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Disponible en 35 llengües" > <label id="p-lang-btn-label" for="p-lang-btn-checkbox" class="vector-dropdown-label cdx-button cdx-button--fake-button cdx-button--fake-button--enabled cdx-button--weight-quiet cdx-button--action-progressive mw-portlet-lang-heading-35" aria-hidden="true" ><span class="vector-icon mw-ui-icon-language-progressive mw-ui-icon-wikimedia-language-progressive"></span> <span class="vector-dropdown-label-text">35 llengües</span> </label> <div class="vector-dropdown-content"> <div class="vector-menu-content"> <ul class="vector-menu-content-list"> <li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-af mw-list-item"><a href="https://af.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesiaanse_statistiek" title="Bayesiaanse statistiek - afrikaans" lang="af" hreflang="af" data-title="Bayesiaanse statistiek" data-language-autonym="Afrikaans" data-language-local-name="afrikaans" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Afrikaans</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ar mw-list-item"><a href="https://ar.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA%D8%AF%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%84_%D8%A8%D8%A7%D9%8A%D8%B2%D9%8A" title="استدلال بايزي - àrab" lang="ar" hreflang="ar" data-title="استدلال بايزي" data-language-autonym="العربية" data-language-local-name="àrab" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>العربية</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ast mw-list-item"><a href="https://ast.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferencia_bayesiana" title="Inferencia bayesiana - asturià" lang="ast" hreflang="ast" data-title="Inferencia bayesiana" data-language-autonym="Asturianu" data-language-local-name="asturià" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Asturianu</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-cy mw-list-item"><a href="https://cy.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anwythiad_Bayesaidd" title="Anwythiad Bayesaidd - gal·lès" lang="cy" hreflang="cy" data-title="Anwythiad Bayesaidd" data-language-autonym="Cymraeg" data-language-local-name="gal·lès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Cymraeg</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-da mw-list-item"><a href="https://da.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesiansk_statistik" title="Bayesiansk statistik - danès" lang="da" hreflang="da" data-title="Bayesiansk statistik" data-language-autonym="Dansk" data-language-local-name="danès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Dansk</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-de mw-list-item"><a href="https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayessche_Inferenz" title="Bayessche Inferenz - alemany" lang="de" hreflang="de" data-title="Bayessche Inferenz" data-language-autonym="Deutsch" data-language-local-name="alemany" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Deutsch</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-el mw-list-item"><a href="https://el.wikipedia.org/wiki/%CE%A3%CF%85%CE%BC%CF%80%CE%AD%CF%81%CE%B1%CF%83%CE%BC%CE%B1_%CF%84%CE%BF%CF%85_%CE%9C%CF%80%CE%AD%CF%85%CE%B6" title="Συμπέρασμα του Μπέυζ - grec" lang="el" hreflang="el" data-title="Συμπέρασμα του Μπέυζ" data-language-autonym="Ελληνικά" data-language-local-name="grec" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Ελληνικά</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-en mw-list-item"><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference" title="Bayesian inference - anglès" lang="en" hreflang="en" data-title="Bayesian inference" data-language-autonym="English" data-language-local-name="anglès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>English</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-es mw-list-item"><a href="https://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferencia_bayesiana" title="Inferencia bayesiana - espanyol" lang="es" hreflang="es" data-title="Inferencia bayesiana" data-language-autonym="Español" data-language-local-name="espanyol" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Español</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-eu mw-list-item"><a href="https://eu.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferentzia_bayestar" title="Inferentzia bayestar - basc" lang="eu" hreflang="eu" data-title="Inferentzia bayestar" data-language-autonym="Euskara" data-language-local-name="basc" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Euskara</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fa mw-list-item"><a href="https://fa.