Mysteel：铁合金全品种分析师视点(2.2)-我的钢铁网

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<p>【南方锰矿】近日南方锰矿市场报价探涨，成交价格较年前整体上涨，但成交情况一般。钦州港半碳酸价格40-40.5元/吨度，澳块48.5-49元/吨度，高品澳籽价格45.5-46元/吨度，加蓬45-46元/吨度。2月份氧化矿整体到港偏低，贸易商心态积极，但实际成交有限，锰矿市场报价还将持续向上试探，但下游厂家锰矿库存尚可维持，南方节前停产厂家继续停产，采购需求还未进一步释放，叠加本周期货下行，也不乏有部分贸易商出现抛货。</p> <p>【锰硅期货】锰硅主力合约本周在周初价格受春节期间外盘影响向上短暂冲高后，价格连续多日下行，下行过程中成交量放大较明显，跌幅较大，但综合来看持仓量缩减较少，场内交易者离场意愿并不强烈。直至2月2日10:15，合约价格为7486。</p> <p>【硅锰】硅锰现货报价略坚挺，北方报价7350-7400，底部价格7300，顶部7450。主流成交价格暂不明朗。厂家开工维持稳定，自然块少量累库，没有钢招支撑，钢厂及贸易商采购较弱。部分厂等机会盘面套保。厂家锰矿库存周期基本还有7-10天，过两天就开始采矿了，高价原料进来后硅锰成本支撑比较偏强，短期硅锰价格偏强运行。</p> <p>【内蒙硅锰】节后归来，市场波动较大，盘面开市前因锰矿挺价情绪仍在，内蒙现货价格上涨，主流报价7400-7500元/吨，开盘后在黑色系带动下，盘面下行明显，现货端盘面点价出货价格较低，在7200元/吨，厂家现货价格相对平稳，价格略有回落至7400元/吨左右，成交比较少，多是交货为主，部分盘面点价出货。下游贸易因盘面下跌，观望情绪浓，钢厂招标，北方尚未启动。</p> <p>【南方硅锰】本周南方硅锰高位盘整，厂家报价坚挺，主流报价7500元/吨度，目前年后市场整体成交偏弱，贵州限电，生产有一定的受限，加之成本较高，部分厂家复产意愿不强，基本以交付订单为主，现货库存较少，部分厂家表示锰矿库存尚可维持，近期无采购锰矿的计划。</p> <p>【广西硅锰】广西硅锰市场逐步活跃，厂家以供订单为主，停产厂家继续停产，预计过完元宵节之后陆续恢复生产。硅锰6014现金出厂报价6600-6650元/吨，成交6600左右。硅锰6517现金出厂报价7500元/吨左右，询货不多，成交较少。有钢厂开始进行2月份硅锰招标采购，价格相对坚挺。开工方面，预计接下来会逐步增加，市场活跃度会进一步上升。</p> <p>【电解锰】本周电解锰市场持弱稳运行，市场成交较尚未完全恢复，依旧保持节前冷清状态，节后市场主流成交价围绕在15300-15500元/吨之间，FOB价格围绕在2280-2290美元/吨，受2月中旬联盟会议召开的影响，部分业者表示近期询盘热度整体上升，目前电解锰行情走势尚不明朗，但低价货难寻，市场观望氛围浓厚，仍需关注近日钢招价格表现，预计短期电解锰市场仍以弱稳为主。</p> <p>【锰铁】高碳锰铁价格微涨，北方成交价格以6900元/为主，部分区域有7050，7100元/吨成交。部分厂家目前有现货库存，当前成本上调，挺价心态浓厚。中低碳锰铁方面，受锰矿价格影响，价格也有坚挺态势，成交价格基本与节前持平。从产量上看1月全国高碳锰铁产量为110200吨，2022年12月全国高碳锰铁产量109900吨，环比12月增加0.27%，增加300吨；中低碳锰铁产量为42850吨，12月产量为50300吨，环比12月减少14.81%，减少7450吨。高锰产量稳定，中低锰厂家有检修情况。预计2月广西、河南等厂家均有增量。综合来看，锰铁市场短期内坚挺运行，将持续关注2月锰铁招标情况。</p> <p>【富锰渣】山西地区30度富锰渣主流报价在现金出厂不含税1110-1150元/吨，辽宁地区40度富锰渣主流报价在现金出厂含税2010-2050元/吨，湖南地区30度富锰渣主流报价在现金出厂含税1340-1370元/吨，宁夏地区38度富锰渣主流报价在现金出厂含税2040-2080元/吨，目前富锰渣市场震荡偏强运行，同时富锰渣也在跟随进口锰矿的行情波动。</p> <p>【<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----030301-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>硅铁</a>期货】硅铁主力合约本周在周初价格受春节期间外盘影响向上短暂冲高后，价格连续多日下行，波段高点逐渐下移，成交量放大明显，跌幅也较大，持仓量缩减较严重，虽有合约换月因素，但市场情绪偏冷。直至2月2日10:15，合约价格为8224。</p> <p>【硅铁】本周行情持弱稳下跌运行趋势，期货盘面下滑，现货价格跟随下行，西北主产区72硅铁报价在8000元左右，75硅铁报价8400元/吨左右。成本端原料价格基本持稳，由于硅铁市场需求疲软，销售价格支撑不足，厂家利润收窄。年后现货市场询盘逐渐增多，新成交较少。总的来说，硅铁市场实际需求一般，业内人士也大部分持看跌的心态，市场谨慎观望情绪明显。</p> <p>安阳贸易商市场72硅铁自然块不含税价格7650-7700元/吨左右，75硅铁自然块不含税围绕8000元/吨左右。