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Business news | Latest headlines, interviews & analysis | The National

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class="defaultstyled__StyledAuthorImage-sc-17b850f-1 hlsnmM"><a href="/topics/Author/robin-mills/" class="Link__Anchor-sc-1fg1e8z-0 defaultstyled__StyledAuthorImageLink-sc-17b850f-0 UfNXw"><figure><picture class="indexstyled__StyledPicture-sc-zcpzxj-0 kRFVyk"><source width="70" height="70" media="(min-width: 350px)" srcSet="https://thenational-the-national-prod.cdn.arcpublishing.com/resizer/v2/https%3A%2F%2Fauthor-service-images-prod-us-east-1.publishing.aws.arc.pub%2Fthenational%2F0c76945f-3035-4603-985d-ffd3313ab545.png?smart=true&amp;auth=5ae50d37fa3573f177d4ea4716251f3b661114986ffac2fae916f5d112772c68&amp;width=70&amp;height=70"/><img class="margin-lg-top" style="align-self:end;background:var(--global-grey-1)" data-identifier="author-image" version="0.5.8" type="image" alt="" data-chromatic="ignore" loading="lazy" fetchpriority="low" 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15.8 32.552 15.8C34.9107 15.8 36.9033 16.5727 38.53 18.118C40.1567 19.582 40.97 21.6153 40.97 24.218C40.97 26.658 40.116 28.6507 38.408 30.196C36.7813 31.7413 34.7887 32.514 32.43 32.514Z" fill="var(--global-blue)"></path></svg> <!-- -->Why the EU is falling behind economically and geopolitically</p></a><div class="defaultstyled__StyledAuthorArea-sc-17b850f-3 hHtcVw"><div data-identifier="opinion-author-name" class="defaultstyled__StyledAuthor-sc-17b850f-2 kfwsHF margin-lg-top"> <br/></div></div></div><div class="defaultstyled__StyledOpinionCard-sc-17b850f-7 ezTnoh" data-identifier="opinion-card" type="organisms/OpinionCard"><a href="/business/economy/2025/02/13/uae-corporate-tax-how-to-keep-up-with-changing-timelines/" class="Link__Anchor-sc-1fg1e8z-0 defaultstyled__StyledHeadlineLink-sc-17b850f-5 UfNXw"><p font-family="Playfair Display" font-weight="400" class="defaultstyled__StyledHeadline-sc-17b850f-4 bVGDOT b-pmed"> <!-- -->UAE corporate tax: How to keep up with changing timelines</p></a><a href="/topics/Author/david-daly/" data-identifier="opinion-author-name" class="Link__Anchor-sc-1fg1e8z-0 UfNXw defaultstyled__StyledAuthor-sc-17b850f-2 kfwsHF margin-lg-top">David Daly</a></div><div class="defaultstyled__StyledOpinionCard-sc-17b850f-7 ezTnoh" data-identifier="opinion-card" type="organisms/OpinionCard"><a href="/business/money/2025/02/12/how-ai-can-help-gcc-asset-managers-tap-the-regions-growing-wealth/" class="Link__Anchor-sc-1fg1e8z-0 defaultstyled__StyledHeadlineLink-sc-17b850f-5 UfNXw"><p font-family="Playfair Display" font-weight="400" class="defaultstyled__StyledHeadline-sc-17b850f-4 bVGDOT b-pmed"> <!-- -->How AI can help GCC asset managers tap the region’s growing wealth</p></a><div data-identifier="opinion-author-name" class="defaultstyled__StyledAuthor-sc-17b850f-2 kfwsHF margin-lg-top">Alexis Calla</div></div><div class="defaultstyled__StyledOpinionCard-sc-17b850f-7 ezTnoh" data-identifier="opinion-card" type="organisms/OpinionCard"><a 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class="defaultstyled__StyledHeadingWrapper-sc-11xalxo-1 hPcLVO margin-md-left margin-md-right margin-sm-top margin-xs-bottom" id=""><div class="defaultstyled__StyledHeadingElement-sc-11xalxo-2 gTuonT heading-container b-sectionGreyLabel" font-family="Inter" font-weight="700" type="text"><a href="/" color="var(--global-grey-3)" class="Link__Anchor-sc-1fg1e8z-0 fQEMAs margin-xs-right">Gratuity Calculator</a></div></div><form data-identifier="gratuity-form" direction="column" class="defaultstyled__StyledContainer-sc-uqt4zj-2 btCoRL margin-md-left margin-md-right"><div data-identifier="form-field" class="indexstyled__StyledFieldWrapper-sc-1bdwyo3-2 jOywzX margin-lg-bottom"><div data-identifier="container-wrapper" class="Container__StyledContainer-sc-14lnmxl-0 XUXti container-wrapper" display="grid"><label for="startDate" class="indexstyled__StyledLabel-sc-1bdwyo3-4 ecjXuw">First day of employment</label><div class="indexstyled__StyledInputContainer-sc-1bdwyo3-0 igzAgE"><span class="input-prefix"><label for="startDate"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 17 18" fill="var(--global-grey-3)" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="feather feather-calendar"><mask id="mask0_6063_13753" style="mask-type:luminance" maskUnits="userSpaceOnUse" x="0" y="0" width="17" height="18"><path d="M13.9654 3.15065L15.5317 3.1499C15.5317 3.1499 15.5318 3.1499 15.5319 3.1499C15.5319 3.1499 15.5319 3.1499 15.5319 3.1499C16.0418 3.15 16.4602 3.54288 16.5007 4.04213L16.5039 4.1298V15.9277C16.5039 16.4377 16.111 16.8562 15.6117 16.8967L15.524 16.8999H1.6428C1.13282 16.8999 0.714236 16.507 0.673794 16.0077L0.670573 15.92V4.12212C0.670573 3.61215 1.06349 3.19357 1.56281 3.15312L1.65035 3.14991L3.24184 3.15065L3.81528 3.15092L3.63838 2.60545C3.63383 2.59142 3.63036 2.57685 3.62809 2.56176L3.62497 2.50755V1.34435C3.62497 1.19093 3.74933 1.06657 3.90274 1.06657C4.0417 1.06657 4.15731 1.16894 4.1774 1.30216L4.18052 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7.84516 13.459 8.10183C13.459 8.3585 13.251 8.56657 12.9943 8.56657C12.7376 8.56657 12.5295 8.3585 12.5295 8.10183C12.5295 7.84515 12.7376 7.63708 12.9943 7.63708ZM10.0563 7.63708C10.3129 7.63708 10.521 7.84515 10.521 8.10183C10.521 8.3585 10.3129 8.56657 10.0563 8.56657C9.79959 8.56657 9.59151 8.3585 9.59151 8.10183C9.59151 7.84516 9.79959 7.63708 10.0563 7.63708Z" fill="white" stroke="white" stroke-width="0.833333"></path></mask><g mask="url(#mask0_6063_13753)"><path d="M0.253906 0.649902H16.9206V17.3166H0.253906V0.649902Z"></path></g></svg></label></span><input type="date" id="startDate"/><div class="indexstyled__StyledFieldState-sc-1bdwyo3-3 kWqgKI"></div><span class="input-suffix"></span></div></div><ul style="color:red" class="indexstyled__StyledFieldErrors-sc-1bdwyo3-5 gVwQVK"></ul><ul style="color:orange" class="indexstyled__StyledFieldErrors-sc-1bdwyo3-5 gVwQVK"></ul></div><div data-identifier="form-field" class="indexstyled__StyledFieldWrapper-sc-1bdwyo3-2 jOywzX margin-lg-bottom"><div data-identifier="container-wrapper" class="Container__StyledContainer-sc-14lnmxl-0 XUXti container-wrapper" display="grid"><label for="endDate" class="indexstyled__StyledLabel-sc-1bdwyo3-4 ecjXuw">Last day of employment</label><div class="indexstyled__StyledInputContainer-sc-1bdwyo3-0 igzAgE"><span class="input-prefix"><label for="endDate"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 17 18" fill="var(--global-grey-3)" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="feather feather-calendar"><mask id="mask0_6063_13753" style="mask-type:luminance" maskUnits="userSpaceOnUse" x="0" y="0" width="17" height="18"><path d="M13.9654 3.15065L15.5317 3.1499C15.5317 3.1499 15.5318 3.1499 15.5319 3.1499C15.5319 3.1499 15.5319 3.1499 15.5319 3.1499C16.0418 3.15 16.4602 3.54288 16.5007 4.04213L16.5039 4.1298V15.9277C16.5039 16.4377 16.111 16.8562 15.6117 16.8967L15.524 16.8999H1.6428C1.13282 16.8999 0.714236 16.507 0.673794 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6.65348 11.0399C6.65348 10.7832 6.86155 10.5751 7.11822 10.5751ZM4.18019 10.5751C4.43686 10.5751 4.64493 10.7832 4.64493 11.0399C4.64493 11.2965 4.43686 11.5046 4.18019 11.5046C3.92352 11.5046 3.71545 11.2965 3.71545 11.0399C3.71545 10.7832 3.92352 10.5751 4.18019 10.5751ZM12.9943 7.63708C13.251 7.63708 13.459 7.84516 13.459 8.10183C13.459 8.3585 13.251 8.56657 12.9943 8.56657C12.7376 8.56657 12.5295 8.3585 12.5295 8.10183C12.5295 7.84515 12.7376 7.63708 12.9943 7.63708ZM10.0563 7.63708C10.3129 7.63708 10.521 7.84515 10.521 8.10183C10.521 8.3585 10.3129 8.56657 10.0563 8.56657C9.79959 8.56657 9.59151 8.3585 9.59151 8.10183C9.59151 7.84516 9.79959 7.63708 10.0563 7.63708Z" fill="white" stroke="white" stroke-width="0.833333"></path></mask><g mask="url(#mask0_6063_13753)"><path d="M0.253906 0.649902H16.9206V17.3166H0.253906V0.649902Z"></path></g></svg></label></span><input type="date" id="endDate"/><div class="indexstyled__StyledFieldState-sc-1bdwyo3-3 kWqgKI"></div><span class="input-suffix"></span></div></div><ul style="color:red" class="indexstyled__StyledFieldErrors-sc-1bdwyo3-5 gVwQVK"></ul><ul style="color:orange" class="indexstyled__StyledFieldErrors-sc-1bdwyo3-5 gVwQVK"></ul></div><div data-identifier="form-field" class="indexstyled__StyledFieldWrapper-sc-1bdwyo3-2 jOywzX margin-lg-bottom"><div data-identifier="container-wrapper" class="Container__StyledContainer-sc-14lnmxl-0 XUXti container-wrapper" display="grid"><label for="salary" class="indexstyled__StyledLabel-sc-1bdwyo3-4 ecjXuw">Basic salary (monthly)</label><div class="indexstyled__StyledInputContainer-sc-1bdwyo3-0 igzAgE"><input type="number" id="salary"/><div class="indexstyled__StyledFieldState-sc-1bdwyo3-3 kWqgKI"></div></div></div><ul style="color:red" class="indexstyled__StyledFieldErrors-sc-1bdwyo3-5 gVwQVK"></ul><ul style="color:orange" class="indexstyled__StyledFieldErrors-sc-1bdwyo3-5 gVwQVK"></ul></div><button data-identifier="gratuity-button" class="indexstyled__StyledButton-sc-147vw7d-0 kPvRjh padding-md-left padding-md-right padding-xs-top padding-xs-bottom margin-sm-bottom" type="submit">Calculate</button></form><div style="min-height:30px" class="defaultstyled__StyledDisclaimer-sc-uqt4zj-0 iKiKbG margin-md-left margin-md-right margin-md-bottom">Disclaimer: The online tool to calculate gratuity pay for private sector employees is based on the UAE Labour Law and is provided for illustrative purposes only.</div><a style="min-height:20px" class="Link__Anchor-sc-1fg1e8z-0 UfNXw Link__Anchor-sc-1fg1e8z-0 defaultstyled__StyledLink-sc-uqt4zj-3 UfNXw jNllgF margin-md-left margin-md-right" href="https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/gratuity-calculator/">Conditions apply</a></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><hr class="defaultstyled__StyledDivider-sc-a279n6-0 hEAzzr" data-identifier="divider" size="34" type="organisms/Divider"/><!--$--><div data-identifier="tnn-footer" 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This highlights how more people are generating wealth today."},{"subtype":"newslettersignup-composer","_id":"3CH4HGACC5GBNBEOPK4VQPGL3A","additional_properties":{"_id":"L2E36TKU2JG3XOCKET53KREY4Q"},"embed":{"id":"fiedbqikclvqebt","config":{"listId":"6649a7edb0","contentSource":"on-the-money","heading":"On%20The%20Money","imageURL":"https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenationalnews.com%2Fresizer%2FaTBLYWRZ-WlXNx2hnaE07icYi6M%3D%2Farc-photo-thenational%2Feu-central-1-prod%2Fpublic%2FGHMM6MMGKVDP3DL4F6SAPJDNLI.jpg","newsletterURL":"https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenationalnews.com%2Fnewsletters%2Fon-the-money%2F","interests":"c84b108b00","desc":"Make%20money%20work%20for%20you%20with%20news%2C%20features%20and%20expert%20analysis"},"url":"https://thenational-the-national-prod.cdn.arcpublishing.com/newsletter-composer/?_website=the-national&outputType=composer_powerup&k=fiedbqikclvqebt#SEARCH"},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"NYDSOQ6S5RC77KZVTY6LKYFOMQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955308},"type":"text","content":"UAE residents are seeking <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comment/2024/10/13/abu-dhabi-will-continue-to-be-a-global-leader-in-digital-innovation/\" target=\"_blank\">digital investment platforms</a> to diversify their portfolios. Technology has simplified investing, with online brokerage platforms offering <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/energy/2021/08/28/adx-cuts-trading-commissions-by-50-and-extends-trading-by-an-hour/\" target=\"_blank\">low-cost or commission-free trading</a>. It is imperative to understand how to harness this new investment age."},{"level":2,"_id":"RFB4D3RSVJDUVBUL4BOO6LIO2Y","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955309},"type":"header","content":"<b>Build strong foundations</b>"},{"_id":"3EPJ6XU5VVG7BNUJVMNAR2AECY","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955310},"type":"text","content":"Like anything in life, it all starts with the basics. To start investing, begin by deciding what you want to invest in. This can include stocks, bonds, real estate or mutual funds (among several other options), without relying on big companies to handle your money. This DIY approach grants more control over where you spend your money but also means that you need to evaluate your risk profile and conduct due diligence."},{"_id":"LDMY4BPJENGMFMKSSJWSQD4ECY","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955311},"type":"text","content":"UAE residents’ investment choices are as diverse as the expatriates who make up the country’s population. Yet, most of these individuals prioritise real estate and gold. Why? Because these assets maintain their value and stability throughout history."},{"_id":"KT3HVMAEH5CNLL2XHGJSDOGGQQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955312},"type":"text","content":"Consider Dubai's real estate market, it recorded Dh522.5 billion worth of deals in 2024. People renting property in key areas can expect to earn between 7 per cent and 9 per cent of its value each year."},{"_id":"3NY7W7CW3VE7NFVTSSQCY6534A","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955313},"type":"text","content":"Meanwhile, more people are putting money into index funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for wealth growth over time without paying high fees – but there are more options to consider."},{"_id":"ZFHTBQN26ZBANJM2DDP65F64NQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955314},"type":"text","content":"Green energy and technology start-ups, for example, are something new to try as these industries hold promising futures. With sustainability and technology at the forefront of today’s global policy shifts, they are strong starting points – especially for new investors."},{"_id":"NYNASXXZTRF63CGCRC242CWJJY","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955315},"type":"text","content":"However, a solid base is essential before diving in. An emergency fund covering three to six months of expenses provides a safety net for responsible investing."},{"subtype":"jwplayer","_id":"DQFA74NXZNDP7GJEG2GG5FM4DE","additional_properties":{"_id":"N6TPHXVH2NAWZEQZKSJZ6XCZT4"},"embed":{"id":"g3fvfit4s6gzgtd","config":{"embed_html":"<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;padding-bottom:56.25%\"><iframe src=\"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/players/9S9FCmzM-HxkhlA9A.html\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" style=\"position:absolute\" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>","videoId":"9S9FCmzM","videoData":{"duration":115,"image":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/9S9FCmzM/poster.jpg?width=720&thumbnail_version=2","display_date":"2024-12-18T07:40:42.000Z","sources":[{"file":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/videos/9S9FCmzM-xv27PA1r.mp4","type":"video/mp4"}],"subtype":"jwplayer","headlines":{"basic":"Where to invest in 2025 "},"subheadlines":{"basic":"Let’s take a look at the trends likely to shape the investment landscape next year. This should not be considered investment advice. "},"_id":"9S9FCmzM","canonical_url":"https://www.thenationalnews.com/video/9S9FCmzM/","promo_items":{"basic":{"auth":{"1":"8ff737b86f16ec1b048e8f4174eb0836992c5330eb3142b78c75e655bf761396","thumbnail_version":"2"},"width":480,"type":"image","url":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/9S9FCmzM/poster.jpg?width=480&thumbnail_version=2"}},"type":"video"},"playerId":"Kn3ncmVY"},"url":""},"type":"custom_embed"},{"level":2,"_id":"VT4GB3JNYNFEHETOKIEYTUQOXA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955317},"type":"header","content":"<b>Step towards financial independence</b>"},{"_id":"PIKT5GYBBVBYJC6QAEYICOLWKE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955318},"type":"text","content":"Achieving financial independence through retail investment starts with informed decisions: begin small. Low-cost index funds offer diversification and low fees, making them a great entry point."},{"_id":"ZL25FHLYLBESNEGRPXF2BWT7KE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955319},"type":"text","content":"Due to their long-term stability and reduced risk when compared to speculative trading, these instruments are becoming increasingly popular among UAE retail investors."