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22Zm-4.5 1.2 3.67-2.45.38-.25H20a2.5 2.5 0 0 0 2.5-2.5V9A2.5 2.5 0 0 0 20 6.5H7A2.5 2.5 0 0 0 4.5 9v14.2ZM9 11h9v1.5H9V11Zm9 3.5H9V16h9v-1.5Z"/></svg></span></span><span class="content-bYDQcOkp nowrap-bYDQcOkp apply-overflow-tooltip apply-overflow-tooltip--check-children-recursively apply-overflow-tooltip--allow-text" data-overflow-tooltip-text="33 "><span class="ellipsisContainer-bYDQcOkp">33</span><span class="visuallyHidden-bYDQcOkp" aria-hidden="true">33</span></span></button><div class="menuContainer-r2SckERE"><button title="More" class="apply-common-tooltip lightButton-bYDQcOkp noContent-bYDQcOkp withStartSlot-bYDQcOkp secondary-PVWoXu5j gray-PVWoXu5j medium-bYDQcOkp typography-regular16px-bYDQcOkp" style="--ui-lib-light-button-content-max-lines:1"><span class="slot-bYDQcOkp"><span role="img" aria-hidden="true"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewBox="0 0 28 28" width="28" height="28"><path fill="currentColor" fill-rule="evenodd" d="M7 15.5a1.5 1.5 0 1 0 0-3 1.5 1.5 0 0 0 0 3zM7 17a3 3 0 1 0 0-6 3 3 0 0 0 0 6zm7-1.5a1.5 1.5 0 1 0 0-3 1.5 1.5 0 0 0 0 3zm0 1.5a3 3 0 1 0 0-6 3 3 0 0 0 0 6zm8.5-3a1.5 1.5 0 1 1-3 0 1.5 1.5 0 0 1 3 0zm1.5 0a3 3 0 1 1-6 0 3 3 0 0 1 6 0z"/></svg></span></span></button></div></div><div class="description-aqIxarm1"><div class="time-jmcEf9lP"><relative-time locale="en" ssr-time="Tue, 03 Dec 2024 23:11:25 GMT" event-time="Tue, 26 Nov 2024 12:31:27 GMT" class="date-_PPhhqv6"><time dateTime="Tue, 26 Nov 2024 12:31:27 GMT">7 days ago</time></relative-time></div><div class="update-_PPhhqv6"><span class="ast-_PPhhqv6">Yesterday's brutal Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rejection caught the majority of the market off guard. There are a few fundamental reasons, there is the exhaustion of the post-election euphoria, there is the psychological weight of the $100000 barrier. However there is one major technical reason that has gone under the radar and we'll explain it to you below.<br/><br/><strong class="root-Tkn6WL2y">** The Fibonacci Channel and the 0.236 Fib **</strong><br/>As you can see on this chart, the underlying pattern has been a Fibonacci Channel going through the last 3 Cycles (including the current one). The pattern started with a strong rebound on its bottom (green circle) that formed the December 2013 Top. That Cycle Top was on the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the Cycle and that is a level that rejected rallies during Bull Cycles on June 24 2019 and May 11 2024.<br/><br/><strong class="root-Tkn6WL2y">** The '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' **</strong><br/>That is the Fib trend-line that (more recently) rejected the uptrend on November 22. We can call this the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' as this is the first major rejection level that a Bull Cycle faces before the eventual Top. That high during the last 2 Cycles has been on the 0.0 Fibonacci level, technically the top of the Channel (red circles). The red spot on the current Cycle in late 2025 doesn't represent a projection but is an illustration for comparison purposes.<br/><br/><strong class="root-Tkn6WL2y">** Top timing and the 1W MA50 ** </strong><br/>On a side-note, it is interesting to observe that the duration of each of the past Bull Cycles has been roughly 150 weeks (1050 days) so a repeat of this pattern would give us a High towards the end of September/ early October. It is much better to try to time the High and sell that put an actual price tag on it. Equally interesting is the fact that even though BTC is on a technical rejection, the current rally started on the August 05 2024 Low, exactly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically, as long as this trend-line holds, the cyclical bullish wave should stay intact.<br/><br/>But what do you think? Do you think the 0.236 Fib i.e. the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' will extend the correction? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!