detected Kondratieff waves in the global dynamics of <a href="/wiki/Invention" title="Invention">invention</a> activities.<sup id="cite_ref-49" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-49"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>49<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="General_theory_of_social_macroevolution">General theory of social macroevolution</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=12" title="Edit section: General theory of social macroevolution"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>In addition, it appears necessary to maintain that Korotayev's theory of the <a href="/wiki/World-system" title="World-system">World System</a> development suggests a novel approach to the formation of a general theory of social macroevolution. The approach prevalent in social evolutionism is based on the assumption that evolutionary regularities of simple systems are significantly simpler than the ones characteristic of complex systems. A rather logical outcome of this almost self-evident assumption is that one should first study the evolutionary regularities of simple systems and only after understanding them move to more complex ones, whereas Korotayev's findings suggest that the simplest regularities accounting for extremely large proportions of all the macrovariation can be found precisely for the largest possible <a href="/wiki/System" title="System">system</a> – the human world, and, hence, the study of <a href="/wiki/Sociocultural_evolution" title="Sociocultural evolution">sociocultural evolution</a> should proceed from the detection of simple regularities of the development of the most <a href="/wiki/Complex_systems" class="mw-redirect" title="Complex systems">complex systems</a> to the study of the complex laws of the dynamics of simple social systems.<sup id="cite_ref-50" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-50"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>50<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Cross-cultural_studies">Cross-cultural studies</h3><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=13" title="Edit section: Cross-cultural studies"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-default-size" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Major_religions_distribution.png" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b2/Major_religions_distribution.png/220px-Major_religions_distribution.png" decoding="async" width="220" height="112" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b2/Major_religions_distribution.png/330px-Major_religions_distribution.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/b2/Major_religions_distribution.png/440px-Major_religions_distribution.png 2x" data-file-width="1336" data-file-height="680" /></a><figcaption>Religions of the world</figcaption></figure> <p>From a complexity perspective Korotayev's establishes a key point, that of the bifurcations of social and <a href="/wiki/Kinship" title="Kinship">kinship</a> organisation that coalesced historically around the differential practices of the major <a href="/wiki/World_religions" title="World religions">world religions</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-51" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-51"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>51<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> It draws on the World Cultural database and the world religion as well as other variables. The <a href="/wiki/Murdock" title="Murdock">Murdockian</a> comparative approach, up to Korotayev, had developed to the point where the nonindependence of cultures was well-recognized, and ways of taking the larger configurations of cultural systems into account had been reckoned to lie, in the latest iteration, along lines of high-order proto-linguistic communities. Korotayev demonstrates the effects of breaking what might be seen as a ritual taboo of Murdockian comparison: Thou Shalt Not Code World Religion. By doing so, Korotayev releases the Murdockian spell that lingers over the comparative approach in anthropology, and goes on to demonstrate the powerful effects of world religious communities — dating from what <a href="/wiki/Karl_Jaspers" title="Karl Jaspers">Jaspers</a> calls the "<a href="/wiki/Axial_Age" title="Axial Age">Axial Age</a>" (800–200 BCE) – on the preservation and differentiation of distinctive social and political structures in <a href="/wiki/Eurasia" title="Eurasia">Eurasia</a>. His introduction and conclusion suggest that an objectivist natural history approach to human history, in which subjective factors are of local importance but fade out in terms of lasting effects over generations, is a valid approach to the "pre-Axial" condition of human societies, while a subjectivist history of consciousness is a necessary complement to the "post-Axial" condition. Korotayev succeeds in placing these two complementary approaches in context and showing their linkages in terms of how subjective and religious factors play out in human history alongside objective factors such as demography and ecology, each informing the other. He shows how it is impossible to arrive at valid inferential results from comparative approaches without an integration of the two, a situation he aptly calls "<a href="/wiki/Galton" class="mw-redirect" title="Galton">Galton</a>'s opportunity" for those are of century-old critiques of the comparative method. The reader will be surprised at the depth of empirical comparative findings in this short book. Following <a href="/wiki/Murray_Leaf" title="Murray Leaf">Murray Leaf</a>'s <i>Man, Mind and Science</i> (1974) this work is a major contribution to repair of the material/ideational rift in anthropology. </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Matrilocal_vs._patrilocal_residence">Matrilocal vs. patrilocal residence</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=14" title="Edit section: Matrilocal vs. patrilocal residence"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-default-size mw-halign-left" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Snake_Goddess_-_Heraklion_Achaeological_Museum_retouched.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f7/Snake_Goddess_-_Heraklion_Achaeological_Museum_retouched.jpg/220px-Snake_Goddess_-_Heraklion_Achaeological_Museum_retouched.jpg" decoding="async" width="220" height="305" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f7/Snake_Goddess_-_Heraklion_Achaeological_Museum_retouched.jpg/330px-Snake_Goddess_-_Heraklion_Achaeological_Museum_retouched.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f7/Snake_Goddess_-_Heraklion_Achaeological_Museum_retouched.jpg/440px-Snake_Goddess_-_Heraklion_Achaeological_Museum_retouched.jpg 2x" data-file-width="2364" data-file-height="3280" /></a><figcaption>Snake Goddess – Heraklion Archaeological Museum</figcaption></figure> <p>One of his particular contributions in this field is connected with the classical anthropological issue of determinants of <a href="/wiki/Matrilocal" class="mw-redirect" title="Matrilocal">matrilocal</a> versus <a href="/wiki/Patrilocal" class="mw-redirect" title="Patrilocal">patrilocal</a> postmarital residence. Early theories explaining the determinants of postmarital residence (e.g., <a href="/wiki/Lewis_Henry_Morgan" class="mw-redirect" title="Lewis Henry Morgan">Lewis Henry Morgan</a>, <a href="/wiki/Edward_Tylor" class="mw-redirect" title="Edward Tylor">Edward Tylor</a>, or <a href="/wiki/George_Peter_Murdock" class="mw-redirect" title="George Peter Murdock">George Peter Murdock</a>) connected it with the sexual division of labour. However, to the moment when Korotayev's research in this field began, cross-cultural tests of this <a href="/wiki/Hypothesis" title="Hypothesis">hypothesis</a> using worldwide samples had failed to find any significant relationship between these two variables. Korotayev's tests have shown that the female contribution to subsistence does correlate significantly with matrilocal residence in general; however, this correlation is masked by a general polygyny factor. Although an increase in the female contribution to subsistence tends to lead to matrilocal residence, it also tends simultaneously to lead to general non-sororal <a href="/wiki/Polygyny" title="Polygyny">polygyny</a> which effectively destroys <a href="/wiki/Matrilocality" class="mw-redirect" title="Matrilocality">matrilocality</a>. If this polygyny factor is controlled (e. g., through a multiple <a href="/wiki/Regression_analysis" title="Regression analysis">regression</a> model), division of labour turns out to be a significant predictor of postmarital residence. Thus, Murdock's hypotheses regarding the relationships between the sexual division of labour and postmarital residence were basically correct, though, as has been shown by Korotayev, the actual relationships between those two groups of variables are more complicated than he expected.<sup id="cite_ref-52" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-52"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>52<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Myths,_genes,_and_deep_history"><span id="Myths.2C_genes.2C_and_deep_history"></span>Myths, genes, and deep history</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=15" title="Edit section: Myths, genes, and deep history"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Korotayev was also one of the pioneers (together with his colleagues) of the study of correlation between spatial distributions of <a href="/wiki/Folklore" title="Folklore">folklore</a>-mythological motifs<sup id="cite_ref-53" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-53"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>53<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> and genetic markers,<sup id="cite_ref-54" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-54"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>54<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> as well as linguistic and sociostructural characteristics, and produced in this area significant results with respect to the <a href="/wiki/Deep_history" title="Deep history">deep history</a> reconstruction.<sup id="cite_ref-55" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-55"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>55<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> As is noticed by Julien d'Huy et al., "Korotayev and Khaltourina<sup id="cite_ref-56" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-56"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>56<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> showed statistical correlation between spatial distributions of mythological motifs and genetic markers, considerably above the 4,000 km... Such correlations allow us to reconstruct in detail the mythology... brought to the New World from South Siberia by three Paleolithic migration waves".<sup id="cite_ref-57" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-57"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>57<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Unilineal_descent_and_Christianization">Unilineal descent and Christianization</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=16" title="Edit section: Unilineal descent and Christianization"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-default-size" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Kiev_vasnetcov.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f9/Kiev_vasnetcov.jpg/170px-Kiev_vasnetcov.jpg" decoding="async" width="170" height="224" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f9/Kiev_vasnetcov.jpg/255px-Kiev_vasnetcov.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f9/Kiev_vasnetcov.jpg/340px-Kiev_vasnetcov.jpg 2x" data-file-width="400" data-file-height="527" /></a><figcaption><i>The <a href="/wiki/Baptism_of_Kiev" class="mw-redirect" title="Baptism of Kiev">Baptism of Kievans</a></i>, a fresco by <a href="/wiki/Viktor_Vasnetsov" title="Viktor Vasnetsov">Viktor Vasnetsov</a></figcaption></figure> <p>Korotayev studies variables that are usually regarded as the main causes of the decline of <a href="/wiki/Unilineal_descent" class="mw-redirect" title="Unilineal descent">unilineal descent</a> organisation (statehood, class stratification and commercialisation), along with a variable that had never been regarded as such a cause – deep Christianization. He postulates that the traditionally accepted causes of the decline of unilineal descent organisation (statehood, class stratification, commercialisation) are less significant than deep Christianization. He also theorises that the presence of unilineal descent groups correlates negatively with communal democracy and is especially strong for complex traditional societies. Korotayev concludes that, because the communal democracy correlates positively with the supracommunal one, the Christianization of Europe might have contributed to the development of modern democracy by helping to destroy unilineal descent organisation in this region.