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Mysteel调研：2024年江浙市场铅产业链调研报告-我的钢铁网
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<p><strong>调研背景：</strong>进入到2024年3月份以来，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0203-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铅价</a>维持高位震荡，5、6月份更是屡创新高，江浙两省作为中国经济发达地区，拥有国内生产较集中的电池企业群体，其企业动态、企业特点、发展现状和前景一直备受关注；而现如今<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0203-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铅</a>价强势运行背景下，电池企业原料价格高涨，企业的生产模式有何变动？企业的开工率如何？企业的成品订单及库存如何？为解答上述一系列疑惑，上海钢联铅团队对江浙地区的上下游企业进行实地拜访考察，具体调研情况如下：</p> <p><strong>调研时间：</strong>2024年6月17日-6月20日</p> <p><strong>调研地点：</strong>浙江金华、浙江湖州、江苏扬州、江苏泰州、江苏南通</p> <p><strong>调研对象：</strong><a href='https://m.mymetal.net/market/p-968-----020307-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铅蓄电池</a>厂及铅冶炼企业</p> <p><span style="color: #023985;"><strong>1、浙江A企业</strong></span></p> <p><strong><a href='https://m.mymetal.net/market/p-968-----020301-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铅锭</a>需求</strong><strong>量：</strong>2000来吨/月，采购主要来自江西、湖南等地区，其中长单比例60%，基本签1#电解铅锭为主。散单比例40%，主要采购2#精铅生产铅粉。</p> <p><strong>企业生产及订单情况</strong><strong>：</strong>目前开工率50%-60%左右，车间前期生产工艺偏落后，近期已在技改上新；目前企业订单主要以外贸为主，1-3月份订单较好，但近段时间铅价高位运行，外贸企业基本未有谈成相关订单。</p> <p><strong>新产业情况：</strong>目前在马来西亚有150亩地投资新厂，已在正常生产。</p> <p><span style="color: #023985;"><strong>2、浙江B企业</strong></span></p> <p><strong>铅锭需求</strong><strong>量：</strong>7000来吨/月，其中1#电解铅采购占比40%，2#精铅目前采购需求为低铋精铅，现阶段在测试高铋精铅生产，后续稳定将采用。</p> <p><strong>企业生产及订单情况</strong><strong>：</strong>目前开工率接近满产，一天生产大概20000只电池，年销量1000万只，有两个生产基地。终端消费欠佳，订单出货不算好，目前成品电池库存约有30来天。</p> <p><strong>新产业情况</strong>：新厂有在建设当中，主要生产车用低压电池为主。</p> <p><span style="color: #023985;"><strong>3、浙江C企业</strong></span></p> <p><strong>生产情况</strong><strong>：</strong>主要生产铅钙合金、铅锑合金、精铅，合金为主。24年月产量3500-5000吨左右。</p> <p><strong>原料、成品及出货情况</strong><strong>：</strong>外采1#电解铅、还原铅、<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0207-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>锡</a>、钙，锑，内蒙、江西等地区都有采购，反映原料高价难采，铅锭进口方面也有稳定采购，成品库存大概2-3天。</p> <p><strong>企业反馈：</strong>精铅项目前期因为公司生产计划原因停滞了许久，目前有考虑恢复生产，满足企业需求。</p> <p><span style="color: #023985;"><strong>4、浙江D企业</strong></span></p> <p><strong>铅锭需求</strong><strong>量：</strong>130-140万吨/年，其中1#电解铅固定采购占比30%左右，2#精铅大约采购占比70%。年度长单及散单结合，长单大概占比60%多，散单占比30%多。</p> <p><strong>企业生产及订单情况</strong><strong>：</strong>开工率从5月下旬近乎满产，订单出货还可以，目前成品电池库存约有20天。</p> <p><strong>企业反馈：</strong>反映铅价高涨，蓄电池企业生产成本加大，新电池价格虽有多次调价，但传导到终端的很少。表示对7、8月还是存有电池消费旺季预期，目前厂里半成品+成品电池都在提前备库。对铅价持偏强震荡看法，回落拐点或需等到7、8月份旺季新电池大量置换废电池出来才能体现。</p> <p><span style="color: #023985;"><strong>5、浙江E企业</strong></span></p> <p><strong>生产情况</strong><strong>：</strong>生产再生精铅，电解铅、合金。冶炼项目共有四期，合计65万吨的废电瓶处理能力：一二期主要生产再生铅为主、三期为电解铅项目、四期目前为新投扩建。目前24年受原料限制，月均产量在3000吨左右。