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Mysteel周报：终端需求变化不大 本周铜板带市场产销稍有下降（8.9-8.16）-我的钢铁网
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id="text"> <p><strong>一、</strong><strong><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0201-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜价</a>震荡上行 <a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----020108-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜板带</a>市场成交量偏弱</strong></p> <p>截止本周五紫<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0201-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a>带 T2 价格较上周上涨2120元/吨，均价77700元/吨，T2紫铜带加工费4200元/吨 ，黄铜带H62 价格较上周上涨1600元/吨，均价57980元/吨，H62黄铜带加工费3000元/吨。</p> <table border="0" width="593" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><colgroup> </colgroup> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" colspan="7" width="593" height="38">2024年8月16中国铜板带加工费统计（周度）</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69" height="30">城市</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">品名</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">材质/牌号</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">规格/品位</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">价格</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69">涨跌</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69">备注</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" rowspan="4" width="69" height="120">浙江</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">紫铜带</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">T2</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">0.2*400</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">4000</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">紫铜板</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">T2</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">2.0*600*1000</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">3700</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">黄铜带</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">H62</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">0.3*300</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">3000</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">黄铜板</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">H62</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">2.0*600*1000</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">2900</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" rowspan="4" width="69" height="120">江西</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">紫铜带</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">T2</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">0.2*400</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">3500</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">紫铜板</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">T2</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">2.0*600*1000</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">3700</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">黄铜带</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">H62</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">0.3*300</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">2800</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">黄铜板</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">H62</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">2.0*600*1000</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">2800</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" rowspan="4" width="69" height="120">广东</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">紫铜带</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">T2</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">0.2*400</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">3700</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">紫铜板</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">T2</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">2.0*600*1000</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">3600</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">黄铜带</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">H62</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">0.3*300</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">2900</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align: center;" width="80">黄铜板</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="105">H62</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="128">2.0*600*1000</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="72">3000</td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> <td style="text-align: center;" width="69"> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p><strong>二、部分中小型企业产出下降 本周铜板带产量小幅减少</strong></p> <p>据<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>Mysteel</a>调研本周国内十二家铜板带加工企业周度产量进行跟踪，样本总产能107万吨。