EGU - Division on Tectonics and Structural Geology (TS)

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src="https://www.egu.eu/static/104194bb/logos/egu/egu_plain_blue/egu_plain_blue.svg" loading="lazy" /> <hr> <p>European Geosciences Union</p> <small>Division on Tectonics and Structural Geology<br>ts.egu.eu</small> </header>  <main id="main"> <div id="content" class="container"> <h1 class="d-none d-print-block">Highlight articles</h1> <noscript> <div class="alert alert-warning" role="alert"> Some features of www.egu.eu will not appear or function properly if your browser does not have JavaScript enabled, or does not support it. </div> </noscript> <p> This page features highlight articles from EGU's open access journals <a href="https://www.annales-geophysicae.net/">Annales Geophysicae</a>, <a href="https://www.earth-surface-dynamics.net/">Earth Surface Dynamics</a>, <a href="https://www.earth-system-dynamics.net/">Earth System Dynamics</a>, <a href="https://www.geochronology.net/">Geochronology</a>, <a href="https://www.geoscience-communication.net/">Geoscience Communication</a>, <a href="https://www.geoscientific-instrumentation-methods-and-data-systems.net/">Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems</a>, <a href="http://www.geoscientific-model-development.net/">Geoscientific Model Development</a>, <a href="https://www.natural-hazards-and-earth-system-sciences.net/">Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences</a>, <a href="https://www.nonlinear-processes-in-geophysics.net/">Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics</a> and <a href="https://www.solid-earth.net/">Solid Earth</a>. These articles of particular interest are selected by journal editors. </p> <form role="form" method="get" action="/ts/publications/highlight-articles/" ic-get-from="." ic-trigger-delay="300ms" ic-verb="GET" ic-push-url="true" ic-scroll-to-target="true" ic-target="#sidebar_results" ic-indicator="#sidebar_indicator" ic-action="remove" ic-action-target="#sidebar_count"> <input type="hidden" id="sidebar_limit" ic-trigger-on="change" name="limit" value="10" /> <input type="hidden" id="sidebar_sortby" ic-trigger-on="change" name="sortby" value="" /> <input type="hidden" id="sidebar_page" ic-trigger-on="change" name="page" value=""> <div id="sidebar_search" class="row"> <div class="col-12 col-lg-3 d-print-none"> <div class="form-group"> <legend for="keywords">Search</legend> <hr> <div class="input-group"> <input type="text" class="form-control" autocomplete="off" id="keywords" name="keywords" value="" ic-trigger-on="keyup changed" placeholder="Keywords" aria-label="Keywords"> <div class="input-group-append"> <a data-ic-clear-keywords href="?keywords=" role="button" class="btn btn-tag" aria-label="Start search"><span class="fas fa-times"></span></a> </div> </div> </div> <div class="form-group d-none" ic-add-class="d-lg-block"> <legend for="journal">Journals</legend> <hr> <select ic-trigger-on="change" class="form-control" aria-label="Journals" id="journal" name="journal"> <option value="">All</option> <option value="1">Annales Geophysicae (ANGEO)</option> <option value="21">Earth Surface Dynamics (ESurf)</option> <option value="12">Earth System Dynamics (ESD)</option> <option value="27">Geochronology (GChron)</option> <option value="25">Geoscience Communication (GC)</option> <option value="13">Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems (GI)</option> <option value="14">Geoscientific Model Development (GMD)</option> <option value="16">Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS)</option> <option value="17">Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics (NPG)</option> <option value="19">Solid Earth (SE)</option> </select> </div> <div class="form-group d-none" ic-add-class="d-lg-block"> <legend for="year">Published</legend> <hr> <div class="btn-group btn-group-toggle mb-1" data-toggle="buttons"> <label class="btn btn-sm btn-tag"> <input ic-trigger-on="change" id="year_2024" name="year" type="checkbox" autocomplete="off" value="2024"> 2024 </label> </div> <div class="btn-group btn-group-toggle mb-1" data-toggle="buttons"> <label class="btn btn-sm btn-tag"> <input ic-trigger-on="change" id="year_2023" name="year" type="checkbox" autocomplete="off" value="2023"> 2023 </label> </div> <div class="btn-group btn-group-toggle mb-1" data-toggle="buttons"> <label class="btn btn-sm btn-tag"> <input ic-trigger-on="change" id="year_2022" name="year" type="checkbox" autocomplete="off" value="2022"> 2022 </label> </div> <div class="btn-group btn-group-toggle mb-1" data-toggle="buttons"> <label class="btn btn-sm btn-tag"> <input ic-trigger-on="change" 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</p> <div class="d-none d-lg-block"> <div class="btn-group btn-group-sm" role="group" aria-label="Show number of entries"> <a data-ic-limit="10" role="button" class="btn btn-tag active" aria-pressed="true" href="?limit=10">10</a> <a data-ic-limit="20" role="button" class="btn btn-tag " href="?limit=20">20</a> <a data-ic-limit="50" role="button" class="btn btn-tag " href="?limit=50">50</a> </div> </div> </div> <hr> <article class="media"> <img role="presentation" alt="" class="img-fluid img-thumbnail" src="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/11/15/45bdf987-6717-4561-abee-18ef6878824a.