},{"_id":"ZJQ2SZ4AYJFNHEVSUWMCX7IRLU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955320},"type":"text","content":"You can mimic the diversification strategies of high-net-worth individuals and ultra-high-net-worth individuals by expanding your portfolio across asset classes such as real estate, private equity and alternative investments."},{"level":2,"_id":"3AAHNK4AXND6ROIVYNT25IY7XU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955321},"type":"header","content":"<b>Different approaches</b>"},{"_id":"CX7BBWKWMNBSHLMFTKJLNMC2CE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955322},"type":"text","content":"Investing does not follow a single approach. Each investor’s risk appetite depends on things such as how much they earn, what they want to do with their money and what's going on in their life."},{"_id":"IBPUD653AJET5OCEQIFUNIYVAA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955323},"type":"text","content":"Consider Warren Buffett, who takes a long-term, value-investing approach, compared to Elon Musk, who embraces high-risk, high-reward ventures in emerging industries. They are examples of polar opposite strategies, yet both achieved incredible success."},{"_id":"SHG4GKYDMZC6XMVGP7YGQCDZ2Y","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955324},"type":"text","content":"Similarly, people who don't mind taking big risks might opt for stocks or less common investments, while those wanting it safe might stick to bonds or funds that pay regular dividends."},{"_id":"RANQSKEQMZB7NNXDSBX3TJNBSU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955325},"type":"text","content":"What's happening in the market in 2025 should also guide how you invest. Big changes in the world economy, such as inflation and geopolitical tensions, are affecting how investments perform everywhere."},{"_id":"ELLISVLFRNAVPJ2ZXL57YSPPD4","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955326},"type":"raw_html","content":"<div><iframe title=\"A beginner’s guide to investing\" allowtransparency=\"true\" height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: none; min-width: min(100%, 430px);height:300px;\" scrolling=\"no\" data-name=\"pb-iframe-player\" src=\"https://www.podbean.com/player-v2/?from=embed&pbad=0&i=8xqfu-150ca0c-pb&square=1&share=1&download=1&fonts=Arial&skin=666666&font-color=auto&rtl=0&logo_link=episode_page&btn-skin=3267a3&size=300\" loading=\"lazy\" allowfullscreen=\"\"></iframe></div>"},{"level":2,"_id":"2ZB6M2L4XRA2VIQ3SHZLT5CWZE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955327},"type":"header","content":"<b>Maintain discipline</b>"},{"_id":"KJRMTPGVSJCLVEBRRUUGRQUVWM","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955328},"type":"text","content":"What’s most appealing about investing is the possibility of achieving financial freedom. Saving regularly, investing consistently and remaining patient present the opportunity to use compound interest to build wealth over time. This is especially true in the UAE where there is no income tax."},{"_id":"PW5NPSXBRJGBRMCLCZGIVYWPSA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955329},"type":"text","content":"With increased recognition for helping facilitate smarter financial decisions, retail investment is playing an important role in residents’ money-making strategies. It provides you with endless opportunities: from fulfilling retirement goals to building wealth for your future generations."},{"_id":"EWET7V3GJRG7NG5WVLPTIYBGAE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955330},"type":"text","content":"While investing is a promising path to financial independence, true financial freedom requires a multi-asset approach. Saving, budgeting and diversifying income streams in a disciplined manner will yield long-term benefits."},{"_id":"MPUMH5QBGNARHKPEB262SUZTJM","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955331},"type":"text","content":"Investing can be overwhelming, especially for those who are new to the playing field. If you fit into this category, reaching out to informed financial advisers to guide you will help ease that burden."},{"_id":"6UMWXV5MHRDDRPDFUALUKRLXGU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955332},"type":"text","content":"Nonetheless, if you’re embarking on an investing journey, the key to success is starting small, staying informed and remaining patient."},{"_id":"WPYSHJZY6RGIXHMDLBWFBHEJOI","additional_properties":{"_id":1739176955333},"type":"text","content":"<i>Bas Kooijman is chief executive and asset manager of DHF Capital, a securitisation company for financial services</i>"}],"subheadlines":{"basic":"Saving regularly, investing consistently and remaining patient help to build wealth over 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They are strongly committed to the UK’s “net-zero” carbon plan, and they have a <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/climate/2025/02/08/world-is-accelerating-into-the-problem-of-climate-change-amid-global-temperature-surge/\" target=\"_blank\">strong environmentalist base </a>among their voters and MPs."},{"_id":"KIKVKQXPWREDRJSN2X3ZZN4EQA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875564},"type":"text","content":"But with public finances in tatters, and facing a challenge from the climate-denying Reform Party as well as the Conservatives, they have pledged to boost economic growth and simplify regulation. They also face criticisms of putting net zero ahead of energy security, affordability and reliability."},{"_id":"DWGRUPTP3RE2LI672TYIP5AGVI","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875565},"type":"text","content":"The environmentalist case, put by organisations such as Greenpeace, is simple: if the world is on a net-zero path, there is no need for new oil and gasfield developments. The emissions from combusting the hydrocarbons from Jackdaw and Rosebank would add dangerously to global warming, with temperatures already exceeding the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C targeted limit."},{"_id":"F3PFQ5VFORFYDLM3RC7DTHH2TM","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875566},"type":"text","content":"The pro-development case is also pretty straightforward. Rosebank will support almost 1,200 full-time UK-based well-paid and high-skilled jobs. It will add 1 per cent to Scottish gross domestic product at peak production. Maintaining the industrial base of Scotland and northern England is a key objective for Labour. And Rosebank would pay approximately $20 billion in tax over its producing life."},{"_id":"JLAM4TPLB5DHFNA67QCMXXZNUU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875567},"type":"text","content":"Rosebank’s peak production will be about 75,000 barrels per day – 7 per cent of the UK’s total production, but a minuscule fraction of the more than 100 million bpd produced globally."},{"_id":"PK6CSTMKUVGUNN7SA2K4EXG7PU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875568},"type":"text","content":"Even on its net-zero path, the UK will continue to need and use some oil and gas up to and beyond 2050. If Rosebank and Jackdaw are not developed, the UK will instead import from other countries, worsening its trade deficit and energy security."},{"_id":"ZQFPE7PMKBEU7ONVZ6DXJE4LZE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875569},"type":"text","content":"There is no shortage of global reserves, so emissions from oil and gas worldwide are determined by demand, not production decisions. The imports could come, directly or indirectly, from suppliers who are geopolitically or environmentally unsavoury to London, including Vladimir Putin’s Russia or Donald Trump’s US."},{"owner":{"sponsored":false,"id":"thenational"},"copyright":"2024 Getty Images","address":{"locality":"Edinburgh","country_name":"GBR","region":"Scotland"},"syndication":{},"auth":{"1":"b8974f9826cf64fc3daa170a88e7e0901a28c89f700f3a004f4eb234ec3d4eae"},"caption":"Climate activists demonstrate against Rosebank and Jackdaw developments outside the court of session in Edinburgh, Scotland. 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Liquefied natural gas requires an energy-intensive process to chill it, then shipping over long distances. Some of the leading suppliers, such as Nigeria, Algeria and the US, are notorious for methane leakage. The UK has full control and visibility on the operational emissions of fields in its water."},{"_id":"EI4VYXUDCVBWZKDHZ3XYZOTYXA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875571},"type":"text","content":"The argument is not just about these two fields. Although the UK’s petroleum sector is very mature, there are still fields to develop, such as Cambo, another magnet for controversy, near Rosebank and about half its size. Just on Friday, a small company, Egdon Resources, announced that it had found a huge onshore gas resource in Lincolnshire."},{"_id":"APQRJAVC6ZDP3IYE5ZBJLSIOGE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875572},"type":"text","content":"Yet companies will invest barely £3 billion ($3.8 billion) in Britain’s offshore oil and gas industry this year, and on a declining runway to £1.5 billion by the end of the decade. Wealthy neighbour Norway, by contrast, will spend a steady £13.5 billion or so each year, plus about £2.25 billion annually on exploration for new resources, and much of its gas is sold to the UK."},{"_id":"XAMKLISPAJBXNKTSD44PTDBRJA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875573},"type":"text","content":"So how does Mr Miliband square this circle?"},{"_id":"I7IV7MPSLVHCBMAG3H5TGO6D3Q","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875574},"type":"text","content":"It is hard to argue that Britain is not doing its bit on climate. It has been the fastest-decarbonising major economy. Its latest submission under the Paris Agreement is one of the few that puts the economy on-track for a net-zero carbon world."},{"_id":"W2C7XCULJVCBLKOQN4LVFGCJ2Y","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875575},"type":"text","content":"Rather than fighting the same battle on every new oil or gas development, the country <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/uk/2024/11/19/uk-seeks-ai-solutions-to-boost-clean-energy/\" target=\"_blank\">needs a systematic principle</a>. The solution could be the “takeback obligation” proposed by Professor Myles Allen, a climate scientist from Oxford University, and advocated by Dutch consultant Margriet Kuijper."},{"_id":"RQFHYW2O5NADBN7N5CMBJX45KU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875576},"type":"text","content":"Under this idea, any supplier of carbon fuels to UK users – whether imported or produced at home – would be required to ensure a corresponding amount of carbon dioxide is removed from the atmosphere. This matches the scientific principle that true net zero means not adding any geological carbon to the atmosphere."},{"_id":"GXZ2N25W7VDSTEEQY5JIA7DKZI","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875577},"type":"text","content":"This obligation could initially be set at some fraction, say 10 per cent, of the emissions, and increase steadily to reach 100 per cent by the target date of 2050. It could even increase to more than 100 per cent afterwards to clean up past pollution and get back to the 1.5°C world intended by the Paris Agreement. The approach could be co-ordinated at a pan-European level, helping to meet the continent’s climate goals while reviving its energy industries."},{"_id":"2DM4NBVTENEC3PDEMQ722RF6I4","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875578},"type":"text","content":"Companies could meet this obligation by using fossil fuels in non-emitting ways – for example, with carbon capture and storage (CCS), or conversion to “blue” hydrogen. Or they could remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere by biological, technological or mineralogical means, such as tree-planting, using “direct air capture” machines or the accelerated weathering of carbon-hungry rocks."},{"_id":"LW2QVIUXBJAMFETPNSMHRB53SU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875579},"type":"text","content":"Mr Miliband has promised funding for CCS, which would ensure a sustainable second life for offshore oil and gas infrastructure, and future jobs for today’s petroleum workers. It could also create an export-orientated industry for carbon capture technology and services."},{"_id":"C3N3VGWLQVBFDF4PA4CFWZCLGA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875580},"type":"text","content":"This approach would ensure sustainable and maximal use of the UK’s remaining oil and gas resources. It would end the fruitless legal battles over every new field. And the Labour government could square its climate ambitions with the quest for equitable economic recovery. But it's certainly no bank of roses for those in power. "},{"_id":"SKBHAGMPZNCMZEESMKLSB473NU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739682875581},"type":"text","content":"<i>Robin M Mills is chief executive of Qamar Energy, and author of The Myth of the Oil Crisis</i>"}],"subheadlines":{"basic":"British Energy Secretary Ed Miliband faces a dilemma in approving two new oil and gasfields in the face of courts and climate 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Additionally, the bloc’s reliance on external suppliers for critical technologies and raw materials has deepened its vulnerabilities."},{"_id":"54OZDERFUNA5LFPRCBJV46IEFI","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078098},"type":"text","content":"A combination of technological stagnation, industrial fragmentation, <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/energy/2024/12/26/eu-qatar-lng/\" target=\"_blank\">energy insecurity</a> and weak geopolitical positioning has left Europe struggling to maintain relevance in an increasingly competitive world, with many industries shifting their high-value operations outside the continent."},{"_id":"RBATSHEMMFEKVEVSSGUJNERVVI","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078099},"type":"text","content":"The EU must now confront these pressing issues head-on or risk long-term economic and political decline."},{"level":2,"_id":"5B6X3MDHOZBJ3KPJYA2DBNAIJM","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078100},"type":"header","content":"<b>Productivity and innovation deficit</b>"},{"_id":"2HXPT2MHKJCHHJ63LLNJVGR67A","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078101},"type":"text","content":"Europe's economic stagnation is rooted in its inability to keep pace with global productivity growth. While the US has embraced technological revolutions in artificial intelligence, semiconductors and digital platforms, Europe has failed to produce major tech giants."},{"_id":"NF5LAFKTMBAX5FHYBPPDOGKVRI","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078102},"type":"text","content":"Since 2000, real disposable income per capita has increased at nearly double the rate in the US compared with the EU, according to economic assessments. This widening income gap reflects deeper systemic issues, including rigid labour markets, regulatory hurdles and a lack of risk capital for high-growth industries."},{"_id":"DRDHHQVJGZGEBKRMXH6VHDWUMQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078103},"type":"text","content":"The EU’s structural deficiencies extend to its failure to translate research into economic leadership. While European universities and research institutions produce cutting-edge discoveries, the region consistently lags in commercialisation, Mario Draghi, former president of the European Central Bank and former Italian prime minister, said in a recently released report, <i>The Future of European Competitiveness.</i>"},{"owner":{"id":"thenational"},"address":{"locality":"Lisbon","country_name":"PRT","region":"Lisboa"},"auth":{"1":"a60b2474e684a2722909dc0ec98085eccb0b1117c526db99d27393187c140e21"},"vanity_credits":{},"caption":"Former president of European Central Bank and former Italian prime minister Mario Draghi. 