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However, the importance of NTFPs have been recognized only recently. NTFPs form more than 5% of Nepal\u0026amp;#39;s national gross domestic product and are facing threat due to anthropogenic drivers and changing climate. Understanding of the current distribution and future dynamics of NTFPs is essential for effective conservation planning and management. In the maiden attempt, we used the Maxent model to understand the current and predict the future distribution by 2050 of 10 major NTFPs in Chitwan Annapurna Landscape, Nepal. The prediction accuracy of the models calculated based on the area under curve was high (\u0026amp;gt;90%) and the prediction by 2050 highlights potential increase in distribution range of seven NTFPs and potential decrease in that of three NTFPs in the study area. The results from our study could play an important role in planning and management of these NTFPs considering their high economic and ecological significance and sensitivity to predicted climate change.","author":[{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"Person","name":"Vishwas Chitale"},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"Person","name":"Mir A. Matin"}],"contributor":[{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"Person","name":"Mir A. Matin"}],"dateCreated":"2018-11-01","dateModified":"2018-11-03","datePublished":null,"headline":"Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Distribution of Major Non-Timber Forest Plants in Chitwan Annapurna Landscape, Nepal","inLanguage":"en","keywords":["Nepal","Non Timber Forest Products (NTFP)","MaxEnt modelling","Chitwan Annapurna"],"locationCreated":null,"publication":null,"publisher":{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"Organization","name":null},"image":null,"thumbnailUrl":null,"url":"https://www.academia.edu/37684243/Assessing_the_Impacts_of_Climate_Change_on_Distribution_of_Major_Non_Timber_Forest_Plants_in_Chitwan_Annapurna_Landscape_Nepal","sourceOrganization":[{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"EducationalOrganization","name":"icimod"},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"EducationalOrganization","name":null}]}</script><link rel="stylesheet" media="all" 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"https://www.academia.edu/login?post_login_redirect_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F37684243%2FAssessing_the_Impacts_of_Climate_Change_on_Distribution_of_Major_Non_Timber_Forest_Plants_in_Chitwan_Annapurna_Landscape_Nepal%3Fauto%3Ddownload"; window.loswp.translateUrl = "https://www.academia.edu/login?post_login_redirect_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.academia.edu%2F37684243%2FAssessing_the_Impacts_of_Climate_Change_on_Distribution_of_Major_Non_Timber_Forest_Plants_in_Chitwan_Annapurna_Landscape_Nepal%3Fshow_translation%3Dtrue"; window.loswp.previewableAttachments = [{"id":57674533,"identifier":"Attachment_57674533","shouldShowBulkDownload":false}]; window.loswp.shouldDetectTimezone = true; window.loswp.shouldShowBulkDownload = true; window.loswp.showSignupCaptcha = false window.loswp.willEdgeCache = false; window.loswp.work = {"work":{"id":37684243,"created_at":"2018-11-01T01:38:53.560-07:00","from_world_paper_id":null,"updated_at":"2021-01-12T07:30:07.597-08:00","_data":{"abstract":"For many decades, non-timber forest products (NTFPs) have been an important livelihood commodity in Nepal as a traditional source of food, fiber, and medicines. However, the importance of NTFPs have been recognized only recently. NTFPs form more than 5% of Nepal's national gross domestic product and are facing threat due to anthropogenic drivers and changing climate. Understanding of the current distribution and future dynamics of NTFPs is essential for effective conservation planning and management. In the maiden attempt, we used the Maxent model to understand the current and predict the future distribution by 2050 of 10 major NTFPs in Chitwan Annapurna Landscape, Nepal. The prediction accuracy of the models calculated based on the area under curve was high (\u003e90%) and the prediction by 2050 highlights potential increase in distribution range of seven NTFPs and potential decrease in that of three NTFPs in the study area. The results from our study could play an important role in planning and management of these NTFPs considering their high economic and ecological significance and sensitivity to predicted climate change."