供应上，青海部分企业避峰生产，宁夏硅铁炉子复产，硅铁总体开工高于节前时期，厂家尚有部分年前订单在生产。下游方面，节后归来，硅铁市场需求表现疲软。受期货下跌影响，硅铁工厂报价也随之降低，安阳贸易商互相探底询价居多，价格微乱，整体成交量很少。昨日衡阳<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010109-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>钢管</a>敲定75B硅铁采购价为8680元/吨，量100吨，个别钢厂2月招标已启动，比如攀枝花钢城、重庆钢铁。终端开始复工，成材预期较好，下游工积极性较好，有进一步提产空间；叠加节后补库，硅铁市场可能有望迎来反弹。</p> <p>总体来说，开工伊始，硅铁高位瞩目，受期货三日连续下跌，供应量进一步加大，叠加询盘减少，市场人士百感交集，后期需重点关注需求端复产力度以及钢厂招标价格走势。</p> <p>【硅钙】硅钙合金内蒙厂家计划出正月复产，府谷暂不明朗，价格波动小，Ca30Si60主厂区价格含税现金出厂12000-12500元/吨,安阳贸易商含税价格12800元/吨左右，下游需求一般，整体市场成交情况一般。</p> <p>【金属镁】金属镁市场本周报价比较坚挺，陕西主流工厂报价22000元/吨，主流成交价格在21900-22000元/吨，较节前涨幅200元/吨，山西闻喜报价22100-22200元/吨，厂家方面挺价心态明显，年前减产停产的厂家开始慢慢恢复生产了，下游需求不佳，多数贸易商还是以观望市场为主，另外南方的贸易商复工时间较晚，大概在正月十五以后，原料端75硅铁陕西主流出厂价格8300-8400元/吨，本周下降200/吨左右，从供需关系来看，目前厂家报价坚挺，下游也陆陆续续的开始复工补货，预计短期内金属镁市场依旧是稳健运行。</p> <p>【工业硅】本周工业硅延续节前弱势，价格继续走跌，华东通氧553#硅在17100-17300元/吨，华东有机硅用421#硅在18900-19100元/吨。年前西南地区硅厂大部分关停，尤以四川地区明显，但整体来看社会库存高位，硅厂延续让利降库操作。供强需弱形势下，节后价格仍呈下跌趋势。随着节后下游复工，需求或将逐步转好。</p> <p>【工业硅期货】工业硅主力合约本周周初开盘没有延续节前的快速上涨模式，在节后开盘，价格即下行，波段高点逐渐下移，下行速度一般，在本周三价格向下触及17660后，抛盘逐渐减少，价格略有回暖迹象。直至2月2日10:15，合约价格为17905。</p> <p>【国际钼】春节期间，国际钼价格上涨，主要原因是南美地区供应中断，欧洲市场需求恢复良好，现货市场供应紧张，节后欧洲钼铁较春节前上涨4-5美金至85-88美金，国际氧化钼价格小幅上涨至32-34美金。节后国内矿山出货，钼精矿价格大幅跳涨，翌日国际钼价也迎来大涨，目前欧洲钼铁价格102-106美金，高的有107美金成交，国际氧化钼价格36.5-38.5美金。短期看，现货市场供应仍偏紧，持货商惜售明显，关注后期成交情况。</p> <p>【钼】近日国内钼市场继续呈现大幅上涨态势，受上游原料价格继续上涨影响，钼铁价格水涨船高。钼铁厂家出厂报价跟进继续上调，部分厂家出厂价格上调至38.5-40万元/吨，散货市场成交少量，整体行情仍旧向好发展，目前持货商惜售看涨情绪高涨。</p> <p>原料精矿方面，近日矿山端出货相对积极，钼精矿价格多次提涨，散货市场逐渐活跃，部分贸易商获利了结，散货市场45-50%成交围绕5350-5380元/吨度展开，下游铁厂资金压力明显提升，但仍有部分持货商捂盘不出，持看涨心态。昨日湖南某矿山招标出售钼精矿260吨（按45%计价），招标价格为5520-5530元/吨度（现款），内蒙某矿山出售45-50%品位钼精矿160吨，价格为5450元/吨度，今日45-50%钼精矿报价5490-5520元/吨，短期内仍维持高位运行。</p> <p>【钒】近日钒合金趋强走势向前，大厂出台最新一轮片钒定价，现金13万元/吨，再度加强市场期涨上行情绪。2月钢厂招标陆续启动，市场整体较节前有所上涨，钒氮合金招标定价上行至现金19.8万元/吨线上，市场情绪再度升温，整体企涨前行。</p> <p>【钨】节后钨市预期与节前类似，处在高位盘整状态。虽然矿端与厂家部分还在休整，但2月大企报价和合金进场会推动钨市交易表现。高品位钨精矿价格在11.7-11.9万元/吨，APT价格在18-18.2万元/吨左右，原料端供应和采购基本在年前结束。钨粉价格在270-275元/公斤，中颗粒碳化钨价格在269元/吨，形成低不成高不就局面，70钨铁17.3-17.5万元/吨，80钨铁17.9-18.1万元/吨，钨铁出口在39.3-40美元/千克，钨铁市场成交不明显，交易进场相对缓慢。</p> <p> </p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：毕嘉程 021-26093378 </br> 资讯监督：查佐栋 021-26093218 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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