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Definition of Likelihood | Office of the Chief Risk Officer

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(OCRO-only)</span></a></li></ul></li></ul></nav> </div> </section> </header><main class="page-content" id="page-content"><div data-drupal-messages-fallback class="hidden"></div> <div id="block-stanford-basic-content" class="system-main-block block-system block-stanford-basic-content"> <section class="node basic-page node--layout-full"> <div class="content"> <div class="jumpstart-ui--one-column"> <div class="main-region"> </div> </div> <div class="jumpstart-ui--one-column centered-container"> <div class="main-region flex-12-of-12"> <div class="field-block node-stanford-page-title block-layout-builder"> <div class="node stanford-page title string label-hidden"><h1>Definition of Likelihood</h1> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="jumpstart-ui--two-column flex-container centered-container"> <div class="left-region flex-lg-3-of-12"> <div class="menu-block main block block-menu navigation menu--main"> <h2 aria-hidden="true" class="visually-hidden" id="menu-blockmain-menu">Main 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href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/key-definitions/definition-risk-owner"> Risk Owner </a></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/key-definitions/definition-integrated-review-0"> Integrated Review </a></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/key-definitions/definition-risk-severity"> Risk Severity </a></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/key-definitions/definition-sub-risk"> Sub-risk </a></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/key-definitions/definition-risk-trend"> Risk Trend </a></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/key-definitions/definition-mitigating-activities"> Mitigating Activities </a></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/key-definitions/definition-monitoring-activities"> Monitoring Activities </a></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/key-definitions/definition-residual-risk"> Residual Risk </a></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/key-definitions/definition-sub-risk-owner"> Sub-risk Owner </a></li></ul></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/riskonnect-reference-material"> Riskonnect Reference Materials </a></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item su-secondary-nav__item--parent"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/resources"> Resources </a></li><li class="su-secondary-nav__item"><a class="su-secondary-nav__link" href="/enterprise-risk-management-erm/erm-contacts"> Contacts </a></li></ul></nav> </div> </div> <div class="flex-lg-9-of-12 main-region"> <div class="jumpstart-ui-skipnav-main-anchor block-jumpstart-ui"> <div id="main-content" tabindex="-1" class="visually-hidden focusable">Main content start</div> </div> <div class="field-block node-stanford-page-su-page-components block-layout-builder"> <div class="node stanford-page su-page-components entity-reference-revisions label-hidden"> <div class="paragraph-item ptype-stanford-layout"> <div class="ptype-stanford-layout paragraph paragraph--type--stanford-layout paragraph--view-mode--default"> <div class="layout layout--layout-paragraphs-one-column"> <div class="layout__region layout__region--main"> <div class="ptype-stanford-wysiwyg paragraph paragraph--type--stanford-wysiwyg paragraph--view-mode--default"> <div class="su-wysiwyg-text paragraph stanford-wysiwyg text-long label-hidden"><p><strong>Likelihood:</strong>&nbsp;The probability that a given event will occur. Likelihood can be expressed using qualitative terms (Extreme, High, Medium, Low or Negligible), as a percent probability, or as a frequency.</p></div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div><!-- /.content --></section><!-- /.node as page --> </div> <button id="back-to-top"> <span class="fas fa-chevron-up"></span> Back to Top </button> </main> <footer id="footer"> <div id="block-config-pages" class="config-pages-block block-config-pages"> <div class="ds-entity--config-pages ds-entity--stanford-local-footer"> <div data-contextual-id="config_pages:config_pages=1:changed=1731703021&amp;ds_bundle=stanford_local_footer&amp;ds_view_mode=default&amp;langcode=en" data-contextual-token="ZuyS25eykvwxUzfei5xgEpw7kGC5P1antjztdtGi9O8" data-drupal-ajax-container=""></div><div class="su-local-footer "> <div class="su-local-footer__header"> <div class="su-lockup su-lockup--option-"> <a href="https://ocro.stanford.edu/" > <div class="su-lockup__cell1"> <div class="su-lockup__wordmark-wrapper"> <span class="su-lockup__wordmark">Stanford</span> </div> </div> <div class="su-lockup__cell2"> <span class="su-lockup__line1" >Office of the Chief Risk Officer</span> </div> </a> </div> <a href="/saml/login?destination=/enterprise-risk-management-erm/key-definitions/definition-likelihood" class="su-link su-link--internal" rel="nofollow"> Web Login </a> </div> <div class="su-local-footer__columns"> <div class="su-local-footer__cell1"> <h2 class="su-sr-only-element">Address</h2> <address class="su-local-footer__address"> <div class="config-pages stanford-local-footer su-local-foot-address address label-hidden"><p class="address" translate="no"><span class="organization">Office of the Chief Risk Officer</span><br> <span class="address-line1">505 Broadway</span><br> <span class="address-line2">Cardinal Hall, 6th Floor</span><br> <span class="locality">Redwood City</span>, <span class="administrative-area">CA</span> <span class="postal-code">94063</span><br> <span class="country">United States</span></p></div> </address> <ul class="su-local-footer__action-links"> <li > <a href="mailto:ocro-executive-program-support@stanford.edu">Executive Support and OCRO Operations</a> </li> <li > <a href="mailto:internal-audit@lists.stanford.edu">Internal Audit </a> </li> <li > <a href="mailto:integrity@stanford.edu">Ethics and Compliance </a> </li> <li > <a href="mailto:privacy@stanford.edu">University Privacy Office</a> </li> <li > <a href="tel:650-723-2300">650-723-2300</a> </li> </ul> <ul class="su-local-footer__social-links"> <li > <a href="https://www.facebook.com/stanford/" class="su-local-footer__social-facebook" > <i aria-hidden='true'></i> <span>Stanford Facebook</span> </a> </li> <li > <a href="https://www.instagram.com/stanford/" class="su-local-footer__social-instagram" > <i aria-hidden='true'></i> <span>Stanford Instagram</span> </a> </li> <li > <a href="http://twitter.com/" class="su-local-footer__social-twitter" > <i aria-hidden='true'></i> <span>Twitter</span> </a> </li> <li > <a href="http://linkedin.com" class="su-local-footer__social-linkedin" > <i aria-hidden='true'></i> <span>LinkedIn</span> </a> </li> </ul> </div> <div class="su-local-footer__cell2"> </div> <div class="su-local-footer__cell3"> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="su-global-footer "> <div class="su-global-footer__container"> <div class="su-global-footer__brand"> <a id="su-logo" class="su-logo " aria-hidden="true" tabindex="-1" href="https://www.stanford.edu">Stanford<br>University<span class="su-global-footer__link-a11y"> (link is external)</span> </a> </div> <div class="su-global-footer__content"> <nav aria-label="global footer menu"> <ul class="su-global-footer__menu su-global-footer__menu--global"> <li><a href="https://www.stanford.edu" rel="nofollow">Stanford Home<span class="su-global-footer__link-a11y"> (link is external)</span> </a></li> <li><a href="https://visit.stanford.edu/basics/" rel="nofollow">Maps &amp; 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