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LOPES","type":"author"}]},"subtitle":"PORTUGAL STATE COUNCIL MEETING","width":3394,"_id":"APKVU7KAR5NPHNC5XIBAUWJJQY","additional_properties":{"fullSizeResizeUrl":"/resizer/C2M7Pvciu3qdyWSaDOrw4nYk6Bg=/arc-photo-thenational/eu-central-1-prod/public/APKVU7KAR5NPHNC5XIBAUWJJQY.jpg","iptc_source":"EPA","iptc_job_identifier":"","keywords":["meeting","politicians"],"proxyUrl":"/resizer/C2M7Pvciu3qdyWSaDOrw4nYk6Bg=/arc-photo-thenational/eu-central-1-prod/public/APKVU7KAR5NPHNC5XIBAUWJJQY.jpg","link":"","takenOn":"2025-01-29T04:24:43Z","originalUrl":"https://cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/thenational/APKVU7KAR5NPHNC5XIBAUWJJQY.jpg","published":true,"resizeUrl":"/resizer/C2M7Pvciu3qdyWSaDOrw4nYk6Bg=/arc-photo-thenational/eu-central-1-prod/public/APKVU7KAR5NPHNC5XIBAUWJJQY.jpg","expiration_date":"2025-02-28T16:56:19Z","thumbnailResizeUrl":"/resizer/Dgm2I2fdnsQ6cIt-6g8L6hajn1c=/300x0/arc-photo-thenational/eu-central-1-prod/public/APKVU7KAR5NPHNC5XIBAUWJJQY.jpg","version":2,"countryId":174,"originalName":"11860858","mime_type":"image/jpeg","restricted":false,"galleries":[],"_id":1739451078104,"iptc_title":""},"created_date":"2025-01-29T17:00:14Z","last_updated_date":"2025-02-12T13:21:45Z","slug":"portugal-state-council-meeting","height":2263},{"_id":"ECSVA3ER5NHGZAH3UPXRHTBRRI","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078105},"type":"text","content":"Unlike the US, where start-ups are quickly scaled through deep capital markets, European innovators struggle with funding constraints, bureaucratic red tape and fragmented regulatory regimes. As a result, many of Europe’s most promising entrepreneurs relocate to Silicon Valley or China, where they find greater opportunities to expand."},{"level":2,"_id":"OFSATPNZPZBILKILOCO3DF46SE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078106},"type":"header","content":"<b>Industrial fragmentation</b>"},{"_id":"VPB6CGZ63BFPXOTEEOOFRV5UAE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078107},"type":"text","content":"Another major reason for Europe’s decline is its fragmented industrial landscape. Unlike China, which integrates its industrial policies with trade and state financing, or the US, where federal funding supports strategic industries, Europe operates under a patchwork of national interests."},{"_id":"3QTI4LLJORBW7NYSO37TVIPZLE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078108},"type":"text","content":"The lack of a unified industrial strategy has weakened the continent’s ability to compete globally. Mr Draghi’s analysis notes that Europe’s corporate structure is \"concentrated in mature industries\"."},{"_id":"EZQ33GHSKFDDNDKSIOU3NDMXBM","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078109},"type":"text","content":"The problem is particularly evident in sectors such as defence, semiconductors and clean energy. While the EU collectively spends as much on defence as some of the world’s largest military powers, inefficiencies abound. European nations maintain separate procurement policies, leading to duplication of efforts and reduced efficiency. For example, European militaries operate 12 different types of battle tanks, whereas the US has standardised production, enabling economies of scale and increased military readiness. The lack of co-ordination in defence procurement weakens Europe’s ability to establish a self-sufficient security framework."},{"subtype":"jwplayer","_id":"XL2RRNAE5FCHHACRJEOPWBWVM4","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078110},"embed":{"id":"5loquf5a6p1al66e","config":{"embed_html":"<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;padding-bottom:56.25%\"><iframe src=\"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/players/lwDDoXHb-HxkhlA9A.html\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" style=\"position:absolute\" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>","videoId":"lwDDoXHb","videoData":{"duration":54,"image":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/lwDDoXHb/poster.jpg?width=720&thumbnail_version=2","display_date":"2025-02-10T14:54:40.000Z","sources":[{"file":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/videos/lwDDoXHb-xv27PA1r.mp4","type":"video/mp4"}],"subtype":"jwplayer","headlines":{"basic":"World leaders and tech executives discuss AI at Paris summit"},"subheadlines":{"basic":"French envoy Anne Bouverot says event will focus on practical applications of the rapidly advancing technology.\n"},"_id":"lwDDoXHb","canonical_url":"https://www.thenationalnews.com/video/lwDDoXHb/","promo_items":{"basic":{"auth":{"1":"f765419060c0d18d61484708e20c5b3599e8d7ed7f5492f2cca70fc2978a20e0","thumbnail_version":"2"},"width":480,"type":"image","url":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/lwDDoXHb/poster.jpg?width=480&thumbnail_version=2"}},"type":"video"},"playerId":"Kn3ncmVY"},"url":""},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"MOKBMY6CONARVFAGHHPII5R354","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078111},"type":"text","content":"In the semiconductor industry, the EU remains heavily dependent on imports, particularly from Asia, despite its critical role in the digital and AI-driven economy. While efforts like the European Chips Act aim to bolster domestic production, Mr Draghi says its \"fragmented market structure and lack of integrated supply chains have hindered its ability to compete with semiconductor leaders like the US, Taiwan and South Korea\"."},{"_id":"R3ESX6XPRNG3BGEJQGXSCISAM4","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078112},"type":"text","content":"Furthermore, the EU’s clean energy transition, while ambitious, is hindered by its lack of a co-ordinated industrial approach. Unless the EU streamlines its policies and accelerates investment in domestic production, it will remain dependent on foreign suppliers, undermining both economic growth and energy security."},{"level":2,"_id":"LVPFF7ZW5VBNDOXRTHU2Q3KHNA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078113},"type":"header","content":"<b>Energy insecurity</b>"},{"_id":"6AVBOMUDIBAYFBCMNBEUSWIQQA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078114},"type":"text","content":"Europe’s energy crisis has deep roots in its long-standing dependence on external energy sources, particularly Russian fossil fuels. Historically, the EU imported more than 40 per cent of its natural gas and 30 per cent of its crude oil from Russia, making it highly susceptible to geopolitical disruptions. When tensions with Moscow escalated, European nations were forced to scramble for alternative suppliers, leading to extreme volatility in energy prices. This sudden shift placed an enormous strain on European economies, contributing to inflationary pressures and widening the competitiveness gap with the US and China."},{"_id":"PUZJT2J7PREMNAPHVV32MIR22A","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078115},"type":"text","content":"Despite efforts to transition to renewable energy, the EU faces an uphill battle. While the bloc leads in wind and solar capacity, its reliance on Chinese-manufactured components for clean energy infrastructure remains a major weakness. Mr Draghi’s analysis warns that \"China controls more than 80 per cent of the global solar panel supply chain and dominates battery production, making Europe vulnerable to trade and geopolitical shocks”."},{"_id":"6CQT6PZU3BDO5IGR3RWIJMBXEY","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078116},"type":"text","content":"Additionally, fragmented national policies and slow permitting processes have delayed the expansion of critical energy infrastructure. Without a co-ordinated EU-wide energy policy that ensures both security and affordability, European businesses and consumers will continue to face high costs and uncertainty."},{"level":2,"_id":"KVM2N4X3MRH3RKRL5IEZCQMNZA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078117},"type":"header","content":"<b>Geopolitical irrelevance</b>"},{"_id":"SY5YDZ2N7BB2LA7GWIGPB2CCMQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078118},"type":"text","content":"The EU is also struggling to assert itself as a geopolitical power, with the bloc often reacting to crises rather than leading the response. The absence of a coherent foreign economic policy has left Europe vulnerable to trade disruptions, supply chain dependencies and external pressure from geopolitical rivals. The EU’s diplomatic efforts often lack a unified voice, as individual member states prioritise national interests over collective strategy."},{"_id":"4SUSEA4X6VDSTM66O6Y6BLEP6E","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078119},"type":"text","content":"Moreover, while the US and China pursue aggressive industrial and military strategies to secure their global influence, Europe remains constrained by political disunity and slow decision-making."},{"level":2,"_id":"CKQPPOSDTNBQFAP6U6IBRXHH6E","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078120},"type":"header","content":"<b>Can Europe reverse the path?</b>"},{"_id":"QQ6WPRVZF5BIFFSZ24URIGONJE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078121},"type":"text","content":"The EU stands at a crossroads, where hesitation is no longer an option. If it seeks to regain its place as a global leader, it must embrace economic reforms, drive innovation and foster unity in industrial and geopolitical strategies. Without decisive action, the continent risks further decline, falling behind competitors."},{"_id":"W5I4M7VOIBHG7KP3KM4THPQ4II","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078122},"type":"text","content":"The EU’s future will not be shaped by rhetoric but by the ability to act swiftly and strategically."},{"_id":"ADYEH5B2OVFTHDSBF6ZDGPQSX4","additional_properties":{"_id":1739451078123},"type":"text","content":"<i>Falah Mousa is a Brussels-based government affairs specialist and researcher</i>"}],"subheadlines":{"basic":"Bloc struggles with technological stagnation along with declining productivity and geopolitical 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It's the competitive trading that makes the magic happen. For everything else, traders want certainty."},{"_id":"T4CYUQPRRRFWBPUNTDUKGMGHT4","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538777},"type":"text","content":"In saying that, no one likes a bully and <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2024/11/28/uae-corporate-tax-guide-key-points/\" target=\"_blank\">regulatory regimes</a> are there to make sure no one entity or small coterie of parties can rig it for themselves only. Occasional grumbles aside, these referees are expected to and do maintain order and collect dues in the form of taxes to pay for the underlying certainty required to make it work for all parties."},{"_id":"F4J2DYA5MVAQJF5S6YYZUCYHYQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538778},"type":"text","content":"There is a thin line between evolution of marketplace rules and tinkering. A couple of weeks ago, timely communications began to be received by some companies across the UAE. Their financial years for corporate tax reporting purposes were changing. Again."},{"_id":"NXA64JOLGFFVBLKOKOXWMUQ7OM","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538779},"type":"text","content":"You may remember that a small number of companies suddenly found that they needed to file returns by the end of December 2024. Although the original version of this change was for the end of October 2024, with little notice having been given, it was moved forward by two months."},{"_id":"567POG2AL5FMXOS756K22OIHPY","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538780},"type":"text","content":"Across the entities that I have reviewed, it appears that the original date by which returns must be submitted and any amounts owing are settled, has not changed. I am not sure that many would mind if months were added to this date."},{"subtype":"jwplayer","_id":"A3QPTLSQDRAVDH2VHRKVBRQGMU","additional_properties":{"_id":"3BYDIUE3ONBZZKZOF7OAFWJKBU"},"embed":{"id":"wwv4lko4udz5hrx","config":{"embed_html":"<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;padding-bottom:56.25%\"><iframe src=\"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/players/hMx4MTBD-HxkhlA9A.html\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" style=\"position:absolute\" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>","videoId":"hMx4MTBD","videoData":{"duration":776,"image":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/hMx4MTBD/poster.jpg?width=720","display_date":"2024-06-07T17:13:07.000Z","sources":[{"file":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/videos/hMx4MTBD-xv27PA1r.mp4","type":"video/mp4"}],"subtype":"jwplayer","headlines":{"basic":"The UAE's corporate tax law explained: Business Extra"},"subheadlines":{"basic":"KPMG's Wassim Chahine answers questions on the new regime set to take effect this year"},"_id":"hMx4MTBD","canonical_url":"https://www.thenationalnews.com/video/hMx4MTBD/","promo_items":{"basic":{"auth":{"1":"193e365c0a2e448d72b8ffc286acdf4ac3f5a701337599e202fe9339c2c36472","thumbnail_version":1},"width":480,"type":"image","url":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/hMx4MTBD/poster.jpg?width=480"}},"type":"video"},"playerId":"Kn3ncmVY"},"url":""},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"G7RDHKFLJRFHDL2D5PY5H24374","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538782},"type":"text","content":"With law and guidance still to be released, it would have given additional time to prepare and with greater confidence complete, what for many, would be their first reporting cycle."},{"_id":"C7JDJAJHXFHU7MB7WDSH2XL3AU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538783},"type":"text","content":"Instead, the additional months that must be accounted for have been backdated from the original instruction as to when corporate tax began for these entities. As these dates are likely to have passed, the implications for many might be severe."},{"_id":"FGWTENSVKNFQNKG64CWGVN4CUE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538784},"type":"text","content":"Do check if your business has been affected. Logon to the Federal Tax Authority website and download your current corporate tax certificate. Compare the filing dates between what you already have on file against the latest copy."},{"_id":"RE232ESIMBF25EZBGC6JYFPWXQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538785},"type":"text","content":"Let us start with one that will add work and cost. It will more likely affect larger organisations that, while they will have the resources to manage it, may need to repeat an exercise that already keeps them busy. The annual external – now plus or minus a few months – audit."},{"_id":"3J6I4Z33MNEGRH22VD4OSN3WXA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538786},"type":"text","content":"Multinational groups at a parental level have a financial year that all its subsidiaries share. Thus, consolidated accounts can be formulated and reported upon to all stakeholders."},{"_id":"RQXNFSFOHFAC3IGKPSTYWDFSTE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538787},"type":"text","content":"A new regime like the UAE’s may mean that the initial reporting period may vary. Generally, this can be changed later to ensure alignment and the regulatory authorities have indicated that this will be the case."},{"_id":"SUN5HJEX7FESDACUBP5MQOOY3A","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538788},"type":"text","content":"The most serious issue is for those who have meticulously planned for the transition to corporate tax. There is a high likelihood that the transition rules were carefully reviewed and structural decisions made as a result."},{"_id":"E7TRD7VXMVFVXPF73GFQ4E7AAU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538789},"type":"text","content":"Entities might have been formed, closed or merged. Assets and liabilities moved within one or more group structures. Contracts got drawn up with careful overview by finance and legal."},{"_id":"CUB2W6BE3ZAIDEV7EJNR7GSGXA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538790},"type":"text","content":"With some of these entities now discovering that those changes happened on the wrong side of their carefully planned timeline, a lot of effort will be expended to gauge its impact."},{"_id":"OLQT3S4TNFH4NO7UMRFDQUGRVA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538791},"type":"text","content":"Might they just shift their decisions by a few months to counter the changes?"},{"_id":"FPK4YXWHEVFH5AR3V3JP3TUW7M","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538792},"type":"text","content":"I learnt the hard way in my junior professional years, that you cannot change the past. Having told everyone what has happened, as an accountant, it is the height of bad practice to discover an historical mistreatment or error and correct it."},{"_id":"XNPC6R3MM5GLZPEVKOHDEKH6VA","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538793},"type":"text","content":"At some point while reviewing current financials and comparing these to earlier periods, any changes are likely to be noticed. Without confidence in your own numbers, what can you believe and how do you make informed decisions?"