Russian River rising to flood stage as atmospheric river brings more rain than expected

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River","Guerneville","Flooding","Sonoma County"],"datePublished":"2024-11-22T19:29:26-0800","dateModified":"2024-11-22T19:29:26-0800","author":[{"@type":"Person","familyName":"Walker","givenName":"Wilson","name":"Wilson Walker","url":"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/team\/Wilson.Walker_SF\/","jobTitle":"Wilson Walker","sameAs":"https:\/\/x.com\/https:\/\/twitter.com\/WilsonKPIX","affiliation":{"@type":"Organization","name":"CBS News"},"worksFor":[{"@type":"Organization","name":"CBS News San Francisco"}],"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/cbs-news-publishing-principles\/"}],"publisher":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@type":"NewsMediaOrganization","@id":"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/","name":"CBS 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river storm, the Russian River has risen higher than originally forecast and is reaching flood stage as of Friday evening.For Rafael Alvarez, the initial forecast for the Russian River was just off his property line. On Friday, the rising water had forced him to move his classic Mercedes coupe to higher ground.\"So, luckily, I had a tow-rope so that I could get it out of the water,\" Alvarez told CBS News Bay Area. \"Because the water was right through the doors.\"\"Huge difference,\" he explained. \"Because two feet either way, when it comes over the bank, then the rest of the water will go into the flatland.\"Far more incredible than the height of the water, is how fast it happened. On Tuesday, the river was sitting at just over five and a half feet and the forecast at the time was for the storm system to push the river to about 25 feet. That forecast has been exceeded.\"It went from about six feet to approaching 30 feet right now,\" said Tom Patton, watching from the Forestville Bridge.\"On the last predictive model that I saw, it was going to be about 34,\" Karen Hancock with the Sonoma County Fire District told CBS News Bay Area. \"And 35 feet when we see moderate flooding here in the lower Russian River area.\"Hancock went to say, \"It is right at that line. So depending on what the rain system, what the storm system does, whether it continues. It has let up a little bit, we\u0027re in light rain right now, but it hasn\u0027t really stopped raining at all. So all of that water from the higher elevations needs to float here to the river. It does take some time for it to get here.\"With the river expected to stay below that critical mark of 35 feet, it means the river itself isn\u0027t the top concern; it\u0027s all the creeks that have to drain into it.\"This area here is the lowest elevation in Guerneville,\" Wendy explained. \"It\u0027s called Submarine Flats.\"Locals can say exactly what happens as the water reaches specific marks, which roads get closed, which basements will be flooded.\"Yeah there\u0027s 12 or 13 houses down here and everybody has a little routine,\" she said. \"Mostly putting the cars up away, opening your garage door, securing your trash bins.\"So it\u0027s not a particularly abnormal event, to see the water this high. But off of two days\u0027 worth of rain, on the very first storm system of the year, it has grabbed attention.\"It was only lucky that it\u0027s so early in the season because there\u0027s plenty of places for water to go right now,\" Denise said, watching the creeks rise and her forest film neighborhood. \"The river wasn\u0027t full. The creeks were completely dry when the storm started and now.\"\"I don\u0027t think I don\u0027t think in that short of time, have we ever gotten this kind of rain,\" Alvarez said. \"Between Santa Rosa and the coast. I mean, we normally get a lot of rain. 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data-update-time="1732332566000"></div> <div class="content__high-wrapper content__high-wrapper--is-show" id="article-header" data-sort-time="1732332566000" data-update-time="1732332566000"> <header class="content__header "><div class="item--asset-wrapper"> <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/local-news-environment?ftag=CNM-16-10abg0d" class="item--asset-label is-topic" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http="">Environment</a> </div> <h1 class="content__title ">Russian River rising to flood stage as atmospheric river brings more rain than expected</h1> <div class="content__meta-wrapper">  <a class="content__topic-link " href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=""> <img width="60" height="60" class="content__show-logo" alt="sanfrancisco" src="/assets/show/sanfrancisco/logo-square-32.svg" loading="lazy"></a>  <p class="content__meta content__meta--byline byline"> By <span class="byline__author__text">Wilson Walker</span> </p> <p class="content__meta content__meta--timestamp "> <time datetime="2024-11-22T19:29:26-0800">November 22, 2024 / 7:29 PM PST</time> / CBS San Francisco </p> <ul class="sharebar"><li class="sharebar__button-container sharebar__button-container--service "> <a href="http://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cbsnews.com%2Fsanfrancisco%2Fnews%2Frussian-river-nov24-atmospheric-river-flood-stage-guerneville%2F" class="sharebar__button sharebar__button--type-facebook lazyload" title="facebook" target="_blank" data-component="popups" rel="noopener"> <svg viewbox="0 0 32 32" class="sharebar__icon sharebar__icon--facebook" aria-hidden="true"><use xlink:href="#icon-social-facebook"></use></svg></a> </li> <li class="sharebar__button-container sharebar__button-container--service "> <a 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class="lazyload embed__frame" data-width="1920" data-height="1080" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" id="russian-river-reaches-flood-stage-as-north-bay-receives-record-rain-during-atmospheric-river--hero" title="Video: Russian River reaches flood stage as North Bay receives record rain during atmospheric river" data-sort-time="1732329006000" data-update-time="1732329006000"></iframe> </div> <button class="player-overlay__button--icon-close__mobile" data-target="" aria-label="Close sticky player"> <svg class="player-overlay__button--icon"><use xlink:href="#player-icon-close"></use></svg></button> <div class="player-overlay--draggable-handle"></div> </div> </div> <figcaption class="embed__caption-container"><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/video/russian-river-reaches-flood-stage-as-north-bay-receives-record-rain-during-atmospheric-river/" class="embed__headline-link" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=""> <span class="embed__icon"> <svg viewbox="0 0 32 32" aria-hidden="true"><use xlink:href="#icon-video"></use></svg></span> <span class="embed__headline">Russian River reaches flood stage as North Bay receives record rain during atmospheric river</span> <span class="embed__video-duration">04:09</span> </a> </figcaption></figure><section class="content__body"><p>As Sonoma County has been hit hard by the <span class="link"><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/atmospheric-river-flood-warning-california-bay-area/" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http="">atmospheric river storm</a></span>, the Russian River has risen higher than originally forecast and is reaching flood stage as of Friday evening.</p><p>For Rafael Alvarez, the initial forecast for the Russian River was just off his property line. On Friday, the rising water had forced him to move his classic Mercedes coupe to higher ground.</p><p>"So, luckily, I had a tow-rope so that I could get it out of the water," Alvarez told CBS News Bay Area. "Because the water was right through the doors."</p><p>"Huge difference," he explained. "Because two feet either way, when it comes over the bank, then the rest of the water will go into the flatland."</p><p>Far more incredible than the height of the water, is how fast it happened. </p> <div id="mpu-plus-outstream-middle" data-ad="mpu-plus-outstream-middle" class="ad-mpu-plus-outstream-middle ad-wrapper " data-ad-unit='"mpu-plus-outstream-middle"'> </div> <p>On Tuesday, the river was sitting at just over five and a half feet and the forecast at the time was for the storm system to push the river to about 25 feet. That forecast has been exceeded.</p><figure class="embed embed--type-image is-image embed--float-none embed--size-medium"><span class="img embed__content"><img src="https://assets1.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2024/11/23/9af1f0a8-a99c-469f-92a0-0eb354d0a4cd/thumbnail/620x349/9e0d1dcc176ec82044ec90da053c2da5/russian-river-guerneville-flood-112224.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe#" alt="russian-river-guerneville-flood-112224.jpg " height="349" width="620" class=" lazyload" data-srcset="https://assets1.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2024/11/23/9af1f0a8-a99c-469f-92a0-0eb354d0a4cd/thumbnail/620x349/9e0d1dcc176ec82044ec90da053c2da5/russian-river-guerneville-flood-112224.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe 1x, https://assets3.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2024/11/23/9af1f0a8-a99c-469f-92a0-0eb354d0a4cd/thumbnail/1240x698/791e77454da54cb33c634d8e636b586d/russian-river-guerneville-flood-112224.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe 2x" srcset="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg'%20viewBox%3D'0%200%20620%20349'%2F%3E"></span> <figcaption class="embed__caption-container"><span class="embed__caption">The Russian River as it approached flood stage near Guerneville in Sonoma County, Nov. 22, 2024.</span> <span class="embed__credit"> CBS </span> </figcaption></figure><p>"It went from about six feet to approaching 30 feet right now," said Tom Patton, watching from the Forestville Bridge.