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D8%A7%D8%B3%D8%AA%D9%86%D8%A8%D8%A7%D8%B7_%D8%A8%DB%8C%D8%B2%DB%8C" title="استنباط بیزی - persa" lang="fa" hreflang="fa" data-title="استنباط بیزی" data-language-autonym="فارسی" data-language-local-name="persa" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>فارسی</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fi mw-list-item"><a href="https://fi.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesil%C3%A4inen_tilastotiede" title="Bayesiläinen tilastotiede - finès" lang="fi" hreflang="fi" data-title="Bayesiläinen tilastotiede" data-language-autonym="Suomi" data-language-local-name="finès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Suomi</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-fr mw-list-item"><a href="https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inf%C3%A9rence_bay%C3%A9sienne" title="Inférence bayésienne - francès" lang="fr" hreflang="fr" data-title="Inférence bayésienne" data-language-autonym="Français" data-language-local-name="francès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Français</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-gl mw-list-item"><a href="https://gl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferencia_bayesiana" title="Inferencia bayesiana - gallec" lang="gl" hreflang="gl" data-title="Inferencia bayesiana" data-language-autonym="Galego" data-language-local-name="gallec" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Galego</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-he mw-list-item"><a href="https://he.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D7%94%D7%A1%D7%A7%D7%94_%D7%91%D7%99%D7%99%D7%A1%D7%99%D7%90%D7%A0%D7%99%D7%AA" title="הסקה בייסיאנית - hebreu" lang="he" hreflang="he" data-title="הסקה בייסיאנית" data-language-autonym="עברית" data-language-local-name="hebreu" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>עברית</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-id mw-list-item"><a href="https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Analisis_Bayes" title="Analisis Bayes - indonesi" lang="id" hreflang="id" data-title="Analisis Bayes" data-language-autonym="Bahasa Indonesia" data-language-local-name="indonesi" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Bahasa Indonesia</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-it mw-list-item"><a href="https://it.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferenza_bayesiana" title="Inferenza bayesiana - italià" lang="it" hreflang="it" data-title="Inferenza bayesiana" data-language-autonym="Italiano" data-language-local-name="italià" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Italiano</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ja mw-list-item"><a href="https://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%83%99%E3%82%A4%E3%82%BA%E6%8E%A8%E5%AE%9A" title="ベイズ推定 - japonès" lang="ja" hreflang="ja" data-title="ベイズ推定" data-language-autonym="日本語" data-language-local-name="japonès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>日本語</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ko mw-list-item"><a href="https://ko.wikipedia.org/wiki/%EB%B2%A0%EC%9D%B4%EC%A6%88_%EC%B6%94%EB%A1%A0" title="베이즈 추론 - coreà" lang="ko" hreflang="ko" data-title="베이즈 추론" data-language-autonym="한국어" data-language-local-name="coreà" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>한국어</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-no mw-list-item"><a href="https://no.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesisk_inferens" title="Bayesisk inferens - noruec bokmål" lang="nb" hreflang="nb" data-title="Bayesisk inferens" data-language-autonym="Norsk bokmål" data-language-local-name="noruec bokmål" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Norsk bokmål</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-pl mw-list-item"><a href="https://pl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wnioskowanie_bayesowskie" title="Wnioskowanie bayesowskie - polonès" lang="pl" hreflang="pl" data-title="Wnioskowanie bayesowskie" data-language-autonym="Polski" data-language-local-name="polonès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Polski</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-pt mw-list-item"><a href="https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infer%C3%AAncia_bayesiana" title="Inferência bayesiana - portuguès" lang="pt" hreflang="pt" data-title="Inferência bayesiana" data-language-autonym="Português" data-language-local-name="portuguès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Português</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ro mw-list-item"><a href="https://ro.