},{"_id":"W37P4HNZRRAMDFLMD6UADWERUE","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538794},"type":"text","content":"External parties, particularly regulatory authorities, would be particularly aggrieved should anything be found during an audit."},{"_id":"R7TKSVBO3VAGXMXHDGLV3UEK6I","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538795},"type":"text","content":"Is there a route to appealing this change? On the May 16, 2023, the Ministry of Finance issued ministerial decision on transitional rules for corporate tax. This provided guidelines for adjusting a taxable person's opening balance sheet under the corporate tax law."},{"_id":"NHET6GCCU5G4HD26FTYKFBJMYU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538796},"type":"text","content":"Given that there was much reaction and discussion on this at the time, maybe they will entertain approaches that would allow for changes that maintain an entity’s structuring status quo."},{"_id":"Z7B2CAUQUFE2RMVR5CQP5MLWRU","additional_properties":{"_id":1739257538797},"type":"text","content":"Any appeal might best begin by highlighting the benefits to the UAE of regulatory certainty."}],"subheadlines":{"basic":"Some companies have received communications that their financial years for corporate tax reporting purposes are changing 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the Gulf, one of the <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/number-of-ultra-wealthy-people-in-gcc-to-rise-26-over-next-five-years-1.988166\" target=\"_blank\">wealthiest regions globally</a>, the full potential of transformative AI tools is taking shape, yet remains in its early stages. It is critical for the <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/2024/11/28/adgm-draws-more-fund-managers-with-q3-assets-under-management-up-215/\" target=\"_blank\">wealth management industry</a> to ensure that the region’s full potential can be realised by leveraging these tools."},{"_id":"2WZJYOUUIFFTFLRNK4TA62ICU4","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144198},"type":"text","content":"<a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/2024/12/05/middle-east-and-africa-attracted-most-billionaire-wealth-globally-since-covid-19-study-shows/\" target=\"_blank\">Personal wealth in the Middle East and Africa</a> is expected to reach $7.1 trillion by 2026, though 70 per cent of the fortunes of affluent clients are managed offshore, according to Strategy&amp;, the global strategy consulting arm of PwC. There is a significant <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/2024/01/16/dubai-salary-financial-adviser/\" target=\"_blank\">shortage of advisers</a> to support the growing influx of wealthy individuals."},{"_id":"IPCQMYJSFNHGNBFEZVNFLGDWFA","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144199},"type":"text","content":"<a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/2025/01/25/ai-investment-developers/\" target=\"_blank\">Artificial intelligence technologies</a> are disrupting industries worldwide, with media hype touting their game-changing potential while sceptics highlight the risks they potentially pose."},{"subtype":"newslettersignup-composer","_id":"EZLPSQXTT5CX5FG3V43U5P77YM","additional_properties":{"_id":"PFBHYRQMOJA6BDH66YYXWKNQ3M"},"embed":{"id":"y83dt14bvixndvj3","config":{"listId":"6649a7edb0","contentSource":"on-the-money","heading":"On%20The%20Money","imageURL":"https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenationalnews.com%2Fresizer%2FaTBLYWRZ-WlXNx2hnaE07icYi6M%3D%2Farc-photo-thenational%2Feu-central-1-prod%2Fpublic%2FGHMM6MMGKVDP3DL4F6SAPJDNLI.jpg","newsletterURL":"https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenationalnews.com%2Fnewsletters%2Fon-the-money%2F","interests":"c84b108b00","desc":"Make%20money%20work%20for%20you%20with%20news%2C%20features%20and%20expert%20analysis"},"url":"https://thenational-the-national-prod.cdn.arcpublishing.com/newsletter-composer/?_website=the-national&outputType=composer_powerup&k=y83dt14bvixndvj3#SEARCH"},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"YXVLNLNNHVEHZO2R4BUFNNHTS4","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144201},"type":"text","content":"AI adoption in Gulf wealth management companies, however, remains nascent as professionals balance optimism with caution to protect client trust and portfolio integrity."},{"_id":"2D2FOO7AH5HEHJTKGHQ7RQ45YA","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144202},"type":"text","content":"Yet, AI significantly predates the recent media buzz, with the umbrella term charting a progression since the 1980s, from rule-based models to deep learning, creative outputs and real-time decision making, all of which can be leveraged for wealth management."},{"_id":"QICIF3LZXFDBPAO2L5PX2DSRIM","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144203},"type":"text","content":"This, coupled with the region’s growing wealth, offers a significant opportunity that overly cautious companies risk missing."},{"_id":"SYINTQ6ZNVA6PA5FABM6UE7FWM","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144204},"type":"text","content":"In the UAE alone, financial wealth grew by 20 per cent in 2021, reaching $700 billion, with 41 per cent of this wealth held by people with more than $5 million in assets – a sizeable portion of wealth that remains underserved by traditional approaches."},{"_id":"F5GXGCDEWVGWJLS6L4RUIGQPAI","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144205},"type":"text","content":"At the heart of much of AI’s potential is that elusive resource: time. The ability to automate administrative tasks such as data entry or report generation, as well as portfolio construction, rebalancing tools, and financial recommendations and execution enhances productivity. Chatbots eliminate the need for employees to answer routine questions."},{"_id":"KZ6QLVFAIVCQDK63BN4LUROKQ4","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144206},"type":"text","content":"AI also efficiently delivers tailored services that enhance both client and employee experiences. Hyper-personalisation through deeper, real-time insights into client behaviours and preferences, alongside customised communications and educational content helps advisers and customers make more informed recommendations and decisions."},{"_id":"VVXHTKUHDRGQLNJNSTNMCICYJY","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144207},"type":"text","content":"Personalised training tools and practical hands-on experience for new advisers rapidly accelerate their learning, helping to bridge their shortage in the market."},{"_id":"EKXSIWWWJBHJ7AO3ORUYUXGHJQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144208},"type":"text","content":"Finally, AI supports companies’ credibility by automating compliance checks and detecting and assessing compliance risks by identifying patterns and anomalies that can be otherwise missed by human analysts. In sum, AI integration offers superior services without costing precious hours."},{"subtype":"jwplayer","_id":"A6CUZV36OBGO3DK7U7FJYLRRRI","additional_properties":{"_id":"TLNPUTPEGRCX7ITZIENVBHKOWY"},"embed":{"id":"y9cafbq2fnzs6d94","config":{"embed_html":"<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;padding-bottom:56.25%\"><iframe src=\"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/players/jlCQeZal-HxkhlA9A.html\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" style=\"position:absolute\" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>","videoId":"jlCQeZal","videoData":{"duration":69,"image":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/jlCQeZal/poster.jpg?width=720&thumbnail_version=1","display_date":"2025-01-30T12:31:04.000Z","sources":[{"file":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/videos/jlCQeZal-xv27PA1r.mp4","type":"video/mp4"}],"subtype":"jwplayer","headlines":{"basic":"DeepSeek and ChatGPT: how do they compare?"},"subheadlines":{"basic":"With DeepSeek making waves in the AI world, many are wondering if it outperforms ChatGPT. "},"_id":"jlCQeZal","canonical_url":"https://www.thenationalnews.com/video/jlCQeZal/","promo_items":{"basic":{"auth":{"1":"f8cef39b3a5879088242dd73d4395244fafb939eda550df0e0202196379cc1d1","thumbnail_version":"1"},"width":480,"type":"image","url":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/jlCQeZal/poster.jpg?width=480&thumbnail_version=1"}},"type":"video"},"playerId":"Kn3ncmVY"},"url":""},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"A3LRTJZGCBAFNHF43LGIQ5IOEI","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144210},"type":"text","content":"Advocating for AI adoption does not mean ignoring legitimate risks, but rather tackling the challenges that limit companies from realising its benefits."},{"_id":"VFEXBMCVTNDNRKRG2KHCFJEXPE","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144211},"type":"text","content":"Risk aversion itself remains a key hurdle, with concerns about data privacy, security, compliance and transparency resounding throughout the sector."},{"_id":"ZNQLFIIEPJARPNAX7MUUNB4ZQ4","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144212},"type":"text","content":"Companies worry about the “black box” nature of some AI models, fearing they cannot fully explain or control AI-driven decisions. That said, transparency within AI models has made considerable progress recently and robust governance and tailored AI models offer greater security and data privacy than third-party systems that employees can turn to without oversight."},{"_id":"GG3YOLIUKZEC5IH7KB7BCN43BU","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144213},"type":"text","content":"While AI regulatory frameworks are still evolving, the region remains far ahead of the global curve, with most Gulf countries designing and releasing proactive AI strategies, including guidelines around ethics and data security."},{"_id":"UG62AZDVYJDWHB4U3Q6WYGLXMQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144214},"type":"text","content":"Limited understanding and unrealistic expectations, which fuel scepticism and fear of AI, hinder adoption, but can be mitigated by recognising that the technology enhances rather than replaces human expertise."},{"_id":"5PA27MRSVZEDZABB5KTWBC7WRY","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144215},"type":"text","content":"Of course, technological advancements can be challenging to integrate with existing systems, and wealth management firms often struggle with legacy infrastructure. Fortunately, solutions to modernise legacy data are continually improving."},{"_id":"6KF2QE6JXVD6ZBZKM7Z5H7MJTI","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144216},"type":"text","content":"Cultural resistance and market comfort with the status quo also prevent AI use, though companies willing to lead the charge will be viewed as industry pioneers."},{"_id":"KQJ2AM3TXRFZTPEN4PNYUNB2U4","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144217},"type":"text","content":"However, the most serious risk lies in the reality that AI is already commonplace, with a McKinsey global study finding that the use of AI doubled between 2023 and last year and 55 per cent of respondents regularly use generative AI both in and out of work."},{"_id":"J7VQZBVTMRGYXHP5OJIST53ITQ","type":"raw_html","content":"<div><iframe title=\"Can ChatGPT replace financial advisers?\" allowtransparency=\"true\" height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: none; min-width: min(100%, 430px);height:300px;\" scrolling=\"no\" data-name=\"pb-iframe-player\" src=\"https://www.podbean.com/player-v2/?from=embed&pbad=0&i=jwk9j-13a15b9-pb&square=1&share=1&download=1&fonts=Arial&skin=666666&font-color=auto&rtl=0&logo_link=episode_page&btn-skin=3267a3&size=300\" loading=\"lazy\" allowfullscreen=\"\"></iframe></div>"},{"_id":"5URBU6OGXZEKDCOTEMENADHQ6E","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144219},"type":"text","content":"If companies do not proactively adopt AI, employees are likely to turn to unsanctioned applications with the risk of compromising confidentiality agreements or data laws by the inadvertent sharing of sensitive client information."},{"_id":"SQMOSAFJJVAEBKTVXSZHXOYQWM","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144220},"type":"text","content":"AI use is inevitable, and only proper governance mitigates such serious breaches and ensures that outputs generated by AI align with company standards and regulatory requirements."},{"_id":"CHDVFOFD3ZACRLV7ODZUI3P3K4","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144221},"type":"text","content":"So where does this leave the region’s readiness for AI adoption? The UAE was the first country in the world to appoint a Minister for Artificial Intelligence in 2017, long before ChatGPT became common parlance."},{"_id":"Z2QXK5OHI5AO7M7VSGOAO2ISW4","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144222},"type":"text","content":"With robust government backing for AI initiatives and substantial investment in education and infrastructure across the region, wealth management institutions in the Gulf are uniquely positioned to lead in AI adoption globally."},{"_id":"V3TDYG2DE5AA5MZTA3K7MZW5CE","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144223},"type":"text","content":"Governments are also spearheading implementation, offering wealth management firms a key opportunity to align strategies and leverage public-private partnerships to navigate regulations."},{"_id":"7ACSZ4RRCZHDVOPGZOUG3MZIYI","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144224},"type":"text","content":"With intentional implementation, Gulf wealth management firms are not only ready for AI adoption but also poised to set the global standard and capitalise on regional revenue in the process."},{"_id":"JVXYY3CEHJHOZLHKBUGPP4AK5Q","additional_properties":{"_id":1738763144225},"type":"text","content":"<i>Alexis Calla is chief AI officer at Alpheya</i>"}],"subheadlines":{"basic":"The ability to automate administrative tasks and compliance checks enhances productivity and 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style=\"float:left;padding-top:5px;padding-right:10px\"><img height=\"100%\" src=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/resizer/ji6be_nneDIGBKkI8sd7lOt7Gjk=/arc-photo-thenational/eu-central-1-prod/public/YHRBIR3ZEZH7HGOGLVLYK3HRAY.jpg\" width=\"120\" /></div>"},{"_id":"VSVFNB6TBFF65FE6AVYBRVDV74","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008913},"type":"text","content":"<b>Question: </b>I have been approached about <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/2025/01/28/uae-saudi-arabia-jobs-salaries/\" target=\"_blank\">moving to Saudi Arabia</a> to take up a senior role. I am getting conflicting information, so would like to know if I would be able to <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/can-a-woman-sponsor-her-husband-in-dubai-1.880757\" target=\"_blank\">sponsor my husband</a>? I was told by one person that women cannot sponsor their husbands but someone else said it is possible."},{"_id":"TYTR7UMWNFBCHJLYDI7Z534VTE","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008914},"type":"text","content":"I can’t move without my spouse and our young children, so need to know before I make any decisions. <i><b>RC, UK</b></i>"},{"_id":"5NYBDGPOD5CYZDDUL3DD4JIX6Q","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008915},"type":"text","content":"<b>Answer: </b>It can be possible, but it depends on the type of visa and contract that RC is offered. It needs to <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/uae/uae-s-new-visa-sponsorship-rules-to-reunite-families-1.846180\" target=\"_blank\">provide for family sponsorship</a>, so the potential employer needs to confirm that."},{"_id":"XNIHNIB32NG7RAAOL5GB3PIP2U","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008916},"type":"text","content":"The contract of employment must state “family status”. It is extremely hard to change to this if that is not how the initial contract and <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/2024/12/02/can-i-hold-a-uae-golden-visa-and-a-saudi-residence-visa/\" target=\"_blank\">Iqama (residence permit)</a> are set up."