期货要闻简讯：黑色系涨跌互现，焦煤涨逾3%-我的钢铁网

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<p><strong>背景</strong><strong>1</strong><strong>：</strong>12月14日，中钢协副会长屈秀丽表示，按照10月份、11月份产量估算，随着冬奥会的开始，叠加销售淡季因素影响，今年钢产量较去年预计下降4-5%，能够顺利完成国家钢铁限产目标，并且很可能出现2015年以来首次产量负增长。</p> <p><strong>背景</strong><strong>2</strong><strong>：</strong>12月14日，山西省督查组入驻<a href="https://linfen.mysteel.com/">临汾</a>，市区环保管控严格，预警最高级别红色，对运输造成一定影响，导致煤矿有小幅累库现象。</p> <p><strong>背景</strong><strong>3</strong><strong>：</strong>12月14日，全国15家长、短流程代表钢厂<a href="https://feigang.mysteel.com/">废钢库存</a>总量118.56万吨，较12月10日降2.28万吨，降1.89%；库存周转天数11.4天，较12月10日降0.3天。</p> <p><strong>背景</strong><strong>4</strong><strong>：</strong>12月14日，大连商品交易所增加山西<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0502-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>煤炭</a>运销集团吕梁孝龙煤炭综合物流园区（有限公司）为中<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0202-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铝</a>内蒙古国贸有限公司的焦煤、<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0501-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>焦炭</a>指定交割仓库存货地点。</p> <p align="justify"><strong>◎<a href='https://tks.m.mysteel.com/' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铁矿石</a></strong><strong>跌0.61</strong><strong>%</strong></p> <p><strong>瑞达期货：</strong>钢厂依旧按需补库，短期内<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----0311-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>进口矿市场</a>供需存偏强预期，价格或陷入区间宽幅整理。技术上，I2205合约1小时MACD指标显示DIFF与DEA高位回调。操作上建议，短线于670-635区间高抛低买，止损10元/吨。</p> <p><strong>广发期货：</strong>本周铁水环比下降，钢厂暂无明显复产，铁矿价格重回弱势，1-5跨期价差持续下降。1月合约因现货累库而承压，5月合约受需求预期好转而偏强，预计后期将维持近弱远强格局。从绝对价格走势看，钢厂暂无明显复产，同时冬奥会持续抑制铁矿需求，铁矿累库趋势改变前难有往上驱动，或将跟随成材走势为主。</p> <p align="justify"><strong>◎<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-968-----010101-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>螺纹钢</a></strong><strong>涨0.83</strong><strong>%</strong><strong>、热</strong><strong>卷</strong><strong>涨1.68</strong><strong>%</strong></p> <p align="justify"><strong>国信期货：</strong>周二螺纹钢期货价格震荡略有回升。现货价格涨跌不一。昨日线螺成交重回22万吨，市场淡季但成交仍有一定热度。从供需面来说，利润较高，钢材供应略有恢复，需求略有回落。基本符合季节性特征，钢厂库存显著下降有助于钢厂压力的缓解。供需双减之下，市场走势全凭预期。预计钢价年前震荡为主。</p> <p><strong>广发期货：</strong>短期看，即将进入淡季，库存季节性累库。采暖季限产政策持续抑制产量释放，1月合约临近交割，5月合约在需求预期向好引导下，难有下跌空间，盘面上涨修复基差后，预计将维持宽幅震荡走势，等待节后需求明朗。</p> <p align="justify"><strong>瑞达期货：</strong>RB2205合约1小时MACD指标显示DIFF与DEA运行于0轴上方。操作上建议，短线于4450-4330区间高抛低买，止损40元/吨；HC2205合约1小时MACD指标显示DIFF与DEA低位交叉向上。操作上建议，短线于4470-4600区间低买高抛，止损40元/吨。</p> <p align="justify"><strong>◎焦煤</strong><strong>涨3.04</strong><strong>%</strong><strong>、</strong><strong>焦炭</strong><strong>涨2.10</strong><strong>%</strong></p> <p align="justify"><strong>国信期货：</strong>焦企开工回升，下游存在一定补库空间。焦煤期货盘面震荡运行，建议短线操作；焦企库存去化，贸易商询价较前期积极，市场心态企稳。焦炭期货盘面低位震荡运行，建议短线操作。</p> <p><strong>广发期货：</strong>澳煤通关有一定利空，但是基本面来看，焦企开始小幅增产，焦煤基本面开始好转，同时钢厂备战补库，利好焦煤需求。短期盘面或仍有反复，盘面仍以逢低多为主；随着焦煤的上涨以及环保督查的影响，焦炭整体资源供应已有趋紧态势，焦企库存连续下降，部分钢厂库存不增反降，整体看基本面进一步向好，焦企提涨意愿浓厚。短期冬奥仍有一定压制，盘面仍以逢低多为主。</p> <p><strong>瑞达期货</strong>：JM2205合约大幅上涨，小时MACD指标显示红柱缩窄，关注均线支撑。操作建议，短线偏多操作；J2205合约大幅上涨，小时MACD指标显示红柱缩窄，关注均线支撑。操作建议，短线偏多操作。</p> <p><strong>◎沪<a href='https://m.mysteel.com/market/p-967-----0201-0--------1.html' target='_blank' style='color:#3861ab'>铜</a></strong><strong>跌0.73%</strong></p> <p align="justify"><strong>弘业期货</strong>：沪铜上方压力71000，下方支撑67000。今日国际铜较沪铜升水下降至281点，回归正常水平。</p> <p><strong>瑞达期货：</strong>沪铜2201合约日线MACD绿柱扩大，小时线KDJ指标向下发散。操作上，建议可背靠69130之下逢高空，止损参考69470。</p>  <br /> </div> </div> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight"> 资讯编辑：陈颖颖 021-26094037 </br> 资讯监督：乐卫扬 021-26093827 </br> 资讯投诉：陈杰 021-26093100 </br> </article> <article class="content-block m-copyRight h-statement"> <p class="h-statement-text">免责声明：Mysteel发布的原创及转载内容，仅供客户参考，不作为决策建议。原创内容版权归Mysteel所有，转载需取得Mysteel书面授权，且Mysteel保留对任何侵权行为和有悖原创内容原意的引用行为进行追究的权利。转载内容来源于网络，目的在于传递更多信息，方便学习与交流，并不代表Mysteel赞同其观点及对其真实性、完整性负责。申请授权及投诉，请联系Mysteel（021-26093397）处理。</p> <span class='h-statement-show'>展开</span> </article> <div 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