},"document_type":"paper","pre_hit_view_count_baseline":null,"quality":"high","language":"en","title":"Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Distribution of Major Non-Timber Forest Plants in Chitwan Annapurna Landscape, Nepal","broadcastable":true,"draft":false,"has_indexable_attachment":true,"indexable":true}}["work"]; window.loswp.workCoauthors = [362048,96567653]; window.loswp.locale = "en"; window.loswp.countryCode = "SG"; window.loswp.cwvAbTestBucket = ""; window.loswp.designVariant = "ds_vanilla"; window.loswp.fullPageMobileSutdModalVariant = "control"; window.loswp.useOptimizedScribd4genScript = false; window.loswp.appleClientId = 'edu.academia.applesignon';</script><script defer="" src="https://accounts.google.com/gsi/client"></script><div class="ds-loswp-container"><div class="ds-work-card--grid-container"><div class="ds-work-card--container js-loswp-work-card"><div class="ds-work-card--cover"><div class="ds-work-cover--wrapper"><div class="ds-work-cover--container"><button class="ds-work-cover--clickable js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"swp-splash-paper-cover","attachmentId":57674533,"attachmentType":"pdf"}"><img alt="First page of “Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Distribution of Major Non-Timber Forest Plants in Chitwan Annapurna Landscape, Nepal”" class="ds-work-cover--cover-thumbnail" src="https://0.academia-photos.com/attachment_thumbnails/57674533/mini_magick20190110-30604-14rihp.png?1547157092" /><img alt="PDF Icon" class="ds-work-cover--file-icon" src="//a.academia-assets.com/assets/single_work_splash/adobe.icon-574afd46eb6b03a77a153a647fb47e30546f9215c0ee6a25df597a779717f9ef.svg" /><div class="ds-work-cover--hover-container"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 20px" translate="no">download</span><p>Download Free PDF</p></div><div class="ds-work-cover--ribbon-container">Download Free PDF</div><div class="ds-work-cover--ribbon-triangle"></div></button></div></div></div><div class="ds-work-card--work-information"><h1 class="ds-work-card--work-title">Assessing the Impacts of Climate Change on Distribution of Major Non-Timber Forest Plants in Chitwan Annapurna Landscape, Nepal</h1><div class="ds-work-card--work-authors ds-work-card--detail"><a class="ds-work-card--author js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="362048" href="https://icimod.academia.edu/DrVishwasChitale"><img alt="Profile image of Vishwas Chitale" class="ds-work-card--author-avatar" src="https://0.academia-photos.com/362048/110572/20538619/s65_vishwas.chitale.png" />Vishwas Chitale</a><a class="ds-work-card--author js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="96567653" href="https://independent.academia.edu/MirAMatin"><img alt="Profile image of Mir A. Matin" class="ds-work-card--author-avatar" src="//a.academia-assets.com/images/s65_no_pic.png" />Mir A. Matin</a></div><p class="ds-work-card--work-abstract ds-work-card--detail ds2-5-body-md">For many decades, non-timber forest products (NTFPs) have been an important livelihood commodity in Nepal as a traditional source of food, fiber, and medicines. However, the importance of NTFPs have been recognized only recently. NTFPs form more than 5% of Nepal's national gross domestic product and are facing threat due to anthropogenic drivers and changing climate. Understanding of the current distribution and future dynamics of NTFPs is essential for effective conservation planning and management. In the maiden attempt, we used the Maxent model to understand the current and predict the future distribution by 2050 of 10 major NTFPs in Chitwan Annapurna Landscape, Nepal. The prediction accuracy of the models calculated based on the area under curve was high (>90%) and the prediction by 2050 highlights potential increase in distribution range of seven NTFPs and potential decrease in that of three NTFPs in the study area. The results from our study could play an important role in planning and management of these NTFPs considering their high economic and ecological significance and sensitivity to predicted climate change.</p><div class="ds-work-card--button-container"><button class="ds2-5-button js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"continue-reading-button--work-card","attachmentId":57674533,"attachmentType":"pdf","workUrl":"https://www.academia.edu/37684243/Assessing_the_Impacts_of_Climate_Change_on_Distribution_of_Major_Non_Timber_Forest_Plants_in_Chitwan_Annapurna_Landscape_Nepal"}">See full PDF</button><button class="ds2-5-button ds2-5-button--secondary js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"download-pdf-button--work-card","attachmentId":57674533,"attachmentType":"pdf","workUrl":"https://www.academia.edu/37684243/Assessing_the_Impacts_of_Climate_Change_on_Distribution_of_Major_Non_Timber_Forest_Plants_in_Chitwan_Annapurna_Landscape_Nepal"}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 20px" translate="no">download</span>Download PDF</button></div></div></div></div><div