<sup id="cite_ref-58" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-58"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>58<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading3"><h3 id="Sociopolitical_systems_in_the_Middle_East_and_Africa">Sociopolitical systems in the Middle East and Africa</h3><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=17" title="Edit section: Sociopolitical systems in the Middle East and Africa"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Origins_of_parallel-cousin_marriage_and_the_Afrasian_Instability_Zone">Origins of parallel-cousin marriage and the Afrasian Instability Zone</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=18" title="Edit section: Origins of parallel-cousin marriage and the Afrasian Instability Zone"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p><a href="/wiki/Islam" title="Islam">Islamization</a>, along with an area's inclusion in the 8th-century Arab-Islamic <a href="/wiki/Caliphate" title="Caliphate">Khalifate</a> (and its persistence within the Islamic world) has been demonstrated by Korotayev to be a strong and significant predictor of <a href="/wiki/Parallel_cousin" class="mw-redirect" title="Parallel cousin">parallel cousin</a> (Father's Brother's Daughter – FBD) marriage. He has shown that while there is a clear functional connection between Islam and FBD marriage, the prescription to marry a FBD does not appear to be sufficient to persuade people to actually marry thus, even if the marriage brings with it economic advantages. According to Korotayev, a systematic acceptance of parallel-cousin marriage took place when Islamization occurred together with Arabization.<sup id="cite_ref-59" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-59"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>59<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> This research further led to the discovery of the so-called Afrasian Instability Zone.<sup id="cite_ref-60" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-60"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>60<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Yemeni_Studies">Yemeni Studies</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=19" title="Edit section: Yemeni Studies"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-halign-right" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:034-YemenHajazbyday2.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c2/034-YemenHajazbyday2.jpg/400px-034-YemenHajazbyday2.jpg" decoding="async" width="400" height="123" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c2/034-YemenHajazbyday2.jpg/600px-034-YemenHajazbyday2.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c2/034-YemenHajazbyday2.jpg/800px-034-YemenHajazbyday2.jpg 2x" data-file-width="1919" data-file-height="591" /></a><figcaption><a href="/wiki/Yemen" title="Yemen">Yemen</a></figcaption></figure> <p>Korotayev has made a special contribution in this field by detecting principal trends in the evolution of Yemeni cultures through application of quantitative methods to the analysis of mass <a href="/wiki/Epigraphic" class="mw-redirect" title="Epigraphic">epigraphic</a> sources in the <a href="/wiki/Sabaean_language" class="mw-redirect" title="Sabaean language">Sabaic language</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-61" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-61"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>61<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> Korotayev has thereby discovered the phenomenon of consolidation of the <a href="/wiki/Clan" title="Clan">clan</a> organisation in North-East <a href="/wiki/Yemen" title="Yemen">Yemen</a> in the late 1st millennium BCE as well as the transition from <a href="/wiki/Chiefdom" title="Chiefdom">chiefdoms</a> to <a href="/wiki/Tribe" title="Tribe">tribes</a> in early medieval Yemen.<sup id="cite_ref-62" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-62"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>62<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> He was also the first to provide convincing evidence for the existence of <a href="/wiki/Matrilineal" class="mw-redirect" title="Matrilineal">matrilineal</a> descent organisation in Pre-Islamic <a href="/wiki/Arabia" class="mw-redirect" title="Arabia">Arabia</a><sup id="cite_ref-63" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-63"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>63<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> and to suggest an adequate translation of the largest <a href="/wiki/Qatabanian_language" title="Qatabanian language">Qatabanic</a> inscription, R 3566.<sup id="cite_ref-64" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-64"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>64<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="African_Studies">African Studies</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=20" title="Edit section: African Studies"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <figure class="mw-halign-left" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:East_and_southern_africa_early_iron_age.png" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/03/East_and_southern_africa_early_iron_age.png/200px-East_and_southern_africa_early_iron_age.png" decoding="async" width="200" height="232" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/03/East_and_southern_africa_early_iron_age.png/300px-East_and_southern_africa_early_iron_age.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/0/03/East_and_southern_africa_early_iron_age.png/400px-East_and_southern_africa_early_iron_age.png 2x" data-file-width="677" data-file-height="784" /></a><figcaption>Simplified climatic map of Africa. The numbers shown correspond to the dates of all <a href="/wiki/Iron_Age" title="Iron Age">Iron Age</a> artefacts associated with the <a href="/wiki/Bantu_expansion" title="Bantu expansion">Bantu expansion</a>.</figcaption></figure> <p>Korotayev and his colleagues have also made significant contributions to the study of political-demographic dynamics in <a href="/wiki/Subsaharan_Africa" class="mw-redirect" title="Subsaharan Africa">Subsaharan Africa</a>, especially, the problems of the Tropical African countries' escape from the <a href="/wiki/Malthusian_trap" class="mw-redirect" title="Malthusian trap">Malthusian trap</a>.<sup id="cite_ref-Zinkina_J._2014_20-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-Zinkina_J._2014-20"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>20<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-urss.ru_26-2" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-urss.ru-26"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>26<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup><sup id="cite_ref-65" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-65"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>65<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading4"><h4 id="Origins_of_Islam">Origins of Islam</h4><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=21" title="Edit section: Origins of Islam"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Korotayev has also done (together with his colleagues Vladimir Klimenko and Dmitry Proussakov) a significant contribution to the study of the origins of <a href="/wiki/Islam" title="Islam">Islam</a>. Korotayev and his colleagues view the origins of <a href="/wiki/Islam" title="Islam">Islam</a> against the background of the 6th century Arabian socioecological <a href="/wiki/Crisis" title="Crisis">crisis</a> whose model is specified by Korotayev and his colleagues through the study of <a href="/wiki/Climatological" class="mw-redirect" title="Climatological">climatological</a>, seismological, volcanological and <a href="/wiki/Epidemiological" class="mw-redirect" title="Epidemiological">epidemiological</a> history of the period. They find that most sociopolitical systems of the <a href="/wiki/Arabs" title="Arabs">Arabs</a> reacted to the socioecological crisis by getting rid of the rigid supratribal political structures (kingdoms and <a href="/wiki/Chiefdom" title="Chiefdom">chiefdoms</a>) which started posing a real threat to their very survival. </p><p>The decades of fighting which led to the destruction of most of the Arabian kingdoms and <a href="/wiki/Chiefdom" title="Chiefdom">chiefdoms</a> (reflected in <i>Ayyam al-'Arab</i> tradition) led to the elaboration of some definite "antiroyal" freedom-loving tribal <a href="/wiki/Ethos" title="Ethos">ethos</a>. At the beginning of the 7th century a tribe which would recognise themselves as subjects of some terrestrial supratribal political authority, a "king", risked to lose its honour. However, this seems not to be applicable to the authority of another type, the "celestial" one. At the meantime the early 7th century evidences the merging of the <a href="/wiki/Arabian" class="mw-redirect" title="Arabian">Arabian</a> tradition of prophecy and the Arabian Monotheist "Rahmanist" tradition which produced "the Arabian prophetic movement". </p> <figure class="mw-halign-right" typeof="mw:File/Thumb"><a href="/wiki/File:Madina_Haram_at_evening.jpg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/1f/Madina_Haram_at_evening.jpg/500px-Madina_Haram_at_evening.jpg" decoding="async" width="500" height="83" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/1f/Madina_Haram_at_evening.jpg/750px-Madina_Haram_at_evening.jpg 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/1/1f/Madina_Haram_at_evening.jpg/1000px-Madina_Haram_at_evening.jpg 2x" data-file-width="2853" data-file-height="475" /></a><figcaption><a href="/wiki/Al-Masjid_al-Nabawi" class="mw-redirect" title="Al-Masjid al-Nabawi">Al-Masjid al-Nabawi</a> (the Mosque of the Prophet) in <a href="/wiki/Medina" title="Medina">Medina</a>, Saudi Arabia, is the site of <a href="/wiki/Muhammad" title="Muhammad">Muhammad</a>'s tomb.</figcaption></figure> <p>According to Korotayev, the Monotheist "Rahmanist" prophets appear to have represented a supratribal authority just of the type many <a href="/wiki/Arab" class="mw-redirect" title="Arab">Arab</a> <a href="/wiki/Tribe" title="Tribe">tribes</a> were looking for at this very time, which seems to explain to a certain extent those prophets' political success (including the extreme political success of <a href="/wiki/Muhammad" title="Muhammad">Muhammad</a>).<sup id="cite_ref-66" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-66"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>66<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Select_publications">Select publications</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=22" title="Edit section: Select publications"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <p>Korotayev has written over 35 books and 370 articles dealing with his research interests <a rel="nofollow" class="external autonumber" href="https://scholar.google.ru/citations?user=0KdRsMYAAAAJ&hl=en">[4]</a>. These include </p> <ul><li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32711023/ANCIENT_YEMEN_Oxford_University_Press_1995_"><i>Ancient Yemen</i></a> (Oxford University Press, 1995);</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32923104/Korotayev_A._Pre-Islamic_Yemen._Wiesbaden_Harrassowitz_Verlag_1996"><i>Pre-Islamic Yemen</i>. Wiesbaden: Harrassowitz, 1996</a>;</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/29329039/World_Religions_and_Social_Evolution_of_the_Old_World_Oikumene_Civilizations_A_Cross-cultural_Perspective._Lewiston_NY_The_Edwin_Mellen_Press_2004"><i>World Religions and Social Evolution of the Old World Oikumene Civilizations: A Cross-cultural Perspective</i></a> (Edwin Mellen Press, 2004);</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/35443515/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics_Compact_Macromodels_of_the_World_System_Growth._Moscow_KomKniga_2006"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics. Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth</i></a> (KomKniga/URSS, 2006, with Artemy Malkov and <a href="/wiki/Daria_Khaltourina" title="Daria Khaltourina">Daria Khaltourina</a>);</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/22215616/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics_Secular_Cycles_and_Millennial_Trends"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics. Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends</i></a> (KomKniga/URSS, 2006, with Artemy Malkov and <a href="/wiki/Daria_Khaltourina" title="Daria Khaltourina">Daria Khaltourina</a>);</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.springer.com/us/book/9783319177793"><i>Great Divergence and Great Convergence. A Global Perspective</i></a> (Springer, 2015, with <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a>).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.springer.com/de/book/9783319412603"><i>Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery</i></a> (Springer, 2016, with <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a> and <a href="/w/index.php?title=Arno_Tausch&action=edit&redlink=1" class="new" title="Arno Tausch (page does not exist)">Arno Tausch</a>).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/37515176/Islamism_Arab_Spring_and_the_Future_of_Democracy._World_System_and_World_Values_Perspectives_Springer_2018_"><i>Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy. World System and World Values Perspectives</i></a> (Springer, 2019, with <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a> and <a href="/w/index.php?title=Arno_Tausch&action=edit&redlink=1" class="new" title="Arno Tausch (page does not exist)">Arno Tausch</a>)</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/94140410/Handbook_of_Revolutions_in_the_21st_Century_The_New_Waves_of_Revolutions_and_the_Causes_and_Effects_of_Disruptive_Political_Change"><i>Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century. The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change</i></a> (Springer, 2022).