},{"_id":"Y3CHVDEGKVFQ3CXDX5V5YCXVWE","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008917},"type":"text","content":"RC can <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/economy/saudi-arabia-approves-special-privilege-residency-law-for-foreigners-1.861712\" target=\"_blank\">apply for residency permits</a> for her husband and children after hers has been issued, and it is always easier if the employer assists. Her husband’s iqama will state that he is not permitted to work. If he wishes to take up employment at some time in the future, he will need to be sponsored by his employer."},{"subtype":"newslettersignup-composer","_id":"O76KD3JGGZAIHGFLCXQNOEO4AE","additional_properties":{"_id":"2MMRBNHYCBEL5DAA33QRVUPMBQ"},"embed":{"id":"hso391frizonoavr","config":{"listId":"6649a7edb0","contentSource":"on-the-money","heading":"On%20The%20Money","imageURL":"https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenationalnews.com%2Fresizer%2FaTBLYWRZ-WlXNx2hnaE07icYi6M%3D%2Farc-photo-thenational%2Feu-central-1-prod%2Fpublic%2FGHMM6MMGKVDP3DL4F6SAPJDNLI.jpg","newsletterURL":"https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenationalnews.com%2Fnewsletters%2Fon-the-money%2F","interests":"c84b108b00","desc":"Make%20money%20work%20for%20you%20with%20news%2C%20features%20and%20expert%20analysis"},"url":"https://thenational-the-national-prod.cdn.arcpublishing.com/newsletter-composer/?_website=the-national&outputType=composer_powerup&k=hso391frizonoavr#SEARCH"},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"PCW2I75QNRBOFEVK6AZQL4CXVE","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008919},"type":"text","content":"<b>Q:</b> My father is due to travel to Abu Dhabi soon to stay with us for a few weeks. He sent us a copy of his passport and there are only five months left before it expires. I was told by a friend that people need six months to enter the UAE, but that sometimes three months is OK."},{"_id":"KHXSO33FJRHG7HFA24IPUAU5Z4","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008920},"type":"text","content":"I’d like to know if he can travel here to visit us without having to renew his passport. <i><b>ON, Abu Dhabi</b></i>"},{"_id":"LQUSBH7MYZH5RJIOMGIXYNDE74","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008921},"type":"text","content":"<b>A:</b> The rules are generally strict regarding having six months’ validity on a passport to enter the UAE, or indeed any country, unless someone has residency or is a citizen."},{"_id":"TR745HTCR5CNHB2BACN5HXP2JA","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008922},"type":"text","content":"As in most of the world, the UAE requires visitors to have a passport with validity of at least six months upon entry. Without that, a person is unlikely to be permitted to check in for the flight as the airlines have initial responsibility and can be fined if they allow someone to board an aircraft without the correct documentation and passport validity."},{"_id":"4D5CNPMGUVGSTHD5TBNF5CSSAI","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008923},"type":"text","content":"I have heard of cases where people have been able to board a non-national carrier and been refused entry at UAE immigration. That is not a risk anyone should take."},{"_id":"FIEWGQIFDRDYFISKWSL3K2B5GE","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008924},"type":"text","content":"There can sometimes be exemptions given for compassionate reasons, but not for a holiday. ON’s father will need to renew his passport before travelling to the UAE."},{"_id":"JBBFQ3QASRAH3JOCC4R6WSUPNQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008925},"type":"text","content":"For expatriates with valid UAE residency visas who wish to enter the UAE, the minimum validity is three months."},{"_id":"37SPS4RETZFKBEO35BK32XQCPE","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008926},"type":"raw_html","content":"<div><iframe title=\"Why the unemployment pay scheme is a vital safety net\" allowtransparency=\"true\" height=\"300\" width=\"100%\" style=\"border: none; min-width: min(100%, 430px);height:300px;\" scrolling=\"no\" data-name=\"pb-iframe-player\" src=\"https://www.podbean.com/player-v2/?from=embed&pbad=0&i=wkzwi-12f6612-pb&square=1&share=1&download=1&fonts=Arial&skin=666666&font-color=auto&rtl=0&logo_link=episode_page&btn-skin=3267a3&size=300\" loading=\"lazy\" allowfullscreen=\"\"></iframe></div>"},{"_id":"ZDP2XQAVWZEOJLQL2ONJE66G7U","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008927},"type":"text","content":"<b>Q:</b> I have resigned from my job and am working through my notice period. I have another job lined up and will start that soon after a short holiday."},{"_id":"S7VCW4ZB7FCZTEJLIMGUE3NVXA","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008928},"type":"text","content":"I don’t want my bank account to be frozen as I have bills to pay. My question is whether my employer has to notify my bank that it is my last payment from them?"},{"_id":"7O2LHC2JWBGE3LLW2467JVETMI","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008929},"type":"text","content":"I also have a small balance outstanding on a credit card. Is there anything I can do to stop my account being frozen? <i><b>AL, Dubai</b></i>"},{"_id":"MTID4TWJPBEOXK6ST5OSLSHZGE","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008930},"type":"text","content":"<b>A:</b> When someone receives their last salary payment before leaving employment, it is standard for the payment to be marked as “final settlement”. Indeed, the employer is obliged to do this, especially when they are aware that someone may have outstanding liabilities, such as a personal loan or other debts."},{"_id":"P6KVKOE5BRC3LBB4Q7WGWX4JKA","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008931},"type":"text","content":"A company can be fined for failing to follow the law. Once a bank is informed of a final salary payment, they are likely to freeze an account, especially where there are outstanding liabilities."},{"_id":"2DIKCX2JNBBP7JURVT44MUKY2Q","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008932},"type":"text","content":"The reason for this is that so many people have withdrawn their money and left the country without repaying what they owe. This course of action reduces the debt problems for banks."},{"_id":"NL5TZKK4GBBPLNZJ524LHKP5CM","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008933},"type":"text","content":"The timescale of a bank unfreezing an account will vary. If there are no debts, then an account should be unfrozen very quickly."},{"content_elements":[{"_id":"2V7NFBYEI5DADD6BBNFHRRIQ4Y","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Where an individual expects an account to be frozen, it would be wise to withdraw some cash before the last salary payment"}],"citation":{"type":"text","content":""},"subtype":"pullquote","_id":"CGPXQX23FZCJVEUKM4RP3KLBRE","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008934},"type":"quote"},{"_id":"GQ3YOKCWDZGTTBUJVCO22WQZZQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008935},"type":"text","content":"Some banks will apply the final salary payment and any end-of-service gratuity against the debt, so AL needs to check the terms of his account."},{"_id":"3LZTLEZGR5FNDNHENJDS7R267I","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008936},"type":"text","content":"Where there is an outstanding debt, certain banks will only unfreeze an account on being shown sight of a new job offer or a new employment visa. Some will not unfreeze an account until the first new salary payment is made."},{"_id":"UJDNZVVEMFBAFA6HUCZNHJGGHI","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008937},"type":"text","content":"In a situation where an individual expects an account to be frozen, it would be wise to withdraw some cash before the last salary payment so that they can manage for a few weeks."},{"_id":"FIBCH72SG5DVFIGZPZNTFGQ5UM","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008938},"type":"text","content":"Having a good relationship with a bank and advising them of circumstances may also be helpful as it shows that there is every intention of repaying the debt and the bank may then be more amenable."},{"_id":"ZEUTB4555BEE7GLOHR2WPE2LC4","additional_properties":{"_id":1738739008939},"type":"text","content":"<i>Contact her at </i><a href=\"mailto:keren@holbornassets.com\"><i>keren@holbornassets.com</i></a><i> or at </i><a 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Views on climate had already caused problems when president and former Texas governor George W Bush left the Kyoto Protocol in 2001, the Senate already having refused to ratify the treaty after Bill Clinton signed it in 1998."},{"_id":"CJ7FC2CL2ZEVTDK6KKO6S7TOEA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Mr Trump withdrew from the Paris Agreement in 2017 and<a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/us/2025/01/21/paris-climate-agreement-trump/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"\" title=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/news/us/2025/01/21/paris-climate-agreement-trump/\"> again this year</a>. This time around, his administration looks not just passive on climate action, but hostile to it."},{"_id":"JUC5BMUD7BEB7MEV5NJAU33STY","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Compliance with Washington’s geopolitical wishes has become increasingly difficult for Europe, Japan and India as economic interests have diverged."},{"_id":"VPJ3FSE2GJBNPOZDJ5BMFUVPOA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The US’s newfound “energy independence” with shale clearly freed president Barack Obama to impose stricter sanctions on Iran than he would have dared politically otherwise. Over-reliance on oil and gas exports was the Achilles heel of the Iranian regime and likewise Venezuela. But it meant less choice of suppliers and higher prices for Europe and East Asia. China, by contrast, benefited from being able to ignore or sidestep most sanctions."},{"_id":"LAMKL6AUUJAPDLS26MOCOOGAKI","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The more states that are sanctioned, the greater the conflict between objectives. The US has opposed Iranian gas supplies to energy-short and politically troubled countries, notably Iraq and Pakistan. In the 2000s, it also opposed a gas pipeline to take gas from Iran and the Caspian region to south-eastern Europe, which would have helped diversify away from Russian gas. More quietly, Washington does not seem to have supported a pipeline to take East Mediterranean gas to Europe."},{"subtype":"jwplayer","_id":"F74HKOA5TRFODCQPC7SKNLUPGM","embed":{"id":"9av2g42y0jhflucw","config":{"embed_html":"<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;padding-bottom:56.25%\"><iframe src=\"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/players/jjUDeZAZ-HxkhlA9A.html\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" style=\"position:absolute\" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>","videoId":"jjUDeZAZ","videoData":{"duration":44,"image":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/jjUDeZAZ/poster.jpg?width=720&thumbnail_version=1","display_date":"2025-02-04T21:58:36.000Z","sources":[{"file":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/videos/jjUDeZAZ-xv27PA1r.mp4","type":"video/mp4"}],"subtype":"jwplayer","headlines":{"basic":"Trump enforces maximum pressure on Iran"},"subheadlines":{"basic":"US President signs executive order imposing sanctions on Iran but is optimistic they can negotiate a deal.\n"},"_id":"jjUDeZAZ","canonical_url":"https://www.thenationalnews.com/video/jjUDeZAZ/","promo_items":{"basic":{"auth":{"1":"349247366818ca12aa499a70c78661f96f69ae1eccced4b2d10f6b4403f5d0f3","thumbnail_version":"1"},"width":480,"type":"image","url":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/jjUDeZAZ/poster.jpg?width=480&thumbnail_version=1"}},"type":"video"},"playerId":"Kn3ncmVY"},"url":""},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"P4DGXN6QD5A2NDNC5FU5FX7FYE","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"US sanctions have also heavily restricted Iran’s oil sector, to the point that its only paying customer is China. Attempts at normalisation with Iran have repeatedly been torpedoed by hardliners, in Tehran, but more in Washington. Now, Tehran sits firmly in the Beijing-Moscow camp, helping to arm Russia against Ukraine."},{"_id":"AORN2NXDMJFLLMPYEBEQRRMD3U","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Mr Trump posted in December, “I told the European Union that they must make up their tremendous deficit with the United States by the large scale purchase of our oil and gas. Otherwise, it is TARIFFS all the way!!!”. But those imports, as well as undermining European climate policy, would make the continent more vulnerable to being squeezed on other issues."},{"_id":"RV54S7FNR5HK7CSVISKZH4TAHI","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The second group under pressure are the US’s energy-exporting neighbours, Canada and Mexico. On 1 February, Mr Trump announced heavy tariffs on both countries. Tied in by an intricate network of pipelines, terminals and electricity cables, they form an integrated North American energy bloc which is a key part of the US’s competitive advantage."},{"_id":"4MMZSKI3XFES5IO2GGYOAJXPCQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Although the tariffs have now been paused for a month, the shock reminds Ottawa and Mexico City of their acute dependence on their neighbour. The countries, especially Canada, are now looking for other access to world markets."},{"subtype":"jwplayer","_id":"YONTKT7BMZHDJBVFSUWCEBOYPY","embed":{"id":"9av2g42y0jhflucw","config":{"embed_html":"<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;padding-bottom:56.25%\"><iframe src=\"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/players/PVALFNLc-HxkhlA9A.html\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" style=\"position:absolute\" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>","videoId":"PVALFNLc","videoData":{"duration":59,"image":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/PVALFNLc/poster.jpg?width=720&thumbnail_version=1","display_date":"2025-02-02T06:43:04.000Z","sources":[{"file":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/videos/PVALFNLc-xv27PA1r.mp4","type":"video/mp4"}],"subtype":"jwplayer","headlines":{"basic":"Canada and Mexico hit back after Trump imposes heavy tariffs "},"subheadlines":{"basic":"US President Donald Trump has signed executive orders imposing heavy tariffs on goods imported from Mexico, Canada and China. 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Still, they have had to cut back oil output repeatedly and tolerate lower prices to cope with competition from shale."},{"_id":"YS542UVISFCZ3ERG6Y3AVECLY4","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"They have somewhat benefited from US measures against some of their competitors. But even here, they are vulnerable to capricious politics. In 2018, Mr Trump demanded higher production from Opec during his campaign against Iranian oil exports, but that November, he gave exemptions to eight countries, causing oil prices to plummet by more than $30 per barrel."},{"_id":"TS74GXZCZBDR5KPQGQZYRFNYSM","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"In early 2020, he encouraged Opec+ to take action to increase prices in the face of the demand collapse caused by the Covid pandemic, but last month he exhorted the organisation to cut prices, saying it would bring an end to the Russia-Ukraine war."},{"_id":"N5IQNJVZQFE2NL73ALKIHUGBPM","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The fact is, no one wants to be “dominated” by an energy partner, and the suggestion causes them quickly to look for alternatives. Canada can construct new pipelines to its Pacific and Atlantic coasts. Europe, China and Japan can accelerate their adoption of renewables, nuclear power and electric vehicles to cut oil and gas imports. China can buy more gas from Russia and Central Asia, and develop unconventional resources at home."},{"_id":"CZLP72AWUNAPHDRDHZO3HXLNSI","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"In particular, Europe, Japan, India and China can co-operate. They have common interests in accelerating the adoption of low-carbon energies. Crucial here is to benefit from China’s manufacturing excellence while reducing its dominance. The Gulf, as a potential low-carbon provider of energy-intensive materials, could be a vital partner."},{"_id":"RMB6SSZLIVCABF3UXBHLXQPRWI","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"It would help Europe to have the ability to work with the US on sanctions when it wishes, as on Russia, but to avoid them at other times."