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class="js-ajax-info-total">5224</span> au total.</p></div> <ul class="list list-publication-hal is-columns-1 is-columns-md-1"> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-working-paper.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/food-waste-you-cant-always-want-what-you-get/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">Food Waste: You Can't Always Want What You Get</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Pré-publication, Document de travail</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">Le gaspillage alimentaire constitue une inefficacité économique importante et devrait donc être une question politique centrale. Alors que dans les pays à faible revenu, le gaspillage alimentaire est souvent associé à de mauvaises conditions de récolte, de stockage et de transport, dans les pays à revenu moyen et élevé, le comportement des consommateurs est considéré comme le principal facteur à l'origine de ce problème. L'objectif général de notre article est de contribuer à la compréhension du gaspillage alimentaire. Nous nous concentrons sur le gaspillage alimentaire des ménages et les mécanismes économiques qui le sous-tendent. Nous proposons un modèle stylisé dans lequel le gaspillage alimentaire apparaît comme une décision économique des ménages. Notre cadre de "gaspillage alimentaire rationnel" repose principalement sur les biais comportementaux des consommateurs, qui pourraient être encouragés par des stratégies de prix agressives telles que les remises quantitatives.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-working-paper.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/introduction-6/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">Introduction</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Article dans une revue</span><span class="sr-only">:</span></span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="fa-regular fa-newspaper" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text">Revue : Revue d’économie financière</span> </span> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-working-paper.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <span class="theme is-large publications-hal-list-item__category"> Forthcoming </span> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/lobbying-for-globalisation/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">Lobbying for Globalisation</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Article dans une revue</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">En utilisant des informations détaillées provenant des rapports de lobbying déposés dans le cadre du Lobbying Disclosure Act, nous construisons un ensemble de données unique qui nous permet d'identifier les entreprises qui font du lobbying sur les accords de libre-échange (ALE) négociés par les États-Unis, leur position (en faveur ou contre) et leur effort de lobbying sur la ratification de chaque accord commercial. En utilisant cet ensemble de données, nous montrons que le lobbying sur les ALE est dominé par les grandes entreprises multinationales, qui sont en faveur de ces accords. En ce qui concerne la marge intensive, nous exploitons les variations exogènes entre les ALE pour montrer que les entreprises individuelles s'efforcent davantage de soutenir les accords qui génèrent des gains potentiels plus importants – de plus grandes améliorations de leur accès aux consommateurs et fournisseurs étrangers et de plus petites augmentations de la concurrence intérieure – et qui sont plus susceptibles d'être combattus par les politiciens. Pour rationaliser ces résultats, nous développons un nouveau modèle de lobbying endogène sur les accords commerciaux. Dans ce modèle, des entreprises hétérogènes sélectionnent les échanges commerciaux et choisissent de dépenser ou non des fonds pour faire pression sur la ratification d'un ALE, et les hommes politiques peuvent être biaisés en faveur ou contre l'accord.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="fa-regular fa-newspaper" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text">Revue : The Economic Journal</span> </span> </div> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-working-paper.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/independent-media-propaganda-and-religiosity-evidence-from-poland-3/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">Independent media, propaganda, and religiosity: Evidence from Poland</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Article dans une revue</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">En explorant un changement drastique du paysage médiatique en Pologne, nous montrons que les médias grand public peuvent avoir un impact significatif sur la participation religieuse. Après l'arrivée au pouvoir du parti nationaliste populiste PiS en 2015, les informations diffusées par les télévisions publiques et privées indépendantes ont divergé en raison de la propagande de la télévision publique, ce qui a entraîné un transfert d'une partie de son public vers les télévisions indépendantes. Les municipalités ayant accès à la télévision indépendante ont continué à suivre une tendance à la sécularisation à long terme, tandis que les municipalités n'ayant accès qu'à la télévision d'État ont connu un renversement de cette tendance. Une expérience en ligne met en lumière les mécanismes qui sous-tendent l'effet de l'exposition aux informations indépendantes sur la religiosité.