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class="dropdown-item"> <a href="/cat-data-explorer/sector-indicators/">Sector indicators and 1.5°C benchmarks</a> </li> </ul> </li> <span data-component-nav-search class="nav-item nav-search"> <a href="#" class="nav-link d-block nav-search__link"> <span class="icon icon-icons_4"></span> <span class="nav-search__link-text">Search</span> </a> </span> </ul> </div> </nav> <main class="main-content"> <nav class="nav-second"> <ul class="nav-second__menu mr-auto"> <li class="nav-item "><a class="nav-link" href="/global/temperatures/">Temperatures</a></li> <li class="nav-item "><a class="nav-link" href="/global/cat-thermometer/">The CAT Thermometer</a></li> <li class="nav-item active"><a class="nav-link" href="/global/cat-emissions-gaps/">CAT Emissions Gap</a></li> <li class="nav-item "><a class="nav-link" href="/global/climate-target-update-tracker/">Climate Target Update Tracker</a></li> <li class="nav-item "><a class="nav-link" href="/global/cat-net-zero-target-evaluations/">CAT net zero target evaluations</a></li> </ul> </nav> <section class="headline " > <div class="container"> <header class="headline__wrapper"> <div class="submitted"></div> <div class="headline__title-wrapper"> <h1 class="headline__title">CAT Emissions Gap</h1> </div> </header> <div class="headline__right"> <div class="headline__social social hidden-xs hidden-sm"> <span class="social__label">Share</span> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?status=CAT%20Emissions%20Gap%3A%20http%3A//climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-emissions-gaps/" class="social__item" target="_blank"> <span class="icon icon-icons_31"></span> </a> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=http%3A//climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-emissions-gaps/" class="social__item" target="_blank"> <span class="icon icon-icons_32"></span> </a> <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=http%3A//climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-emissions-gaps/&title=CAT%20Emissions%20Gap&summary=&source=" 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href="https://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=http%3A//climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-emissions-gaps/&title=CAT%20Emissions%20Gap&summary=&source=" class="" target="_blank"> <span class="icon icon-icons_36"></span> Linkedin </a></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section> <section class="content"> <div class="content-section content-section--has-left-side"> <div class="container"> <div class="content-section__left-side"> <h3 id="section__summary"> Summary </h3> </div> <div class="content-section__content"> <div class="content-block text-center"> <h3></h3> <p> <img class="img-fluid" src="/media/images/CAT_2024-11_Graph_EmissionsGaps2030.width-1110.png" alt=""> </p> <p class="button-bar text-center"> <a class="btn btn-gray-700 btn--icon-right btn--icon-download" href="/documents/1288/CAT_2024-11_PublicData_GlobalTemperatureEstimates_COP29.xlsx">Download Data</a> <a target="_blank" class="btn btn-gray-700 btn--icon-right btn--icon-download" href="/media/images/CAT_2024-11_Graph_EmissionsGaps2030.original.png">High resolution</a> </p> </div> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="1qcxz">In addition to the <a href="/global/cat-thermometer/">global temperature</a> outcomes of policies and pledges, the CAT also assesses the expected absolute emissions in 2030 and compares these with emissions consistent with benchmark pathways in line with the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal.</p></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section content-section--has-left-side"> <div class="container"> <div class="content-section__left-side"> <h3 id="section__emissions-gap"> Emissions Gap </h3> </div> <div class="content-section__content"> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="ojwjs">As of December 2023, a substantial gap remains between the levels of emissions in 2030 projected in the NDCs submitted to the UNFCCC and between current levels of government action, and the lower levels that would be consistent with the temperature limit of the Paris Agreement.</p><p data-block-key="55lkb">The benchmark emissions from a 1.5°C compatible pathway are at 27 GtCO<sub>2</sub>e in 2030. The emissions gap between this level and 2030 NDCs (excluding hot air)<sup>[1]</sup> is 19–22 GtCO<sub>2</sub>e in 2030 (the 'targets gap'), and 24-27 GtCO<sub>2</sub>e in 2030 for current policies and action (the 'implementation gap').<br/></p><p data-block-key="iql25">Our <a href="/publications/no-change-to-warming-as-fossil-fuel-endgame-brings-focus-onto-false-solutions/">latest briefing</a> has the full details of this analysis.</p></div> <hr class="content-block block-divider" /> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="9xjv2"><small>[1] For weak targets, we take a country’s estimated 2030 level under current policies, if that level is lower than the target.</small></p></div> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="qd1hm"><b>Last update</b>: 5 December 2023</p></div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="content-section content-section--has-left-side"> <div class="container"> <div class="content-section__left-side"> <h3 id="section__suggested-citation"> Suggested citation </h3> </div> <div class="content-section__content"> <div class="content-block"><p data-block-key="a4cf2"><small>Climate Action Tracker (2024). 2030 Emissions Gap: CAT projections and resulting emissions gap in meeting the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goal. November 2024. Available at:</small> <a href="https://climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-emissions-gaps/"><small>https://climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-emissions-gaps/</small></a><small>. Copyright ©2024 by Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute. 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