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Norway could become first country to have more electric cars than petrol | The Independent

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class="sc-1fcmxs3-1 sc-1i4xxi7-1 dyGKzS eFgmkR"><div class="sc-fwko30-1 blOrrc main-wrapper"><div class="sc-jbiisr-0 izpdPv sc-jbiisr-2 hUjkAJ" id="main"><div class="hydrate-root" data-component="Newsletter" data-loading="lazy" data-theme-name="base"><div class="sc-1230l3a-0 qAogd newsletter-component sc-1ge0fwe-0 eFJlzZ" data-newsletter-key="receiveindylifestyle"><div class="sc-1ykbqwm-0 ffESMm sc-1ykbqwm-1 kVMOFF"><img src="https://static.independent.co.uk/static-assets/images/newsletter/lifestyle/lessons-in-lifestyle.png" loading="lazy" alt="Lessons in Lifestyle" class="sc-1mc30lb-0 iSVhwZ"></div><div class="sc-tuvb20-0 gTNegf"><div class="sc-1gqjrv9-3 cNVcNh sc-1gqjrv9-8 SNvDe"><div class="news-letter-title"><h3 data-nosnippet="" class="sc-1gqjrv9-4 fgTCLc">Stay ahead of the curve with our weekly guide to the latest trends, fashion, relationships and more</h3><h3 class="sc-1gqjrv9-5 sc-1gqjrv9-6 UFssF kEXQjc">Stay ahead of the curve with our weekly guide to the latest trends, 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Read our <a target="_blank" rel="noreferrer" href="/service/privacy-policy-a6184181.html">privacy policy</a></label></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><script type="application/json">{"className":"sc-1ge0fwe-0 eFJlzZ","isClimate":false,"newsletterData":{"regSourceNewsletter":"IND_IndyLife_CDP","subscriptionGroup":"lifestyle","subscriptionGroupId":"2cc88dbe-d082-4b8a-a251-4f301ff165a2","pathPrefix":["/life-style"],"title":"Stay ahead of the curve with our weekly guide to the latest trends, fashion, relationships and more","mobileTitle":"Stay ahead of the curve with our weekly guide to the latest trends, fashion, relationships and more ","imageSrc":"https://static.independent.co.uk/static-assets/images/newsletter/lifestyle/lessons-in-lifestyle.png","description":"Be inspired with the latest lifestyle trends every week","label":"I <strong>would</strong> like to receive the best features and trends across the world of lifestyle every week by email","type":"lifestyle","regTitle":"Lessons in Lifestyle","newsletterKey":"receiveindylifestyle","regSourceSection":"Motoring News","regSourceMethod":"Article%2BSignpost"},"captchaKey":"6LdQFKQUAAAAAALh9h5ypRL_GV19zbD4ZtAmj-pm","loggedIn":false}</script><p>The number of battery <a href="/topic/electric-vehicles">electric vehicles</a> (BEVs) on <a href="/topic/norway">Norway</a>’s roads is on track to overtake <a href="/topic/petrol-cars">petrol cars</a> by the end of this year or in early 2025, a first for any country, according to calculations by Reuters and analysts.</p><p>The shift has been driven by generous incentives, afforded in part thanks to Norway’s huge <a href="/topic/oil">oil</a> and gas wealth.</p><div data-mpu1="true" class="sc-1048kfq-0 jZcooN"><div class="sc-1y9ieyw-0 hQjaQn mobile-only"><div class="sc-1pfx6hk-0 lgUbTS mobile-only"><div data-mpu="true" data-is-video="false" data-tile-name="mpu1" data-ad-unit-path="/71347885/_main_independent/in_life-style/in_motoring/video/mpu1" data-size-key="DOUBLE_OR_SINGLE_MPU" data-refresh-check="false" data-refresh-ms="13000" class="sc-1pfx6hk-2 fUbSGV"></div></div></div></div><div id="article-im-prompt"></div><p>Still, analysts think it will take a few more years for BEVs to surpass the number of diesel vehicles in Norway.</p><div class="sc-w27hnf-3 gHNATZ desktop-only teads"><div class="sc-1y9ieyw-0 hQjaQn third-party-ad"><div class="sc-1pfx6hk-0 lgUbTS third-party-ad"><div data-mpu="true" data-is-video="false" data-tile-name="thirdparty01" data-ad-unit-path="/71347885/_partner_independent/in_life-style/in_motoring/video/thirdparty01" data-size-key="THIRD_PARTY_ARTICLE_BODY_DESKTOP" data-refresh-check="false" data-refresh-ms="150000" class="sc-1pfx6hk-2 fUbSGV"></div></div></div></div><p>The Nordic country of 5.5 million people aims to become the first nation to end the sale of new petrol and diesel cars – by 2025. Nine out of 10 new cars sold at the start of this year have been BEVs.