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<!DOCTYPE HTML><html lang="en"><head> <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html;charset=utf-8" /> <link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="https://www.giss.nasa.gov/css/css2104.css" media="all" /> <title>Pubs.GISS: GISS Publications: Most Cited Publications</title><link rel="stylesheet" type="text/css" href="/css/pubs.css" media="all" /> <script src="/js/pubs.js" async="async"></script> <link rel="apple-touch-icon" href="/gfx/apple-touch-icon-180x180.png" /> <link rel="apple-touch-icon-precomposed" href="/gfx/apple-touch-icon-180x180.png" /> <link rel="apple-touch-icon" sizes="192x192" href="/gfx/apple-touch-icon-192x192.png" /> <link rel="apple-touch-icon" sizes="180x180" href="/gfx/apple-touch-icon-180x180.png" /> <link rel="apple-touch-icon" sizes="152x152" href="/gfx/apple-touch-icon-152x152.png" /> <link rel="apple-touch-icon" sizes="128x128" href="/gfx/apple-touch-icon-128x128.png" /> <link rel="apple-touch-icon" sizes="76x76" href="/gfx/apple-touch-icon-76x76.png" /> <meta name="orgcode" content="611" /> <meta name="rno" content="Gavin.A.Schmidt.1" /> <meta name="content-owner" content="Robert.B.Schmunk.1" /> <meta name="webmaster" content="Robert.B.Schmunk.1" /> <meta name="viewport" content="width=956, initial-scale=1" /><script id="_fed_an_ua_tag" src="https://dap.digitalgov.gov/Universal-Federated-Analytics-Min.js?agency=NASA&subagency=GISS&yt=true&dclink=true" async="async"></script> </head><body> <div id="bkg1"><div id="bkg2"></div></div> <div id="page"> <div class="hidden"> <a href="#content" title="Go to Main Content" accesskey="2">Go to Main Content (Accesskey 2)</a> <a href="#nav" title="Go to Site Menu" accesskey="3">Go to Site Menu (Accesskey 3)</a></div> <div id="header"> <div id="headerlogo"> <a href="https://www.nasa.gov/"><img src="https://www.giss.nasa.gov/gfx/2013/nasa_x2.png" alt="NASA Logo, National Aeronautics and Space Administration" style="width:140px;height:98px" /></a></div> <div id="centername"> <h1><a href="https://www.nasa.gov/">National Aeronautics and Space Administration</a></h1> <h2><a href="https://www.giss.nasa.gov/">Goddard Institute for Space Studies</a></h2></div> <div id="hierarchy"> <h2><a href="https://www.nasa.gov/goddard/">Goddard Space Flight Center</a> <a href="https://science.gsfc.nasa.gov/sci">Sciences and Exploration Directorate</a> <a href="https://science.gsfc.nasa.gov/earth">Earth Sciences Division</a></h2></div></div> <div id="paper"> <div id="content"><div id="cpad"> <h2>Most Cited Publications</h2> The following journal articles with GISS authors or co-authors have collected a large number of citations by other articles since their publication. We list here in descending order by citation count the 75 most cited articles according to the Clarivate Web of Science Core Content database as of October 2024. (Note: Some 1960s and early 1970s papers may be omitted.) <div id="hl_block"> </div> <script>document.getElementById("hl_block").innerHTML='+ <a href="javascript:toggleGA(1);">Highlight</a> GISS authors+ <a href="javascript:toggleGA(0);">Unhighlight</a> GISS authors'</script> Rockström, J., W. Steffen, K. Noone, Å. Persson, F.S. Chapin, III, E.F. Lambin, T.M. Lenton, M. Scheffer, C. Folke, H.J. Schellnhuber, B. Nykvist, C.A. de Wit, T. Hughes, S. van der Leeuw, H. Rodhe, S. Sörlin, P.K. Snyder, R. Costanza, U. Svedin, M. Falkenmark, L. Karlberg, R.W. Corell, V.J. Fabry, J. Hansen, B. Walker, D. Liverman, K. Richardson, P. Crutzen, and J.A. Foley, 2009: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ro02010z.html">A safe operating space for humanity</a>. <cite>Nature</cite>, 461, 472-475, doi:10.1038/461472a. Bond, T.C., S.J. Doherty, D.W. Fahey, P.M. Forster, T. Berntsen, B.J. DeAngelo, M.G. Flanner, S. Ghan, B. Kärcher, D. Koch, S. Kinne, Y. Kondo, P.K. Quinn, M.C. Sarofim, M.G. Schultz, M. Schulz, C. Venkataraman, H. Zhang, S. Zhang, N. Bellouin, S.K. Guttikunda, P.K. Hopke, M.Z. Jacobson, J.W. Kaiser, Z. Klimont, U. Lohmann, J.P. Schwarz, D. Shindell, T. Storelvmo, S.G. Warren, and C.S. Zender, 2013: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/bo05200b.html">Bounding the role of black carbon in the climate system: A scientific assessment</a>. <cite>J. Geophys. Res. Atmos.