</p><p>"On the last predictive model that I saw, it was going to be about 34," Karen Hancock with the Sonoma County Fire District told CBS News Bay Area. "And 35 feet when we see moderate flooding here in the lower Russian River area."</p><p>Hancock went to say, "It is right at that line. So depending on what the rain system, what the storm system does, whether it continues. It has let up a little bit, we're in light rain right now, but it hasn't really stopped raining at all. So all of that water from the higher elevations needs to float here to the river. It does take some time for it to get here."</p> <div id="leader-plus-inc3" data-ad="leader-plus-inc" class="ad-leader-plus-inc ad-wrapper " data-ad-unit='["leader-plus-inc",3]'> </div> <p>With the river expected to stay below that critical mark of 35 feet, it means the river itself isn't the top concern; it's all the creeks that have to drain into it.</p><p>"This area here is the lowest elevation in Guerneville," Wendy explained. "It's called Submarine Flats."</p><p>Locals can say exactly what happens as the water reaches specific marks, which roads get closed, which basements will be flooded.</p><p>"Yeah there's 12 or 13 houses down here and everybody has a little routine," she said. "Mostly putting the cars up away, opening your garage door, securing your trash bins."</p><p>So it's not a particularly abnormal event, to see the water this high. But off of two days' worth of rain, on the very first storm system of the year, it has grabbed attention.</p><p>"It was only lucky that it's so early in the season because there's plenty of places for water to go right now," Denise said, watching the creeks rise and her forest film neighborhood. "The river wasn't full. The creeks were completely dry when the storm started and now."</p><p>"I don't think I don't think in that short of time, have we ever gotten this kind of rain," Alvarez said. "Between Santa Rosa and the coast. I mean, we normally get a lot of rain. But not in that short period of time."</p>  <aside class="component list recirculation component--type-recirculation "><div class="component__heading-wrapper"> <h3 class="component__title">More from CBS News</h3> </div> <div class="component__item-wrapper"> <div class="item" id="inline-recirc-item--id-0"> <a class="item__anchor" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/russian-river-flooding-detours-guerneville-forestville-west-side-road-wohler-bridge/?intcid=CNR-02-0623" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=""> <span class="img item__thumb item__thumb--crop-0"><img src="https://assets1.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2025/02/13/4bab9f99-946b-4831-8323-206e5ab7a108/thumbnail/1200x630/0d37eba1d565260a04cea54f305c1c55/sonoma-co-westside-road-washout-021325.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe#" alt=" " layout="fill" height="90" width="140"></span> <div class="item__title-wrapper"> <span class="item__hed"> Residents along Russian River deal with long detours after road washed out</span> </div> </a> </div> <div class="item" id="inline-recirc-item--id-1"> <a class="item__anchor" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/bay-area-rain-flooding-atmospheric-river-wind-flood-warnings/?intcid=CNR-02-0623" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=""> <span class="img item__thumb item__thumb--crop-0"><img src="https://assets3.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2025/02/14/4219bcd6-69e1-4ff9-bf0e-d536baf5a664/thumbnail/1200x630/d01bae55e45ece5de4a500c183f77473/tree-down.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe#" alt=" " layout="fill" height="90" width="140"></span> <div class="item__title-wrapper"> <span class="item__hed"> Evacuations, flood warnings issued as latest atmospheric river hits Bay Area</span> </div> </a> </div> <div class="item" id="inline-recirc-item--id-2"> <a class="item__anchor" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/brentwood-house-fire-fatal-nicholas-court/?intcid=CNR-02-0623" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=""> <span class="img item__thumb item__thumb--crop-0"><img src="https://assets2.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2021/11/01/7e893987-d428-4b95-bf37-acd229e9ba82/thumbnail/1200x630/3c603ede8c50d918bd87019b56d27c42/fremont-fire-generic-ffd-facebook-photo.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe#" alt=" " layout="fill" height="90" width="140"></span> <div class="item__title-wrapper"> <span class="item__hed"> Person dies in Brentwood house fire</span> </div> </a> </div> <div class="item" id="inline-recirc-item--id-3"> <a class="item__anchor" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/sf-restaurants-busy-2025-valentines-day-chinese-new-year-parade-nba-all-star-weekend/?intcid=CNR-02-0623" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=""> <span class="img item__thumb item__thumb--crop-0"><img src="https://assets1.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2025/02/15/fb6a4ab0-ffb6-4b70-8456-6119973dc9dd/thumbnail/1200x630/73fbcd70ae47a6a1e5c39ca79054818b/niku-steakhouse-sf-021425.