[甲醇月评]：3月国内甲醇市场呈倒“N”字型走势（月评2024年3月）-我的钢铁网

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宋体, SimSun;color:black">一、本月关注点</span></strong></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">1</span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">）<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----050201-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>动力煤</a>产地煤价整体走势延续震荡运行<span style="color:black">；</span></span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">2</span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">）3月国内甲醇产能基数为9996.5万吨/年；</span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">3</span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">）3月国际原油价格呈现先稳后涨态势；</span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black"></span></p><p style="margin-top:auto;margin-bottom: auto;text-align:left;text-indent:32px;line-height: 2;background:white"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">二、本月行情分析</span></strong></p><p class="MsoListParagraph" style="text-align: right; text-indent: 0px;"><a><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"> <img src="//img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/27/1302181.png" title="image.png" alt="image.png"/> </span></a><a><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"> </span></a><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun;">数据来源：隆众资讯</span></p><p style="margin-top:auto;margin-bottom: auto;text-align:center;line-height: 2;background:white"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">国内区域价格变动对比表</span></strong></p><p class="MsoListParagraph" style="text-align:right;text-indent:0"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">单位：元/吨</span></p><table width="100%" width="100"><tbody><tr style=";height:19px" class="firstRow"><td width="13" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">地区</span></strong></p></td><td width="14" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">市场</span></strong></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">2024/3</span></strong></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">2024/2</span></strong></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">2023/3</span></strong></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-image: initial; border-left: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">环比%</span></strong></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: none; background: rgb(2, 57, 133); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:white">同比%</span></strong></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:21px"><td width="28" colspan="2" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">中国</span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2365 </span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2347 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2490 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#D23023">+0.77%</span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#00B050">-5.02%</span></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:19px"><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">华东</span></p></td><td width="14" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">太仓</span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2685 </span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2638 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2614 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#D23023">+1.78%</span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#D23023">+2.72%</span></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:19px"><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">华东</span></p></td><td width="14" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">济宁</span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2402 </span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2399 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2539 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#D23023">+0.13%</span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#00B050">-5.40%</span></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:19px"><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">华南</span></p></td><td width="14" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">广东</span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2624 </span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2567 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2623 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#D23023">+2.22%</span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#D23023">+0.04%</span></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:19px"><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">华北</span></p></td><td width="14" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">临汾</span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2193 </span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2154 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2382 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#D23023">+1.81%</span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#00B050">-7.93%</span></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:19px"><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">西北</span></p></td><td width="14" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">鄂尔多斯北线</span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2003 </span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">1986 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2316 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#D23023">+0.86%</span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#00B050">-13.51%</span></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:19px"><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">东北</span></p></td><td width="14" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">黑龙江七台河</span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2342 </span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2306 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2613 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#D23023">+1.56%</span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#00B050">-10.37%</span></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:19px"><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">华中</span></p></td><td width="14" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">河南</span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2324 </span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2274 