Mysteel：合肥市场冷轧板卷“银十”能否到来-我的钢铁网

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src="//img04.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/09/30/6ef3f25227364bd2ae395023556354a2.png" alt="<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>：合肥市场冷轧板卷“银十”能否到来" width="600" height="300" /></p> <p>从上图可以看出，以合肥马钢1.0mm规格的冷轧价格为例，今年合肥市场冷轧板卷价格处于近三年的低位，从全年的价格来看，跌幅超过了1000元/吨。九月份合肥冷轧价格走势为先抑后扬，虽价格有所上涨，但贸易商反馈出货依旧较为困难，市场对于高价资源的接受度不高，成交多集中在低价资源。2023年国庆节前价格有明显上涨，涨幅为120元/吨。从节后数据来看，国庆节后，前两年节后市场价格以稳或者小幅下跌为主。但近期在相应政策的支持下，市场需求有一定增量，使得节前价格有所回暖。</p> <p>二、冷热价差有所收窄</p> <p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="//img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/09/30/d034fc8a7cb94972835dda9a1f163e0d.png" alt="" width="600" height="300" /></p> <p>从上图可以看出，进入九月以来合肥冷轧及热轧价格先抑后扬，进入九月中下旬冷热价差逐渐收窄，截至9月29日合肥市场冷热价差为410元/吨，处于一个相对偏低的水平，近期随着期货的拉涨，冷热价格也随之跟涨，但冷轧对期货盘面反应较慢，再叠加近期美联储降息以及相关政策的出台，使得下游对于冷轧板卷的采购有所增加，使得冷热价差有所收窄。</p> <p>三、商家心态</p> <p>贸易商A:现货价格的上涨使得近期询单问价者有所增加，出货量较上月相比有所上升，这个月出货量在2500吨左右，最近价格拉涨情况已经出现，但是还是要等节后在进行相应操作，目前还是以观望态度为主。</p> <p>贸易商B:近期黑色期货盘面拉涨，现货价格随之跟涨，对于即将到来的十月，终端企业接单或许将逐渐复苏，叠加宏观利好政策的刺激，对原材料的采购会有所增加，对十月份行情信心有所增加，认为价格有一定的上涨空间。</p> <p>  四、总结</p> <p>价格方面，近期冷轧价格有所上涨，市场信心得到提振，随着美联储降息以及相关政策的出台，“买涨不买跌”的心态开始逐渐占据主流，冷热价差修复至410元/吨左右，市场成交情况较上月有所好转。库存方面，目前合肥冷轧库存还是在一个持续降库的状态，市场需求在没有明显变化的情况下，库存压力依旧存在。下游方面，今年1-8月合肥市新能源汽车产量为78.3万辆，同比增长72%，预计全年产量达130万辆，与此同时，家电以旧换新政策在安徽各地区持续推进，使得对于冷轧板卷的需求有所增加。综合来看，合肥市场冷轧板卷价格短期可能延续涨势，但随后可能恢复震荡运行，十月份整体还是以震荡运行为主。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：蔡宇轩 021-26094436 </br> 资讯监督：雍南川 021-26093774 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: 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