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is-link">Go</button> </div> </div> </form> </div> </div> <ol class="breathe-horizontal" start="1"> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2111.08000">arXiv:2111.08000</a> <span> [<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2111.08000">pdf</a>] </span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Other Quantitative Biology">q-bio.OT</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Physics and Society">physics.soc-ph</span> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> Nachhaltige Strategien gegen die COVID-19-Pandemie in Deutschland im Winter 2021/2022 </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Priesemann%2C+V">Viola Priesemann</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Bodenschatz%2C+E">Eberhard Bodenschatz</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Ciesek%2C+S">Sandra Ciesek</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Grill%2C+E">Eva Grill</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Iftekhar%2C+E+N">Emil N. Iftekhar</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Karagiannidis%2C+C">Christian Karagiannidis</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Karch%2C+A">Andr茅 Karch</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Kretzschmar%2C+M">Mirjam Kretzschmar</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Lange%2C+B">Berit Lange</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=M%C3%BCller%2C+S+A">Sebastian A. M眉ller</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Nagel%2C+K">Kai Nagel</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Nassehi%2C+A">Armin Nassehi</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Pletz%2C+M+W">Mathias W. Pletz</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Prainsack%2C+B">Barbara Prainsack</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Protzer%2C+U">Ulrike Protzer</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Sander%2C+L+E">Leif Erik Sander</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Schuppert%2C+A">Andreas Schuppert</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Sch%C3%B6bel%2C+A">Anita Sch枚bel</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=%C3%9Cberla%2C+K">Klaus 脺berla</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Watzl%2C+C">Carsten Watzl</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Zeeb%2C+H">Hajo Zeeb</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2111.08000v1-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> In this position paper, a large group of interdisciplinary experts outlines response strategies against the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the winter of 2021/2022 in Germany. We review the current state of the COVID-19 pandemic, from incidence and vaccination efficacy to hospital capacity. Building on this situation assessment, we illustrate various possible scenarios for the winter, and detail the mecha… <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2111.08000v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('2111.08000v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">▽ More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2111.08000v1-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> In this position paper, a large group of interdisciplinary experts outlines response strategies against the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the winter of 2021/2022 in Germany. We review the current state of the COVID-19 pandemic, from incidence and vaccination efficacy to hospital capacity. Building on this situation assessment, we illustrate various possible scenarios for the winter, and detail the mechanisms and effectiveness of the non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination, and booster. With this assessment, we want to provide orientation for decision makers about the progress and mitigation of COVID-19. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2111.08000v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2111.08000v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">△ Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 10 November, 2021; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> November 2021. </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Comments:</span> <span class="has-text-grey-dark mathjax">in German, Extensive expert assessment on COVID-19 response policies for the winter 2021/22</span> </p> </li> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2107.01670">arXiv:2107.01670</a> <span> [<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2107.01670">pdf</a>] </span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Other Quantitative Biology">q-bio.OT</span> </div> <div class="is-inline-block" style="margin-left: 0.5rem"> <div class="tags has-addons"> <span class="tag is-dark is-size-7">doi</span> <span class="tag is-light is-size-7"><a class="" href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100185">10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100185 <i class="fa fa-external-link" aria-hidden="true"></i></a></span> </div> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> A look into the future of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe: an expert consultation </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Iftekhar%2C+E+N">Emil Nafis Iftekhar</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Priesemann%2C+V">Viola Priesemann</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Balling%2C+R">Rudi Balling</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Bauer%2C+S">Simon Bauer</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Beutels%2C+P">Philippe Beutels</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Valdez%2C+A+C">Andr茅 Calero Valdez</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Cuschieri%2C+S">Sarah Cuschieri</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Czypionka%2C+T">Thomas Czypionka</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Dumpis%2C+U">Uga Dumpis</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Glaab%2C+E">Enrico Glaab</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Grill%2C+E">Eva Grill</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Hanson%2C+C">Claudia Hanson</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Hotulainen%2C+P">Pirta Hotulainen</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Klimek%2C+P">Peter Klimek</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Kretzschmar%2C+M">Mirjam Kretzschmar</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Kr%C3%BCger%2C+T">Tyll Kr眉ger</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Krutzinna%2C+J">Jenny Krutzinna</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Low%2C+N">Nicola Low</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Machado%2C+H">Helena Machado</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Martins%2C+C">Carlos Martins</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=McKee%2C+M">Martin McKee</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Mohr%2C+S+B">Sebastian Bernd Mohr</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Nassehi%2C+A">Armin