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png" srcset="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/11/15/45bdf987-6717-4561-abee-18ef6878824a.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png 1x, https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/11/15/45bdf987-6717-4561-abee-18ef6878824a.png.240x240_q90_crop_upscale.png 2x" loading="lazy"> <div class="media-body"> <a class="h4 external" href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/12/1267/2024/esurf-12-1267-2024.html">Testing floc settling velocity models in rivers and freshwater wetlands</a> <ul class="list-inline mt-1"> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-newspaper"></i> <a class="external" href="https://www.earth-surface-dynamics.net/">Earth Surface Dynamics</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><abbr class="initialism" title="Digital object identifier">DOI</abbr> <a class="external" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-12-1267-2024">10.5194/esurf-12-1267-2024</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-calendar-plus"></i> 11 November 2024</li> </ul> <p>Fine sediment grains in freshwater can cohere into faster-settling particles called flocs, but floc settling velocity theory has not been fully validated. Combining three data sources in novel ways in the Wax Lake Delta, we verified a semi-empirical model relying on turbulence and geochemical factors. For a physics-based model, we showed that the representative grain diameter within flocs relies on floc structure and that heterogeneous flow paths inside flocs increase floc settling velocity.</p> <p class="more-link my-1 text-right "><a class="external"href="https://esurf.copernicus.org/articles/12/1267/2024/esurf-12-1267-2024.html" aria-label="Read more about Testing floc settling velocity models in rivers and freshwater wetlands">Read more</a> </div> </article> <hr> <article class="media"> <img role="presentation" alt="" class="img-fluid img-thumbnail" src="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/31/df49dcf4-d64f-42f7-acf8-6c03ddf919ff.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png" srcset="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/31/df49dcf4-d64f-42f7-acf8-6c03ddf919ff.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png 1x, https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/31/df49dcf4-d64f-42f7-acf8-6c03ddf919ff.png.240x240_q90_crop_upscale.png 2x" loading="lazy"> <div class="media-body"> <a class="h4 external" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7569-2024">A three-stage model pipeline predicting regional avalanche danger in Switzerland (RAvaFcast v1.0.0): a decision-support tool for operational avalanche forecasting</a> <ul class="list-inline mt-1"> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-newspaper"></i> <a class="external" href="http://www.geoscientific-model-development.net/">Geoscientific Model Development</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><abbr class="initialism" title="Digital object identifier">DOI</abbr> <a class="external" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7569-2024">10.5194/gmd-17-7569-2024</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-calendar-plus"></i> 31 October 2024</li> </ul> <p>By harnessing AI models, this work enables processing large amounts of data, including weather conditions, snowpack characteristics, and historical avalanche data, to predict human-like avalanche forecasts in Switzerland. Our proposed model can significantly assist avalanche forecasters in their decision-making process, thereby facilitating more efficient and accurate predictions crucial for ensuring safety in Switzerland’s avalanche-prone regions.</p> <p class="more-link my-1 text-right "><a class="external"href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7569-2024" aria-label="Read more about A three-stage model pipeline predicting regional avalanche danger in Switzerland (RAvaFcast v1.0.0): a decision-support tool for operational avalanche forecasting">Read more</a> </div> </article> <hr> <article class="media"> <img role="presentation" alt="" class="img-fluid img-thumbnail" src="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/31/e1e3a1ab-44f5-4cd3-b762-160d48f46c88.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png" srcset="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/31/e1e3a1ab-44f5-4cd3-b762-160d48f46c88.