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="fa-regular fa-newspaper" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text">Revue : American Economic Journal: Applied Economics</span> </span> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-working-paper.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/droughts-migration-and-population-in-kenya/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">Droughts, Migration and Population in Kenya</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Pré-publication, Document de travail</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">Depuis 2000, le Kenya a connu une augmentation de la fréquence des sécheresses, ce qui a considérablement affecté l'agriculture et entraîné une migration de la main-d'œuvre. Cet article étudie les schémas de migration stratégique parmi les agriculteurs et les éleveurs en réponse aux sécheresses répétées. J'utilise des données fines qui permettent de capturer la migration à courte distance et l'hétérogénéité, en combinant des données satellitaires sur les précipitations quotidiennes (CHIRPS) avec des recensements exhaustifs de 1989, 1999 et 2009. J'utilise un modèle à effet fixe à deux voies pour exploiter la variation spatiale de la fréquence des sécheresses dans 2 518 sous-locations, en comparant leur croissance démographique en fonction du nombre de saisons sèches et pluvieuses au cours de chaque décennie. Tout d'abord, je montre que l'augmentation de la fréquence des sécheresses déclenche l'émigration, puisqu'une sécheresse supplémentaire diminue la croissance démographique de 1,7 p.p., ce qui équivaut à un déclin de la population de 1 %. Ce résultat est cohérent au sein du groupe d'âge [15 ; 65], excluant d'autres effets démographiques et confirmant que la migration est le facteur déterminant. La principale contribution de ce document est l'identification de différentes stratégies de migration en fonction des moyens de subsistance. Les zones rurales dominées par les activités pastorales connaissent une émigration importante, ce qui entraîne un glissement rural-rural des régions pastorales vers les régions orientées vers l'agriculture. La migration des éleveurs présente peu d'hétérogénéité, ce qui suggère la migration de ménages entiers et correspond à une migration de dernier recours. Les zones rurales agricoles sont moins vulnérables à la sécheresse et présentent une hétérogénéité significative. Les résultats montrent la migration des individus les plus éduqués en âge de travailler, tandis que les individus sans éducation sont piégés dans les zones touchées. Cet article souligne l'importance d'utiliser des données détaillées pour comprendre les diverses stratégies de migration et faciliter ainsi la mise en œuvre de politiques efficaces.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-working-paper.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/effectiveness-of-ex-ante-honesty-oaths-in-reducing-dishonesty-depends-on-content/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">Effectiveness of ex ante honesty oaths in reducing dishonesty depends on content</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Article dans une revue</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">Les comportements malhonnêtes tels que l'évasion fiscale entraînent des coûts sociétaux importants. Les serments d'honnêteté ex ante – des engagements d'honnêteté avant l'action – ont été proposés comme interventions pour contrer les comportements malhonnêtes, mais l'hétérogénéité des résultats entre les différentes opérationnalisations remet en question leur efficacité. Nous avons testé 21 serments d'honnêteté (y compris un serment de base) – proposés, évalués et sélectionnés par 44 chercheurs experts – et une condition sans serment dans une méga-étude impliquant 21 506 participants britanniques et américains de Prolific.com qui ont joué en ligne à un jeu d'évasion fiscale incitatif. Sur les 21 interventions, 10 ont amélioré de manière significative le respect des obligations fiscales de 4,5 à 8,5 points de pourcentage, la plus réussie ayant presque réduit de moitié l'évasion fiscale. Les preuves de l'existence de modérateurs sont limitées. Les experts et les profanes n'ont pas réussi à prédire les interventions les plus efficaces, bien que les prédictions des experts aient été plus précises. En conclusion, les serments d'honnêteté sont efficaces pour réduire la malhonnêteté, mais leur efficacité varie en fonction de leur contenu. Ces résultats peuvent aider à concevoir des interventions efficaces pour lutter contre la malhonnêteté.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="far fa-user-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text"> Auteur(s) : Nicolas Jacquemet </span> </span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="fa-regular fa-newspaper" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text">Revue : Nature Human Behaviour</span> </span> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-working-paper.