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#7F7F7F">2471 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#D23023">+2.20%</span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: rgb(242, 242, 242); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#00B050">-5.95%</span></p></td></tr><tr style=";height:19px"><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">西南</span></p></td><td width="14" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">四川</span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2468 </span></p></td><td width="16" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2508 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); background: white; padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:black">2653 </span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-left: none; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); border-right: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#00B050">-1.59%</span></p></td><td width="13" style="border-top: none; border-right: none; border-left: none; border-image: initial; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(191, 191, 191); padding: 0px 7px;"><p style="text-align:center"><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family:'微软雅黑','sans-serif';color:#00B050">-6.97%</span></p></td></tr></tbody></table><p class="MsoListParagraph" style="text-align:right;text-indent:0"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">数据来源：隆众资讯</span><br/></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="text-indent:28px">3月国内甲醇市场呈倒“N”字型走势。月初，港口表需走弱，但月内整体进口量仍维持低位，现货可流通量偏少，基差维持强势运行，但内地市场在供应及库存压力下，西北厂家下调价格积极出货，港口与内地价差维持高位，套利空间持续开启，内地低价货源对港口价格也存一定压制；月中旬，港口烯烃企业对内地甲醇的采买量存明显增量，支撑内地甲醇顺畅出货，库存持续去库，同时由于部分国外装置存一定变动，市场气氛较为高涨，价格上行为主；月下旬，虽港口库存降至低点，但预期进口量存增量预期，且港口表需偏弱，港口烯烃对内地甲醇的采买量减量，内地供应压力仍存，港口与内地甲醇市场同步走弱运行为主，港口跌幅大于内地，港口与内地价差缩小，但套利空间仍处开启状态。</p><p><span style="font-size: 16px">西北鄂尔多斯北线均价2003元/吨，环比+0.86%，同比-13.51%；西南四川均价2468元/吨，环比-1.59%，同比-6.97%；华中河南均价2324元/吨，环比+2.20%，同比-5.95%；同期华东太仓均价2685元/吨，环比+1.78%，同比+2.72%；华南广东均价2624元/吨，环比+2.22%，同比+0.04%。</span></p><p style="margin-top:auto;margin-bottom: auto;text-align:left;text-indent:32px;line-height: 2;background:white"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">三、市场影响因素分析</span></strong></p><p style="margin-top:auto;margin-bottom: auto;text-align:left;text-indent:32px;background: white"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="margin-top:auto;margin-bottom: auto;text-align:left;text-indent:32px;background: white"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">1. </span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">动力煤产地煤价整体走势延续震荡运行，区域内多数煤矿维持正常生产，坑口拉运情况一般，多以长协保供为主，整体<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0502-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>煤炭</a>供应量较为稳定。现淡季需求特征明显，电厂日耗季节性回落，市场采购需求较差，成交一般，以观望为主。港口上周市场价格维稳运行，后期市场情绪稍有提振，下游询货现象有所增多，但成本压力下，部分上游出货意愿较低，市场交投延续僵持态势，整体成交表现不佳。</span></p><p style="margin-top:auto;margin-bottom: auto;text-align:left;text-indent:32px;background: white"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">2. </span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">目前3月计划检修的装置只有9套装置，涉及产能共计355万吨/年。而3月预期恢复装置共计5套，涉及产能165万吨/年，因此预计3月产能利用率或下降至84.75%，但由于3月共计31天，因此产量或增加至785.51万吨。3月，国内甲醇市场新增内蒙古冠能40万吨/年装置，因此3月国内甲醇产能基数为9996.5万吨/年。</span></p><p style="margin-top:auto;margin-bottom: auto;text-align:left;text-indent:32px;background: white"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">3. 3</span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">月国际原油价格呈现先稳后涨态势，均价较2月上涨约3美元/桶。上旬巴以局势的紧张气氛仍未缓和带来利好支撑，但OPEC+减产延期带来的利好被提前消化，空好交织下，国际油价趋稳运行。中旬国际能源署上调全球原油需求预测，美国燃油需求转好，叠加地缘局势不稳定性延续，国际油价显著上涨。</span></p><p style="margin-top:auto;margin-bottom: auto;text-align:left;text-indent:32px;background: white"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span><br/></p><p style="margin-top:auto;margin-bottom: auto;text-align:left;text-indent:32px;line-height: 2;background:white"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun;color:black">四、下月市场预测</span></strong></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">1.</span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">原油：4月来看，预计国际油价或有上涨空间。OPEC+减产立场坚定，俄罗斯可能在4月起加大减产力度，此外市场担忧俄乌冲突力度加剧，且巴以双方距离实质性停火仍有难度，供应端趋紧氛围延续；需求方面美国局部或有回暖，但全球经济数据疲软或继续拖累需求预期，需求层面压力依然存在。此外从历年油价的4月表现来看，总体为涨势占据上风。预计2024年4月国际原油价格或有上涨空间，减产和地缘的支撑或是主要影响因素，高位运行特征难改。</span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">2.</span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">动力煤：港口库存除环渤海及华南库存有所上涨外其余港口库存均呈下降态势，港口降库多为长协拉运，市场整体采购节奏偏缓，需求释放不畅，区域内各港降库困难。传统淡季影响下市场交投延续冷清态势。近日市场报价趋稳，多地市场信心稍有提振，价格小幅支撑，预计短期内区域内各港降库压力仍存，后市需持续关注供需变化及港口实际成交情况。</span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">3.</span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">天然气：4月气温继续升高，城燃LNG补充量下滑；LNG工业需求增量有限；同时，物流运输行业竞争力较大，车用需求一般。4月LNG工厂产量降继续增加。整体来看4月LNG供应增加，需求稳定，竞争局面加剧，预计LNG价格稳中下跌，价格在3600元/吨。</span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">2.</span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">供应预测：据隆众资讯统计，目前4月计划检修的装置只有10套装置，涉及产能共计676万吨/年。而4月预期恢复装置共计24套，涉及产能630万吨/年，同时随着3月中下旬部分装置陆续恢复，因此预计4月产能利用率或提升至83.12%，但由于4月共计30天，因此产量或减少至748.60万吨。</span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">3.</span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">需求预测：4月，甲醇下游主流行业预计产能利用率存小幅增加可能，醋酸：下月大连恒力、天碱、上海华谊、中石化长城均有检修计划，预计供应量有所走低；甲醛：4月甲醛开工率存下行预期。本月甲醛市场低位震荡运行。往年3月是甲醛销售旺季，当前旺季不旺已然成为既定事实。国内情况来看，房地产、家具及全屋定制需求并未有明显向好，因此胶黏剂对甲醛市场需求支撑欠佳，甲醛生产企业库存高位成为常态，预计下月甲醛产能利用率走跌；二甲醚：下月来看，4月份二甲醚产业下游企业安全检查强度降低，需求量有所提升，叠加场内多家企业计划4月内开车，预计4月份二甲醚产能利用率或呈上升趋势；MTO：4月内地与港口MTO企业检修与重启对冲，维持开工率整体变动不大。因此预计4月甲醇消费预期或小幅减少，企业平均订单将在30-31万吨左右。</span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">4.</span><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun">综合预测：虽进口供应有所回升以及国产供应维持高位，但需求端MTO也有重启及补库预期，低库存状态下，预计4月甲醇价格或偏强运行，但高度较难触及3月高点，江苏太仓或参考2550-2650元/吨附近。</span></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span><br/></p><p style="text-indent:28px"><span style=";font-family: 宋体, SimSun"></span><br/></p><p><span style="font-size: 16px">更多月度市场分析，请查看隆众资讯</span><span style="font-size: 16px;font-family: 宋体, SimSun"><a href="https://chem.oilchem.net/140/4350/" target="_self"><span style="font-family: 宋体, SimSun">甲醇月报</span></a></span></p><p style="text-indent: 32px; line-height: 2; background: white;"><br/></p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：范静 0533-7026612 </br> 资讯监督：崔志明 0533-7026065 </br> 资讯投诉：李倩 0533-7026993 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-8798-------------1.html" 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