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png 1x, https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/31/e1e3a1ab-44f5-4cd3-b762-160d48f46c88.png.240x240_q90_crop_upscale.png 2x" loading="lazy"> <div class="media-body"> <a class="h4 external" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024">Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5</a> <ul class="list-inline mt-1"> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-newspaper"></i> <a class="external" href="https://www.earth-system-dynamics.net/">Earth System Dynamics</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><abbr class="initialism" title="Digital object identifier">DOI</abbr> <a class="external" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024">10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-calendar-plus"></i> 30 October 2024</li> </ul> <p>Governments are targeting net-zero emissions later this century with the aim of limiting global warming in line with the Paris Agreement. However, few studies explore the long-term consequences of reaching net-zero emissions and the effects of a delay in reaching net-zero. We use the Australian Earth system model to examine climate evolution under net-zero emissions. We find substantial changes which differ regionally, including continued Southern Ocean warming and Antarctic sea ice reduction.</p> <p class="more-link my-1 text-right "><a class="external"href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1353-2024" aria-label="Read more about Exploring climate stabilisation at different global warming levels in ACCESS-ESM-1.5">Read more</a> </div> </article> <hr> <article class="media"> <img role="presentation" alt="" class="img-fluid img-thumbnail" src="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/31/aa90615c-af4a-4424-8a44-6bf7cb0ba2e6.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png" srcset="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/31/aa90615c-af4a-4424-8a44-6bf7cb0ba2e6.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png 1x, https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/31/aa90615c-af4a-4424-8a44-6bf7cb0ba2e6.png.240x240_q90_crop_upscale.png 2x" loading="lazy"> <div class="media-body"> <a class="h4 external" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7467-2024">Air quality modeling intercomparison and multiscale ensemble chain for Latin America</a> <ul class="list-inline mt-1"> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-newspaper"></i> <a class="external" href="http://www.geoscientific-model-development.net/">Geoscientific Model Development</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><abbr class="initialism" title="Digital object identifier">DOI</abbr> <a class="external" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7467-2024">10.5194/gmd-17-7467-2024</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-calendar-plus"></i> 29 October 2024</li> </ul> <p>Latin America (LAC) has some of the most populated urban areas in the world, with high levels of air pollution. Air quality management in LAC has been traditionally focused on surveillance and building emission inventories. This study performed the first intercomparison and model evaluation in LAC, with interesting and insightful findings for the region. A multiscale modeling ensemble chain was assembled as a first step towards an air quality forecasting system.</p> <p class="more-link my-1 text-right "><a class="external"href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7467-2024" aria-label="Read more about Air quality modeling intercomparison and multiscale ensemble chain for Latin America">Read more</a> </div> </article> <hr> <article class="media"> <img role="presentation" alt="" class="img-fluid img-thumbnail" src="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/22/2358d53b-4d40-4ab7-a7ae-6dd6811dd419.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png" srcset="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/22/2358d53b-4d40-4ab7-a7ae-6dd6811dd419.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png 1x, https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/22/2358d53b-4d40-4ab7-a7ae-6dd6811dd419.png.240x240_q90_crop_upscale.png 2x" loading="lazy"> <div class="media-body"> <a class="h4 external" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esurf-12-1205-2024">Barchan swarm dynamics from a Two-Flank Agent-Based Model</a> <ul class="list-inline mt-1"> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-newspaper"></i> <a class="external" href="https://www.earth-surface-dynamics.net/">Earth Surface Dynamics</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><abbr class="initialism" title="Digital object identifier">DOI</abbr> <a class="external" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-12-1205-2024">10.5194/esurf-12-1205-2024</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-calendar-plus"></i> 25 October 2024</li> </ul> <p>Barchans are fast-moving sand dunes which form large populations (swarms) on Earth and Mars. We show that a small range of model parameters produces swarms in which dune size does not vary downwind – something that is observed in nature but not when using earlier models. We also show how the shape of dunes and the spatial patterns they form are affected by wind direction. This work furthers our understanding of the interplay between environmental drivers, dune interactions, and swarm properties.