</cite>, 118, no. 11, 5380-5552, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50171. Root, T.L., J.T. Price, K.R. Hall, S.H. Schneider, C. Rosenzweig, and J.A. Pounds, 2003: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ro04200b.html">Fingerprints of global warming on wild animals and plants</a>. <cite>Nature</cite>, 421, 57-60, doi:10.1038/nature01333. Charlson, R.J., S.E. Schwartz, J.M. Hales, R.D. Cess, J.A. Coakley, Jr., J.E. Hansen, and D.J. Hoffman, 1992: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ch06200v.html">Climate forcing by anthropogenic aerosols</a>. <cite>Science</cite>, 255, 423-430, doi:10.1126/science.255.5043.423. Toomre, A., and J. Toomre, 1972: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/to03000u.html">Galactic bridges and tails</a>. <cite>Astrophys. J.</cite>, 178, 623-666, doi:10.1086/151823. Gilbert, A., and A.G.W. Cameron, 1965: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/gi09000a.html">A composite nuclear-level density formula with shell corrections</a>. <cite>Can. J. Phys.</cite>, 43, 1446-1496, doi:10.1139/p65-139. Hansen, J.E., and L.D. Travis, 1974: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha09500o.html">Light scattering in planetary atmospheres</a>. <cite>Space Sci. Rev.</cite>, 16, 527-610, doi:10.1007/BF00168069. Hansen, J., R. Ruedy, M. Sato, and K. Lo, 2010: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha00510u.html">Global surface temperature change</a>. <cite>Rev. Geophys.</cite>, 48, RG4004, doi:10.1029/2010RG000345. Rossow, W.B., and R.A. Schiffer, 1999: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ro04100j.html">Advances in understanding clouds from ISCCP</a>. <cite>Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.</cite>, 80, 2261-2288, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1999)080<2261:AIUCFI>2.0.CO;2. Menon, S., J.E. Hansen, L. Nazarenko, and Y. Luo, 2002: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/me06000k.html">Climate effects of black carbon aerosols in China and India</a>. <cite>Science</cite>, 297, 2250-2253, doi:10.1126/science.1075159. Stephens, G.L., D.G. Vane, R.J. Boain, G.G. Mace, K. Sassen, Z. Wang, A.J. Illingworth, E.J. O'Connor, W.B. Rossow, S.L. Durden, S.D. Miller, R.T. Austin, A. Benedetti, C. Mitrescu, and CloudSat Science Team, 2002: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/st04300u.html">The CloudSat mission and the A-Train: A new dimension of space-based observations of clouds and precipitation</a>. <cite>Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.</cite>, 83, 1771-1790, doi:10.1175/BAMS-83-12-1771. Mann, M.E., Z. Zhang, S. Rutherford, R. Bradley, M.K. Hughes, D. Shindell, C. Ammann, G. Faluvegi, and F. Ni, 2009: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ma02700w.html">Global signatures and dynamical origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly</a>. <cite>Science</cite>, 326, 1256-1260, doi:10.1126/science.1177303. Hansen, J., M. Sato, and R. Ruedy, 1997: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha01900k.html">Radiative forcing and climate response</a>. <cite>J. Geophys. Res.</cite>, 102, 6831-6864, doi:10.1029/96JD03436. Lamarque, J.