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferen%C8%9Ba_bayesian%C4%83" title="Inferența bayesiană - romanès" lang="ro" hreflang="ro" data-title="Inferența bayesiană" data-language-autonym="Română" data-language-local-name="romanès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Română</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-ru mw-list-item"><a href="https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%91%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%B2%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B8%D0%B9_%D0%B2%D1%8B%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B4" title="Байесовский вывод - rus" lang="ru" hreflang="ru" data-title="Байесовский вывод" data-language-autonym="Русский" data-language-local-name="rus" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Русский</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-rue mw-list-item"><a href="https://rue.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%91%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%B2%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0_%D1%88%D1%82%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B8%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B0" title="Байесовска штатистика - Rusyn" lang="rue" hreflang="rue" data-title="Байесовска штатистика" data-language-autonym="Русиньскый" data-language-local-name="Rusyn" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Русиньскый</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-simple mw-list-item"><a href="https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference" title="Bayesian inference - Simple English" lang="en-simple" hreflang="en-simple" data-title="Bayesian inference" data-language-autonym="Simple English" data-language-local-name="Simple English" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Simple English</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sl mw-list-item"><a href="https://sl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesiansko_sklepanje" title="Bayesiansko sklepanje - eslovè" lang="sl" hreflang="sl" data-title="Bayesiansko sklepanje" data-language-autonym="Slovenščina" data-language-local-name="eslovè" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Slovenščina</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sr mw-list-item"><a href="https://sr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bajesovo_zaklju%C4%8Divanje" title="Bajesovo zaključivanje - serbi" lang="sr" hreflang="sr" data-title="Bajesovo zaključivanje" data-language-autonym="Српски / srpski" data-language-local-name="serbi" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Српски / srpski</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-su mw-list-item"><a href="https://su.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferensi_Bayes" title="Inferensi Bayes - sondanès" lang="su" hreflang="su" data-title="Inferensi Bayes" data-language-autonym="Sunda" data-language-local-name="sondanès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Sunda</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-sv mw-list-item"><a href="https://sv.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesiansk_inferens" title="Bayesiansk inferens - suec" lang="sv" hreflang="sv" data-title="Bayesiansk inferens" data-language-autonym="Svenska" data-language-local-name="suec" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Svenska</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-tr mw-list-item"><a href="https://tr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes_%C3%A7%C4%B1kar%C4%B1m%C4%B1" title="Bayes çıkarımı - turc" lang="tr" hreflang="tr" data-title="Bayes çıkarımı" data-language-autonym="Türkçe" data-language-local-name="turc" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Türkçe</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-uk mw-list-item"><a href="https://uk.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%91%D0%B0%D1%94%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%B2%D0%B5_%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%B2%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%BD%D1%8F" title="Баєсове висновування - ucraïnès" lang="uk" hreflang="uk" data-title="Баєсове висновування" data-language-autonym="Українська" data-language-local-name="ucraïnès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Українська</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-vi mw-list-item"><a href="https://vi.