CINXE.COM

<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd"> <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" dir="ltr"> <head><script type="text/javascript" src="https://web-static.archive.org/_static/js/bundle-playback.js?v=7YQSqjSh" charset="utf-8"></script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://web-static.archive.org/_static/js/wombat.js?v=txqj7nKC" charset="utf-8"></script> <script>window.RufflePlayer=window.RufflePlayer||{};window.RufflePlayer.config={"autoplay":"on","unmuteOverlay":"hidden"};</script> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://web-static.archive.org/_static/js/ruffle/ruffle.js"></script> <script type="text/javascript"> __wm.init("https://web.archive.org/web"); __wm.wombat("http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17","20090902212321","https://web.archive.org/","web","https://web-static.archive.org/_static/", "1251926601"); </script> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="https://web-static.archive.org/_static/css/banner-styles.css?v=p7PEIJWi" /> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="https://web-static.archive.org/_static/css/iconochive.css?v=3PDvdIFv" />  <meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"/> <title>GSI Online » Samuel Ball-Brau</title> <meta name="robots" content="noindex,follow"/> <meta name="generator" content="WordPress 2.3.3"/>  <link rel="stylesheet" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321cs_/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/wp-content/themes/gsicsis/style.css" type="text/css" media="screen"/> <link rel="stylesheet" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321cs_/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/wp-content/themes/gsicsis/style.css" type="text/css" media="screen"/> <link rel="alternate" type="application/rss+xml" title="GSI Online RSS Feed" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?feed=rss2"/> <link rel="pingback" href="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/xmlrpc.php"/> <link rel="EditURI" type="application/rsd+xml" title="RSD" href="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/xmlrpc.php?rsd"/> <link rel="wlwmanifest" type="application/wlwmanifest+xml" href="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/wp-includes/wlwmanifest.xml"/> <script type="text/javascript" src="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321js_/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/wp-content/plugins/flash-video-player/swfobject.js"></script> </head> <body> <div id="wrapper"> <div id="header"> <a title="Global Strategy Institute" class="logo" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/">Global Strategy Institute</a> <a title="CSIS" class="logoCSIS" target="_blank" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.csis.org/">CSIS</a> <div id="mainNav"> <ul class="mainlevel-sfHM" id="menulist_root-sfHM"> <li id="menuitem_1-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM"><a id="menulink_1-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=12&Itemid=41">Home Page</a></li> <li id="menuitem_2-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM"><a id="menulink_2-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=13&Itemid=42">About GSI</a></li> <li id="menuitem_3-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM"><a id="menulink_3-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=19&Itemid=48">Seven Revolutions</a></li> <li id="menuitem_4-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM"><a id="menulink_4-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=36&Itemid=65">Seven Futures</a></li> <li id="menuitem_5-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM"><a id="menulink_5-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=51&Itemid=80">Global Water Futures</a></li> <li id="menuitem_6-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM"><a id="menulink_6-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=65&Itemid=94">Higher Education Initiative</a></li> <li id="menuitem_7-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM"><a id="menulink_7-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=69&Itemid=98">Class of 2025</a></li> <li id="menuitem_8-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM"><a id="menulink_8-sfHM" class="mainlevel-sfHM" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=76&Itemid=105">Strategic Planning</a></li> </ul> </div>  </div> <div id="banner"> <div id="sectionTitle"> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/"><img width="130" height="48" alt="" src="/web/20090902212321im_/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/wp-content/themes/gsicsis/images/st-gsiOnline.gif"/></a> </div> <div id="search"> <form action="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline" method="get" id="searchform"> <input type="text" name="s" id="mod_search_searchword" maxlength="24" alt="search" class="inputbox" size="20" value="" onblur="if(this.value=='') this.value='';" onfocus="if(this.value=='') this.value='';"/> <button class="button" type="submit">Search</button> </form> </div> </div> </div> <div id="contentWrapper"> <div id="wrapper-inner"><div id="left"> <div id="mainc"> <div id="content" class="narrowcolumn typo"> <h3 class="pagetitle">Author Archive</h3> <div class="navigation"> <div class="alignleft"> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17&paged=2">← next</a> </div> <div class="alignright"> </div> </div> <br class="clear"/> <div class="post"> <h3 class="timr">published: August 18th, 2009 </h3> <h2 id="post-842"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=842" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to There Is One Place America Agrees on Spending