Mysteel早读：美元指数创四个月新高有色金属多数收跌-我的钢铁网

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APlayer({ container: document.getElementById('aplayer'), loop:'none', preload:'none', audio: [{ theme:'#666', name: '<span class="sub-t"><span class="merquee-txt">11月12日Mysteel有色早读</span></span><span class="size">8.40MB</span>', url: 'https://mfs.mysteelcdn.com/group1/M00/D5/51/rBL632cypDmALr16AIZZTdZXYFs433.mp3', }] }); try { ap.audio.addEventListener('ended', function () { ap.audio.play() setTimeout(function(){ ap.audio.currentTime=0 ap.audio.pause() if($('.merquee-txt').outerWidth()>$('.sub-t').outerWidth()){ $('.merquee-txt').addClass('merquee-move') } },400) }, false); } catch (error) { } try { document.addEventListener('visibilitychange', function() { if (document.hidden) { // 关闭背景音乐 ap.pause() } else { // 开启背景音乐 // ap.play() } }) } catch (err) { } if($('.merquee-txt').outerWidth()>$('.sub-t').outerWidth()){ $('.merquee-txt').addClass('merquee-move') } </script> <div data-val="5786" id="article-content"> <div id="text"> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/12/0842121.png" alt="" width="425" height="30" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 233.883px;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/12/0842122.png" width="600" height="233" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 201.867px;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/12/0842123.png" width="600" height="201" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 518.127px;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/12/0842124.png" width="600" height="518" /></p> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/12/0842125.png" alt="" width="401" height="30" /></p> <p align="justify">◎<strong>中国10月新增社融1.4万亿元，新增人民币贷款5000亿元，社融和人民币贷款增速放缓，M1降幅收窄至6.1%，M2升幅扩大至7.5%，M1-M2增速负剪刀差缩小</strong>。</p> <p align="justify">◎潘功胜：<strong>加大货币政策逆周期调节力度，完善应对股票市场异常波动等政策工具</strong>；引导金融资本投早、投小、投长期、投硬科技，满足科技型企业不同生命周期阶段的融资需求；促进股市投资和融资功能相协调，拓宽境外投资者投资境内资本市场渠道。</p> <p align="justify">◎中国央行主管媒体：<strong>一揽子增量政策不是简单的刺激，是政策逻辑的重大调整</strong>；经济日报：明年我国有望实施力度更大的财政政策。</p> <p align="justify">◎“新美联储通讯社”：如果特朗普要解雇鲍威尔，鲍威尔将诉诸法律。律师出身的鲍威尔此前表示，根据美国法律，总统无权解雇和降职美联储主席。而在六年前特朗普考虑解雇鲍威尔时，美联储内部酝酿了一场针对总统的法律诉讼。</p> <p align="justify">◎日本央行10月会议纪要：决策者对进一步加息持谨慎态度，<strong>仍未就12月是否加息达成共识</strong>。美国大选后余震尚存，日本政局不稳也影响加息前景。</p> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/12/0842126.png" alt="" width="425" height="30" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 193.875px;" src="https://img06.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/12/0842127.png" width="600" height="193" /></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 174.421px;" src="https://img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/12/0842128.png" width="600" height="174" /></p> <p align="justify">◎11月11日国内市场<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/dianjietong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>电解铜</a>现货库18.53万吨，较4日降2.07万吨，较7日降0.65万吨；上海库存14.30万吨，较4日降0.98万吨，较7日降0.12万吨；广东库存1.73万吨，较4日降1.29万吨，较7日降0.73万吨；江苏库存1.93万吨，较4日增0.22万吨，较7日增0.18万吨。国内电解<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a>社会库存延续去库趋势，其中上海、广东市场继续表现下降，江苏市场小幅增加。具体来看，上海市场近期仍有进口铜陆续到货流入，但国产品牌货源到货依旧偏少，同时部分仓库出库尚可；而广东市场库存再度表现大幅降库，主因冶炼厂发货较少，且下游担忧市场后市升水大涨而积极补库，整体库存因此延续下降。