data-auto_select="false" data-client_id="331998490334-rsn3chp12mbkiqhl6e7lu2q0mlbu0f1b" data-doc_id="57674533" data-landing_url="https://www.academia.edu/37684243/Assessing_the_Impacts_of_Climate_Change_on_Distribution_of_Major_Non_Timber_Forest_Plants_in_Chitwan_Annapurna_Landscape_Nepal" data-login_uri="https://www.academia.edu/registrations/google_one_tap" data-moment_callback="onGoogleOneTapEvent" id="g_id_onload"></div><div class="ds-top-related-works--grid-container"><div class="ds-related-content--container ds-top-related-works--container"><h2 class="ds-related-content--heading">Related papers</h2><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="0" data-entity-id="50012462" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/50012462/Selecting_tree_species_for_climate_change_integrated_forest_restoration_and_management_in_the_Chitwan_Annapurna_Landscape_Nepal">Selecting tree species for climate change integrated forest restoration and management in the Chitwan Annapurna Landscape, Nepal</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="12663774" href="https://independent.academia.edu/EricWikramanayake">Eric Wikramanayake</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">Geographical Journal of Nepal</p><p class="ds-related-work--abstract ds2-5-body-sm">Climate change will affect forest vegetation communities, and field surveys have already indicated measurable distribution range shifts in some tree species. 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ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"Modelling the impacts of future climate change on plant communities in the Himalaya: a case study from Eastern Himalaya, India","attachmentId":71865424,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/56517259/Modelling_the_impacts_of_future_climate_change_on_plant_communities_in_the_Himalaya_a_case_study_from_Eastern_Himalaya_India","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/56517259/Modelling_the_impacts_of_future_climate_change_on_plant_communities_in_the_Himalaya_a_case_study_from_Eastern_Himalaya_India"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="5" data-entity-id="666976" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/666976/Impact_of_Climate_Change_on_Forest_Resource_Base_at_Global_and_Local_Level">Impact of Climate Change on Forest Resource Base at Global and Local Level</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="301497" href="https://ku-np.academia.edu/ShankarPrasadGupta">Shankar Prasad Gupta</a></div><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"Impact of Climate Change on Forest Resource Base at Global and Local Level","attachmentId":3695671,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/666976/Impact_of_Climate_Change_on_Forest_Resource_Base_at_Global_and_Local_Level","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/666976/Impact_of_Climate_Change_on_Forest_Resource_Base_at_Global_and_Local_Level"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="6" data-entity-id="87027307" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/87027307/MaxEnt_Modelling_and_Impact_of_Climate_Change_on_Habitat_Suitability_Variations_of_Economically_Important_Chilgoza_Pine_Pinus_gerardiana_Wall_in_South_Asia">MaxEnt Modelling and Impact of Climate Change on Habitat Suitability Variations of Economically Important Chilgoza Pine (Pinus gerardiana Wall.) in South Asia</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="95110368" href="https://independent.academia.edu/TariqHabib8">Tariq Habib</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">Forests</p><p class="ds-related-work--abstract ds2-5-body-sm">Chilgoza pine is an economically and ecologically important evergreen coniferous tree species of the dry and rocky temperate zone, and a native of south Asia. This species is rated as near threatened (NT) by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN). This study hypothesized that climatic, soil and topographic variations strongly influence the distribution pattern and potential habitat suitability prediction of Chilgoza pine. Accordingly, this study was aimed to document the potential habitat suitability variations of Chilgoza pine under varying environmental scenarios by using 37 different environmental variables. The maximum entropy (MaxEnt) algorithm in MaxEnt software was used to forecast the potential habitat suitability under current and future (i.e., 2050s and 2070s) climate change scenarios (i.e., Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs): 245 and 585). A total of 238 species occurrence records were collected from Afghanistan, Pakistan and India, and employed to b...