More on Healthcare: For Vets"> There Is One Place America Agrees on Spending More on Healthcare: For Vets </a></h2> <p class="postmetadata">  Category <span class="catr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=20" title="View all posts in Defense & Security" rel="category">Defense & Security</a></span> : <br/> Written by <a href="/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17">Samuel Ball-Brau</a> <span class="commr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=842#respond" title="Comment on There Is One Place America Agrees on Spending More on Healthcare: For Vets">no comments »</a></span> </p> <div class="entry"> <p>Amidst the chaos and confusion over the national health care debate, there is a bipartisan commitment to increasing benefits to veterans. Today in front of the VFW national convention in Phoenix, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/news/articles/2009/08/18/20090818obama-main0818.html" target="_blank">President Obama drew the loudest applause</a> when he called for expanding veteran’s health benefits. Many of the President’s concerns were indicative of the modern complications of veteran’s health care as he paid special attention to mental health.</p> <p>This comes as the American military is finally facing the massive toll that mental health problems, such as post-traumatic stress disorder, take on our veterans. As a recent <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/18/health/18psych.html" target="_blank">New York Times article explains</a>,</p> <blockquote><p>The Army plans to require that all 1.1 million of its soldiers take intensive training in emotional resiliency, military officials say.</p></blockquote> <blockquote><p>The training, the first of its kind in the military, is meant to improve performance in combat and head off the mental health problems, including depression, post-traumatic stress disorder and suicide, that plague about one-fifth of troops returning from Afghanistan and Iraq.</p></blockquote> <p>There is no consensus about what techniques work the best, and it is clear that each treatment has to treat the patient individually; but this is a real breakthrough in investing in the type of preventative health care that we have been hearing about for so long. As they say, ‘an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure’, and hopefully this program, and others like it, will prove to be a public investment in our nation’s long term health. As we deal with issues such as health care, we have to constantly remind ourselves that we cannot let ourselves be wrapped up in rhetoric and polemic sound-bites. We have to think in the margins, and keep a 50,000 foot view of the impact our decisions now will have in the long run.</p> <p>In the end, we have to think outside the box. For example, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/08/17/AR2009081702114.html?hpid=sec-tech" target="_blank">video games</a> and <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.daily-times.com/ci_13142216" target="_blank">donkeys</a> have helped our soldiers deal with the stress that regular citizens cannot possibly comprehend; all we can do is communicate clearly, learn, and work together to make intelligent policy.</p> </div><div class="tagbox"> </div> </div> <div class="post"> <h3 class="timr">published: August 17th, 2009 </h3> <h2 id="post-841"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=841" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Twitter Wars"> Twitter Wars </a></h2> <p class="postmetadata">  Category <span class="catr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=39" title="View all posts in Information Flows" rel="category">Information Flows</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=38" title="View all posts in Technology" rel="category">Technology</a></span> : <br/> Written by <a href="/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17">Samuel Ball-Brau</a> <span class="commr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=841#respond" title="Comment on Twitter Wars">no comments »</a></span> </p> <div class="entry"> <p>Imagine: it’s right before the 21st amendment is ratified in 1933, so prohibition is still the law of the land. We’re in New Hartford, Iowa and a newborn Chuck Grassley is a few thousand cornfields away from a three year old Arlen Specter who is in Kansas. Fast forward to 2009 and these two seventy-somethings had a public altercation: on Twitter.</p> <p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.politico.com/blogs/anneschroeder/" target="_blank">Politico</a> had the scoop, and they noted that not only was Senator Specter angry with Senator Grassley, he used Twitter to express his frustrations. As Senator Specter <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://twitter.com/SenArlenSpecter" target="_blank">tweeted</a>, “Called Senator Grassley to tell him to stop spreading myths about health care reform and imaginary ‘death panels.’” Senator Grassley <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://twitter.com/ChuckGrassley" target="_blank">responded</a>, “Specter got it all wrong that I ever used words ‘death boards.’ Even liberal press never accused me of that. So change ur last Tweet Arlen.” If you can get over the fact that Senator Grassley wrote, “ur”, it is clear that we have entered a new era of political discourse. If two men who were born before the fireside chats can debate on Twitter, what medium will our generation use to yell at each other when we are in our seventies?