</p> <p align="justify">◎11月11日上海、广东两地保税区铜现货库存累计6.24万吨，较4日增0.09万吨，较7日增0.12万吨；上海保税区5.92万吨，较4日增0.12万吨，较7日增0.12万吨；广东保税区0.32万吨，较4日降0.03万吨，较7日持平；保税区库存继续表现增加，周末进口抵港到船货源仍有所入库，且国内消费未有明显起色，部分仓库清关流入量较少，库存因此累库。</p> <p align="justify">◎11月11日，据本周<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>调研数据显示，国内24家再生铜冶炼铜阳极生产样本企业，涉及生产产能232万吨（占全国产能37.15%），阳极板周度总产量为1.67万吨，较上周上升7.82%；产能利用率为34.26%，较上周上升2.48%；原料总库存为0.67万吨，较上周减少0.01万吨。</p> <p align="justify">◎11月11日中国<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>棒现货库存(万吨)：佛山3.05，无<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/xi/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锡</a>2.5，南昌0.9，常州1.6，湖州1.9，成都0.45，巩义0.15，洛阳0.55，宣城0.8，总量11.9，较上期（11月7日）减0.6。</p> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/12/0842129.png" alt="" width="401" height="30" /></p> <p align="justify">◎中国<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----02-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>有色金属</a>工业协会：氧化<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝价</a>格走势存在非理性因素，资本过度投机炒作明显。中国有色金属工业协会有关负责人表示，按照当前成本和价格测算，氧化铝行业平均利润达2000元/吨以上，不可持续，也不应该持续。电解铝产能有“天花板”，同时当前氧化铝供需也基本平衡，不支撑价格持续过快攀升，氧化铝期货价格呈“近高远低”结构也说明对远期价格并不看好。</p> <p align="justify">◎永州市中新铝业有限公司拟建年产7万吨铝卷、3万吨铝棒及配套综合利用内部铝灰渣项目，目前项目处于环境影响评价文件受理公示阶段。</p> <p align="justify">◎11月7日，工信部公示了2024年重点用水企业、园区水效领跑者名单。公示时间：2024年11月7日至2024年11月21日。其中，云南文山铝业有限公司、云南神火铝业有限公司、云南云铝海鑫铝业有限公司等3家铝企拟入选2024年重点用水企业、园区水效领跑者名单。</p> <p align="justify">◎日前，郊区经开区钰坤年产10万吨再生铜锭项目建设现场，施工单位抢抓晴好天气加紧施工。据了解，该项目由安徽钰坤材料科技公司投资建设，计划总投资4.3亿元，建设废线路板脱锡生产设施和4条铜熔炼生产线，可年处理3万吨废线路板等，年产再生铜锭系列产品10万吨，预计今年底可试生产。</p> <p align="justify">◎11月9日消息，一项调查发现，由于矿山供应中断导致<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tongjingkuang/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜精矿</a>供应日益紧张，加上全球冶炼产能扩大，2025年铜精矿的加工费将会跌至2010年以来的最低水平。包括冶炼厂、贸易商、矿商以及分析师在内的业内人士参与的一项调查显示，45位受访者对明年铜精矿处理费的预测值分歧较大，从每吨15美元到50美元不等，其中有21人的预测范围从20多美元到30多美元；9人的预测范围为从15美元到20多美元；12人的预测范围从20多美元到40美元，其他人给出的预测范围从20到50美元不等。以上预测均远低于2024年铜精矿基准处理费每吨80美元。</p> <p align="justify">◎11月10日晚间，天山铝业发布公告，更新了其境外孙公司收购PT Inti Tambang Makmur100%股份暨铝土矿投资的进展。目前，交易各方已完成ITM公司的股份交割，天山铝业间接获得印度尼西亚三个铝土矿的采矿权。天山铝业表示，此次顺利完成印尼铝土矿项目股权交割是公司实现印尼铝产业链战略布局的重要一步。未来该项目所产铝土矿计划全部用于公司印尼氧化铝项目所需原料，确保其拥有稳定且低成本铝土矿供应，增强其成本竞争优势。</p> <p align="justify">◎美国商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）公布的报告显示，截至11月5日当周，基金持有的COMEX铜期货净多仓五连降，回落至23670手。上周初外围风险事件落地，美债收益率和美元指数一度大涨，期铜重心一度下移，空头势力明显扩张。11月5日当周，基金多头仓位出现回升至101996手，空头仓位继续增加至78326手，总持仓反弹至251994手。</p> <p>◎11月8日消息，布干维尔铜业公司（Bougainville Copper，BOC）已与传统土地所有者就其在Panguna项目区的EL01勘探许可证签订了土地使用和补偿协议（LACA）。继布干维尔自治政府（ABG）于1月决定授予BOC五年勘探许可证后，LACA是Panguna项目发展的一个关键里程碑。该协议现在为BOC开展必要的勘探和准备工作扫清了道路。该协议于11月6日由传统土地所有者签署，涵盖510个区块，面积约37.74平方公里。</p> <p align="justify">◎11月11日消息，两位市场人士表示，智利国有铜生产商--智利国家铜业公司(Codelco)向中国客户提供的精炼铜2025年合约溢价为每吨89美元，与一年前基本持平。<a href='https://youse.m.mysteel.com/tong/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜价</a>溢价是向买家收取的高于伦敦金属交易所（LME）价格的费用，是一种需求指标。Codelco是全球最大的铜矿商，在过去两年触及历史低点后，一直难以提高产量。其预计今年铜产量将达到132.5万至135.2万吨。</p> <p><img style="float: left;" src="https://img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/youse/2024/11/12/08421210.png" alt="" width="401" height="30" /></p> <p>15:00 德国10月CPI月率终值</p> <p>15:00 英国10月失业率</p> <p>15:00 英国10月失业金申请人数</p> <p>18:00 欧元区11月ZEW经济景气指数</p> <p>19:00 美国10月NFIB小型企业信心指数</p> <p>23:00 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