</p> <p class="more-link my-1 text-right "><a class="external"href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esurf-12-1205-2024" aria-label="Read more about Barchan swarm dynamics from a Two-Flank Agent-Based Model">Read more</a> </div> </article> <hr> <article class="media"> <img role="presentation" alt="" class="img-fluid img-thumbnail" src="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/22/2b5a4ec9-fd3b-4a5b-9770-962b92181558.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png" srcset="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/22/2b5a4ec9-fd3b-4a5b-9770-962b92181558.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png 1x, https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/22/2b5a4ec9-fd3b-4a5b-9770-962b92181558.png.240x240_q90_crop_upscale.png 2x" loading="lazy"> <div class="media-body"> <a class="h4 external" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-497-2024">A global analysis of the fractal properties of clouds revealing anisotropy of turbulence across scales</a> <ul class="list-inline mt-1"> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-newspaper"></i> <a class="external" href="https://www.nonlinear-processes-in-geophysics.net/">Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><abbr class="initialism" title="Digital object identifier">DOI</abbr> <a class="external" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-497-2024">10.5194/npg-31-497-2024</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-calendar-plus"></i> 23 October 2024</li> </ul> <p>The shapes of clouds viewed from space reflect vertical and horizontal motions in the atmosphere. We theorize that, globally, cloud perimeter complexity is related to the dimension of turbulence also governed by horizontal and vertical motions. We find agreement between theory and observations from various satellites and a numerical model and, remarkably, that the theory applies globally using only basic planetary physical parameters from the smallest scales of turbulence to the planetary scale.</p> <p class="more-link my-1 text-right "><a class="external"href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-497-2024" aria-label="Read more about A global analysis of the fractal properties of clouds revealing anisotropy of turbulence across scales">Read more</a> </div> </article> <hr> <article class="media"> <img role="presentation" alt="" class="img-fluid img-thumbnail" src="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/22/983cbc5a-53ef-4c1c-8b38-2a2c82526c4d.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png" srcset="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/22/983cbc5a-53ef-4c1c-8b38-2a2c82526c4d.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png 1x, https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/22/983cbc5a-53ef-4c1c-8b38-2a2c82526c4d.png.240x240_q90_crop_upscale.png 2x" loading="lazy"> <div class="media-body"> <a class="h4 external" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-477-2024">Energy transfer from internal solitary waves to turbulence via high-frequency internal waves: seismic observations in the northern South China Sea</a> <ul class="list-inline mt-1"> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-newspaper"></i> <a class="external" href="https://www.nonlinear-processes-in-geophysics.net/">Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><abbr class="initialism" title="Digital object identifier">DOI</abbr> <a class="external" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-477-2024">10.5194/npg-31-477-2024</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-calendar-plus"></i> 21 October 2024</li> </ul> <p>With seismic data, we observed high-frequency internal waves (HIWs) with amplitudes of around 10 m. A shoaling thermocline and gentle slope suggest that HIWs result from fission. Remote sensing data support this. Strong shear caused Ri below 0.25 over 20–30 km, indicating instability. HIWs enhance mixing, averaging 10-4 m2s-1, revealing a new energy cascade from shoaling waves to turbulence, and enhancing our understanding of energy dissipation and mixing in the northern South China Sea.</p> <p class="more-link my-1 text-right "><a class="external"href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-477-2024" aria-label="Read more about Energy transfer from internal solitary waves to turbulence via high-frequency internal waves: seismic observations in the northern South China Sea">Read more</a> </div> </article> <hr> <article class="media"> <img role="presentation" alt="" class="img-fluid img-thumbnail" src="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/18/84602b13-7a08-482b-aba3-bf35491099e3.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png" srcset="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/18/84602b13-7a08-482b-aba3-bf35491099e3.