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/natural-versus-artificial-herd-immunity-is-vaccine-research-investment-always-optimal/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">Natural versus artificial herd immunity: Is vaccine research investment always optimal?</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Article dans une revue</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">Sous la menace d'un virus à expansion rapide comme le COVID-19 de 2020, les décideurs politiques doivent décider assez rapidement s'il faut investir dans un vaccin et dans quelles conditions, et éventuellement adopter d'autres mesures de protection comme la distanciation sociale ou le confinement, ou attendre l'immunité naturelle du troupeau. Tenant compte du fait que les vaccins mettent du temps à être pleinement développés et efficaces, cet article considère un cadre unifié à la croisée de l'économie et de l'épidémiologie pour étudier les dépenses publiques optimales dans la recherche médicale afin d'obtenir un vaccin contre une maladie infectieuse évoluant selon une dynamique SIR. Nous prouvons que les économies développées investissent toujours dans la recherche d'un vaccin. Plus les individus se soucient de leur consommation, plus ils réduisent leur consommation actuelle et plus ils investissent dans le programme de recherche d'un vaccin afin de retrouver au plus tôt leur potentiel de consommation. Notre modèle recommanderait uniquement aux économies dotées d'une technologie très médiocre de s'abstenir d'investir et d'attendre l'immunité collective.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="fa-regular fa-newspaper" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text">Revue : Research in Economics</span> </span> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-working-paper.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/diffusion-of-gender-norms-evidence-from-stalins-ethnic-deportations-5/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">Diffusion of Gender Norms: Evidence from Stalin’s Ethnic Deportations</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Article dans une revue</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">Nous étudions la transmission culturelle horizontale entre les groupes en utilisant les déportations ethniques de Staline comme expérience historique. Plus de 2 millions de citoyens soviétiques, principalement des Allemands et des Tchétchènes, ont été déplacés de force de l'ouest vers l'est de l'URSS pendant la Seconde Guerre mondiale, uniquement sur la base de leur appartenance ethnique. En conséquence, la population indigène des destinations de déportation a été exposée de manière exogène à des groupes dont les normes et le comportement en matière de genre étaient radicalement différents. Nous combinons des données historiques et contemporaines pour démontrer que l'égalité des sexes actuelle dans la participation à la main-d'œuvre, la direction d'entreprise et la fécondité, ainsi que les attitudes favorables à l'égalité des sexes, sont plus élevées au sein de la population autochtone locale des destinations de déportation où la présence de déportés protestants est plus importante qu'au sein de la population musulmane. Les effets sont plus marqués pour les groupes culturellement plus proches et lorsque l'adoption des normes des expulsés est moins coûteuse. Les résultats ne peuvent s'expliquer par la sélection, la transmission culturelle verticale ou l'impact des expulsés sur l'économie locale. Les données suggèrent fortement que les normes de genre se sont diffusées horizontalement des déportés à la population locale par l'imitation et l'apprentissage.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="fa-regular fa-newspaper" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text">Revue : Journal of the European Economic Association</span> </span> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-chapitre_ouvrage-1.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/la-datation-des-cycles-economiques-francais-une-revue-de-la-litterature/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">La datation des cycles économiques français : une revue de la littérature</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Chapitre d'ouvrage</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">Après avoir tiré les leçons de l’histoire des cycles économiques avant et après Keynes, les aspects méthodologiques relatifs à la mesure et à la modélisation des cycles font l’objet d’une description approfondie. Se centrant ensuite sur la France, l’ouvrage propose une détermination des dates des phases de récession et d’expansion de l’économie française depuis 1970. La méthodologie retenue est originale, mêlant approches économétriques et narrative, et permet d’obtenir une datation précise des points de retournement du cycle économique français.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="far fa-user-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text"> Auteur(s) : Catherine Doz </span> </span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="far fa-user" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text"> Éditeur(s) : Economica </span> </span> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-chapitre_ouvrage-1.