<br/><br/>-------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br/><br/><strong class="root-Tkn6WL2y">** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **</strong><br/><br/>-------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br/><br/>💸💸💸💸💸💸<br/>👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇</span></div></div><section class="root-lxExxEni tags-aqIxarm1"><a href="/ideas/bitcoin/" class="tag-zVPYJd3B size-xsmall-zVPYJd3B square-zVPYJd3B interactive-zVPYJd3B apply-overflow-tooltip apply-overflow-tooltip--allow-text apply-overflow-tooltip--check-children"><span class="tag-text-rVj4hiuX xsmall-rVj4hiuX">Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)</span></a><a href="/ideas/bitcoinsignals/" class="tag-zVPYJd3B size-xsmall-zVPYJd3B square-zVPYJd3B interactive-zVPYJd3B apply-overflow-tooltip apply-overflow-tooltip--allow-text apply-overflow-tooltip--check-children"><span class="tag-text-rVj4hiuX xsmall-rVj4hiuX">bitcoinsignals</span></a><a href="/ideas/btc/" class="tag-zVPYJd3B size-xsmall-zVPYJd3B square-zVPYJd3B interactive-zVPYJd3B 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layoutContent-pktSHPyW"><section class="variant-secondary-aHOVUrmQ root-AgvfhFF8 disclaimer-aqIxarm1"><h2 class="heading-wrapper-aHOVUrmQ"><span class="heading-aHOVUrmQ">Disclaimer</span></h2><div class="content-aHOVUrmQ link-with-underline-aHOVUrmQ">The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the <a class="" href="/policies/#disclaimer-regarding-investment-decisions-and-trading" target="_blank">Terms of Use</a>.</div></section></div></div></div></div><script type="application/prs.init-data+json">{"wgu8Ed":{"ssrIdeaData":{"id":17910836,"uuid":"cF0GDucK","chart_url":"/chart/BTCUSD/cF0GDucK-BITCOIN-rejected-on-the-1st-real-Resistance-of-the-Bull-Cycle/","is_script":false,"name":"BITCOIN rejected on the 1st real Resistance of the Bull Cycle.","description":"Yesterday's brutal Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rejection caught the majority of the market off guard. There are a few fundamental reasons, there is the exhaustion of the post-election euphoria, there is the psychological weight of the $100000 barrier. However there is one major technical reason that has gone under the radar and we'll explain it to you below.\n\n[b]** The Fibonacci Channel and the 0.236 Fib **[/b]\nAs you can see on this chart, the underlying pattern has been a Fibonacci Channel going through the last 3 Cycles (including the current one). The pattern started with a strong rebound on its bottom (green circle) that formed the December 2013 Top. That Cycle Top was on the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the Cycle and that is a level that rejected rallies during Bull Cycles on June 24 2019 and May 11 2024.\n\n[b]** The '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' **[/b]\nThat is the Fib trend-line that (more recently) rejected the uptrend on November 22. We can call this the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' as this is the first major rejection level that a Bull Cycle faces before the eventual Top. That high during the last 2 Cycles has been on the 0.0 Fibonacci level, technically the top of the Channel (red circles). The red spot on the current Cycle in late 2025 doesn't represent a projection but is an illustration for comparison purposes.\n\n[b]** Top timing and the 1W MA50 ** [/b]\nOn a side-note, it is interesting to observe that the duration of each of the past Bull Cycles has been roughly 150 weeks (1050 days) so a repeat of this pattern would give us a High towards the end of September/ early October. It is much better to try to time the High and sell that put an actual price tag on it. Equally interesting is the fact that even though BTC is on a technical rejection, the current rally started on the August 05 2024 Low, exactly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically, as long as this trend-line holds, the cyclical bullish wave should stay intact.\n\nBut what do you think? Do you think the 0.236 Fib i.e. the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' will extend the correction? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n\n[b]** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **[/b]\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n\n💸💸💸💸💸💸\n👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇","interval":"1W","direction":1,"webp_url":"https://s3.tradingview.com/c/cF0GDucK_mid.webp","user":{"username":"TradingShot","uri":"/u/TradingShot/","is_broker":false,"avatars":{"small":"https://s3.tradingview.com/userpics/3848270-4m7v.png","mid":"https://s3.tradingview.com/userpics/3848270-4m7v_mid.png","big":"https://s3.tradingview.com/userpics/3848270-4m7v_big.png","orig":"https://s3.tradingview.com/userpics/3848270-4m7v_orig.png"},"badges":[{"name":"pro:pro_premium","verbose_name":"Premium"}]},"symbol":{"pro_symbol":"CRYPTO:BTCUSD","short_name":"BTCUSD","exchange":"CRYPTO","type":"spot","typespecs":["cryptoasset","synthetic","crypto"],"tv_symbol_page_url_force_exchange":["/symbols/BTCUSD/","?exchange=CRYPTO"],"ticker_title":"Bitcoin","instrument_name":"Bitcoin","medium_logo_urls":["https://s3-symbol-logo.tradingview.com/crypto/XTVCBTC.svg"],"logo_id":null,"base_currency_logo_id":"crypto/XTVCBTC","currency_logo_id":"country/US","country":"","data_frequency":null},"video":{"video_cam":null,"video_duration":null,"video_filename":null},"flags":{"is_education":false,"is_public":true,"is_visible":true,"is_suggested":true,"is_picked":true,"is_favored":false,"is_voted":false,"is_author_followed":false},"created_at":"2024-11-26T12:31:27.862728+00:00","updated_at":null,"likes_count":616,"comments_count":33,"description_ast":{"type":"root","children":["Yesterday's