</p> <p>It is clear that Twitter is changing how we argue, debate, and learn from one another. In Iran, it was a positive tool for rallying political dissidents behind reformist movements, however, here we see the dark side of Twitter as well. Instead of a substantive debate on the merits of health care reform, we just have vitriol and “he said, she said” back and forth that gets us nowhere. There is a balance to be found, and I don’t think we’re there yet.</p> </div><div class="tagbox"> </div> </div> <div class="post"> <h3 class="timr">published: August 11th, 2009 </h3> <h2 id="post-838"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=838" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to 40,000 Volts"> 40,000 Volts </a></h2> <p class="postmetadata">  Category <span class="catr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=13" title="View all posts in Governance" rel="category">Governance</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=38" title="View all posts in Technology" rel="category">Technology</a></span> : <br/> Written by <a href="/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17">Samuel Ball-Brau</a> <span class="commr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=838#respond" title="Comment on 40,000 Volts">no comments »</a></span> </p> <div class="entry"> <p> The Volt has enough volts to go 40 miles, if you are willing to pony up the $40,000 cost for a <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.chevrolet.com/pages/open/default/fuel/electric.do" target="_blank">Volt</a>. Although, because the Volt’s use of a single volt is so efficient, the government (which is composed of, us, and who owns a large stake of Chevy) is willing to subsidize your purchase, so it will likely only cost about $32,500. Are we all confused enough yet?</p> <p>The good news from the company we all own (General Motors) is that the new plug-in flex-fuel car will get <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/08/11/AR2009081101090.html?hpid=topnews" target="_blank">230 miles per gallon</a>. This makes it fuel efficient enough to warrant the aforementioned subsidy. The whole ordeal seems largely circular: our stake in GM is so large, that why even go through bureaucratic inefficiencies that I am sure will accompany any sort of tax break, and just price the car we are marketing to ourselves at a lower price? Hopefully, the investment in our future will have a high return as we mitigate the negative externalities associated with modern vehicles, but I am worried that we are just trading one problem for another.</p> <p>One driving force for the environmental movement is that the nation’s reliance on foreign sources of oil compromises our energy security. Yet, at a discussion hosted by the Atlantic Council yesterday, members of the GSI team saw Sharon Burke present a <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.cnas.org/node/2712" target="_blank">working paper</a> she is developing for CNAS. In it she highlights the new “natural security” issues we are facing, including the issues associated with the particular case of importing lithium. Familiar because it currently powers our laptops, new electric cars need so much lithium that demand is expected to triple, and given that about half of the lithium in the world is in <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.abcnews.go.com/Technology/JustOneThing/story?id=8257028&page=1" target="_blank">Bolivian salt flats</a>, it seems that we are just trading one vulnerability for another.</p> <p>Taking a step back from geopolitical ramifications though — what will the real impact of the Volt prove to be? In this era, what percentage of the market can afford to sink that much money into a car, even if there is a long term savings? The reality is that we are already losing the economic battle to be producers of lithium-ion batteries. Forget investing in second place, and instead, invest in the next generation of more efficient batteries. One reason the Volt is so expensive is that <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gm-volt.com/2008/09/03/lutz-each-volt-factors-in-the-cost-of-a-battery-replacement/" target="_blank">¼ of the cost of the vehicle</a> is wrapped up in the battery! Paying $10,000 for a battery (that needs to be replaced occasionally) that can only get me one way from Baltimore to Washington D.C.? No thank you, I’ll take a $7 train 1,428 times, buy three sodas, and pocket a quarter. Let’s invest in public transit.</p> <p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=500#more-500" target="_blank">Past GSI Blogs on the Volt</a><br/> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=835" target="_blank">GSI Blog Perspective on Government Subsidies and Public Transit</a></p> </div><div class="tagbox"> </div> </div> <div class="post"> <h3 class="timr">published: August 4th, 2009 </h3> <h2 id="post-833"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=833" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Clinton Tag Team Springs Two Captured American Journalists"> Clinton Tag Team Springs Two Captured American Journalists </a></h2> <p class="postmetadata">  Category <span class="catr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=20" title="View all posts in Defense & Security" rel="category">Defense & Security</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=35" title="View all posts in Human Rights & Development" rel="category">Human Rights & Development</a></span> : <br/> Written by <a href="/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17">Samuel Ball-Brau</a> <span class="commr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=833#respond" title="Comment on Clinton Tag Team Springs Two Captured American Journalists">no comments »</a></span> </p> <div class="entry"> <p>As reported by the <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/A/AS_NKOREA_JOURNALISTS_HELD?SITE=MAFAL&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT" target="_blank">AP</a>, the