Mysteel解读：不锈钢线材淡季拐点即将到来？谁将打响上涨第一枪？-我的钢铁网

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data-val="4391" id="article-content"> <div id="text"> <p style="text-indent: 24.1pt; text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;"><strong><span style="color: #c00000; font-weight: bold;"><span>概述：</span></span></strong><a href='https://bxg.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>不锈钢</a>线材市场商家多反馈不锈钢淡季情绪主导明显，厂家纷纷调整排产结构，计划减产避险，部分商家不再依赖单一材质，业务已扩展至其他品种或半成品，包括加工品种及高温合金等，试图通过产品多元化来抵御市场风险，主流钢厂调整盘价，通过价格抬涨刺激下游消费采购，综合市场情况及历史经验，不锈钢线材价格预计上涨幅度在200-300元/吨。</p> <p><strong><span style="color: #023985; font-weight: bold;"><span>一、不锈钢线材价格</span></span></strong></p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;"><strong><span style="color: #023985; font-weight: bold;"><span>300系价格走势</span></span></strong></p> <p><img src="//img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/18/3e1c22e49a194d5aa27a14014671afc3.png" width="600" height="313" /></p> <p><img src="//img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/18/8a7dd3446def4e4ebef9c32126552370.png" width="551" height="295" /></p> <p style="text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;"><strong><span style="color: #023985; font-weight: bold;"><span>200系价格走势</span></span></strong></p> <p><img src="//img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/18/d844509782e547c6975c22db07af07f3.png" width="551" height="295" /></p> <p><img src="//img01.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/18/aed94851419f48dabd6d1963c7a6e568.png" width="551" height="295" /></p> <p style="text-indent: 24pt; text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">7月8日，青山钢厂调整200系不锈钢线材盘价；7月15日，青山钢厂调整300系不锈钢线材盘价，与上一次开盘相较，D669线材（白线）价格8950元/吨，跌150元/吨；201CU线材（白线）价格12600元/吨，跌100元/吨；304线材（白线）价格14200元/吨，涨100元/吨；316L线材（白线）价格25200元/吨，涨300元/吨；316L CU线材（白线）价格27800元/吨，涨300元/吨。此次是青山7月以来第一次调整盘价，304线材（白线）价格环比6月下降1.39%，同比2023年下降6.58%；316L线材（白线）价格环比6月下降0.4%，同比2023年下降5.97%。</p> <p><strong><span style="color: #023985; font-weight: bold;"><span>二、原料价格</span></span></strong></p> <p><img src="//img02.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/18/2759b57ac062476aa51f3ebad7b33f34.png" width="521" height="281" /></p> <p>7月17日，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>高<a href='https://bxg.m.mysteel.com/nie/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>镍</a>铁国内出厂价暂稳至960-970元/镍；国内到厂价暂稳至970-975元/镍；印尼高镍铁舱底含税价格上调5元暂稳至965-975元/镍，印尼镍铁FOB价暂稳至116美元/镍。</p> <p style="text-indent: 24pt; text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">近期有部分钢厂入场询盘，供需双方心理价差收窄，镍铁价格偏强运行。成本端，印尼镍矿受镍矿审批和雨季影响，供应偏紧，印尼镍铁厂冶炼成本高企，镍铁底部价位支撑有力。供应端，印尼镍铁回流量级受限，供方报价坚挺。需求端，钢厂7月排产降幅不大，对原料的刚性需求仍存，叠加镍铁报价坚挺，难有让利，钢厂心理采购价格稍有松动。后续还需关注市场最新成交价格以及印尼镍铁回流情况。 </p> <p><img src="//img03.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/18/16b8b4534d624553a2b8a1d7609fe7e0.png" width="582" height="324" /></p> <p style="text-indent: 21pt; text-align: center; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;" align="center"> </p> <p style="text-indent: 24pt; text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">7月18日钼市动态：钼铁主流价格在23.5-24万元/吨；45%-50%品位钼精矿价格在3730-3760元/吨度；欧洲钼铁价格在 53.5-53.75美元/千克钼；国际氧化钼价格在22.55-22.65美元/磅钼。国内钼价呈现上挺下跌态势，产业链上下游冷热不均。</p> <p><strong><span style="color: #023985; font-weight: bold;"><span>三、市场反馈</span></span></strong></p> <p><img style="width: 600px; height: 209.535px;" src="//img08.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/07/18/93a32608a2074ed787c7321cedd5f575.png" width="600" height="209" /></p> <p style="text-indent: 24pt; text-align: justify; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;" align="justify">根据市场商家反馈情况，近期不锈钢市场整体表现不佳，大客户持观望态度，减少大规模采购，贸易商接单以刚需期货订单为主，终端多利用期货市场对冲风险，需求多碎片化，即时需求不振导致现货接单减少明显，目前正处于线材市场淡季，成交清淡进一步加剧了行业的困境，市场需求下滑迫使钢厂减产应对，即使短期内价格有所回升，但下游畏高情绪主导价格恐难以维持。</p> <p style="margin-top: 0pt; margin-right: 0pt; margin-bottom: 0pt; padding: 0pt; text-align: justify;" align="justify"><strong><span style="color: #023985; font-weight: bold;"><span>四、总结</span></span></strong></p> <p style="text-indent: 24pt; text-align: left; margin: 0pt 0pt 0.0001pt;">本周国内宏观情况保持稳健前进，全国统一大市场建设、财税改革等重点工作可能继续推进，为经济发展注入新的动力。大宗商品市场呈现分化走势，原油价格受到OPEC减产政策、全球经济复苏情况以及地缘政治局势的影响，价格波动较大，<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁矿石价格</a>继续受到中国房地产行业需求减弱的影响而承压。<a href='https://bxg.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>不锈钢期货</a>价格呈现震荡走势，涨跌幅度相对较小，下游客户对行情多持谨慎担忧态度，询购动作少，采买氛围冷清。原料方面，国内钼市场整体在震荡偏弱，终端需求疲软导致价格传导受阻，不锈钢市场面临持续倒挂压力，且钼铁钢招进场节奏放缓，导致成交议价重心逐步下移；沪镍震荡下行，国内镍铁市场受下游终端压力传导，镍铁价格承压弱势运行，市场对后市信心不足，多持看跌预期。不锈钢线材市场现货资源流通不佳，客户订单多为刚需散单以规避风险，合同取消等情况时有发生，贸易商备库意愿不高，原料价格弱稳运行下，钢厂线材减产，价格就有所上涨，总体上看，买卖双方均有博弈心理，预计价格上涨情况下市场仍会维持一段时间的胶着状态。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：徐洁 021-66896910 </br> 资讯监督：刘萍萍 021-26096562 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p 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