},{"_id":"BFPPGIHCRZB3LKXD4ZOAI44QII","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Perhaps, though, the most crucial realignment is psychological. All the world’s key energy poles, of exports and imports, need to be able to look after their own interests, by collaboration where possible, co-operation where necessary. Opec+, a widening of the traditional organisation, is one example."},{"_id":"HNCR3QL3ZNDZ7MSP5F2P2MIU7Y","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Europe should not swap one energy subordination, to the Kremlin, for another, to the White House, whether it houses Mr Bush, Mr Obama, Mr Biden or Mr Trump. America’s friends don’t need to become America’s enemies, but they do not need to accept domination either."},{"_id":"BIY2CAEKF5DFXLWTKWYP5QXC6M","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"<i>Robin M Mills is chief executive of Qamar Energy, and author of The Myth of the Oil Crisis </i>"}],"subheadlines":{"basic":"The current willingness of Washington to ride rough-shod over its allies’ interests is not a novelty but an acceleration of past 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The company has since recouped some of those market losses."},{"_id":"TBJJ5M5ZLRBPPIAT24ZLNDNG3A","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The Chinese group claimed its generative AI chatbot rivals the best efforts of <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/2024/12/27/openai-considers-shift-to-for-profit-corporate-structure/\" target=\"_blank\">OpenAI</a>, Anthropic and Meta – achieving comparable performance, but with a fraction of the computing power and fewer chips from Nvidia, significantly lowering the costs of development."},{"_id":"6YZCOBRKQNANRJOFLHC2WTCISA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"DeepSeek's rise is set to accelerate the drive to build national AI infrastructure and models – known as “sovereign AI” – given their perceived greater accessibility as a hedge against technological dependency on other countries."},{"_id":"QGWSX4GACNB5LHN2Z7FI3BSSTQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Already, governments worldwide are pouring billions into supercomputers and proprietary AI models.<b> </b><a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/2025/01/26/is-nvidias-reign-over-ai-chips-at-risk-with-focus-on-high-end-gpus/\" target=\"_blank\">Nvidia</a>, which became the world’s most valuable company last year on the back of insatiable demand for its AI processors,<b> </b>already derives 10 per cent of its revenue from supplying chips to countries building their own infrastructure."},{"subtype":"jwplayer","_id":"GSQ3OCSA6RCWHOCCEBABUR22WY","additional_properties":{"_id":"67ZD52GN6JF5FDHZGVTO2VCKQA"},"embed":{"id":"cohqip6dfjglcjfa","config":{"embed_html":"<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;padding-bottom:56.25%\"><iframe src=\"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/players/ols0ISFO-HxkhlA9A.html\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" style=\"position:absolute\" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>","videoId":"ols0ISFO","videoData":{"duration":75,"image":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/ols0ISFO/poster.jpg?width=720&thumbnail_version=1","display_date":"2025-01-28T08:38:23.000Z","sources":[{"file":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/videos/ols0ISFO-xv27PA1r.mp4","type":"video/mp4"}],"subtype":"jwplayer","headlines":{"basic":"What is DeepSeek and why is it disrupting the AI sector?"},"subheadlines":{"basic":"US President Donald Trump says release of DeepSeek AI by Chinese company should be 'a wake-up call'"},"_id":"ols0ISFO","canonical_url":"https://www.thenationalnews.com/video/ols0ISFO/","promo_items":{"basic":{"auth":{"1":"1f9bfbaea474fb03a29cc5dd8de95dfd54e92543ecd84fd55c4b9b90549cfb6b","thumbnail_version":"1"},"width":480,"type":"image","url":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/ols0ISFO/poster.jpg?width=480&thumbnail_version=1"}},"type":"video"},"playerId":"Kn3ncmVY"},"url":""},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"LJFYYAJDPNDI5BWE52PILDWRYE","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"That figure is likely to climb sharply, as more nations treat AI as a strategic asset.<b> </b>The launch of the DeepSeek-R1 model and its ascent to the top of the Apple’s App Store underscores a broader decentralisation. Control is slipping away from Silicon Valley’s dominant players – notably OpenAI and Anthropic – as more nations and enterprises develop their own AI systems."},{"_id":"FHRC4DO7DJB6PFOYUWXGA2MO3M","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Underpinning this shift are the “open” models, not only DeepSeek’s latest release but also Meta’s Llama, which make their code and architecture publicly available, allowing anyone to modify, improve and fine-tune them to meet their specific needs."},{"_id":"WGXUG6SIOJDJ3IXCF3FKICFG24","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Open models will be attractive to countries that fear dependency on foreign-controlled AI infrastructure could become a national security risk. This concern has prompted the US to tighten export controls on advanced computer chips. Similarly, China has introduced its own export restrictions to protect its technological assets."},{"_id":"E5HLBHTNXFC4TGGPH3EPDIY36Y","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The result of these measures is a world where nations are less willing to rely on foreign AI, fearing they could one day be cut off from critical technology at the flick of a switch. Enter sovereign AI."},{"_id":"37UMDEVKMNGE5G2ACKMIKTQNE4","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"A good example is <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/future/technology/2025/01/21/stargate-openai-oracle-and-softbank-to-launch-new-ai-venture/\" target=\"_blank\">Stargate</a>, a high-profile AI infrastructure project valued at up to $500 billion, which aims to develop colossal data centres in the US, with companies including OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle. Trump recently called the project a “declaration of confidence in America”."},{"_id":"U735EWCCMNEPXMJUBRHUALTS7U","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"China, meanwhile, is urging local companies to buy AI chips from national champion Huawei, to curb reliance on Nvidia, based in California, which remains constrained by US export controls."},{"_id":"QE6KEIEIO5H6VLKD54P5MYZBYQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"What these geopolitical moves show is that the AI arms race is no longer just about who builds the best models – it is about who controls the infrastructure behind them."},{"_id":"EDLJGQZPFZHVVJLR2R2CTODPNI","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"But this battle to control the architecture underpinning AI is not confined to the US and China; it has become a multipolar fight.<b> </b>India is investing heavily in the “IndiaAI Mission” to develop large language models, semiconductor manufacturing and cloud solutions."},{"_id":"RCL55SPOTNBS7PIVFERDTTCTLI","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Japan, too, is ramping up its investment in domestic AI and supercomputing, to bolster national capabilities and reduce reliance on foreign technology."},{"_id":"33SGZ2BFBJGX3E6OEILSPMQCL4","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"On top of that, the UAE is establishing itself as a regional powerhouse in AI, with a sharp focus on developing Arabic-language models, such as Falcon. Saudi Arabia has pledged to spend $40 billion on AI models, <a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-arabia-plans-40-bln-push-into-artificial-intelligence-nyt-reports-2024-03-19/\" target=\"_blank\">reports suggest</a>."},{"_id":"FC46IFXDU5HYFL5UKZ3ARFFYRU","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The EU has also taken steps to bolster its AI infrastructure with initiatives like LUMI, one of the continent’s most powerful supercomputers, based in Finland. But these efforts are still in their early stages. While the EU arguably leads in progressive AI legislation, its regulatory-heavy approach could prove more of a constraint than a catalyst for sovereign AI development."},{"_id":"P35S3VUCKNHF5CQL3ZINT3FYKE","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Still, these global projects mark a big shift in the thinking about AI. For years, the assumption was that building a world-class generative AI model required vast sums of money, cutting-edge computing infrastructure, gargantuan data sets and deep talent pools."},{"_id":"7CQCSJLTO5BC7ANJISUM3O7CXU","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"DeepSeek and other open AI pioneers have upended that thinking. The Chinese company’s new model has demonstrated that high-performance AI can be built at a fraction of the price and time once thought necessary. And crucially, it’s open."},{"_id":"OEEVDWTUFFGMFOHSWOK73T54XY","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"For smaller nations, this changes everything. Suddenly, the barriers to entry have been lowered. Governments that once saw AI self-sufficiency as a pipe dream can now consider the possibility of building their own national AI infrastructure. This is because these open models lower the cost, increase the flexibility and widen access to advanced AI technology."},{"_id":"56YMFMRA4NDBTANLYXDU2YWKTU","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"And that has major implications for multinational companies doing business in these countries. As nations push for sovereign AI and assert tighter control over their digital infrastructure, companies will face new challenges in deploying AI across different regions."},{"_id":"7C4PIHSY55GDNALG2H2UEGRXIA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Governments increasingly see AI as a strategic asset, leading to stricter regulations, data localisation requirements and trade restrictions that limit access to key technologies.<b> </b>This can be seen in measures like China’s restrictions on exporting advanced AI models, and America’s ban on selling high-end chips to Chinese firms."},{"_id":"4ETB6NROIFEDNA2TO5H43F6J3Y","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Despite these regulatory hurdles, the AI industry is unlikely to become completely fragmented. Instead, a hybrid model could emerge, where certain elements − such as semiconductor manufacturing and cloud computing − remain part of a global supply chain, because no single country can fully control AI infrastructure."},{"_id":"N3QLCXKRI5GFBLV7FSCQIKKCJQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The production of high-end chips relies on specialised expertise and supply chains spanning the US, Taiwan, South Korea and the Netherlands. Cloud services, dominated by US companies like Amazon, Microsoft and Google, require massive global data centres that few nations can replicate at scale."},{"subtype":"newslettersignup-composer","_id":"DUTILJQDTVBEFAN3HFKC65EI5M","additional_properties":{"_id":"CGKQMLLFZNF3TI2ZGL7RRVJQJQ"},"embed":{"id":"zn67oxhlpj1gvwxm","config":{"listId":"6649a7edb0","contentSource":"future-beat","heading":"Future%20Beat","imageURL":"https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenationalnews.com%2Fresizer%2Foepxdhm29c2oJk6ZjVJwJFhh3t8%3D%2Farc-photo-thenational%2Feu-central-1-prod%2Fpublic%2FD675RGM2TJGONDXACSIJ42ETGM.jpg","newsletterURL":"https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenationalnews.com%2Fnewsletters%2Ffuture-beat%2F","interests":"d81f136d9f","desc":"Your%20weekly%20round-up%20of%20the%20stories%20shaping%20tomorrow's%20world"},"url":"https://thenational-the-national-prod.cdn.arcpublishing.com/newsletter-composer/?_website=the-national&outputType=composer_powerup&k=zn67oxhlpj1gvwxm#SEARCH"},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"BVEUXFWPCZD53EBELMOE6TRQKU","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"While governments push for AI sovereignty, the sheer cost and technical barriers of developing entirely self-sufficient AI ecosystems ensure that some degree of interdependence will persist."},{"_id":"VDCXFJQVI5E7PO4U2SO5646WMM","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"With that said, regional customisation is becoming more important, as governments demand AI systems that reflect local laws, cultural norms and economic policies.<b> </b>In India, AI models must accommodate local languages and data sovereignty laws, while Gulf nations are investing in Arabic-language AI to serve regional markets."},{"_id":"DUVOK4O4GJBPPGFH5NNU42CQ6Y","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"But there is still a fundamental change occurring: more players are entering the AI game, spurred on by DeepSeek’s breakthrough."},{"_id":"BQJWO35PC5DBXFATSTCV3DGXVA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"And as the lines between economic power, national security and technological supremacy continue to blur, one thing is clear: the fight for AI 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bond is a <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/comment/2023/04/14/has-the-banking-crisis-changed-the-outlook-for-fixed-income/\" target=\"_blank\">fixed-income instrument</a> where a person lends money to a government or a company at a particular interest rate for a fixed time. The entity repays individuals with interest in addition to the original <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/markets/2023/10/15/great-crash-a-sell-off-in-bonds-that-points-to-stock-market-turmoil/\" target=\"_blank\">face value of the bond</a>."},{"_id":"NEL363ILYRHJLCOEXYYPYG252E","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372632},"type":"text","content":"<a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/2025/01/01/bitcoin-stocks-investment-2025/\" target=\"_blank\">Bond yields</a> are inversely related to bond prices, meaning if yields are up, the value of the bond declines and vice versa. This relationship between yield and prices can be further explained by duration. Duration describes how much a bond’s price will rise or fall with a change in interest rates."},{"_id":"V2ZP3N2ZE5FMXPBCT3C3VUHOBM","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372633},"type":"text","content":"Bonds are usually used as <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/2023/05/05/how-alternative-investments-can-help-generate-steady-income/\" target=\"_blank\">diversifiers in a portfolio</a> as they help reduce risk during market downturns. Bonds can have varying maturity, ranging from a few months to years."},{"subtype":"newslettersignup-composer","_id":"6BFLO2RMGRA4PBSJZBFYBST2LQ","additional_properties":{"_id":"TSJKWQ2POJAGNCE5XFGT23L3VM"},"embed":{"id":"8bry2wd9pe7ajurs","config":{"listId":"6649a7edb0","contentSource":"on-the-money","heading":"On%20The%20Money","imageURL":"https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenationalnews.com%2Fresizer%2FaTBLYWRZ-WlXNx2hnaE07icYi6M%3D%2Farc-photo-thenational%2Feu-central-1-prod%2Fpublic%2FGHMM6MMGKVDP3DL4F6SAPJDNLI.jpg","newsletterURL":"https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thenationalnews.com%2Fnewsletters%2Fon-the-money%2F","interests":"c84b108b00","desc":"Make%20money%20work%20for%20you%20with%20news%2C%20features%20and%20expert%20analysis"},"url":"https://thenational-the-national-prod.cdn.arcpublishing.com/newsletter-composer/?_website=the-national&outputType=composer_powerup&k=8bry2wd9pe7ajurs#SEARCH"},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"PGSTPFVD5ZC35HFBWV7BBGMOUM","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372635},"type":"text","content":"Here, we will look into short-term <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/markets/2024/10/11/can-europes-unified-bond-compete-with-us-treasuries/\" target=\"_blank\">government bonds</a> (one to three years) and long-term US government bonds (10 to 30 years)."