Mysteel：2025新春团拜会——无烟煤晋城站圆满落幕-我的钢铁网

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href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050204-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>无烟煤</a>晋城站”，在山西省晋城市山西天地王坡运销有限公司召开。我们诚挚感谢各位领导莅临指导会议！</p> <p>2月21日下午14:30，上海钢联电子商务股份有限公司煤焦事业部无烟煤分析师武文媛宣布大会正式开始，同时感谢了主办单位山西天地王坡运销有限公司。会议分别由晋城市<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0502-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>煤炭</a>工业协会会长李张军、山西天地王坡运销有限公司执行董事姚建华、上海钢联电子商务股份有限公司煤焦事业部副总经理雷万青为会议致辞，之后分别由国投期货有限公司黑色金属首席分析师曹颖，上海钢联电子商务股份有限公司<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050201-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>动力煤</a>分析师韩雅娟，上海钢联电子商务股份有限公司煤焦事业部无烟煤分析师田康先后发表了主题演讲，会议齐聚了煤矿、钢厂、贸易等企业的代表嘉宾，大家共同探讨当前煤价市场行情，细致解读煤焦供需数据，展望未来煤焦市场发展前景。</p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 450px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/06/1043581.jpg" width="600" height="450" /></p> <p>会议伊始，分别由晋城市煤炭工业协会会长李张军、山西天地王坡运销有限公司执行董事姚建华、上海钢联电子商务股份有限公司煤焦事业部副总经理雷万青为会议致辞。</p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 450px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/06/1043582.jpg" width="600" height="450" /></p> <p> </p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 450px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/06/1043583.jpg" width="600" height="450" /></p> <p> </p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 450px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/06/1043584.jpg" width="600" height="450" /></p> <p>接下来大会进入主题演讲环节。</p> <p>首先由国投期货有限公司黑色金属首席分析师曹颖发表了《忧虑与机会并存——2025年钢铁市场展望》的主题演讲。先是对24年黑色市场主要行情进行回顾，1月-4月，建筑板块的疲弱以及工程资金紧张形成拖累，铁水季节性复产慢于预期，进口煤冲击逐渐体现；4-6月，基建回款有改善，地产517新政也给市场带来一些信心，铁水开始迅速复产，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----03-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>炉料</a>弹性阶段性大于钢材； 6月-9月，地产需求及工程资金并未出现显著修复，而新旧螺纹国标转换事件严重冲击了华东期现贸易商市场的流动性，国内煤矿开始复产，碳元素开始较明显过剩；9月-10月，924政治局会议后市场情绪有明显修复，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-4262,7073-------------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁水产量</a>季节性修复带动炉料反弹； 10-12月，政策预期有所消散，终端需求韧性尚存，但碳元素过剩持续累积，叠加交割导致冬储行情不及预期。然后对2025年的钢材、铁矿、<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0501-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>焦炭</a>、焦煤进行分析，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>炼焦煤</a>供应过剩的格局恐在2025年仍将延续，且很可能还有所加剧。进口煤会继续保持高强度的市场冲击，而需求的承接能力还将有所下滑。但考虑到终端的需求预期出现了变化，下游利润有所扩张的前提下，炼焦煤价格也不排除阶段性有所反弹的可能性，但年度均价恐将进一步下滑，尝试冲击进口煤的高成本供应。预计2025年国内炼焦煤产量同比回升2.6%，净进口几乎持平，总供应同比增2.6%左右，整体延续过剩态势。</p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 450px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/06/1043585.jpg" width="600" height="450" /></p> <p>其次由上海钢联电子商务股份有限公司动力煤分析师韩雅娟对《2025年国内动力煤市场分析与展望》进行主题演讲。先是对24年全年的动力煤做出了2024年价格波动收窄，呈现淡季不淡、旺季不旺的观点，然后从产地、港口、进口三个方面对动力煤的价格与供给进行了分析，短期现实面和预期面双弱的局面仍将主导动力煤市场，因此价格继续寻底的可能性较大。不过，随着宏观面利好因素的不断集聚以及价格下行势能逐渐减弱，动力煤市场也不宜过度看空，关注非电行业“金三银四”启动之前备煤需求逐渐回归带动下的阶段性反弹机会。2025年动力煤市场供需过剩的格局难改，下游建材及化工需求整体持稳，电力需求略有增量，国内供应小幅增长，随着安监及环保的影响，可能阶段性对煤炭价格产生影响，预计煤炭价格年内波动幅度100-150元/吨。</p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 450px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/06/1043586.jpg" width="600" height="450" /></p> <p>接下来由上海钢联电子商务股份有限公司煤焦事业部无烟煤分析师田康发表了《无烟煤市场分析与展望》的主题演讲。先是对无烟煤的产量进行了介绍，24年原煤产量48109万吨，其中晋城产量14833万吨，长治16572万吨，阳泉6129万吨，河南10428万吨，无烟煤进口量仅有145万吨。并对进五年的无烟煤产量做出了分析，以及历年来无烟煤进口量统计分析，23年是无烟煤进口量最巅峰时刻，在 24年出现了小幅下跌，在25年难有增量。接下来对无烟煤的主要下游动力、冶金、<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0303-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁合金</a>、建材、化工等方面进行多维度分析，并从多维度进行了无烟煤价格联动性分析，最后介绍了石泉煤业在我网品牌价格上线，以及推广Mysteel即将推出的<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050203-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>喷吹煤</a>国产现货价格指数。</p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 450px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/06/1043587.jpg" width="600" height="450" /></p> <p>至此，“2025年Mysteel新春团拜会—无烟煤·晋城站”会议圆满结束，期间参会嘉宾一起进行了合影留念。最后，感谢为此次会议提供帮助与支持的各公司和前来参会的各位领导。祝大家2025年龙腾四海，大展宏图！</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2025/03/06/1043588.jpg" width="600" height="450" /></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：杨辰瑞 021-26090052 </br> 资讯监督：雷万青 021-26093205 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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