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suy_lu%E1%BA%ADn_Bayes" title="Suy luận Bayes - vietnamita" lang="vi" hreflang="vi" data-title="Suy luận Bayes" data-language-autonym="Tiếng Việt" data-language-local-name="vietnamita" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>Tiếng Việt</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-zh mw-list-item"><a href="https://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%B4%9D%E5%8F%B6%E6%96%AF%E6%8E%A8%E6%96%AD" title="贝叶斯推断 - xinès" lang="zh" hreflang="zh" data-title="贝叶斯推断" data-language-autonym="中文" data-language-local-name="xinès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>中文</span></a></li><li class="interlanguage-link interwiki-zh-yue mw-list-item"><a href="https://zh-yue.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E8%B2%9D%E8%91%89%E6%96%AF%E6%8E%A8%E8%AB%96" title="貝葉斯推論 - cantonès" lang="yue" hreflang="yue" data-title="貝葉斯推論" data-language-autonym="粵語" data-language-local-name="cantonès" class="interlanguage-link-target"><span>粵語</span></a></li> </ul> <div class="after-portlet after-portlet-lang"><span class="wb-langlinks-edit wb-langlinks-link"><a href="https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Special:EntityPage/Q812535#sitelinks-wikipedia" title="Modifica enllaços interlingües" class="wbc-editpage">Modifica els enllaços</a></span></div> </div> </div> </div> </header> <div class="vector-page-toolbar"> <div class="vector-page-toolbar-container"> <div id="left-navigation"> <nav aria-label="Espais de noms"> <div id="p-associated-pages" class="vector-menu vector-menu-tabs mw-portlet mw-portlet-associated-pages" > 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dir="ltr"><p>La <b>inferència bayesiana</b> és una <a href="/wiki/Infer%C3%A8ncia_estad%C3%ADstica" title="Inferència estadística">inferència estadística</a> en la qual les proves o observacions es fan servir per actualitzar o novament per inferir la <a href="/wiki/Probabilitat" title="Probabilitat">probabilitat</a> que una hipòtesi pugui ser certa. El terme «bayesiana» prové del freqüent ús que es fa del <a href="/wiki/Teorema_de_Bayes" title="Teorema de Bayes">teorema de Bayes</a> dins el procés d'inferència.<sup id="cite_ref-1" class="reference"><a href="#cite_note-1"><span class="cite-bracket">[</span>1<span class="cite-bracket">]</span></a></sup> </p><p>Fonamentalment, la inferència bayesiana utilitza coneixements previs, en forma de distribució prèvia per estimar probabilitats posteriors. La inferència bayesiana és una tècnica important en estadística, i especialment en estadística matemàtica. L'actualització bayesiana és especialment important en l'anàlisi dinàmica d'una seqüència de dades. La inferència bayesiana ha trobat aplicació en una àmplia gamma d'activitats, com ara la ciència, l'enginyeria, la filosofia, la medicina, l'esport i el dret. En la filosofia de la <a href="/wiki/Teoria_de_la_decisi%C3%B3" title="Teoria de la decisió">teoria de la decisió</a>, la inferència bayesiana està estretament relacionada amb la probabilitat subjectiva, sovint anomenada "probabilitat bayesiana". </p> <meta property="mw:PageProp/toc" /> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Vegeu_també"><span id="Vegeu_tamb.C3.A9"></span>Vegeu també</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Infer%C3%A8ncia_bayesiana&action=edit&section=1" title="Modifica la secció: Vegeu també"><span>modifica</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Probabilitat_bayesiana" title="Probabilitat bayesiana">Probabilitat bayesiana</a></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Teorema_de_Bayes" title="Teorema de Bayes">Teorema de Bayes</a></li></ul> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Referències"><span id="Refer.C3.A8ncies"></span>Referències</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Infer%C3%A8ncia_bayesiana&action=edit&section=2" title="Modifica la secció: Referències"><span>modifica</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <div class="reflist {{#if: | references-column-count references-column-count-{{{col}}}" style="list-style-type: decimal;"> <div class="mw-references-wrap"><ol class="references"> <li id="cite_note-1"><span class="mw-cite-backlink"><a href="#cite_ref-1">↑</a></span> <span class="reference-text"><span class="citation book" style="font-style:normal" id="CITEREFDouglas_W2007"><span style="font-variant: small-caps;">Douglas W</span>, Hubbard. <i>How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business</i> (en anglès).  