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe#" alt=" " layout="fill" height="90" width="140"></span> <div class="item__title-wrapper"> <span class="item__hed"> San Francisco restaurants busy with Valentine's Day, Chinese New Year parade, All-Star weekend</span> </div> </a> </div> <div class="item" id="inline-recirc-item--id-4"> <a class="item__anchor" href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/monterey-county-body-found-garland-ranch-carmel-valley/?intcid=CNR-02-0623" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=""> <span class="img item__thumb item__thumb--crop-0"><img src="https://assets3.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2025/02/15/00177e0e-85ab-48ff-ad48-abcf28422a3e/thumbnail/1200x630g8/205c39c09b146181ec0185e050500bf9/swift-water-2.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe#" alt=" " layout="fill" height="90" width="140"></span> <div class="item__title-wrapper"> <span class="item__hed"> Missing elderly man in Monterey County found dead in Carmel River</span> </div> </a> </div> </div> </aside><style type="text/css"> .component--type-recirculation .item:nth-child(5) { display: none; } #inline-recirc-item--id-8d43cc66-70ad-41f6-9644-afb944cddc27, #right-rail-recirc-item--id-8d43cc66-70ad-41f6-9644-afb944cddc27 { display: none; } #inline-recirc-item--id-8d43cc66-70ad-41f6-9644-afb944cddc27 ~ .item:nth-child(5) { display: block; } </style><ul class="content__tags">In: <li><a href="/sanfrancisco/tag/russian-river/">Russian River</a></li> <li><a href="/sanfrancisco/tag/atmospheric-river/">Atmospheric River</a></li> <li><a href="/sanfrancisco/tag/guerneville/">Guerneville</a></li> <li><a href="/sanfrancisco/tag/flooding/">Flooding</a></li> <li><a href="/sanfrancisco/tag/sonoma-county/">Sonoma County</a></li> </ul><div class="content-author"> <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/search/author/wilson-walker/" class="content-author__name" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http="">Wilson Walker</a> <div class="content-author__bio"> <div class="content-author__image"> <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/search/author/wilson-walker/" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=""> <span class="img "><img src="https://assets2.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2015/04/29/340c23e5-e5a3-40ef-bf68-dcc84ef47c4b/thumbnail/80x80/b189dfa3f131d0d5f1d7cfbca045ee8e/restrictedimagesub.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe#" alt="web-bio-head-wilson-walker.jpg " height="80" width="80" class=" lazyload" data-srcset="https://assets2.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2015/04/29/340c23e5-e5a3-40ef-bf68-dcc84ef47c4b/thumbnail/80x80/b189dfa3f131d0d5f1d7cfbca045ee8e/restrictedimagesub.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe 1x, https://assets3.cbsnewsstatic.com/hub/i/r/2015/04/29/340c23e5-e5a3-40ef-bf68-dcc84ef47c4b/thumbnail/160x160/c10b0f613d99a5702a992df80eb40253/restrictedimagesub.jpg?v=f303dc12868a012283443d8b9123e5fe 2x" srcset="data:image/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg'%20viewBox%3D'0%200%2080%2080'%2F%3E"></span> </a> </div> <div class="content-author__full-information"> <p class="content-author__text">Wilson Walker joined KPIX 5 in July 2007. After 10 years producing newscasts, Wilson became a Multimedia Journalist (MMJ) in 2012, meaning he shoots, writes and edits all of his own stories.</p> <div class="content-author__social-links-container"> <a href="https://twitter.com/WilsonKPIX" class="content-author__social-link" rel="nofollow noopener"> <svg viewbox="0 0 32 32" class="content-author__logo" aria-hidden="true"><use xlink:href="#icon-social-twitter"></use></svg> Twitter </a> </div> </div> </div> </div> </section><footer class="content__footer"><p class="content__copyright"> <small>© 2024 CBS Broadcasting Inc. All Rights Reserved.</small> </p> </footer><div id="flipp-ux-slot-3n48n33"> <div class="flipp-ux-header" style="display: none"> <h3>Featured Local Savings</h3> </div> </div> </article></div> <div class="col-4 nocontent"> <section class="component list list component--topic- component--view-list --item-count-4" id="component-queryly-right-rail-article-recirc" data-id="af907f0c-7c99-459b-bad1-fc091da10a84" data-slug="queryly-right-rail-article-recirc"><div class="component__heading-wrapper"> <h3 class="component__title">More from CBS News</h3> </div> <div class="component__item-wrapper"> <article class="item lazyload item--type-custom"><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/russian-river-flooding-detours-guerneville-forestville-west-side-road-wohler-bridge/?intcid=CNR-01-0623" class="item__anchor" draggable="false" ondragstart="return false;" data-invalid-url-rewritten-http=""> <span class="img item__thumb item__thumb--crop-0"><img 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Russian River rising to flood stage as atmospheric river brings more rain than expected - CBS San Francisco