two captured American journalists have been issued a “special pardon” by North Korean leader Kim Jong Il. The tipping point for the release of the two journalists came from the diplomatic intervention by former President Bill Clinton on behalf of the two American citizens. Apparently he was rather persuasive, but given that the official North Korean stance is that the nation embraces a, “humanitarian and peaceloving policy”, perhaps the release was purely a result of benevolence by a newly reformed Kim Jong Il! That seems about as likely as Clinton going to North Korea to help alleviate ubiquitous <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8129157.stm" target="_blank">food shortages</a> with his <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=830" target="_blank">personal food surplus</a>.</p> <p>The release is a win for America as a whole, but in addition, is a sign of stability for the Obama administration. As reported, the women were released instead of being forced to serve for twelve years of labor in notoriously brutal North Korean labor camps. As reported by <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0709/25530.html" target="_blank">Politico</a>, Hillary Clinton played an important role in securing the release of the journalists as well. After initially trying, and failing, to strong arm the North Koreans into releasing the American citizens, she recently switched tactics and requested Kim Jong Il to grant amnesty. This is an important rhetorical point when dealing with a dictator who is worried about power consolidation, particularly as he plans to pass on power to his youngest son, Kim Jong Un.</p> <p>The American journalists were attempting to bring media attention to human rights violations in the area, and in a twist of fate, actually were working for <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://current.com/" target="_blank">Current TV</a>, which is led by former Vice President Al Gore. The perfect democrat trifecta?</p> </div><div class="tagbox"> </div> </div> <div class="post"> <h3 class="timr">published: July 29th, 2009 </h3> <h2 id="post-830"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=830" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Hold the Mayo?!"> Hold the Mayo?! </a></h2> <p class="postmetadata">  Category <span class="catr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=13" title="View all posts in Governance" rel="category">Governance</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=18" title="View all posts in U.S. Competitiveness" rel="category">U.S. Competitiveness</a></span> : <br/> Written by <a href="/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17">Samuel Ball-Brau</a> <span class="commr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=830#respond" title="Comment on Hold the Mayo?!">no comments »</a></span> </p> <div class="entry"> <p>Now, the truth is, I have no beef with former President Bill Clinton, but he does deserve a ribbing for his behavior yesterday up in Tenleytown. As reported by the Post, Bubba had quite an order for dinner at <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://voices.washingtonpost.com/reliable-source/2009/07/hey_isnt_that_133.html" target="_blank">Z Burger for dinner</a>. He audaciously ordered onion rings, fries, an apple pie flavored milk shake, and the piece de resistance: a double burger, with no mayo. He must be on a diet.</p> <p>This is all juxtaposed with the Clinton Foundation’s participation with the CDC’s new conference on obesity, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://guest.cvent.com/EVENTS/Info/Summary.aspx?e=815f3980-e9c7-4a48-8569-a6daf4e39e8b" target="_blank">“Weight of a Nation”</a>, which is taking place right now here in DC. As noted by Bloomberg, we are now spending 10% of our health costs on obesity related causes, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601124&sid=aTy59DsnA3Wg" target="_blank">reaching $147 billion in 2008</a>.</p> <p>As the nation struggles to find agreement over where the health care reform bill should take us, it is clear on both sides of the isle that we need increases in personal accountability, as well as increased transparency from food companies as to what we are consuming. We all love burgers, fries, onion rings and shakes, but Bill, when you’re campaigning against obesity, perhaps you shouldn’t enjoy them all at once? We should make a move towards more efficient preventative care, and away from the status quo of health care which invests far too much in inefficient treatments often designed to avoid malpractice. Right now, partisan bickering is taking over the debate, and real policy debate is suffering. We do not want a bill laden with pork: let’s just cut the fat, not let too many cooks spoil the soup, and take a collective bite out of the problem.</p> <p>Credit goes to <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.politico.com/blogs/anneschroeder/0709/Shot_and_chaser_Bill_Clinton_style.html" target="_blank">Politico</a> for noticing Clinton’s poorly timed snack.</p> <p>But the terrible jokes are all mine.