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/la-datation-des-cycles-par-le-cdcef-resultats-des-approches-econometriques/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">La datation des cycles par le CDCEF : résultats des approches économétriques</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Chapitre d'ouvrage</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">Après avoir tiré les leçons de l'histoire des cycles économiques avant et après Keynes, les aspects méthodologiques relatifs à la mesure et à la modélisation des cycles font l'objet d'une description approfondie. Se centrant ensuite sur la France, l'ouvrage propose une détermination des dates des phases de récession et d'expansion de l'économie française depuis 1970. La méthodologie retenue est originale, mêlant approches économétriques et narrative, et permet d'obtenir une datation précise des points de retournement du cycle économique français.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="far fa-user-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text"> Auteur(s) : Catherine Doz </span> </span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="far fa-user" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text"> Éditeur(s) : Economica </span> </span> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-working-paper.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/compter-les-voix-et-optimiser-la-democratie-2/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">Compter les voix" et optimiser la démocratie</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Article dans une revue</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">L’article est consacré à l’organisation des scrutins et au comptage des voix dans trois cas de complexité croissante : La répartition des sièges entre pays (exemple du Parlement Européen), la répartition des sièges entre partis politiques, et le choix des projets dans le cas d’un budget participatif. Ces questions techniques mettent en œuvre des concepts fondamentaux de philosophie morale et politique à la manière de la philosophie économique, en particulier les arbitrages entre efficacité et égalité.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="far fa-user-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text"> Auteur(s) : Jean-François Laslier </span> </span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="fa-regular fa-newspaper" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text">Revue : Archives de philosophie du droit</span> </span> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> <li class="list__item has-mb-5"> <article class="publications-hal-list-item"> <picture class="publications-hal-list-item__image" data-error-alt="Image cassée"> <img alt="" class="lazy lazyload" data-error-src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" data-src="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/app/uploads/2024/08/ico-working-paper.svg" src="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20width%3D%22210%22%20height%3D%22210%22%20viewBow%3D%220%200%20210%20210%22%20%20%2F%3E" width="210" height="210"> </picture> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__content"> <span class="item-title js-title-tag-to-change publications-hal-list-item__title"> <a href="https://www.parisschoolofeconomics.eu/publications-hal/unanimity-of-two-selves-in-decision-making/" class="publications-hal-list-item__title-link"> <span class="underline">Unanimity of two selves in decision making</span> </a> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__subtitle">Pré-publication, Document de travail</span><span class="sr-only">:</span> <p class="item-teaser publications-hal-list-item__teaser">Nous proposons un nouveau modèle de préférences incomplètes en cas d'incertitude, que nous appelons préférences unanimes à deux égards. L'acte f est considéré comme plus souhaitable que l'acte g lorsque, et seulement lorsque, l'évaluation d'un soi optimiste, calculée comme le niveau de bien-être atteint dans le meilleur des cas, et celle d'un soi pessimiste, calculée comme le niveau de bien-être atteint dans le pire des cas, classent f au-dessus de g. Notre critère de comparaison implique des antécédents multiples, puisque le meilleur et le pire des cas sont déterminés parmi des ensembles de distributions de probabilité, et est, de manière générale, moins conservateur que les préférences de Bewley et les préférences doubles à antécédents multiples, les deux modèles d'ambiguïté qui sont les plus proches des nôtres.</p> </span> <div class="publications-hal-list-item__informations"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations__item"> <span class="far fa-user-circle" aria-hidden="true"></span> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__informations-text"> Auteur(s) : Pierre Bardier </span> </span> </div> <p class="publication is-primary publications-hal-list-item__publication"> <span class="publications-hal-list-item__publication-date"> <span class="publication-hal__number">Publié en</span> <time datetime="2024">2024</time> </span> </p> </div> </article> </li> </ul> <nav class="pager" role="navigation" aria-label="Pagination"> 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