-F., T.C. Bond, V. Eyring, C. Granier, A. Heil, Z. Klimont, D. Lee, C. Liousse, A. Mieville, B. Owen, M.G. Schultz, D. Shindell, S.J. Smith, E. Stehfest, J. Van Aardenne, O.R. Cooper, M. Kainuma, N. Mahowald, J.R. McConnell, V. Naik, K. Riahi, and D.P. van Vuuren, 2010: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/la08300g.html">Historical (1850-2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: Methodology and application</a>. <cite>Atmos. Chem. Phys.</cite>, 10, 7017-7039, doi:10.5194/acp-10-7017-2010. Tans, P.P., I.Y. Fung, and T. Takahashi, 1990: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ta01000b.html">Observational contraints on the global atmospheric CO2 budget</a>. <cite>Science</cite>, 247, 1431-1439, doi:10.1126/science.247.4949.1431. Kirschke, S., P. Bousquet, P. Ciais, M. Saunois, J.G. Canadell, E.J. Dlugokencky, P. Bergamaschi, D. Bergmann, D.R. Blake, L. Bruhwiler, P. Cameron-Smith, S. Castaldi, F. Chevallier, L. Feng, A. Fraser, M. Heimann, E.L. Hodson, S. Houweling, B. Josse, P.J. Fraser, P.B. Krummel, J.-F. Lamarque, R.L. Langenfelds, C. Le Quéré, V. Naik, S. O'Doherty, P.I. Palmer, I. Pison, D. Plummer, B. Poulter, R.G. Prinn, M. Rigby, B. Ringeval, M. Santini, M. Schmidt, D.T. Shindell, I.J. Simpson, R. Spahni, L.P. Steele, S.A. Strode, K. Sudo, S. Szopa, G.R. van der Werf, A. Voulgarakis, M. van Weele, R.F. Weiss, J.E. Williams, and G. Zeng, 2013: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ki06100f.html">Three decades of global methane sources and sinks</a>. <cite>Nat. Geosci.</cite>, 6, 813-823, doi:10.1038/ngeo1955. Asseng, S., F. Ewert, P. Martre, R.P. Rötter, D.B. Lobell, D. Cammarano, B.A. Kimball, M.J. Ottman, G.W. Wall, J.W. White, M.P. Reynolds, P.D. Alderman, P.V.V. Prasad, P.K. Aggarwal, J. Anothai, B. Basso, C. Biernath, A.J. Challinor, G. De Sanctis, J. Doltra, E. Fereres, M. Garcia-Vila, S. Gayler, G. Hoogenboom, L.A. Hunt, R.C. Izaurralde, M. Jabloun, C.D. Jones, K.C. Kersebaum, A-K. Koehler, C. Müller, S. Naresh Kumar, C. Nendel, G. O'Leary, J.E. Olesen, T. Palosuo, E. Priesack, E. Eyshi Rezaei, A.C. Ruane, M.A. Semenov, I. Shcherbak, C. Stockle, P. Stratonovitch, T. Streck, I. Supit, F. Tao, P.J. Thorburn, K. Waha, E. Wang, D. Wallach, J. Wolf, Z. Zhao, and Y. Zhu, 2015: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/as04000e.html">Rising temperatures reduce global wheat production</a>. <cite>Nat. Clim. Change</cite>, 5, no. 2, 143-147, doi:10.1038/nclimate2470. Hansen, J., M. Sato, R. Ruedy, K. Lo, D.W. Lea, and M. Medina-Elizade, 2006: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha07110b.html">Global temperature change</a>. <cite>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci.</cite>, 103, 14288-14293, doi:10.1073/pnas.0606291103. Rossow, W.B., and R.A. Schiffer, 1991: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ro05000n.html">ISCCP cloud data products</a>. <cite>Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc.</cite>, 71, 2-20. Howden, S.M., J.-F. Soussana, F.N. Tubiello, N. Chhetri, M. Dunlop, and H. Meinke, 2007: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ho03300x.html">Adapting agriculture to climate change</a>. <cite>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci.</cite>, 104, 19691-19696, doi:10.1073/pnas.0701890104. Lacis, A.A., and J.E. Hansen, 1974: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/la05000n.html">A parameterization for the absorption of solar radiation in the Earth's atmosphere</a>. <cite>J. Atmos. Sci.