</p> </div><div class="tagbox"> </div> </div> <div class="post"> <h3 class="timr">published: July 27th, 2009 </h3> <h2 id="post-829"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=829" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Artificial Unintelligence"> Artificial Unintelligence </a></h2> <p class="postmetadata">  Category <span class="catr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=38" title="View all posts in Technology" rel="category">Technology</a></span> : <br/> Written by <a href="/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17">Samuel Ball-Brau</a> <span class="commr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=829#respond" title="Comment on Artificial Unintelligence">no comments »</a></span> </p> <div class="entry"> <p>If the movies are right, the explosion of artificial intelligence will lead us down one of two routes: (1) a violent dystopia with humanity fighting against machines who try and control us or (2) an explosive debate over whether machines who can hurt, feel and empathize can find love. Ok, I know the Matrix vs. A.I. comparison (or Terminator vs. Blade Runner) is an oversimplification, but when confronted with New York Times headlines like, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/26/science/26robot.html?_r=2&ref=science" target="_blank">“Scientists Worry Machines May Outsmart Man”</a>, I know I’m not the only one resorting to hyperbole.The article itself is far less dramatic than the headline, and, aside from ruining the plot twist in a Kubrick film I haven’t seen yet, does not offer many surprises. In many ways, this blog entry is a meta-analysis of what makes the NYT article the most read in the entire technology section of the Times: the content is not that frightening, mostly referring to February conference hosted by <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.aaai.org/AITopics/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/AITopics/Ethics" target="_blank">AAAI</a>, whose report will soon be published, but the public’s fascination with superior artificial intelligence is powerful.The article makes an illustrative reference to Nobel Laureate Dr. Paul Berg’s stance.<br/> <blockquote>[Dr.] Paul Berg…said it was important for scientific communities to engage the public before alarm and opposition becomes unshakable.</p></blockquote> <blockquote><p>“If you wait too long and the sides become entrenched like with G.M.O.,” he said, referring to genetically modified foods, “then it is very difficult. It’s too complex, and people talk right past each other.”</p></blockquote> <p>Unfortunately, it seems as though the debate will be framed by sensationalist headlines, like this one, and Hollywood blockbuster films rather than thoughtful policy debate. If only the article’s author had listened to Dr. Berg’s concern that he ironically included in this article.</p> </div><div class="tagbox"> </div> </div> <div class="post"> <h3 class="timr">published: July 23rd, 2009 </h3> <h2 id="post-827"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=827" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to H1N1 Sizzles"> H1N1 Sizzles </a></h2> <p class="postmetadata">  Category <span class="catr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=20" title="View all posts in Defense & Security" rel="category">Defense & Security</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=15" title="View all posts in Population" rel="category">Population</a></span> : <br/> Written by <a href="/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17">Samuel Ball-Brau</a> <span class="commr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=827#respond" title="Comment on H1N1 Sizzles">no comments »</a></span> </p> <div class="entry"> <p>Pigs may lack the glands necessary to sweat, but they are sure making health officials world wide wipe perspiration off their collective foreheads as governments everywhere brace for swine flu. Here in the states, as reported by the <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gcx9bjqSn_mHLMw5rb3eoY32TZdQD99KAH2G3" target="_blank">Associated Press</a>, “The U.S. expects to have 160 million doses of swine flu vaccine available sometime in October, even though manufacturers worldwide are having serious trouble brewing the shots.” The doses themselves have a main ingredient that should be awfully comfortable with pigs: chicken eggs. Breakfast allusions aside, American officials have several advantages in dealing with swine flu: America has the world’s only vaccine delivery system that relies on a nasal spray, along with a large number of doses relative to our population.</p> <p>Different regions are dealing with the outbreaks in their own way: <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5hG6zmXnY6v5La-llZ8qbQIrdE-WAD99J36O80" target="_blank">as reported</a>, several Muslim countries are advising vulnerable demographics to postpone hajj pilgrimages this year for fear of contracting the vaccine, and certain congregations are adjusting communion traditions to try to combat the spread of the disease with <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5jWmlKuMRUrJ3uu6uCilqghYPJDqwD99JNKFO0">New Zealand</a> taking the extra step of banning the sharing of communion wine, and prohibiting priests from placing communion wafers on the tongues of parishioners. Their dedication to controlling the potentially deadly strain of influenza, shall we say, takes the bacon.