Hoboken (New Jersey): John Wiley & Sons, 2007, p. 46. <span style="font-size:90%; white-space:nowrap;"><a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/978-1118539279" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/978-1118539279">ISBN 978-1118539279</a></span>.</span><span class="Z3988" title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=How+to+Measure+Anything%3A+Finding+the+Value+of+Intangibles+in+Business&rft.aulast=Douglas+W&rft.aufirst=Hubbard&rft.date=2007&rft.pub=John+Wiley+%26+Sons&rft.place=Hoboken+%28New+Jersey%29&rft.pages=46&rft.isbn=978-1118539279"><span style="display: none;"> </span></span></span> </li> </ol></div></div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Bibliografia">Bibliografia</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Infer%C3%A8ncia_bayesiana&action=edit&section=3" title="Modifica la secció: Bibliografia"><span>modifica</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <div class="refbegin" style="margin-left:1.5em;-moz-column-count:2; -webkit-column-count:2; column-count:2;"> <ul><li>Elementals: <ul><li><span class="citation book" style="font-style:normal">Colin Howson, Peter Urbach. <i>Scientific Reasoning: the Bayesian Approach</i>. 3rd.  Open Court Publishing Company, 2005. <span style="font-size:90%; white-space:nowrap;"><a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/978-0812695786" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/978-0812695786">ISBN 978-0812695786</a></span>.</span><span class="Z3988" title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Scientific+Reasoning%3A+the+Bayesian+Approach&rft.au=Colin+Howson%2C+Peter+Urbach&rft.date=2005&rft.edition=3rd&rft.pub=Open+Court+Publishing+Company&rft.isbn=978-0812695786"><span style="display: none;"> </span></span></li> <li><span class="citation book" style="font-style:normal">Berry, Donald A.. <i>Statistics: A Bayesian Perspective</i>.  Duxbury, 1996.</span><span class="Z3988" title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Statistics%3A+A+Bayesian+Perspective&rft.au=Berry%2C+Donald+A.&rft.date=1996&rft.pub=Duxbury"><span style="display: none;"> </span></span></li> <li><span class="citation book" style="font-style:normal">Morris H. DeGroot i Mark J. Schervish. <i>Probability and Statistics</i>. third.  Addison-Wesley, 2002. <span style="font-size:90%; white-space:nowrap;"><a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/9780201524888" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/9780201524888">ISBN 9780201524888</a></span>.</span><span class="Z3988" title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Probability+and+Statistics&rft.au=Morris+H.+DeGroot+i+Mark+J.+Schervish&rft.date=2002&rft.edition=third&rft.pub=Addison-Wesley&rft.isbn=9780201524888"><span style="display: none;"> </span></span></li> <li>Bolstad, William M. (2007) Introduction to Bayesian Statistics: Second Edition, John Wiley <a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/0-471-27020-2" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/0-471-27020-2">ISBN 0-471-27020-2</a></li> <li>Winkler, Robert L, <i>Introduction to Bayesian Inference and Decision, 2nd Edition</i> (2003) <a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/0-9647938-4-9" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/0-9647938-4-9">ISBN 0-9647938-4-9</a></li> <li>Lee, Peter M. Bayesian Statistics: An Introduction. Second Edition. (1997). <a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/0-340-67785-6" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/0-340-67785-6">ISBN 0-340-67785-6</a>.</li> <li><span class="citation book" style="font-style:normal" id="CITEREFCarlin,_Bradley_P._and_Louis,_Thomas_A.2008"><span style="font-variant: small-caps;">Carlin, Bradley P. and Louis, Thomas A.</span>. <i>Bayesian Methods for Data Analysis, Third Edition</i>.  Boca Raton, FL: Chapman and Hall/CRC, 2008. <span style="font-size:90%; white-space:nowrap;"><a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/1-584-88697-8" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/1-584-88697-8">ISBN 1-584-88697-8</a></span>.</span><span class="Z3988" title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Bayesian+Methods+for+Data+Analysis%2C+Third+Edition&rft.aulast=Carlin%2C+Bradley+P.+and+Louis%2C+Thomas+A.