[今日原油]：拜登中东之行无功而返欧美原油期货重返每桶100美元之上-我的钢铁网

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<p>拜登中东之行无功而返，沙特阿拉伯等中东石油出口国仍在OPCE+协议框架约束下限制产量，对供应担忧再起，欧美原油期货早盘下跌后强劲反弹，收盘于每桶100美元的心理价位以上。周一(7月18日)纽约商品期货交易所西得克萨斯轻质原油2022年8月期货结算价每桶102.60美元，比前一交易日上涨5.01美元，涨幅5.1%，交易区间95.85-102.80美元；伦敦洲际交易所布伦特原油2022年9月期货结算价每桶106.27美元，比前一交易日上涨5.11美元，涨幅5.07%，交易区间99.46-106.48美元。</p><p>利比亚恢复原油出口和美国活跃钻井平台数据增加，部分缓解供应紧缺担忧，国际油价早盘下跌。但是美国总统拜登中东之行未能说服沙特增产，以及伊朗核协议会谈再陷僵局，推动国际油价继续反弹。美国总统拜登希望海湾石油生产国提高产量，以帮助抑制油价并降低通胀。但正如预期那样，美国总统拜登的沙特之行未能让欧佩克最大成员国沙特阿拉伯做出任何石油增产承诺。7月17日，美国国务院能源安全高级顾问Amos Hochstein表示，这次访问将引导石油生产国在供应方面采取“更多步骤”，尽管他没有说明是哪个国家或哪些国家将提高产量。澳大利亚国民银行大宗商品研究主管Baden Moore在一份报告中说：“据报道，美国表示预计供应将逐渐增加，尽管产油国没有立即承诺增加石油产量。但从11月开始战略储备(SPR)释放减少，即使不超过每天约100万桶也可能会抵消这种增产。”</p><p>欧佩克在7月12日发布的最新月度报告中预测，2023年石油日需求1.0299亿桶，比2022年日均增加270万桶。然而根据市场估计，全球产量可能无法满足如此强劲的需求。荷兰国际集团大宗商品策略主管Warren Patterson在7月13日的一份报告中表示:“为了平衡明年的全球市场，欧佩克将需要平均日产3010万桶石油，比欧佩克目前的原油日产量高出约140万桶。鉴于欧佩克几个月来一直在努力达到他们的生产目标，要达到这一生产水平可能会很困难，这表明全球石油市场的紧张局面将持续到2023年。”国际能源署执行主席比罗尔周一在评论中表示，世界正在“经历历史上第一次真正的全球性能源危机”，国际能源机构已经警告“几个月了，欧洲的情况尤其危险。”他说，欧洲“需要尽一切努力降低严重天然气短缺和配给的风险，尤其是在即将到来的冬季。”美元周一从多年高点回落，支撑了从黄金到石油等大宗商品的价格。美元走软使得美元计价的大宗商品对其他货币持有者来说更加实惠。盛宝银行指出，根据美国商品期货交易委员会的最新数据，截止7月12日的一周，投机者和对冲基金抛售放缓。该银行在报告中说，“投机商成了原油、<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a>和糖的净买家，抛售集中在天然气、<a href='https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/dadou/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>大豆</a>、<a href='https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/yumi/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>玉米</a>、<a href='https://ncp.m.mysteel.com/xiaomai/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>小麦</a>和咖啡。”</p><p>截止7月12日当周，投机商在纽约商品交易所和伦敦洲际交易所美国轻质原油和布伦特原油期货和期权持有的净多头总计350663手，比前一周增加19895手；相当于增加1989.5万桶原油。管理基金在布伦特原油期货和期权中持有的净多头增加3.27%。据洲际交易所提供的数据分析，截止7月12日当周，布伦特原油期货和期权持仓量2458261手，比前一周减少了1702手；管理基金在布伦特原油期货和期权中持有净多头139628手，比前周增加4417手。其中持有多头减少11022手，空头减少15439手。管理基金在布伦特原油期货中持有的净多头减少0.36%。据洲际交易所提供的数据分析，截止7月12日当周，布伦特原油期货持仓量1805441手，比前一周减少了8887手；管理基金在布伦特原油期货中持有净多头140985手，比前周减少507手。其中持有多头减少9084手，空头减少8577手。投机商在纽约商品交易所轻质原油期货中持有的净多头减少4.3%。美国商品期货管理委员会最新统计，截止7月12日当周，纽约商品交易所原油期货中持仓量1612803手，减少25059手。大型投机商在纽约商品交易所原油期货中持有净多头268328手，比前一周减少12195手。其中多头减少19788手；空头减少7593手。管理基金在纽约商品交易所美国轻质低硫原油持有的期货和期权中净多头增加了7.13%，而在洲际交易所欧洲市场美国轻质低硫原油持有的期货和期权中净多头减少了21.22%。根据新的分类，截止7月12日当周，管理基金在纽约商品交易所原油期货和期权中持有的净多头从前一周的200957手增加到215289手；其中多头增加3525手；空头减少10807手。管理基金在伦敦洲际交易所欧洲市场美国轻质低硫原油期货和期权中持有的净多头从前一周的-5400手减少到-4254手；其中多头增加1173手；空头增加27手。截止7月12日当周，投机商在纽约商品交易所和伦敦洲际交易所美国轻质原油和布伦特原油期货和期权持有的净多头总计350663手，比前一周增加19895手；相当于增加1989.5万桶原油。</p><p><br/></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article 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[今日原油]：拜登中东之行无功而返 欧美原油期货重返每桶100美元之上-我的钢铁网

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