本周十二家铜板带产量1.58万吨，周度产能利用率在69.39%，周环比减少0.84%，本周订单量1.25万吨，周环比减少200吨，据Mysteel统计，本周铜板带企业开工率基本稳定，大部分铜板带大厂待交订单较多，生产积极性较高，产量较为稳定，但部分中小型企业受资金实力，再生铜原料采购困难，以及铜价上涨导致自身订单减少等影响，开工率下滑，本周产出有所减少，因此整体来看，本周铜板带大厂产出是比较稳定的，但一些中小型铜板带企业拖累了整体产出表现，本周铜板带产量小幅下降。</p> <p><img src="//img07.mysteelcdn.com/wz/uploaded/steel/2024/08/16/1f12f20bdba24739ba299209ce3b2c8e.jpg" width="554" height="321" /></p> <p align="right">数据来源：<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>我的钢铁网</a></p> <p><strong>三、本周铜板带市场成交积极性不高</strong></p> <p>据Mysteel调研，本周铜价上涨为主，不过大型铜板带厂家的订单量从环比上周变化并不大，相对来说订单量较为稳定，只有个别企业因贸易商采购量下降，订单量偏弱，因此实际上本周大型铜板带厂家订单量稍有减少，不过中小型企业随着铜价的上涨，订单量减弱较为明显，主要是中小型企业采购方以贸易商为主，而贸易商带来的订单量并不稳定，在铜价大涨的情形下，贸易商基本以清理自身原有库存为主，拿货量有所减少，因此，整体来看，本周铜板带市场成交积极性并不高。</p> <p><strong>四、下周铜板带现货价格宽幅震荡</strong></p> <p>本周铜价大涨，整体市场成交量有所减少，短期内，终端需求变化并不大，近期大型铜板带厂家订单依然饱满，受价格涨跌影响有所减弱，终端企业根据自身需求经常采购，但贸易商拿货受现货价格影响较大，在铜价大涨的情况下，贸易商减少采购量，除非有确切的订单，基本很少有增加成品库存，预计下周铜板带现货价格宽幅震荡。</p> <p><strong>五、</strong><strong><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----020101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>电解铜</a></strong><strong>原料市场</strong></p> <p>供应：市场到货减少 库存下降明显</p> <p>本周市场到货有所减少，周内进口比价表现走弱，进口铜清关流入量并不多，加之部分冶炼厂发往仓库现货货源亦相对有限，仓库周内入库量下降。截止本周四，上海市场社库大幅下降1.39万吨至19.98万吨。</p> <p>需求：下游消费增加 市场需求较好</p> <p>由于周内铜价低位震荡，且部分再生加工企业转向采购非注册、非标等货源，加之下游订单表现尚可，日内采购补库情绪较为积极，其中非注册、差平等品牌货源市场青睐性高于主流品牌，周内价差亦缩窄明显，整体下游消费回升可观。</p> <p>价格：持货商挺价情绪强烈 现货企稳升水行情</p> <p>本周铜价重心上移明显，截止周五沪铜09合约盘面收于73930元/吨，上海市场1#电解铜现货均价73685元/吨，较上周五上涨2165元/吨。周内现货升水企稳上涨，由于临近交割，市场流通货源有所偏少，加之下游消费表现较好，采购需求增加，同时上海市场近期库存连续大幅去库，市场仍存看好后市升水预期，因此持货商挺价惜售情绪强烈，现货升水重心逐渐上抬。</p> <p>预测：库存去库节奏加快 现货升水仍存上涨动力</p> <p>近期随着上海市场延续去库，且下降速度有所加快，同时下游加工企业采购需求增长，现货升水表现上抬；后续来看，目前因检修、少数冶炼企业减产等影响，市场到货有所减少，下周预计库存仍将维持去库，但值得注意的是，本周尾铜价反弹走高明显，下游消费有所承压。因此国内社库去库背景下，升水仍存上涨动力，但需关注下游消费回升持续性，预计下周现货升水仍将企稳运行为主，或区间运行于升0~升100元/吨。</p> <p><strong>六、</strong><strong><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----020105-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>废铜</a></strong><strong>原料市场</strong></p> <p>截止本周五广东市场电解铜73680元/吨。含税含运费的报价1#光亮铜71462元/吨，2#铜69651元/吨，精废差分别为2219元/吨、4029元/吨，本周光亮铜不含税周均价为66360元/吨，较上个交易周上涨520元/吨，上涨幅度为0.79%。本周五精废差较上个交易周周五扩大629元/吨至2219元/吨，扩大幅度为39.55%，合理价差为1437元/吨，较上个交易周周五扩大22元/吨。</p> <p>供应：废紫铜方面，本周铜价大幅反弹，废铜价格随之跟涨，显著提振市场交投活跃度。货商出货意愿明显好转，低价库存加速清出获利离场，市场货源流通量增加。部分库存位较低的贸易商则采取灵活的快进快出策略，确保一定的利润，整体市场活跃度较上周有显著改善。废黄铜方面，本周铜价震荡上行，废黄铜原料价格随盘上调。上游持货商前期积累的库存开始扭亏为盈，出货情绪相较之前明显提高，囤积的库存也基本是出售一空。然而，尽管出货情绪高涨，但市场反馈显示收货难度加大，库存消耗后难以迅速补充，废料短缺问题依旧突出。</p> <p>需求：废紫铜方面，下游厂家观望态度有所减弱，操作策略虽仍偏谨慎，但需求复苏迹象日益明显。保持生产状态的厂家维持按需采购原则，而部分原计划增产的厂家因原料供应紧张而暂时搁置计划。随着生产恢复的厂家数量增加，废铜需求缺口将进一步扩大。废黄铜方面，下游部分黄<a href='https://m.mymetal.net/article/p-----020109---------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜棒</a>厂原料采购订单虽有所增加，但受限于目前终端需求表现依旧较差，加之反向开票以及公平竞争条例的细节尚未明确，使得多数厂家在原料端仍保持谨慎态度，以刚需采购为主。</p> <p><strong>七、市场热点</strong></p> <p><strong>1、铜冠铜箔公司首批高端铜箔出口</strong></p> <p>据铜陵有色消息，近日，公司首批出口的HVLP2等级铜箔顺利装箱发运。此次出口的铜箔产品，标志着中国内资铜箔企业首次成功将高端铜箔产品推向国际市场，具有里程碑式的意义与深远影响。</p> <p><strong>2、</strong><strong>工信部：对再生利用企业要求，铜、</strong><a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a><strong>回收率应不低于98%</strong></p> <p>8月14日，工信部就《新能源汽车废旧动力电池综合利用行业规范条件（2024年本）》公开征求意见。其中，对再生利用企业要求，铜、铝回收率应不低于98%，破碎分离后的电极粉料回收率不低于98%，杂质铝含量低于1%，杂质铜含量低于1%；冶炼过程锂回收率应不低于90%，<a href='https://bxg.m.mysteel.com/nie/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>镍</a>、钴、锰回收率不低于98%，<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0220-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>稀土</a>等其他主要有价金属综合回收率不低于97%，氟固化率不低于99.5%，碳酸锂生产综合能耗低于2200千克标准煤/吨；采用材料修复工艺的，回收利用的材料质量之和占原动力电池所含目标材料质量之和的比重应不低于99%。</p> <p><strong>3、</strong><strong>赞比亚将重新开放与刚果的边境，铜出口将恢复</strong></p> <p>8月12日，赞比亚国家广播公司周一报道，赞比亚将在周二重新开放与刚果民主共和国的边境口岸。周末期间赞比亚关闭边境，导致世界第二大铜生产国刚果的铜出口受阻。赞比亚媒体周一晚间报道称，两国政府签署了一份公报，允许赞比亚产品不受限制地进入刚果。刚果去年的铜产量超过280万吨，几乎所有铜都是通过公路从赞比亚运往坦桑尼亚、南非和纳米比亚的港口。</p> <!--指标说明附件--> <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：吴文丹 021-26096587 </br> 资讯监督：高晨曦 021-26093253 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div class="content-block-title s-title"> <h2 style="display: inline-block;"> <a href="https://m.mymetal.net/article/p-1948-------------1.html" external>相关文章</a> </h2> <a href="https://m.mymetal.net/article/p-1948-------------1.html" external class="more"> 查看更多<i class="arrow"></i> </a> </div> <div class="list-block recommend-list"> <ul> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/24081610/A880BB485FA67C79_abc.html" external> Mysteel周报：下游消费比较低迷 铜箔市场观望情绪不减（8.9-8.16） </a> </div> <div class="news-time">2024-08-16</div> </li> <li class="item"> <div class="news-title"> <a data-url="m.mysteel.com" href="//m.mysteel.com/a/24081617/9221C1502FE845D6_abc.html" 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