&rft.date=2008&rft.pub=Boca+Raton%2C+FL%3A+Chapman+and+Hall%2FCRC&rft.isbn=1-584-88697-8"><span style="display: none;"> </span></span></li> <li><span class="citation book" style="font-style:normal" id="CITEREFGelman,_Andrew,_Carlin,_John_B.,_Stern,_Hal_S._and_Rubin,_Donald_B.2003"><span style="font-variant: small-caps;">Gelman, Andrew, Carlin, John B., Stern, Hal S. and Rubin, Donald B.</span>. <i>Bayesian Data Analysis, Second Edition</i>.  Boca Raton, FL: Chapman and Hall/CRC, 2003. <span style="font-size:90%; white-space:nowrap;"><a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/1-584-88388-X" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/1-584-88388-X">ISBN 1-584-88388-X</a></span>.</span><span class="Z3988" title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Bayesian+Data+Analysis%2C+Second+Edition&rft.aulast=Gelman%2C+Andrew%2C+Carlin%2C+John+B.%2C+Stern%2C+Hal+S.+and+Rubin%2C+Donald+B.&rft.date=2003&rft.pub=Boca+Raton%2C+FL%3A+Chapman+and+Hall%2FCRC&rft.isbn=1-584-88388-X"><span style="display: none;"> </span></span></li> <li>Pole, Andy, West, Mike and Harrison, P. Jeff. Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis, Chapman-Hall/Taylor Francis, 1994</li></ul></li></ul> <ul><li>Intermèdies o avançades: <ul><li><span class="citation book" style="font-style:normal">Berger, James O. <i>Statistical Decision Theory and Bayesian Analysis</i>. Second.  Springer-Verlag, 1985 (Springer Series in Statistics). <span style="font-size:90%; white-space:nowrap;"><a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/0-387-96098-8" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/0-387-96098-8">ISBN 0-387-96098-8</a></span>.</span><span class="Z3988" title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Statistical+Decision+Theory+and+Bayesian+Analysis&rft.au=Berger%2C+James+O&rft.date=1985&rft.edition=Second&rft.pub=Springer-Verlag&rft.series=Springer+Series+in+Statistics&rft.isbn=0-387-96098-8"><span style="display: none;"> </span></span></li> <li><span class="citation book" style="font-style:normal">Bernardo, José M.; Smith, Adrian F. M.. <i>Bayesian Theory</i>.  Wiley, 1994.</span><span class="Z3988" title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=Bayesian+Theory&rft.au=Bernardo%2C+Jos%C3%A9+M.&rft.date=1994&rft.pub=Wiley"><span style="display: none;"> </span></span></li> <li>Bretthorst, G. Larry, 1988, <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://bayes.wustl.edu/glb/book.pdf"><i>Bayesian Spectrum Analysis and Parameter Estimation</i></a> in Lecture Notes in Statistics, 48, Springer-Verlag, New York, New York</li> <li>DeGroot, Morris H., <i>Optimal Statistical Decisions</i>. Wiley Classics Library. 2004. (Originally published (1970) by McGraw-Hill.) <a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/0-471-68029-X" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/0-471-68029-X">ISBN 0-471-68029-X</a>.</li> <li>Jaynes, E.T. (1998) <a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www-biba.inrialpes.fr/Jaynes/prob.html"><i>Probability Theory: The Logic of Science</i></a>.</li> <li><span class="citation book" style="font-style:normal">David MacKay. <i><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.inference.phy.cam.ac.uk/mackay/itila/book.html">Information Theory, Inference, and Learning Algorithms</a></i>.  <a href="/wiki/Cambridge_University_Press" title="Cambridge University Press">Cambridge University Press</a>, 2003.</span><span class="Z3988" title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=%5Bhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.inference.phy.cam.ac.uk%2Fmackay%2Fitila%2Fbook.html+Information+Theory%2C+Inference%2C+and+Learning+Algorithms%5D&rft.au=David+MacKay&rft.date=2003&rft.pub=%5B%5BCambridge+University+Press%5D%5D"><span style="display: none;"> </span></span> (On-line)</li> <li>O'Hagan, A. and Forster, J. (2003) Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics, Volume 2B: Bayesian Inference. Arnold, New York. <a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/0-340-52922-9" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/0-340-52922-9">ISBN 0-340-52922-9</a>.</li> <li>Pearl, J. (1988) <i>Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems,</i> San Mateo, CA: Morgan Kaufmann.</li> <li><span class="citation book" style="font-style:normal">Robert, Christian P. <i>The Bayesian Choice. A Decision-Theoretic Motivation</i>. second.  Springer, 2001.</span><span class="Z3988" title="ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Abook&rft.genre=book&rft.btitle=The+Bayesian+Choice.