</p> </div><div class="tagbox"> </div> </div> <div class="post"> <h3 class="timr">published: July 22nd, 2009 </h3> <h2 id="post-826"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=826" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to Silver Throws Down the Glove"> Silver Throws Down the Glove </a></h2> <p class="postmetadata">  Category <span class="catr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=39" title="View all posts in Information Flows" rel="category">Information Flows</a>, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=38" title="View all posts in Technology" rel="category">Technology</a></span> : <br/> Written by <a href="/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17">Samuel Ball-Brau</a> <span class="commr"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=826#respond" title="Comment on Silver Throws Down the Glove">no comments »</a></span> </p> <div class="entry"> <p><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2009/07/024075.php" target="_blank">Noted statistician and blogger Nathan Silver</a> has asked those critical of climate change to put their money where their mouths are: he has suggested a wager. Silver, who achieved national acclaim following his successful prediction of 49 of 50 states’ final results in 2008 presidential election, initially made his mark in the baseball world where his application of economics has changed the way people look at the numbers-dominated game. Silver’s caustic wit shines through as he issues his challenge:</p> <ol> <li>For each day that the high temperature in your hometown is at least 1 degree Fahrenheit above average, as listed by Weather Underground, you owe me $25. For each day that it is at least 1 degree Fahrenheit below average, I owe you $25.</li> <li>The challenge proceeds in monthly intervals, with the first month being August. At the end of each month, we’ll tally up the winning and losing days and the loser writes the winner a check for the balance.</li> <li>The challenge automatically rolls over to the next month until/unless: (i) one party informs the other by the 20th of the previous month that he would like to discontinue the challenge (that is, if you want to discontinue the challenge for September, you’d have to tell me this by August 20th), or (ii) the losing party has failed to pay the winning party in a timely fashion, in which case the challenge may be canceled at the sole discretion of the winning party.</li> </ol> <p>Any takers out there? Silver hasn’t found any. Perhaps they were intimidated by the confidence in his challenge as he explained his primary motivations were to show people the meaning of statistics, and make money.</p> <p>There is still skepticism in politics about how much human activity has impacted climate change, and even more about what cutting carbon emissions will do to actually help things, but it seems clear to those objective enough to look at numbers that something must be done.</p> <p>Be sure to also check out an interesting perspective on the Gore solution to climate change in this month’s <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.esquire.com/print-this/new-solutions-to-global-warming-0809-2" target="_blank">Esquire magazine</a> by vocal climate change guru, Bjørn Lomborg.</p> </div><div class="tagbox"> Tags: <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=climate-change" rel="tag">Climate Change</a></div> </div> <div class="navigation"> <div class="alignleft"> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/index.php?author=17&paged=2">« next</a> </div> <div class="alignright"> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div id="sidebar"> <div class="side1"> <ul> <li class="widget"> <h2>Subscribe</h2> <ul> <li class="noBullet"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?feed=rss2">Entries RSS <img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321im_/http://forums.csis.org/iran/wp-content/themes/iran/images/feed_icon.png"></a></li> <li class="noBullet"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?feed=comments-rss2">Comments RSS <img src="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321im_/http://forums.csis.org/iran/wp-content/themes/iran/images/feed_icon.png"></a></li> </ul> </li> <li id="categories-1" class="widget widget_categories"><h2 class="widgettitle">Categories</h2> <ul> <li class="cat-item cat-item-20"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=20" title="View all posts filed under Defense & Security">Defense & Security</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-4"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=4" title="View all posts filed under Economic Integration">Economic Integration</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-13"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=13" title="View all posts filed under Governance">Governance</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-35"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=35" title="View all posts filed under Human Rights & Development">Human Rights & Development</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-39"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=39" title="View all posts filed under Information Flows">Information Flows</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-15"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=15" title="View all posts filed under Population">Population</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-19"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=19" title="View all posts filed under Resource Management">Resource Management</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-38"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=38" title="View all posts filed under Technology">Technology</a> </li> <li class="cat-item cat-item-18"><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?cat=18" title="View all posts filed under U.S. Competitiveness">U.S. Competitiveness</a> </li> </ul> </li> <li id="archives" class="widget widget_archives"><h2 class="widgettitle">Archives</h2> <select name="archive-dropdown" onchange="document.location.href=this.options[this.selectedIndex].value;"> <option value="">Select Month</option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200908"> August 2009 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200907"> July 2009 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200906"> June 2009 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200905"> May 2009 