</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"MaxEnt Modelling and Impact of Climate Change on Habitat Suitability Variations of Economically Important Chilgoza Pine (Pinus gerardiana Wall.) in South Asia","attachmentId":91352695,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/87027307/MaxEnt_Modelling_and_Impact_of_Climate_Change_on_Habitat_Suitability_Variations_of_Economically_Important_Chilgoza_Pine_Pinus_gerardiana_Wall_in_South_Asia","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/87027307/MaxEnt_Modelling_and_Impact_of_Climate_Change_on_Habitat_Suitability_Variations_of_Economically_Important_Chilgoza_Pine_Pinus_gerardiana_Wall_in_South_Asia"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="7" data-entity-id="76766416" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/76766416/Predicting_the_impact_of_climate_change_on_the_distribution_of_two_threatened_Himalayan_medicinal_plants_of_Liliaceae_in_Nepal">Predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of two threatened Himalayan medicinal plants of Liliaceae in Nepal</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="10540496" href="https://kib.academia.edu/SaileshRanjitkar">Sailesh Ranjitkar</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">Journal of Mountain Science, 2017</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"Predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of two threatened Himalayan medicinal plants of Liliaceae in Nepal","attachmentId":84363676,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/76766416/Predicting_the_impact_of_climate_change_on_the_distribution_of_two_threatened_Himalayan_medicinal_plants_of_Liliaceae_in_Nepal","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/76766416/Predicting_the_impact_of_climate_change_on_the_distribution_of_two_threatened_Himalayan_medicinal_plants_of_Liliaceae_in_Nepal"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="8" data-entity-id="109449365" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/109449365/Insights_from_Local_Community_on_Changing_Availability_of_Non_Timber_Forest_Products_under_Climate_Change_in_Panchadeval_Binayak_Municipality_Achham_District_West_Nepal">Insights from Local Community on Changing Availability of Non-Timber Forest Products under Climate Change in Panchadeval Binayak Municipality, Achham District, West Nepal</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="24322366" href="https://tribhuvan.academia.edu/HemRajPaudel">Hem Raj Paudel</a></div><p class="ds-related-work--metadata ds2-5-body-xs">2022</p><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"Insights from Local Community on Changing Availability of Non-Timber Forest Products under Climate Change in Panchadeval Binayak Municipality, Achham District, West Nepal","attachmentId":107571376,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/109449365/Insights_from_Local_Community_on_Changing_Availability_of_Non_Timber_Forest_Products_under_Climate_Change_in_Panchadeval_Binayak_Municipality_Achham_District_West_Nepal","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/109449365/Insights_from_Local_Community_on_Changing_Availability_of_Non_Timber_Forest_Products_under_Climate_Change_in_Panchadeval_Binayak_Municipality_Achham_District_West_Nepal"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">chevron_right</span></a></div></div><div class="ds-related-work--container js-wsj-grid-card" data-collection-position="9" data-entity-id="2122163" data-sort-order="default"><a class="ds-related-work--title js-wsj-grid-card-title ds2-5-body-md ds2-5-body-link" href="https://www.academia.edu/2122163/Update_Allometric_Models_for_Nepal_forest_trees_">Update Allometric Models (for Nepal forest trees...)</a><div class="ds-related-work--metadata"><a class="js-wsj-grid-card-author ds2-5-body-sm ds2-5-body-link" data-author-id="2372111" href="https://ku-np.academia.edu/AmulyaTuladhar">Amulya Tuladhar</a></div><div class="ds-related-work--ctas"><button class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-swp-download-button" data-signup-modal="{"location":"wsj-grid-card-download-pdf-modal","work_title":"Update Allometric Models (for Nepal forest trees...)","attachmentId":30181582,"attachmentType":"pdf","work_url":"https://www.academia.edu/2122163/Update_Allometric_Models_for_Nepal_forest_trees_","alternativeTracking":true}"><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" translate="no">download</span><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">Download free PDF</span></button><a class="ds2-5-text-link ds2-5-text-link--inline js-wsj-grid-card-view-pdf" href="https://www.academia.edu/2122163/Update_Allometric_Models_for_Nepal_forest_trees_"><span class="ds2-5-text-link__content">View PDF</span><span class="material-symbols-outlined" style="font-size: 18px" 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