</li></ul> <p>Among his more important journal articles are </p> <ul><li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32602586/ORIGINS_OF_ISLAM_POLITICAL-ANTHROPOLOGICAL_AND_ENVIRONMENTAL_CONTEXT">"Origins of Islam". <i>Acta Orientalia Academiae Scientiarum Hungaricae</i> 53/3–4 (1999): 243–276</a> (with Vladimir Klimenko and <a href="/wiki/Dmitry_Borisovich_Prusakov" class="mw-redirect" title="Dmitry Borisovich Prusakov">Dmitry Proussakov</a>),</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/33028599/Regions_based_on_social_structure_A_reconsideration_or_apologia_for_diffusionism_Current_Anthropology_Aug-Oct_2000_41_4">"Regions Based on Social Structure: A Reconsideration". <i>Current Anthropology</i> 41/5 (October 2000): 668–690</a> (with Alexander Kazankov),</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/2703720/An_Evolutionary_Agent-Based_Model_of_Pre-State_Warfare_Patterns_Cross-Cultural_Tests_World_Cultures_15_1_2004_28_36">Evolutionary Agent-Based Model of Pre-State Warfare Patterns: Cross-Cultural Tests. <i>World Cultures</i> 15/1 (2004): 28–36</a> (with Mikhail Burtsev).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090706205516/http://jwsr.ucr.edu/archive/vol11/number1/pdf/jwsr-v11n1-korotayev.pdf"><i>A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution</i></a> in the <i>Journal of World Systems Research</i> 11/1 (2005): 79–93.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://muse.jhu.edu/journals/journal_of_american_folklore/summary/v119/119.472korotaev.html">Return of the White Raven: Postdiluvial Reconnaissance Motif A2234.1.1 Reconsidered. <i>Journal of American Folklore</i> 119 (2006): 472–520</a>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://ssrn.com/abstract=1703534">The World System Urbanization Dynamics: A quantitative analysis</a> in History & Mathematics: Historical Dynamics and Development of Complex Societies (Ed. by <a href="/wiki/Peter_Turchin" title="Peter Turchin">Peter Turchin</a>, <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a> et al., p. 44–62. Moscow: KomKniga, 2006),</li> <li>Social Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions. World Futures, Volume 65, Issue 7 October 2009, pages 477–506 (with <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a>),</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/9jv108xp">A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis</a>. <i>Structure and Dynamics</i>. 2010. Vol.4. No. 1. P.3-57 (with Sergey Tsirel),</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/7qk9z9kz">Log-Periodic Oscillation Analysis Forecasts the Burst of the "Gold Bubble" in April – June 2011 // Structure and Dynamics 4/3 (2010): 1–11</a> (with <a href="/wiki/Askar_Akayev" title="Askar Akayev">Askar Akayev</a>, Alexey Fomin, and Sergey Tsirel),</li> <li><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1238218222">.mw-parser-output cite.citation{font-style:inherit;word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation q{quotes:"\"""\"""'""'"}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-free.id-lock-free a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/6/65/Lock-green.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited.id-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration.id-lock-registration a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription.id-lock-subscription a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg")right 0.1em center/9px no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg")right 0.1em center/12px no-repeat}body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-free a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-limited a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-registration a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .id-lock-subscription a,body:not(.skin-timeless):not(.skin-minerva) .mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background-size:contain;padding:0 1em 0 0}.mw-parser-output .cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:none;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{color:var(--color-error,#d33)}.mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{display:none;color:#085;margin-left:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right{padding-right:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .citation .mw-selflink{font-weight:inherit}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{color:#18911f}}</style><cite id="CITEREFKorotayevZinkinaBogevolnov2011" class="citation journal cs1">Korotayev, Andrey; Zinkina, Julia; Bogevolnov, Justislav (2011). "Kondratieff waves in global invention activity (1900–2008)". <i>Technological Forecasting and Social Change</i>. <b>78</b> (7): 1280. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1016%2Fj.techfore.2011.02.011">10.1016/j.techfore.2011.02.011</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Technological+Forecasting+and+Social+Change&rft.atitle=Kondratieff+waves+in+global+invention+activity+%281900%E2%80%932008%29&rft.volume=78&rft.issue=7&rft.pages=1280&rft.date=2011&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1016%2Fj.techfore.2011.02.011&rft.aulast=Korotayev&rft.aufirst=Andrey&rft.au=Zinkina%2C+Julia&rft.au=Bogevolnov%2C+Justislav&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/33247372/Egyptian_Revolution_A_Demographic_Structural_Analysis_Entelequia._Revista_Interdisciplinar_13_2011_139_169">Egyptian Revolution: A Demographic Structural Analysis. <i>Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar</i> 13 (2011): 139–165</a> (with Julia Zinkina),</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/43006071">A Trap At The Escape From The Trap? Demographic-Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modern Africa and West Asia. <i>Cliodynamics</i> 2/2 (2011): 276–303</a> (with <a href="/wiki/Daria_Khaltourina" title="Daria Khaltourina">Daria Khaltourina</a> and others),</li> <li><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFMalkovZinkinaKorotayev2012" class="citation journal cs1">Malkov, Artemy; Zinkina, Julia; Korotayev, Andrey (2012). "The origins of dragon-kings and their occurrence in society". <i>Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications</i>. <b>391</b> (21): 5215. <a href="/wiki/Bibcode_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Bibcode (identifier)">Bibcode</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2012PhyA..391.5215M">2012PhyA..391.5215M</a>. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1016%2Fj.physa.2012.05.045">10.1016/j.physa.2012.05.045</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Physica+A%3A+Statistical+Mechanics+and+Its+Applications&rft.atitle=The+origins+of+dragon-kings+and+their+occurrence+in+society&rft.volume=391&rft.issue=21&rft.pages=5215&rft.date=2012&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1016%2Fj.physa.2012.05.045&rft_id=info%3Abibcode%2F2012PhyA..391.5215M&rft.aulast=Malkov&rft.aufirst=Artemy&rft.au=Zinkina%2C+Julia&rft.au=Korotayev%2C+Andrey&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/29711069/Globalization_Shuffles_Cards_of_the_World_Pack_In_Which_Direction_is_the_Global_Economic_Political_Balance_Shifting">Globalization Shuffles Cards of the World Pack: In Which Direction is the Global Economic-Political Balance Shifting? <i>World Futures</i>, 70: 515–545, 2014</a> (with <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a>).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/34515939/Phases_of_global_demographic_transition_correlate_with_phases_of_the_Great_Divergence_and_Great_Convergence">Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence. <i>Technological Forecasting and Social Change</i>. Volume 95, June 2015, Pages 163–169</a> (with <a href="/wiki/Jack_A._Goldstone" class="mw-redirect" title="Jack A. Goldstone">Jack A. Goldstone</a> & Julia Zinkina).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/34607933/Effects_of_Specific_Alcohol_Control_Policy_Measures_on_Alcohol-Related_Mortality_in_Russia_from_1998_to_2013">Effects of specific alcohol control policy measures on alcohol-related mortality in Russia from 1998 to 2013. <i>Alcohol and Alcoholism</i>, 2015, 50(5), 588-601</a> (with <a href="/wiki/Daria_Khaltourina" title="Daria Khaltourina">Daria Khaltourina</a>).</li> <li><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayevIssaevShishkina2015" class="citation journal cs1">Korotayev, Andrey; Issaev, Leonid; Shishkina, Alisa (2015). "Egyptian coup of 2013: an 'econometric' analysis". <i>The Journal of North African Studies</i>. <b>21</b> (3): 341–356. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1080%2F13629387.2015.1124238">10.1080/13629387.2015.1124238</a>. <a href="/wiki/S2CID_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="S2CID (identifier)">S2CID</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:147640479">147640479</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=The+Journal+of+North+African+Studies&rft.atitle=Egyptian+coup+of+2013%3A+an+%27econometric%27+analysis&rft.volume=21&rft.issue=3&rft.pages=341-356&rft.date=2015&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1080%2F13629387.2015.1124238&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fapi.semanticscholar.org%2FCorpusID%3A147640479%23id-name%3DS2CID&rft.aulast=Korotayev&rft.aufirst=Andrey&rft.au=Issaev%2C+Leonid&rft.au=Shishkina%2C+Alisa&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/30234449/Afrasian_Instability_Zone_and_Its_Historical_Background">Afrasian Instability Zone and Its Historical Background. <i>Social Evolution & History</i>. 2016. Vol. 15(2). P. 120-140</a>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/38093851/Great_Divergence_of_the_18th_Century_Final_published_version_">Great Divergence of the 18th century? <i>Cliodynamics</i> 9/2 (2018): 108–123</a>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/36810724/The_21st_Century_Singularity_and_its_Big_History_Implications_A_re-analysis">The 21st Century Singularity and its Big History Implications: A re-analysis</a>.<i>Journal of Big History</i> 2/3 (2018): 71 - 118.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/37276149/GDP_Per_Capita_and_Protest_Activity_A_Quantitative_Reanalysis">GDP Per Capita and Protest Activity: A Quantitative Reanalysis. <i>Cross-Cultural Research</i> 52/4 (2018): 406–440</a>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/48255449/Economic_Growth_Education_and_Terrorism_A_Re_Analysis_Terrorism_and_Political_Violence_33_3_2021_572_595">Economic growth, education, and terrorism: A re-analysis. <i>Terrorism and Political Violence</i> 33/3 (2021): 572-595</a>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/10693971231162231">Education and Revolutions: Why do Revolutionary Uprisings Take Violent or Nonviolent Forms?. <i>Cross-Cultural Research</i>, 2023, 10693971231162231</a>.</li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Edited_volumes_by_Andrey_Korotayev">Edited volumes by Andrey Korotayev</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=23" title="Edit section: Edited volumes by Andrey Korotayev"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/94140410/Handbook_of_Revolutions_in_the_21st_Century_The_New_Waves_of_Revolutions_and_the_Causes_and_Effects_of_Disruptive_Political_Change"><i>Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century. The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change</i></a> (Springer, 2022).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-031-15135-4"><i>New Wave of Revolutions in the MENA Region. A Comparative Perspective</i></a> (2022).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8"><i>The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures. A Big History Perspective</i></a> (Springer, 2020)</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/40269303/Big_History_Aspects_2019_"><i>History & Mathematics: Big History Aspects</i></a> (2019).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/41475313/Evolution_Evolutionary_Trends_Aspects_and_Patterns_2019_"><i>Evolution: Evolutionary Trends, Aspects, and Patterns</i></a> (2019).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/36798820/Globalistics_and_Globalization_Studies_Global_Evolution_Historical_Globalistics_and_Globalization_Studies">Globalistics and Globalization Studies: Global Evolution, Historical Globalistics and Globalization Studies</a> (2017)</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/36948064/HISTORY_and_MATHEMATICS_ECONOMY_DEMOGRAPHY_CULTURE_AND_COSMIC_CIVILIZATIONS">History & Mathematics: Economy, Demography, Culture, and Cosmic Civilizations</a> (2017).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/24215872/Political_Demography_and_Global_Ageing">Political Demography & Global Ageing</a> (2015).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/34862424/Evolution_From_Big_Bang_to_Nanorobots_2015_"><i>Evolution: From Big Bang to Nanorobots</i>. Moscow: Uchitel, 2015</a>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/24888636/Trends_and_Cycles"><i>Trends and Cycles</i>, Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics, 2014</a>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/20119567/Teaching_and_Researching_Big_History_Exploring_a_New_Scholarly_Field"><i>Teaching & Researching Big History: Exploring a New Scholarly Field</i>, International Big History Association, 2014</a>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/21359312/KONDRATIEFF_WAVES._Dimensions_and_Prospects_at_the_Dawn_of_the_21_st_Century">Kondratieff Waves: Dimensions and Prospects at the Dawn of the 21st Century. Volgograd: Uchitel, 2012</a>. <co-editor, with <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a> and <a href="/wiki/Tessaleno_Devezas" title="Tessaleno Devezas">Tessaleno Devezas</a>; in English></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.socionauki.ru/almanac/issues/evolution_2_en/">Evolution: A Big History Perspective</a>. Volgograd: 'Uchitel' Publishing House, 2011. <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/978-5-7057-2905-0" title="Special:BookSources/978-5-7057-2905-0">978-5-7057-2905-0</a> <co-editor, with <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a> and Barry Rodrigue; in English>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.socionauki.ru/almanac/evolution_en/evol_1_en/">Evolution: Cosmic, Biological, and Social</a> / Edited by <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">L. E. Grinin</a>, <a href="/wiki/Robert_Carneiro" class="mw-redirect" title="Robert Carneiro">R. L. Carneiro</a>, A. V. Korotayev, F. Spier. Volgograd, Uchitel 2011.