+A+Decision-Theoretic+Motivation&rft.au=Robert%2C+Christian+P&rft.date=2001&rft.edition=second&rft.pub=Springer"><span style="display: none;"> </span></span></li> <li>Rowe, D.B. (2003) <i>Multivariate Bayesian Statistics</i> CRC Press <a href="/wiki/Especial:Fonts_bibliogr%C3%A0fiques/1584883189" title="Especial:Fonts bibliogràfiques/1584883189">ISBN 1584883189</a></li> <li>West, Mike, and Harrison, P. Jeff, Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models, Springer-Verlag, 1997 (2nd ed.)</li></ul></li></ul> </div> <div class="mw-heading mw-heading2"><h2 id="Enllaços_externs"><span id="Enlla.C3.A7os_externs"></span>Enllaços externs</h2><span class="mw-editsection"><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">[</span><a href="/w/index.php?title=Infer%C3%A8ncia_bayesiana&action=edit&section=4" title="Modifica la secció: Enllaços externs"><span>modifica</span></a><span class="mw-editsection-bracket">]</span></span></div> <ul><li><span class="citation" style="font-style:normal">«<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.enciclopedia.cat/gran-enciclopedia-catalana/0281295.xml">Inferència bayesiana</a>». <i><a href="/wiki/Gran_Enciclop%C3%A8dia_Catalana" title="Gran Enciclopèdia Catalana">Gran Enciclopèdia Catalana</a></i>.  Barcelona:  <a href="/wiki/Grup_Enciclop%C3%A8dia_Catalana" class="mw-redirect" title="Grup Enciclopèdia Catalana">Grup Enciclopèdia Catalana</a>.</span></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.scholarpedia.org/article/Bayesian_statistics">Bayesian Statistics sumari de Scholarpedia.</a></li> <li><a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://www.dcs.qmw.ac.uk/%7Enorman/BBNs/BBNs.htm">A nice on-line Tutorial introductiu de la Queen Mary University of London</a></li></ul> <div role="navigation" class="navbox" aria-labelledby="Filogènia" style="padding:3px"><table class="nowraplinks collapsible collapsed navbox-inner" style="border-spacing:0;background:transparent;color:inherit"><tbody><tr><th scope="col" class="navbox-title" colspan="3"><div class="plainlinks hlist navbar mini"><ul><li class="nv-view"><span typeof="mw:File"><a href="/wiki/Plantilla:Filog%C3%A8nia" title="Plantilla:Filogènia"><img alt="Vegeu aquesta plantilla" src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/28/Commons-emblem-notice.svg/18px-Commons-emblem-notice.svg.png" decoding="async" width="18" height="18" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/28/Commons-emblem-notice.svg/27px-Commons-emblem-notice.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/2/28/Commons-emblem-notice.svg/36px-Commons-emblem-notice.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="48" data-file-height="48" /></a></span></li></ul></div><div id="Filogènia" style="font-size:114%;margin:0 4em"><a href="/wiki/Filog%C3%A8nia" title="Filogènia">Filogènia</a></div></th></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Camps principals</th><td class="navbox-list navbox-odd" style="text-align:left;border-left-width:2px;border-left-style:solid;width:100%;padding:0px"><div style="padding:0em 0.25em"><a href="/wiki/Filog%C3%A8nia_computacional" title="Filogènia computacional">Filogènia computacional</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Filog%C3%A8nia_molecular" title="Filogènia molecular">Filogènia molecular</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Clad%C3%ADstica" title="Cladística">Cladística</a></div></td><td class="navbox-image" rowspan="6" style="width:1px;padding:0px 0px 0px 2px"><div><span typeof="mw:File"><a href="/wiki/Fitxer:Tree_of_life_int.svg" class="mw-file-description"><img src="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/9c/Tree_of_life_int.svg/222px-Tree_of_life_int.svg.png" decoding="async" width="222" height="155" class="mw-file-element" srcset="//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/9c/Tree_of_life_int.svg/333px-Tree_of_life_int.svg.png 1.5x, //upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/9c/Tree_of_life_int.svg/444px-Tree_of_life_int.svg.png 2x" data-file-width="652" data-file-height="454" /></a></span></div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Conceptes bàsics</th><td class="navbox-list navbox-even" style="text-align:left;border-left-width:2px;border-left-style:solid;width:100%;padding:0px"><div style="padding:0em 0.25em"><a href="/wiki/Sinapomorfia" title="Sinapomorfia">Sinapomorfia</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Arbre_filogen%C3%A8tic" title="Arbre filogenètic">Arbre