Mysteel周报：国产铁矿石市场活跃度升高价格小幅趋强-我的钢铁网

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target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>承德65%钒钛价格</a>指数960元/吨涨10，环比上涨1.05%；霍邱<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>65%造球精粉</a>指数1061元/吨涨5元/吨，环比上涨0.47%。</p> <p style="text-align: center;"><img src="//img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/02/17/a95dd1477823475881b80e9847560dd4.png" width="554" height="337" /></p> <p align="center">表一：本周铁精粉成交概览</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/02/17/86e1b4dc207f4ef79db5b76ced4c1d47.png" width="594" height="889" /></p> <p align="center">表二：主要地区铁精粉周度价格变化</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img05.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/02/17/1fa99169a8ac4747a9c01450cb783cc3.png" width="598" height="228" /></p> <p>二、分区域回顾</p> <p>【华北地区】</p> <p>本周唐山国产矿市场价格涨5-10。截至目前，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>66%酸粉</a>805-840涨5；<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>69%酸粉</a>890-920涨10；60%粗粉720-730。（湿基不含税出厂价；单位：元/吨）因本地原料资源价格较高，唐山贸易商本周在东北询采货积极，成交情况较好。周中九江以采购价稳、鑫达以采购价上调20有上货，提振矿选企业心态。周后期受建材成交利好加之期货上行影响，矿选企业心态坚挺，但钢厂仍想压价询货，供需双方略显僵持。综合来看，成材销售情况有好转，铁精粉需求有一定增加，矿选企业挺价意愿较强，因此预计唐山国产矿市场或将稳中偏强运行。</p> <p>本周<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0-010403-------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>邯邢铁精粉</a>市场价格降20左右。截至目前，武安<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>65%碱粉</a>参考价910。（湿基不含税出厂价；单位：元/吨）供应端来看，本周区域内仅两家大矿可正常生产出货，市场流通资源整体偏紧。周初在产矿山跟随当地主导大矿下调结算价格，调整后本地资源性价比提升明显，出货情况较好。选厂因缺少原料大多处于停工状态，贸易商手中资源紧张，叠加周内<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0311-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>进口矿</a>期现偏强，多观望后市，挺价惜售。需求端来看，本周区域内检修钢厂数量较多，精粉需求有小幅下降，多数钢厂主要从本地采碱粉补库，从周边省份拿货量有所减少。周五邯郸启动重污染天气二级响应，钢厂限产增加，原料端需求又有减弱。综合来看，区域内矿山全部复产前本地市场流通资源紧张状态仍将持续，钢厂方面虽受限产及检修影响，短期内原料需求偏弱，但本周成材销售情况明显好转，如后期钢市稳定回暖，钢厂端利润将持续修复，后期原料补库或可期。预计下周<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0-010403-------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>邯邢国产矿</a>市场稳中偏强运行。</p> <p>本周<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0-010404-------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>山西国产铁矿石</a>矿市场价格弱势下行10-20。截至目前，62%<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/price/p-10480-031116-1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>球团</a>含税价1070-1080；山西代县65%精粉：中高硫精粉765-775，低硫精粉795-805，双零硫精粉820-830。（湿基不含税出厂价；单位：元/吨）周初及周中，因期货市场震荡走弱，叠加本地主导矿山价格下调47，市场心态受挫，持货矿选挺价心态松动，报价随行就市下调；钢厂方面因利润承压，采购积极不佳，部分询货于进口矿或者岚县，市场活跃度不佳。周后期进口矿期现回暖，市场信心稍有提振，但受制于需求弱势，报价多无调整，谨慎观望为主。综上所述，山西国产铁矿石市场供需两弱僵持，预计下周价格以稳为主。</p> <p>【东北地区】</p> <p>本周<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/gck/market/pa2492aaa0a010501aaaa1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>辽宁铁精粉</a>市场价格下跌5。目前<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>65%酸粉</a>：鞍山大矿770、选厂750-760；辽阳选厂750-760；本溪选厂750-760；66%酸粉：辽阳大矿860；本溪大矿800；建平中钛770-780；朝阳低钛750-760；北票中钛750-760。（湿基不含税出厂价；单位：元/吨）本周周初有外来贸易商前往辽东及辽西区域询货，并有少量成交，矿选企业挺价心态有所提振，继续持稳报价以待成交；周中辽西区域因期现价格下降导致矿选企业对后市看法较为悲观，下调报价；周末内蒙钢厂以及唐山等地贸易商高价询货，造成辽西资源外流情况发生，辽东地区则有个别矿选少量低价出货变现，成交较少。本地贸易商群体近期询盘较为谨慎，多观下周当地主导钢厂调价，观望后市心态明显。综合来看，下周周初主导钢厂后贸易商群体依旧以观望后市为主，待市场价格稳定后再进行收货，因此预计下周辽宁铁精粉市场价格将持稳运行。</p> <p>【华东地区】</p> <p>本周<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0-010107-------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>安徽国产矿</a>市场价格涨10左右，庐江65%造球精粉1070，繁昌65%烧结精粉1040-1060涨10，繁昌65%造球精粉1090涨10。（干基含税出厂价；单位：元/吨)</p> <p>本周区域内矿选开工率尚可，除庐江某大矿因厂内原因未恢复满产暂时不能对外出货，多数矿选维持正常生产出货，整体市场流通资源较充足。周初受周边市场下行影响叠加进口矿期现弱势下调，矿山挺价心态松动，与钢厂有部分低价成交，选厂受制于高昂的原料成本，挺价为主，成交较少。后期进口矿期现持续回暖，矿选心态得到提振，报价普遍上调。钢厂方面周内维持按需补库，由于当前利润承压，原料端采购较谨慎，周初精粉市场下行钢厂多于低位拿货，后期进口矿期现偏强带动精粉价格上涨，钢厂观望心态渐浓，询盘操作明显减少。球团厂方面，因出货困难周内普遍下调报价，但钢厂目前对高价资源接受度仍低，多数球团厂亏本仍难出货。综合来看，区域内市场流通资源供应整体较宽松，但选厂原料成本高企叠加进口矿期现偏强，对精粉价格形成较强支撑。伴随成材端销售情况好转，后期钢厂原料需求或有增量，预计下周安徽国产矿市场稳中偏强运行。