</li> <li>Forecasting and Modeling of Crises and World Dynamics. Moscow: LKI/URSS, 2010 <co-editor, with <a href="/wiki/Askar_Akayev" title="Askar Akayev">Askar Akayev</a> and Georgy Malinetsky; in Russian>.</li> <li>System Monitoring of Global and Regional Risks. Moscow: LKI/URSS, 2010 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.socionauki.ru/almanac/evolution/">Evolution: Problems and Discussions</a>. Moscow: LKI/URSS, 2010 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>History and Mathematics. Evolutionary Historical Macrodynamics. Moscow: LIBROCOM/URSS, 2010 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>Causes of the Russian Revolution. Moscow: LKI/URSS, 2010 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>System Monitoring. Global and Regional Development. Moscow: LIBROCOM /URSS, 2010 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>History and Mathematics. Processes and Models. М.: URSS, 2009 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://urss.ru/cgi-bin/db.pl?lang=sp&blang=en&page=Book&id=81729">Hierarchy and Power in the History of Civilizations: Political Aspects of Modernity</a> / Ed. by <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">L. E. Grinin</a>, D. D. Beliaev, A. V. Korotayev. Moscow: LIBROCOM/URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in English>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.socionauki.ru/book/hap_en/hap_1_en/">Hierarchy and Power in the History of Civilizations: Ancient and Medieval Cultures</a>/ Ed. by <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">L. E. Grinin</a>, D. D. Beliaev, A. V. Korotayev. Moscow: LIBROCOM/URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in English>.</li> <li>Problems of Mathematical History. Historical Reconstruction, Forecasting, Methodology. М.: LIBROCOM /URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>Problems of Mathematical History. Mathematical Modeling of Historical Processes. М.: LIBROCOM /URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>Problems of Mathematical History. Basics, Information Resources, Data Analysis. М.: LIBROCOM /URSS, 2008. С. 235–245 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>History and Mathematics. Models and Theories. Moscow: LKI/URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>Alcohol Catastrophe. Moscow: LENAND/URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>Interethnic Relations in Contemporary Tanzania. The 2005 Field Season of the Russian Multidisciplinary Expedition in the United Republic of Tanzania. Moscow: Institute for African Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, 2007 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.socionauki.ru/almanac/ham_en/iim_1_en/">History & Mathematics: Analyzing and Modeling Global Development</a>. Moscow: URSS, 2006 <co-editor; in English>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.socionauki.ru/almanac/ham_en/iim_2_en/">History & Mathematics: Historical Dynamics and Development of Complex Societies</a>. Moscow: URSS, 2006 <co-editor; in English>.</li> <li>History and Complexity Studies: Mathematical Modeling of Social Dynamics. Moscow: URSS, 2005 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.socionauki.ru/book/early_state_en/">The Early State, Its Alternatives and Analogues</a>. Volgograd: Uchitel, 2004 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>The Moscow School of Quantitative Cross-Cultural Research. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE, 2003 (Cross-Cultural Research 37/1) <co-editor; in English>.</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/384432433X">Alternatives of Social Evolution</a>. Vladivostok: Dal'nauka, 2000 <co-editor; in English>.</li> <li>Civilizational Models of Politogenesis. Moscow: Inst. for Afr. Stud. Press, 2000 <co-editor; in English>.</li> <li>Alternatives Pathways to Civilization. Moscow: Logos, 2000 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>Sociobiology of Ritual and Group Identity: A Homology of Animal and Human Behaviour. Moscow: Russian State University for Humanities, 1998 <co-editor; in English>.</li> <li>Alternativity of History. Donetsk: Donetskoe Otdelenie SAMI, 1992 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li> <li>Archaic Society: Key Problems of Evolutionary Sociology. Moscow: Institut istorii SSSR AN SSSR, 1991 <co-editor; in Russian>.</li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Notes">Notes</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=24" title="Edit section: Notes"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1239543626">.mw-parser-output .reflist{margin-bottom:0.5em;list-style-type:decimal}@media screen{.mw-parser-output .reflist{font-size:90%}}.mw-parser-output .reflist .references{font-size:100%;margin-bottom:0;list-style-type:inherit}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-2{column-width:30em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns-3{column-width:25em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns{margin-top:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns ol{margin-top:0}.mw-parser-output .reflist-columns li{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-alpha{list-style-type:upper-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-upper-roman{list-style-type:upper-roman}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-alpha{list-style-type:lower-alpha}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-greek{list-style-type:lower-greek}.mw-parser-output .reflist-lower-roman{list-style-type:lower-roman}</style><div class="reflist reflist-columns references-column-width" style="column-width: 30em;"> <ol class="references"> <li id="cite_note-sbras.nsc.ru-1"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-sbras.nsc.ru_1-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-sbras.nsc.ru_1-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20181224192240/http://www.sbras.ru/news/detail.php?ID=2438">"The Best Economists of the Russian Academy of Sciences"</a>. Russian Academy of Sciences. Archived from <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.sbras.nsc.ru/news/detail.php?ID=2438">the original</a> on 24 December 2018<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">27 June</span> 2006</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=The+Best+Economists+of+the+Russian+Academy+of+Sciences&rft.pub=Russian+Academy+of+Sciences&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sbras.nsc.ru%2Fnews%2Fdetail.php%3FID%3D2438&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-ikf2010.ru-2"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-ikf2010.ru_2-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-ikf2010.ru_2-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20131012053418/http://ikf2010.ru/comments.php?id=265_0_1_0_C">"ИТОГИ VII МЕЖДУНАРОДНОГО КОНКУРСА НА СОИСКАНИЕ ЗОЛОТОЙ, СЕРЕБРЯНОЙ, БРОНЗОВОЙ МЕДАЛЕЙ И ПАМЯТНОЙ МЕДАЛИ ДЛЯ МОЛОДЫХ УЧЕНЫХ «За вклад в развитие общественных наук» от 28 апреля 2012 года"</a>. <i>ИТОГИ VII МЕЖДУНАРОДНОГО КОНКУРСА НА СОИСКАНИЕ ЗОЛОТОЙ, СЕРЕБРЯНОЙ, БРОНЗОВОЙ МЕДАЛЕЙ И ПАМЯТНОЙ МЕДАЛИ ДЛЯ МОЛОДЫХ УЧЕНЫХ «За вклад в развитие общественных наук» от 28 апреля 2012 года</i>. 30 September 2019. Archived from <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://ikf2010.ru/rejting-foreks-brokerov-i-dc/">the original</a> on 12 October 2013.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=unknown&rft.jtitle=%D0%98%D0%A2%D0%9E%D0%93%D0%98+VII+%D0%9C%D0%95%D0%96%D0%94%D0%A3%D0%9D%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%9E%D0%94%D0%9D%D0%9E%D0%93%D0%9E+%D0%9A%D0%9E%D0%9D%D0%9A%D0%A3%D0%A0%D0%A1%D0%90+%D0%9D%D0%90+%D0%A1%D0%9E%D0%98%D0%A1%D0%9A%D0%90%D0%9D%D0%98%D0%95+%D0%97%D0%9E%D0%9B%D0%9E%D0%A2%D0%9E%D0%99%2C+%D0%A1%D0%95%D0%A0%D0%95%D0%91%D0%A0%D0%AF%D0%9D%D0%9E%D0%99%2C+%D0%91%D0%A0%D0%9E%D0%9D%D0%97%D0%9E%D0%92%D0%9E%D0%99+%D0%9C%D0%95%D0%94%D0%90%D0%9B%D0%95%D0%99+%D0%98+%D0%9F%D0%90%D0%9C%D0%AF%D0%A2%D0%9D%D0%9E%D0%99+%D0%9C%D0%95%D0%94%D0%90%D0%9B%D0%98+%D0%94%D0%9B%D0%AF+%D0%9C%D0%9E%D0%9B%D0%9E%D0%94%D0%AB%D0%A5+%D0%A3%D0%A7%D0%95%D0%9D%D0%AB%D0%A5+%C2%AB%D0%97%D0%B0+%D0%B2%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B4+%D0%B2+%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%B5+%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%89%D0%B5%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BD%D1%8B%D1%85+%D0%BD%D0%B0%D1%83%D0%BA%C2%BB+%D0%BE%D1%82+28+%D0%B0%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8F+2012+%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%B0&rft.atitle=%D0%98%D0%A2%D0%9E%D0%93%D0%98+VII+%D0%9C%D0%95%D0%96%D0%94%D0%A3%D0%9D%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%9E%D0%94%D0%9D%D0%9E%D0%93%D0%9E+%D0%9A%D0%9E%D0%9D%D0%9A%D0%A3%D0%A0%D0%A1%D0%90+%D0%9D%D0%90+%D0%A1%D0%9E%D0%98%D0%A1%D0%9A%D0%90%D0%9D%D0%98%D0%95+%D0%97%D0%9E%D0%9B%D0%9E%D0%A2%D0%9E%D0%99%2C+%D0%A1%D0%95%D0%A0%D0%95%D0%91%D0%A0%D0%AF%D0%9D%D0%9E%D0%99%2C+%D0%91%D0%A0%D0%9E%D0%9D%D0%97%D0%9E%D0%92%D0%9E%D0%99+%D0%9C%D0%95%D0%94%D0%90%D0%9B%D0%95%D0%99+%D0%98+%D0%9F%D0%90%D0%9C%D0%AF%D0%A2%D0%9D%D0%9E%D0%99+%D0%9C%D0%95%D0%94%D0%90%D0%9B%D0%98+%D0%94%D0%9B%D0%AF+%D0%9C%D0%9E%D0%9B%D0%9E%D0%94%D0%AB%D0%A5+%D0%A3%D0%A7%D0%95%D0%9D%D0%AB%D0%A5+%C2%AB%D0%97%D0%B0+%D0%B2%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D0%B4+%D0%B2+%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%B5+%D0%BE%D0%B1%D1%89%D0%B5%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BD%D1%8B%D1%85+%D0%BD%D0%B0%D1%83%D0%BA%C2%BB+%D0%BE%D1%82+28+%D0%B0%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BB%D1%8F+2012+%D0%B3%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%B0&rft.date=2019-09-30&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fikf2010.ru%2Frejting-foreks-brokerov-i-dc%2F&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-3"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-3">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Global Studies Directory. <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/9789004348479" title="Special:BookSources/9789004348479">9789004348479</a>. Leiden: Brill, 2018, pp. 182–183.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-HSE_University_-_Moscow_staff-4"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-HSE_University_-_Moscow_staff_4-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-HSE_University_-_Moscow_staff_4-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.hse.ru/en/org/persons/72242054">"HSE University - Moscow staff"</a>. <i>hse.ru</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=unknown&rft.jtitle=hse.ru&rft.atitle=HSE+University+-+Moscow+staff&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.hse.ru%2Fen%2Forg%2Fpersons%2F72242054&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-5"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-5">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20140116214011/http://ivran.ru/component/content/article/3-vostokpages/383-group-bighistory">Институт Востоковедения Российской Академии Наук</a></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-6"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-6">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20140116234540/http://ivran.ru/component/content/article/17-ios-smi/678-ios-smi-september2013">Институт Востоковедения Российской Академии Наук</a></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-7"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-7">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.inafran.ru/en/node/23">"Centre for Civilisational and Regional Studies | Institute for African Studies"</a>. <i>inafran.ru</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=unknown&rft.jtitle=inafran.ru&rft.atitle=Centre+for+Civilisational+and+Regional+Studies+%26%23124%3B+Institute+for+African+Studies&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.inafran.ru%2Fen%2Fnode%2F23&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-8"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-8">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20140903014204/http://www.ranepa.ru/eng/activities/item/375-demography-conference.html">RANEPA - First International Conference on Political Demography and Social Macro-Dynamics</a></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-9"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-9">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://istina.msu.ru/profile/Korotayev/">"Андрей Витальевич Коротаев"</a>. Istina<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">31 December</span> 2013</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9+%D0%92%D0%B8%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%B5%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%87+%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%B5%D0%B2&rft.pub=Istina&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fistina.msu.ru%2Fprofile%2FKorotayev%2F&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-10"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-10">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.sociostudies.org/journal/jogs/">"Journal of Globalization Studies"</a>. 