TY - JFULL AU - Tarik Rashid and B. Q. Huang and M-T. Kechadi and B. Gleeson PY - 2007/11/ TI - Auto-regressive Recurrent Neural Network Approach for Electricity Load Forecasting T2 - International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering SP - 1508 EP - 1517 VL - 1 SN - 1307-6892 UR - https://publications.waset.org/pdf/15396 PU - World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology NX - Open Science Index 10, 2007 N2 - this paper presents an auto-regressive network called the Auto-Regressive Multi-Context Recurrent Neural Network (ARMCRN), which forecasts the daily peak load for two large power plant systems. The auto-regressive network is a combination of both recurrent and non-recurrent networks. Weather component variables are the key elements in forecasting because any change in these variables affects the demand of energy load. So the AR-MCRN is used to learn the relationship between past, previous, and future exogenous and endogenous variables. Experimental results show that using the change in weather components and the change that occurred in past load as inputs to the AR-MCRN, rather than the basic weather parameters and past load itself as inputs to the same network, produce higher accuracy of predicted load. Experimental results also show that using exogenous and endogenous variables as inputs is better than using only the exogenous variables as inputs to the network. ER -