},{"level":2,"_id":"C7DTG4V4ZRDGHN6TUAI5SFD6H4","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372636},"type":"header","content":"<b>Short-term bonds vs long-term bonds</b>"},{"_id":"KL536GAWERHJ5ACQ45VT7J57AI","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372637},"type":"text","content":"<b>Interest rate sensitivity:</b> Short-term bonds are less affected by interest rate changes due to their shorter maturity and, hence, lower duration. As they are paid off in just a few years, they leave a very limited window for default or large price fluctuations. Therefore, these funds are considered low-risk, low-volatility instruments and are preferred by investors when they believe rates have not topped off or will stay high. On the other hand, long-term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and have higher duration. That’s because the longer the maturity, the higher the potential for large price fluctuations, given interest rate changes. These bonds are preferred by investors when rates are believed to have topped off and a cutting cycle will start soon."},{"_id":"DVCMSK2X45EK5GNB4UURW4E4HM","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372638},"type":"text","content":"<b>Liquidity:</b> Short-term bonds are generally more liquid than long-term bonds, meaning they can be bought or sold more easily. That’s because the market for short-term bonds is more active. Long-term bonds can be less liquid, especially during economic uncertainty or market volatility, as seen currently."},{"_id":"QLMQJXFZARDVBJO745EAZ3IYTA","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372639},"type":"text","content":"Some of the best performing short-term bond funds are iShares 1-3 years Treasury Bonds ETF (SHY), Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF (SCHO) and Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH). These exchange-traded funds have large assets under management, a low expense ratio and strong overall performance. For context, the above-mentioned ETFs have given a total return of approximately 4 per cent over one year compared to -3 per cent return of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)."},{"level":2,"_id":"UGHQB5JBKBF2RIFX76YUVX3POQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372640},"type":"header","content":"<b>The investment opportunity</b>"},{"_id":"2NPKR5Q7FVGXBFWKIHN6BQNQ4M","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372641},"type":"text","content":"In September 2024, the US Federal Reserve began its first rate cut in four years, bringing the target rate to 4.25 per cent to 4.5 per cent by December. The outlook for 2025 predicts stronger growth and lower unemployment. However, the inflation forecast was raised from 2.2 per cent to 2.5 per cent, higher than the Fed's target of 2 per cent."},{"_id":"3CI3FKJLU5AGPDAWWTJBKCUEDQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372642},"type":"text","content":"Given the current market conditions, it is estimated that US yields are likely to stay high, within a range of 4 per cent to 4.75 per cent for the coming year, according to Morgan Stanley. With solid economic growth, a stable unemployment rate and sticky inflation expectations, enthusiasm for long-duration bonds has reduced as rate-cut expectations for the year have come down. Markets now have a wait-and-watch approach as they evaluate economic conditions and the likely impact of US President Donald Trump's policies, with around two rate cuts priced in by the markets."},{"subtype":"jwplayer","_id":"PMI6ZITIOJBK7GORRLPMKY6MCI","additional_properties":{"_id":"D3A33UA3NVHJLO4VAKGIQSY6DE"},"embed":{"id":"8ccsa3avnikozcg3","config":{"embed_html":"<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;padding-bottom:56.25%\"><iframe src=\"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/players/9S9FCmzM-HxkhlA9A.html\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" style=\"position:absolute\" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>","videoId":"9S9FCmzM","videoData":{"duration":115,"image":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/9S9FCmzM/poster.jpg?width=720&thumbnail_version=2","display_date":"2024-12-18T07:40:42.000Z","sources":[{"file":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/videos/9S9FCmzM-xv27PA1r.mp4","type":"video/mp4"}],"subtype":"jwplayer","headlines":{"basic":"Where to invest in 2025 "},"subheadlines":{"basic":"Let’s take a look at the trends likely to shape the investment landscape next year. This should not be considered investment advice. "},"_id":"9S9FCmzM","canonical_url":"https://www.thenationalnews.com/video/9S9FCmzM/","promo_items":{"basic":{"auth":{"1":"8ff737b86f16ec1b048e8f4174eb0836992c5330eb3142b78c75e655bf761396","thumbnail_version":"2"},"width":480,"type":"image","url":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/9S9FCmzM/poster.jpg?width=480&thumbnail_version=2"}},"type":"video"},"playerId":"Kn3ncmVY"},"url":""},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"BGO7ZOR7CJGUZLPIGC2LN5DE5U","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372644},"type":"text","content":"Moreover, the US government is running a deficit (spending more than earnings in taxes) of almost $2 trillion and is expected to continue to do so. Hence, it would need to issue bonds to fund this deficit, a large portion of which would be long-maturity bonds (10 to 30 years). An increased supply of long-dated bonds would put downward pressure on prices and keep rates on longer-term bonds high."},{"_id":"OBKEEIWOUJFVTK2QIUNGWQ3EWM","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372645},"type":"text","content":"Additionally, investors are asking for higher returns on long-term bonds because they want to be compensated for risks like inflation or changes in the economy over time. Moreover, it is expected that the rates on 10-year bonds could rise by about 1.3 per cent, further putting pressure on long-term bond prices."},{"_id":"HH3FZXF3MZF7FOI4AVIK5MWLZE","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372646},"type":"text","content":"All these factors together suggest that yields on long-term bonds are likely to stay elevated and volatile in the coming months, making short-term bonds a compelling investment option."},{"_id":"42GXMUHUFRBJNJKIYOZXI75IAU","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372648},"type":"text","content":"Moreover, investing in short-duration funds provides investors with the potential for consistent income while maintaining flexibility during uncertain times and can also help to lock in higher yields."},{"_id":"6M6ADOG3X5CAFGDRAL5A7T5KXI","additional_properties":{"_id":1738056372649},"type":"text","content":"<i>Vijay Valecha is chief investment officer at Century Financial</i>"}],"subheadlines":{"basic":"Solid US economic growth, stable unemployment and sticky inflation dampen investor appetite for long-duration 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are <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/markets/2025/01/21/stocks-remain-jittery-and-oil-swings-as-markets-anticipate-trump-tariffs/\" target=\"_blank\">world stocks heading in 2025</a>? From Dubai’s towers to Wall Street’s old exchange, an entire industry tries divining answers. But in my more than half a century managing money, I have learnt a basic central truth: forecasting is always about identifying something key that others miss or cannot fathom."},{"_id":"GAC5T5VJY5GL5L5PCVPSNZOTQM","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"After much deliberation, it leads me to this conclusion: World <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/business/money/2025/01/01/bitcoin-stocks-investment-2025/\" target=\"_blank\">markets are set to boom</a> yet again in 2025, led by, surprisingly, Europe. 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A single price – more accurate than anyone could conjure alone – results."},{"_id":"A47IRGPMCVGI5F527AGWN3RRIQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"So, forecasting requires seeing things markets and the crowd have not weighed yet, reflecting a spread between expectations and future realities: surprises."},{"_id":"T5DWQK2RAZG7DDTT47SYE7LJAU","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Most forecasters examine recent trends, extrapolating them forward. Or forecast the reverse, self-congratulating their “contrarian” views. That is all too simple."},{"_id":"BQBUTX6PDNFY7MEXDYUKWFM65Y","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"You must weigh the spectrum of possible outcomes. Seek what others miss, then assign probabilities. If one scenario dominates, it is the forecast. That brings us to 2025."},{"_id":"F2GRHAUV3ZFB7LIB5WBOCTGBFA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"In December, I envisioned three potential outcomes with similar likelihoods. A haze clouded them. Those three were: a minor decline, a small single-digit positive year, or another big year like 2023 and 2024. But clarity came when I could measure European sentiment – making the big year most likely with stocks soaring again."},{"_id":"425MKCJEZFG4ZDDC3BPYXWXDNE","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Why? First, big gains would shock most investors. America’s S&amp;P 500 has not logged three straight 20 per cent-plus years since the late 1990s. Of 59 professional forecasters’ 2025 US market outlooks, only two top 20 per cent – one was a recent upward revision. Surprise power makes big returns likelier."},{"_id":"VEPI6A3W2JENDMUTFGI2LI36QQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Also, in the last 100 years, US stocks rose in 60 per cent of presidential inaugural years, like 2025. When up, inaugural years are usually huge. With business fundamentals healthy, earnings will climb. High correlations and America’s huge footprint push this positivity globally."},{"subtype":"jwplayer","_id":"UEFRJOC6PBHDRMXN62KRH5GXW4","additional_properties":{"_id":"DMJDVQ2ZTZDZBJ4I5QRGBJZVIA"},"embed":{"id":"l62gr2i90wkftfkq","config":{"embed_html":"<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;padding-bottom:56.25%\"><iframe src=\"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/players/9S9FCmzM-HxkhlA9A.html\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" style=\"position:absolute\" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>","videoId":"9S9FCmzM","videoData":{"duration":115,"image":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/9S9FCmzM/poster.jpg?width=720&thumbnail_version=2","display_date":"2024-12-18T07:40:42.000Z","sources":[{"file":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/videos/9S9FCmzM-xv27PA1r.mp4","type":"video/mp4"}],"subtype":"jwplayer","headlines":{"basic":"Where to invest in 2025 "},"subheadlines":{"basic":"Let’s take a look at the trends likely to shape the investment landscape next year. This should not be considered investment advice. "},"_id":"9S9FCmzM","canonical_url":"https://www.thenationalnews.com/video/9S9FCmzM/","promo_items":{"basic":{"auth":{"1":"8ff737b86f16ec1b048e8f4174eb0836992c5330eb3142b78c75e655bf761396","thumbnail_version":"2"},"width":480,"type":"image","url":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/9S9FCmzM/poster.jpg?width=480&thumbnail_version=2"}},"type":"video"},"playerId":"Kn3ncmVY"},"url":""},"type":"custom_embed"},{"_id":"2PY3AUVSHREOLDEHURYOFY6H3M","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"But the biggest swing factor is sentiment. Since US President Donald Trump won November’s vote, US investors have grown more optimistic as allegedly “pro-business” Republicans took the White House and Congress. But Europeans could not be much more pessimistic – excessively so. They are on average vastly more depressed than Americans are optimistic."},{"_id":"QJCJOGHXEREJ7BXX4TQTNPYRSY","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Hence, even moderate non-US gross domestic product growth, particularly European, would bring huge positive surprise. They are just more sensitive."},{"_id":"IJ6RZAQ6XFAKFPGHHNQ56YF3L4","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Decades ago, behaviouralists proved American investors hate losses two-and-a-half times as much as they enjoy equivalent gains. In related work with my then research partner Meir Statman, I learnt German and British investors hate losses more sharply – perhaps four-to-one and six-to-one. Europeans are more risk-averse than Americans. Hence, many Europeans skitter readily."},{"_id":"KKESSISLH5GXXJSDDWR5YNICHM","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Today, Trump Terror pervades Europeans. His trade policy has them tariff-ied – see Davos with questions, or any European finance minister."},{"_id":"FJB65S3IKBFC7AJZ7TFG6VDVTU","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Beyond US trade policy, local political chaos and faltering German and French growth compound Europe’s dourness. Fear of the rise of fringe parties has many fretting anti-EU movements. This pessimism extends the “Wall of Worry” that bull markets legendarily love to climb. It facilitates relief, rendering positive surprise."},{"_id":"A465UP3PVFG6LAUJ3YLFTCL5NU","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Take tariffs. They may never happen. Remember threats to tax EU auto exports in Mr Trump’s first term? Like many others, they were bargaining chips aimed at inking deals. Even if tariffs come, only 16 per cent of EU goods exports go to America."},{"_id":"WCNK6QJFTVBDBEH2CNTBRVNVS4","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Most service industries, which dominate developed economies including the EU, would see only minor effects. If tariffs are not universal, Mr Trump’s first-term volleys prove they are easily dodged via brokering through another country, with abundant room for relief."},{"content_elements":[{"_id":"3BBCHJ5PUZEVBE7NZGSFSMPDBA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Europe sees itself as a no-growth quagmire, dogged by “sick man” Germany, so even minor growth will positively surprise"}],"citation":{"type":"text","content":""},"subtype":"pullquote","_id":"3HIMELWA7RFMTIP6TUQ25CCBSY","type":"quote"},{"_id":"UOGIFWEFSREBBLNGNWKTCDCUNI","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Economically, Europe sees itself as a no-growth quagmire, dogged by “sick man” Germany, so even minor growth will positively surprise – like in 2024."},{"_id":"CBEHGXNDJFFCRFINFXDSEJCL4M","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Political uncertainty is high ahead of Germany’s vote and with France’s government teetering. Anticipate elections and horse trading delivering more gridlock – particularly as fringe parties do well, creating cumbersome coalitions – bullish!"},{"_id":"FJQH5TPKCJBZ3BBUZ3WYUJG5TQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Inherently tied to European leadership, value stocks (those more economically sensitive and cheaper by valuation metrics), should outshine growth – for the first sustained time in years."},{"_id":"GDQSSD77WBGZNAYTOSHW2JALZE","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Why “inherently”? America and growth stocks are intertwined. Growth-heavy tech and communication services sectors total more than 40 per cent of the S&amp;P 500 – almost none of Europe."},{"_id":"BFLOFZ22NVBZXCLMQJHWESZEEM","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Hence, when growth stocks trail, as evidenced by the Nasdaq lagging the S&amp;P 500, US stocks tend to lag value-heavy Europe."},{"_id":"N3J5572PVJBX5GGW4YMKZIFS4I","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Shhh! That is happening now. This year to January 29, MSCI’s Europe Index, up 6.1 per cent, leads the S&amp;P 500’s 3.1 per cent, which leads the Nasdaq’s 1.6 per cent (all in US dollars). And few see it – giving that rally staying power."},{"_id":"U3QWKCGIHJAZVFSJFUARTBQZKA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Morbid Europe outperforming exceptional America in a booming year? That would shock nearly everyone. 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israel gaza hostages palestinian detainees","mobile":"Israel delays release of Palestinians after Gaza hostages are freed","basic":"Latest: Israel delays release of Palestinians after Gaza hostages are 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Merlier completed <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/2025/02/21/uae-tour-tim-merlier-claims-stage-5-as-tadej-pogacar-extends-overall-lead/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"\" title=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/2025/02/21/uae-tour-tim-merlier-claims-stage-5-as-tadej-pogacar-extends-overall-lead/\">back-to-back victories </a>by taking the penultimate stage 6 victory in the <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/2025/02/16/tadej-pogacar-super-eager-as-he-returns-to-uae-tour-after-spectacular-2024/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"\" title=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/2025/02/16/tadej-pogacar-super-eager-as-he-returns-to-uae-tour-after-spectacular-2024/\">UAE Tour</a> at the Abu Dhabi Breakwater on Tuesday."