</p> <p><strong>原料、成品及出货情况</strong><strong>：</strong>原料电瓶外采60%左右，库存不多，4-5天的消耗量。此外对粗铅、高锑铅、低温铅也有采购需求；成品库存量4-5天，主要为集团内部保供。</p> <p><strong>企业反馈：</strong>目前废电瓶价格高，生产无利润，加上副产品一些塑料价格也低，生产维持困难。</p> <p><span style="color: #023985;"><strong>6、浙江F企业</strong></span></p> <p><strong>铅锭需求</strong><strong>量：</strong>200多万吨/年，采购1#电解铅、2#精铅。年度长单及散单各占50%。</p> <p><strong>企业生产及订单情况</strong><strong>：</strong>除企业内供外，近期日外采需求在7000-8000吨铅锭左右，开工率近乎满产，目前订单出货还可以，成品库存15天左右。</p> <p><strong>新产业情况：</strong>目前越南基地有新投厂区，预计24年底投产。</p> <p><strong>企业反馈：</strong>对后续消费旺季存有电池消费旺季预期，对铅价持偏强震荡看法。</p> <p><span style="color: #023985;"><strong>7、浙江G企业</strong></span></p> <p><strong>生产情况：</strong>开工率现在70%左右。生产动力电池为主，储能电池、电信电池海外建厂在做。</p> <p><strong>订单情况：</strong>消费走弱，电池生意从4月底开始就开始走差，成品库存在大步伐升高，20来天以上。</p> <p><strong>新产业情况：</strong>海外在越南、孟加拉国都有新投厂区，越南厂区为去年刚投项目，预计今年下半年会开始量产。</p> <p><strong>企业反馈：</strong>反映纳电项目有很多企业都在开始批量生产，渗透范围已经较广，对铅蓄电池冲击会较大。</p> <p><span style="color: #023985;"><strong>8、江苏A企业</strong></span></p> <p><strong>铅锭需求量</strong><strong>：</strong>铅锭一个月2000多吨需求，其中1#电解铅采购占比20%左右，再生铅占比80%。</p> <p><strong>生产及订单情况：</strong>生产四氧化三铅Pb₃O₄ 为主，后续有计划上合金冶炼，整体生产较为稳定，5月份因为铅锭供应端出现问题，原料不足，开工率有所下滑。订单主要交付给国内电池厂企业，需求稳定。出口不多，主要集中在东南亚地区企业。</p> <p><strong>企业反馈：</strong>因为行业的特殊性，全国有资质的企业不多，总产量也就10000来吨一个月，对原料采购方面，货源稳定性要优于价格，且长单占比较多，以月单、季单为主。散单方面拿得少，主要以周均价结算。</p> <p><span style="color: #023985;"><strong>9、江苏B企业</strong></span></p> <p><strong>铅锭需求量</strong><strong>：</strong>铅和合金一个月用量7000-8000吨左右，铅主要采购电解铅为主，对铅的含量要求较高。</p> <p><strong>生产及订单情况：</strong>开工率80%左右，生产储能电池为主。订单客户主要集中一些数据型企业和基站等客户，整体4、5月份订单稍微要差一些。</p> <p><strong>企业反馈：</strong>目前锂电对行业冲击还是有的，部分市场客户已开始弃用铅蓄电池。但受益于铅蓄电池的、安全、可靠，铅蓄市场还是能占据一定市场份额。</p> <p><span style="color: #023985;"><strong>10、江苏C企业</strong></span></p> <p><strong>铅锭需求量</strong><strong>：</strong>铅锭正常一个月需求10000吨左右，其中1#电解铅采购占比60%左右，主要来自河南地区的长单，再生铅占比40%。</p> <p><strong>生产及订单情况：</strong>开工率60%左右，除生产铅酸蓄电池外，集团厂区也有生产铅<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0220-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>稀土</a>、铅锡、铅钙合金锭等产品。5月份订单整体都不算好，目前成品电池库存大概30来天左右。</p> <p><strong>企业反馈：</strong>今年铅价运行整体太强，且今年长单签订比例较往年有所下降，整体散单采购成本抬升，生产折算下来目前电池企业都较为亏损，生产维持主要是应对后面7、8月份旺季预期做准备，希望铅价回归平稳运行些。</p> <p> </p> <p><strong>调研</strong><strong>总结：</strong></p> <p>调研期间，多数企业生产当前较为平稳，开工率大部分维持60%以上。其中，企业开工率环比5月份均有所提升，这与后续7、8月旺季预期提前备库、抢占市场份额有一定关联。终端需求上，电池企业反映近两年淡、旺季消费同比下滑，市场呈现“淡季不淡、旺季不旺”的局面，且伴随着纳电、锂电等新型电池的冲击，市场形势会愈加复杂。出口方面，多数企业均有一定的订单占比，并且在东南亚等国家地区都有新建厂区，且因受东南亚国家政策的影响，后续新投企业或仍有一定比例增加，这也基本符合国内铅锭出口导向。</p> <p>在调研到对待铅价近期高涨方面，多数企业表示长期拉涨难以承受，生产成本拉升，而终端方面对高铅价买单的意愿很差，并且国外订单也有所走低，国内当前的市场消费与高铅价基本是背道而驰的。</p> <!--指标说明附件--> <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：蓝开华 021-26093994 </br> 资讯监督：陈标标 021-20693360 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span 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