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200904"> April 2009 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200903"> March 2009 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200902"> February 2009 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200901"> January 2009 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200812"> December 2008 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200811"> November 2008 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200810"> October 2008 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200809"> September 2008 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200808"> August 2008 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200807"> July 2008 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200806"> June 2008 </option> <option value="http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?m=200805"> May 2008 </option> </select> </li> <li id="links" class="widget widget_links"><h2 class="widgettitle">Sites We Like</h2> <ul> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.bigthink.com/">Big Think</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://demographymatters.blogspot.com/">demography.matters</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.diplomaticourier.org/">Diplomatic Courier</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://blog.foreignpolicy.com/">Foreign Policy Passport</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.hopethroughhealinghands.org/index.cfm?Fuseaction=Blogs.Home" title="Using health as a currency for peace">Hope Through Healing Hands</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://blogs.iht.com/tribtalk/business/globalization/index.php">IHT Managing Globalization</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://mappingthefuture.csis.org/">Mapping the Future</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://nextamerica.csis.org/">Next America</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.iftf.org/">The Institute for the Future</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://newsecuritybeat.blogspot.com/">The New Security Beat</a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://www.storyofstuff.com/blog/">The Story of Stuff</a></li> </ul> </li> </div> </div> </div>  <div id="right"> <div class="side2"> <ul> <li> <li id="recent-posts" class="widget widget_recent_entries"> <h2 class="widgettitle">Recent Posts</h2> <ul> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=844">Does Pop Culture Rot Your Brain? </a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=843">Water Blogged </a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=842">There Is One Place America Agrees on Spending More on Healthcare: For Vets </a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=841">Twitter Wars </a></li> <li><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?p=840">Google Revives Legacy of Danish Physicist </a></li> </ul> </li> <li> <h2>Popular Tags</h2> <ul><a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=afghanistan" class="tag-link-62" title="1 topics" style="font-size: 8pt;">Afghanistan</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=alternative-fuels" class="tag-link-36" title="15 topics" style="font-size: 10.857142857143pt;">Alternative Fuels</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=antarctica" class="tag-link-90" title="5 topics" style="font-size: 8.8163265306122pt;">Antarctica</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=brazil" class="tag-link-37" title="2 topics" style="font-size: 8.2040816326531pt;">Brazil</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=bric-countries" class="tag-link-66" title="5 topics" style="font-size: 8.8163265306122pt;">BRIC Countries</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=censorship" class="tag-link-53" title="3 topics" style="font-size: 8.4081632653061pt;">Censorship</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=china" class="tag-link-22" title="14 topics" style="font-size: 10.65306122449pt;">China</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=chronic-disease" class="tag-link-33" title="7 topics" style="font-size: 9.2244897959184pt;">Chronic Disease</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=class-of-2025" class="tag-link-91" title="4 topics" style="font-size: 8.6122448979592pt;">Class of 2025</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=climate-change" class="tag-link-30" title="29 topics" style="font-size: 13.714285714286pt;">Climate Change</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=east-southeast-asia" class="tag-link-5" title="25 topics" style="font-size: 12.897959183673pt;">East & Southeast Asia</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=economic-crisis" class="tag-link-84" title="18 topics" style="font-size: 11.469387755102pt;">Economic crisis</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=education" class="tag-link-49" title="20 topics" style="font-size: 11.877551020408pt;">Education</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=energy" class="tag-link-23" title="43 topics" style="font-size: 16.571428571429pt;">Energy</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=europe" class="tag-link-45" title="12 topics" style="font-size: 10.244897959184pt;">Europe</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=events-around-town" class="tag-link-67" title="10 topics" style="font-size: 9.8367346938776pt;">Events Around Town</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=food" class="tag-link-93" title="2 topics" style="font-size: 8.2040816326531pt;">Food</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=food-and-agriculture" class="tag-link-58" title="29 topics" style="font-size: 