},{"_id":"7CTRV6BE6BCPTDROJM2CS2Q56Y","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The Soudal-QuickStep rider came around the two sprint trains to go clear of Jasper Philipsen and double stage winner Jonathan Milan to secure his seventh UAE Tour stage win."},{"_id":"JWUW7KJV5ZF7BLCEWZF46RKSJA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The finish came after a variety of sprint teams fought to control the closing stages in the 165km route from Abu Dhabi Cycling Club to the Breakwater."},{"_id":"NYAEKMPXNRDO5DIQSMVI7D5CVQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"“I was in the washing machine, like they say. I found a gap at 300 metres to go and tried to surprise the others. The headwind was a really long effort, so I'm suffering,” Merlier said after the finish."},{"_id":"Y7VGV3E5DJB3BEFQQQMXK3FSEM","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"“It was really difficult to organise. Also, my lead-out crashed yesterday so maybe it wasn't a good idea to do real work today. But we tried what we could. We lost each other at 1.9km to go."},{"subtype":"twitter","referent":{"referent_properties":{},"provider":"https://publish.x.com/oembed?url=","service":"oembed","id":"https://x.com/uae_tour/status/1893293221607845984","type":"twitter"},"_id":"KMEIYPOKB5DJNK57EW3UHCZBAQ","raw_oembed":{"author_name":"UAE Tour Official","author_url":"https://twitter.com/uae_tour","cache_age":"3153600000","width":550,"html":"<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">WHAT AN ATTACK! <br><br>Back to back stage wins for <a href=\"https://twitter.com/soudalquickstep?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@soudalquickstep</a>, <a href=\"https://twitter.com/MerlierTim?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@MerlierTim</a>, as the European Champion finds the extra pace needed on the final straight. <a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/UAETour?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#UAETour</a> <a href=\"https://t.co/yBMREKAvg5\">pic.twitter.com/yBMREKAvg5</a></p>&mdash; UAE Tour Official (@uae_tour) <a href=\"https://twitter.com/uae_tour/status/1893293221607845984?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 22, 2025</a></blockquote>\n<script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n\n","provider_url":"https://twitter.com","_id":"https://x.com/uae_tour/status/1893293221607845984","type":"twitter","provider_name":"Twitter","version":"1.0","url":"https://twitter.com/uae_tour/status/1893293221607845984","height":null},"type":"oembed_response"},{"_id":"XLJ4WQ4JTVCOPDWBDSZYSPAKWE","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"“I was boxed in, boxed in, boxed in all the time. I thought I wasn't going to make it, but I found a gap with 300m to go and then just gave it a try and it was enough."},{"_id":"UVXKX7QPTJA4XMLL2QAFY2NNOQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"“Every opportunity is an important one. I'm just happy with the win again.”"},{"_id":"ZNBSGRJKBJERHCGAPC27EMNRX4","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"<a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/2025/02/19/tadej-pogacar-powers-to-victory-on-jebel-jais-and-takes-control-of-uae-tour/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"\" title=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/2025/02/19/tadej-pogacar-powers-to-victory-on-jebel-jais-and-takes-control-of-uae-tour/\">Tadej Pogacar</a>, the UAE Team Emirates-XRG rider, finished safely in the peloton to retain his 21-second lead over Joshua Starling of Ineos Grenadiers ahead of the final 171km stage in Al Ain, from the Hazza bin Zayed Stadium to the summit of Jebel Hafeet."},{"_id":"OFWS37JTPZFJ3H7CWJQORM6WK4","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"“Today was a lot of people in Abu Dhabi, so it was really amazing to see them. So, thanks to everybody,” the <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/2024/10/12/tadej-pogacar-claims-fourth-straight-tour-of-lombardy-in-perhaps-greatest-seasons-ever/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"\" title=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/2024/10/12/tadej-pogacar-claims-fourth-straight-tour-of-lombardy-in-perhaps-greatest-seasons-ever/\">Slovenian world champion </a>said."},{"_id":"PVXSLHG23BALXEVKPEZLKENPNA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"“I was feeling very good cycling through the city, without the traffic, just racing and people cheering on the side of the road, seeing the beautiful buildings and yeah, it's something special."},{"_id":"QU2T5XO5L5GUFFDE6SXUDSJDBQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"“I cannot describe how beautiful it is to ride through the city of Abu Dhabi. 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And that's also cycling,” he said."},{"_id":"THZN4UBZCRH2DIFVJHOKLQXFRY","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"“I count down the seconds or kilometres to finish and try to speak to somebody and just more or less counting down or watching around. It was cool to ride through the city but there was so many cat eyes and these little bumps in the road, so you still had to be a little bit focused.”"},{"_id":"SMSSQFBKYVGEBEO6JYQKG7MKUI","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"Pogacar holds the overall lead in the UAE Tour for the 14th time."},{"_id":"33N2G3NQZVDAXKLW44TYS2TFDI","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"“I mean, it's a home race for the team, so it's an honour that I can race here and that I can always be in good shape, always fighting for the victory. And, yeah, it's good colour, red jersey, and I like it,” the three-time Tour de France winner added."},{"_id":"4RZEHPFFFVDWLDOJ4OKCMZCXFA","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"<b>Stage 6 results</b>"},{"_id":"O7DASW62VNC5VD3FQ6HW4CDE5E","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"1. Tim Merlier (Soudal Quick-Step) 3hrs 44min 14sec."},{"_id":"GF3FMNBBA5H4VCI33Z52B7N2BY","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"2. Jasper Philipsen (Alpecin-Deceuninck) s.t."},{"_id":"3U6O3IPKORCHRI5HYWA37XUQBE","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"3. Jonathan Milan (Lidl-Trek) s.t."},{"_id":"Z6SF4CDOZVCR5MPGGTKNUTLQDY","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"<b>General classification</b>"},{"_id":"RMVGX3NU75CGFGCQ3IP55TCDEQ","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"1. Tadej Pogacar (UAE Team Emirates – XRG)"},{"_id":"HFSBXLCOFBCDNCZ65SQQWKENO4","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"2. 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title=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/sport/cricket/2025/01/25/champions-trophy-2025-venue-guide-for-pakistan-and-uae/\">first time since the 1996 World Cup </a>that Pakistan has staged a global event."},{"_id":"XELYXF26QJEMJE7DDL5YJYPTUM","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"India, however, remain conspicuous by their absence, having opted to play all their matches in Dubai instead."},{"_id":"C6CK4DJYDBF55O42XL7M7UMSNM","additional_properties":{},"type":"text","content":"The <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comment/2025/02/21/india-pakistan-cricket-dubai/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"\" title=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comment/2025/02/21/india-pakistan-cricket-dubai/\">two great rivals </a>will meet at the Dubai International Stadium in a vital group match on Sunday. 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href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/opinion/comment/2025/02/19/with-doge-elon-musk-is-doing-the-right-thing-the-wrong-way/\" target=\"_blank\">Elon Musk</a>’s suggestion of deorbiting the <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/future/space/2025/02/13/us-will-not-surrender-in-space-race-with-china-industry-leader-says/\" target=\"_blank\">International Space Station</a> in two years has highlighted the growing power struggle over who will control low-Earth orbit after the station is retired."},{"_id":"JNEYWM6F4REAHD67KBSAGKT3DU","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273556},"type":"text","content":"Mr Musk, owner of <a href=\"https://www.thenationalnews.com/future/space/2025/01/18/spacex-musk-starship/\" target=\"_blank\">SpaceX</a>, Tesla and social media platform X, said on Thursday that it was ultimately US President Donald Trump’s decision when to deorbit the station. But he recommended doing so “as soon as possible” and added: “I recommend two years from now”. He also added “let’s go to Mars”, reinforcing his long-standing vision of prioritising deep-space exploration."},{"_id":"4SWQAZRRWZAQJFEAUJORIQ3WXE","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273557},"type":"text","content":"Nasa and its station partners, the European Space Agency, Japan, Canada and Russia, had already agreed to retire the ISS in 2030. The US space agency wanted to stick to this timeline to avoid a gap before commercial stations are ready, which would leave low-Earth orbit under China’s control with its Tiangong station as the only operational outpost."},{"_id":"3MHMLPLOLNHCVNXXERHW7GKPLY","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273559},"type":"text","content":"Dr Gordon Osinski, Earth sciences professor and planetary geologist at Western University in Ontario, Canada, told <i>The National</i> that Mr Musk’s suggestions would have to be discussed with their partners first."},{"_id":"IXA3LPESTJDWXGX3HQS2KJ2I6E","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273560},"type":"text","content":"He said the 2030 timeframe is “the focus of international agreements and so it seems ludicrous to suggest this in a social media post”."},{"_id":"DQXEISLKBZFGREY4IBPDHLBJMM","additional_properties":{"_id":1740230637633},"type":"text","content":"“I’m also not sure of the practically of deorbiting the ISS. It was only last year that Nasa announced the award of a contract to build the US Deorbit Vehicle, which is required to safely bring the station down in 2030,” he said. “This will take years to build and there is no way, because of its size, to deorbit the ISS safely without this vehicle. Perhaps Elon has forgotten that his company, SpaceX, was awarded this contract?”"},{"subtype":"twitter","referent":{"referent_properties":{"additional_properties":{"_id":1740230637634}},"provider":"https://publish.x.com/oembed?url=","service":"oembed","id":"https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1892621691060093254","type":"twitter"},"_id":"PP5WM5KAFBBDVHTOUOKW3WXWRM","raw_oembed":{"author_name":"Elon Musk","cache_age":"3153600000","provider_url":"https://twitter.com","type":"twitter","version":"1.0","url":"https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1892621691060093254","author_url":"https://twitter.com/elonmusk","width":550,"html":"<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">It is time to begin preparations for deorbiting the <a href=\"https://twitter.com/Space_Station?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@Space_Station</a>. <br><br>It has served its purpose. There is very little incremental utility. <br><br>Let’s go to Mars.</p>&mdash; Elon Musk (@elonmusk) <a href=\"https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1892621691060093254?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">February 20, 2025</a></blockquote>\n<script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n\n","_id":"https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1892621691060093254","additional_properties":{"_id":1740230637634},"provider_name":"Twitter","height":null},"type":"oembed_response"},{"_id":"K6HE263SSFDRFJ5AYYQWPN7PZA","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273563},"type":"text","content":"The ISS has been a symbol of international co-operation since 1998, hosting astronauts from multiple nations and advancing scientific research in microgravity. But with ageing hardware and rising costs, the future depends on a new generation of private space stations."},{"_id":"UFPFFCAT6RG6FHRJXRKP4NRLVU","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273564},"type":"text","content":"Mr Musk has significant influence over the US administration through his leadership at the Department of Government Efficiency (Doge), an advisory body conducting audits of federal organisations, including Nasa."},{"_id":"FUF7IQYK5NCTVFW6S2XLXGTPLU","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273565},"type":"text","content":"There is now uncertainty at Nasa over budget allocations and the future of its programmes, as Doge’s reviews could lead to funding cuts. Nasa operates the Commercial Destinations in Low-Earth Orbit (CLD) programme, which funds companies developing private stations meant to replace the ISS."},{"_id":"CQXY2CKRINDZNPRI66RH65AHC4","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273567},"type":"text","content":"Sahith Madara, an aerospace engineer and founder of the advisory firm Bumi and Space, based in Paris, told <i>The National</i> that Mr Musk’s comments casts doubt over the future of this programme."},{"_id":"SSHKDCVIRVBDZDZ2KTT7IADW3A","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273568},"type":"text","content":"“The CLD programme faces uncertainty as Musk’s influence grows and funding shifts toward Artemis and Mars missions,” he said. “If Nasa scales back CLD, private stations like Starlab and Orbital Reef could struggle, potentially giving China’s Tiangong an edge in LEO (Low-Earth orbit). SpaceX, with its deep government ties, could step in as the main US orbital infrastructure provider, but for now, the future of US dominance in LEO remains in flux.”"},{"_id":"A6ZEG5ABP5AVRFBEVUBB3V6B7E","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273570},"type":"text","content":"Mr Madara added that the Pentagon’s increasing interest in defence-focused space stations could also shape Nasa’s direction, making military-backed initiatives a bigger priority."},{"_id":"LXKZKVEPT5DZHLPUMUAH5NALFE","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273571},"type":"text","content":"“With its dominance in space transport through Falcon 9 and Starship, deep ties with Nasa and the Pentagon, and strong government contracts, SpaceX is well-positioned to shape the future of space habitation,” he said."},{"_id":"LWRQUS6VNJHIBJ6SI44YUCHHZY","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273572},"type":"text","content":"“Musk’s connections within government agencies further strengthen SpaceX’s role in securing major contracts and influencing US space policy. Whether SpaceX develops its own private space station or leads new public-private partnerships, its access to funding and infrastructure puts it in a prime position amid growing competition.”"},{"_id":"OOZQEGCJXFHXZETAOSDDOBGWLQ","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273573},"type":"text","content":"Mr Musk's comments on de-orbiting the ISS came hours after an argument with an astronaut on his X platform."},{"_id":"2M26UTMVOBGM7EM5M4EHDFFPBE","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273574},"type":"text","content":"Andreas Mogensen, Denmark's first astronaut who served as the ISS commander in 2023, called Mr Musk a liar after the billionaire claimed that Nasa astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore were stranded on the station due to political reasons."},{"_id":"FDH5WVUDNBB2BN425S4PY7W7HI","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273575},"type":"text","content":"Mr Mogensen said Nasa had already confirmed that Ms Williams and Mr Wilmore would return to Earth in March as originally scheduled on SpaceX’s Crew-9 mission. Mr Musk replied to the astronaut saying that he was “fully retarded” and an “idiot”."},{"_id":"WFA2G3EUBZDCDL3VOYEX7R5474","additional_properties":{"_id":1740227273577},"type":"text","content":"Ms Williams and Mr Wilmore arrived on the ISS on June 6 for the first crewed flight of Boeing's commercial space programme, which was meant to last for two weeks. But their quick stay turned into a space odyssey when their Boeing Starliner craft suffered a series of helium leaks and thruster problems after docking. 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