filogenètic</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Xarxa_filogen%C3%A8tica" title="Xarxa filogenètica">Xarxa filogenètica</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Atracci%C3%B3_entre_branques_llargues" title="Atracció entre branques llargues">Atracció entre branques llargues</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Clade" title="Clade">Clade</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Llinatge_fantasma" title="Llinatge fantasma">Llinatge fantasma</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Models_d%27evoluci%C3%B3_de_l%27ADN" title="Models d'evolució de l'ADN">Models d'evolució de l'ADN</a></div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Mètodes d'inferència</th><td class="navbox-list navbox-odd" style="text-align:left;border-left-width:2px;border-left-style:solid;width:100%;padding:0px"><div style="padding:0em 0.25em"><a href="/wiki/M%C3%A0xima_parsim%C3%B2nia" title="Màxima parsimònia">Màxima parsimònia</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/M%C3%A0xima_versemblan%C3%A7a" title="Màxima versemblança">Màxima versemblança</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Neighbor-joining" title="Neighbor-joining">Neighbor-joining</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/UPGMA" title="UPGMA">UPGMA</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Infer%C3%A8ncia_Bayesiana" class="mw-redirect" title="Inferència Bayesiana">Inferència Bayesiana</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/M%C3%ADnims_quadrats_ordinaris" class="mw-redirect" title="Mínims quadrats ordinaris">Mínims quadrats ordinaris</a></div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">Temes actuals</th><td class="navbox-list navbox-even" style="text-align:left;border-left-width:2px;border-left-style:solid;width:100%;padding:0px"><div style="padding:0em 0.25em"><a href="/wiki/PhyloCode" title="PhyloCode">PhyloCode</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/DNA_barcoding" title="DNA barcoding">DNA barcoding</a></div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">-morfia</th><td class="navbox-list navbox-odd" style="text-align:left;border-left-width:2px;border-left-style:solid;width:100%;padding:0px"><div style="padding:0em 0.25em"><a href="/wiki/Simplesiomorfia" class="mw-redirect" title="Simplesiomorfia">Simplesiomorfia</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Apomorfia" title="Apomorfia">Apomorfia</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Plesiomorfia" title="Plesiomorfia">Plesiomorfia</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Sinapomorfia" title="Sinapomorfia">Sinapomorfia</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Autapomorfia" title="Autapomorfia">Autapomorfia</a></div></td></tr><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%">-filetisme</th><td class="navbox-list navbox-even" style="text-align:left;border-left-width:2px;border-left-style:solid;width:100%;padding:0px"><div style="padding:0em 0.25em"><a href="/wiki/Monofiletisme" title="Monofiletisme">Monofiletisme</a> / <a href="/wiki/Holofiletisme" title="Holofiletisme">Holofiletisme</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Parafiletisme" title="Parafiletisme">Parafiletisme</a> <span style="font-weight:bold;"> ·</span>  <a href="/wiki/Polifiletisme" title="Polifiletisme">Polifiletisme</a></div></td></tr></tbody></table></div> <div role="navigation" class="navbox" aria-label="Navbox" style="padding:3px"><table class="nowraplinks hlist navbox-inner" style="border-spacing:0;background:transparent;color:inherit"><tbody><tr><th scope="row" class="navbox-group" style="width:1%"><a href="/wiki/Control_d%27autoritats" title="Control d'autoritats">Registres d'autoritat</a></th><td class="navbox-list navbox-odd" style="text-align:left;border-left-width:2px;border-left-style:solid;width:100%;padding:0px"><div style="padding:0em 0.25em"> <ul><li><a href="/wiki/Gemeinsame_Normdatei" title="Gemeinsame Normdatei">GND</a> <span class="uid"> (<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="http://d-nb.info/gnd/4144220-9">1</a>)</span></li> <li><a href="/wiki/LCCN" class="mw-redirect" title="LCCN">LCCN</a> <span class="uid"> (<a rel="nofollow" class="external text" href="https://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh85012506">1</a>)</span></li> <li><a href="/wiki/Biblioteca_Nacional_de_la_Rep%C3%BAblica_Txeca" title="Biblioteca Nacional de la República Txeca">NKC</a> <span class="uid"> 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