Nassehi</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Perc%2C+M">Matja啪 Perc</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Petelos%2C+E">Elena Petelos</a> , et al. (9 additional authors not shown) </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2107.01670v2-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> How will the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic develop in the coming months and years? Based on an expert survey, we examine key aspects that are likely to influence COVID-19 in Europe. The future challenges and developments will strongly depend on the progress of national and global vaccination programs, the emergence and spread of variants of concern, and public responses to nonpharma… <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2107.01670v2-abstract-full').style.display = 'inline'; document.getElementById('2107.01670v2-abstract-short').style.display = 'none';">▽ More</a> </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2107.01670v2-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> How will the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic develop in the coming months and years? Based on an expert survey, we examine key aspects that are likely to influence COVID-19 in Europe. The future challenges and developments will strongly depend on the progress of national and global vaccination programs, the emergence and spread of variants of concern, and public responses to nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). In the short term, many people are still unvaccinated, VOCs continue to emerge and spread, and mobility and population mixing is expected to increase over the summer. Therefore, policies that lift restrictions too much and too early risk another damaging wave. This challenge remains despite the reduced opportunities for transmission due to vaccination progress and reduced indoor mixing in the summer. In autumn 2021, increased indoor activity might accelerate the spread again, but a necessary reintroduction of NPIs might be too slow. The incidence may strongly rise again, possibly filling intensive care units, if vaccination levels are not high enough. A moderate, adaptive level of NPIs will thus remain necessary. These epidemiological aspects are put into perspective with the economic, social, and health-related consequences and thereby provide a holistic perspective on the future of COVID-19. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2107.01670v2-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2107.01670v2-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">△ Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 23 July, 2021; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">v1</span> submitted 4 July, 2021; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> July 2021. </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Comments:</span> <span class="has-text-grey-dark mathjax">Manuscript is accepted by The Lancet Regional Health - Europe as a Viewpoint article. Supplementary material can be accessed here: https://owncloud.gwdg.de/index.php/f/1439962756</span> </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Journal ref:</span> Lancet Reg. Health Eur. 8, 100185 (2021) </p> </li> <li class="arxiv-result"> <div class="is-marginless"> <p class="list-title is-inline-block"><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2102.05445">arXiv:2102.05445</a> <span> [<a href="https://arxiv.org/pdf/2102.05445">pdf</a>] </span> </p> <div class="tags is-inline-block"> <span class="tag is-small is-link tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Computers and Society">cs.CY</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Social and Information Networks">cs.SI</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Physics and Society">physics.soc-ph</span> <span class="tag is-small is-grey tooltip is-tooltip-top" data-tooltip="Populations and Evolution">q-bio.PE</span> </div> </div> <p class="title is-5 mathjax"> Epidemiological and public health requirements for COVID-19 contact tracing apps and their evaluation </p> <p class="authors"> <span class="search-hit">Authors:</span> <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Colizza%2C+V">Vittoria Colizza</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Grill%2C+E">Eva Grill</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Mikolajczyk%2C+R">Rafael Mikolajczyk</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Cattuto%2C+C">Ciro Cattuto</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Kucharski%2C+A">Adam Kucharski</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Riley%2C+S">Steven Riley</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Kendall%2C+M">Michelle Kendall</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Lythgoe%2C+K">Katrina Lythgoe</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Abeler-D%C3%B6rner%2C+L">Lucie Abeler-D枚rner</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Wymant%2C+C">Chris Wymant</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Bonsall%2C+D">David Bonsall</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Ferretti%2C+L">Luca Ferretti</a>, <a href="/search/q-bio?searchtype=author&query=Fraser%2C+C">Christophe Fraser</a> </p> <p class="abstract mathjax"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Abstract</span>: <span class="abstract-short has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2102.05445v1-abstract-short" style="display: inline;"> Digital contact tracing is a public health intervention. It should be integrated with local health policy, provide rapid and accurate notifications to exposed individuals, and encourage high app uptake and adherence to quarantine. Real-time monitoring and evaluation of effectiveness of app-based contact tracing is key for improvement and public trust. </span> <span class="abstract-full has-text-grey-dark mathjax" id="2102.05445v1-abstract-full" style="display: none;"> Digital contact tracing is a public health intervention. It should be integrated with local health policy, provide rapid and accurate notifications to exposed individuals, and encourage high app uptake and adherence to quarantine. Real-time monitoring and evaluation of effectiveness of app-based contact tracing is key for improvement and public trust. <a class="is-size-7" style="white-space: nowrap;" onclick="document.getElementById('2102.05445v1-abstract-full').style.display = 'none'; document.getElementById('2102.05445v1-abstract-short').style.display = 'inline';">△ Less</a> </span> </p> <p class="is-size-7"><span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Submitted</span> 10 February, 2021; <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">originally announced</span> February 2021. </p> <p class="comments is-size-7"> <span class="has-text-black-bis has-text-weight-semibold">Comments:</span> <span class="has-text-grey-dark mathjax">9 pages</span> </p> </li> </ol> <div class="is-hidden-tablet">  <span class="help" style="display: inline-block;"><a href="https://github.com/arXiv/arxiv-search/releases">Search v0.5.6 released 2020-02-24</a>  </span> </div> </div> </main> <footer> <div 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