Oil Refineries Flee California After Gavin Newsom Regulates Supply of Gasoline

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class="page-content two-column-layout"> <div class="container"> <main class="site-main" id="site-main" role="main"> <article class="post-64057 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-state-policy policy-area-energy policy-area-regulation authors-atticus-vernacchio" id="post-64057"> <header class="entry-header"> <div class="entry-gradient"></div> <img class="wp-image-64058 size-16x9-large post-thumbnail" src="https://i0.wp.com/atr.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51184837441_247aced30e_k.jpg?resize=1280%2C720&quality=80&ssl=1" srcset="https://i0.wp.com/atr.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51184837441_247aced30e_k.jpg?resize=768%2C432&quality=80&ssl=1 768w, https://i0.wp.com/atr.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51184837441_247aced30e_k.jpg?resize=1024%2C576&quality=80&ssl=1 1024w, https://i0.wp.com/atr.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51184837441_247aced30e_k.jpg?resize=1280%2C720&quality=80&ssl=1 1280w, https://i0.wp.com/atr.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51184837441_247aced30e_k.jpg?resize=1920%2C1080&quality=80&ssl=1 1920w" size="(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px" alt=""> <span class="img-caption">Los Angeles Gas Prices by fourbyfourblazer, licensed under CC</span> </header> <ul class="site-social share-links"> <span class="share-header">Share</span> <li class="social-item"> <a href="http://twitter.com/share?text=Oil Refineries Flee California After Gavin Newsom Regulates Supply of Gasoline &url=https://atr.org/oil-refineries-flee-california-after-gavin-newsom-regulates-supply-of-gasoline/" class="social-link twitter" target="_blank"> <span class="sr-only">Twitter</span> <i class="fab fa-twitter" aria-hidden="true"></i> </a> </li> <li class="social-item"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://atr.org/oil-refineries-flee-california-after-gavin-newsom-regulates-supply-of-gasoline/" class="social-link facebook" target="_blank"> <span class="sr-only">Facebook</span> <i class="fab fa-facebook-f" aria-hidden="true"></i> </a> </li> <li class="social-item"> <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/sharing/share-offsite/?url=https://atr.org/oil-refineries-flee-california-after-gavin-newsom-regulates-supply-of-gasoline/" class="social-link linkedin" target="_blank"> <span class="sr-only">LinkedIn</span> <i class="fab fa-linkedin-in" aria-hidden="true"></i> </a> </li> </ul> <div class="entry-content"> <p>Gavin Newsom’s disastrous attempt at restraining California’s <a href="https://globelynews.com/americas/most-expensive-gas-in-the-us/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">sky-high</a> gas prices has backfired so tremendously it’s almost comical. Just days after signing his new bill, ABX 1-2, several of the state’s largest oil refineries <a href="https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2024-10-18/another-refinery-shuts-down-in-california-what-happens-to-gas-prices" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">shut down</a> operations, <a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/16/phillips-66-california-refinery-closure-00184058#:~:text=The%20closure%20would%20knock%20out,31%20million%20gas%2Dpowered%20vehicles." target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">erasing</a> 8% of California’s gas capacity instantaneously.  </p> <p>Problems, however, afflicted <a href="https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=202320242AB1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">ABX 1-2</a> well before it passed. When Newsom advanced the bill in special session a month before the state legislature adjourned, forcing his legislature to decide without sufficient time to debate, Senate Pro Tem Mike McGuire nearly <a href="https://www.politico.com/newsletters/california-playbook/2024/09/04/mike-mcguire-call-your-office-00177267" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">tanked</a> the session in protest. Unfortunately, McGuire caved, bringing the bill to where it is now.  </p> <p>In essence, ABX 1-2 forces producers to maintain a minimum level of stock, no matter the circumstances, unless ordered otherwise by the state.  </p> <p>The inspiration for Newsoms’ rather draconian policy is his theory that suppliers are responsible for California’s inflated gas prices. <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sacramento/news/california-lawmakers-seek-more-time-for-energy-proposals-backed-by-newsom/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">According</a> to him, oil refineries purposely deplete their stock and use the resulting supply shock as an excuse to raise prices.  </p> <p>For those who understand economics, his hypothesis has a number of glaring issues. However, most people don’t, and this talking point allows Newsom to <a href="https://calmatters.org/newsletter/california-gas-prices-newsom-oil-industry/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">blame</a> the consequences of his policy on big companies, who the public is already primed to hate.   </p> <p>In other words, it’s a diversion tactic – it’s not meant to make sense.  </p> <p>But, before getting into that, let’s hear him out. Demand for gas is inelastic, meaning ordinary people, who have no choice but to buy it, will consume the same amount regardless of changes in price.  </p> <p>If you’re looking at that factor alone, then yes, an evil company would profit from making gas more and more expensive.  </p> <p>Fortunately, the gas industry is not a monolith: like all industries, it’s made up of competing companies. Oil refineries not only have to contend with each other’s prices, but with the cost of importing from around the world. Distributors like gas stations will flock to refineries that sell the cheapest gas in an effort to acquire more customers. Thus, market forces push prices down, counteracting potential nefarious incentives.  </p> <p>For Newsom’s argument to be true, every oil refinery in the world, independent of one another, would have to simultaneously pursue policy that depletes their own supply for no other purpose than to keep prices high.  </p> <p>But the governor’s bill wouldn’t make sense even if he were right: preventing refineries from selling their whole stock only makes their available supply smaller. According to Newsom’s own argument, lower supply enables oil refineries to raise prices. What would be the result, then, of forcing them to withhold their supply?  </p> <p>Higher prices, of course.  </p> <p>Let’s continue to grant Newsom’s premise. Oil refineries would have the incentive to raise prices all over America, right?   </p> <p>Why does California have the <a href="https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/gas-price-by-state" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">highest,</a> then?  </p> <p>By the governor’s own logic, there <strong>must </strong>be another explanation. It doesn’t take a professional economist to implicate California’s <a href="https://www.statista.com/statistics/509649/us-states-with-highest-gas-tax-and-prices/#:~:text=California%20has%20the%20highest%20tax,the%20highest%20gasoline%20retail%20price." target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">highest-in-the-nation</a> gas tax, as well as its “<a href="https://www.ksby.com/homepage-showcase/heres-why-gas-always-costs-more-in-california#:~:text=California's%20special%20gasoline%20blend%20arose,is%20cleaner%20air%20for%20California." target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">special blend</a>” regulation: a requirement that refineries use expensive ingredients to produce cleaner, but higher costing, gasoline. </p> <p>However, there actually is a situation where companies <em>might </em>be able to use up their supply on purpose. Unfortunately for Newsom, that situation has less to do with corporate greed, and more to do with bad policy.  </p> <p>Imagine a state that heavily regulates gas imports and <a href="https://www.wspa.org/about/state-issues/california-issues/#:~:text=Despite%20its%20productivity%2C%2070%20percent,human%20rights%2C%20and%20environmental%20standards." target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">refuses</a> to build pipelines to anywhere else in the U.S., restricting itself effectively to gas within its own borders. Then, suppose that said state systematically pushes energy companies out with <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/chevron-leaves-california-energy-oil-gas-refineries-regulation-434d7a38" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">excessive</a> environmental policy, reducing its suppliers down to a mere <a href="https://www.energy.ca.gov/data-reports/energy-almanac/californias-petroleum-market/californias-oil-refineries" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">seven</a> major refineries. </p> <p>That state is California. </p> <p>Whether refineries intentionally use up their supply or not, California’s energy policy has guaranteed that the entire gas market is subject to the choices of these seven producers.  Competition which would normally prevent prices from rising too high no longer exists. </p> <p>So, when Gavin Newsom claims that low supply is to blame for California’s gas prices, he might actually be right, but he’s completely ignoring the years of bad policy which caused the problem in the first place.  </p> <p>This isn’t the first time Democrats have turned to <a href="https://www.npr.org/2024/09/09/nx-s1-5103935/grocery-prices-inflation-corporate-greedflation" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">blaming</a> so-called “corporate greed” when their own policy is the real culprit, a strategy that doesn’t backfire nearly as often as it should. One can only hope that oil refineries will continue to abandon California and force Governor Newsom to finally take a look inward. In the meantime, Californians can expect gas prices to continue rising, and it’s any self-respecting journalist’s civic imperative to show them exactly who to blame. </p> <p></p> </div> </article> </main> <aside class="site-sidebar" id="site-sidebar" role="complementary"> <section class="related-feed"> <article class="card card-vertical"> <a class="card-link" href="https://atr.org/vt-democrats-graciously-hand-26-seats-to-republicans-after-forcing-through-hugely-unpopular-tax-hike/"><span class="sr-only">VT Democrats Graciously Hand 26 Seats To Republicans After Forcing Through Hugely Unpopular Tax Hike</span></a> <div class="card-body"> <p class="card-tag">Tax Reform</p> <h3 class="card-title">VT Democrats Graciously Hand 26 Seats To Republicans After Forcing Through Hugely Unpopular Tax Hike</h3> <ul class="card-meta"> <li class="card-author">Lily Giovannelli</li> <li class="card-date">11/27/2024</li> </ul> <p class="card-category">Commentary</p> </div> </article> <article class="card 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Oil Refineries Flee California After Gavin Newsom Regulates Supply of Gasoline - Americans for Tax Reform