</p><div class="sc-w27hnf-3 gHNATZ mobile-only teads"><div class="sc-1y9ieyw-0 hQjaQn third-party-ad"><div class="sc-1pfx6hk-0 lgUbTS third-party-ad"><div data-mpu="true" data-is-video="false" data-tile-name="thirdparty01" data-ad-unit-path="/71347885/_partner_independent/in_life-style/in_motoring/video/thirdparty01" data-size-key="THIRD_PARTY_ARTICLE_BODY_MOBILE" data-refresh-check="false" data-refresh-ms="150000" class="sc-1pfx6hk-2 fUbSGV"></div></div></div></div><p>If more countries follow Norway’s lead, demand for oil worldwide could peak earlier than envisaged. The International Energy Agency sees that peak before 2030, with cars and vans accounting for more than 25 per cent of oil demand.</p><div id="taboola-mid-article-thumbnails-ii" class="sc-looa6c-0 jiCqOZ"></div><p>However, Norway’s transition has not come cheap, with the country exempting BEVs from taxes imposed on cars with internal combustion engines and investing in public BEV chargers.</p><div class="sc-toncsa-0 gdPcRA"><div id="taboola-carousel-thumbnails" class="taboola"></div></div><p>BEVs accounted for 24.3 per cent of Norway’s 2.9 million cars as of 15 March, versus 26.9 per cent for petrol vehicles, according to data from the Norwegian Public Roads Administration seen by Reuters.</p><p>That equated to a lead of nearly 76,000 for petrol cars – well below the 104,590 new BEVs sold in Norway last year.</p><div class="sc-1pfx6hk-0 lgUbTS sc-w27hnf-0 dxwzhm"><div data-mpu="true" data-is-video="false" data-tile-name="content" data-ad-unit-path="/71347885/_main_independent/in_life-style/in_motoring/video/content" data-size-key="SINGLE_MPU" data-refresh-check="false" data-refresh-ms="13000" class="sc-1pfx6hk-2 fUbSGV"></div></div><p>“If that [trend] is continued for the next 12 months and given that sales of pure-petrol cars are negligible now, this time next year there will be more BEVs on the road than pure-petrol cars, and probably before the end of this year,” Robbie Andrew, a senior researcher at climate change think tank Cicero, said.</p><p>With almost 370,000 more diesel cars on Norway’s roads than BEVs, it will likely take three to four years for BEVs to overtake diesel vehicles too, Andrew added.</p><div class="sc-w27hnf-3 gHNATZ teads"><div class="sc-1y9ieyw-0 hQjaQn third-party-ad"><div class="sc-1pfx6hk-0 lgUbTS third-party-ad"><div data-mpu="true" data-is-video="false" data-tile-name="thirdparty02" data-ad-unit-path="/71347885/_partner_independent/in_life-style/in_motoring/video/thirdparty02" data-size-key="THIRD_PARTY_ARTICLE_BODY" data-refresh-check="false" data-refresh-ms="150000" class="sc-1pfx6hk-2 fUbSGV"></div></div></div></div><p>Ingvild Kilen Roerholt, head of transport research at Oslo-based think-tank Zero, also saw the number of BEVs moving ahead of petrol cars in Norway this year, despite a recent slowdown in sales.</p><p>Sales of new BEVs fell by about a quarter last year in Norway, as new car sales generally declined amid rising interest rates and as the government cut some tax incentives.</p><div class="sc-1048kfq-0 jZcooN"><div class="sc-1y9ieyw-0 hQjaQn mobile-only"><div class="sc-1pfx6hk-0 lgUbTS mobile-only"><div data-mpu="true" data-is-video="false" data-tile-name="bottom_mpu_1" data-ad-unit-path="/71347885/_main_independent/in_life-style/in_motoring/video/bottom_mpu" data-refresh-check="false" data-refresh-ms="13000" class="sc-1pfx6hk-2 fUbSGV"></div></div></div></div><p>Still, BEVs’ share of total sales hit a record 92.1 per cent in January, according to the Norwegian Road Federation (OFV).</p><p>In March, that share was 89.3 per cent, while new car sales were down 49.7 per cent year on year, the latest OFV data show.