brutal Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rejection caught the majority of the market off guard. There are a few fundamental reasons, there is the exhaustion of the post-election euphoria, there is the psychological weight of the $100000 barrier. However there is one major technical reason that has gone under the radar and we'll explain it to you below.\n\n",{"type":"b","children":["** The Fibonacci Channel and the 0.236 Fib **"]},"\nAs you can see on this chart, the underlying pattern has been a Fibonacci Channel going through the last 3 Cycles (including the current one). The pattern started with a strong rebound on its bottom (green circle) that formed the December 2013 Top. That Cycle Top was on the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the Cycle and that is a level that rejected rallies during Bull Cycles on June 24 2019 and May 11 2024.\n\n",{"type":"b","children":["** The '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' **"]},"\nThat is the Fib trend-line that (more recently) rejected the uptrend on November 22. We can call this the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' as this is the first major rejection level that a Bull Cycle faces before the eventual Top. That high during the last 2 Cycles has been on the 0.0 Fibonacci level, technically the top of the Channel (red circles). The red spot on the current Cycle in late 2025 doesn't represent a projection but is an illustration for comparison purposes.\n\n",{"type":"b","children":["** Top timing and the 1W MA50 ** "]},"\nOn a side-note, it is interesting to observe that the duration of each of the past Bull Cycles has been roughly 150 weeks (1050 days) so a repeat of this pattern would give us a High towards the end of September/ early October. It is much better to try to time the High and sell that put an actual price tag on it. Equally interesting is the fact that even though BTC is on a technical rejection, the current rally started on the August 05 2024 Low, exactly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically, as long as this trend-line holds, the cyclical bullish wave should stay intact.\n\nBut what do you think? Do you think the 0.236 Fib i.e. the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' will extend the correction? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n\n",{"type":"b","children":["** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **"]},"\n\n-------------------------------------------------------------------------------\n\n💸💸💸💸💸💸\n👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇"]},"user_signature_socials":{"socials_list":["Twitter","Youtube","Facebook","Instagram","Website","Signature"],"twitter_username":"TradingShot","instagram_username":"","youtube_channel":"","facebook_username":"","website":"https://linktr.ee/tradingshot","signature":"👑Best Signals (Forex/Crypto+70% accuracy) & Account Management (+20% profit/month on 10k accounts)\r\n\r\n💰Free Channel t.me/tradingshotglobal\r\n🤵Contact info@tradingshot.com t.me/tradingshot\r\n\r\n🔥New service: next X100 crypto GEMS!","signature_ast":{"type":"root","children":["👑Best Signals (Forex/Crypto+70% accuracy) & Account Management (+20% profit/month on 10k accounts)\r\n\r\n💰Free Channel t.me/tradingshotglobal\r\n🤵Contact info@tradingshot.com t.me/tradingshot\r\n\r\n🔥New service: next X100 crypto GEMS!"]}},"updates":[],"tags":[{"tag":"bitcoin","title":"Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)","script_full_url":"/scripts/bitcoin/","idea_full_url":"/ideas/bitcoin/"},{"tag":"bitcoinsignals","title":"bitcoinsignals","script_full_url":"/scripts/bitcoinsignals/","idea_full_url":"/ideas/bitcoinsignals/"},{"tag":"btc","title":"BTC","script_full_url":"/scripts/btc/","idea_full_url":"/ideas/btc/"},{"tag":"btcusd","title":"BTCUSD","script_full_url":"/scripts/btcusd/","idea_full_url":"/ideas/btcusd/"},{"tag":"btcusdsignals","title":"btcusdsignals","script_full_url":"/scripts/btcusdsignals/","idea_full_url":"/ideas/btcusdsignals/"},{"tag":"chartpattern","title":"Chart 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