【伊犁中正】预计节后建筑钢材价格或先扬后抑-我的钢铁网

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<p><strong>客户观点：</strong>关于明春市场判断及开复工后市场观点：1、由于2024—2025年冬季的市场冬储库存明显低于前几年，当前钢厂区域协同复产时间和市场现货投放量决定开春价格走势的唯一要素。期间与钢厂多次进行沟通关于2025年钢厂开工投产的时间，钢厂也多次答应晚些复工确保明年市场的现货投放量，但由于钢厂自身原因要提前生产，据最新消息本月底八钢伊钢基地或单高炉复产，钢厂明确也提出来尽量少量投放市场，维护开春市场的价格稳定。2、针对开春市场施工时间预计在3月10号左右（早于去年同期），先行消化前期的冬储库存，少量从钢厂补给短缺资源，采取快进快出，严控库存管理。3、关于价格预判，一季度价格走势或先扬后抑，随着原材料价格的逐步下移，下跌幅度会大于上涨幅度，跌的时间节点在3月中下旬，早于去年同期。2025年一季度的价格处于牛短熊长的走势。4、总体而言，一季度属于政策的观望期，资金面很难见好，市场行情是靠资金走出来的，现货价格是靠供求支撑的，市场价格一方面从产业面来讲有顶部上限，另一方面从宏观面来讲有底部支撑。首先是要降低预期，敬畏市场，量力而行；其次是守住贸易主业，守住经营风险和库存底线，守住现金流，保持好心态面对不确定，灵活调整经营策略。</p> <p>关于目前操作思路与库存管理：自2024年11月下旬，新疆的市场已经完全进入停工状态。随着11月28号新疆的主导钢厂八钢出台了2024-2025年冬储政策，一方面适度配合钢厂冬储锁价，做了一部分锁价资源，另一方面按约定时间交够了冬储计息款。另外由于2024年底提前控制的欠款，加大阶段性欠款回收力度，当年欠款回收效果明显，但是以前年度的欠款回收难度加大。针对冬季库存，采取低库存、少冬储。前期的冬储库存大部分已投放市场变现。今年年底的冬储库存与2023年同比下降了46%。</p> <p><strong>企业简介：</strong>伊犁中正实业有限责任公司成立于2007年8月27日，注册资金3000万元人民币，由伊犁仲正发展有限责任公司（成立于1994年6月16日，注册资金2000万元人民币）全额注册成立，隶属于新疆中正人和投资集团有限公司。</p> <p>作为宝钢集团新疆八一钢铁股份有限责任公司产品的伊犁代理商，主要经营<a href='https://m.100njz.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>建筑材料</a>、水暖配件、五金交电、<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>合金门窗的销售，以及房屋租赁、仓储服务（危险化学品除外）等。经过近30年的持续发展，公司已成为一个集型、管、板材、<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010104-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>冷轧</a>带肋销售、物流配送、仓储为一体的综合性民营企业，业务范围辐射伊犁州八县三市。</p> <p>我们依托八钢钢厂的资源优势，借助便捷的销售渠道，多年来与八钢建立了良好的合作关系，在伊犁钢材市场树立了极好的信誉，是钢厂、钢材市场批发商及终端客户公认的首选合作伙伴。公司始终坚持“勤勉”“诚信”“学习”“智慧”的企业理念，为我们拥有了稳定、优质的客户群。</p> <p>多年来我们分别与水电十五局、中铁十四局、水电三局、伊犁河建管局等公司合作供应钢材，同时为新疆伊犁河北岸干渠七标项目、省道313线察布查尔至都拉塔口岸段公路工程项目、中铁十五局集团第三工程有限公司项目标段、G578线墩麻扎至尼勒克段、ABH引水项目标段等钢材供应。与此同时，我公司拥有良好的资信等级体系，与农业银行伊犁分行、农商银行伊犁分行、兴业银行伊犁分行、中信银行伊犁分行等各大商业金融机构建立了长期的金融合作关系。</p> <p>公司自成立以来多次被评为重点工程供货优质企业、重点工程优质配送企业、商贸优秀企业、重合同守信用单位、“50强”私营企业、星级代理单位、优质钢贸企业等，且成为<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>我的钢铁网</a>优质会员，在经营与管理过程中，不断完善企业内部管理体制，精益求精，努力打造一流的钢铁物流企业，与员工、股东、客户互利共赢共发展，与社会和谐快速稳定前进，充分利用钢铁资源、配送技术、信息整合等优势，为钢材用户提供便捷、高效、省心的服务。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：洪越瑶 021-26094573 </br> 资讯监督：万超 021-26093676 </br> 资讯投诉：陈跃进 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-14142-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a href="https://m.mysteel.com/article/p-14142-------------1.html" external class="more"> 查看更多<i class="arrow"></i> </a> </div> <div class="list-block 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