</p> <p>本周<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/gck/market/pa2492aaa0a010102aaaa1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>山东铁精粉</a>价格较上周降47。截至目前，莱芜<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>64%碱粉</a>、淄博64%碱粉、<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0-010102-------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>沂水65%酸粉</a>执行价格949。（干基不含税承兑出厂价；单位：元/吨）供应端来看，本地矿山多维持正常生产，资源以区域内流通为主，维持低库存运行；枣庄地区，周初受期货震荡运行影响，钢厂跨区域拿货较为谨慎，市场交投氛围较冷清，临近周末，进口期现偏强运行，贸易商多看涨后期，拿货有所增多，成交有所好转；需求端来看，钢厂多维持按需补库，因当前原料成本较高，操作谨慎；球团方面因性价较低，球团销售较为困难，多有累库，目前钢厂利润欠佳，预计短期内球团需求难有起色。综合来看，周边资源紧张叠加<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-4231-------------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁矿石期货</a>价格上行，预计下周短期内市场稳中偏强运行。</p> <p>【西南地区】</p> <p>本周<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0-010604-------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>云南铁精粉</a>市场资源整体较为宽松，矿山出厂价持稳运行。腾冲64%磁<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/gck/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁精粉价格</a>760，环比上周持稳；玉溪65%磁铁精粉价格960，环比上周持稳；玉溪60%磁铁精粉价格785，环比上周持稳；玉溪64%磁铁精粉价格967，环比上周持稳。（干基含税现汇出厂价；单位：元/吨）本周云南主要矿山正常，近期腾冲往玉溪、曲靖方向运力较紧张；节后下游需求端未见明显起色，钢厂利润承压，按需采购为主；进口矿期现走势转强，对国产矿精粉价格形成一定支撑。预计近期云南区域主流市场价格稳中偏强运行。</p> <p>本周<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0-010602-------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>四川铁精粉</a>市场资源整体仍较为宽松，矿山出厂价持稳。<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>钒钛粉</a>方面，攀西56%<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968------0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>钒钛铁精粉</a>价格380，环比上周持稳；61%高品钒钛铁精粉价格735，环比上周持稳；巴中61%磁铁精粉价格985，环比上周持稳。（干基含税现汇出厂价；单位：元/吨）近期四川部分矿山生产恢复正常，国产矿较进口矿性价比改善，钢厂采购有所增加，区域大矿库存继续回落；区域有钢厂1座小高炉延期复产，暂无复产计划，目前钢厂盈利状况有所改善，预计攀西主流市场价格短期持稳运行。</p> <p>三、供需情况及原因</p> <p>1、产量和区域变化：</p> <p align="center">图二：铁精粉产量走势图</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/02/17/e0cea1bafdba4563b31c2cef4f9a40c7.png" width="480" height="304" /></p> <p align="center">表三：重点地区铁精粉产量变化</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/02/17/5b9825dd8a6c4497bd6b29274ca7dbef.png" width="486" height="161" /></p> <p>2、消耗变化：</p> <p>本周钢厂<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-4261-------------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>国产铁精粉日耗</a>总量为85.67万吨增0.72万吨，环比增0.85%。本周因华北和华东区域有高炉复产，钢厂精粉日耗呈增加趋势，其他区域小幅波动。</p> <p align="center">图三：钢厂铁精粉日耗走势图</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/02/17/aade1e1dd2a84555a42d563e4ab9f4e5.png" width="480" height="304" /></p> <p align="center">表四：分区域钢厂铁精粉日耗</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/02/17/29230b5388814babbd4cad9967cdfa02.png" width="446" height="115" /></p> <p>3、钢厂<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-4261-------------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁精粉库存</a>走势</p> <p>本周钢厂<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-4261-------------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>国产铁精粉库存</a>为120.04万吨较上周117.29万吨增2.75万吨，环比上涨2.34%。部分区域钢厂为准备复产，增加精粉采购，库存较上周小幅增加。</p> <p align="center">图四：钢厂铁精粉库存走势</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/02/17/738170d3920a475198caa50beda19d30.png" width="554" height="303" /></p> <p>【下周预测】</p> <p>本周情况来看，当前市场可流通资源增加，跨区域贸易交流频繁，本周交投较上周明显增多，市场活跃度上升。受期货上行影响，市场心态提振。</p> <p>当前市场需求明显增加，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>针对下周市场走势情况，对部分钢厂、矿山、选厂进行了调研，其中，55.56%客户认为下周市场上涨，38.89%客户认为持稳，5.56%客户认为有下跌可能。</p> <p align="center">图五：国产矿下周预测</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2023/02/17/58f7c91bb2544b8da4ba76c52597ea39.png" width="373" height="305" /></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：孙鑫 021-26096506 </br> 资讯监督：刘秀云 021-26093924 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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