2010. <a href="/wiki/ISSN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISSN (identifier)">ISSN</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://search.worldcat.org/issn/2075-8103">2075-8103</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=Journal+of+Globalization+Studies&rft.date=2010&rft.issn=2075-8103&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sociostudies.org%2Fjournal%2Fjogs%2F&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-11"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-11">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20100722040258/http://edurss.ru/cgi-bin/db.pl?cp=&page=Book&id=53185&lang=en&blang=en&list=Found">"History and mathematics: Historical Dynamics and Development of Complex Societies"</a>. URSS. Archived from <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.edurss.ru/cgi-bin/db.pl?cp=&page=Book&id=53185&lang=en&blang=en&list=Found">the original</a> on 22 July 2010<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">31 December</span> 2013</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=History+and+mathematics%3A+Historical+Dynamics+and+Development+of+Complex+Societies&rft.pub=URSS&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.edurss.ru%2Fcgi-bin%2Fdb.pl%3Fcp%3D%26page%3DBook%26id%3D53185%26lang%3Den%26blang%3Den%26list%3DFound&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-12"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-12">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.sociostudies.org/almanac/ham/iim_4/">Almanac</a> (together with <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a> and <a href="/w/index.php?title=Arno_Tausch&action=edit&redlink=1" class="new" title="Arno Tausch (page does not exist)">Arno Tausch</a>).</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-13"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-13">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Note that the analysis of log-linear oscillations in the gold price dynamics for 2003–2010 conducted by him together with <a href="/wiki/Askar_Akayev" title="Askar Akayev">Askar Akayev</a> allowed them to forecast in November 2010 a possible start of the second wave of the global crisis in June – August 2011. See <a href="/wiki/Askar_Akayev" title="Askar Akayev">Askar Akayev</a>, Alexey Fomin, Sergey Tsirel, and Andrey Korotayev. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/7qk9z9kz">Log-Periodic Oscillation Analysis Forecasts the Burst of the "Gold Bubble" in April – June 2011. <i>Structure and Dynamics</i> 4/3 (2010): 1–11</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-14"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-14">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.hs.ias.edu/memberlists/2003-2004">"2003-2004 Members, Vistors [sic] and Research Assistants | School of Historical Studies"</a>. <i>hs.ias.edu</i>. 6 July 2011.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=unknown&rft.jtitle=hs.ias.edu&rft.atitle=2003-2004+Members%2C+Vistors+%5Bsic%5D+and+Research+Assistants+%26%23124%3B+School+of+Historical+Studies&rft.date=2011-07-06&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.hs.ias.edu%2Fmemberlists%2F2003-2004&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-cliodynamics-15"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-cliodynamics_15-0">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayev_A.Malkov_A.Khaltourina_D.2006" class="citation book cs1">Korotayev A.; Malkov A.; Khaltourina D. (2006). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/22215616"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends</i></a>. Moscow: URSS.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Introduction+to+Social+Macrodynamics%3A+Secular+Cycles+and+Millennial+Trends&rft.place=Moscow&rft.pub=URSS&rft.date=2006&rft.au=Korotayev+A.&rft.au=Malkov+A.&rft.au=Khaltourina+D.&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F22215616&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-cliodynamics.ru-16"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-cliodynamics.ru_16-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-cliodynamics.ru_16-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text">See, e.g., Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32757085/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics._Models_of_the_World_System_Development._Moscow_KomKniga_URSS_2006"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth</i></a>. Moscow: URSS Publishers, 2006.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-17"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-17">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">See, e.g., Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32757085/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics._Models_of_the_World_System_Development._Moscow_KomKniga_URSS_2006"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth</i></a>. Moscow: URSS Publishers, 2006; Korotayev A. V. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://jwsr.ucr.edu/archive/vol11/number1/pdf/jwsr-v11n1-korotayev.pdf">A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution // Journal of World-Systems Research 11/1 (2005): 79–93</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090706205516/http://jwsr.ucr.edu/archive/vol11/number1/pdf/jwsr-v11n1-korotayev.pdf">Archived</a> 6 July 2009 at the <a href="/wiki/Wayback_Machine" title="Wayback Machine">Wayback Machine</a>; for a detailed mathematical analysis of this issue see <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1206.0496">A Compact Mathematical Model of the World System Economic and Demographic Growth, 1 CE – 1973 CE</a>; for an analysis of this pattern suggested by Korotayev see, e.g., Carter, B., (2008), "Five or six step scenario for evolution?" Int. J. Astrobiology 7 (2008) 177–182. As Francis Heylighen puts it, "an elegant example is the explanation by Korotayev of the hyperbolic growth of the world population until 1960. In the model, population growth is initially modeled by a traditional logistic growth equation, where population N starts by growing exponentially but then slows down until it reaches the maximum value expressed by the carrying capacity of the environment. This carrying capacity is proportional to the overall productivity of technology, i.e. its ability to extract from the natural environment the resources necessary for survival. In a second equation, the growth of technological productivity is considered to be proportional to the technology that is already there (simple exponential growth), but also to the population number, under the simple assumption that more individuals will discover more innovations. The authors shows that the two equations together produce a hyperbolic growth curve that mimics the observed historical growth of world population with a surprising accuracy (explaining over 99% of the variation for the period 500 BC–1962)" (<link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFHeylighen2007" class="citation book cs1"><a href="/wiki/Francis_Heylighen" title="Francis Heylighen">Heylighen, Francis</a> (2007). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://pespmc1.vub.ac.be/Papers/AcceleratingEvolution.pdf">"Accelerating socio-technological evolution: from ephemeralization and stigmergy to the Global Brain"</a> <span class="cs1-format">(PDF)</span>. In <a href="/wiki/George_Modelski" title="George Modelski">Modelski, George</a>; Devezas, Tessaleno; Thompson, William (eds.). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://books.google.com/books?id=JHKTAgAAQBAJ&pg=PA284"><i>Globalization as evolutionary process: Modeling global change</i></a>. Rethinking Globalizations. London: Routledge. pp. 284–335. <a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/978-0-415-77361-4" title="Special:BookSources/978-0-415-77361-4"><bdi>978-0-415-77361-4</bdi></a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=bookitem&rft.atitle=Accelerating+socio-technological+evolution%3A+from+ephemeralization+and+stigmergy+to+the+Global+Brain&rft.btitle=Globalization+as+evolutionary+process%3A+Modeling+global+change&rft.place=London&rft.series=Rethinking+Globalizations&rft.pages=284-335&rft.pub=Routledge&rft.date=2007&rft.isbn=978-0-415-77361-4&rft.aulast=Heylighen&rft.aufirst=Francis&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fpespmc1.vub.ac.be%2FPapers%2FAcceleratingEvolution.pdf&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span> <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/978-1-135-97764-1" title="Special:BookSources/978-1-135-97764-1">978-1-135-97764-1</a>.).</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-18"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-18">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/22215616/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics_Secular_Cycles_and_Millennial_Trends"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends.</i></a> Moscow: URSS, 2006; The <a href="/wiki/World-systems_theory" title="World-systems theory">World System</a> urbanization dynamics. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://ssrn.com/abstract=1703534">History & Mathematics: Historical Dynamics and Development of Complex Societies</a>. Edited by <a href="/wiki/Peter_Turchin" title="Peter Turchin">Peter Turchin</a>, <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a>, Andrey Korotayev, and Victor C. de Munck. Moscow: KomKniga, 2006. <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/5-484-01002-0" title="Special:BookSources/5-484-01002-0">5-484-01002-0</a>. P. 44-62</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-19"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-19">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Korotayev A., Zinkina J. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/30720894/On_the_structure_of_the_present-day_convergence">On the structure of the present-day convergence. <i>Campus-Wide Information Systems</i>. Vol. 31 No. 2/3, 2014, pp. 139–152</a></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-Zinkina_J._2014-20"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-Zinkina_J._2014_20-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-Zinkina_J._2014_20-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text">Zinkina J., Korotayev A. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/6823642/EXPLOSIVE_POPULATION_GROWTH_IN_TROPICAL_AFRICA_CRUCIAL_OMISSION_IN_DEVELOPMENT_FORECASTS_EMERGING_RISKS_AND_WAY_OUT">Explosive Population Growth in Tropical Africa: Crucial Omission in Development Forecasts (Emerging Risks and Way Out). <i>World Futures</i> 70/2 (2014): 120–139</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-21"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-21">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFMarkovKorotayev2007" class="citation journal cs1">Markov, Alexander V; Korotayev, Andrey V (2007). "Phanerozoic marine biodiversity follows a hyperbolic trend". <i><a href="/wiki/Palaeoworld" title="Palaeoworld">Palaeoworld</a></i>. <b>16</b> (4): 311–318. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1016%2Fj.palwor.2007.01.002">10.1016/j.palwor.2007.01.002</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Palaeoworld&rft.atitle=Phanerozoic+marine+biodiversity+follows+a+hyperbolic+trend&rft.volume=16&rft.issue=4&rft.pages=311-318&rft.date=2007&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1016%2Fj.palwor.2007.01.002&rft.aulast=Markov&rft.aufirst=Alexander+V&rft.au=Korotayev%2C+Andrey+V&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-22"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-22">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFMarkovKorotaev2008" class="citation journal cs1">Markov, AV; Korotaev, AV (2008). "Hyperbolic growth of marine and continental biodiversity through the phanerozoic and community evolution". <i>Zhurnal Obshchei Biologii</i>. <b>69</b> (3): 175–94. <a href="/wiki/PMID_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="PMID (identifier)">PMID</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18677962">18677962</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Zhurnal+Obshchei+Biologii&rft.atitle=Hyperbolic+growth+of+marine+and+continental+biodiversity+through+the+phanerozoic+and+community+evolution&rft.volume=69&rft.issue=3&rft.pages=175-94&rft.date=2008&rft_id=info%3Apmid%2F18677962&rft.aulast=Markov&rft.aufirst=AV&rft.au=Korotaev%2C+AV&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-23"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-23">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/36810724/The_21st_Century_Singularity_and_its_Big_History_Implications_A_re-analysis">The 21st Century Singularity and its Big History Implications: A re-analysis</a>. <i>Journal of Big History</i> 2/3 (2018): 71 - 118.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-24"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-24">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation book cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8"><i>The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures</i></a>. World-Systems Evolution and Global Futures. 2020. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1007%2F978-3-030-33730-8">10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8</a>. <a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/978-3-030-33729-2" title="Special:BookSources/978-3-030-33729-2"><bdi>978-3-030-33729-2</bdi></a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=The+21st+Century+Singularity+and+Global+Futures&rft.series=World-Systems+Evolution+and+Global+Futures&rft.date=2020&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1007%2F978-3-030-33730-8&rft.isbn=978-3-030-33729-2&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Flink.springer.com%2Fbook%2F10.1007%2F978-3-030-33730-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-25"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-25">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayevMalkovKhaltourina2006" class="citation web cs1">Korotayev, Andrey V.; Malkov, Artemy S.; Khaltourina, Daria A. (9 October 2006). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://escholarship.org/uc/item/9c96x0p1">"Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends"</a> – via escholarship.org.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=Secular+Cycles+and+Millennial+Trends&rft.date=2006-10-09&rft.aulast=Korotayev&rft.aufirst=Andrey+V.&rft.au=Malkov%2C+Artemy+S.&rft.au=Khaltourina%2C+Daria+A.&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fescholarship.org%2Fuc%2Fitem%2F9c96x0p1&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-urss.ru-26"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-urss.ru_26-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-urss.ru_26-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-urss.ru_26-2"><sup><i><b>c</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text">Korotayev A.V., Khaltourina D.A. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/27503953/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics_Secular_Cycles_and_Millennial_Trends_in_Africa"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends in Africa.</i></a> Moscow: URSS, 2006. <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/5-484-00560-4" title="Special:BookSources/5-484-00560-4">5-484-00560-4</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-27"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-27">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayev" class="citation web cs1">Korotayev, Andrey. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/33247372">"Egyptian Revolution: A Demographic Structural Analysis // Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar 13 (2011): 139–169"</a> – via academia.edu.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=Egyptian+Revolution%3A+A+Demographic+Structural+Analysis+%2F%2F+Entelequia.+Revista+Interdisciplinar+13+%282011%29%3A+139%E2%80%93169&rft.aulast=Korotayev&rft.aufirst=Andrey&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F33247372&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-28"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-28">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external free" href="http://polit.ru/article/2013/06/29/revolutions/">http://polit.ru/article/2013/06/29/revolutions/</a>; see also <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/25995601/Egyptian_coup_of_2013_an_econometric_analysis">Egyptian coup of 2013: an 'econometric' analysis. <i>The Journal of North African Studies</i>. 2016. Vol. 21 (3). P. 341–356</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-29"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-29">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayevIssaevZinkina2015" class="citation journal cs1">Korotayev, A.; Issaev, L.; Zinkina, J. (2015). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/35943100">"Center-periphery dissonance as a possible factor of the revolutionary wave of 2013-2014: A cross-national analysis"</a>. <i>Cross-Cultural Research</i>. <b>49</b> (5): 461–488. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1177%2F1069397115595374">10.1177/1069397115595374</a>. <a href="/wiki/S2CID_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="S2CID (identifier)">S2CID</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:36149423">36149423</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Cross-Cultural+Research&rft.atitle=Center-periphery+dissonance+as+a+possible+factor+of+the+revolutionary+wave+of+2013-2014%3A+A+cross-national+analysis&rft.volume=49&rft.issue=5&rft.pages=461-488&rft.date=2015&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1177%2F1069397115595374&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fapi.semanticscholar.org%2FCorpusID%3A36149423%23id-name%3DS2CID&rft.aulast=Korotayev&rft.aufirst=A.&rft.au=Issaev%2C+L.&rft.au=Zinkina%2C+J.&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F35943100&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-30"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-30">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFAkaevKorotayevIssaevZinkina2017" class="citation journal cs1">Akaev, Askar; Korotayev, Andrey; Issaev, Leonid; Zinkina, Julia (2017). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/37184336">"Technological development and protest waves: Arab spring as a trigger of the global phase transition?"</a>. <i>Technological Forecasting and Social Change</i>. <b>116</b>: 316–321. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1016%2Fj.techfore.2016.08.009">10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.009</a> – via academia.edu.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Technological+Forecasting+and+Social+Change&rft.atitle=Technological+development+and+protest+waves%3A+Arab+spring+as+a+trigger+of+the+global+phase+transition%3F&rft.volume=116&rft.pages=316-321&rft.date=2017&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1016%2Fj.techfore.2016.08.009&rft.aulast=Akaev&rft.aufirst=Askar&rft.au=Korotayev%2C+Andrey&rft.au=Issaev%2C+Leonid&rft.au=Zinkina%2C+Julia&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F37184336&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-31"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-31">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://polit.ru/article/2015/08/10/arab_spring/">"Андрей Коротаев: Арабская весна как триггер глобального фазового перехода? - ПОЛИТ.РУ"</a>. <i>polit.ru</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=unknown&rft.jtitle=polit.ru&rft.atitle=%D0%90%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%B9+%D0%9A%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%BE%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%B5%D0%B2%3A+%D0%90%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B1%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F+%D0%B2%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B0+%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%BA+%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%B3%D0%B3%D0%B5%D1%80+%D0%B3%D0%BB%D0%BE%D0%B1%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8C%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%BE+%D1%84%D0%B0%D0%B7%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B3%D0%BE+%D0%BF%D0%B5%D1%80%D0%B5%D1%85%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%B0%3F+-+%D0%9F%D0%9E%D0%9B%D0%98%D0%A2.%D0%A0%D0%A3&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fpolit.ru%2Farticle%2F2015%2F08%2F10%2Farab_spring%2F&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-32"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-32">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/41550406/Population_Dynamics_and_Internal_Warfare_A_Reconsideration">Population Dynamics and Internal Warfare: A Reconsideration</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20160603173842/http://cliodynamics.ru/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=281&Itemid=1">Archived</a> 3 June 2016 at the <a href="/wiki/Wayback_Machine" title="Wayback Machine">Wayback Machine</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/Social_Evolution_%26_History" title="Social Evolution & History">Social Evolution & History</a></i> 5/2 (2006): 112–147.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-33"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-33">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/41550406/Population_Dynamics_and_Internal_Warfare_A_Reconsideration">Population Dynamics and Internal Warfare: A Reconsideration</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20160603173842/http://cliodynamics.ru/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=281&Itemid=1">Archived</a> 3 June 2016 at the <a href="/wiki/Wayback_Machine" title="Wayback Machine">Wayback Machine</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/Social_Evolution_%26_History" title="Social Evolution & History">Social Evolution & History</a></i> 5/2 (2006): 112–147; see also Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/22215616/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics_Secular_Cycles_and_Millennial_Trends"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics. Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends</i></a>. Moscow: URSS, 2006; Korotayev A.V., Khaltourina D.A. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://urss.ru/cgi-bin/db.pl?cp=&lang=en&blang=en&list=14&page=Book&id=37485"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends in Africa.</i></a> Moscow: URSS, 2006. <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/5-484-00560-4" title="Special:BookSources/5-484-00560-4">5-484-00560-4</a>; <i>note that these findings are relevant for the preindustrial social systems only</i>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-34"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-34">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Kohler, Timothy A., and Charles Reed. Explaining the Structure and Timing of Formation of Pueblo I Villages in the Northern U.S. Southwest. In <i>Sustainable Lifeways: Cultural Persistence in an Ever-changing Environment</i>, edited by Naomi F. Miller, Katherine M. Moore, and Kathleen Ryan, pp. 150–179. <a href="/wiki/University_of_Pennsylvania" title="University of Pennsylvania">University of Pennsylvania</a>, <a href="/wiki/Philadelphia" title="Philadelphia">Philadelphia</a>, 2012.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-35"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-35">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">See, e.g., <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/33247372/Egyptian_Revolution_A_Demographic_Structural_Analysis_Entelequia._Revista_Interdisciplinar_13_2011_139_169">Egyptian Revolution: A Demographic Structural Analysis. <i>Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar</i> 13 (2011): 139–169.</a></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-36"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-36">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Korotayev, A., Malkov, S., & <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Grinin, L.</a> (2014). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/26411397/A_Trap_at_the_Escape_from_the_Trap_Some_Demographic_Structural_Factors_of_Political_Instability_in_Modernizing_Social_Systems">A trap at the escape from the trap? Some demographic structural factors of political instability in modernizing social systems. <i>History & Mathematics</i>, 4, 201-267</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-37"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-37">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">See, e.g., Korotayev A., <a href="/wiki/Khaltourina_D." class="mw-redirect" title="Khaltourina D.">Khaltourina D.</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32754260/Russian_Demographic_Crisis_in_Cross-National_Perspective._In_Russia_and_Globalization._Baltimore_John_Hopkins_University_Press">Russian Demographic Crisis in Cross-National Perspective. <i>Russia and Globalization: Identity, Security, and Society in an Era of Change</i></a>. Ed. by D. W. Blum. Baltimore, MD: <a href="/wiki/Johns_Hopkins_University_Press" title="Johns Hopkins University Press">Johns Hopkins University Press</a>, 2008. P. 37-78; Khaltourina, D. A., & Korotayev, A. V. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://ehp.sagepub.com/content/31/3/272.short">'Potential for alcohol policy to decrease the mortality crisis in Russia', Evaluation & the Health Professions, vol. 31, no. 3, Sep 2008. pp. 272–281</a>; <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://alcalc.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2015/05/10/alcalc.agv042?rss=1">Khaltourina, Daria, and Andrey Korotayev. "Effects of Specific Alcohol Control Policy Measures on Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia from 1998 to 2013." Alcohol and Alcoholism (2015): agv042 </a><sup class="noprint Inline-Template"><span style="white-space: nowrap;">[<i><a href="/wiki/Wikipedia:Link_rot" title="Wikipedia:Link rot"><span title=" Dead link tagged May 2021">dead link</span></a></i><span style="visibility:hidden; color:transparent; padding-left:2px">‍</span>]</span></sup>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-38"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-38">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/11983907/Critical_10_Years._Demographic_Policies_of_the_Russian_Federation_Successes_and_Challenges"><i>Critical 10 Years. Demographic Policies of the Russian Federation: Successes and Challenges</i>. – Moscow: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, 2015. P. 101-123.