</cite>, 31, 118-133, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1974)031<0118:APFTAO>2.0.CO;2. Rockström, J., W. Steffen, K. Noone, Å. Persson, F.S. Chapin, III, E. Lambin, T.M. Lenton, M. Scheffer, C. Folke, H. Schellnhuber, B. Nykvist, C.A. De Wit, T. Hughes, S. van der Leeuw, H. Rodhe, S. Sörlin, P.K. Snyder, R. Costanza, U. Svedin, M. Falkenmark, L. Karlberg, R.W. Corell, V.J. Fabry, J. Hansen, B. Walker, D. Liverman, K. Richardson, P. Crutzen, and J. Foley, 2009: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ro06010m.html">Planetary boundaries: Exploring the safe operating space for humanity</a>. <cite>Ecol. Soc.</cite>, 14, no. 2, 32. Zhao, C., B. Liu, S. Piao, X. Wang, D.B. Lobell, Y. Huang, M. Huang, Y. Yao, S. Bassu, P. Ciais, J.-L. Durand, J. Elliott, F. Ewert, I.A. Janssens, T. Li, E. Lin, Q. Liu, P. Martre, C. Müller, S. Peng, J. Peñuelas, A.C. Ruane, D. Wallach, T. Wang, D. Wu, Z. Liu, Y. Zhu, Z. Zhu, and S. Asseng, 2017: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/zh09200d.html">Temperature increase reduces global yields of major crops in four independent estimates</a>. <cite>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci.</cite>, 114, no. 35, 9326-9331, doi:10.1073/pnas.1701762114. Parry, M.L., C. Rosenzweig, A. Iglesias, M. Livermore, and G. Fischer, 2004: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/pa06100c.html">Effects of climate change on global food production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios</a>. <cite>Glob. Environ. Change A</cite>, 14, 53-67, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.008. Dubovik, O., A. Sinyuk, T. Lapyonok, B.N. Holben, M. Mishchenko, P. Yang, T.F. Eck, H. Volten, O. Muñoz, B. Veihelmann, W.J. van der Zande, J.-F. Leon, M. Sorokin, and I. Slutsker, 2006: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/du08000d.html">Application of spheroid models to account for aerosol particle nonsphericity in remote sensing of desert dust</a>. <cite>J. Geophys. Res.</cite>, 111, D11208, doi:10.1029/2005JD006619. Rosenzweig, C., and M.L. Parry, 1994: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ro05500b.html">Potential impact of climate change on world food supply</a>. <cite>Nature</cite>, 367, 133-138, doi:10.1038/367133a0. Cook, B.I., T.R. Ault, and J.E. Smerdon, 2015: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/co05800h.html">Unprecedented 21st-century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains</a>. <cite>Sci. Adv.</cite>, 1, no. 1, e1400082, doi:10.1126/sciadv.1400082. Rosenzweig, C., J. Elliott, D. Deryng, A.C. Ruane, C. Müller, A. Arneth, K.J. Boote, C. Folberth, M. Glotter, N. Khabarov, K. Neumann, F. Piontek, T.A.M. Pugh, E. Schmid, E. Stehfest, H. Yang, and J.W. Jones, 2014: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ro06310j.html">Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison</a>. <cite>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci.</cite>, 111, no. 9, 3268-3273, doi:10.1073/pnas.1222463110. Rosenzweig, C., D. Karoly, M. Vicarelli, P. Neofotis, Q. Wu, G. Casassa, A. Menzel, T.L. Root, N. Estrella, B. Seguin, P. Tryjanowski, C. Liu, S. Rawlins, and A. Imeson, 2008: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ro06900t.html">Attributing physical and biological impacts to anthropogenic climate change</a>. <cite>Nature</cite>, 453, 353-357, doi:10.1038/nature06937. Asseng, S., F. Ewert, C. Rosenzweig, J.W. Jones, J.L. Hatfield, A.C. Ruane, K.J. Boote, P.J. Thorburn, R.P. Rötter, D. Cammarano, N. Brisson, B. Basso, P. Martre, P.K. Aggarwal, C. Angulo, P. Bertuzzi, C. Biernath, A.J. Challinor, J. Doltra, S. Gayler, R. Goldberg, R. Grant, L. Heng, J. Hooker, L.A. Hunt, J. Ingwersen, R.C. Izaurralde, K.C. Kersebaum, C. Müller, S. Naresh Kumar, C. Nendel, G. O'Leary, J.E. Olesen, T.M. Osborne, T. Palosuo, E. Priesack, D. Ripoche, M.A. Semenov, I. Shcherbak, P. Steduto, C. Stöckle, P. Stratonovitch, T. Streck, I. Supit, F. Tao, M. Travasso, K. Waha, D. Wallach, J.W. White, J.R. Williams, and J. Wolf, 2013: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/as03000j.html">Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change</a>. <cite>Nat. Clim. Change</cite>, 3, 827-832, doi:10.1038/nclimate1916. Hansen, J., and L. Nazarenko, 2004: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha08900n.html">Soot climate forcing via snow and ice albedos</a>. <cite>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci.</cite>, 101, 423-428, doi:10.1073/pnas.2237157100. Gray, L.J., J. Beer, M. Geller, J.D. Haigh, M. Lockwood, K. Matthes, U. Cubasch, D. Fleitmann, G. Harrison, L. Hood, J. Luterbacher, G.A. Meehl, D. Shindell, B. van Geel, and W. White, 2010: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/gr08900n.html">Solar influences on climate</a>. <cite>Rev. Geophys.</cite>, 48, RG4001, doi:10.1029/2009RG000282. Zhang, Y.-C., W.B. Rossow, A.A. Lacis, V. Oinas, and M.I. Mishchenko, 2004: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/zh03000u.html">Calculation of radiative fluxes from the surface to top of atmosphere based on ISCCP and other global data sets: Refinements of the radiative transfer model and the input data</a>. <cite>J. Geophys. Res.</cite>, 109, D19105, doi:10.1029/2003JD004457. Hansen, J., M. Sato, and R. Ruedy, 2012: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/ha00610m.html">Perception of climate change</a>. <cite>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci.</cite>, 109, 14726-14727, E2415-E2423, doi:10.1073/pnas.1205276109. Mishchenko, M.I., L.D. Travis, and D.W. Mackowski, 1996: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/mi08700c.html">T-matrix computations of light scattering by nonspherical particles: A review</a>. <cite>J. Quant. Spectrosc. Radiat. Transfer</cite>, 55, 535-575, doi:10.1016/0022-4073(96)00002-7. Shindell, D., J.C.I. Kuylenstierna, E. Vignati, R. van Dingenen, M. Amann, Z. Klimont, S.C. Anenberg, N. Muller, G. Janssens-Maenhout, F. Raes, J. Schwartz, G. Faluvegi, L. Pozzoli, K. Kupiainen, L. Höglund-Isaksson, L. Emberson, D. Streets, V. Ramanathan, K. Hicks, N.T.K. Oanh, G. Milly, M. Williams, V. Demkine, and D. Fowler, 2012: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/sh01600h.html">Simultaneously mitigating near-term climate change and improving human health and food security</a>. <cite>Science</cite>, 335, 183-189, doi:10.1126/science.1210026. Porco, C.C., P. Helfenstein, P.C. Thomas, A.P. Ingersoll, J. Wisdom, R. West, G. Neukum, T. Denk, R. Wagner, T. Roatsch, S. Kieffer, E. Turtle, A. McEwen, T.V. Johnson, J. Rathbun, J. Veverka, D. Wilson, J. Perry, J. Spitale, A. Brahic, J.A. Burns, A.D. Del Genio, L. Dones, C.D. Murray, and S. Squyres, 2006: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/po07100z.html">Cassini observes the active south pole of Enceladus</a>. <cite>Science</cite>, 311, 1393-1401, doi:10.1126/science.1123013. Broecker, W.S., D.M. Peteet, and D. Rind, 1985: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/br01000b.html">Does the ocean-atmosphere system have more than one stable mode of operation?</a> <cite>Nature</cite>, 315, 21-26, doi:10.1038/315021a0. Lacis, A.A., and V. Oinas, 1991: <a href="https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/abs/la01100t.html">A description of the correlated k distributed method for modeling nongray gaseous absorption, thermal emission, and multiple scattering in vertically inhomogeneous atmospheres</a>. <cite>J. Geophys. Res.</cite>, 96, 9027-9063, doi:10.1029/90JD01945. Hansen, J., M. Sato, R. Ruedy, L. Nazarenko, A. Lacis, G.A. Schmidt, G. Russell, I. Aleinov, M. Bauer, S. Bauer, N. Bell, B. Cairns, V. Canuto, M. Chandler, Y. Cheng, A. Del Genio, G. Faluvegi, E. Fleming, A. Friend, T. 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