13.714285714286pt;">Food and Agriculture</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=globalization" class="tag-link-24" title="39 topics" style="font-size: 15.755102040816pt;">Globalization</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=global-water-futures" class="tag-link-86" title="2 topics" style="font-size: 8.2040816326531pt;">Global Water Futures</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=gsi-bookshelf" class="tag-link-25" title="2 topics" style="font-size: 8.2040816326531pt;">GSI's bookshelf</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=india" class="tag-link-26" title="7 topics" style="font-size: 9.2244897959184pt;">India</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=inequality" class="tag-link-59" title="12 topics" style="font-size: 10.244897959184pt;">Inequality</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=infrastructure" class="tag-link-92" title="2 topics" style="font-size: 8.2040816326531pt;">Infrastructure</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=iran" class="tag-link-64" title="2 topics" style="font-size: 8.2040816326531pt;">Iran</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=latin-america-the-caribbean" class="tag-link-41" title="4 topics" style="font-size: 8.6122448979592pt;">Latin America & the Caribbean</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=middle-east-and-north-africa" class="tag-link-47" title="8 topics" style="font-size: 9.4285714285714pt;">Middle East and North Africa</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=nanotechnology" class="tag-link-55" title="4 topics" style="font-size: 8.6122448979592pt;">Nanotechnology</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=north-america" class="tag-link-43" title="20 topics" style="font-size: 11.877551020408pt;">North America</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=north-korea" class="tag-link-70" title="2 topics" style="font-size: 8.2040816326531pt;">North Korea</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=pakistan" class="tag-link-63" title="2 topics" style="font-size: 8.2040816326531pt;">Pakistan</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=public-private-partnerships" class="tag-link-77" title="1 topics" style="font-size: 8pt;">public-private partnerships</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=russiaeurasia" class="tag-link-28" title="3 topics" style="font-size: 8.4081632653061pt;">Russia/Eurasia</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=sanitation" class="tag-link-78" title="5 topics" style="font-size: 8.8163265306122pt;">sanitation</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=scenarios" class="tag-link-42" title="3 topics" style="font-size: 8.4081632653061pt;">Scenarios</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=seven-revolutions" class="tag-link-83" title="26 topics" style="font-size: 13.102040816327pt;">Seven Revolutions</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=south-asia" class="tag-link-29" title="8 topics" style="font-size: 9.4285714285714pt;">South Asia</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=space" class="tag-link-46" title="3 topics" style="font-size: 8.4081632653061pt;">Space</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=sub-saharan-africa" class="tag-link-21" title="10 topics" style="font-size: 9.8367346938776pt;">Sub-Saharan Africa</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=united-states" class="tag-link-17" title="43 topics" style="font-size: 16.571428571429pt;">United States</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=urbanization" class="tag-link-16" title="2 topics" style="font-size: 8.2040816326531pt;">Urbanization</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=video" class="tag-link-89" title="4 topics" style="font-size: 8.6122448979592pt;">Video</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=water" class="tag-link-31" title="50 topics" style="font-size: 18pt;">Water</a> <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?tag=zimbabwe" class="tag-link-68" title="1 topics" style="font-size: 8pt;">Zimbabwe</a></ul> </li> <br/> </div> </div> <br class="clear"/> </div> </div> <div id="footerNavWrap"> <div id="footerNav"> <ul class="mainlevel-bm" id="menulist_root-bm"> <li id="menuitem_1-bm"><a id="menulink_1-bm" class="mainlevel-bm" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php">HOME</a></li> <li id="menuitem_2-bm"><a id="menulink_2-bm" class="mainlevel-bm" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=13&Itemid=42">ABOUT US</a></li> <li id="menuitem_3-bm"><a id="menulink_3-bm" class="mainlevel-bm" target="_blank" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline">BLOG (GSIonline)</a></li> <li id="menuitem_4-bm"><a id="menulink_4-bm" class="mainlevel-bm" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=blogsection&id=9&Itemid=136">VIDEO LIBRARY</a></li> <li id="menuitem_5-bm"><a id="menulink_5-bm" class="mainlevel-bm" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://gsi.csis.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=18&Itemid=47">CONTACT US</a></li> <li id="menuitem_6-bm"><a id="menulink_6-bm" class="mainlevel-bm" target="_blank" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?feed=rss2">ENTRIES RSS</a></li> <li id="menuitem_6-bm"><a id="menulink_6-bm" class="mainlevel-bm" target="_blank" href="https://web.archive.org/web/20090902212321/http://forums.csis.org/gsionline/?feed=comments-rss2">COMMENTS RSS</a></li> </ul> </div> </div> <div id="footerCopyWrap"> <div id="footerCopy"> <p>© 2008 <strong>CSIS Global Strategy Institute</strong>, 1800 K Street, NW, Washington DC, 20006 | Tel: 202-887-0200 | Fax: 202-775-3199</p> </div> </div> </body> </html>