</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-39"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-39">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. (2006), <i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics</i>, Moscow: URSS, <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/5-484-00414-4" title="Special:BookSources/5-484-00414-4">5-484-00414-4</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external autonumber" href="http://urss.ru/cgi-bin/db.pl?cp=&lang=en&blang=en&list=14&page=Book&id=34250">[1]</a> (<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32757085/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics._Models_of_the_World_System_Development._Moscow_KomKniga_URSS_2006">Chapter 6: Reconsidering Weber: Literacy and "the Spirit of Capitalism"</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20110717065532/http://cliodynamics.ru/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=187&Itemid=70">Archived</a> 17 July 2011 at the <a href="/wiki/Wayback_Machine" title="Wayback Machine">Wayback Machine</a>). P.87-91.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-40"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-40">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/characterizing-literacy/book226639">"Characterizing Literacy"</a>. <i>SAGE Publications Inc</i>. 14 January 2020.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=unknown&rft.jtitle=SAGE+Publications+Inc&rft.atitle=Characterizing+Literacy&rft.date=2020-01-14&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fus.sagepub.com%2Fen-us%2Fnam%2Fcharacterizing-literacy%2Fbook226639&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-41"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-41">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. (2006), <i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics</i>, Moscow: URSS, <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/5-484-00414-4" title="Special:BookSources/5-484-00414-4">5-484-00414-4</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external autonumber" href="http://urss.ru/cgi-bin/db.pl?cp=&lang=en&blang=en&list=14&page=Book&id=34250">[2]</a> (<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32757085/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics._Models_of_the_World_System_Development._Moscow_KomKniga_URSS_2006">Chapter 6: Reconsidering Weber: Literacy and "the Spirit of Capitalism"</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20110717065532/http://cliodynamics.ru/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=187&Itemid=70">Archived</a> 17 July 2011 at the <a href="/wiki/Wayback_Machine" title="Wayback Machine">Wayback Machine</a>). P.88-91.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-komkniga-42"><span class="mw-cite-backlink">^ <a href="#cite_ref-komkniga_42-0"><sup><i><b>a</b></i></sup></a> <a href="#cite_ref-komkniga_42-1"><sup><i><b>b</b></i></sup></a></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayev_A.Malkov_A.Khaltourina_D.2006" class="citation book cs1">Korotayev A.; Malkov A.; Khaltourina D. (2006). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32757085"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth</i></a>. Moscow: KomKniga. <a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/5-484-00414-4" title="Special:BookSources/5-484-00414-4"><bdi>5-484-00414-4</bdi></a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Introduction+to+Social+Macrodynamics%3A+Compact+Macromodels+of+the+World+System+Growth&rft.place=Moscow&rft.pub=KomKniga&rft.date=2006&rft.isbn=5-484-00414-4&rft.au=Korotayev+A.&rft.au=Malkov+A.&rft.au=Khaltourina+D.&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F32757085&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-43"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-43">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.sociostudies.org/journal/articles/143130/">"Review of Social Macroevolution: Genesis and Transformation of the World System by Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev"</a>. Social Studies<span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">31 December</span> 2013</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=Review+of+Social+Macroevolution%3A+Genesis+and+Transformation+of+the+World+System+by+Leonid+Grinin+and+Andrey+Korotayev&rft.pub=Social+Studies&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sociostudies.org%2Fjournal%2Farticles%2F143130%2F&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-44"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-44">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Korotayev A. V. A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution.<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://jwsr.ucr.edu/archive/vol11/number1/pdf/jwsr-v11n1-korotayev.pdf">Journal of World-Systems Research 11/1 (2005): 79–93</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090706205516/http://jwsr.ucr.edu/archive/vol11/number1/pdf/jwsr-v11n1-korotayev.pdf">Archived</a> 6 July 2009 at the <a href="/wiki/Wayback_Machine" title="Wayback Machine">Wayback Machine</a>; Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. (2006). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32757085/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics._Models_of_the_World_System_Development._Moscow_KomKniga_URSS_2006"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth</i></a>. Moscow: KomKniga. <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/5-484-00414-4" title="Special:BookSources/5-484-00414-4">5-484-00414-4</a>; Korotayev A. Compact Mathematical Models of World System Development, and How they can Help us to Clarify our Understanding of Globalization Processes // Globalization as Evolutionary Process: Modeling Global Change / Edited by George Modelski, Tessaleno Devezas, and William R. Thompson. London: Routledge, 2007. P. 133-160.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-45"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-45">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.springer.com/us/book/9783319177793"><i>Great Divergence and Great Convergence. A Global Perspective</i></a> (Springer, 2015, with <a href="/wiki/Leonid_Grinin" title="Leonid Grinin">Leonid Grinin</a>).</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-46"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-46">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.sociostudies.org/journal/articles/588606/">"Articles from journals"</a>. <i>sociostudies.org</i>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=unknown&rft.jtitle=sociostudies.org&rft.atitle=Articles+from+journals&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sociostudies.org%2Fjournal%2Farticles%2F588606%2F&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-47"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-47">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/12812235/Phases_of_global_demographic_transition_correlate_with_phases_of_the_Great_Divergence_and_Great_Convergence">Korotayev A. et al. Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence. <i>Technological Forecasting and Social Change</i>. Volume 95, June 2015, Page 163</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-48"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-48">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Korotayev, Andrey V., & Tsirel, Sergey V.(2010). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/9jv108xp">A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis</a>. <i>Structure and Dynamics</i>. Vol.4. No. 1. P.3-57. Referring to this article, John A. Mathews notes: "The Russian <a href="/wiki/Polymath" title="Polymath">polymath</a> Andrey Korotayev together with his collaborator Sergey Tsirel has recently revived the study of long waves (or K-waves, after Kondratiev (Kondratieff)) by subjecting the time series to spectral analysis – thereby providing solid proof that these waves exist" (<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://technologygovernance.eu/files/main//2012082809441414.pdf">The renewable energies technology surge: A new techno-economic paradigm in the making? <i>Working Papers in Technology Governance and Economic Dynamics. The Other Canon Foundation, Norway</i>. 2012. No. 44</a>. P. 6. Note 6)</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-49"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-49">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayevZinkinaBogevolnov2011" class="citation journal cs1">Korotayev, Andrey; Zinkina, Julia; Bogevolnov, Justislav (2011). "Kondratieff waves in global invention activity (1900–2008)". <i>Technological Forecasting and Social Change</i>. <b>78</b> (7): 1280. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1016%2Fj.techfore.2011.02.011">10.1016/j.techfore.2011.02.011</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Technological+Forecasting+and+Social+Change&rft.atitle=Kondratieff+waves+in+global+invention+activity+%281900%E2%80%932008%29&rft.volume=78&rft.issue=7&rft.pages=1280&rft.date=2011&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1016%2Fj.techfore.2011.02.011&rft.aulast=Korotayev&rft.aufirst=Andrey&rft.au=Zinkina%2C+Julia&rft.au=Bogevolnov%2C+Justislav&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-50"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-50">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Korotayev A. V. A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution.<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://jwsr.ucr.edu/archive/vol11/number1/pdf/jwsr-v11n1-korotayev.pdf">Journal of World-Systems Research 11/1 (2005): 79–93</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090706205516/http://jwsr.ucr.edu/archive/vol11/number1/pdf/jwsr-v11n1-korotayev.pdf">Archived</a> 6 July 2009 at the <a href="/wiki/Wayback_Machine" title="Wayback Machine">Wayback Machine</a>; Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. (2006). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32757085/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics._Models_of_the_World_System_Development._Moscow_KomKniga_URSS_2006"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth</i></a>. Moscow: KomKniga. <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISBN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISBN (identifier)">ISBN</a> <a href="/wiki/Special:BookSources/5-484-00414-4" title="Special:BookSources/5-484-00414-4">5-484-00414-4</a></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-51"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-51">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFAndrey_Korotayev" class="citation web cs1">Andrey Korotayev. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/37305025">"World Religions and Social Evolution of the Old World Oikumene Civilizations: a Cross-Cultural Perspective"</a>. <a href="/wiki/Edwin_Mellen_Press" title="Edwin Mellen Press">Mellen Press</a><span class="reference-accessdate">. Retrieved <span class="nowrap">31 December</span> 2013</span>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=World+Religions+and+Social+Evolution+of+the+Old+World+Oikumene+Civilizations%3A+a+Cross-Cultural+Perspective&rft.pub=Mellen+Press&rft.au=Andrey+Korotayev&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F37305025&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-52"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-52">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">See, e.g., Korotayev A. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/3116530/Form_of_marriage_sexual_division_of_labor_and_postmarital_residence_in_cross-cultural_perspective_A_reconsideration">Form of marriage, sexual division of labor, and postmarital residence in cross-cultural perspective: A reconsideration</a>. <i>Journal of anthropological research</i> <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><a href="/wiki/ISSN_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="ISSN (identifier)">ISSN</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.worldcat.org/search?fq=x0:jrnl&q=n2:0091-7710">0091-7710</a>. 2003, Vol. 59, No. 1, pp. 69–89, <link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayev2003" class="citation journal cs1">Korotayev, Andrey (2003). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://cat.inist.fr/?aModele=afficheN&cpsidt=14683590">"Division of Labor by Gender and Postmarital Residence in Cross-Cultural Perspective: A Reconsideration"</a>. <i>Cross-Cultural Research</i>. <b>37</b> (4): 335–372. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1177%2F1069397103253685">10.1177/1069397103253685</a>. <a href="/wiki/S2CID_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="S2CID (identifier)">S2CID</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:145694651">145694651</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Cross-Cultural+Research&rft.atitle=Division+of+Labor+by+Gender+and+Postmarital+Residence+in+Cross-Cultural+Perspective%3A+A+Reconsideration&rft.volume=37&rft.issue=4&rft.pages=335-372&rft.date=2003&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1177%2F1069397103253685&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fapi.semanticscholar.org%2FCorpusID%3A145694651%23id-name%3DS2CID&rft.aulast=Korotayev&rft.aufirst=Andrey&rft_id=http%3A%2F%2Fcat.inist.fr%2F%3FaModele%3DafficheN%26cpsidt%3D14683590&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-53"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-53">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Korotayev A., Berezkin Yu., Kozmin A., Arkhipova A.<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/37626944/Return_of_the_White_Raven_Postdiluvial_Reconnaissance_Motif_A2234.1.1_Reconsidered_Journal_of_American_Folklore_2006_">Return of the White Raven: Postdiluvial Reconnaissance Motif A2234.1.1 Reconsidered</a> // <i><a href="/wiki/Journal_of_American_Folklore" title="Journal of American Folklore">Journal of American Folklore</a></i> 119: 472–520.