</p><p>Last year, the centre-left government removed a value-added tax exemption on BEVs costing more than 500,000 Norwegian crowns ($46,700), making models such as the Tesla X and Audi e-tron more expensive.</p><p>Still, the remaining tax exemptions on BEVs cost the state 43 billion crowns in 2023, up from 39.4 billion crowns in 2022, budget documents show.</p><div class="sc-1048kfq-0 jZcooN"><div class="sc-1y9ieyw-0 hQjaQn mobile-only"><div class="sc-1pfx6hk-0 lgUbTS mobile-only"><div data-mpu="true" data-is-video="false" data-tile-name="bottom_mpu_2" data-ad-unit-path="/71347885/_main_independent/in_life-style/in_motoring/video/bottom_mpu" data-refresh-check="false" data-refresh-ms="13000" class="sc-1pfx6hk-2 fUbSGV"></div></div></div></div><p>Despite the recent dip in sales, Roerholt said she was “quite sure” new BEV sales in Norway would top 76,000 this year.</p><p>She also predicted the number of BEVs could exceed petrol and diesel cars combined in Norway by 2029.</p><p>“For that to happen, we need to reach the goal that 100 per cent of new cars will have zero emissions in 2025,” she added.</p><p>The surge in popularity of BEVs has led to a decline in demand for petrol and diesel.</p><p>Since 2021, sales of diesel and motor gasoline have fallen by around 8 per cent at Norwegian gas stations, according to monthly data from Statistics Norway and Reuters calculations. That excludes diesel sales at truck fuel stations.</p><div class="sc-1048kfq-0 jZcooN"><div class="sc-1y9ieyw-0 hQjaQn mobile-only"><div class="sc-1pfx6hk-0 lgUbTS mobile-only"><div data-mpu="true" data-is-video="false" data-tile-name="bottom_mpu_3" data-ad-unit-path="/71347885/_main_independent/in_life-style/in_motoring/video/bottom_mpu" data-refresh-check="false" data-refresh-ms="13000" class="sc-1pfx6hk-2 fUbSGV"></div></div></div></div><p>“It’s still a huge market for fossil fuels. We haven’t seen the main dip yet,” Kristin Bremer Nebben, head of fuel retailers’ association Drivkraft Norge, told Reuters.</p><p>Demand for fossil fuels has been partly supported by sales of hybrid cars that combine a battery with an internal combustion engine powered by petrol or diesel.</p><p>There were nearly 340,000 hybrid cars on Norwegian roads as of 15 March, mostly plug-in hybrids with petrol engines, accounting for 12 per cent of the total fleet, the Norwegian Public Roads Administration data shows.</p><div id="taboola-mid-article-thumbnails-iii" class="sc-looa6c-0 jiCqOZ"></div><p>However, hybrids have been losing market share in recent years as the government has withdrawn incentives.</p><div class="sc-1048kfq-0 jZcooN"><div class="sc-1y9ieyw-0 hQjaQn mobile-only"><div class="sc-1pfx6hk-0 lgUbTS mobile-only"><div data-mpu="true" data-is-video="false" data-tile-name="bottom_mpu_4" data-ad-unit-path="/71347885/_main_independent/in_life-style/in_motoring/video/bottom_mpu" data-refresh-check="false" data-refresh-ms="13000" class="sc-1pfx6hk-2 fUbSGV"></div></div></div></div><p>The Norwegian EV Association expects BEVs to account for 95 per cent of all new car sales this year.</p></div><div id="piano-register-wall" data-reg-source-section="Motoring News" class="sc-h57wdl-0 jImJId"></div><nav class="topics"><div class="sc-n08b2m-0 bfkmcy"><h3 class="sc-n08b2m-1 fczuIa">More about</h3><a href="/topic/norway" class="sc-n08b2m-2 IOUwh">Norway</a><a href="/topic/oil" class="sc-n08b2m-2 IOUwh">Oil</a></div></nav><div class="show-comments"><div class="sc-qsla4c-0 bSnowf"><svg class="sc-eaj12q-0 bNRJWU sc-culv3z-0 jIhHch sc-qsla4c-5 gnMNHQ"><use href="#f9cc7f5596803d67"></use></svg><h2 class="sc-qsla4c-4 bwQHeU">Join our commenting forum</h2><p class="sc-qsla4c-3 hCnMST">Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies</p><a role="button" class="sc-1oxuqvm-0 doGdex js-comment sc-qsla4c-2 iXlKRz js-comment-footer"><span 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