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png 1x, https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/18/84602b13-7a08-482b-aba3-bf35491099e3.png.240x240_q90_crop_upscale.png 2x" loading="lazy"> <div class="media-body"> <a class="h4 external" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024">Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy</a> <ul class="list-inline mt-1"> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-newspaper"></i> <a class="external" href="https://www.earth-system-dynamics.net/">Earth System Dynamics</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><abbr class="initialism" title="Digital object identifier">DOI</abbr> <a class="external" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024">10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-calendar-plus"></i> 18 October 2024</li> </ul> <p>We propose a number of priority areas for the international climate research community to address over the coming decade. Advances in these areas will both increase our understanding of past and future Earth system change, including the societal and environmental impacts of this change, and deliver significantly improved scientific support to international climate policy, such as future IPCC assessments and the UNFCCC Global Stocktake.</p> <p class="more-link my-1 text-right "><a class="external"href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024" aria-label="Read more about Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy">Read more</a> </div> </article> <hr> <article class="media"> <img role="presentation" alt="" class="img-fluid img-thumbnail" src="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/18/58d6912a-79b2-4e14-8010-0aaa1235626e.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png" srcset="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/18/58d6912a-79b2-4e14-8010-0aaa1235626e.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png 1x, https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/18/58d6912a-79b2-4e14-8010-0aaa1235626e.png.240x240_q90_crop_upscale.png 2x" loading="lazy"> <div class="media-body"> <a class="h4 external" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3561-2024">The Earthquake Risk Model of Switzerland, ERM-CH23</a> <ul class="list-inline mt-1"> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-newspaper"></i> <a class="external" href="https://www.natural-hazards-and-earth-system-sciences.net/">Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><abbr class="initialism" title="Digital object identifier">DOI</abbr> <a class="external" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3561-2024">10.5194/nhess-24-3561-2024</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-calendar-plus"></i> 17 October 2024</li> </ul> <p>The Earthquake Risk Model of Switzerland (ERM-CH23), released in early 2023, is the culmination of a multidisciplinary effort aiming to achieve, for the first time, a comprehensive assessment of the potential consequences of earthquakes on the Swiss building stock and population. ERM-CH23 provides risk estimates for various impact metrics, ranging from economic loss as a result of damage to buildings and their contents to human losses, such as deaths, injuries, and displaced population.</p> <p class="more-link my-1 text-right "><a class="external"href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3561-2024" aria-label="Read more about The Earthquake Risk Model of Switzerland, ERM-CH23">Read more</a> </div> </article> <hr> <article class="media"> <img role="presentation" alt="" class="img-fluid img-thumbnail" src="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/18/20cca3fb-1508-4184-a816-c2393bb2c03b.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png" srcset="https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/18/20cca3fb-1508-4184-a816-c2393bb2c03b.png.120x120_q90_crop_upscale.png 1x, https://www.egu.eu/media/news/highlightarticles/2024/10/18/20cca3fb-1508-4184-a816-c2393bb2c03b.png.240x240_q90_crop_upscale.png 2x" loading="lazy"> <div class="media-body"> <a class="h4 external" href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024">Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth system model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models</a> <ul class="list-inline mt-1"> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-newspaper"></i> <a class="external" href="https://www.earth-system-dynamics.net/">Earth System Dynamics</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><abbr class="initialism" title="Digital object identifier">DOI</abbr> <a class="external" href="https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024">10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item"><i class="far fa-fw fa-calendar-plus"></i> 15 October 2024</li> </ul> <p>From running climate models to using their outputs to identify impacts, modeling the integrated human–Earth system is expensive. This work presents a method to identify a smaller subset of models from the full set that preserves the uncertainty characteristics of the full set. This results in a smaller number of runs that an impact modeler can use to assess how uncertainty propagates from the Earth to the human system, while still capturing the range of outcomes provided by climate models.