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-54"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-54">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">See, e.g., <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/3552083/Midwest-Amazonian_Folklore-Mythological_Parallels">"Midwest-Amazonian" Folklore-Mythological Parallels?</a>. <i>Acta Americana</i> 14/1 (2006): 5–24; <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32351421/%D0%9C%D0%B8%D1%84%D1%8B_%D0%B8_%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B._%D0%93%D0%BB%D1%83%D0%B1%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D0%B8%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B8%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BD%D1%81%D1%82%D1%80%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%86%D0%B8%D1%8F_%D0%9C._%D0%9B%D0%B8%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BC_2011_"><i>Myths and Genes. A Deep Historical Reconstruction</i>. Moscow: Librokom/URSS, 2011</a>; Korotayev A. et al. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/37624585/Genes_and_Myths_Which_Genes_and_Myths_did_the_Different_Waves_of_the_Peopling_of_Americas_Bring_to_the_New_World">Which genes and myths did the different waves of the peopling of Americas bring to the New World?. <i>History and Mathematics</i> 6 (2017): 9-77</a>. <a rel="nofollow" class="external autonumber" href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/236984446_Translation_of_Chapter_3_of_Myths_and_Genes_(Moscow_URSS_Publishers_2011)?ev=prf_pub">[3]</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-55"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-55">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayev_A.V.Kazankov_A.A.2000" class="citation journal cs1">Korotayev A.V.; Kazankov A.A. (2000). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/33028599">"Regions Based on Social Structure: A Reconsideration"</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/Current_Anthropology" title="Current Anthropology">Current Anthropology</a></i>. <b>41</b> (5): 668–69. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.1086%2F317395">10.1086/317395</a>. <a href="/wiki/S2CID_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="S2CID (identifier)">S2CID</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:146717594">146717594</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Current+Anthropology&rft.atitle=Regions+Based+on+Social+Structure%3A+A+Reconsideration&rft.volume=41&rft.issue=5&rft.pages=668-69&rft.date=2000&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.1086%2F317395&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fapi.semanticscholar.org%2FCorpusID%3A146717594%23id-name%3DS2CID&rft.au=Korotayev+A.V.&rft.au=Kazankov+A.A.&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F33028599&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-56"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-56">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32351421/%D0%9C%D0%B8%D1%84%D1%8B_%D0%B8_%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8B._%D0%93%D0%BB%D1%83%D0%B1%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D0%B8%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BE%D1%80%D0%B8%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BD%D1%81%D1%82%D1%80%D1%83%D0%BA%D1%86%D0%B8%D1%8F_%D0%9C._%D0%9B%D0%B8%D0%B1%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%BC_2011_"><i>Myths and Genes. A Deep Historical Reconstruction</i>. Moscow: Librokom/URSS, 2011</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-57"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-57">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-01673385/document">d'Huy, J., Le Quellec, J. L., Berezkin, Y., Lajoye, P., & Uther, H. J. (2017). Studying folktale diffusion needs unbiased dataset. <i>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America</i></a>. <a rel="nofollow" class="external free" href="https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1714884114">https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1714884114</a></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-58"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-58">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFAndrey_V._Korotayev2003" class="citation journal cs1">Andrey V. Korotayev (2003). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/30721172">"Unilineal Descent Groups and Deep Christianization: A Cross-Cultural Comparison"</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/Cross-Cultural_Research" title="Cross-Cultural Research">Cross-Cultural Research</a></i>. <b>37</b> (1). <a href="/wiki/SAGE_Publishing" class="mw-redirect" title="SAGE Publishing">Sage</a>: 132–156.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Cross-Cultural+Research&rft.atitle=Unilineal+Descent+Groups+and+Deep+Christianization%3A+A+Cross-Cultural+Comparison&rft.volume=37&rft.issue=1&rft.pages=132-156&rft.date=2003&rft.au=Andrey+V.+Korotayev&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F30721172&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-59"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-59">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayev2000" class="citation journal cs1">Korotayev, Andrey (2000). "Parallel-Cousin (FBD) Marriage, Islamization, and Arabization". <i><a href="/wiki/Ethnology_(journal)" title="Ethnology (journal)">Ethnology</a></i>. <b>39</b> (4): 395–407. <a href="/wiki/Doi_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="Doi (identifier)">doi</a>:<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://doi.org/10.2307%2F3774053">10.2307/3774053</a>. <a href="/wiki/JSTOR_(identifier)" class="mw-redirect" title="JSTOR (identifier)">JSTOR</a> <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/3774053">3774053</a>.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Ethnology&rft.atitle=Parallel-Cousin+%28FBD%29+Marriage%2C+Islamization%2C+and+Arabization&rft.volume=39&rft.issue=4&rft.pages=395-407&rft.date=2000&rft_id=info%3Adoi%2F10.2307%2F3774053&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.jstor.org%2Fstable%2F3774053%23id-name%3DJSTOR&rft.aulast=Korotayev&rft.aufirst=Andrey&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-60"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-60">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayevIssaevRudenkoShishkina2016" class="citation journal cs1">Korotayev, A.; Issaev, L.; Rudenko, M.; Shishkina, A.; Ivanov, E. (2016). <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/30234449">"Afrasian Instability Zone and Its Historical Background"</a>. <i>Social Evolution & History</i>. <b>15</b> (2): 120–140.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Social+Evolution+%26+History&rft.atitle=Afrasian+Instability+Zone+and+Its+Historical+Background&rft.volume=15&rft.issue=2&rft.pages=120-140&rft.date=2016&rft.aulast=Korotayev&rft.aufirst=A.&rft.au=Issaev%2C+L.&rft.au=Rudenko%2C+M.&rft.au=Shishkina%2C+A.&rft.au=Ivanov%2C+E.&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F30234449&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-61"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-61">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">E.g., <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/3810065/SABAEAN_CULTURAL-POLITICAL_AREA_SOME_GENERAL_TRENDS_OF_EVOLUTION">Sabaean Cultural-Political Area: Some General Trends of Evolution. <i>Proceedings of the Seminar for Arabian Studies</i>. 23 (1993): 49–60</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-62"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-62">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">See his <i>Ancient Yemen</i>, Oxford, Oxford University Press, 1994; and his <i>Pre-Islamic Yemen</i>, Wiesbaden, Harrassowitz Verlag, 1995.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-63"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-63">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text">Korotayev A. V. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/27745315/WERE_THERE_ANY_TRULY_MATRILINEAL_LINEAGES_IN_THE_ARABIAN_PENINSULA">"Were There Any Truly Matrilineal Lineages in the Arabian Peninsula?" <i>Proceedings of the Seminar for Arabian Studies</i> 25 (1995); pp. 83–98</a>.</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-64"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-64">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32409776/A_socio_political_conflict_in_the_Qatabanian_kingdom_A_preliminary_re_interpretation_of_the_Qatabanic_inscription_R%C3%89S_3566_">Socio-Political Conflict in the Qatabanian Kingdom? (A preliminary re-interpretation of the Qatabanic inscription R 3566). <i>Proceedings of the Seminar for Arabian Studies</i> 27 (1997): 141–158</a>; this interpretation has been recognized as authoritative by the <i>Corpus of South Arabian Inscriptions</i> (Pisa: Edizioni Plus, 2004).</span> </li> <li id="cite_note-65"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-65">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite class="citation web cs1"><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/43006071">"A Trap at the Escape From The Trap? Demographic-Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modern Africa and West Asia"</a>. Cliodynamics. 2011. pp. 276–303.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=A+Trap+at+the+Escape+From+The+Trap%3F+Demographic-Structural+Factors+of+Political+Instability+in+Modern+Africa+and+West+Asia&rft.pages=276-303&rft.pub=Cliodynamics&rft.date=2011&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F43006071&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> <li id="cite_note-66"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><b><a href="#cite_ref-66">^</a></b></span> <span class="reference-text"><link rel="mw-deduplicated-inline-style" href="mw-data:TemplateStyles:r1238218222"><cite id="CITEREFKorotayev_A.Klimenko_V.Proussakov_D." class="citation journal cs1">Korotayev A.; Klimenko V.; Proussakov D. <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/3510576">"Origins of Islam: Political-Anthropological and Environmental Context"</a>. <i><a href="/wiki/Acta_Orientalia_Academiae_Scientiarum_Hungaricae" title="Acta Orientalia Academiae Scientiarum Hungaricae">Acta Orientalia Academiae Scientiarum Hungaricae</a></i>. <b>53</b> (3–4): 243–276.</cite><span title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.jtitle=Acta+Orientalia+Academiae+Scientiarum+Hungaricae&rft.atitle=Origins+of+Islam%3A+Political-Anthropological+and+Environmental+Context&rft.volume=53&rft.issue=3%E2%80%934&rft.pages=243-276&rft.au=Korotayev+A.&rft.au=Klimenko+V.&rft.au=Proussakov+D.&rft_id=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F3510576&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fen.wikipedia.org%3AAndrey+Korotayev" class="Z3988"></span></span> </li> </ol></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="External_links">External links</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Andrey_Korotayev&action=edit&section=25" title="Edit section: External links"><span>edit</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090719192138/http://intersci.ss.uci.edu/wiki/index.php/Andrey_Korotayev">Article on Andrey Korotayev at InterSci Complexity wiki (with a full list of his publications till 2009)</a></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://www.academia.edu/32757085/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics._Models_of_the_World_System_Development._Moscow_KomKniga_URSS_2006">"Introduction to Social Macrodynamics. Models of the World System Development. Moscow: KomKniga/URSS, 2006"</a></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20110725233438/http://intersci.ss.uci.edu/wiki/index.php/Introduction_to_Social_Macrodynamics:_Secular_Cycles_and_Millennial_Trends"><i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends</i> at InterSci Complexity wiki</a></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.mellenpress.com/mellenpress.cfm?aid=5560&pc=10">Mellen Press' Information on Andrey Korotayev</a></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://escholarship.org/uc/item/9c96x0p1">Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends</a></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20070928065859/http://www.openhistory.net/files/ISMWSChapter3.doc">Chapter 3: "A Compact Macromodel of World Economic and Demographic Growth" of <i>Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth</i></a> (Moscow, URSS, 2006)</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/9jv108xp">A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis</a>. <i>Structure and Dynamics</i>. 2010. Vol.4. No. 1. P.3-57 (with Sergey Tsirel).</li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://archive.today/20130415223446/http://www.sociostud.org/authors/korotayev_a/">Andrey V. Korotayev</a></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.ias.edu/people/cos/users/korotaev">Information on Andrey Korotayev at the web-site of the Institute of the Advanced Study in Princeton</a></li></ul> <div class="navbox-styles"><style data-mw-deduplicate="TemplateStyles:r1129693374">.mw-parser-output .hlist dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul{margin:0;padding:0}.mw-parser-output .hlist dd,.mw-parser-output .hlist dt,.mw-parser-output .hlist li{margin:0;display:inline}.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist.inline ul,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist dl ul,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist ol ul,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul dl,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul ol,.mw-parser-output .hlist ul ul{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .hlist 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