Mysteel早读：黑色期货夜盘下跌，3月制造业用钢预期加快回暖-我的钢铁网

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{ ap.audio.addEventListener('ended', function () { ap.audio.play() setTimeout(function(){ ap.audio.currentTime=0 ap.audio.pause() if($('.merquee-txt').outerWidth()>$('.sub-t').outerWidth()){ $('.merquee-txt').addClass('merquee-move') } },400) }, false); } catch (error) { } try { document.addEventListener('visibilitychange', function() { if (document.hidden) { // 关闭背景音乐 ap.pause() } else { // 开启背景音乐 // ap.play() } }) } catch (err) { } if($('.merquee-txt').outerWidth()>$('.sub-t').outerWidth()){ $('.merquee-txt').addClass('merquee-move') } </script> <div data-val="8180" id="article-content"> <div id="text"> <p><img style="float: left;" src="//img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2022/05/20/da665943a06c48fc91b299677ef63699.png" alt="" width="375" height="30" /></p> <p>◎ 截至2月27日（农历正月十八），<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>百年建筑调研全国10094个工地开复工率39.9%，农历同比增加1.5个百分点</strong>；</span>劳务上工率38.1%，农历同比下降5.2个百分点。建筑实物量整体低于去年，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>主材消费量农历同比减少约30%，</strong></span>实物量下降的主要因素包括：新项目总量减少且开工进度慢于去年，部分地区特定的续建项目暂缓施工。<a href="https://m.steelphone.com/share/article/index.html?userId=802196&objectId=34678881&channelId=07&protocolVersion=6.7.0&isAllBreed=false&articleOpenType=&topAdvId=07&topAdvType=47&bottomAdvId=07&bottomAdvType=52&sysSmsId=&uniqueMark=3c9cbab410b1461eba31"><span style="color: #0000e1;">详情>></span></a></p> <p>◎ <span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>3月制造业用钢预期复工步伐加快：</strong></span><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>从调研情况了解到，预计3月份钢构行业开工进度加快，叠加2月备货不多，原料库存月环比增加46.11%；机械行业样本企业原料库存月环比增加9.62%，整体库存消化速率得到提升，原料可用天数微幅上行1.23%；家电排产实绩增长，样本企业原料库存月环比增加19.67%；汽车行业样本企业原料库存环比下跌4.76%，原料日耗环比小幅下滑0.2%。<a href="https://m.steelphone.com/share/article/index.html?userId=802196&objectId=34683573&channelId=07&protocolVersion=6.7.0&isAllBreed=false&articleOpenType=&topAdvId=07&topAdvType=47&bottomAdvId=07&bottomAdvType=52&sysSmsId=&uniqueMark=c0ee12c45b8c4d55b67e"><span style="color: #0000e1;">详情>></span></a></p> <p><img style="width: 375px; height: 30px; float: left;" src="//img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/quotaTemplate/2021/05/19/163010.png" alt="" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/02/29/fd7e70070dcc4d65b0cb28a43ac1f9e0.png" width="600" height="193" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/02/29/ff75087ffd804e048a53e923251438c1.png" width="600" height="654" /></p> <p><img style="width: 375px; height: 30px; float: left;" src="//img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/quotaTemplate/2021/04/14/144933.png" alt="" /></p> <p>◎ 国务院总理李强28日在京会见由美国商会会长兼首席执行官克拉克率领的访华团。李强表示，今年是中美建交45周年，中方愿同美方一道落实好两国元首重要共识，推动两国关系健康稳定发展。中美经济高度互补，利益深度融合，加强经贸合作对两国是双赢，搞“脱钩断链”“小院高墙”不符合双方根本利益。</p> <p>◎ 央行与上海市举行工作座谈会。央行行长潘功胜表示，将继续大力支持上海国际金融中心建设和扩大金融高水平开放。</p> <p><img style="width: 375px; height: 30px; float: left;" src="//img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/quotaTemplate/2021/04/14/144946.png" alt="" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="//img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/02/29/93344223fe5646d6ab5e0f8f31a90ced.png" width="600" height="298" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="//img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/02/29/21c8f8046c4a41598ece907419ec282c.png" width="600" height="251" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="//img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/02/29/3fa6aee6a71349d0934cb2361ab6fb9d.png" width="600" height="250" /></p> <p><img style="max-width: 100%;" src="//img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/02/29/196b716d443d49b48133fcd3b4661c48.png" alt="IMG_256" width="600" height="298" /></p> <p>◎ 2月28日，全国主港<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁矿石</a>成交86.90万吨，环比减5%；237家主流贸易商<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>建筑钢材</a>成交7.83万吨，环比减27.2%。</p> <p>◎ 本周唐山主流样本钢厂平均铁水不含税成本为2877元/吨，平均<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0307-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>钢坯</a>含税成本3706元/吨，周环比下调58元/吨，与2月28日普方坯出厂价格3550元/吨相比，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>钢厂平均亏损156元/吨，周环比减少68元/吨。</strong></span></p> <p>◎ <span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>Mysteel预计铁矿石一季度到港量为2.87亿吨，环比去年四季度下降1517.7万吨，同比增加1597.2万吨。</strong></span>预计一季度全球<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-6242-------------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁矿石发运</a>量将达到3.69亿吨，环比去年四季度减少5047万吨，属于正常季节性波动，但同比预计增加638万吨，高于去年同期水平。<span style="color: #0000e1;"><a href="https://m.steelphone.com/share/article/index.html?userId=802196&objectId=34682407&channelId=07&protocolVersion=6.7.0&isAllBreed=false&articleOpenType=&topAdvId=07&topAdvType=47&bottomAdvId=07&bottomAdvType=52&sysSmsId=&uniqueMark=1fcbb439fe23440f9555" style="color: #0000e1;">详情>></a></span></p> <p>◎ 2月下旬，伊朗宣布再次调整其炼钢行业相关的出口关税政策，其中铁矿石<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/price/p-10480-031116-1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>球团</a>及精粉的出口关税由此前的20%分别大幅下调至2%和5%。结合历年伊朗出口关税的变化情况及Mysteel独家调研内容，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>判断2024年国内对于伊朗铁矿石的进口量仍将在1000-1200万吨区间浮动，</strong></span>几无可能重回2000万吨以上的峰值水平，后续需关注伊朗当地钢铁及铁矿生产增速的错配情况。<a href="https://m.steelphone.com/share/article/index.html?userId=802196&objectId=34677763&channelId=07&protocolVersion=6.7.0&isAllBreed=false&articleOpenType=&topAdvId=07&topAdvType=47&bottomAdvId=07&bottomAdvType=52&sysSmsId=&uniqueMark=96224c7ec3b34a42900d"><span style="color: #0000e1;">详情>></span></a></p> <p>◎ 目前，江西地区企业停产检修情况和环保压力的受影响程度成为行业关注焦点。根据Mysteel调研，江西头部锂盐企业目前正常生产，一半的江西锂盐企业仍处于检修状态。大部分江西锂盐厂反馈，<span style="color: #a52a2a;"><strong>认为江西环保压力影响较大，环保可能影响1-2月。</strong></span><a 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