</p> <p class="more-link my-1 text-right "><a class="external"href="https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-1301-2024" aria-label="Read more about Uncertainty-informed selection of CMIP6 Earth system model subsets for use in multisectoral and impact models">Read more</a> </div> </article> <hr> <nav class="btn-toolbar btn-toolbar-pagination mt-2" role="presentation" aria-label="Pagination navigation"> <div class="btn-group btn-group-sm mx-auto" role="group"> <a href="?page=1" data-ic-page="1" role="button" class="btn btn-tag active" aria-pressed="true">1</a> <a href="?page=2" data-ic-page="2" role="button" class="btn btn-tag">2</a> <a href="?page=3" data-ic-page="3" role="button" class="btn btn-tag">3</a> <a href="#" disabled type="button" class="btn btn-tag disabled">...</a> <a href="?page=58" data-ic-page="58" role="button" class="btn btn-tag">58</a> <a href="?page=2" data-ic-page="2" role="button" class="btn btn-tag" aria-label="Next"> <i class="fas fa-fw fa-angle-double-right" aria-hidden="true"></i> <span class="sr-only">Next</span> </a> </div> </nav> </div> </div> </form> </div> </main>  <footer class="d-print-none"> <div class="footer"> <div class="container"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-md-6 mb-4 mb-md-0"> <div class="footer-heading"> <h2>About EGU</h2> </div> <p>EGU, the European Geosciences Union, is Europe’s premier geosciences union, dedicated to the pursuit of excellence in the Earth, planetary, and space sciences for the benefit of humanity, worldwide. It was established in September 2002 as a merger of the European Geophysical Society (EGS) and the European Union of Geosciences (EUG), and has headquarters in Munich, Germany.</p> <p class="small"> Header image: <a href="https://imaggeo.egu.eu/view/1061/">Helvetic Nappes of Switzerland</a> (Credit: Kurt Stuewe, distributed via imaggeo.egu.eu) </p> <div class="footer-heading mt-4"> <h2>Follow us</h2> </div> <ul class="list-inline socialicons"> <li class="list-inline-item"><a title="Follow us on X" aria-label="Follow us on X" href="https://x.com/EuroGeosciences"><i class="rounded-sm fab fa-fw fa-x-twitter"></i></a></li><li class="list-inline-item"><a title="Follow us on Facebook" aria-label="Follow us on Facebook" href="https://www.facebook.com/EuropeanGeosciencesUnion"><i class="rounded-sm fab fa-fw fa-facebook"></i></a></li><li class="list-inline-item"><a title="Find us on LinkedIn" aria-label="Find us on LinkedIn" href="https://www.linkedin.com/company/european-geosciences-union"><i class="rounded-sm fab fa-fw fa-linkedin"></i></a></li><li class="list-inline-item"><a title="Find us on Instagram" aria-label="Find us on Instagram" href="https://www.instagram.com/eurogeosciences/"><i class="rounded-sm fab fa-fw fa-instagram"></i></a></li><li class="list-inline-item"><a title="Find us on YouTube" aria-label="Find us on YouTube" href="https://www.youtube.com/user/EuroGeosciencesUnion"><i class="rounded-sm fab fa-fw fa-youtube"></i></a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="col-md-6 mb-4 mb-md-0"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-md-6 mb-4"> <div class="footer-heading"> <h2>Information for</h2> </div> <ul class="list-unstyled list-footer-links"> <li><a href="/membership/benefits/">Researchers</a></li> <li><a href="/ecs/">Early career scientists</a></li> <li><a href="/news/">Media</a></li> <li><a href="/education/">Educators & children</a></li> </ul> </div> <div class="col-md-6 mb-4"> <div class="footer-heading"> <h2>External links</h2> </div> <ul class="list-unstyled list-footer-links"> <li> <a class="external" href="https://www.egu25.eu">General Assembly 2025</a> <small>Europe's largest geoscience conference</small> </li> <li> <a class="external" href="https://blogs.egu.eu/">EGU blogs</a> <small>Blogs hosted by the EGU</small> </li> <li> <a class="external" href="https://imaggeo.egu.eu/">Imaggeo</a> <small>The geosciences image and video repository</small> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="footer-heading"> <h2>EGU Newsletter</h2> </div> <p class="small">Subscribe to our monthly <a href="/newsletter/">newsletter</a> and stay up to date with the latest EGU news.</p> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="links"> <div class="container"> <div class="row"> <div class="col-md-12 text-center text-md-left"> <div class="d-lg-flex"> <ul class="list-inline mr-md-5 mb-2 mb-md-0"> <li class="list-inline-item">© 2024 European Geosciences Union</li> </ul> <ul class="list-inline"> <li class="list-inline-item"><a href="/contact/">Contact</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item">|</li> <li class="list-inline-item"><a href="/imprint/">Imprint</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item">|</li> <li class="list-inline-item"><a href="/privacy-policy/">Privacy policy</a></li> <li class="list-inline-item">|</li> <li class="list-inline-item"><a href="/visual-identity/">Visual identity</a></li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </footer> <script src="https://www.egu.eu/static/104194bb/vendors/jquery/jquery.min.js"></script> <script src="https://www.egu.eu/static/104194bb/vendors/bootstrap4/js/bootstrap.bundle.min.js"></script> <script src="https://www.egu.eu/static/104194bb/js/core.min.js"></script> <noscript><p><img src="https://pwk.egu.eu/p.pwk?idsite=1&rec=1" style="border:0" alt="" /></p></noscript> </body> </html>

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