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Mysteel周报:华中镀锌及彩涂板卷大幅拉涨 预计下周平稳运行 (12.2-12.9)-我的钢铁网
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style='color:#3861ab'>热轧</a>上涨带动现货价格上涨,生产企业考虑原料采购成本的提高也纷纷提高出厂指导价,且与国营钢厂资源的价差逐渐收窄。</p> <p>二、价格方面</p> <p align="left">具体价格来看,镀锌板卷:武汉市场宝钢青山1.0mm报价4910元/吨,与上周持平;黄石山力1.0mm报价4730元/吨,较上周上涨110元/吨;长沙市场宝钢青山1.0mm4970元/吨,与上周持平;黄石山力1.0mm报价4790元/吨,较上周上涨130元/吨;郑州市场邯宝1.0mm报价4860元/吨,较上周上涨50元/吨,河北万利1.0mm报价4670元/吨,较上周上涨180元/吨。</p> <p align="left"><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----01010502-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>彩涂</a>板卷:武汉市场宝钢黄石0.5mm报价7050元/吨,与上周持平,天津新宇0.476mm报价5750元/吨,较上周上涨200元/吨;长沙市场宝钢0.5mm报价7900元/吨,与上周持平,冠洲0.5mm报价7230元/吨,与上周持平;郑州市场冠洲0.5mm报价6500元/吨,较上周上涨50元/吨,天津新宇0.476mm报价5800元/吨,较上周上涨250元/吨。</p> <p align="left">本周华中市场镀锌及彩涂板卷价格均涨幅较大,主要也是集中在民营厂资源,在热卷价格上涨的带动下,民营企业担心后期原材料价格结算过高,因此也仅能先行上涨,即使现货市场出货困难,而彩涂板卷也是因为天津新宇多次上调订货价格,贸易商不得不跟随调整,市场实际成交较为困难。</p> <p><img src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2022/12/09/39703a5a19c94bb085d1ba8e8faea4eb.png" width="1000" height="210" /></p> <p><img src="//img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2022/12/09/eccefb94f5e649babdcae00302a63055.png" width="1000" height="210" /></p> <p>三、市场情况</p> <p>武汉市场:武汉市场镀锌和彩涂板卷均有上涨,其中民营厂镀锌板卷周累计涨幅达到110元/吨,彩涂板卷周累计涨幅达到200元/吨。据悉,商家表示此轮期货拉涨对现货市场价格影响较大,生产企业担心原料价格上涨以后会提升生产成本,因此先行上调出厂指导价,但是商家表示下游客户拿货积极性并不强,加上疫情也才刚刚解封,出货量并不好,大户日均出货量仅有700吨左右,且还是在给予80-100元/吨的优惠空间后才勉强提升出货量。彩涂板卷情况更是困难,生产企业提高指导价,贸易商也是跟随调整报价,但如果有实单议价的话也会以成交出货为主,年底还是需要回笼资金,也不愿意囤太多资源到年后。总体来看,预计下周武汉市场镀锌和彩涂板卷价格将平稳运行,等待市场接受涨价情绪。</p> <p>长沙市场:本周长沙市场镀锌板卷价格大幅上涨,彩涂板卷以稳为主。具体来看,镀锌板卷山力1.0mm报价4790元/吨,周环比上涨130元/吨,宝钢青山依旧未作调整,目前两者之间的价差已经缩窄至180元/吨,远低于国营与民营资源之间的差距。主要还是近期民营钢厂受原料价格大幅拉涨影响更大,周内山力出厂价累涨110元/吨,最新出厂价为4770元/吨,贸易商跟涨为主。市场整体出货情况尚可,但由于九峰钢材市场受疫情影响被封控,资源不进不出,少数商家受到影响。彩涂方面,周内冠洲资源出厂价有所上调,但市场售价并未调整,仍然是一单一议可给到一定优惠空间。总的来看,预计下周长沙市场镀锌板卷维持震荡偏强运行,彩涂板卷盘整运行为主。</p> <p>郑州市场:本周期货大幅拉涨带动现货价格迅速跟涨,其中本地1.0mm*1250mm*C民营镀锌钢厂出厂指导价由上周的4430元/吨涨至本周的4600元/吨,整周涨幅在170元/吨。据悉,在期货的大涨的推动下,邯邢地区<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010104-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>冷轧</a>基料价格迅速上涨,而民营钢厂由于前期降库效果较好,库存压力不大,因此整体价格重心随之上移。具体来看,本周周中由于期货走势较为平缓,市场交投氛围一般,而周一及周五期货拉涨,带动下游采购情绪高涨,市场存在供不应求的抢货情况,价格涨势较为迅速。彩涂方面,本周彩涂加工企业纷纷上调出厂价格,其中天津新宇彩涂涨幅最为明显,目前市场商家报价5800元/吨,但是下游接受度比较低,整体出货不容乐观。据悉,近期冷轧基料价格跟随热卷价格涨势较强,生产端成本压力增大,镀锌板卷利润空间被进一步压缩,因此钢厂涨价意愿较强。综上所述,预计下周河南市场镀锌板卷价格或将震荡偏强运行,彩涂板卷价格则由于已经较高而持稳运行。</p> <p>四、库存情况</p> <p>本周武汉市场镀锌板卷库存小幅下降0.12万吨,彩涂板卷较上周增加0.1万吨;郑州市场镀锌板卷较上周增加0.1万吨,彩涂板卷较上周增加0.5万吨。据悉,彩涂板卷库存处于累库中,主要是市场涨价情绪高,生产企业正常生产,市场到货量逐渐增多,而消化速度缓慢,所以使得本周库存稍有增加。</p> <p>五、市场展望</p> <p>本周华中市场镀锌及彩涂板卷价格大幅上涨,商家的出货情况较上周略有好转,但是当前下游接单和备货情绪并不高,期货上涨速度快于现货,现货跟涨速度缓慢。因此笔者认为价格的持续上涨时间并不会太长,预计下周华中市场<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010105-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>涂镀</a>板卷价格或将平稳运行,需等待下游商家的进一步接受。</p> <p> </p> <p>2022大宗商品年报出炉在即!欢迎抢鲜品读!</p> <p>报告聚焦钢材、煤焦、<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁矿石</a>、<a href='https://bxg.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>不锈钢</a>新材料、<a 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